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October 22, 2014, 08:39:27 pm
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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1884 Presidential Election on: October 12, 2014, 07:53:45 pm
late 19th century Republicans get no love around here  Sad

(Cleveland of course)
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: And now...Alaska on: October 12, 2014, 07:47:01 pm
And the East Coast is complete.

from the perspective of the Pacific Ocean?
78  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: A Negative War on Poverty Act on: October 12, 2014, 07:42:24 pm
The basic structure of a negative income tax starts with the assumption that at some amount of money you pay no taxes on anything below that amount of money. So for instance if you make $25,000 you pay zero in taxes but you start paying for anything above that so that if you are making $25,100 then if there is a flat tax rate of 5.8% you pay $5.80.  For $26,000 you pay $58, etc.

Then you decide on a percentage to help people when they fall below that number.  So if that percentage is 1%, then if someone makes $24,000, that is a shortfall of $1000, so they get $10.  If they make $5,000 that is a shortfall of $20,000 so that person would get $200, etc.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Will Joe Dorman win a county in Oklahoma? on: October 12, 2014, 04:53:40 pm
He will win several counties in the vicinity of Lawton and of Muskogee.
80  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Which states qualify as culturally Southern? on: October 12, 2014, 04:06:28 pm
I would definitely consider at least the rural areas of Eastern/Coastal Virginia to be Southern, which means most of the area around the Bay, including and perhaps especially the Eastern Shore.  I would also tend to emphasize history in what is culturally Southern, which is very much built into the landscape here. I don't see any reason to consider that the changes mean it is no longer Southern - there is more than one "South" after all.  The urban areas could be described as Mid-Atlantic, but to me it is still mostly more Southern than Northern in character.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who would YOU vote for in South Dakota? on: October 12, 2014, 02:01:45 pm
Here’s the story that was most commonly told about Pressler: In trying to leave a hearing, he once mistakenly walked into a closet behind the dais, rather than into the anteroom, and closed the door behind him. Several minutes later, he backed out of the closet and, in an effort to disguise his error, waved good-bye greetings to his imaginary friends in the closet. Whether or not the story is true (I have my doubts), it reflects how Pressler was regarded in the Senate.


I support Pressler.
82  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would an atheist president bother you? on: October 12, 2014, 02:50:13 am
probably, mainly due to the "president" part.

Nat Hentoff / Jonathan Rauch 2016!
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Will Silverstein and Johnson win a county in Oklahoma? on: October 12, 2014, 01:28:28 am
I could see Silverstein very narrowly taking Cherokee.
84  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of mittromneysons.com on: October 12, 2014, 01:00:28 am
Is Tagg Romney's name supposed to be a subtle reference to the Ayn Rand heroine Dagny Taggart? I wouldn't put that past ol' Mittens.

After the 19th century conversion of major Wolof kingdoms to Islam, the tagg, or ode song in Wolof, was reused in an Islamic Nasheed tradition—an important integration of pre-Islamic style into the new Muslim paradigm.[1]
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton finds a message in Philly on: October 12, 2014, 12:45:12 am
Intriguing. Was it handwritten?
86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The t_host1 Institute of Comedy on: October 12, 2014, 12:31:42 am
Those appear to be considerably more than 35 mothef[inks]ing walruses, Tender.

European practice with numbers is to use the comma as the decimal point and either a period or a space as the thousands separator.  I realize the difference from American practice is sometimes confusing, but why in hell would anyone be counting thousandths of a walrus?  (And even if they wanted to, how could they?)

     German engineering, or in this case the closely related science of Austrian engineering, demands a degree of precision that can only be achieved by counting to the nearest thousandth of a walrus.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Is Joni Ernst (R-IA) or Mike Rounds (R-SD) likelier to win? on: October 11, 2014, 11:42:18 pm

Nah, just kidding. Rounds.
88  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Cousin marriage on: October 11, 2014, 10:53:29 pm
I find it most interesting that there is very likely an evolutionary impulse against inbreeding
must not be a very strong one.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1920 WI: Harding/Coolidge(R) Cox/Roosevelt(D) Johnson/Borah(Prog) on: October 11, 2014, 09:22:49 pm

Sen. Warren Harding (OH) / Gov. Calvin Coolidge (MA)  46% 338
Gov. James Cox (OH) / Asst. Naval Secretary Franklin D. Roosevelt (NY)  31% 155
Sen. Hiram Johnson (CA) / Sen. William Borah (ID)  20% 38
other candidates   3%

Christensen does not run, with the Farmer-Labor Convention endorsing the Johnson/Borah ticket. The Socialists nominate Debs, but he receives less than 2% of the vote.  Aside from those states won outright by the Progressives, the ticket finishes 2nd in 9 states in the West and Upper Midwest, and also draws support among immigrant communities in the Northeast recently alienated from the Democrats. But in the end Harding's "Return to Normalcy" campaign wins out.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: ME: Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Cutler surging? on: October 11, 2014, 01:29:09 am
Cutler nearly won as an Indy 4 years ago, greatly outperforming both his poll numbers and the Democratic candidate.  Cutler isn't necessarily any more to be considered a spoiler candidate than Michaud is.
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How did the South vote in previous presidential elections? on: October 11, 2014, 01:06:44 am
You have the opposite margins for Carter on that graph. (Should be D+6.9 and D+2.5).

Also, the "Southern Strategy" is largely a myth; if you actually read The Emerging Republican Majority you see that the Nixonians' strategy was almost entirely focused on attempting to flip large northeastern and midwestern urban areas, while almost no attention is paid to the South besides assuming that the "New South" of VA, FL, and TX will flip on its own because of economic issues.

Kevin Phillips spoke of a strategy in the "Outer South" to capitalize on a sense of disconnection from the liberal causes of the national Democratic Party establishment.
92  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: In Theory, Would a Peaceful Islamic Caliphate Have Merit? on: October 11, 2014, 12:30:52 am
I should also point out that unless it includes Spain (and Israel) it's not a Caliphate.

Why do you say that?
93  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: LGBT Equality in Schooling Act (Debating) on: October 10, 2014, 11:46:10 pm
If you want to punish teachers for saying certain things, why force the regions to punish them for you?
94  General Politics / Economics / Re: US budget deficit for FY2014 drops to 486 Bio. $ (or 2.8% of GDP) on: October 10, 2014, 09:28:58 pm
So I guess this cements the fact that Democrats are the sober minded adults in the room when it comes to balanced budgets and economics .

This is a little bit better than the worst years of the deficit during the GWB administration, so it's really not that great.   For the past few administrations, the deficit as a % of GDP shrank somewhat when we got divided government.  This deficit is better than had been projected, but it is coming off of a deficit that was a record since WW2.
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Al Realpolitik Institute of Sulfur Mining & Extraction on: October 10, 2014, 08:43:33 pm
interesting moderating strategy you have there, Badger.

I started off subtle, but then was asked for elaboration, which I gave.

I don't (or at least rarely) don't post things I'd infract, and don't infract things I might post.

You just really seem to enjoy spamming the troll mines lately.
96  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Al Realpolitik Institute of Sulfur Mining & Extraction on: October 10, 2014, 08:13:22 pm
interesting moderating strategy you have there, Badger.
97  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Virginia Congressional map struck down on: October 10, 2014, 02:22:04 pm
VA-3 is the least compact district in Virginia by three separate measures, but only marginally so, to the extent the plaintiff's expert witness testified it was not mathematically significant.   And VA-3 is far more compact that the districts in Shaw v Reno (N), or Bush v Vera.  It is clearly more compact than the districts in the states to the north or south, and arguably those in the states to the west.

Maryland is quite the gerrymander, but I don't know of any districts to the north, south, or west which hopscotch across the open water as egregiously and frequently as VA-3 does when land connections are available. This district may be up there with HI-2 for land contiguity.

I haven't checked this out, but how frequently do the ferries run between the non-contiguous parts of VA-3?

The only regular ferry from the Southside to the Peninsula that I'm aware of is the Jamestown Ferry, but that goes from VA-3 to VA-1.  VA-3 is basically five islands: Norfolk/Portsmouth, Hampton/S Newport News, N Newport News (Mulberry Island), Southside/Petersburg, and Charles City/Richmond. Only the latter two are connected contiguously by a bridge (at Hopewell).
98  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 5.8 million Americans can't vote because of their criminal records (+ map) on: October 10, 2014, 01:55:23 pm
This would not be a problem if the millions of minorities who CAN vote did so.

I think the fact that a person does not have the ability to vote is a problem in itself.  Aside from that I would guess in some places in the South at this point the voter participation among eligible blacks is greater than among eligible whites (at least in the last presidential election).
99  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: The GM Independence Amendment (Debating) on: October 10, 2014, 01:50:19 pm
What is the meaning of "The GM may be removed if their behavior is characterized to be attacking a particular Atlasian, be they officeholder or not."   Is that through the process of the Senate 2/3s vote, or does this describe an additional instance where the GM may be removed and if so by whom?
100  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Candidate Declaration Thread on: October 10, 2014, 01:35:31 pm
I will be a candidate for Vice President on Poirot's ticket.
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