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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA-Quinnipiac: D: Clinton 52% Sanders 33%; R: Walker 18% Carson 10% Trump 10% on: July 02, 2015, 09:00:07 pm
Retail politics is key in Iowa, and because of that, I expect to see folks like O'Malley and Webb spending a significant amount of time in the state, well more than Clinton AND Sanders. Granted, one of those two will win Iowa, but O'Malley and Webb are going to get a decent percentage.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Happening on: July 02, 2015, 01:50:33 am
Just a little nitpick, but if Yeb wins Wisconsin, he wins Ohio
Brown had coattails. Given the tickets, this looks reasonable.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - July 2015 on: July 01, 2015, 05:49:30 pm
John Kasich
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush releases 33 yrs of tax returns; says "email me directly" with questions on: June 30, 2015, 06:31:58 pm
Ever since his announcement speech, Bush has been running a great campaign. He's convincing me, at least.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Absurd on: June 28, 2015, 11:50:21 am
Love this, though no way that putting Huntsman on the ticket would make Utah close. Maybe under 60%, but that's it.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: Romney vs. Terry on: June 28, 2015, 02:14:44 am
If Romney actually faced off against Terry, he would win all 538 Electoral Votes, including D.C. Democrats would far prefer Romney to Terry, and only a small portion of Republicans would actually switch over to vote for Terry.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: Romney vs. Terry on: June 27, 2015, 05:25:48 pm
After Terry is able to clinch enough delegates, polls show Romney up by a 2:1 margin over him. In a desperate plea, Democrats promise Terry a cabinet position and a number of concessions on abortion if he drops out. However, due to the anti-Obama sentiments that were created in the primary, Democrats instead opt to run Hillary Clinton in 2012, who selects former Senator Evan Bayh as her running mate.

With all of the drama going on in the Democratic primaries, Romney is able to define himself early, and despite a last-second surge from Clinton, wins big on Election Day.


8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 and beyond... on: June 26, 2015, 10:17:22 pm
Very excited for Election Night!
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Absurd on: June 26, 2015, 12:03:35 am
Excellent!
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who do you support for the Republican Primary??? on: June 25, 2015, 09:47:03 pm
Probably Kasich, but Bush from those who have announced.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox: Clinton tops all except Bush on: June 24, 2015, 09:34:57 pm
They polled Romney vs Clinton
Clinton got 48%, Romney got 42%
This is a junk poll. People won't say they're supporting Romney because he's not running. If he were in the race, he would be ahead right now.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Absurd on: June 24, 2015, 06:51:37 pm
Continue! Excited to see who she selects!
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Romney shows courage, Santorum cops out on: June 22, 2015, 11:15:24 pm
This is just another act of courageous and bold leadership by Governor Romney. No surprise that he said that.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MD Gov. Larry Hogan has cancer on: June 22, 2015, 04:37:16 pm
Sad to hear - he and his family are in my prayers.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline on: June 21, 2015, 08:05:34 pm
Statement from the Graham Campaign

I join all Americans in mourning the tragic death of former New York Governor George Pataki. He was a brilliant and devoted public servant who dedicated his life to making his state and country a better place.

All campaign events for the remainder of the week have been suspended. I ask that everyone please keep the Pataki family in their thoughts and prayers.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 5.000 people turn out for Bernie Sanders @ University of Denver on: June 21, 2015, 12:00:16 pm
91,000 people voted for nader in 2000. Id say he's underperforming among his own far left fanbase.
Yeah, keep telling yourself that.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs Trump on: June 20, 2015, 09:16:44 pm
It's tough to say. I think him making the General Election would prove that he is a credible candidate who has run a good campaign, as the GOP isn't crazy enough to nominate him otherwise. And Fuzzy Bear has a point - Trump could attract a lot of people who may not normally vote.

I'm pretty confident that Hillary would win by a moderate amount, but it wouldn't be the landslide some are suggesting.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline on: June 20, 2015, 01:45:55 pm
Graham 2016: Ready on Day One


Lindsey Graham announcing his campaign for president in Central, South Carolina

Good Afternoon! It is good to be in South Carolina today - it is good to be home. Everything I am today is owed to the good people of South Carolina, the people who raised me and have believed in me from day one.

You believe in me, and I believe in America. I believe in the hope this country provides to so many, the prosperity this country can provide, and the safety she brings to her citizens. We need a President who is ready on day one to protect America and the virtues that we all believe in. We need a president with the experience and commitment to do whatever it takes to keep our nation safe.

I'm Lindsey Graham, and I am running for President of the United States of America.

After eight years of failed policy, both at home and abroad, America needs a new direction. We need a president who believes in security through strength, not appeasement. With radical terrorist groups threatening our security at home, we need a president who will take whatever steps necessary to secure our nation, protect our future, and secure our values. I served in the Air Force for thirty-three years, and in Congress, I have been committed to protecting America.

We need a president who will be a champion for the middle class, working to reduce taxes and regulations and provide an economic environment that encourages entrepreneurship, not diminish it. I'm tired of seeing Washington D.C. kick the can down the road on issues that are so important to many Americans: Medicare and Social Security. We need a president committed to making the reforms to create long-lasting programs that will provide a benefit to those who need it the most.

I will be that president.

I look forward to the challenge of healing a nation divided by eight years of partisan politics. I have a record of working with whoever is ready to make this country greater than it already is. Some in our party have been critical of my willingness to work across the aisle, instead preferring a continuation of the partisan politics we have seen in recent years. I look forward to having a discussion throughout this campaign on which philosophy is better - which will create a safer and more prosperous America.

I never would have imagined being in this position today - running for President of the United States. But today we face difficult times, difficult times largely due to failed leadership. We need a new kind of leadership in America, a kind driven on producing results, not empty promises and false hope. Look at my record - look at what I have been able to accomplish. This election cannot be one where more hope is brought to the American people and no results are achieved. Americans are losing faith in their government - we must restore that faith. I will be a president that produces results and restores faith in government.

As president, I will fight relentlessly each day to make this nation safer, stronger, and more prosperous than ever before. Today launches the beginning of a campaign, and I humbly ask for your vote and support. Thank you, and God bless.



Securing Our Nation. Securing Our Future. Securing Our Values.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline on: June 20, 2015, 01:13:22 am
While Walker is an easier option, I'll take a challenge and go with Lindsey Graham.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Kasich skip the first debate? on: June 19, 2015, 09:36:42 pm
It could make sense for him to pull a Rick Perry/ Fred Thompson. Those guys got publicity with their late entrances.

He doesn't need to do as well. Five percent is likely to be enough.

It's also possible that someone currently running will be forced out for whatever reason. See Tim Pawlenty in 2012.

There would be some risks. Another high-profile candidate might decide to go with a similar strategy, and get all the attention (IE- Condoleeza Rice, Susanna Martinez or Mitt Romney.) Other candidates might take off leaving less spots available in the top ten. And he might be a bit out of practice (part of the reason Thompson and Perry didn't get the nomination.)

Romney is NOT going to run. I don't care if Bush, Rubio, Walker, Kasich, and Paul all die in a car crash tomorrow, he is NOT going to run. When will people get it into their heads that he has no interest AT ALL in a third try for president ?!?

The conventional wisdom was that he did want to make another go, but Jeb Bush more or less boxed him out.
The idea that Bush scared Romney out of running is ludicrous. Romney would absolutely destroy Bush.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: For everyone should other GOP candidates withdraw and make a clear path for Jeb? on: June 16, 2015, 11:27:18 pm
I think several candidates would drop out if Romney entered, but no one else could have that effect on the field.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - Mid-June 2015 on: June 16, 2015, 07:40:47 pm
Bush for now - his announcement was the strongest of any candidate so far.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: GOP Primary Atlas Poll, June 2015 (Republican primary voters only) on: June 15, 2015, 11:18:59 pm
Fiorina - switching to Bush, actually. I'm pretty undecided right now. I think he's the most electable candidate we have.


I will likely switch to Kasich when he joins the field.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: YouGov: Carson & Rubio ahead, plus: Fiorinamentum on: June 15, 2015, 02:08:16 pm
Graham is only 5 points behind! In normal years that would be considered pretty good. Tongue
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who Do You Match on iSideWith? on: June 13, 2015, 12:48:48 pm
I had Bush, Rubio, Sanders and Santorum. An interesting top four.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 723


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