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May 28, 2016, 08:53:52 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / 4/26 Clinton Sweep--implications? on: April 22, 2016, 03:37:29 pm
I can't help but think that if Hillary wins it all on 4/26 that Obama will officially endorse her and that Sanders will be on tremendous pressure to give it a rest
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What percentage of the Jewish vote with Bernie get in NY? on: April 17, 2016, 09:33:28 am
33%
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the Democratic primary result in each NYC borough on: April 15, 2016, 07:43:01 am
Bronx: HRC 71% - BS 28%
Manhattan: HRC 54% - BS 45%
Staten Island: HRC 56% - BS 43%
Brooklyn: HRC 59% - BS 40%
Queens: HRC 61% - BS 38%
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Predict NY Democratic and Republican results on: April 14, 2016, 08:04:54 am
Democrat
Clinton    56%
Sanders   43%

Republican
Trump 51%
Kasich 29%
Cruz 20%
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Where will Trump do better in New York? on: April 11, 2016, 07:04:53 pm
Benchmark Politics made a map for the Democratic primary.


Clinton loses Manhattan, and wins some north country counties? Come on.

Clinton losing Upstate makes sense, but I don't see why she'd be lean in Nassau. I'd say her support is stronger in Nassau than in Suffolk. She'll probably win Manhattan 55-45.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / New York counties on 4/19 on: April 01, 2016, 07:20:16 am
On both sides, who wins where? Idk how to do a county map but if anyone wants to I'd love to see your take or if not, just list it out the way I am.

DEMOCRATS
Hillary
All five boroughs
Nassau County
Suffolk County (by a small margin)
Westchester County
Rockland County
Putnam County
Dutchess County
Erie County
Rochester area

Bernie
Much of upstate (like Zephyr Teachout did) and
MAYBE Suffolk County

REPUBLICANS

Trump
Everywhere except for a few exceptions listed below

Cruz
A couple of counties near the border of Canada (EX: Hamilton County) that tend to be more conservative

Kasich
New York County (Manhattan) I could see going to Kasich
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DeBlasio to campaign for Hillary in New York (not a joke) on: April 01, 2016, 07:16:59 am
His approval rating here in NYC has climbed recently and remains very high among black and Latino NYers so I think this makes sense.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread on: March 22, 2016, 10:04:25 pm
ANY Az results?
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Rubio drop out this week? on: March 15, 2016, 06:25:38 pm
He's getting clobbered in FL
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 06:09:38 pm
Why is CNN's site not updating?!!
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 06:03:03 pm
ANY Florida #s anywhere? I'm so impatient haha
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / "Convention"al choices on: March 14, 2016, 05:15:26 pm
If Trump emerges as the delegate leader but does not clinch the nomination, who emerges as the recipient of the free agent delegates of the remaining candidates? Besides Romney and Ryan who I think are not the best choices.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / If the Confederacy Existed Today on: March 11, 2016, 07:31:15 pm
What would the confederate government look like? What national offices would exist? Who would hold these offices?
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican MI/MS/ID/HI election results thread (first results @8pm ET) on: March 08, 2016, 07:32:03 pm
Exit polls (taken with a heart disease inducing grain of salt) seem good for TRUMP but who knows..
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 08:06:15 pm
Two-person race narrative will emerge tonight, it looks like. Kasich doing nicely in northern KY. Maybe it's his moment to be the "third place champion" a la Rubio?
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 07:27:45 pm
This could wind up being a reasonably good night for Trump if he wins Kentucky and Louisiana. I think that because I still think that many in the establishment would sooner embrace Trump than Cruz.

no, trump is underperforming in every state that is reporting so far.

and he is losing precious delegates as we speak.

So then who "wins?" Cruz? Another person who could instantly be framed as a loon. Tonight's result is a bad night for the GOP.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 07:24:38 pm
This could wind up being a reasonably good night for Trump if he wins Kentucky and Louisiana. I think that because I still think that many in the establishment would sooner embrace Trump than Cruz.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Is Cruz the anti-Trump? on: March 05, 2016, 05:03:56 pm
Rubio just isn't closing the deal, and Cruz looks like he is gaining steam since Super Tuesday. Will the establishment warm to him and will he be the anti-Trump?
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @4pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 04:03:11 pm
When do KS Caucus results start coming in??? Why does the GOP have so much more reporteD?
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) on: March 05, 2016, 02:27:42 pm
Any live results?
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Trump Press Conference tonight @ 9 in FL on: March 05, 2016, 08:32:50 am
Another surprise press conference. Think it could be an endorsement or another Christie hostage negotiation?
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bad night for Rubio? on: March 01, 2016, 11:52:57 pm
He wasn't even expecting to win MN though.

I mean....ok?
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Bad night for Rubio? on: March 01, 2016, 11:47:09 pm
Despite his win in MN, I really can't see this as a "good" night for Rubio
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 09:04:57 pm
This is a bad night for Rubio.
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 06:52:19 pm
Predicted top of the hour projections:

VT for Sanders
GA for Clinton
VA for Clinton

VT for Trump
GA for Trump

VA too close to call for GOP
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