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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Thinking of trying my hand on: February 07, 2017, 04:15:49 pm
Bernie. I was a total Hillary supporter (primary and general), but I want to salivate over what I (hope) would be a far-left presidential administration.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / If the 2020 Democratic Primaries were like the 2016 GOP Primaries on: February 06, 2017, 08:45:15 pm
What role do you think people would play (in terms of results, endorsements, polls, etc)?

My take (not a prediction of what I think will happen)

Trump:    maybe Mark Zuckerberg or Tulsi Gabbard
Cruz:      Warren
Rubio:     Kamala Harris
Kasich:    Kirsten Gillibrand
Carson:   Jason Kander
Jeb!        Bullock
Christie:   Cuomo
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Bernie Sanders run for president in 2020 on: February 05, 2017, 08:39:12 pm
I think he holds out like Biden did, which, ironically, probably hurts chances of an "outside progressive" of winning the nomination.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bob Casey? on: February 05, 2017, 06:47:19 pm
Ordinarily on paper I think he'd be good, but he has a complicated history on abortion.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Sherrod Brown stand a chance in 2020? on: February 05, 2017, 05:25:11 pm
I truly believe that at this point, *everyone* stands a chance depending on a lot of factors, especially

(1) mood of the electorate
(2) whether Bernie or Biden enter
(3) Trump approval
(4) mood of the base more specifically
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 04, 2017, 06:17:48 pm
Democratic Nominee Sheryl Sandberg Announced Congressman Tim Ryan Will Join Ticket

To the chagrin of Democratic leaders in Congress, Democratic presidential nominee Sheryl Sandberg announced that renegade Congressman Tim Ryan of Ohio would join her ticket at her vice presidential candidate, just 1 day before the commencement of the Democratic National Convention, also located in Ohio.

The theme of the Democratic National Convention will be 'Reclaiming and Reinvigorating America.'

Meanwhile, President Trump tweeted that Congressman Ryan was a "lightweight" and a "union crusader."

NEXT UP: Democratic and Republican conventions!
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kirsten Gillibrand Preparing for 2020 Presidential Run on: February 04, 2017, 03:17:44 pm
I really think the only way to know how she'll do is to see how she carries out her campaign.

If, let's say, early on frontrunners appear to be folks like Cory Booker or Roy Cooper or Mark Warner, etc., it's possible that her staunch opposition to Trump could launch her as the real activist progressive candidate. It depends on the mood of the electorate. I think everyone should jump in and run and see where the winds of the campaign take them.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: February 03, 2017, 06:42:38 pm
July 14, 2020

With the 2020 DNC Convention just days away in Cleveland, Ohio, presumptive Democratic nominee Sheryl Sandberg is facing immense pressure to choose a vice presidential candidate who will not only "do no harm," but also compensate for her perceived deficiencies, including foreign policy experience and fear of lack of competency. While his policies overall were unpopular, President Trump has most been damaged by his perceived lack of competence. Numerous instances of fumbling military operations, legislative rollouts, and administration hirings were dogged by an aura of incompetence and amateurishness. In fact, recent polling showed that 56% of likely voters viewed President Trump as somewhat or very incompetent, whereas just 40% view him as somewhat or very competent.

Moreover, Trump's July 2020 approval rating has risen to 39%, up from all-time low of just 26% in March 2019 when he "dared" ISIS to try and attack energy sites in the U.S., as was discovered by a plot foiled by FBI agents in Texas.

Polls until now have shown Trump trailing Sandberg after leading her head-to-head during the heated primary campaign. The most recent PPP poll has Sandberg up 46% to 43% against President Trump, and importantly, Sandberg has maintained a lead in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin since May.

To compensate for a potentially stronger Trump in the fall and late summer, Sandberg is considering the following vice presidential candidates, as acquired by leaks and trial balloons from her campaign team.

Top Tier Shortlist
- Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)
- Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
- Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
- Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
- Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT)
- Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
- Gov. Tom Wolf (D-PA)
- Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH)
- former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter (D-PA)

Serious Consideration
- Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
- Mayor Bill de Blasio (D-NY)
- former Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I-NY)
- Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA)
- Gov. John Hickenlooper (D-CO)
- Rep. Val Demings (D-FL)
- Sen. Angus King (D-ME)
- former Xerox CEO Ursula Burns
- Actor Tom Hanks
- Actor Will Smith
- Sen. Al Franken (D-MN)
- Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC)

Dark Horse Candidates
- Former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed (D-GA)
- Former Gen. John Allen
- Rep. Joaquin Castro (D-TX)
- Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL)

NEXT POST: VP pick announced

Also feel free to let me know any interesting VP choices!
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: January 29, 2017, 09:48:30 pm
Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz, who was on HRC's cabinet short list, is giving jobs to 10,000 refugees worldwide and publicized his entire plan far and wide online today. I wouldn't be surprised to see speculation about him.

http://fortune.com/2017/01/29/donald-trump-muslim-ban-starbucks/
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: No Apology: A History of the Romney Administration on: January 29, 2017, 05:43:17 pm
Very cool timeline. Loving the detail.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Question about.... Less Experienced Pres/ More Experienced VP ... Trend on: January 28, 2017, 06:38:32 pm
I guess this was the thinking behind choosing Kaine. He was harmless I suppose.

But this is why I think someone Julian Castro or Kamala Harris or Sheryl Sandberg possibly could put together a winning ticket
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Amash, Sasse criticize Trump on refugee ban on: January 28, 2017, 06:36:28 pm
And Charlie Dent
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: January 27, 2017, 06:43:35 pm
Is she running as a progressive?

Yes. Her big issues are health care (undoing Trumpcare debacle), immigration reform (preventing the building of the overly-expensive, useless border wall, as she sees it), pro-worker entrepreneurial climate (unemployment has risen under Trump), and climate change. Warren ran largely on universal college tuition and single payer health with Wall Street reform and the message did not resonate as well as it did with Sanders.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: January 27, 2017, 05:42:31 pm
A Smart move for Castro... and would help in accomplishing one of the 3 outcomes mentioned above...
 
(1. Depending on the political Climate in 4 years, he could get the nomination ...  2. He gains a lot of traction, wins states like CA-FL-TX-AZ-NM-NV-CO-UT-Puerto Rico, and finishes 2nd in the Primary & is the natural choice for VP....  3. He loses the Primary, but Dems win the President... and Castro gets a higher profile Cabinet Position)

....would be to tag team with the Womens March movement to put together a Huge Latino Voter Registration in Florida, Arizona, and Texas.  Latino's have the biggest pool of unregistered eligible voters... especially younger Latinos in TX & AZ ... and Puerto Rican Latinos in Florida.  This could have a big effect on the outcome of AZ and FL in the 2020 election.

I agree, it's why I've posted a lot about Castro on the forum. I feel like his decision to run for president actually makes more sense than him running in Texas first.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: January 27, 2017, 05:29:49 pm
Have to say, it's funny that I'm developing this TL while there's mini-speculation about her actually running.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2020 election poll on: January 27, 2017, 08:09:43 am
Thanks for making this. When do we get results?
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Joe Crowley 2020? on: January 26, 2017, 10:29:38 pm
His personality could go mano a mano with Trump
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: January 26, 2017, 09:17:24 pm

After months of a grueling primary duel with Elizabeth Warren, Sheryl Sandberg emerged as the clear victor in the 2020 Democratic primaries. Despite garnering few notable endorsements, Sandberg was able to create a coalition of millennial voters, mothers, and urban voters that propelled her to a substantial victory.

States Sandberg won
AL, AK, AR, AZ, CA, CT, DE, DC, FL, GA, Guam, HI,  IL, IN, IA, LA, MI, MO, NC, NM, NV, NJ, NY, Northern Mariana Islands, OH, OK, PA, Puerto Rico, SC, TN, TX, U.S. Virgin Islands,

States Warren won
CO, Democrats Abroad, ID, KS, KY, MA, ME, MN, MT, ND, NE, NH, OR, RI, SD, UT, VT, WA, WI, WV, WY



Warren
Sandberg

Looking Ahead to Trump

After clinching the Democratic nomination, Sheryl Sandberg remained tied with Donald Trump in the polls. Warren did not officially quit the race until the last contests in June, despite being mathematically eliminated weeks earlier. So when Sandberg was officially the last Democrat standing, the Democratic establishment and various progressive wings of the party rallied behind her.

First post primary polls (June 24, 2020)
NAT: Sandberg 49% - Trump 45%
CO: Sandberg 48% - Trump 43%
GA: Trump 47% - Sandberg 44%
NC: Trump 49% - Sandberg 46%
PA: Sandberg 48% - Trump 43%
TX: Trump 49% - Sandberg 39%
VA: Sandberg 50% - Trump 40%

June 24, 2016 Trump approval/disapproval rating: 42%/53%

NEXT UP: Sandberg VP prospects

44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: January 25, 2017, 11:51:11 am
Zuckerberg says he does not plan to run for president:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/2017/01/25/mark-zuckerberg-shoots-rumours-presidential-ambitions/

Quote
But after weeks of conjecture Zuckerberg has said he doesn't have political ambitions. In response to a question from BuzzFeed about whether he had any plans to run for president he said "No".

"I'm focused on building our community at Facebook and working on the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative," he said. 

Meanwhile, some are suggesting that Sheryl Sandberg does:

link

Quote
Facebook Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg is preparing a robust tour in conjunction with her foundation activities this spring to promote her upcoming book, “Option B,” leading some Democratic operatives to speculate that she's mulling a 2020 presidential campaign.

In recent weeks, her staff interviewed young aides with campaign chops for the months-long project, according to a source familiar with the planning. Another called it “common knowledge” in Democratic Party circles that she is considering such a run.
.
.
.
Sources wired into her inner circle at Facebook point out that Sandberg, a political appointee at the Treasury Department during the Clinton administration, has surrounded herself throughout her tenure in Silicon Valley with support staff members with political experience. The spokesperson for Mitt Romney’s 2012 presidential bid, Andrea Saul, for example, worked for Sandberg in 2013 while promoting her first book, “Lean In.” Facebook’s Menlo Park headquarters has housed dozens of former political operatives who decamped from Washington.  

Sandberg is also a loyal and reliable Democratic donor, contributing more than $120,000 to campaigns in the 2016 cycle, including $30,000 to the EMILY’s List turnout operation, “Women Vote.” She reportedly was eyeing a possible return to Washington as a leading contender to serve as Treasury secretary in a Hillary Clinton administration, though she said publicly she would stay at Facebook.


I'm also writing a TL about it Wink
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Staten Island on: January 25, 2017, 07:14:37 am
What would Staten Island be like if it were not part of NYC? How would that in turn have affected the politics of the city if it were missing its fifth Borough?

It would probably be just as it is but in New Jersey. Probably slight more suburban and the north shore (i.e. where the Eric Garner slaughter happened) would not have substantial public housing.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Caroline Kennedy 2020? on: January 25, 2017, 07:11:16 am
She should run for Congress before running. Once she's in elected office, she would be formidable.

She'll be 60 this year; she's my age.

Had she replaced Hillary in the Senate in NY, she'd be in the mix.  She's starting too late, and she hasn't really done anything up until now that would register with people as Presidential qualifications. 

I loved JFK and RFK, but I think America is over the Kennedys.

Does it matter anymore? Trump didn't have qualifications and it's clear he's in over his head so why couldn't being ambassador for 3 years count?
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Caroline Kennedy 2020? on: January 24, 2017, 08:25:50 pm
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/11/world/asia/caroline-kennedy-japan-ambassador.html?_r=0
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: January 23, 2017, 09:13:16 pm
http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/315790-minnesota-gov-collapses-during-state-of-the-state-address

Gov. Dayton collapsed
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Presidency of Sheryl Sandberg on: January 23, 2017, 08:53:03 am
NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY
32 delegates


Elizabeth Warren     44.6%  [14 delegates]
Sheryl Sandberg     29.9%   [10 delegates]
Cory Booker           19.0%   [6 delegates]
Andrew Cuomo         6.0%  [2 delegates]

Elizabeth Warren crushed her opponents in the New Hampshire primary, outperforming Sheryl Sandberg by double-digits according to polling.

Gov. Cuomo has dropped out and endorsed Sheryl Sandberg, giving Sandberg her first high-profile elected official endorsement of the presidential race. Cory Booker has insisted that he will go forward to Nevada and South Carolina, and rumors are swirling that Warren and Booker may unite as a ticket against the "fundamentally good, but fundamentally inexperienced" Sandberg, as they call her.

UP NEXT: NEVADA CAUCUSES, SOUTH CAROLINA PRIMARY and popular vote/delegate totals
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004: Ready for Change on: January 22, 2017, 05:56:06 pm
This is great
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