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11701  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: It'll Rot Your Brain: Campaign Ads Thread on: September 13, 2010, 07:46:34 pm
I'm actually starting to like her, despite her colorful past.
11702  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004 - Slight change... on: September 13, 2010, 07:40:44 pm
I suspect Edwards will win, given that all the focus thus far has been on the Democratic race, and now him. Bush wasn't even mentioned in the last post, which makes me think Edwards will pull out a W.
11703  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 13, 2010, 06:59:34 pm
Mitt: Well, it looks like Huckabee's late attacks on me paid off.
Anne: We probably would have been better off not going after Tancredo. That sent a slew of negativity our way. And even when we tried to go positive again, the other two stayed negative.
Mitt: It'll be okay, Anne. We have a delegate lead, which is the most important. People in Wyoming gave us an enormous lead. And Tancredo getting in there splits the anti-Romney vote, which should help us later.
Anne: I am quite surprised by how well Tom did. I'm suprised so many voters bought his tactics.
Mitt: What do you mean?
Anne: I mean, he stayed almost entirely out until a couple days before the election. Then out of nowhere he gets 18% in Iowa and second place in Wyoming. From results so far, he could actually get competitve, which could be trouble, since we hold a lot of western states now.
Mitt: It'll be fine. We have large leads in New Hampshire and Nevada. Michigan is looking good for us, and I bet we'll snag a victory in either South Carolina or Florida. We can still easily get this. Iowa isn't the nation.

A few minutes later...

Iowans, we have come so far. I thank all of you for trying your hardest. While we may not have quite pulled through, we finished only one delegate behind Huckabee. And with our good friends over in Wyoming voting solidly for a true conservative, we now have a delegate lead, as well as a popular vote lead!

We have a long road to go, and I'm confident it will end at the White House. I'd like to congratulate Huckabee on his slim victory tonight. He certainly worked hard to get this. I'd also like to congratulate Representative Tancredo on his impressive showing in both states. But the race is not over, and I am more confident than ever that Republicans from across the nation will continue to get behind our movement of hope and conservative change. Thank you, and God Bless!

That night, Romney makes a quick flight to Michigan, where he has several appearances planned. After that, he'll be heading to New Hampshire where he hopes a landslide victory will give him the momentum he needs.
11704  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 13, 2010, 02:50:13 pm
Mitt Romney electrifies a crowd in Des Moine, Iowa...

Friends, let's send Washington a message tonight...a message that we're ready to shake up Washington and return the power back to the people! It can be done, and it will be done, under a Romney administration! Let's bring America back to it's glory days under Ronald Reagan!
11705  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 13, 2010, 02:37:24 pm
Mitt Romney makes a last minute plea to voters in a one-minute ad segment...

America is in trying times, with staggering unemployment numbers, higher taxes, and less and less families being able to send their children to college. My friends, decline can happen quickly, even to a great nation, and it's a sobering thought. In such a short time, we have watched how in a matter of months our debt can increase by 4 trillion! Liberty is the right to be free, in our conscience, in our mind, free in our decisions making. We have the pursuit of happiness. This was a radical concept: what I produce belongs to me, not the king, and not the government. These are the ideals that animated the founding fathers, and these are the same ideas that will be implemented under a Romney administration. However, I will be a sympathetic leader, and I realize that their our times when the government must intervene, for the sake of prosperity and well being. And when those times come, we will be ready. I ask for your vote today, and if I am honored to serve as your President, I will do my best. Thank you.
11706  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 13, 2010, 09:43:03 am
Mitt Romney continues to travel Iowa, visiting a local nursing home and speaking encouraging words to them about medicare and social security.
11707  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 13, 2010, 06:49:13 am
Mitt Romney makes small meet and greets on caucus day, with his main goal to mingle with as many people as possible. Terry Branstead and local politicians are visiting local precincts on behalf of Romney...

The fact is, right now, a qualification for being President shouldn't be that your popular. It should be that you're ready to make tough decisions, even though it may hurt your popularity. Friends, I would rather lose an election than lose a war. I am committed to this country's national defense, and will make decisions based on what I think bests for America's future, not my personal popularity.
- Mitt Romney at a family-run diner in central Iowa
11708  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: New Hampshire Poll on: September 12, 2010, 10:52:43 pm
It'll be crazy if Ayotte loses. She's accepted by the establishment and the Tea Party - a perfect combination in this wild primary season.
11709  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Delaware poll on: September 12, 2010, 08:39:33 pm
I'm mentally preparing myself for endorsing another Democrat due to Republican stupidity.
11710  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Tmthforu94's House and Senate Predictions on: September 12, 2010, 08:08:38 pm
Thanks for the suggestions. They'll help shape my next map.

OH-16, IN-08, and TX-17 should be rated tossup. NC-02 should be rated likely/solid Dem. NC-08 and SC-05 should be rated Lean Dem.
I think I know better than just about anyone on here what Indiana-08 should be rated. The only Democrats who have won in this district have been conservative ones, like Brad Ellsworth. The Democrats nominee this year is quite liberal and voted with his party almost all the time in the House. This race would be tight under normal years since Bucshon doesn't have a lot of charisma, but once you take into factor the nation's mood and Obama's unpopularity in the region, Buchson should win with around 55% of the vote. If anything, I'd move it to only slight Republican. But it's not a toss-up.
11711  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 06:49:03 pm
Mitt Romney holds a massive evening rally in Iowa City, Iowa...

This is it! Tomorrow, Iowans will head to the polls and help decide who the 2008 Republican Presidential nominee is! We have three qualified candidates in this race, and I wish both of my opponents the best of luck. Tomorrow's a big day, and I ask for all of your support. Together, we can bring America back to the days of Ronald Reagan!
11712  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: On Delaware: Results Prediction Thread on: September 12, 2010, 06:19:14 pm
Mike Castle: 53.7%
Christine O'Donnell: 46.3%
11713  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 06:17:52 pm
Mitt Romney responds to Tancredo's attack at a rally in Burlington, Iowa...

Right now, America needs honesty more than ever, and Tom Tancredo's low blow my campaign clearly shows he does not have America's best interests at heart. I stand by my criticism of him because it is correct. Tom Tancredo lied to the people of Colorado when he promised to serve only three terms then went on to serve more than that. And the reason he's not running again this election is probably so that he could run for President.

Now, more than ever, America needs a true leader who will stand up for our values. As President, I will fight liberals head on so that this nation can get back to where it needs to be, both economically and socially. Right now, more than ever, this nation needs honesty, integrity, and leadership. I believe I possess all three, which is why I'm asking for your vote tomorrow.
11714  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 05:40:03 pm
Mitt Romney slams Tom Tancredo in Ceder Rapids, Iowa on term limits and integrity...

Before he remade himself as the "Scourge of Immigration," Tom Tancredo had a successful and lucrative career as a "Champion of Term Limits." In fact, his support of term limits was key to his getting elected in the first place. "I made a pledge, I took the pledge, I will live up to the pledge," said Tancredo in 2001 to the Rocky Mountain News, promising to serve only three terms in the House of Representatives. But then the chickens came home to roost and - guess what? Mr. Tancredo has now utterly broken his solemn vows, and is still in, despite it being more than three terms. Even worse, he has gutlessly tried to conceal his fraud from his constituents.

Right now, Americans need a leader who will act on their promises, not ignore them once elected. That's what I'll do as your President, as your leader. I am asking for your vote tomorrow, so that the America of tomorrow can be better than the America of today.

11715  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2012 Election TL (Sign Up/Discussion Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 05:33:27 pm
Uh, I'll play! Smiley

Republican, of course. And I choose...Marsha Blackburn. Just to give myself a bit of a challenge. Smiley
11716  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 05:01:59 pm
Romney makes a quick stop in Wyoming, where he hopes to maintain his lead. He is accompanied by former President George HW Bush. Afterwards, Romney flies quickly to Iowa, where he starts a tour of the eastern part of the state, namely Des Moine.
11717  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Governor Tmthforu94 on: September 12, 2010, 04:58:39 pm
Governor Update 22
A reminder:
The Mideast Gubernatorial and Assembly elections will begin on Thursday. The last possible time to declare candidacy is 11:59 P.M. on Monday, September 13th.

Current Candidates are as follows...




I'd like to encourage any Mideasterners with nothing to do to consider running for the Assembly if you think you could positively contribute to it. Smiley Currently, we have only 5 candidates, and if no one else declares, those 5 will likely become our Assembly.

Governor Tmthforu94
11718  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 03:54:55 pm
At a D.C. press conference, Senator Joseph Lieberman makes a stunning announcement...
The fact is, I'm sick of the partisan politics being played in Washington. That's why I'm proud to be an Independent - someone who will vote for whichever party has the best ideas. I think we need a President who shares the same values which I why I announce my support for Mitt Romney. This evening, I will be driving to New Hampshire, where I am excited to begin my first campaigning of 2008, campaigning for "My Man Mitt".

Also that day, Arkansas Congressman John Boozman endorsed Romney...
I know many expect me to endorse Huckabee simply because we're from the state. But I cannot do that, simply because I have a problem voting for someone for our nominee who raised my taxes as a citizen of Arkansas. I have more faith in Mitt than I do Mike, which is why I'm endorsing him.
11719  Forum Community / Interactive Timelines / Re: 2008 Election TL (Gameplay Thread) on: September 12, 2010, 03:35:55 pm
Romney places a call to his top political strategist...
Adviser: Hello, Governor Romney. What can I do for you?
Romney: You can advice me. How do things look?
Adviser: Well, Iowa is looking good for us, but we have to keep the momentum on our side, and not Huckabee's. We're looking great in New Hampshire, Wyoming, and Nevada, and I really don't think we need to spend much more time there besides a stop on election day. From then on, we've fallen behind in Michigan, but I think we'll gain that back, and South Carolina and Florida go either way. If we can win at least three of Iowa, Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida, I think we'll be great going into election day.
Romney: Thanks. We have some free time between Iowa and Michigan. In between, let's solidify Michigan and start peeling away some Southern states, such as Missouri, Tennessee, and Georgia. All are winnable for our campaign. I'm actually surprised we're up in Oklahoma, but we'll take that.
Adviser: Let's focus on a win tomorrow in Iowa. I think we have it, but we need to keep campaigning to make sure.
Romney: Great. Thank you, and God Bless

Romney spends the afternoon touring the Northern half of Iowa, and even attended a Methodist church, saying he was extremely accepting and tolerant of all Christian religions, but recognizes there is a separation of church and state and won't use the Presidency as a pulpit.
11720  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 2004 Bush vs. Kerry, but 9/11 happens in 2004 on: September 12, 2010, 03:12:37 pm

Bush/Cheney--503 EV's, 60% of PV
Kerry/Edwards--35 EV's 40% of PV
I fail to see your reasoning on Deleware, considering Bush only lost it by 8 points. He lost Rhode Island by 21 points, yet you have him winning that first.
11721  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 2004 Bush vs. Kerry, but 9/11 happens in 2004 on: September 12, 2010, 03:11:27 pm
Bush had approvals in the 90's after the election, and it would probably be high 70's  on election day.

11722  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: New California Gov ad uses Clinton to attack Brown on: September 12, 2010, 02:24:15 pm
I'm extremely impressed by Whitman's campaign, and I'm becoming more confident every day that she'll win.
11723  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Stephen Edwin King (2003-present) on: September 12, 2010, 02:17:34 pm
This is good, but I can't see King being competitive against Bush. Bush would crush him for lack of experience.
11724  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Official 'Make a 2012 Prediction' Thread on: September 12, 2010, 12:38:04 pm
I would also put Pennsylvania voting for the Republican before I'd put Michigan or Oregon.
11725  Election Archive / 2010 House Election Polls / Re: ID-Qualtrics: Rep. Minnick (D) leads by 2:1 on: September 12, 2010, 12:36:03 pm
The question is, will he vote for Pelosi for Speaker?
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