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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / President Bella Abzug? on: May 18, 2015, 09:18:04 pm


NEW YORK TIMES PRIMARY ELECTION UPDATE
September 17, 1976

Abzug Edges Out Mr. Moynihan; Buckley Also Victor in Primary; Badillo, Mrs. Chisholm Winners
By FRANK LYNN

Representative Bella S. Abzug narrowly edged out Daniel Patrick Moynihan for the Democratic nomination for the United States Senate yesterday in one of the closest statewide primaries in recent years.

Mrs. Abzug ran slightly ahead of Mr. Moynihan in New York City, its suburbs and upstate. But Mrs. Abzug won the race with an unexpectedly strong run upstate, including Erie County where the Democratic chairman, Joseph F. Crangle, was the chief statewide Moynihan strategist. Abzug's margin of victory likely came from Jewish enclaves inside New York City and Nassau and Westchester counties, where Moynihan failed to capture a significant amount of the vote.

With 13,805 districts of 13,805 reporting, the Democratic vote was:

Mrs. Abzug: 334,222
Moynihan:  330,098
Clark:   90,528
O'Dwyer   77,752
Hirschfeld   74,848

With 13,805 districts of 13,805 reporting in the Republican primary, the vote was:

Buckley:   223,228
Peyser:   93,761

*Some of this post was borrowed from a NYT article.*
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / If Bush loses Iowa AND New Hampshire... on: May 16, 2015, 09:42:34 pm
What would his strategy realistically be to stay in the race? Could the fallout of a loss in both states really not kill his candidacy, considering the 24/7 news cycle?
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / What if? on: May 07, 2015, 05:28:48 pm
Harold Ford Jr was elected in 2006?
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Huckabee run? on: April 17, 2015, 01:39:10 pm
He's announcing his decision tonight. What do you think?
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Clinton campaign committee name? on: April 10, 2015, 05:14:00 pm
Obama for America turned out to be a terrific name for his campaign committee as it allowed him to spawn "Organizing for America," etc.

What will the name be?

31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton set to announce her 2016 campaign this weekend on: April 09, 2015, 09:24:46 pm
Why would she announce on a weekend? Does she want to bury her own announcement?

If she does it Sunday PM she gets Sunday night news and then all of Monday along w Rubio
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guesstimating Hillary's announcement time and format? on: April 04, 2015, 07:08:55 pm
Doesn't her leasing of campaign space require her to announce sooner rather than later? And there is no way she is announcing in Arkansas.

Right, and wouldn't she want to avoid skirting FEC law especially given the fact that she has come under scrutiny for not following rules? Also if it's going to be some other state (as opposed to an early state), it will be in NY.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Guesstimating Hillary's announcement time and format? on: April 04, 2015, 06:58:52 pm
Anyone want to guess when she'll announce and what format? Will it be a video? A rally? Where?
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fiorina Likely In on: March 29, 2015, 09:52:55 pm
The GOP wants her in at least in the beginning so it looks like their side has a woman running too.

Did they forget about their own female Senators and Governors?

They don't want to spoil a governor/senator. The beauty of having Fiorina is that if she makes a complete @$$ of herself, then it doesn't have an effect on a sitting elected official. And Fiorina doesn't have to worry about her remarks affecting her current stance in the US Senate/or as a governor.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fiorina Likely In on: March 29, 2015, 04:42:15 pm
The GOP wants her in at least in the beginning so it looks like their side has a woman running too.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: O'Malley: the presidency is not some crown to be passed between two families on: March 29, 2015, 04:39:35 pm
Anyone catch his response to what America's greatest threat was? It was something he came up with on the fly and he struggled through that. I want him to run, I want there to be a primary b/c I think it's healthy for Hillary, but he is not primetime ready.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Reid Endorsed Schumer for Senate Dem Leader: Good News for Hillary? on: March 27, 2015, 12:01:08 pm
Does this make senators more likely to fall in line with Hillary in 2016?
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Hillary refuse to debate in the primaries? on: March 27, 2015, 11:07:36 am
Yes, and she should. As I've said before she should not acknowledge O'Malley or Webb unless absolutely forced to in an interview.

I disagree. A competitive primary is to her benefit.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: For the Democrats, who are the most important endorsements to get? on: March 26, 2015, 08:47:55 am
Al Gore
John Kerry
The Kennedy family
Warren
John Lewis?
Unions, especially AFSCME, SEIU, etc.
NY Times/Wash Post and other big papers might be significant only if they endorse someone other than Hillary
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What qualifications does Julian Castro have? on: March 26, 2015, 08:41:50 am
I think it's going to wind up coming down to Castro, Booker, and Kaine with maybe a wildcard in there like O'Malley or Schweitzer.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Female VP Choices for Hillary? on: March 25, 2015, 06:55:12 pm
Warren, Hassan, McCaskill, or Klobuchar.

Gillibrand is unconstitutional (The President and VP have to be from different states).

Not Baldwin?
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Female VP Choices for Hillary? on: March 25, 2015, 06:49:52 pm
Who would make a good female VP for Hillary?
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Pick on: March 24, 2015, 06:31:25 pm
I'm for Hillary because I trust her judgment for SCOTUS nominations, national security, and protecting our domestic interests.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Cruz Win Any Primaries or Cauci on: March 24, 2015, 06:29:54 pm
I think the field is going to reduce quickly after Iowa to Bush, Walker, and Rand with maybe a fourth like Rubio. Everyone else will be jockeying for VP. So no.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Clinton and Castro speaking today at CAP on: March 23, 2015, 09:03:56 am
…wonder if she'll let on about presidential race?
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cruz to announce presidential candidacy on Monday on: March 22, 2015, 07:19:44 pm
What time will the announcement be? Will it be on the major channels (CNN, etc)?
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Looks like Bernie Sanders is running on: March 21, 2015, 09:13:34 am
I love Bernie Sanders, not for his political views (I am to the left of Hillary but I'm probably to the right of Sanders), but because he is politically savvy, and that means everything for splinter candidates like him. I hope he does run and contribute to the narrative and, hey, maybe even win, and I thank him for not running independent should he fail to secure the Democratic nomination.

As for my vote, him vs. Hillary in a Dem primary, I'll vote for him.

I don't think he wants to be a fall candidate. That almost guarantees him oblivion in the Senate. I could see him doing well in small states like Vermont, Montana, etc.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Based on his website re-design, I think Bernie Sanders is in. on: March 20, 2015, 03:22:15 pm
https://berniesanders.com/

There's a button asking me to "join the political revolution"

I can't remember all the words to The Internationale and my Marx is a bit rusty, but I do have a bunch of drab clothing.

Seinfeld reference?
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump to launch presidential exploratory committee on Wednesday on: March 18, 2015, 10:42:00 am
OK, so, has he ever formed an exploratory campaign before?
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Top Veep Picks on: March 15, 2015, 06:12:00 pm
Democrats: Tim Kaine, Tim Roemer, Elizabeth Warren, Michael Bennet, Dick Gephardt, Julian Castro

Republicans: Susana Martinez, Bobby Jindal, Nikki Haley, Tim Pawlenty, John Thune, Joni Ernst


Gephardt? That's the first time I've heard that one
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