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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: Today at 02:34:32 am
The most amazing thing of all is that the Conservatives could have continued to make a big fuss over the PMO expense claims for the next few weeks and ended Trudeau's honeymoon. Instead, it barely made one news cycle before they chose to race-bait. Well, not really race-bait, but it seems awfully much like it.

"Anti-Canadian Values screening!" "She was born in Iran not Afghanistan!" If this sets the tone for the leadership race, then the CPC's survival as a national force is in doubt. After electoral reform is introduced (assuming it's a form of PR), and after their second thrashing in 2019, what holds it together?

The only reason why I wouldn't be breaking out the popcorn, is that one of these splinter parties is likely to be a European-style far-right party. And so far, Canada is one of very few western countries without such parties.

They? I'm pretty sure it's Leitch only, to the annoyance of Rona Ambrose and most leadership candidates.
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: September 24, 2016, 02:57:21 pm
Maybe Mulcair can enter provincial politics again Cheesy

He should never have left.

He was forced out by the provincial leadership of his party.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands (GE on or before March 15, 2017) on: September 23, 2016, 03:43:43 pm
If the PVV underperform, could we see a post-Wilders populist-right start to appear? I mean it seems like he is really the sticking point in terms of gaining respectable support and coalition building.
I'm not quite sure I really understand what you mean. The PVV are (or rather: Geert Wilders is) still an extremely strong "brand" among their potential voters and they have a rather high floor in terms of seats. I am skeptical about the potential success of an alternative to the PVV, especially after witnessing the failure of the trainwreck that is VNL. Due to the mere presence of the PVV, the VVD have to move to the right all the time in order to court VVD-PVV swing voters. So even while perpetually in opposition, the PVV exert a certain degree of influence on policy. That said, people may stop believing Wilders, just like Flemish voters stopped believing Vlaams Belang when it was in opposition for too long. If the PVV does not change course, I doubt it will be around in ten years (though an alternative to the/this PVV certainly will). But for now, Wilders will stick around regardless of the election result. It is not as if he has many other options in life by now. And as long as he sticks around, I don't think there is any space for another populist right-wing party or movement.

I'll try to rephrase, I guess. The PVV (Wilders) is effectively unable to gain power (and seemingly disinterested in doing so after their experience with Rutte 1 - one could troll and claim they are the last testimonial party left). I understand that suits Wilders, but surely some of his lieutenants or subordinates (who can't all be autonomous drones) get irritated that the party is effectively capped in its support? Especially if they look at parties like the FPO or DPP that are effectively becoming part of the government furniture in all levels of government.

Now that I think about it, is there a heir apparent to succeed Wilders as Populist right leader?

PVV only has 2 members, Wilders and a foundation controlled by Wilders.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: September 23, 2016, 02:37:06 pm
How well known is Pierre Ducasse in Quebec? It's really weird that he has been out of the spotlight over the last 5 years.

Not very much.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever been to a convention? If so, what kind? on: September 19, 2016, 11:27:51 pm
NDP Convention 2013, in Montreal.
6  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: City of Hudson's weighed voting system under scrutiny on: September 19, 2016, 10:15:59 pm
The April 16, 2002 common council minutes include the report of the March 27, 2002 Legal Committee meeting.  The committee minutes state that Alderman Cross presented breakdowns and graphs of census data were distributed for the committee members to take home and study.  Is Alderman Cross around?  Are those materials filed somewhere?

Speak of the devil. It turns out that Alderman Cross is Quintin Cross.

Anyone I should know?  Or any relation to Supervisor Rev. Edward Cross, Sr., the one who felt really betrayed by Torie at the hearing?

A young black guy, which used illegally the credit card of the mayor in 2007 (grand larceny) and stole the City Hall in 2009.

Appeared in court 6 days ago, for illegally using the credit card of his former partner (grand larceny again).
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama cripples AIPAC on: September 17, 2016, 05:33:38 pm
Lol, this forum truly is adorable. You don't care about radical islamic terrorism but as long as the "big, bad israelis" are "punished" for not bowing to the President then you are happy.

AIPAC is a threat to Israeli interests, so its weakening is actually good for Israel.

Ah, and what is good for Israel, exactly? If we are talking about the west's vision for Israel...then I'd have to disagree.

Not antagonizing the various peoples of the West? AIPAC may do wonders for Israel in Congress, but it's very impopular in the general population which sees it as a foreign lobby with excessive influence over Congress, making Israel less and less popular and, logically, there will be a point where dumping Israel will be a vote-winner (instead of a vote-loser like right now). That's clearly not good for Israel.

AIPAC and current government strategy is all about short-term gains without thinking of the future (but Bibi obviously doesn't care, he won't be in politics anymore when that happens).
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama cripples AIPAC on: September 16, 2016, 06:00:37 pm
Lol, this forum truly is adorable. You don't care about radical islamic terrorism but as long as the "big, bad israelis" are "punished" for not bowing to the President then you are happy.



I wouldn't call a 10 billions gift a punishment, nor asking Israel to follow the same rules as other countries on local purchases one, either.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: September 13, 2016, 02:41:16 pm
His pro-Russia, anti-Ukraine positions won't help him either.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Japanese Election Maps on: September 10, 2016, 12:22:52 pm
Why do the communists run candidates in every constituency while larger parties like DPJ seem to hold off on unwinnable districts?

They are quite wealthy due to their newspaper.
11  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: September 07, 2016, 09:48:52 pm

Seems kind of pointless to me. What exactly is to be gained here besides making the lame duck leader leave an three years before an election instead of two?

The issue seems than he did no fundraising/activities over the summer.
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Uzbekistan: Karimov suffers brain hemorrhage on: September 04, 2016, 02:51:01 pm
Missed this during my hurricane related isolation from the world. Isn't his daughter relatively powerful? Or is she just some kleptocratic bimbo and I'm confusing her for some other central Asian dictator's daughter.

She was, but she was removed after trying to take control of buying out the country and put the traditionnal powerbroker on the wayside.

She is residence-assigned since years, but, as we don't hear about her, she might as well be dead.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Paul LePage leaves expletive-filled voicemail for state lawmaker. on: August 31, 2016, 05:11:57 pm
LePage only knows how to make enemies.

Democrats ought to hope that LePage is the 2018 GOP nominee.
I wouldn't if I were them. Maine's voters might just elect him anyway.

He is term-limited and most likely running for Senate. You think he'll beat Angus King?
14  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: August 31, 2016, 05:07:55 pm

"Strike" action. Right-wing hackiness, a lock-out was more likely.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Paul LePage leaves expletive-filled voicemail for state lawmaker. on: August 26, 2016, 10:00:28 pm
LePage only knows how to make enemies.

Democrats ought to hope that LePage is the 2018 GOP nominee.

Luckily for the GOP, Maine governors are restricted to 2 consecutive terms.

Yes, that's why he is preparing to run for Senate, against Angus King. He already announced he will run unless he gets a position in Trump's admistration.
16  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Could we get rid of Seriously yet? on: August 26, 2016, 09:59:04 pm
He's a top-tier poster, imo.

Having multiple accounts is banned, Seriously.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party (UK) Leadership Election, 2016 on: August 26, 2016, 08:40:31 pm
As I've said a million times we can thank the heavens that we've got Owen, and not Angela Eagle.

Even others like Dan Jarvis or Keir Starmer (both unknowns) lacked the experience to take on Corbyn. Labour crop of talent is awful at the moment- as I've also said hundreds of times in 2010 we should have had Harman, Johnson, or D Miliband rather than skipping a generation

Harriett Harman? There is actually people liking her? Even the moderates I know in Labour Party don't like her.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gawker shutting down on: August 25, 2016, 06:43:37 pm
The main thing here is Gawker wasn't simply a "stupid tabloid". It was an EVIL site. It ruined lives and might've been responsible for at least one suicide.

Gawker wasn't just inane and low-brow, it was a destructive force of evil.

It also needs pointing out (endlessly until it sinks in) that in this very case Gawker tried to use the fundamental economic injustices built into the U.S.A. legal system to its own advantage, but that then things backfired rather dramatically. A pretty clear cut case of someone being hoisted by their own petard, frankly.

Could you elaborate for the people who haven't been following the case?

A lawsuit like the one that made Gawker bankrupt is very expensive for the claimant, and Gawker used that, knowing than most of the people they targeted couldn't afford to sue them.

But, Peter Thiel, in fight with them since years (and with no lack of money), bankrolled the Hogan lawsuit against them (Hogan couldn't afford it by himself). In most countries, you cannot do things like that, the ourt would disallow Thiel funding Hogan lawsuit.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party (UK) Leadership Election, 2016 on: August 24, 2016, 10:16:22 pm
Would I be wrong to say that momentum has shifted to Smith?

Yes, you would be wrong.
20  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Almost 1,800 People Have Died in Seven Weeks in the Philippines’ War on Drugs on: August 24, 2016, 05:41:47 pm
A coup, please, before there is no one left living in that country.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which pander to Hispanics was more cringeworthy? on: August 23, 2016, 05:14:02 pm
At least Trump Tower doesn't charge $75 for taco bowls.

But they would be "Made in China" and probably have lead paint.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 23, 2016, 04:55:33 pm
Lisa Raitt's not going to win, unless there is some underground super campaign going on, a la Patrick Brown.  Is there one?


Who will win then? No one has an organized super campaign.

Peter MacKay will probably win if he runs.  Otherwise I'd guess there are 4 early fairly equal front runners: Lisa Raitt, Tony Clement, Kellie Leitch and Maxime Bernier.

Maxime Bernier is not winning. He is a laughing stock in the province that know him.

Is he? He just got reelected in his Beauce riding with nearly 60% of the vote, and the latest poll of Conservative supporters had him at 10% nationally and I presume most of that came from Quebecers.

He may be 'laughing stock' among non Conservatives in Quebec, but he seems to be very well liked by Quebec conservatives.

You're wrong. He's not popular at all outside the Beauce. His economic proposals interest me but I have zero interest in putting anywhere near first preference.

Then how do you explain the poll that had him at 10% nationally?

People only knowing his repute as a free-marketer and people saying "oh, that's a French name, we'll win Quebec in a landslide with him".
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 23, 2016, 03:03:59 pm
Lisa Raitt's not going to win, unless there is some underground super campaign going on, a la Patrick Brown.  Is there one?


Who will win then? No one has an organized super campaign.

Peter MacKay will probably win if he runs.  Otherwise I'd guess there are 4 early fairly equal front runners: Lisa Raitt, Tony Clement, Kellie Leitch and Maxime Bernier.

Maxime Bernier is not winning. He is a laughing stock in the province that know him.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party (UK) Leadership Election, 2016 on: August 23, 2016, 03:02:48 pm
Ugh. I thought Corbyn was at least above this kind of dishonesty. At this point I'll be heartbroken if he still somehow wins.

What do you mean by "somehow"?
Clarification to the foreign posters: he will win.

The likelihood doesn't make it any less baffling.

When your opponent is Owen "Let's talk with ISIS" Smith, I don't see how that's surprising.
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canadian comedian fined $42k for joke on: August 22, 2016, 10:35:34 pm
Complicated affair, here.

Let's note two things.

1. Most comedians who expressed an opinion are actually against the comedian, saying that the level of the "jokes" is actually not humour, but plain personal attacks on the plaintiff and his mother. By the way, your title is missing an "s" to "joke".

2. The plaintiff didn't sue for libel in a normal court, he instead did a complaint to the Human Rights Commission, which means than, if your complaint is accepted, it will be heard in front of a special tribunal (which is more likely to award damage than a normal court) and than the prosecution is done by an attorney of the commission. Great way to make money.

The court decision in itself is trying to walk on a very thin line, saying petty much we can laugh of a person, but not of an protected characteristic (which is a Constitutionnal concept), i.e. we can laugh of his attention-seeking but not saying than he looks like a subwoofer (yes, that was said), because that's due to an handicap, which is a protected characteristic, and bordering on libel.

In fact, I hope the Appeal Court will take up the case, because the lower decision is raising more questions than answers on the question of the border between humour and libel/personal attacks (because, let's be honest, that will get raised in the future) and it's the main concern expressed by the comedian community in Quebec (because that's under Quebec laws, it doesn't involve other provinces).

Only recent decision on that subject is than publishing a letter about the rape of known personnality is not considered as humour (and the writer of the letter withdrew for the public sphere after being accused and jailed for having sex with an underaged teen).
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