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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of person-first language on: March 26, 2016, 04:04:23 pm
HL, it's stilted at best, condescending at worst, and excellent example of political correctness taken too far.

The reaction against it is just as PC isn't it?   I really don't follow the fierce opposition to this.  Referring to someone as "a person" is some kind of an insult?  I think you have to consider the history of mental illness and recognize what the effect of language has been in the past.  It's been easier for society to exclude a "schizophrenic" than " a person with schizophrenia."  Either way it is a medical diagnosis, so it's not like the latter is making something into the disease that the former isn't. 
77  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2016 Paflagonian presidential election poll on: March 26, 2016, 12:48:21 pm
I wish US had a Conservagreen and/or Christian Democratic party.  Hard to choose between them w/o more info.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts - March 26 Primary Contests on: March 25, 2016, 07:25:43 pm
Alaska - Clinton 36; Sanders 61; Other 3
Hawaii - Clinton 50; Sanders 48; Other 2
Washington - Clinton 32; Sanders 66; Other 1
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016) on: March 25, 2016, 02:44:01 pm
I think some of those districts are bigger than RI.
80  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your UK "I Side With..." results? on: March 25, 2016, 11:16:26 am
Tory 80%
UKIP 75%
LibDem 65%
SNP 60%
DemUnionist 57%
Labour 56%
Green 56%
Plaid Cymru 56%
Sinn Fein 53%
BNP 30%
81  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite animated sitcom - now and ten years ago on: March 25, 2016, 10:25:10 am
Home Movies 10 yrs ago.    I don't have any I watch now that are still on TV except for occassional 20+ yr old Simspons reruns or very rarely I'll watch a South Park.
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's Dispel with this fiction that... on: March 24, 2016, 09:56:58 am
Quote
so?

Stop trying to pretend Sanders is going to stop attacking and/or campaign for Hillary. It is not going to happen.
Wulfic, I'm tired of your sh**t, so just go.  Everyone here hates you, go.  You contribute nothing to this forum.  Just throw sh**t to throw it.  Go stink up somewhere else ass wipe.


why are you such a nasty lately?
83  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who do you trust more? on: March 23, 2016, 04:29:04 pm
on what?
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz vs Trump head to head scenario on: March 23, 2016, 04:28:03 pm
Cruz could probably keep Trump to about 100 delegates short to win before the convention, but Trump would still be way ahead.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Wild Western Tuesday results thread on: March 23, 2016, 03:06:35 am
Politico called Idaho for Sanders, but then uncalled it after realizing that Idaho and Utah are two different states.

An honest mistake.

I kept making the same mistake earlier today explaining what primaries there were today to my mom, but I had the excuse of having just awoken from anesthesia.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fact-checkers: the most honest, factually-accurate candidate is... Hillary on: March 22, 2016, 08:59:25 pm
I'm sure "the scores we gave for the quotes were bothered to fact check" is some kind of objectively precise measure.

I'm sure your and the pundits' "gut feelings" are much more objective and precise.

i'm not putting a number on a gut feeling trying to make it look precise, icepick.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fact-checkers: the most honest, factually-accurate candidate is... Hillary on: March 22, 2016, 07:07:47 pm
I'm sure "the scores we gave for the quotes were bothered to fact check" is some kind of objectively precise measure.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts - March 22 Contests on: March 21, 2016, 05:23:20 pm
GOP:

A. Samoa - Cruz will have most support of the delegates
Arizona - Trump 43; Cruz 37; Kasich 15; Other 5
Utah - Trump 13; Cruz 58; Kasich 27; Other 2

DEM:

Arizona - Clinton 53; Sanders 45; Other 2
Idaho - Clinton 31; Sanders 66; Other 3
Utah - Clinton 30; Sanders 68; Other 2
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is more liberal - less neocon'ish on foreign policy? TRUMP or Hillary? on: March 21, 2016, 05:16:14 pm
Trump is less liberal and also less of a neocon. 

liberal is generally defined within foreign policy as support for multilateralism and international institutions and promotion of some concept of human rights.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Over 50% of Americans want to Punch Trump on: March 21, 2016, 01:34:27 pm
wouldn't that require physical contact with him?  eww.
91  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Does hard work pay off? on: March 21, 2016, 12:23:06 pm
Yes, on average. But the fact that it doesn't often enough that people find it hardly worthwhile to try, or try and try and barely get by, is a major problem.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why does Trump do better with Republicans that live in less white areas? on: March 20, 2016, 05:30:15 pm
So, prejudice/racism is the answer? I thought that was more of a left wing smear than a legitimate answer, but I guess not.

Well:

The Civis Analytics polling over the past six months breaks down Trump support by Congressional district (yes, huge MoE, but it gives a rough idea), and there's overlap between where Trump is strongest in GOP primary support and where there's a disproportionately high share of "racially charged internet searches":



http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/31/upshot/donald-trumps-strongest-supporters-a-certain-kind-of-democrat.html



the map on the right has very little correlation with racial/ethnic diversity.
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016) on: March 20, 2016, 03:51:46 pm
94  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: 2016 Republican Primary Map Colors on: March 20, 2016, 01:15:49 pm
I prefer B since it allows Yellow-Green-Blue to represent a Cruz-Rubio-Kasich spectrum of support, which appears to be a real dynamic in this election (that is, Rubio has had considerable overlap with both candidates in ideological and demographic terms). 
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kasich: I'd consider nominating Merrick Garland on: March 20, 2016, 12:34:29 pm
Kasich sometimes forgets he's in a campaign and says things that aren't focused tested soundbytes.
Why wouldn't any rational person "take a look at" every qualified applicant and see if they line up with philosophically?


So the Establishment wants to give it voters a choice between Hillary Clinton and John Kasich?   
 Come to think of it They could actually be a ticket in anyother election year.

Did you mean to reply to a different post or are you going for non sequitur of the day?
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kasich: I'd consider nominating Merrick Garland on: March 20, 2016, 02:34:38 am
Kasich sometimes forgets he's in a campaign and says things that aren't focused tested soundbytes.
Why wouldn't any rational person "take a look at" every qualified applicant and see if they line up with philosophically?
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's dispel with this fiction Trump will do relatively strong amongst blacks on: March 19, 2016, 02:26:18 pm
Van Jones thinks TRUMP may/will win 30% of the black vote.

Then he's an idiot.

I think Van Jones knows better about who the blacks are going to vote for than you. Anyway, he said that 30% is possible, if the Democrats don't get their act together, while he said that 15% of the black vote for TRUMP is something that we should expect to happen.

Van Jones also said that Bernie would make inroads among the black vote, and that many were skeptical of Hillary. lol


totally disproved when Hillary won MI by 15 points.
98  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on Merrick Garland's nomination? on: March 19, 2016, 01:28:35 pm
Nay and would vote against any Republican who votes Aye in the next primary and possibly general election as well.
are you just assuming he'd be really bad on abortion because he's a Democratic nominee or is there particular evidence you are looking at?  

I am assuming he would be no better than Kennedy, who I would also filibuster until the sky falls upon us. Does anyone seriously think Obama would appoint the man without knowing his views on abortion? While Garland has never ruled on an abortion case and has never publicly commented on one either, we have every circumstantial reason to think he supports it: demographics, past praise of Harry Blackmun, past support for due process arguments, general right to privacy arguments, etc. The stars would really have to align for him to be an unexpected pro life vote.

If people are being filibustered for things they don't even have a public record on, that means no Court appointments ever unless the same party has both the White House and 60 Senators. Now 8 seats, then 7, then 6... Is that a good result?  Maybe, but I can see why someone would be reasonably wary of that long term in terms of the future of the third branch of government. I guess it all depends on if what order people die makes it worth it.

Is it a good outcome? No, of course not. But when the other side is willing to do whatever necessary to control the Court to pass its agenda, one has to fight back ruthlessly. It's unfortunate we've come to this point, but the other side stopped caring about the rules 50 years ago.

Without this appointment, in all likelihood, President Clinton gets to nominate someone with an extreme activist record on the issue before a Senate friendlier to that than we have now.  Trying to defeat a pro-life Senator because they measure the odds of a successful result in that situation differently just seems potentially reckless to me. 

I think, give him a hearing at least.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's dispel with this fiction Trump will do relatively strong amongst blacks on: March 19, 2016, 01:08:29 pm
I have a question.

A lot of people don't seem to believe that Barack Obama is really a Christian.  Obviously many conservatives suspect that he is Muslim, but I have noticed (particularly on this forum) that liberals are quick to speculate that Obama is a secret atheist or agnostic, on the basis that his rationale for converting to Christianity (that it was the most powerful tool for social organizing within the African-American community) is blatantly non-theological, peppered with various choice statements Obama has made where he demonstrates a certain depth to his philosophical thought that is often absent from other politicians' rhetoric.

In contrast, Donald Trump is getting a big helping hand in the primaries on the virtue of his strong support among evangelicals.  (You'll note that among the true moralists, the Mormons, there is still a great degree of skepticism towards Trump.)  When Donald Trump is asked for his favorite Bible verse, everyone comes leaping to his defense because he has a right to keep that to himself.  Very well.

It's obvious to anyone that Donald Trump doesn't take religion particularly seriously, which makes me wonder - if Obama was so clearly not a Christian, when will Donald Trump be subjected to the same widespread suspicion?

Back to the thread topic, if Donald Trump is relying on an increase of African American support to get to the finish line in November, then the Democrats are in very good shape!

Donald Trump has earned lots of suspicion about the sincerity of his faith.  If you can even call it suspicion, when he's so transparent.  Even many who vote for him admit he doesn't share their values on matters of faith and morals.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's dispel with this fiction Trump will do relatively strong amongst blacks on: March 18, 2016, 05:14:20 pm
The Democratic nominee won't do as well with blacks as Obama, though.

Well, that's an open question. A) Hillary is doing better with African Americans in this primary than Obama did in the last one, so let's not discount their affection for her. B) Trump.

A lot of blacks in 2008 did not believe it was possible for a black to win the White House, so they went with a known quantity in the primary. the general election is something completely different.
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