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December 11, 2016, 02:54:49 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: December 10, 2016, 09:21:06 pm
Having a bilingual leader in all parties was a most for the 3 last decades, I don't see why that would change (unless we want to give credibility to Anglophones public servants protesting than bilinguism is fascism and discriminatory).

You want to become Canada PM? Take intensive French courses right now.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Beet's switching allegiances from D to R? on: December 10, 2016, 03:52:47 am
Who cares, we will all die from Ebola soon (according to Beet).
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 British Columbia election on: December 09, 2016, 04:01:57 pm
Well, such results are normal with such a loaded question.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: December 08, 2016, 04:48:10 pm
No translators. If the Conservative leader isn't able to debate in French, he shouldn't be invited to French debates.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: December 07, 2016, 11:14:49 pm
Ah, Justin Trudeau's puppet.

What are the odds he says to vote Liberal to beat Conservatives in 2019?
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone IV - Hungover on: December 06, 2016, 09:49:25 pm
One of my professors decided to be cute with his final. Instead of a 4 hour thing like everyone else, he decided to give us a full week...to write a minimum of 27,000 characters. So now I have 3 days to write 16 pages minimum comparing how a Burkini ban would work in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Florida and the equivalent action in the French legal system. While at the same time preparing for three other exams that are all within a week. AND since this is law school 100% of your grade comes from the exam; doing poorly on any of them means doing bad in the class.

Not good!

Making anyone write about the disaster that's the French legal system is bad, even without a task that big.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French presidential election, April 23rd & May 7th, 2017 on: December 06, 2016, 05:19:22 pm
Macron is backed by a wing of the center-right UDI. He is not on the left, why would he run in the socialist primary?

backgrounds like that are usually ....telling.
Quote
Macron was a member of the Socialist Party (PS) from 2006 to 2009. In 2015, during an interview on BFM TV, he said that he wasn't a member of the PS any more.[9] From 2012 to 2014, he was deputy secretary general of the Élysée, a senior role in President Hollande's staff.[8] He was appointed Minister of Economy, Industry and Digital Data in the second Valls Cabinet on 26 August 2014, replacing Arnaud Montebourg.

but he made it clear anyway he runs on his own.



He was left-wing, but is clearly signaling a shift to center(-right). Just looks who supports him and what he proposes.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 06, 2016, 03:02:18 pm
Arthabaska (turnout: 43.14%)
Éric Lefebvre (CAQ) 11316 votes (43.96%; -1.53)
Luc Dastous (PLQ) 7095 votes (27.56%; -2.65)
Jacques Daigle (PQ) 4318 votes (16.77%; -0.30)
Guy Morin (Conservative) 1210 votes (4.70%; +3.59)
Sarah Beaudoin (QS) 929 votes (3.61%; -1.60)
Alex Tyrrell (Green) 543 votes (2.11%; +1.21)
Émilie Charbonneau (Option Nationale) 160 votes (0.62%)
Christine Lavoie (Independentist Party) 115 votes (0.45%)
Suzanne Cantin (Autonomist Team) 58 votes (0.23%)

Marie-Victorin (turnout: 25.71%)
Catherine Fournier (PQ) 6302 votes (52.49%; +14.32)
Carl Lévesque (QS) 1703 votes (14.19%; +2.63)
Julie Chapdelaine (CAQ) 1699 votes (14.15%; -6.45)
Normand Parisien (PLQ) 1613 votes (13.44%; -12.61)
Vincent Carbonneau (Green) 315 votes (2.62%; +0.30)
Fabien Villemaire (Option Nationale) 109 votes (0.91%; +0.11)
Roch Dumont (Labour) 101 votes (0.84%)
Hoang Nam Nguyen (Conservative) 90 votes (0.75%)
Shirley Cedent (Change Integrity for Our Québec) 30 votes (0.25%)
Florent Portron (Autonomist Team) 22 votes (0.18%; +0.04)
Étienne Turgeon Pelletier (Independentist Party) 21 votes (0.17%)

Saint-Jérôme (turnout: 33.95%)
Marc Bourcier (PQ) 9151 votes (46.25%; +9.44)
Bruno Laroche (CAQ) 7016 votes (35.46%; +3.94)
Naömie Goyette (PLQ) 2092 votes (10.57%; -9.39)
Marcel Gosselin (QS) 867 votes (4.38%; -6.38)
Émilianne Lépine (Green) 407 votes (2.06%)
Olivier Lamanque Galarneau (Option Nationale) 88 votes (0.44%; -0.10)
Sébastien Roy (Conservative) 67 votes (0.34%; -0.07)
Sengtiane Trempe (Independentist Party) 40 votes (0.20%)
Éric Émond (Change Integrity for Our Québec) 34 votes (0.17%)
Louis Chandonnet (Autonomist Team) 23 votes (0.12%)

Verdun (turnout: 29.15%)
Isabelle Melançon (PLQ) 5116 votes (35.61%; -14.98)
Richard Langlais (PQ) 3900 votes (27.15%; +2.78)
Véronique Martineau (QS) 2669 votes (18.58%; +8.93)
Ginette Marotte (CAQ) 1829 votes (12.73%; +0.50)
David Cox (Green) 615 votes (4.28%; +2.18)
Frédéric Dénommé (Option Nationale) 115 votes (0.80%; +0.33)
David Girard (Conservative) 94 votes (0.65%)
Sébastien Poirier (Autonomist Team) 27 votes (0.19%)
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: December 06, 2016, 01:27:51 pm
Official final results, with all postal ballots counted:

53.8% VdB (+3.5%)
46.2% Hofer

Turnout: 74.2% (+1.5%)

http://wahl16.bmi.gv.at
I was at a restaurant a while back, and there was something odd about the waiter's name on the receipt, which caused me to ask what his name was (I can't remember what struck me as odd).

But anyhow he said that his last name was Van Something, and that it was Dutch. He then offered that it had actually been Von Something, but that an ancestor (perhaps his great-grandfather had ended up in the Netherlands after World War II and changed the name, and subsequently immigrated to the United States. He also said it was a family secret that the ancestor had done some bad things during WWII - he didn't provide details, and said it was not a source of family pride.

So I was wondering about Van der Bellen. I found the answer in the Wikipedia.

So my question does his name have any impact on Austrian electoral perceptions? (e.g. that he isn't really Austrian, etc.?)



Netherlands was part of the Hapsburg Empire, at a point.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French presidential election, April 23rd & May 7th, 2017 on: December 06, 2016, 01:25:12 pm
New poll: http://www.ifop.com/media/poll/3576-1-study_file.pdf
Nov 28-Dec 3

Fillon 27.5%, Le Pen 24%, Macron 13.5%, Mélenchon 12.5%, Valls 10%

Fillon 65%, Le Pen 35%
Macron 62%, Le Pen 38%

In other words, if Macron ran in the Socialist primary and he and Valls agreed to back whihc of them won - there is a chance that either Macron or Valls could beat LePen and get into a run-off with Fillon.

Of course it won't happen but its nice to dream.

Are we sure now that Bayrou will not run?

Macron is backed by a wing of the center-right UDI. He is not on the left, why would he run in the socialist primary?
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:49:07 pm
Verdun called for Liberals.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:34:04 pm
Keeping Verdun for the Liberals isn't really a good news, last time they lost it was in 1936.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:30:22 pm
In any case, very bad night for Liberals, they are down in all ridings, and sometimes they lose half their share.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:22:41 pm
TV is saying it depends if Nuns Island is counted yet or not. If it's not counted, Liberals are safe, if they are already counted, it might be a long night.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:17:37 pm
St-Jérôme called for PQ.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:16:46 pm
With 55/155, Liberal majority is only 287 over PQ. Keep an eye on that one.

577 now.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:11:56 pm
Marie-Victorin continues the 3-way 2nd place tie:
QS 464, Liberal 463, CAQ 461 (with PQ at 1618).
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:10:07 pm
With 55/155, Liberal majority is only 287 over PQ. Keep an eye on that one.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:09:14 pm
Marie-Victorin has a funny 2nd place race.

Currently: Liberal 425, CAQ 423, QS 422 (with PQ at 1496).

Radio-Canada called Arthabaska for the CAQ (and Marie-Victorin a while ago).
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:05:36 pm
PQ declared victory in Marie-Victorin, and I would call Arthabaska for the CAQ.

Seems Liberal in Verdun and PQ in St-Jérôme, but I would wait a bit to call them.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5]) on: December 05, 2016, 09:04:03 pm
Seems incumbent party wins in all 4.

Through, surprisingly, the closest one isn't Arthabaska or St-Jérôme, but Verdun. PQ-QS alliance would easily win, too. It's like 35 Liberal, 28 PQ, 20 QS.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: December 05, 2016, 11:49:27 am
How long before the far-right judges steal the election again?
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 British Columbia election on: December 04, 2016, 07:54:21 pm
(does any other province in Canada even have a surplus?)

Quebec has a surplus (and tons of cancelled trials due to a shortage of judges and attorneys and an healthcare system in shambles, because government cut very deep to get that surplus).
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New Zealand By-elections (next event: Mount Roskill [Dec 3]) on: December 03, 2016, 01:07:48 pm
Excellent news! What is the People's Party? That's a good result for a group I've never heard of. Is it a one hit wonder for this by-election or are they going to stick around?

It's a party for immigrants.
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Israel general discussion on: December 03, 2016, 12:32:28 pm
In other news the US and our "special relationship" screw us yet again. The cabinet decided to purchase 17 more F-35 AKA piece of flying garbage and one of the biggest white elephants of military history instead of buying the new F-15 who show much better stats (and can actually fly an operational mission).

But it's "stealth"!! so all the tabloid could have headlines explaining how high tech it is, never mind it can carry a load of 2 tonnes on low signature mode and only to short ranges.

I remember back in the days of my military service how the US ed us over several times on all sort of procurement deals, the joys of being a proxy state. 
We're not exactly happy about the F35 over here either.  Eventually it will be a decent bird, but they shouldn't have forced one airframe to do three different things.
The complaints are the same in the Netherlands, by the way.

In Canada, new government dropped the F35 orders and now wants to buy used SuperHornets, for some reason.
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