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October 30, 2014, 07:07:43 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / GA: Landmark Communications: Deal leads narrowly on: Today at 06:30:31 pm
New Poll: Georgia Governor by Landmark Communications on 2014-10-29

Summary: D: 46%, R: 48%, I: 4%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / GA: Landmark Communications: Nunn and Perdue tied on: Today at 06:29:02 pm
New Poll: Georgia Senator by Landmark Communications on 2014-10-29

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 3%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Kansas City or San Francisco? on: Today at 06:23:28 pm
San Francisco, but not the actually city. Somewhere in Marin County sounds nice. Nowhere around KC sounds nice.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See on: Today at 03:42:15 pm
The Washington Poll was released for KCTS9 yesterday.  As many of you know this poll is performed by the University of Washington on a yearly (or nearly yearly basis).

Would definitely post a link to the full results for you guys, but it looks like I am below the post number threshold to paste links.  You can find it pretty easily through Google.  You can also go to the KCTS 9 website and find by clicking "Election 2014" under the programs tab.

Disappointed in the survey this year.  Would have been great if they actually polled the house races rather than just asking about initiatives.  I guess the one nice thing is we have some confirmation that Elway Poll wasn't crazy when it said that it really is a possibility that both gun initiatives pass.

Also love the wording of question 34, "The America that you know and love isn't changing too fast, and will never change..."  Agree or Disagree?   What if there isn't much to love about the current America and you want it to change?

I assume you mean this? It's a nice LaTeX file.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: TIED RACE on: Today at 11:48:32 am
Is there any evidence that PPP's polls for LCV are biased?
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2014 Major League Baseball prediction and discussion thread. on: October 29, 2014, 10:22:22 pm
Goddammit.

If the Royals were going to lose, why couldn't they have just lost to the Angels?
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you rather live in a left-wing theocracy or a Randian Objectist society? on: October 29, 2014, 12:14:00 pm
Objectivism might just be the worst "ideology" ever created.
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Are you concerned about ethics in video game journalism? on: October 29, 2014, 12:11:20 pm
Not really as I don't play many video games. However, Quinn and Sarkeesian et al are pretty much the worst, making the entire situation something best avoided.

That's fair as far as it goes– but it might just be a good idea to care about harassment and death threats.

Death threats via the internet are some of the least credible things out there. You get death threats if you post something against the circlejerk on Reddit or against an SJW on Tumblr, for example, but you'd be a paranoid idiot to take either seriously. It's also hard for me to take internet harassment seriously (especially from strangers) compared to real life harassment as it's so incredibly easy to avoid it on the internet.

Now, it's certainly not a good or nice thing to do, but it's not really notable.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Upset of election night on: October 28, 2014, 09:29:11 pm
Either Begich or M. Udall (or both) wins. I think Begich winning is fairly likely, actually.

I don't think there are any real "upset" Republican victory possibilities in the Senate. I don't think Brown has much chance, and an Iowa or Colorado or Alaska victory wouldn't be an upset. Hagan being upset is possible, but unlikely. Roberts winning isn't an upset, really. Some could be closer than expected, but I don't count that as an upset.

For Governors, Republicans could fairly easily win Connecticut and/or Massachusetts. Those could be considered upsets, I guess.
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1900 Presidential Election Runoff on: October 28, 2014, 09:26:44 pm
Bryan every time he ran.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is Bushie a personification of White Male Privilege? on: October 28, 2014, 09:18:26 pm
slogging away at a minimum wage job and living in squalor.

That sounds like Bushie the vast majority of the time.

Bushie's only "privilege" is having a family that continues to provide for him. There's nothing racial or gender-based about that.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Palin may run in 2016 on: October 28, 2014, 09:14:47 pm
Nope, she won't.
13  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Pope Francis accepts evolution and Big Bang theory, says God isn't a magician on: October 28, 2014, 08:37:52 pm
I'm don't get why this continues to surprise people.

Also, here's a better translation of what the Pope said:

"When we read in Genesis the account of Creation, we risk imagining God as a magus, with a magic wand able to make everything. But it is not so. He created beings and allowed them to develop according to the internal laws that He gave to each one, so that they were able to develop and to arrive and their fullness of being. He gave autonomy to the beings of the Universe at the same time at which he assured them of his continuous presence, giving being to every reality. And so creation continued for centuries and centuries, millennia and millennia, until it became which we know today, precisely because God is not a demiurge or a conjurer, but the Creator who gives being to all things. The beginning of the world is not the work of chaos that owes its origin to another, but derives directly from a supreme Origin that creates out of love. The Big Bang, which nowadays is posited as the origin of the world, does not contradict the divine act of creating, but rather requires it. The evolution of nature does not contrast with the notion of Creation, as evolution presupposes the creation of beings that evolve."
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-Sen, New England College: Brown in the lead on: October 27, 2014, 05:21:40 pm
New England College has consistently been the only pollster to have Brown leading.
15  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2014 Major League Baseball prediction and discussion thread. on: October 26, 2014, 07:37:51 pm
Oscar Taveras of the Cardinals was just killed in a car accident.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Soouth Florida to become its own state? on: October 26, 2014, 01:49:06 pm
South Florida presidential voting
2012: Obama 54.1%, Romney 44.9%
2008: Obama 54.7%, Romney 44.4%
2004: Kerry 50.3%, Bush 48.9%
2000: Gore 51.8%, Bush 45.9%
1996: Clinton 50.6%, Dole 40.2%
1992: Clinton 40.3%, Bush 39.9%
1988: Bush 59.8%, Dukakis 39.6%
1984: Reagan 64.9%, Mondale 35.1%
1980: Reagan 56.3%, Carter 36.9%
1976: Carter 50.9%, Ford 47.7%
1972: Nixon 70.6%, McGovern 29.1%
1968: Nixon 45.7%, Humphrey 32.7%, Wallace 21.7%
1964: Johnson 53.0%, Goldwater 47.0%

North Florida presidential voting
2012: Romney 57.1%, Obama 41.6%
2008: McCain 55.2%, Obama 43.7%
2004: Bush 58.4%, Kerry 40.7%
2000: Bush 54.9%, Gore 42.6%
1996: Dole 46.7%, Clinton 42.7%
1992: Bush 43.0%, Clinton 36.2%
1988: Bush 63.3%, Dukakis 36.0%
1984: Reagan 66.3%, Mondale 33.7%
1980: Reagan 53.6%, Carter 42.2%
1976: Carter 54.5%, Ford 44.1%
1972: Nixon 75.0%, McGovern 24.7%
1968: Wallace 43.8%, Nixon 29.1%, Humphrey 27.1%
1964: Goldwater 52.8%, Johnson 47.2%
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning on: October 26, 2014, 01:38:22 am
I don't know if I'd say YouGov is biased against Dems as much as their polls are just really erratic and often cut against current conventional wisdom, partially due to their large sampling period. Their results can be lagging compared to most polls.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ted Cruz staffer trolls hard on Twitter on: October 25, 2014, 01:35:00 am


and ebola

You forgot Steve Jobs.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Soouth Florida to become its own state? on: October 25, 2014, 12:28:44 am
Anybody got any data on how each state would vote in the 2012 prezzy/2010 gov elections?

2012 Pres:
South Florida - Obama 54.1%, Romney 44.9%
North Florida - Romney 57.1%, Obama 41.6%

2010 Gov:
South Florida - Sink 50.7%, Scott 46.2%
North Florida - Scott 53.7%, Sink 42.3%
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Huckabee the favorite to win the Adelson primary? on: October 25, 2014, 12:06:12 am
There is not a single person who did  not vote for Romney, that would vote for him. He appeals to no one.

This is unrealistic. Huckabee and Romney appeal to vastly different groups. Huckabee and Romney would attract about as different sets of voters as 2 consecutive Republican nominees could.

I would strongly consider voting for Huckabee but would never vote for Romney.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Another School Shooting north of Seattle on: October 24, 2014, 02:16:31 pm
Only fifteen minutes from my home. Yikes.

EDIT: Apparently my brother-in-law's wife's brother teaches there. He's okay, though.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / School shooting in Marysville, Washington on: October 24, 2014, 01:50:14 pm
There was a shooting at a high school near my hometown. Up to eight people, including the shooter may have been shot.
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2014 Major League Baseball prediction and discussion thread. on: October 24, 2014, 12:06:05 pm
Maddon opts out from Rays
24  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Opinion of Family International on: October 24, 2014, 12:01:21 pm
what
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2014 Major League Baseball prediction and discussion thread. on: October 24, 2014, 01:39:33 am
I think it's the saddest thing that Tim Lincecum is just a few months separated from throwing a freakin' no-hitter and he's been reduced to a middle-relief/mop-up role.

dallas braden, dude

Or Philip Humber
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