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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: COMEBACK OF THE CENTURY: Former Governor Jim McGreevey (D-NJ) on: May 12, 2014, 02:34:20 pm
Election Night, November 5, 2013

The Republicans

CHRISTIE WINS LANDSLIDE REELECTION



Politico: Gov. Christie thanked his family, the people of New Jersey, his Lt. Governor Kim Guadagno, and newly minted Sen. Marc Ferzan for their help in his unprecedented reelection. "On to the next race, to keep our great senator, Marc Ferzan in the Senate!" belted Christie at the end of his reelection speech.

NJ.com: Meanwhile, U.S. Rep. Chris Smith has reportedly told national conservative organizations such as Americans for Prosperity, the Heritage Foundation, and others that he will challenge Ferzan to give Republicans a "credible but conservative" choice for the U.S Senate. Smith, whose House found has about $300,000 on hand, released two internal polls to the NRSC and top conservative leaders in a memo:

ATTN: NRSC and the Hon. Senator Jerry Moran
Subject: Change Course

GOP Pollster Confirms Ferzan's Weak Position, Smith in Lead

Choice of NJ Republicans (805, 10/31-11/5)

Chris Smith: 35%
Marc Ferzan: 31%

Experienced Member of Congress: 36%
Newly appointed Sen. Ferzan:       29%

Smith represents Central Jersey, from Trenton to the Jersey Shore (Point Pleasant area), and has relatively high name recognition among Republicans likely to vote.

The Democrats

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Meanwhile, Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop, an ally of former Gov. Jim McGreevey has publicly announced that he will encourage the former governor to run for the open Senate seat.


"You know how they have Ready for Hillary?" joked Fulop to an Asbury Park Press reporter, "well I'm ready for Jim. I know if he runs, New Jersey progressives will unite behind him."

And polling shows that this could be a possibility:

NYTimes Poll: (700 Democrats in NJ 11/1-11/5)
Former Gov. Jim McGreevey            16%
Former Gov. Richard Codey             11%
State Sen. Barbara Buono               11%
U.S. Rep. Frank Pallone                   10%
Hoboken Mayor Dawn Zimmer         8%
Former U.S. Rep. Steve Rothman    8%
State Senator Loretta Weinberg       7%
U.S. Rep. Donald Payne, Jr.              7%
Former L.G. Candidate Milly Silva     6%
Undecided                                     16%

Headlines from local newspapers:

New York Post: "Disgraced McGreevey Leads Pack of Democrats to Replace Menendez

Newark Star-Ledger: "McGreevey, Not Yet a Candidate, Tops Opponents in Democratic Poll"

The New Jersey Herald: "NJ Dems to Buono: Get Lost; McGreevey, Come Back"

The New York Times: "A Handful of Candidates Declared, McGreevey Leads Potential Democratic Challengers"

Stay tuned, as other Democrats will jump in the race.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: COMEBACK OF THE CENTURY: Former Governor Jim McGreevey (D-NJ) on: May 11, 2014, 11:12:28 am
The Republicans

Noon, Saturday October 19, 2013

Conversation between Gov. Christie and his top aide, Michael DuHaime.

DuHaime: Chris, what's the deal? Whitman says she's up to it as long as you back her in the primary and obviously in the general. NRSC calling me all day, pain in my neck, urging you to choose her.

Christie: Mike she's going to upstage me. She's gonna be the hit if I appoint her. It's too close my to reelection for her to be the big story. Why don't I just go with Joe [Kyrillos]. He's a state senator. He ran once before. He's always been good to us, he…

DuHaime: [Sen. and NRSC head Jerry] Moran said not to choose someone who has lost office before. All the pro-life groups are urging Chris Smith but the NRCC doesn't wanna' lose someone in the house. Go with Whitman. Or appoint Kim, but that's tricky around election time.

Christie: I don't give a @!$# about what the NRSC says. I'm not ruining our brand. What about Ferzan?

DuHaime: The Sandy guy?

Christie: He's my top aide for storm recovery. Come on think about it. Who's gonna' say he hasn't helped Jersey and besides, just like veterans, everyone likes someone who helped during Sandy.

DuHaime: I'll ask the NRSC what they…

Christie: Don't ask. Tell them he's our guy.

Noon, Monday, October 21, 2013

BREAKING NEWS: GOV. CHRISTIE APPOINTS SANDY RECOVERY CZAR MARC FERZAN TO THE U.S. SENATE


Marc Ferzan: Thank you Gov. Christie so much for this opportunity to continue to serve the people of New Jersey. When Hurricane Sandy hit our great state, I served proudly under Gov. Christie's leadership to ensure that the people of New Jersey were not forgotten. As an assistant attorney general, I prosecuted Sandy swindlers and criminal thugs. I'm a born fighter, and I'm ready to take the fight to the U.S. Senate. I am also proud that I will be a candidate to retain my Senate seat for the 2014 election.

PolitickerNJ: Newly minted Sen. Marc Ferzan will announce his campaign apparatus in a few weeks. The NRSC and RNC are allegedly extremely displeased with Christie but will work with Ferzan to ensure he's ready for what will likely be a brutal campaign season--against both Republicans and Democrats. Meanwhile, a source close to Sen. Moran had this to say, "I don't think even people in NJ have ever heard of this guy. But Jerry [Moran] is going to do what he can to keep him in the Senate. We don't want a primary."

A PolitickerNJ source has confirmed that conservative groups are looking to push a more right-wing candidate such as Rep. Chris Smith into the race. In a morning interview with Fox 5 NY, Sen. Ferzan described himself as a "moderate, common sense Republican," in favor of civil unions and abortions if a mother's health and well-being is in danger. Rep. Smith, Co-Chair of the House Pro-Life Caucus described Ferzan's position on abortion as "disturbing and inconsistent with what Jersey conservatives want."

The Democrats

Hoboken Mayor Dawn Zimmer announced her campaign with the backing of EMILY's List.

U.S. Rep. Rush Holt says that he will not run for the Senate seat and will retire in 2014 at the end of his term.

In a meeting with minority elected officials, Newark Councilman Anibal Ramos, Jr. said that there needs to be an unconventional choice for the Senate. "I like Dawn a lot," said Ramos to his colleagues. "But Christie is gonna' go all in for Ferzan, and he's outpolling her right now."

An internal poll for the DSCC shows Sen. Marc Ferzan trailing a "generic Democrat" by just one point. 38% Ferzan - 37% Generic Democrat.    37% Ferzan - 33% Dawn Zimmer

Wednesday, October 23, 2013
MAUREEN DOWD OP-ED: NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS, DO SOME SOUL SEARCHING

It's time for New Jersey Democrats to do some soul searching. Bob Menendez, guilty or not, now represents the ugly in politics. Democrats need someone to heal the State and the Senate, if they want to take back this seat. Former Gov. Jim McGreevey, once disgraced and now reborn, could earn Democrats some healing credit.

Monday, October 28, 2013

Gay and Lesbian Victory Fund Email: SENATOR JIM MCGREEVEY?

The LGBT political institute is drafting a petition to convince the former governor to run for the seat. STAY TUNED Cheesy
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Rolling on on: May 10, 2014, 01:16:20 pm
Those NY numbers kinda freaked me out. Sean Eldridge + 12 over GOP but Nydia Velazquez is down by 1? How so? She should be winning by like 40 pts
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: COMEBACK OF THE CENTURY: Former Governor Jim McGreevey (D-NJ) on: May 10, 2014, 12:43:12 pm
10:00am Friday , October 18, 2013

U.S. SENATOR BOB MENENDEZ (D-NJ) TO RESIGN AMID INDICTMENT IN CORRUPTION PROBE



"My fellow New Jersians: I do not agree with the decision by the U.S. Attorney, but I respect the judicial process. I am confident that I will be exonerated of all charges, and that this political witch hunt come to an end. But for now, the great state of New Jersey deserves to free from this drama. And for this reason, I have made the painful decision to step down as your senior senator."

REPORTS: GOV. CHRIS CHRISTIE WILL NOT CALL A SPECIAL ELECTION, WILL ANNOUNCE APPOINTMENT NEXT WEEK

News 12 New Jersey Breaking News: Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ) will announce his decision to replace disgraced former Senator Bob Menendez next week, with sources close to the governor saying that a special election will not be called, and that the Governor will appoint someone who may seek re-election during the 2014 election cycle.

Rumored replacements include:

*Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno
*Former Governor and EPA Administrator Christine Todd Whitman
*State Senator Thomas Kean, Jr.
*State Senator Joe Kyrillos
*Assembly Minority Whip Jon Bramnick
*U.S. Representative Chris Smith
*U.S. Representative Frank LoBondio
*Hurricane Sandy Recovery Czar Marc Ferzan
*Former U.S. Senator and Attorney General of NJ, Jeffrey Chiesa

Meanwhile, former special election Senate candidate Steve Lonegan, and a slew of other Republican local officials have pitched their names as potential contenders, even in a primary election.

Democrats, in a scramble, released the names of a number of individuals considering running against Christie's choice in November 2014:

*U.S. Representative Frank Pallone
*U.S. Representative Steve Holt
*U.S. Representative Donald Payne, Jr
*Former U.S. Representative Steve Rothman
*Hoboken Mayor Dawn Zimmer
*State Senate President Stephen Sweeney
*State Senator Loretta Weinberg
*Former Governor Richard Codey
*Deputy Assembly Speaker Upendra J. Chivukula

…Stay tuned, some candidates will be announcing shortly Wink
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: COMEBACK OF THE CENTURY: Former Governor Jim McGreevey (D-NJ) on: May 09, 2014, 03:55:36 pm
PROJECTION

9:30 pm - OCTOBER 16, 2013

NEWARK MAYOR CORY BOOKER IS ELECTED TO REPLACE THE LATE FRANK LAUTENBERG



10:00am - OCTOBER 17, 2013

BREAKING NEWS

According to the Newark Star Ledger, U.S. Senator Bob Menendez, Democrat from New Jersey, has been indicted in connection with a federal corruption probe. U.S. Attorney Paul J. Fishman will hold a news conference at noon outlining the details of the arrest.

New Jersey's political world has been sent in a tailspin. Some experts and analysts predict that Senator Menendez will be forced to resign, and Gov. Christie may call a special election. Stay tuned!
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / COMEBACK OF THE CENTURY: Former Governor Jim McGreevey (D-NJ) on: May 08, 2014, 10:13:18 pm
…stay tuned, folks!

32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Maryland Gubernatorial Primary Predictions (D) on: April 12, 2014, 05:09:38 pm
Am I the only one who thinks that Mizeur will wind up coming in 2nd place?

What are your predictions?

33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Gonna Try Timelines Again Cuz Why Not??...Help me pick on: October 19, 2013, 07:45:40 pm
Louder than a Foghorn: Bella Abzug's Ascendancy to the White House: Firecracker Rep. Bella Abzug emerges as a national figure after her razor thing primary victory for Senate.

Colder than Tea: After President McCain and Vice President Palin's victory in 2008, progressive Democrats such as Russ Feingold encourage primaries from the left to ensure that "real Democrats" are elected.

Miracle or Nightmare: Mike Huckabee is nominated as the Republican nominee in 2008. After two cycles of presidential election disgust, will John McCain switch sides?

Scandal Pages: Not a timeline, different entries of fictional scandals that befall popular and well-known modern day political figures.

Let me know, thanks!
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: U.S. Senators and Governors as of January 2019 on: October 19, 2013, 07:26:30 pm
Can you post the results (including primary) for Senate and Governor in NY?? Would really like to see specifics.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / NY Primaries Prediction Thread '13 on: September 02, 2013, 05:36:44 pm
Post your predictions for the following primary races

NYC Mayor (D and R)
NYC Comptroller
NYC Public Advocate
Manhattan Borough President
Queens Borough President

Nassau County Executive

and whomever else
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016: The Changing Faces of the Presidency on: July 30, 2013, 12:06:19 pm
Anyone want me to continue this or should I just leave it be?
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: will ryan be the 2016 gop nominee on: August 11, 2012, 04:03:06 pm
Curse of the GOP  Veeps and Veep candidates

Quayle. Cheney. Palin. Now Ryan. All have underwhelmed, become unpopular, and never lived up to national aspirations (Cheney by choice, I think).

38  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Paul Ryan will be dropped from ticket... on: August 11, 2012, 04:00:43 pm
...is my guess
39  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / We'll see but... on: August 10, 2012, 11:44:55 pm
...I can't help but not trust the hype that it's Paul Ryan. The Romney campaign has been DYING for its moment in the sun, so why lose the glory of a surprise morning pick tonight?
40  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Will Obama Get >60% in Massachusetts? on: August 05, 2012, 11:53:36 am
I think 58-41 or 59-40 is most likely, if it's still bad for Romney like with the non-release of the tax returns, I say like 60-39 or 61-38.
41  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / If it's true... on: August 01, 2012, 02:03:25 pm
as Harry Reid says, that Romney has not paid taxes for 10 years...can he continue as the GOP nominee?

http://news.yahoo.com/harry-reids-wild-speculation-mitt-romneys-unreleased-tax-215329613--abc-news-politics.html
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: A New Day: The Dean Presidency on: July 31, 2012, 12:13:44 am
As a liberal I love this KEEP IT UP
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: how would tv/movie characters vote on: July 26, 2012, 12:08:45 am
True Blood

Sookie: 2008 Huckabee, 2012 Romney
Bill: Gary Johnson
Jason: Romney
Tara: Obama
Lafayette: Obama
Eric: Gary Johnson
Andy B: Romney
Arlene: Romney
Sam: Obama
Jessica: Obama
44  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney VP search: free-floating speculation and wish list thread on: July 24, 2012, 10:31:48 pm
It will be Rudy Giuliani
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016: The Changing Faces of the Presidency on: July 22, 2012, 11:48:11 pm
New Hampshire Primary Results and State of the Race

Republicans:
Chris Christie    39%
Bob McDonnell     23%
Susana Martinez  17%
Rand Paul            17%
Others--rem %

Democrats:
Mark Warner    40%
Joe Biden          36%
Christine Quinn   22%

NEW YORK TIMES DEBRIEF

Christie Routs Opponents in New Hampshire; Calls on Opponents to Drop Out

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie called on his opponents to drop out of the Republican primary race after his double-digit victory in New Hampshire last night. "New Hampshire picks presidential candidates, in our party's history---New Hampshire winners win the contest. If we want to take on the Democrats, and stop Obama's third time, we need to do this united--so I'm asking Republicans to join me. We don't need second-tier candidates this year."

Meanwhile, Governor Bob McDonnell, joined with Mitt Romney, decried Christie's arrogance and said that candidates "earn their spot over a series of contests, not just the flavor of the weak." A major battle seemed to be brewing between the McDonnell and Christie camps.

With Nevada and South Carolina next, Christie was worried about losing his New Hampshire momentum. Nevada polls gave Susana Martinez an edge but it was shrinking to Christie and McDonnell. And in South Carolina McDonnell led the pack...stay tuned for the Democratic result breakdown!
46  General Politics / International General Discussion / Let's Brace Ourselves... on: July 18, 2012, 12:41:40 pm
Iran is accused of having a hand in the disgusting attack on Israeli youth in Bulgaria. Netanyahu vows "strong response."
47  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney VP search: free-floating speculation and wish list thread on: July 16, 2012, 12:19:07 pm
I think it's going to be someone like Marsha Blackburn or Cathy McMorris-Rodgers. They won't upstage Romney and the public doesn't know too much about them. As far as I know, they don't have major skeletons in their closet so public fascination onto them shouldn't be damaging...?
48  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Romney VP search: free-floating speculation and wish list thread on: July 16, 2012, 11:31:59 am
Doesn't it make sense...that Mitt Romney wants to have a surprise VP pick to get some positive/focused news coverage on his campaign?

It obviously isn't Condi Rice, that was done to draw fascination, and now the talks of Pawlenty, I think that's done to draw some speculation, but now I think it won't be him. I remember McCain had his Tom Ridge moment, Tim Pawlenty moment, even Mitt Romney moment.

I think it's going to be a woman...
49  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Bye Bye VP Ayotte? on: July 15, 2012, 03:17:57 pm
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v6_mWlAOLn0

She gave a terrible interview on ABC. Does this take her out of the running for VP?
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2016: The Changing Faces of the Presidency on: July 14, 2012, 07:26:35 pm
THE NEW YORK TIMES: CAUCUS DAY RESULTS

Biden Pulls of Democratic Victory; O'Malley and Sanchez Drop Out

Vice President Joe Biden squeaked his way past Senator Mark Warner in yesterday's Iowa Caucus. New York City Mayor Chris Quinn, who came a distant third, spent her day in New Hampshire where she is in a battle for first place with Biden and Warner.

Former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley dropped out of the race citing his fourth place performance in Iowa. O'Malley, who touted his progressive reforms as governor during his race, says that he will back the candidate with the "strongest progressive values who can also unite our party" sometime before the Maryland primary should it become competitive.

Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez dropped her quixotic bid and reserved her endorsement until "Latino leaders can come together and announce our support for who stands best on Latino [issues]."

Martinez Surges into Tie With McDonnell; Christie Distant Fourth

New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez shocked the political world by coming just a few hundred votes shy of topping former Virginia governor and frontrunner Bob McDonnell. The Iowa Republican Party says that Martinez earned delegates at the convention, and came just about 286 votes away from first place.

Senator Rand Paul earned a disappointing 20%, but will return to New Hampshire to campaign for the Granite State's first in the nation primary.

Meanwhile, NJ Governor Chris Christie is under tremendous fire for his lackluster performance in Iowa. Despite this, he is leading polls in New Hampshire.

Congressman Paul Ryan has dropped out.

A big question remains: Is Susana Martinez building momentum, or was this a freak result?
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