Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 25, 2016, 11:52:08 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 ... 396
51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 11:30:42 pm
Even in a victory scenario I don't think Trump carries Florida or Nevada.
Many of my (Nevadan) friends are young Hispanic Republicans who would vote Trump over Hillary.

Yes, but as Hispanic Republicans, they are already Republicans. That's not the type of voter he needs to convince.
True, but they could have been on the #NeverTrump bandwagon.


Arguably, to win, Trump needs to convince only the #NeverTrump bunch. He does not need to reach out to the Democrats. He's already got a number of them in states where it counts (OH, PA, MI).

I have an hunch 90% of the "Democrats" voting for Trump voted for Romney in 2012 general.
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 10:31:53 pm
Even in a victory scenario I don't think Trump carries Florida or Nevada.
Many of my (Nevadan) friends are young Hispanic Republicans who would vote Trump over Hillary.

Yes, but as Hispanic Republicans, they are already Republicans. That's not the type of voter he needs to convince.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 09:19:05 pm
Cruz could pick up some delegates in Maryland tonight. I think he will take at least 1.

It's 3 or 0. WTA by district.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 08:14:18 pm
Seriously though, any delegate math estimates out there?

CT: Trump 28/28
DE: Trump 16/16
PA: Trump 17, Unpledged 54
MD: Probably of the 38 for Trump, but Kasick may win a CD in the suburbs (3 delegates then).
RI: Trump 13, Kasick 5, Cruz 1 or Trump 13, Kasick 6.
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 06:39:59 pm
I want Clinton to win this already. A good number of Sanders supporters (not those in this forum) have gone out of control. This needs to end.

Clinton supporters were as much out of control in 2008.
56  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: April 25, 2016, 08:57:25 pm
Did the delegates pass the resolution to put having the Turks and Caicos join Canada as part of the NDP platform?

Like 90% of the resolutions, it didn't reached the floor, I would suppose.
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Philippine General (Presidential, Congress and Local) Elections - May 9, 2016 on: April 25, 2016, 07:03:37 pm
Can we just burn Mindanao?
58  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Harris Wofford's incredible (love) story on: April 24, 2016, 02:55:33 pm
In all seriousness it's kind of heartwarming that we're at the point where elderly gay men can now, too, marry creepily below the acceptable age range.

That was my reaction too. I think true LGBT equality is admitting that there's something kind of off about marrying someone who could be your grandchild, regardless of whether they are of the same or the opposite sex.

I'd argue that it i'ts a lot more concerning in heterosexual couples due to the inherent power imbalance between genders, but I know this kind of argument won't go over well here.

I would say that's a ridiculous overgeneralisation.
59  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: April 24, 2016, 02:47:23 pm
Any action planned against openly fascists kataak, Omega 21 and Derpist?

kaatak isn't a fascist.

Just an anti-semite, then?
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 02:15:14 pm
The same pattern in rural Eastern France.

Rural Eastern France isn't the strongest area for the far-right anymore.

It's the former mining/manufacturing areas of the North and the seaside cities where the Pieds-Noirs (the white people having to flee Algeria after independence) were settled.
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 02:05:15 pm
Clearly, unlike Germany, denazification failed.

No idea why you would say this.  Hofer position on immigration, if that were the only issue in an election, would get 90%+ of the vote in places like Taiwan Province (ROC), where I am from, Japan and ROK.  

Well, let's be honest, those countries are not known for being welcoming or anything. They are very bigoted towards anything not being exactly like them.
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 02:02:50 pm

Denmark and Netherlands far-right is not linked to nazism, nor has dabbled in anti-semitism. Quite the opposite for Denmark.
Switzerland never has been invaded by Germany.
France is different, the population currently voting FN most likely weren't collaborators, nor their descendance.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 01:54:26 pm
Clearly, unlike Germany, denazification failed.


lol

What? They are about to elect an open antisemite.

And denazification fails here too. You're still here. Being annexed 70 years ago wasn't enough for you?
64  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: April 24, 2016, 01:48:23 pm
Any action planned against openly fascists kataak, Omega 21 and Derpist?
65  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Great Brazil Topic on: April 24, 2016, 01:47:39 pm
Is there any chance the wonderful Jair Bolsonaro makes it a second round?

You know what?
I hope that what happened to people opposing people praised by that person happens to you.
66  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 01:44:00 pm
Clearly, unlike Germany, denazification failed.
67  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: London Mayor goes on angry rant against Obama on: April 22, 2016, 10:06:26 pm

No, Obama is out in November and Johnson is out next month (got elected MP last year, so retiring from mayorship, but he may rise in Cabinet soon).
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: GOP Delegates Face Death Threats from Trump Supporters on: April 22, 2016, 10:03:45 pm
RNC should use that to disqualifiy Trump.
69  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: April 22, 2016, 09:51:37 pm
I have to wonder that if the Official Languages Act had not been passed in the early 70s if so much emphasis would be placed on a leader's knowledge of French.

Was it like this prior to 1972?

I have to wonder whether if the Official Language Act had not been passed Quebec would even still be a part of Canada

As someone from Quebec, most likely, perhaps as early the first referendum in 1980.
There is also a significant risk that the PLQ Allaire didn't cause ADQ splinter, but rather a pro-independence PLQ and a federalist-anglophone splinter instead.

In any case, Quebec would have been out by 1995.
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: NDP Leadership Convention 2017 (2018) on: April 22, 2016, 06:55:40 pm

Didn't you also say that when I pointed out that Linda McQuaig learned French in Paris in the mid 1970s that she had forgotten all of it.  Ruth Ellen Brosseau taking French immersion in elementary school would have been about 15 years prior.  It's entirely possible she had similarly forgotten all of it.


Yes but after having been "accidentally elected" REB had 4.5 years in which to focus 100% on being the MP for a totally francophone riding and immerse herself in the language...and realistically since Berthier-Maskinonge is 99% French - every time she set foot in her riding it was an immersion exercise. But as an MP she just needs to talk to constituents about how to apply for a passport and have the odd meeting with a local mayor. She doesnt have to do a two hour debate in prime time in French with other party leaders who are native speakers of French or be grilled by national media on the latest controversies. She was able to take years learning French away from any national scrutiny.

Whoever becomes the next federal NDP leader is going to have to hit the ground running immediately. It would be an 18-hour a day job even for someone who was perfectly bilingual from the start...so where would the time be for CRASH French lessons? And the expectation is that a candidate to lead a national party is perfectly bilingual the day the day declare their candidacy...not "gee my French is REALLY rusty, but I promise that if you make me your leader I'll take some Berlitz courses in time for the 2019 election"

Having seen her on TV since then, she clearly needs no more courses. She is pretty much bilingual.

And she had to deal with unilingual mayors (a lot of them) and unilingual constituents. And to do a 3 months campaign in French.

But, yeah, it's one leadership election too early.
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 22, 2016, 05:58:55 am
Alright, my (probably crappy) prediction for Sunday:

Chainsmoker - 23%

Smiling Nazi - 23%
Wallflower - 21%
Comrade pin-stripe - 16%
Nazi-Enabler - 12%
Clown - 5%

Run-off predictions come only when it's clear who will be in it.

Smiling Nazi - 24%
Great guy I'd definitely vote for!  - 22%
Wallflower - 19%
Comrade pin-stripe - 16%
Nazi-Enabler - 15%
Clown - 4%

If you are going to empty-quote me, try to do it a little less passive-aggressive next time, dankeschön.

Just do as most people, ignore Bigot21.

Is not swearing in a majority goverment because of a personal grudge towards a party not anti democratic?

A) The FPÖ is never getting elected to a majority government of their own. Not going to happen, honey, so no point in discussing a hypothetical with a .0% chance of happening.
B) If the FPÖ in '18 ends up with, say, 35% and they wanted to form government, there would still be 75% of the population NOT voting for those literal Nazis. In contrast, Van der Bellen would, in the eventually of being elected president, have an absolute majority of 50% of the population behind him.

So maybe next time, if you have no clue about stuff, shut the f up.

Omega21 mode on

But they are not Nazis, they just want to get rid of heretic Mohamedians and Jesus-killers.
72  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 22, 2016, 03:36:25 am
Alright, my (probably crappy) prediction for Sunday:

Chainsmoker - 23%

Smiling Nazi - 23%
Wallflower - 21%
Comrade pin-stripe - 16%
Nazi-Enabler - 12%
Clown - 5%

Run-off predictions come only when it's clear who will be in it.

Smiling Nazi - 24%
Great guy I'd definitely vote for!  - 22%
Wallflower - 19%
Comrade pin-stripe - 16%
Nazi-Enabler - 15%
Clown - 4%

If you are going to empty-quote me, try to do it a little less passive-aggressive next time, dankeschön.

Just do as most people, ignore Bigot21.

Is not swearing in a majority goverment because of a personal grudge towards a party not anti democratic?

If he was elected by being honest about that, no.

Then you are not democratic, the president must accept the decision of the people, the majority must rule, no matter how much he hates the Fpo and how much he wants an Eu superstate..

If he is elected, it means the majority of him too.

Should Obama do anything Republicans want, after all, they got a majority?
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 2016 on: April 22, 2016, 03:12:24 am
Ah, af, I see that you only post polls good for Tories/bad for Labour.

What's your prediction for May 5th?

Ask me closer to election date, it's in 13 days.
74  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Lepage vetoes heroin treatment, tells addicts to just die already on: April 22, 2016, 02:43:25 am
I don't understand why Democrats don't prepare impeachment. Or bills to create it.
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 2016 on: April 22, 2016, 02:35:03 am
Ah, af, I see that you only post polls good for Tories/bad for Labour.
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 6 7 8 ... 396


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines