Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 29, 2017, 12:53:19 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 431
1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which city would you rather live in? on: June 28, 2017, 02:13:58 pm
I'd prefer virtually any city in the US to New York.
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Wapo: New Study on seattle minimum wage is bad news for liberals on: June 28, 2017, 09:01:22 am
Christ, there's a lot of ignorance of academic economics is this thread.

It is not peer reviewed & I don't why it should even be discussed. Forget the good aspects,non-peer reviewed studies are largely considered junk in the academic world!

This is so incredibly wrong it makes my head hurt. Working papers (especially NBER working papers, which this was) are the most commonly discussed and covered type of economic paper, mostly due to the fact that they tend to be very high quality and publishing in economics takes forever. From the time a paper is done being written to publication can take years in economics; journals take forever even on the most basic desk rejection. Econ working papers are often better than the published versions of the same paper and receive more citations. Further, econ isn't the only field where working papers are the lingua franca; math and many of the hard sciences use extensive commenting on working papers through arXiv and the like.

Also, can't two different study methodologies (both reasonable in their own right) just produce different results?  Below the author of the Berkley study critiques the UW methodology.  Though I'm sure both could agree to disagree.

http://irle.berkeley.edu/files/2017/Reich-letter-to-Robert-Feldstein.pdf

I think I once remember reading a quote that was something like "You can get an economist to find any conclusion you like".  I'm sure there are so many conservative groups out there that could sponsor a study that shows Seattle is doomed.  

University academic studies produce conflicting results all the time.  It's kind of hard to make clear cut determinations of which one is "right" and which is "wrong".

The UW paper is clearly superior to the Berkeley paper given that UW replicated Berkeley's results and then showed why they painted an incomplete picture of the situation. UW simply had better data than Berkeley; their methodologies were barely any different! Berkeley's hemming and hawing is the academic equivalent of being a sore loser.
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Wapo: New Study on seattle minimum wage is bad news for liberals on: June 27, 2017, 03:37:14 pm
The federal government should subsidize the minimum wage increase to $12 - $15 so it doesn't hurt small businesses or cut jobs like this.

Solved

Or we could just scrap the minimum wage and implement an NIT. It would be far more efficient and solve the same problem.

NIT?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_income_tax
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Wapo: New Study on seattle minimum wage is bad news for liberals on: June 27, 2017, 03:33:12 pm
The federal government should subsidize the minimum wage increase to $12 - $15 so it doesn't hurt small businesses or cut jobs like this.

Solved

Or we could just scrap the minimum wage and implement an NIT. It would be far more efficient and solve the same problem.
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California assembly leader shelves single payer bill on: June 27, 2017, 03:24:36 pm
People might want to read this thread on why it was shelved before bitching about Democrats not being liberal enough.

https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/878474055233523712

I can't see single-payer surviving long in a state like CA (or WA) where voters can directly decide tax policy.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is it hypocritical of me to listen to this song? on: June 27, 2017, 03:15:34 pm
Heaven forbid a Christian band take the Christian position on abortion. Roll Eyes
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Wapo: New Study on seattle minimum wage is bad news for liberals on: June 27, 2017, 03:05:46 pm
Didn't  this study basically a "control" out of its ass?

That's how synthetic controls work. It's a pretty common and recognized method for studying discrete policy changes. The methodology is pretty solid.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: SC allows partial travel ban pending appeal on: June 26, 2017, 10:14:54 am
Apparently this decision was 6 to 3, meaning there was a liberal justice who supported this move.

All nine justices supported at least partial reinstatement. The three dissenters wanted full reinstatement.

So probably Alito, Gorsuch, and Thomas?

Yes, I believe so.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: SC allows partial travel ban pending appeal on: June 26, 2017, 10:10:57 am
Apparently this decision was 6 to 3, meaning there was a liberal justice who supported this move.

All nine justices supported at least partial reinstatement. The three dissenters wanted full reinstatement.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden’s dust up with hedge fund manager Bill Ackman on: June 24, 2017, 11:19:22 pm
Ackman has a point...
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Stephen Colbert win the White House? on: June 24, 2017, 06:05:27 pm
Ugh. He should've ran back in 2008, not now.

Didn't he get votes in the South Carolina Republican Primary in 2012?

2008 was when he actually tried to get on the SC ballot. In 2012, he had his fans vote for Herman Cain instead.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How did Minnesota stay blue on: June 24, 2017, 06:01:31 pm
I guess a better question is how come the Iron Range counties didn't flip to the Republicans like every other white working class Democrat area in the country?

Most of the Iron Range townships did flip. The only parts that didn't were tourist-y (Cook County is not working class, for example) or near Duluth, which is more urban.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If a 3rd party had won... on: June 24, 2017, 03:29:45 pm
source?

This site plus electproject.org/2016g
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If a 3rd party had won... on: June 24, 2017, 01:34:54 pm
If everyone who didn't vote had voted for the exact same "third party" candidate what would the map have looked like?

If you give every hypothetically eligible person who didn't vote for Trump or Clinton to the same third party candidate, you get a landslide:

15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which democrats would win Wyoming? on: June 24, 2017, 01:24:03 pm
Maybe Kanye if he registers as one.

We're talking about Wyoming. The musician you're looking for is Keith Urban, not Kanye.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which democrats would win Wyoming? on: June 24, 2017, 11:34:49 am
{ }
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Stephen Colbert win the White House? on: June 24, 2017, 11:33:14 am
Ugh. He should've ran back in 2008, not now.
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Democrats Are ‘Children Of Satan,’ Right-Wing Radio Host Says on: June 22, 2017, 10:45:49 am
Modern secular social liberalism has at its root the same pitch as Satan gave to Eve: you know better than God, so why follow His rules? In a very literal way, social liberalism, atheism, libertarianism, etc. could all be labeled as Satanic and rightfully so.

While it's literally impossible for people to know better than God, God gave us a brain in order to think, otherwise he would have left the brain part out. It's all part of God's plan. In any case, Trump isn't very Godly.

Sure, but not all possible thoughts and actions are in accordance with God's will; He gave us fists, but that itself doesn't morally justify a punch. That's part of the whole free will thing.

The Bible is predicated on the notion that God's will is inherently and definitionally the highest possible good, ergo deviation from it is suboptimal at best and outright evil at worst. Every time Satan appears in the Bible, his message is consistent. He talks to people who know what the right thing is, but for whom doing what they want to do would be easier, more pleasureful, and full of positive worldly consequences. When Satan came to Jesus in the desert, it was to tell Him that taking the easy way out would give Him all kinds of worldly wonders, despite the fact He knew the Father's will for Him was anything but easy.

The Left complains God's commands as understood through the Bible are too strict, too hard, too intolerant, too offensive. Wouldn't it be easier to just ignore them? Think of all the money, fame, sex, drugs, and power you could have. Wouldn't that just be so good? Think of how many fewer arguments we'd have if no one cared what others did. No one would ever have to feel judged for what they did; no one would have to ever experience anything negative which might actually build moral character. Everything would just be so easy. And at the end of the day, when you feel that gaping maw of emptiness inside you, it's okay because you can fill it with new shallow frivolities tomorrow; you can always mortgage your soul another day.

But at least liberals care about the worldly pleasantries of others. Libertarians and some others on the Right (including Trump) would take even that if they could extract another ounce of worldly pleasure for themselves. Atheists go so far as to say God's commands don't even exist, and spend their lives pre-gaming for the absence of God awaiting them after this life, going so far as to lionize eternal annihilation as a desirable end. The Satanic call is so ingrained in their psyche that even the infinite beauty of God's love becomes like ash in their mouths, something to be despised and hated even if they believed it existed. It's no coincidence that the Church of Satan is essentially an atheistic, libertarian cult.

You can see all that in this very thread. Satan's servants will embrace him at the slightest provocation, even if they never realized they were so before. Sure, it may often come as jest, but it is a Freudian jest at best; that they would even allow such an equivocation is telling in itself.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump: "I don't want poor people in my cabinet" on: June 22, 2017, 09:43:41 am
Be honest people: how many poor people do you know who'd even be qualified to run a federal department? Using a sensible definition of poor, anyway...
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump has new wall proposal on: June 22, 2017, 09:39:37 am
That's not such a bad idea, really.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Democrats Are ‘Children Of Satan,’ Right-Wing Radio Host Says on: June 21, 2017, 11:35:54 pm
Modern secular social liberalism has at its root the same pitch as Satan gave to Eve: you know better than God, so why follow His rules? In a very literal way, social liberalism, atheism, libertarianism, etc. could all be labeled as Satanic and rightfully so.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Did Ossoff even stand a chance? on: June 21, 2017, 10:10:16 am
Let's not pretend a <4-point margin race couldn't have gone the other way around.
Money can manufacture close races in most districts.

If anything, money was part of why he lost.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 21, 2017, 09:24:35 am
Stop comparing margins for incumbents to open seats.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 20, 2017, 07:11:38 pm
Handel projecting to a 10-point election day lead so far
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread on: June 20, 2017, 04:49:57 pm
DDHQ will report some of the election day vote long before the state does, which should hopefully be enough for a good sense of how the ED vote is heading.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 431


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines