Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 18, 2014, 11:23:45 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 351
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: December 12, 2014, 09:01:16 am
I know that hard core conservative supporters think "coalition" is a dirty word, I see no evidence that today in 2014/15 the rest of the population has a problem with parties forming a coalition. In fact I think they rather like the idea of parties working together

Look over to here in the UK to see why Coalition's terrible for trust in politics.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: December 11, 2014, 07:14:59 pm
For some context, the consensus this time 5 years ago was still that David Cameron would win a stonking majority (and he'd even see the Tory lead grow during the campaign!!).

A week is a long time...
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: December 10, 2014, 07:02:50 am
Apparently the gov are eying up 30th March as the start of the campaign. 6 weeks.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: December 03, 2014, 07:11:53 pm
By the way, I didn't mean to suggest that UKIP weren't getting any 2010 Labour voters, just that the scale of the movement of formerly Labour voters to them in historically strong Labour areas like Doncaster North is exaggerated.  I suspect that most "white working class" voters who fit the stereotype have never been particularly reliable Labour voters.

The idea that Labour is losing its base up North in droves comes from the London-media (left and right) which uses the term 'traditional Labour voter' as weasel words for "thick, backward bloke from the provincial North". This obviously isn't a true description by any stretch though.

The idea that most old Labour voters (in age and faction) are ripe for UKIP's picking isn't true and to say that Old Labourers would be so easily tempted by racists like UKIP is a rather offensive assessment which, unfortunately, has become an enduring narrative in the media.
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion II on: December 03, 2014, 06:31:35 pm
The idea that the Osborne is able to cut public spending to 1930's levels, in an environment with far less working-aged people, while simultaneously cutting immigration as the Tory right are demanding, seems somewhat insane.

Not to mention quitting the EU.
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion II on: December 03, 2014, 05:39:22 pm
Also procuring new trains for the North to replace the unpopular Class 142/143 Pacers.

Apparently the book is a bit more nuanced in its wording that George O said. The gov will encourage bidders for the franchisers to replace the trains. Not exactly a cast-iron promise.

But I'm happy with their announcement on post-grad loans, as long as they extend it to all subject areas, so credit where credit's due. It's something students have been crying out for for a long time and I hope Labour can match it.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: December 03, 2014, 11:12:09 am
Nothing too shocking. The two major stories being the collapse of the LDs to Labour (and, to a smaller extent, to the Greens and the SNP, but also the Tories is certain places), and UKIP taking a massive chunk from the Tories and a smaller chunk from Labour.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Who governs Sweden? Swedish Early Election - 22 March 2015 on: December 03, 2014, 11:07:23 am
Good god.
9  General Discussion / History / Re: Is (or was) the UK a Conservative-leaning country? on: December 03, 2014, 10:34:19 am
The last time the Tories won an election was before I was even born.
10  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: December 01, 2014, 05:23:59 pm
Any sign of a spill against Newman in QLD? His numbers are shocking.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: December 01, 2014, 10:25:21 am
Ashcroft has retracted his Donny poll of EdM's seat and corrected it to

54 Lab (+7)
25 UKIP (+21)
13 Con (-8)
4 LD (-11)

Should've smelt a rat when it was showing the Tories UP on 2010 here.

Safe as houses. Terrible news for Ed Miliband.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: November 27, 2014, 10:09:34 am
Where you up for Clegg?

(If Hallam Labour can put the squeeze on the Greens...)
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: November 27, 2014, 04:57:55 am
LordA releasing one from EdM's Doncaster North with Ed ahead, UKIP a strong second. His teaser was that there's enough Tories who could tactically vote to get rid of Ed. Not happening though, obv.

No numbers yet.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK parliamentary by-elections 2014 on: November 22, 2014, 07:09:44 am
https://twitter.com/SteveBakerMP/status/143660079701442560
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK parliamentary by-elections 2014 on: November 21, 2014, 11:58:35 am
Do we remember the psephological joys of Holby City woman?
16  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion II on: November 21, 2014, 05:48:54 am
Emily Thornberry resigns from shadow cabinet.

She should have followed a great sage's advice - "too many tweets might make a twat".

EdM "angrier than he's ever been".

Really? Over THIS!?
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: November 18, 2014, 01:03:16 pm
Opinium
Con 34 (+5), Lab 33 (+1) LD 5 (-4) UKIP 18 (-1)

Think that's a low for the Libs with any firm.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How can Hillary Clinton excite strong Obama supported while distancing herself? on: November 18, 2014, 12:40:49 pm
Well, it worked for Gore.

Oh wait.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Labour leadership election - To be announced on December 13 on: November 17, 2014, 06:01:44 pm
Bold prediction, Jim Murphy won't win this.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK parliamentary by-elections 2014 on: November 17, 2014, 05:46:07 am
Assuming Reckless wins as well, how likely is it that we start seeing more Tory defections?

Very hard to say.  I'm sure there are a few Tories who are tempted, but whether they decide to jump is another matter; some of them are in UKIP-unfriendly seats (like Enfield Southgate, as mentioned above) so probably won't unless they're standing down or planning to move constituency.  Farage also talks about possible Labour defections, but I'm not sure whether anyone really believes him.

BTW the Tories are supposedly going to move the writ for Rochester & Strood next week, with polling day on 6 November.  They're also going for a postal open primary (as opposed to an open hustings followed by a vote, which is what they did in Clacton) to select their candidate.

Today's Daily Express (I know, I know) says 6 Tories are thinking of defecting post-Rochester

Grit bins full of salt obviously, but I wouldn't be surprised to see more go.

Sort've getting towards to point now where a by-election can be kicked into the long grass.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Begich 'already plotting' for 2016 run on: November 14, 2014, 12:24:46 pm
What does the guy have to lose?
22  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Scenario: The United Kingdom Votes to Secede from the European Union on: November 11, 2014, 07:09:14 am
Let's suppose David Cameron's Conservatives retain control of Parliament

They don't control it at present.

Someone ought to tell Nick Clegg that.

Nigel Farage has got more of his agenda through this parliament than Nick Clegg has.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK parliamentary by-elections 2014 on: November 09, 2014, 10:39:51 am
Once UKIP gain Rochester (I mean, it's gonna happen, let's be honest), they'll just about have received more votes than the Tories in by-elections during this parliament.

They're ~3,000 behind at the moment.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: exit polls: D: Clinton leads everywhere; R: Huck leads IA/SC, Bush leads NH on: November 09, 2014, 10:24:17 am
I have been saying that Perry is poised for a comeback. He has been all over Iowa. Assuming he is now prepped for debates, he can quickly become the frontrunner there (especially if Huckabee doesn't run)

I mean, even if his  debates are a train wreck again, if none of the other candidates run well with it, it's fine. Look at Rick Scott.
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion II on: November 08, 2014, 10:18:09 pm
Some escalation in The Observer (remember when they endorsed Nick Clegg for PM?) of the EdM story. Still no actual names of plotters or any of the 20 shadow ministers who apparently want him to go. Roll Eyes
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 351


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines