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September 26, 2016, 05:32:30 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How is Donald Trump even qualified to be president? on: September 25, 2016, 08:43:40 pm
He is over 35 and an natural-born American and been a resident for 14+ years.  The only qualifications you need.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Debate - Has Donald Trump made a huge mistake on: September 25, 2016, 08:36:33 pm
Of course not. Why would he need to prepare for the debate?

All he needs is a zinger everybody will remember.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Demographics and the Electorate on: September 25, 2016, 06:04:00 pm
Turnout will be significantly lower due to both campaigns being negative and both candidates unpopular.

Election results could end up being significantly different from what we expect or what the polls show. This difference may even be staggering (10 point difference in either direction is not beyond the realm of possibility).

4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS/YouGov: Tight race in CO - Clinton up in VA, Trump ahead in MO on: September 25, 2016, 12:58:49 pm
Hillary is a bad fit for Colorado, but Trump is worse.

However, if educated Pubs come home, Trump will have a chance. They are still undecided/pro-Johnson/anti-Trump and we won't know how they decided at least until after the first debate.

5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Quinnipiac CO Clinton +2 GA Trump +7 IA Trump +6 VA Clinton +6 on: September 23, 2016, 12:59:12 am
OK, so the current state of the race is:

Trump = Romney + OH + IA + ME02
Tossups: FL, NV

The rest Clinton.

Even if Trump wins all tossups, he falls short.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump call Clinton "crooked Hillary" on the debate stage? on: September 23, 2016, 12:20:28 am
He'll say something completely abnormal. There is the possibility that he will be given excessive amounts of anti-depressants, anti-anxiety medications and tranquilizers to keep him in line, but those won't help. He hates Hillary and medication can't prevent him from going off while he's on the same stage with her.

I don't think he hates Hillary. He is friends with the Clintons.

He used to donate large sums to both of them and hang out with both of them.

He will not be compelled to say something nasty. If he does that, it will be a calculated act.


Trying to incite someone to murder her seems just a little bit like hate.

LOL! Just pointing out her hypocrisy.

She wants to disarm the people, but not her bodyguards. What can the people who can't afford bodyguards do to protect themselves?
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Siena/Newsday/News 12 Long Island, NY Poll - Trump +4 (4-way)/Even (2-way) on: September 23, 2016, 12:15:34 am
Actually, these are bad numbers for Trump.
If it stays like this, he isn't going to win the election.

He needs to improve with this demographic.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump call Clinton "crooked Hillary" on the debate stage? on: September 23, 2016, 12:01:06 am
He'll say something completely abnormal. There is the possibility that he will be given excessive amounts of anti-depressants, anti-anxiety medications and tranquilizers to keep him in line, but those won't help. He hates Hillary and medication can't prevent him from going off while he's on the same stage with her.

I don't think he hates Hillary. He is friends with the Clintons.

He used to donate large sums to both of them and hang out with both of them.

He will not be compelled to say something nasty. If he does that, it will be a calculated act.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What's more likely? Trump or Clinton winning the electoral vote while losing PV on: September 22, 2016, 11:51:28 pm
Trump, of course.

He gets destroyed in places like California and wins places like Texas by low single digits.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who comes out on top in the first Debate? on: September 22, 2016, 11:49:32 pm
Expectations for Trump are low, so he will be the perceived winner.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Trump call Clinton "crooked Hillary" on the debate stage? on: September 22, 2016, 11:48:41 pm
No, he won't. He will be presidential.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will this election wake America up? on: September 22, 2016, 11:47:07 pm
No.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why isn't Hillary defending ME-02? on: September 22, 2016, 11:45:24 pm
She doesn't need ME-02.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump Chair in Mahoning County Resigns After Interview on: September 22, 2016, 03:38:58 pm
Hiring the best people

Well, he fired he, didn't he?
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How on earth is trump only down 2 in WI and tied in NV if he is down 7 nation? on: September 21, 2016, 08:43:15 pm
Trump is not down 7 nationally.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump supporters and "RINOs" on: September 21, 2016, 11:29:11 am
To certain Trump supporters, those who don't endorse him aren't RINOs, they're treasonous menaces to society.

They are renegades.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of the 2016 US Presidential Election thus far? on: September 21, 2016, 11:28:03 am
Freedom Election.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump implies Slavery/Segregation were better for blacks than the Obama Years on: September 21, 2016, 12:25:46 am
It's a hyperbole. Simething I frequently use.


As a presidential candidate (or as a person who is of any real societal worth), you don't go freaking making "hyperboles" (his message was actually very literal in my opinion and he deserves no BOTD) disrespecting the deeply scarring history of a whole demographic of Americans.

It's downright stupid, and I'm saddened, albeit not surprised, to see you defending such a disgusting display of ignorant rhetoric.

Perhaps I don't see it as ignorant rhetoric. Interestingly enough, I didn't think for one second he was trying to say that slavery was better than what the African Americans have now. It's in the eyes of the beholder, I guess and you need to be a member of the PC police to be outraged.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump implies Slavery/Segregation were better for blacks than the Obama Years on: September 21, 2016, 12:13:46 am
It's a hyperbole. Simething I frequently use.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way) on: September 20, 2016, 11:59:13 am
Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.


Then why would she invest in NE-02?

Cause her campaign is quite inept.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Hillary lagging in Maine? on: September 20, 2016, 11:56:10 am
Seems that Maine's Cong Dist 1 and the statewide vote is currently Lean to Likely Clinton.
Only ME-02 is showing concern at this time (Toss-up to Lean trump).
I think she will get at least 3 EC's from Maine come November.

Perhaps, but who cares? Those 3 electoral votes won't even matter.

Those 3 EC's are part of '272 Firewall' (without them, it drops to 269).

That firewall is a figment of imagination.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Hillary lagging in Maine? on: September 20, 2016, 11:55:07 am
This is the most important article of 2016 IMO and pretty much sums up the race. Maine is not diverse AND it's not as highly educated.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/11/upshot/donald-trumps-red-state-problem.html


This article would imply that if ME is close, OR (and WA) should be as well. But polling suggests ME is close and OR is not.

I wonder. Let's see some polls from Oregon and Washington. Though, I doubt Trump can win either. Oregon is particularly tricky due to 100% absentee voting.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Hillary lagging in Maine? on: September 20, 2016, 11:52:15 am
Seems that Maine's Cong Dist 1 and the statewide vote is currently Lean to Likely Clinton.
Only ME-02 is showing concern at this time (Toss-up to Lean trump).
I think she will get at least 3 EC's from Maine come November.

Perhaps, but who cares? Those 3 electoral votes won't even matter.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way) on: September 20, 2016, 11:50:37 am
But how can Maine help Trump?

Even if he won Romney + Florida + Ohio + Iowa + Maine At Large + ME02 + Nevada that would still be 268 electoral votes.


Replace Nevada with Colorado and you get 271.

Colorado has 100% absentee voting, which means more Dems will vote, which means Trump can't win there.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way) on: September 20, 2016, 11:49:08 am
Why would Hillary not be investing here if it were this close? I'm skeptical.

Cause it doesn't matter. Too small.
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