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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / City and Town estimates on: May 23, 2016, 03:31:59 pm
I see that no one seems to have noticed The census bureau released new city and town estimates the other day.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2016/cb16-81.html
http://www.census.gov/popest/data/cities/totals/2015/index.html
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: PRC political ideology by Province on: May 18, 2016, 10:06:08 am
What exactly would a "rust belt" region be in the Chinese context? There's not much to be rusting yet...

Also, is there any explanation for the apparent belt of poorer inland provinces running from Shanxi to Jiangxi, between the wealthy coast and a second belt of wealthier provinces to their west? Were they "leapfrogged" in the spread of industry into interior China in favor of places further inland? Geographical disadvantages? Poor natural resources? 

I know relatively little about the economic geography of China-- or its geography in general. (It doesn't help that so many of them have confusingly similar names.) Still, I never fail to be surprised when reminded of Inner Mongolia's apparently vast wealth. I can only assume that the place is highly unequal, although it's an assumption grounded purely in intuition. One also wonders who the leftists are in Xinjiang. They can't possibly be the locals.

I'd ask how they were able to collect such data in the first place, but I imagine the answer could be found in the linked document. Alas, I'm too tired to read it now-- maybe later.
The northeast states have had a decent amount of old communist industry that isnt aging well.
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Where would you rather live? WV, or WY? on: May 12, 2016, 04:50:23 pm
Hmmm....




You know the second one exists in Wyoming as well right?
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: FBI Director thins cops are worse than bank tellers and blackjack dealers on: May 12, 2016, 04:45:25 pm
The FBI and Police trading insults is news?
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Palin to make sure Ryan is primaried for not supporting Trump, ruin his 2020 on: May 09, 2016, 07:50:09 pm
Yes, I'm sure a Cruz>50 district is going to turn out a long-time congressional incumbent in a House primary for the crime of being anti-Trump.

Watching WI-1 vote Hillary/Ryan in the fall is going to be fun.

it was mentioned on a.a.d. that the primary has perfect conditions for very, very low turnout, so don't be so quick to make a prediction
Low turnout favors cruz types, so unless they turn on  ryan for not voting down some bill he will be fine.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CA - SurveyUSA: Trump and Clinton dominate on: May 03, 2016, 02:43:17 am
How sad for Bernie supporters in California that they view Donald Trump more favorably than Hillary Clinton.

Bernie supporters view of Hillary fav/unfav = 17/81
Bernie supporters view of Trump fav/unfav = 46/36

Seriously, Bernie supporters actually give Trump a +10 favorable rating. Awful.
Except that they don't because you didn't read the table right. 46% of the 9% of Dem voters who view trump favorably are bernie supporters. 
7  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Turkey's Kurdish Arithmetic on: May 01, 2016, 11:27:20 am
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Turkey#Total_fertility_rate_.28TFR.29_by_Province_and_Year
Has some up to date maps and tables.
8  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Most futuristic-looking cities in the world? on: May 01, 2016, 11:18:10 am
Depends on what you would call "futuristic" - different people have different connotations with that term, so probably everyone will have a different image in mind.

Keep in mind though with cities like Astana, those are usually no more than playgrounds of autocratic despots (which are quite common in post-Soviet -Stan countries), with the "futuristic" part being the only one shown to Western visitors (that applies to Russia and China as well). The largest part of the population does not live in parts of the city like that at all, and you cannot possibly call some of those areas "futuristic", see for example this:

(This picture is from Atyrau on the Kazachi Caspian Sea coast, so not technically Astana; but you probably wouldn't need to look far to find similar in Astana)
Eh you are unlikely to find a building that old in Astana. But yes I imagine that there is some rough commie blocks there.

Anyways for the question hate it or not Dubai probably qualifies. Several Chinese cities work as well.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IN - Mike Downs Center: Cruz +16 on: April 29, 2016, 04:23:35 pm
Does anybody know when PPP or a mainstream news outlet is doing a poll?
I think IN explicitly bans robocalls which PPP uses.

Is that a recent law? Because in 2008 PPP did poll Indiana's primary.
Pretty sure it was, since i think that's when I heard about the law because PPP had to use a special call.
http://www.marketingresearch.org/legal-article/indiana-law-restricting-automated-research-calls
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IN - Mike Downs Center: Cruz +16 on: April 29, 2016, 03:50:53 pm
Does anybody know when PPP or a mainstream news outlet is doing a poll?
I think IN explicitly bans robocalls which PPP uses.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sabato predicts nailbiter in WV D primary on: April 28, 2016, 02:06:58 am
Clinton is unlikely to win WV with 50% of the vote, winning with about 40% however is entirely possible.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 27, 2016, 03:49:28 am
Looking at some county pages, it seems there were a fairly substantial number of write-in votes on the Dem side in Pennsylvania that aren't being reported by the AP.

In Greene County, for example, write-ins made up nearly 16% of the Dem vote.
I wonder how many were for trump.
13  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Next countries to legalize Gay Marriage? (after Colombia) on: April 10, 2016, 07:55:38 pm
Looks to be that both the candidates in peru in the runoff support civil unions.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I think Wisconsin will be heavily contested by Cruz in the general on: April 07, 2016, 02:08:01 am
Do we need this thread every four years? Cruz may contest it but he will lose it barring a Clinton scandel.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: April 02, 2016, 08:32:45 pm
Congressman Reid Ribble endorses Cruz
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=hQR_KuEp53E
Interestingly he went to Cuba with Obama last month and supports lifting the embargo.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: March 25, 2016, 05:36:13 pm
Some Wisconsin endorsements for John Kasich:

Former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann
Former U.S. Rep. Scott Klug
Former Gov. Scott McCallum
Klug is a bit surprising I suppose seems like he would be a Kasich type. The twin failures of Neumann and McCallum are not.

Weren't they both 90s archconservatives? Seems like a perfect fit for Kasich. I remeber Kasich having DICK ARMEY's endorsement.
I dont know much about Klug Tbh, but he did chair Giulianis campaign in the state.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: March 25, 2016, 05:21:34 pm
Some Wisconsin endorsements for John Kasich:

Former U.S. Rep. Mark Neumann
Former U.S. Rep. Scott Klug
Former Gov. Scott McCallum
Klug is a bit surprising I suppose seems like he would be a Kasich type. The twin failures of Neumann and McCallum are not.
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion: Corbyn vs the Pigdiddler on: March 19, 2016, 02:01:38 pm
http://www.theguardian.com/media/2016/mar/17/guardian-media-group-to-cut-250-jobs
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2016 Slovakia General Election, March on: March 19, 2016, 01:31:22 pm
Is this a joke? Hos can Most-Hid do this?!

don't want to call snap election and risk further emboldening the nazis/don't want to ally with explicit anti-oligarchs.
This coalition strikes me like it may do the opposite, SNS voters will probably flock to the nazis in the next election.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Inevitable Question...who is best for John Kaisch's running mate? on: March 18, 2016, 05:36:03 pm
Ted Cruz

Probably the most likely for #NoTrump to succeed at a brokered convention.
Yes, though I suspect it would be Cruz/Kasich rather than the other way around.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win the Wisconsin Republican Primary? on: March 18, 2016, 05:10:08 pm
I did see a big Trump sticker plastered across the whole back windshield of a truck so Trump should do well in my area. Tongue More seriously I do think Trump will do well in the north. Kasich should be able to get at least as much support statewide as he did in MI and IL.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Eastern Ohio's results= trump landslide victory in PA on: March 16, 2016, 02:26:52 am
This would hold more weight if Cruz had done better over there.  I think Kasich voters are a lot more likely to defect than Cruz voters.

Cruz is going to have very little appeal in the Northeast.
Cruz should do well in south central PA, but other than that yeah he will do poorly.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Eastern Ohio's results= trump landslide victory in PA on: March 16, 2016, 01:55:13 am
This nonsense that Trump will win PA is silly.

You do realize Clinton also won eastern OH, right? And that the votes Trump got were generally from Republicans. Right?
I think he means in  the upcoming primary.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: March 14, 2016, 01:50:25 am
Rip Kasich campaign.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: FL/OH-Quinnipiac: FL: Clinton 62% Sanders 32%; OH: Clinton 52% Sanders 43% on: March 09, 2016, 02:51:09 pm
Every analysis I read says that Sanders managed to upset Clinton in Michigan because he poured most of his resources there. He could do the same with Ohio but that risks him getting steamrolled in the other 3/15 states.

Sanders could easily spend 40 Mio. $ in the Super 2.0 Tuesday states.

Because afterwards there are only small states for a while and his fundraising would pick up significantly anyway if he does well.

I just realized how obnoxious the Wisconsin TV markets will be following next week.
And radio which I will be forced to listen to at work...
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