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March 25, 2017, 08:48:24 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Cuban for the Democrats? on: February 19, 2017, 08:06:45 am
Would have to throw out the Bernie voters, but if he ran as a centrist technocrat in the general, he could easily peel off a good 25% of Republican voters who are disgusted with Trump. I'm in favor of anything that makes the Marxist wing of the Democrat party as irrelevant as possible.

Are the Bernie voters *really* looking for ideological purity? How many would support Tulsi Gabbard despite a long record of "impure" political positions?
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 18, 2017, 03:56:08 pm
Will update after my bar exam (Tuesday and Wednesday) probably at the end of the week. Hope you're enjoying this!
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Cuban for the Democrats? on: February 18, 2017, 08:14:48 am
He's an atheist who named his boat after an Ayn Rand novel. Come on.

He's not who I'd want, but, Idk....things seem crazy these days and I'm sure people said the same stuff about Trump.

"But Trump" by itself is not a valid argument. The basis of it seems to be that since Trump won the nomination and election 2016 every single nomination and election from hereon out will work THE EXACT SAME WAY.
That's funny, because for about 4 years, the vast majority of people on this forum believed that the Midwest would continue to be Democrat for the foreseeable future, and the entire rest of the country would slowly shift blue. Let's not act like this sort of behavior is precedented.

Right and again, I'm not advocating for him, to be clear. But I just feel like an underwhelming Democratic field could yield to someone like Cuban who can just project views that would score him points with key demographics and if the media wants to cover him, who knows, maybe he really does have a shot.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Cuban for the Democrats? on: February 17, 2017, 10:54:04 pm
He's an atheist who named his boat after an Ayn Rand novel. Come on.

He's not who I'd want, but, Idk....things seem crazy these days and I'm sure people said the same stuff about Trump.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Cuban for the Democrats? on: February 17, 2017, 10:19:17 pm


He's trolling Trump now. Idk...I feel like it could be real
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Mark Cuban for the Democrats? on: February 17, 2017, 10:14:19 pm
Could he turn something gimmicky into a real campaign? Especially if it began as addressing the core Democratic base voters? Criminal justice reform, bringing back jobs, student debt, etc?
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Jason Kander somehow win the Democratic nomination? on: February 15, 2017, 07:18:54 am
He can postulate himself as Army Capt. Jason Kander who is also the founder of non-profit Let America Vote. So I guess, non-profit executive and Capt. Jason Kander would be his "Gov., Sen., businessman" title.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is progressive enough? on: February 13, 2017, 07:51:31 am
I'm worried that none of the clear contenders are "pure" enough. Personally, I will vote for literally any Democrat over Trump. But in the primaries I would like to support someone who will be at least acceptable, or at best exciting, to the Bernie wing of the party. But I don't think Booker, Gillibrand, Harris, or even Warren would be able to do it. Who can?

Hell yeah, I agree with you 100%. And there's a frightening paradox that I don't understand, especially from my #BernieOrBust friends this year.

1. "Hillary was not race conscious enough in the primaries, after all did you see what she did on 'the crime bill?!'"

yet

"Hillary focused too much on race and not enough on economic issues."

2. "Elizabeth Warren voted to confirm Ben Carson as HUD Secretary, and I can no longer support her."

yet

"Well when Bernie voted no on the Brady Bill that was fine, he had his reasons."

3. "Election and campaign finance reform or we refuse to budge! And no more super delegates"

yet

"But leave caucuses alone and if anything the super delegates should have backed Bernie because he was the better candidate." Also--side note, and I love Obama, but Hillary had a really raw deal in the 2008 primaries (remember Michigan and Florida?) and I don't remember outrage.

4. "Where is Hillary why isn't she marching?!"

yet

"I'm glad her name is not on the march, we don't need to revive Hillaryism anymore, she better not try to get involved."

5. "Gillibrand is just a Hillary-lite! So corporate and moderate!"

yet

She voted against Kelly for DHS for instance, and Sanders did not.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

So, in short, I worry that the demand for purity is going to doom the party and reminds me of the Tea Party antics that created the Sharron Angle and Carl Paladino primary victories of 2010. I do think, however, that someone like Sanders was and is uniquely positioned to talk about both campaign finance reform and also granular middle class economic issues. So, where that leaves us, I have no idea.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 11, 2017, 02:16:46 pm
Feel free to let me know your predictions. Next update soon with election results.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Most likely to run for the Democratic nomination on: February 11, 2017, 07:51:14 am
I'd say O'Malley is definitely running. He has nothing to lose.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How much of a traumatizing and damaging effect would a Warren nomination have on: February 11, 2017, 07:50:18 am
If Trump keeps his head in the game and remains focused on the important things like Ivanka's Nordstrom deal and typing in all caps so his base can understand what he Tweets then I'm sure he simply cannot lose.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 09, 2017, 09:50:10 pm
Election Night Eve



Sandberg: 200
Trump: 199
Tossup 139

'Twas the night before the election and the entire country was in suspense. The voters do not like Donald, and they do not like Pence.

As of late night, Nov. 2, 2020, President Trump has a 42% approval rating, with 54% of Americans disapproving of Trump. But after a grueling battle with Sheryl Sandberg, just 50% of Americans have a favorable view of her, with 43% holding an unfavorable view.

The battleground map looked different than it had any previous years. Whereas Iowa and Ohio seem likely to go for Trump, North Carolina and Georgia are bona fide tossups. In fact, Sheryl Sandberg led 5 of the last 10 polls in Georgia, and 7 of the past 10 polls in North Carolina.

Voters in rural America were beginning to experience the colossal pain attributed with the Repair Health Care Act and the Greater Again Health Act, laws dubbed "repaired versions" of the Affordable Care Act. Health insurance consumers were provided with health care savings account, which largely worked well for consumers with large health insurance markets, but the rollout was devastatingly unsuccessful in states like Kentucky and Florida.

Meanwhile, in August 2020, a devastating hurricane hit the Carolina coast, and it was discovered that President Trump, through his son Eric, benefited financially from storm recovery efforts. In early 2017, Eric Trump created 'The Greater Group,' a for-profit government consulting firm that created operational and administrative support for core government functions, including public security, tax reform, and privatization of municipal services. Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT) opened up a formal investigation in October 2020, and the fact-finding remains ongoing.

NEXT POST: ELECTION RESULTS
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Pick up to 3 candidates you would not support (vs Trump & 3rd Party)? on: February 09, 2017, 08:28:24 am
I'm voting for any Democrat over Trump, but I really think it would hurt to vote for Tulsi.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 07, 2017, 07:51:09 pm
DNC Convention


And it was official. Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg was nominated as the Democratic nominee for president, and Congressman Tim Ryan of Ohio was nominated for vice president.

Keynote Speaker:           Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Candidate:                     Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH)
Other notable speakers: 

Oprah Winfrey, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R-OH), Gen. Colin Powell, former Sec. Julian Castro (D-TX), U.S. citizens denied travel due to Muslim ban, former Sec. Hillary Clinton, former Pres. Barack Obama, former first lady Michelle Obama

NEXT UP: ELECTION NIGHT EVE PRIMER
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / If the 2020 Democratic Primaries were like the 2016 GOP Primaries on: February 06, 2017, 08:45:15 pm
What role do you think people would play (in terms of results, endorsements, polls, etc)?

My take (not a prediction of what I think will happen)

Trump:    maybe Mark Zuckerberg or Tulsi Gabbard
Cruz:      Warren
Rubio:     Kamala Harris
Kasich:    Kirsten Gillibrand
Carson:   Jason Kander
Jeb!        Bullock
Christie:   Cuomo
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Bernie Sanders run for president in 2020 on: February 05, 2017, 08:39:12 pm
I think he holds out like Biden did, which, ironically, probably hurts chances of an "outside progressive" of winning the nomination.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bob Casey? on: February 05, 2017, 06:47:19 pm
Ordinarily on paper I think he'd be good, but he has a complicated history on abortion.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Sherrod Brown stand a chance in 2020? on: February 05, 2017, 05:25:11 pm
I truly believe that at this point, *everyone* stands a chance depending on a lot of factors, especially

(1) mood of the electorate
(2) whether Bernie or Biden enter
(3) Trump approval
(4) mood of the base more specifically
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 04, 2017, 06:17:48 pm
Democratic Nominee Sheryl Sandberg Announced Congressman Tim Ryan Will Join Ticket

To the chagrin of Democratic leaders in Congress, Democratic presidential nominee Sheryl Sandberg announced that renegade Congressman Tim Ryan of Ohio would join her ticket at her vice presidential candidate, just 1 day before the commencement of the Democratic National Convention, also located in Ohio.

The theme of the Democratic National Convention will be 'Reclaiming and Reinvigorating America.'

Meanwhile, President Trump tweeted that Congressman Ryan was a "lightweight" and a "union crusader."

NEXT UP: Democratic and Republican conventions!
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kirsten Gillibrand Preparing for 2020 Presidential Run on: February 04, 2017, 03:17:44 pm
I really think the only way to know how she'll do is to see how she carries out her campaign.

If, let's say, early on frontrunners appear to be folks like Cory Booker or Roy Cooper or Mark Warner, etc., it's possible that her staunch opposition to Trump could launch her as the real activist progressive candidate. It depends on the mood of the electorate. I think everyone should jump in and run and see where the winds of the campaign take them.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 03, 2017, 06:42:38 pm
July 14, 2020

With the 2020 DNC Convention just days away in Cleveland, Ohio, presumptive Democratic nominee Sheryl Sandberg is facing immense pressure to choose a vice presidential candidate who will not only "do no harm," but also compensate for her perceived deficiencies, including foreign policy experience and fear of lack of competency. While his policies overall were unpopular, President Trump has most been damaged by his perceived lack of competence. Numerous instances of fumbling military operations, legislative rollouts, and administration hirings were dogged by an aura of incompetence and amateurishness. In fact, recent polling showed that 56% of likely voters viewed President Trump as somewhat or very incompetent, whereas just 40% view him as somewhat or very competent.

Moreover, Trump's July 2020 approval rating has risen to 39%, up from all-time low of just 26% in March 2019 when he "dared" ISIS to try and attack energy sites in the U.S., as was discovered by a plot foiled by FBI agents in Texas.

Polls until now have shown Trump trailing Sandberg after leading her head-to-head during the heated primary campaign. The most recent PPP poll has Sandberg up 46% to 43% against President Trump, and importantly, Sandberg has maintained a lead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin since May.

To compensate for a potentially stronger Trump in the fall and late summer, Sandberg is considering the following vice presidential candidates, as acquired by leaks and trial balloons from her campaign team.

Top Tier Shortlist
- Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
- Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
- Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
- Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT)
- Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
- Gov. Tom Wolf (D-PA)
- Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH)
- former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter (D-PA)

Serious Consideration
- Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
- Mayor Bill de Blasio (D-NY)
- former Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I-NY)
- Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA)
- Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO)
- Rep. Val Demings (D-FL)
- Sen. Angus King (D-ME)
- former Xerox CEO Ursula Burns
- Actor Tom Hanks
- Actor Will Smith
- Sen. Al Franken (D-MN)
- Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC)

Dark Horse Candidates
- Former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed (D-GA)
- Former Gen. John Allen
- Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX)
- Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL)

NEXT POST: VP pick announced

Also feel free to let me know any interesting VP choices!
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: January 29, 2017, 09:48:30 pm
Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz, who was on HRC's cabinet short list, is giving jobs to 10,000 refugees worldwide and publicized his entire plan far and wide online today. I wouldn't be surprised to see speculation about him.

http://fortune.com/2017/01/29/donald-trump-muslim-ban-starbucks/
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: No Apology: A History of the Romney Administration on: January 29, 2017, 05:43:17 pm
Very cool timeline. Loving the detail.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Question about.... Less Experienced Pres/ More Experienced VP ... Trend on: January 28, 2017, 06:38:32 pm
I guess this was the thinking behind choosing Kaine. He was harmless I suppose.

But this is why I think someone Julian Castro or Kamala Harris or Sheryl Sandberg possibly could put together a winning ticket
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Amash, Sasse criticize Trump on refugee ban on: January 28, 2017, 06:36:28 pm
And Charlie Dent
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