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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Meta: Who predicted Trump? on: January 24, 2016, 03:08:44 pm
from If you could pick the Republican nominee in 2016

I would choose Donald Trump and have him focus on New York and California.

Donald Trump 2016? in December 2013
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Meta: Who predicted Trump? on: January 24, 2016, 03:01:36 pm
On this forum, were there any early posts that didn't dismiss Trump outright, and accidentally saw him come to prominence?

I just found a couple of unintentional ones

from the "Best" Possible Election thread:


George Clooney (Democratic nominee) and Donald Trump (GOP nominee)

from the War of the Roses future history thread (Trump disappears in the post after):

Running Start

Surprisingly, Governor Pawlenty became one of the first prospective candidates to enter the race, forming an exploratory committee in March. At the time, Pawlenty was joined only by businessman Herman Cain and Speaker Gingrich. Pawlenty's decision expedited the thought process of his prospective opponents. Several candidates occupying a similar niche within the Republican Party, such as Congressman Paul Ryan and Senator John Thune, have poured cold water on the idea of a campaign, voicing their preference for the legislature. Governor Mitch Daniels, on the other hand, remains open to the possibility, and is continuing to visit early primary states. Of the Southern pols, including Governor Haley Barbour, Governor Bobby Jindal, and Senator Jim DeMint, the 800-pound gorilla in the room seems to be less Pawlenty's underwhelming candidacy than Governor Perry's impending entrance into the race.

The strangest event of the contest thus far has been mogul Donald Trump's meteoric ascent to the top of the polls, based solely on prominent dog-whisling. This is probably a harbinger of things to come.

Gallup Poll
Donald Trump 16%
Mike Huckabee 16%
Rick Perry 10%
Tim Pawlenty 9%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Michelle Bachmann 6%
Mitch Daniels 6%
Scott Brown 2%
Herman Cain 1%

But perhaps the best one is this thread by Napoleon, wherein he is called a troll:
is it Trump time?

Who was subsequently called out for it in at least another thread, this one.

Scratch that, he also suggests that Trump (or Ron Paul) is the 2016 Republican nominee for president in this thread, but offhandedly, because the point of that one is to discuss Romney's return as a VP candidate. That, perhaps, is the best thread unintentionally predicting the state of things.

Good times.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Meg Whitman: Fiorina isn't qualified to be president on: November 03, 2015, 01:50:43 pm
Or maybe she was bad at being CEO at eBay, I forgot
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Meg Whitman: Fiorina isn't qualified to be president on: November 03, 2015, 02:08:59 am
Wasn't Whitman also a lousy CEO at HP, just not as bad as Fiorina or Apotheker?
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: This GOP Race is Truly Amazing on: November 03, 2015, 02:07:46 am
I want to outdo the zaniness. I'm annoyed that Lessig has been forced out of the race by DNC debate-rigging shenanigans, and am prepared to vote for Trump should he secure the GOP nomination. Let this race be determined by the people's candidates, regardless of which party. Populism without parties!
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / If Gen. Petraeus had not leaked information, would he have run for president? on: November 02, 2015, 02:38:59 pm
And more interestingly, would he have run as a Democratic candidate?
57  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Katanga- run an African nation with some commies! on: November 11, 2011, 10:49:17 pm
I've fixed the link to the game!11
58  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Katanga- run an African nation with some commies! on: November 11, 2011, 12:21:01 am
Is anyone interested in playing a nation simulation game? Katanga may be on the RevLeft forums but it's really great. Here's a snippet from the latest turn news:

The Socialist Federation of the Congo in International News
Christian Science Monitor: "A growing number of international observers agree that the intervention of the armed forces of Congo-Lumumbaville played a decisive role in averting a far more horrific death toll in the country.... The new Rwandan coalition government has already adopted a foreign policy friendly to its supposed liberators, but also vowing to respect democracy and to take a leading role in the reconstruction and national reconciliation of the country."
The New York Times: "The continued fighting between the DRC and the SFC has seen the fortunes of battle shift in favor of the latter, with US officials now echoing the UN's calls for a ceasefire agreement between the two states to be followed up with a comprehensive peace treaty."
Voice of Africa: "Atrocities at the border are a common sight, every day Hutu supremacists backed by military men who hail from Kinshasa march onwards to harass or outright attack Tutsi villages or government outposts. This aggressive campaign has been sanctioned by militarist elements inside Washington who are aiming to secure a government—no matter how brutal, unrepresentative and altogether reactionary—which fully accords with the interests of American imperialism and neo-colonial subjugation."

That's right, this is an AH where Katanga managed to secede, became communist, and invaded Rwanda in the '90s to preempt the genocide.

Feel free to post questions or comments on this thread, or PM me.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election: Terry (D) vs. Karger (R) on: March 08, 2011, 10:14:21 pm
As per the Wikipedia article on the upcoming election.

Democratic Party

Randall Terry, pro-life activist and founder of Operation Rescue from New York, who switched from the Republican Party in January 2011.[8][9]

Republican Party

Fred Karger, political consultant and gay activist from California

Who would win in a race?  Also, what possible chain of events would have led them to this situation?  What third party candidates will people vote for?
60  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Petraeus again insists he won't run for prez in 2012 on: November 12, 2009, 03:20:05 am
McCrystal is the new Petraeus anyways.
61  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Joseph Cao has a long career ahead of him on: November 12, 2009, 03:16:07 am
Does everyone in this thread doubt that he voted it because of his Catholic beliefs or something?

RCC social teaching is a lot more economically leftist than most Americans realize, especially when it comes down to something that's a matter of life and death.
62  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Eight-party America on: March 18, 2009, 03:06:19 pm
Anyone else interested in this?
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cao would like be Member of Congressional Black Caucus on: January 03, 2009, 01:23:26 pm
Did Steve Cohen represent a heavily African-American district?  Is there any precedence of a non-black representing a primarily black district trying to get into the CBC?
64  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Obama V. Jindal V. Dobbs on: December 17, 2008, 01:58:31 am
People who think that Jindal can be easily passed off as a "Christofascist" are kidding themselves.  He's going to clearly maneuver to the middle socially and focus on being an administrative wonk with free-market tendencies.  He'll try to reform LA and get it running, and if he succeeds he's going to paint himself as a not-phony, more tolerably non-Protestant, younger version of Romney.

Also Romney isn't even a "Christofascist", you're thinking about Palin and maybe Huckabee.  And even Huckabee might have theocratic tendencies but he's way too economically liberal forthe GOP base to swallow and so doesn't count the role either.
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA-2 results on: December 07, 2008, 04:04:18 am
He's also similar to Jindal.  Both well educated with scientific degrees, both zealous Catholics, both won against a candidate blamed for corruption or incompetence.
66  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA-2 results on: December 07, 2008, 03:55:13 am
I like how Cao's background is remarkably similar to Obama's... looks like LA is where the Republicans are manufacturing their bootleg young minority political stars.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Obama is first Dem ever to win without MO. on: November 07, 2008, 08:27:23 pm
We ought to make a list of these things other than the obvious "first black president", "oldest presidential candidate", etc.  I like the whole senator vs. senator thing.
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Potential female presidents in today's politics on: November 07, 2008, 08:25:53 pm
Piper Palin!
69  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Wait, so who on the board won the prediction game? on: November 07, 2008, 08:22:04 pm
Did anyone nail the final e-vote tally in their forecast maps?
70  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Bobby jindals of to Iowa this weekend. what an opportunist. on: November 07, 2008, 08:19:16 pm
From what I've heard he's getting his name out but he's running for VP.  Gotta be veep in 2012 before he can aspire for 2016.
71  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Bobby Jindal - what's the big deal? on: November 07, 2008, 08:16:08 pm
Well, to be fair, are there any other young people in the GOP who are inspiring?  Sure Jindal has his race, but his background story is almost as interesting as Obama's, he has a good resume, and he speaks quite well.  Palin, in retrospect, looked good on paper but in reality she's not all who she's cracked up to be.

Is there anyone else young in the GOP?  Paul Ryan?  Cantor?  Pawlenty?
72  Election Archive / 2008 Elections / Re: Would McCain/Huckabee have fared better? on: November 06, 2008, 07:02:54 pm
I'm sensing a war within the GOP pretty soon, against the economic conservatives and the populists, much like the Ford v. Reagan war in 1976.

The GOP is a headless, thrashing beast, lashing out in all directions.  The conservative movement in America is a shambles, at a time in which most Americans are conservative.  Figure that one out.

There's that theory that Republicans work best in the opposition, but once they get to power, they can't govern.

Same principle applies here I guess.
73  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Analogies for the 2012 presidential election on: October 25, 2008, 01:24:57 am
Hillary was the juggernaut who Obama had to beat, though.  Would Ridge be a juggernaut against Jindal and Palin?

And remember that this is just a thought exercise, not supposed to be realistic in the least.
74  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: If Obama loses to Jindal in 2012..... on: October 25, 2008, 01:23:12 am
Guessing that Jindal will be the nominee in 2012 is chancy enough, speculating on how'd he do in Obama is ridiculous considering the fast speed of American politics in our time of crisis.
75  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Who will you vote for in '12? on: October 24, 2008, 12:39:57 pm
I'm pretty certain that spending beyond your means is a universal politician trait that transcends ideology or party.  Everybody's got to at least butter up their constituencies with pork.
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