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4676  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: And with this on: October 28, 2008, 09:44:29 am
Congratulations! You have more experience on here than Obama has at executive government.
4677  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Agree or Disagree: Day 20: Family Guy > The Simpsons on: October 28, 2008, 09:43:03 am
I enjoy both, and both have a very similar sense of sarcastic, cynical humour. That said, I very rarely watch tv and can't remember the last time I saw either of them. My brother has Family Guy on DVD and I really enjoy watching them. They're virtually one and the same - same sorts of plotlines due to a same sense of humour... yeah, if they stand too close together, it's hard to tell them apart. I voted Simpsons because it came first and because it has had such a great long run and because it was a pretty original idea when it first came out.
4678  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: at this point, virginia is... on: October 28, 2008, 09:34:07 am
I don't think much has changed in the past two years politically for Virginia, therefore I think that where Virginia stands presently is the net result of 2004 plus demographic change less the Bradley Affect. I believe this makes it an ever so slight McCain lean, but very close.
4679  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: To Naso and others - a question. on: October 28, 2008, 09:30:12 am
I like the electoral college and I would agree that the winner of the electoral college is the president.

Absolutely agree. If Obama gets 270 and loses by 3 points, you will not hear a peep out of me.

Ever since I played a board game called Landslide in 1982-ish as a young boy, I have loved the EC system.

Exactly. It goes both ways. The issue is not one of whether the race was "stolen" or whatever. The election is won according to the rules that have been written, which is the EC system. It's the same as a game of football. Usually the winning team will have had the ball the longest, or made the most ground in attack and the most tackles in defence, but not always. If that isn't the case, if a team lost even after having the best stats, it's not that the game was stolen from them - because the rules of the game are fair and aren't changed to hinder one team or help the other. Likewise, the party that usually wins the election the ECVs also won the PV, but not always.

An electoral system needs to be fair. It's possible for the Democrats to win in a 2000-style election, just as it's possible for the Republicans to win in that scenario. If Gore had won in 2000 but lost the PV, I wonder how many of the Democrats would have suggested that the election had been stolen...

For the record - it is also possible in Australia to form government with a majority of seats but with a minority of the vote. This has happened twice in elections I've been interested in during the past decade - 1998 and 2004. In the 1998 federal election, the Liberals retained Government, despite receiving less than half of the 2PP vote. In the 2004 Brisbane City Council election, the Liberals won the mayoralty but had a minority in the council despite the candidates for ward councillors achieving almost exactly the same vote as the mayoralty (except that the mayor was elected by PV). The Liberals won the PV but lost the council itself. You just live with it. The rules are set before the election and sometimes they benefit one side and sometimes they benefit the other. You just get on with it and don't gripe about the system just because it failed to deliver your party a win.
4680  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: could we (finally) get a credible third party challenge? on: October 28, 2008, 09:04:17 am
A third party may be able to gain traction if:

1. It is not based off of the presonality of one person (reform)

2. The party does not tare itself apart over petty diffrences (reform, libertarians)

3. The next President and Congress really f-up.

4. Like Detroit said the party focuses more on local and congresional elections, so the party can actualy build a foundation for itself.

All of these, but especially the last. If the party focuses on winning offices in just one state, even, it might be able to win a small mayoralty or two and then use this to target the state house. If it wins a few seats in the state house, it could then possibly hold the balance of power there. That would allow it to improve its position in subsequent elections, but as has been stated, it needs to focus on winning local and state elections to establish a base before turning national (and targeting congressional districts within its base) which would then give it a national profile (if it achieves a similar result of holding the balance of power in the Congress at some point down the track). Might even be better off not running a presidential candidate for a while, to encourage voters to support it while still supporting their own choice for President.
4681  General Discussion / History / Re: Presidential Trivia on: October 28, 2008, 08:53:03 am
JJ, I think it's about time you just give the answer away.

I would have accepted:

“His Highness, the President of the United States, and Protector of Their Liberties.”

"His Highness, the President of the United States and Protector of the Rights of the Same"

"His Elective Majesty"

It was a good question, JJ, but I didn't want to cheat and go through Wikipedia...

4682  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Rebuilding the Union on: October 28, 2008, 08:49:01 am
It is rare to find a timeline that is both an original concept and well written. I am enjoying this, please keep up the good work.
4683  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Diplomacy Game Thread on: October 27, 2008, 10:13:14 pm
The builds will be:

France
Build A Paris, F Marseilles

Russia
Disband A Bulgaria

Italy
No Change

Germany
Build F Berlin

Austria-Hungary
No Change

Turkey
Disband A Trieste

England
Build A Edinburgh



So at the start of Spring 1907, the map appears thus:



ilikeverin pointed out to me that I made an initial error in posting this earlier - I had him building an army in Berlin, whereas he actually requested a fleet (now corrected). I'm sorry for any confusion I may have caused there.
4684  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do I need to know about Australia? on: October 27, 2008, 09:21:58 am
Rugby Union is my favourite code, although I don't mind the rugby league if it looks like it's going to be a good game.
4685  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Agree or Disagree: Day 19: The government should increase funding to NASA on: October 27, 2008, 09:18:49 am
I am always torn over this.  But here's my thing:  If there were a budget surplus, no war, poverty on the decline and a strong economy, I'd say fine...increase funding.  Good can come from the space program.

Unfortunately, as good as some things can be, we can't always afford them.  I'd love to have an indoor swimming pool adjacent to my house.  It wouldn't just be a luxury...it would help keep me healthy, help my wife and I with our aching joints and so on...

But we can't afford it.  Not for awhile.  Not until we pay down our debt and take care of other priorities.  That's how I feel about space exploration and so on...



Jings I hate it when I say something, and then you disagree with me and I read why you disagree with me and realise I've said something dumb. Wink Probably why I always try to watch for threads where you've posted recently - you always challenge my thinking and I guess I like that.
4686  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your worst predictions this year on: October 27, 2008, 09:06:26 am
My worst prediction will likely be that McCain would win, and while not in a landslide, but a moderate to substantial margin.  I expected a massive 527 dump by Republicans (not McCain himself) filling with references to black power, whitey, Louis Farrakhan and Obama bin Laden.

I was woefully wrong and couldn't be happier about it.

My other lousy prediction was that Huckabee would be the GOP nominee. But then, it's hard to keep track of my bad predictions as they go by.

Yeah - I thought Huckabee was going all the way. I also thought Obama would be easier to beat than Clinton (and if I was right about that... well... what would the map look like today???).
4687  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday, Boss Tweed. on: October 27, 2008, 09:04:28 am
Happy Birthday Mate.
4688  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Agree or Disagree: Day 19: The government should increase funding to NASA on: October 27, 2008, 08:55:02 am
I've copied and pasted this segment from West Wing, Season II, Episode ix before, I think on a debate about something like this. Nonetheless, it's one of my favourite episodes, so I'm going to put it out there again.

MALLORY
I talked to my dad. I'm sorry about Galileo.

SAM
They've got a lot of tests they can still try.

MALLORY
How much money is it gonna cost to try them?

SAM
Don't start with me.

MALLORY
I'm asking as a taxpayer. It cost 165 million dollars to lose the thing. How much more money is it gonna cost to make sure you're never gonna find it?

SAM
I don't know, Mallory, but we certainly won't divert any municipal tax dollars, which are always best spent on new hockey arenas.

MALLORY
No, it's best spent feeding, housing and educating.

SAM
There are a lot of hungry people in the world, Mal, and none of them are hungry because we went to the moon. None of them are colder, and certainly none of them are dumber 'cause we went to the moon.

MALLORY
And we went to the moon. Do we really have to go to Mars?

SAM
Yes.

MALLORY
Why?

SAM
'Cause it's next. For we came out of the cave, and we looked over the hill, and we saw fire. And we crossed the ocean, and we pioneered the West, and we took to the sky. The history of man is hung on the timeline of exploration, and this is what's next.

MALLORY
I know.

SAM
People like you, who say that... [beat] What?

MALLORY
I said I know. We're supposed to be explorers.

SAM
Then what the hell?

MALLORY
I just want to hear you talk about it.

That's one of my favourite lines there. Actually, just about anything Sam says qualifies as one of my favourite lines - his rhythm is just such an aural delight, but here he explains why I agree with the proposition.
4689  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Diplomacy Game Thread on: October 27, 2008, 08:47:11 am
I should probably update the current status, in case anyone's confused about how many builds/disbands are required:

France
Build 2

Russia
Remove 1

Italy
No Change

Germany
Build 1

Austria-Hungary
No Change

Turkey
Remove 1

England
Build 1
4690  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Are rebel group names unoriginal? on: October 26, 2008, 10:44:59 pm
Watch Monty Python and the Life of Brian, if you haven't already.

Epic win, but Holy Grail was better.

Just yesterday I was thinking about that "bite in the night" scene from The Meaning of Life.
4691  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Diplomacy Game Thread on: October 26, 2008, 09:38:21 pm
I will post my retreat since it is kind of obvious...to Finland it is.

We are not amused.
Retreat to Burgundy, please.

No worries. I'll update the map tonight.

It being now winter 1906, if relevant nations could message me their build orders, I'll update that on the map tonight, too.
4692  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What's the last movie you've seen? on: October 26, 2008, 06:35:52 pm
Yesterday went to see How to Lose Friends and Alienate People. I really enjoyed it.
4693  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do I need to know about Australia? on: October 26, 2008, 09:58:03 am
Sorry, mate, we just don't seem to use the old laundromats all that much.

By the way, did you watch the Australia vs NZ match tonight?
4694  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Rhwymyncerbyd! on: October 26, 2008, 09:49:29 am
My great grandfather was from Merthyr Tydfil.
4695  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Diplomacy Game Thread on: October 26, 2008, 09:40:53 am
The moves for Fall 1906 are:



France
A Galicia - Warsaw
F Gulf of Lyon Hold
A Munich Supports A Berlin Hold (*Dislodged*)
A Piedmont - Venice
A Tyrolia Supports A Piedmont - Venice (*Cut*)
F Western Mediterranean - Tunis

Russia
F Aegean Sea - Ionian Sea (*Fails*)
A Albania - Trieste (*Fails*)
A Budapest Supports A Serbia - Rumania
A Constantinople - Bulgaria
A Fiinland - St Petersburg
F Gulf of Bothnia Supports A Sweden (*Cut*)
F Livonia Supports A Finland - St Petersburg
A Moscow Supports A Finland - St Petersburg
A Serbia - Rumania
A Silesia Supports A Berlin - Munich
A Sweden Hold (*Dislodged*)
A Vienna - Tyrolia (*Fails*)

Italy
F Naples Supports A Rome
A Rome Supports F Naples

Germany
A Berlin - Munich

Austria-Hungary


Turkey
F Ionian Sea NMR
A Trieste NMR
F Tuscany NMR

England
F Baltic Sea - Gulf of Bothnia (*Fails*)
F Barents Sea Supports A Holland - Norway
F Denmark - Sweden
F Helgoland Bight - Denmark
A Holland - Norway
F Kiel - Baltic Sea (*Fails*)
F North Sea Convoys A Holland - Norway
F Skagerrak Supports F Denmark - Sweden
A St Petersburg - Finland (*Disbanded*)

This results in the following:



Retreat orders will be required from:

Russian A Sweden, French A Munich, as per:

4696  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Diplomacy Game Thread on: October 26, 2008, 09:09:31 am
I'm sorry I'm running late. Two factors were at play: an old mate of mine was in town and staying with us over the weekend (from interstate) and I've been out with him most of today, and secondly, my laptop charger transformer thing died, so I have not been able to log on as much as normal. I'm fixing it all up now. My apologies for my delay.
4697  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: American Parliament on: October 23, 2008, 12:30:55 am
I'm enjoying it.
4698  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the following countries on: October 22, 2008, 11:54:05 pm
Australia - highest per capita Olympic medals?

Second, after the Bahamas. Damn you, the Bahamas!

Might be different for 2008 though.

Yeah... I believe NZ pipped us at the post this year.
4699  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: The Mikado vs. Htmldon on: October 22, 2008, 11:17:40 pm
I'm volunteering for Mikado.
4700  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If Obama wins two terms, what's the probability that Biden runs in 2016? on: October 22, 2008, 11:11:49 pm
Disclaimer -I have not read the rest of this thread:

I think that given his age, Joe Biden will be to Barack Obama what Dick Cheney is to George W. Bush.  He is a man that Obama can trust without having to keep an eye over his shoulder lest his Vice-President begin plotting on undermining his presidency for his own ambitions. 

In terms of probability... what's the number right above zero?
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