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October 24, 2014, 11:21:49 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10 on: Today at 05:48:27 pm
Lol - you guys are unbelievable.

A poll shows Brown up 1 in NH? Throw it in the trash.
A poll shows Begich up 10 (?!?) in Alaska? MUST BE GOOD,DEMS GUNNA KEEP THE SENATE

Alaska polling "can't be trusted" unless it yields great news for the Democrats.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: New NBC/Marist polls out Sunday (AR, CO, IA, KS, NC, SD) on: Today at 02:39:02 pm
My guess:
AR - Cotton up 5
CO - Gardner up 4
IA - Ernst up 2
KS - Orman up 1
NC - Hagan up 2
SD - Rounds up 6
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: NFL Pick a Winner Week #8 on: Today at 12:09:06 pm
Cowboys
4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: NFL Pick Em, Week 8 on: Today at 12:08:09 pm
Detroit at Atlanta 
St. Louis at Kansas City 
Houston at Tennessee 
Minnesota at Tampa Bay 
Seattle at Carolina 
Baltimore at Cincinnati 
Miami at Jacksonville 
Chicago at New England 
Buffalo at NY Jets 
Philadelphia at Arizona
Oakland at Cleveland 
Indianapolis at Pittsburgh 
Green Bay at New Orleans 
Washington at Dallas 

Tiebreaker - Total Score  St. Louis at KC -30
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Tie at 47% on: Today at 12:02:17 pm
An interesting race - Nunn may win on Election Night, but as many others are saying, I have a hard time seeing her wining a run-off. I wouldn't be surprised if her and Landrieu are both secretly hoping that Republicans win either 48 or 51 seats on Election Night.
6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: October 2014 General Election - President and Regional Senators on: Today at 01:27:07 am
President/Vice President

1. Lumine/SJoyce
2. Al/Hashemite

Mideast Senate

1. Cassius
2. Windjammer
3. Bmotley
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Michelle Nunn releases her best ad of the cycle on: October 23, 2014, 07:59:15 pm
He has very favorable things to say about her. Wouldn't expect this from the father of a candidate.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Your overall race ratings for Senatorial Races on: October 23, 2014, 05:58:19 pm
Safe D
Rhode Island
Delaware
New Mexico
Illinois
Massachusetts
Minnesota
New Jersey
Hawaii
Oregon

Lean D
Michigan
New Hampshire
Virginia

Toss-Up
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
Kansas

Lean R
Alaska
Arkansas
Colorado
Kentucky
Louisiana
South Dakota

Safe R
West Virginia
Montana
Tennessee
Nebraska
Maine
Texas
Mississippi
South Carolina (R)
South Carolina (S)
Oklahoma (R)
Oklahoma (S)
Idaho
Wyoming
Alabama
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sarah Palin has endorsed Walker in AK-Gov race. on: October 23, 2014, 02:28:48 pm
As the article notes, he scrapped her oil tax increase, which she was darn proud of.

I honestly have no close how this race will turn out. Either could win by 10% and I wouldn't be surprised.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: ARG: Shaheen +1 on: October 23, 2014, 02:09:39 pm
For reference, Shaheen led 53-43 in their September 29th poll.

This is going to be close - I'll give Shaheen the edge unless we start seeing more polls that have Brown up, but a Brown win wouldn't come as a big surprise. I think this race is more likely to flip than North Carolina.

44% think Brown will win, 47% think Shaheen will win.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: ARG: Shaheen +1 on: October 23, 2014, 02:07:45 pm
New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by ARG on 2014-10-22

Summary: D: 49%, R: 48%, I: 0%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
12  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: LUMINE EATS DEAD BABIES on: October 23, 2014, 01:42:57 pm
This is extremely troubling.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-Sen, Civitas: Tillis in the lead on: October 23, 2014, 01:22:38 pm
Their last poll had Hagan up by 5.
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Winfield for Northeast Governor. End the Northeast madness. Visit to Vermont. on: October 23, 2014, 12:57:00 pm
I fully support the Northeast slate of Winfield and Lief. Best of luck, my friend.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 23, 2014, 12:51:32 pm
Whatever Selzer's final poll shows is what my prediction will be. In 2010, their last poll for Senate was spot on and Governor was pretty close. In 2012, they had Obama up 5 while others had it much closer.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: Suffolk: Brown +1 on: October 22, 2014, 05:59:07 pm
A momentum boost for Team Brown - hopefully it'll be enough to push him across the finish line on November 4th!
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of wormyguy on: October 22, 2014, 02:34:28 pm
FF
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM: ABQ Journal/BWD: Gov. Martinez up almost 20 on: October 22, 2014, 10:44:49 am
Splendid news!
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Republicans take the Senate next month, how long will they control Congress? on: October 22, 2014, 01:30:54 am
Well, the question is about Congress.  I don't think anyone has suggested 2018 yet- scenario would be Republicans sweep everything in 2016 and then a big enough backlash against their agenda to flip the house.  Not sure how the senate could possibly flip R to D in 2018, though.  What would they pick up other than NV?
It all depends on the environment - West Virginia would have a strong chance of flipping if Manchin opts to run for Governor, and Colorado could also be a potential. Republicans certainly have a lot more to defend, but I think they'll also be starting out with a good advantage in a lot of states (Ohio, New Hampshire, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Arizona). The only states that begin automatically as a toss-up are Illinois and Wisconsin, as well as Pennsylvania according to who you talk to.

Obviously a lot of hypotheticals - I didn't think Republicans had much chance of taking the Senate in 2014 a year ago but it is looking pretty good now.
20  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Am I the only one? on: October 22, 2014, 01:03:38 am
I've been having this problem at 8:27 PM, but not 8:25 PM.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Republicans take the Senate next month, how long will they control Congress? on: October 22, 2014, 12:45:37 am
I'm a little more optimistic and will say possibly to 2022. If Republicans can get to 53 seats in November I like their chances of hanging on - while much can change, I think a loss of 2 seats is reasonable for 2016.

Regardless, I think if Republicans do lose it in 2016 they will easily gain it right back in 2018 if Hillary is elected President. In a midterm year, Montana, North Dakota, Missouri, and Indiana are all prime targets, plus you have potential in quite a few others.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: NH-01/NH-02-YouGov: Shea-Porter up 17, Garcia up 5 on: October 21, 2014, 02:39:05 pm
Hard to believe - that being said I would rather take Garcia than Guinta.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What will the results in Kansas be? on: October 21, 2014, 02:36:19 pm
I'm inclined to say Davis/Roberts, but I still think any combination is realistically possible.
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Look and Layout Preferences #11: Use quick reply on topic display on: October 19, 2014, 10:55:35 pm
Wow, I just found out about this - so cool!
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What would be the scandal that ends the above poster's political career? on: October 19, 2014, 10:51:23 pm
Several months into serving as Governor of Pennsylvania it is revealed that he actually despises Hillary, known by then as the greatest President in the history of the United States. He immediately loses credibility among the Democratic base, and is subsequently primaried in the following election.
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