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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 3 on: Today at 12:07:46 am
Ted Cruz Press Conference
Senator, what are your thoughts on the departure of Governor Branstad from the race?
I was devastated when I learned that Terry had cancer - I have known him for years and have always respected him and his family. Our God can work miracles, and my family will continue to keep Terry and his family in our prayers that he may be healed. As a result of this news, our campaign is donating all money raised during the month of December to the American Cancer Society - it is my prayer that one day we find a cure to this terrible disease.

Roemer is on the campaign trail attacking you, what do you make of it?
I'm the frontrunner, it is to be expected. I was disheartened to see that he is putting words in my mouth - I never called him irrelevant. Governor Roemer is a smart man that I disagree with on several political issues - I am disappointed that he is sinking to this level.

How does your campaign proceed forward with a month until Iowa?
I am in this race to win. I believe that we can create a stronger and safer America, and it would be an honor to be the Republican nominee in this election. I'm going to continue spreading my message to all corners of this state and the country - we can win here, we can win in New Hampshire, and we can win next November.

No more questions for now, I always enjoy the opportunity to talk to the press. Thank you and God Bless!
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Forum update: Are you a virgin? on: August 31, 2015, 10:18:57 pm
No
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016: What WILL happen on: August 31, 2015, 12:40:01 am
This is very impressive - good work.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 3 on: August 30, 2015, 10:43:06 pm
Ted Cruz for President: July - December Summary


With the recent withdrawals, one thing was clear to the Cruz campaign: they had an opening. Looking at the rest of the field, no one quite matched Cruz in terms of charisma and being able to fire up the conservative base. It also didn't hurt that Cruz was the only non-white candidate in the race. While Ehrlich was close nationally, Cruz remained unworried, confident that Ehrlich's pro-choice views would inevitably sink his campaign. Branstad would be a challenge in Iowa, and Walker, while less charismatic, appeals to the same voters. Nevertheless, Ted Cruz was a man on a mission - with the right mixture of social conservative campaigning while also providing assurance to the establishment that he could win in the general, Cruz had a plan and was ready to go.

The remainder of July was spend working to consolidate the conservatives - Cruz began his bus tour, starting in Iowa and touring through the south, ending up in Floriday on July 29th. Many of those stops included opening new offices - Cruz intended on opening a campaign office in every state that voted in February and March 2016 by the beginning of fall. Cruz's message was simple - despite a couple popular southern governors running, he was the most conservative candidate in the race, and he would win.

August looked like much of the same in terms of message: Cruz was the conservative. He held various religious freedom rallies in conservative bastions of the country, drawing huge crowds along the way. While on those trips he would speak with religious leaders and conservative shakers - getting "high profile" endorsements was important, but even more so was getting the support of grassroots activists.

September rolled around and Cruz knew it was time to get serious - keep it close in New Hampshire so Ehrlich and Kaisch don't run away with it, but win Iowa. During the month of September Cruz visited all of the major cities in Iowa - some twice. His campaign benefited with the support of state conservative leaders Bob Vander Plaats and Steve King stumping for him. While he personally held Branstad in high regard, he knew he would have to highlight the differences if he was to win. Cruz's campaign made the argument that he was more electable than Branstad, had a better chance of winning the nomination, and would be better suited to hold the conservative mantle. Cruz's spin operatives would be quick to point out that Branstad hasn't been a vocal leader for conservative issues nationally - Cruz has.

By the end of October, Cruz had visited every state in Iowa - the grassroots efforts were in place, now it was time to start providing the specifics that voters wanted. Cruz outlined his budget plan, which included across the board tax cut while also limiting government spending. Cruz promised to eliminate loopholes and unfair tax breaks, ensuring that every American pays their fair share. Cruz also outlined his plan to repeal and replace Obamacare, which included health savings accounts and allowing access across state lines, similar to the Romney plan introduced in 2012. Cruz didn't want to go too extreme - he wanted to show voters that while his campaign has been largely focused on social issues, he can also have an economic policy that is reasonable and can be implemented.

With policies in place, November included a time of getting back to the basics. Cruz began frequent visits in the leadoff states, working with surrogates to lock down South Carolina while also providing his libertarian charm in Nevada and New Hampshire. By the end of the month, Cruz would have a campaign office in every county in Nevada and New Hampshire, as well as numerous ones in Iowa and South Carolina. With the campaign heating up, Cruz would take every opportunity he could get to talk on FOX News in an effort to keep the conservative base fired up behind him. He also started running negative ads in Iowa and South Carolina - Iowa targeting Branstad's failed promise to defund Planned Parenthood and Haslam's mixed record on guns, New Hampshire was attacking Ehrlich for being pro-choice, running clips over and over of his comment that it was a "tough issue." Cruz would respond by saying that to him, defending innocent life is not a "tough decision" and he will only nominate pro-life judges to the Supreme Court.

December was much like November - Cruz had consistently said he was the most conservative, now it came down to comparing his record to the other primary contenders, which proved that he was. Cruz split his time in half between Super Tuesday states and leadoff states - Iowa was less of a focus as he knew most of January would be spent there. Rather, it was continued infrastructure building to ensure that his campaign would be prepared for the long haul, though they hoped to have the race wrapped up much sooner.

Ted Cruz knew he was the most conservative in the race. He also knew he could win, both the primary and the general. Now it is just a matter of hard work and grit - Cruz was determined to be the 45th President of the United States.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio Ridge ticket? on: August 30, 2015, 07:34:08 pm
I could see Ridge being considered. His strengths (swing state, experience, balance of young Senator with elder statesman, echoes Rubio's message of foreign policy strength) outweigh the negatives (out of office since 2004, pro-choice.)

Someone who was considered in 1996 doesn't have a very good chance of still being considered in 2016.
John Kasich may hope otherwise.
Kasich ran in 2000, not 1996. Plus he has a very successful and current stint as Governor under his belt. Ridge hasn't had a position for over a decade.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What are the votes you most regret? on: August 30, 2015, 07:30:32 pm
Sam Brownback in 2014
Richard Mourdock in 2012

In hindsight, I would have abstained in the IN Senate race and voted Paul Davis for Kansas Governor.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Notice that all Republican "rising stars" this century have been massive duds? on: August 30, 2015, 07:29:31 pm
Just a list...
- Kelly Ayotte
- Marco Rubio
- Susana Martinez
- Paul Ryan
- Nikki Haley
- Ted Cruz (arguably)

There's more. Many "rising stars" don't work out in either party. But there are also a lot who do.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why haven't Trump's opponents portrayed him as a RINO? on: August 30, 2015, 07:14:58 pm
Donald Trump isn't a conservative, liberal or moderate. He's simply a Donald Trump.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Radical Changes - 2000 to 2056 Electoral Timeline on: August 29, 2015, 03:36:45 pm
Interesting update!
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1980 Primaries (The Hearse at Monticello) on: August 28, 2015, 09:32:53 pm
Senator Finch!
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb: Trump's sister is pro-choice, don't vote for Donald! on: August 28, 2015, 02:07:06 pm
I'm not a huge Bush fan, but him saying this is completely relevant. The reason Bush said this was because Trump said his sister would make a fantastic Supreme Court justice. I think it should be a BIG concern for pro-lifers that Trump would be willing to put someone who is EXTREMELY pro-choice on the highest bench.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Gov. LePage "very strongly" considering US Senate run in 2018 on: August 26, 2015, 11:03:05 pm
A strong pickup opportunity for Republicans.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 26, 2015, 09:02:39 pm
Excited for Round 3 to begin!
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Watch Trump imitate asian negotiators broken english on: August 26, 2015, 04:26:22 pm
More racism from Trump, who would have guessed? He'll probably jump up in the polls because of this. Republicans need to WAKE UP and STOP supporting this RACIST, MEAN-SPIRITED man. His campaign LACKS SPECIFICS and is JUST a bunch of EMPTY RHETORIC. We don't need a PRESIDENT with SOLUTIONS NOT ONE WHO JUST BLOWS SMOKE!!!!!!!!!!
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which Republican can Defeat Baldwin? on: August 24, 2015, 10:43:20 pm
I think the environment would definitely have to be more than neutral for Baldwin to lose, it would have to lean heavily Republican. Baldwin is no pushover, as evidenced in 2012 when she was supposed to lose badly to Thompson. Granted, that was a presidential year, but I think she has proven herself as a formidable opponent and won't be easy to beat.
Baldwin was stronger than expected in 2012, but she underperformed Obama and probably would have lost had Thompson not ran such a terrible campaign. Hovde probably would have squeezed out a win or at least made it razor-thin, which is pretty underwhelming considering that Wisconsin leans Democratic at the national level.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: August 24, 2015, 10:23:32 pm
If Biden gets in, will any Senators, Governors, or Representatives withdraw their endorsements of Clinton?
I could see some saying something along the lines of - "With the entrance of Vice President Biden, it is important that all Democrats carefully consider all of the candidates running. I will also carefully evaluate all candidates before deciding on who to vote for." Basically not un-endorsing, but making it clear that they're not 100% behind Hillary.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 24, 2015, 09:45:04 pm
Cruz for President

Iowa Update

In the past week, Senator Cruz has focused on ramping up efforts in the state of Iowa, selecting county chairs in each of Iowa's 99 counties and directing them to locate precinct captains. The Cruz campaign understands that Iowa will be won on the ground, and leading up to the Iowa caucus, Cruz plans to visit all 99 counties.

We face a challenge, as many in the state are loyal to Governor Branstad. We respect him, we like him...as our Governor. Ted Cruz has the leadership and conservative credentials we need in our nominee, and I think he is someone who can excite the base while also winning over minority groups. We're going to take that message across the state, and we full believe we will win here.
- Bryan English, Iowa State Director

State Senator Dennis Guth, Hancock County Chair, also held a press conference to discuss his position with the campaign.
Reporter: Why have you decided to go with Senator Cruz?
Guth: He's conservative, he's smart, and he can win.
Reporter: Buddy Roemer recently suggested that Senator Cruz's plan to defeat ISIS is "not smart." What do you make his plan?
Guth: Who? Whoever he is doesn't understand the critical need to fight ISIS. I stand behind Senator Cruz.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which Republican can Defeat Baldwin? on: August 24, 2015, 08:04:22 pm
 
If those are the candidates you're considering, she IS unbeatable.
Once again, BeccaM shows that she doesn't know what she is talking about.

Kleefisch would probably be a disaster, but anyone else on this list could beat Baldwin in a neutral environment.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Romney to be the Anti-Trump? on: August 24, 2015, 08:00:12 pm
Romney? Yes....yes yes yes yes yes yes yes......Y E S.   YES
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 24, 2015, 07:59:01 pm
Statement from Ted Cruz for President
There are over a million abortions every year in the United States. Planned Parenthood is responsible for over 300,000 of them. Governor Branstad can stand up talking about his budget and his Legislature all he wants, but those excuses fall on deaf ears for the millions of faithful Americans who support the rights of the unborn. Governor Branstad has done a lot in the statehouse, but defending Planned Parenthood just didn't seem to make the list of priorities. His lack of commitment to this important issue is why The Family Leader chose to endorse Senator Cruz over Governor Branstad*.
- Rick Tyler, National Spokesperson

*The Family Leader is operated by Bob Vander Plaats, so it is assumed that Cruz won the endorsement of TFL
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 24, 2015, 06:41:18 pm
Ted Cruz Press Conference
Cruz: Thank you. As you all know, it has been a pretty tumultuous week on the campaign trail, especially with multiple candidates dropping out. First, I want to extend my gratitude to Mr. Donald Trump and former Vice President Dan Qualye on their endorsements. Both are honorable men who have done many great things for our country, and I am grateful to now have them on our side.

A big story this week has been Governor Bush's decision to withdraw from the primary and endorse Bill Gates, a billionaire liberal who is a real contender to buy the Democratic nomination. It comes as no surprise to many within the GOP, as Governor Bush has long been more of an ally to Democrats than he has Republicans, especially when it comes to issues such as education and immigration.

We are confident at how things are looking now, and I look forward to continuing strong with the campaign. I will now take a couple questions.
Reporter: With so many exits this week, how do you expect it to shake up the field and where do you think you stand?
Cruz:Well, the last national poll I saw had us ahead, and I don't expect that to be any different.  I think conservatives around the country are uniting behind our campaign as they see that some of the alternatives in this race don't match my conservative credentials.
Reporter: How do you feel about your chances in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two states?
Cruz: I had a wonderful talk earlier today with folks from the National Right to Life, and we discussed the importance of having our next president be 100% pro-life. The person leading in New Hampshire now, Governor Ehrlich, has some momentum, maybe even more than I, but once Republican voters start seeing where he stands on certain issues, particularly his voter suppression techniques and pro-choice record, I think they'll turn back to real conservatives in the race. We're also in a tight race with Governor Branstad in Iowa, and while I respect much of his economic record, his refusal to defund Planned Parenthood, despite promising to do so on the campaign trail, indicates to me that he's just another politician who puts politics over people.

I'm excited to continue forward with this campaign - thank you for your questions!
22  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hillary vs. Biden on: August 23, 2015, 03:37:32 pm
Joe Biden, easily.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Economist/YouGov - National: Trump still in the lead, Walker up on: August 23, 2015, 01:16:43 pm
Bush, Paul, and Walker rise while Kasich, Carson, and Fiorina fall? This makes absolutely no sense.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 23, 2015, 01:14:14 pm
We are excited to introduce our first television ad - we chose to go straightforward, because that is how Ted Cruz has always been. None of the video theatrics - those may come later, but not provides us the opportunity for Ted to directly talk with the American people. A chance to introduce himself and what he brings to the table. We're excited to air this advertisement in the states shown below, and we look forward to watching our momentum grow in the coming weeks. This advertisement will run for several cycles.
- Rick Tyler, National Spokesperson



Ted Cruz Television Advertisement: Get the Job Done

Ted Cruz:The reason I am running for President is because there are so many Americans out there who are still struggling. Our workforce has shrunk during the Obama administration and many who are working live paycheck to paycheck. Republicans and Democrats both love America, but it's time for real leadership in the White House. We need a President who is ready to go in there and get the job done. I'm Ted Cruz, and I will be that President.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016 Interactive Presidential Election Timeline - ROUND 2 on: August 23, 2015, 12:45:18 pm
Ted Cruz for President: Endorsements

Senator Mike Lee: Cruz is a fighter
I have had the honor of serving with Ted in the US Senate. When it comes to fighting for conservative principles, no one does it better than Ted Cruz. We need a President who stands up for the conservative ideals that Reagan championed in the 1980's. Ted Cruz has been doing that his whole life and will continue to do that as the 45th President of the United States. I am proud to endorse him for President and look forward to appearing on the campaign trail for him.
- Senator Mike Lee at a press conference in Salt Lake City, Utah

Senator Tim Scott: Cruz is my guy
When the race started out, I intended on holding out for a while before making an endorsement - South Carolina plays a crucial role in determining who our nominee is, and I don't want to get it wrong. With that being said, there is a candidate in this race who I have had the pleasure of working with in Senate and who was able to convince me last week in a meeting that he is the right man for the job. That candidate is Ted Cruz, and I am proud to endorse him for the Republican nomination. Ted Cruz is a fighter. He is someone who will get the job done and will never stop fighting for conservative principles. I know he is the candidate that is best for South Carolina and the United States.
- Senator Tim Scott, speaking at a rally in South Carolina with Ted Cruz

King and Vander Plaats: Cruz is the candidate for social conservatives
Looking at this field, one candidate sticks out among the rest, and that candidate is Ted Cruz. We have a lot of respect for Governor Branstad, but when it comes to conservative issues, he simply doesn't have the credentials that Senator Cruz has. We want a President who has been a consistent leader on conservative issues, particularly when it comes to defending religious liberty and the right to life. Senator Cruz has been that voice in Washington D.C. since he got there, and I know he will always be an advocate for the unborn if he becomes President.

Iowa has a history of caucusing for social conservatives - we hope it will do the same in 2016. We look forward to helping Ted Cruz win the Iowa caucus, the Republican nomination, and ultimately the Presidency.

- Congressman Steve King and activist Bob Vander Plaats, releasing a joint statement
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