Well, It's close.

It'll be Dean-Kerry 1-2 I think; I'm not sure which way i'll vote yet.

I'll probably vote Dean.

Have you gone to a caucus before?

No, this is the first I've been old enough to vote in.

Been around since last year as a lurker (and occasional poster)

Thought I'd register; the democrats need Iowa.

Compass:

-3, -3.5

Bit more libertarian then I thought I was... :S

Red: Dean (leftie)
Yellow: Gephardt (Blondie)
Green: Clark (military colors)
Blue: Lieberman (rightie)
Orange: Kerry
Purple: Edwards
Mustard Brown (aka "Vomit"): Sharpton

And Gray for the rest

Definently a situation that no-one wants.

Although I hope you are right, jaichind, and Chen loses, but i'm going to be a pessimist for this vote.

Chen and a crisis.

Labor hold all the states, don't they?

Australia is an odd country politically. Together very conservative, but seperated quite left. IIRC, Labor have massive majorities in Tasmania, Victoria, ACT and Queensland, and a fairly large one in NSW.

I'll vote Kerry for Pres if he is the nominee.

It's just a question of who i'll vote for for candidate :p

Well, It's close.

It'll be Dean-Kerry 1-2 I think; I'm not sure which way i'll vote yet.

I'll probably vote Dean.

I thinkthey help somewhat. Gore et al help significantly, but smaller endorsers do also help, especially in the state they are from.

I think i'm voting Dean, but I might vote Kerry in the primary.

You"re dreaming if you think conservative Va, Mississippi, or South Carolina vote will vote Dem.  I've said this before but kerry, Dean, and company couldn't carry those states if Robert E. Lee was their VP.  And kentucky?  Come on.  Don't look for any Dem noninee to even set foot in those states.  However, I'd love for them to waste time and resources there.  It would be about like the money and time Bush wasted in California the last wk of the 2000 campaign.

Clinton carried kentucky both times, IIRC...

My actual vote-Dean

Who will win (and who i voted for in the poll)-Gephardt

Mississippi is changing-their governor is a democrat and they had a high (for them) vote for Gore in 2000 (45% IIRC)

Given the right push, I can see it going towards the Democrats.

I concede I might be a bit ambitious giving them South Carolina; it has been republican since 1980, but I could see it if Edwards was the VP candidate.

Virginia has ben won by Republicans for a while, but by slim margins-Bush was a statistical err in 2000-Clinton lost it in 1996 by a very slim margin-and Carter also came close tom winning it.

I see New Jersey as carring the incumbent, basically because of world events-it is my impression the new jersey have been significantly affected by 9/11 and have become more conservative because of it-I see it as a close race, and I think that the surburbanites will turn republican-it happened with George Bush sn., he won much of northern new jersey in 1992.

(sources, of course, from this website)

I think New Zealand has the best idea-Compulsory Preferential voting by party (congress) or individual (president)

ie, everyone votes; they vote for the party they like best, then second, third, etc., for congress

For presidents, have preferential primaries, and then preferential presidential. Make primaries optional (obviously) but the vote for the actual president should be compulsory.

It is the only way a majority of the adult population can truly elect their choice; if it isn't preferential a candidate coulw win with 45% of the votes, and with only 50% of the population voting-thats less then a quarter of the population!

I'm saying Republicans 271-267 Democrats

DEMOCRAT

Hawaii
Washington
Oregon
California
New Mexico
Iowa
Wisconsin
Louisiana
Mississippi
New York
Vermont
New Hampshire
Maine
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Connecticut
Michigan
Illinois
Kentucky (?)
West Virginia
DC
Virginia
South Carolina
Maryland
Delaware

REPUBLICAN

Alaska
Arizona
Colorado
Utah
Nevada
Idaho
Wyoming
Montana
North Dakota
South Dakota
Nebraska
Kansas
Oklahoma
Texas
Arkansas
Misouri
Minnesota (?)
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Tennessee
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Indiana
New Jersey

Bit controvertial, I know, but definently possible.

Change Kentucky to Republican and they win 279 to 259

Change Minnesota to Democrat and they win 277 to 261