Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 25, 2016, 01:16:19 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 360
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australian Federal Election- July 2, 2016 on: May 30, 2016, 08:02:46 am
I haven't followed any Australian stuff since the spill. Where did it all go wrong for Malcolm Turnball? Was it a case of the grass always being greener compared to TA?
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: October 05, 2015, 08:32:45 am
Why's the NDP hemorrhaging?
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: September 12, 2015, 02:44:10 am
This must be devastating for Burnham. He was the working class, NHS loving, hardworking darling of the grassroots until about 3 months ago.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: September 10, 2015, 04:27:25 pm
Because an Australian is going to understand our political system. The only Aussie who would be qualified for that post is our very own Smid.

Said every UK Labour supporter ever until the exit poll came out.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: September 02, 2015, 03:10:32 pm
People who don't have elsewhere to go just stay at home.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: September 02, 2015, 09:58:10 am
It's kind of unbelievable that Labour could go from the "New Labour" Blair/Brown era to being led by a far leftist within the span of just a few years.

Will be interesting to see how the Right of the party reacts when/if Corbyn is declared the new leader. 

Can we not refer to parts of the party not backing Corbyn as "the right of the party" please? k thanks
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 13 Keys to Downing Street? on: August 19, 2015, 03:41:05 pm
The party mandate was one labour should have looked at (I completely ignored it because muh turnout), for example losing the mayorship race in 2012, getting crushed in Scotland in 2012 losing the 2014 euro elections, almost losing a safe northern seat to UKIP despite virtually no media attention and average local elections showed that labour should have been doing more in the coasting years of 2012-2013

The only good set of locals for Labour was in 2012, right after the omnishambles budget.

Although every year, the collapse of the LibDems was the story and this disguised our own huge problems.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Dutch Elections & Politics on: July 19, 2015, 06:03:45 pm
The PvdA are gonna get Clegged basically?
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Dutch Elections & Politics on: July 19, 2015, 03:07:38 pm
Could PVV support Rutte as a minority? They can't be that far apart on the migrant issue at this point in time...


2010-2012 was VVD+CDA with PVV minority support, so it wouldn't be out the questions I'd think
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Post-Election Analysis on: July 18, 2015, 04:51:29 pm
I should remind people that it was David who was seen as the weird brother and it was Ed who 'spoke human', this time 5 years ago...

11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / Re: Hypothetical UK general election, 2019 on: July 18, 2015, 03:43:23 pm
Tories at 550 seats?
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 2016 on: July 05, 2015, 05:48:34 pm
Panelbase - Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes - 47% (+2%)
No - 53% (-2%)

#the53%
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Denmark Parliamentary Election - June 18, 2015 on: June 18, 2015, 07:28:49 pm
What voting system do the Danes use? Here's me thinking it was plain-and-simple old closed list PR.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Denmark Parliamentary Election - June 18, 2015 on: June 18, 2015, 06:30:30 pm
So in Denmark Proper it is 90-85 Blues.  But TV2 seems to indicate that Reds won all 4 seats in Faroe Islands and Greenland so it is 90-89 for Blues.  Is this true? What happen to the Union Party in Faroe Islands ?


Would a fair view of this election be that SD lost a fair amount of their base to the DPP, but gained quite a lot from their partners and V (but obviously, not by enough)?
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: June 14, 2015, 09:12:27 am
So far Duceppe's leadership bump is no bigger than Paillé, who polled in the high 20's for a month or so after becoming Bloc leader. Disaster averted?

Depends on whose side you're on. A viable Bloc is good for both the Liberals and the Tories.

Yeah it's funny how the Liberals in particular pontificate about Canadian unity and are always trying to imply that the NDP are not truly committed to federalism...and yet at the same time the Liberals and the Tories are both obviously rooting for the separatist BQ to become a force again...such hypocrites

That's exactly how the UK Tories won last month...
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: June 12, 2015, 12:31:49 pm
That he was the Left candidate was not really what people thought at the time, even if most of the Soft Left backed him. This contest feels much more ideological than the 2010 one.

Anyway, this is one of those arguments in which everyone involved is partly right and mostly wrong: elements of the legacy of the Blair government turned pretty toxic over time (because of the approach that government took towards the political process as much as anything else) and are still hurting, but turning sharply leftwards in all respects is most unlikely to be the answer. What I find personally depressing about the 'Blairite' Right is that, much like the Hard Left, they mostly seem concerned with fighting yesterdays battles, which is certainly not something that Mr Tony could have been accused of c. 1995...

There'll be voters in 2020 who won't have even been born in 1997, never mind 1983. The whole old/new Labour thing just makes us look soooo outdated.

I wouldn't mind a candidate from the Right or the old Left, as long as they weren't covering themselves in the language of 20-30 years ago.
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion 1.5: The Countdown Begins on: June 11, 2015, 02:13:28 pm
Surely the death knell for the Liberals comes if the Tories choose a socially liberal leader?
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: June 10, 2015, 12:59:49 pm
It's slightly dickish to nominate someone who is already at 35 or more imo.

It's a messed up system.

It's so open to ambitious MPs being terrified of voting Corbyn or Creagh to widen the debate, in case Burnham/Cooper/Kendall pass them over for promotion.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: June 08, 2015, 05:30:41 pm
And then there were three: Kendall has made the ballot. Meanwhile in another universe, Frank Field has decided to give his nomination to Corbyn.

Didn't he nom Diane Abbott last time? He seems the type to go for 'broad, open debate' over everything else.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - 2015 on: June 08, 2015, 04:47:46 am
What's actually caused Orange Crush Mark II?
21  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion: Cameron 2.0 on: May 22, 2015, 01:57:34 pm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-32849065

Related to the collation government - by-election in Orkney & Shetland?

So she did say it then. Nicola Clegg?
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 21, 2015, 11:53:20 am
A Comservative victory of one kind or another next time does seem likely right now. But when predicting far-into-the-future elections it is worth remembering Harold Wilson's most famous saying (which I also posted yesterday, incidentally).

After 2005 it was expected that Gordon Brown would steamroller David Davis (yes, him) in 2009 after a smooth transition between him and Blair occurred. But then the Tories elected Cameron, infighting broke out in Labour, Brown bottled an early election, the economy imploded and MPs expenses were exposed.

After 2001 many thought that the following Parliament would be dominated by a referendum on us joining the Euro (lol), public service reform and a battle between two modernisers - Blair and Portillo. But then the Tories decided to elect IDS, a major disaster occurred in Manhattan and Iraq was invaded.

Exactly.

We already know that the 'big 3' (or is that 'big 2 + LD' now?) and maybe even UKIP and the Greens will all have new leaders by the next election. That in itself makes things way too unpredictable at this point. Not to mention how the referendum affects things. I think the line of thinking that UKIP will fall on its face post-referendum, whether it's a yes or a no, is a bit misguided...
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 21, 2015, 11:39:59 am
My own guess (without an evidence to back it up) is that the SNP's dominance will hold up pretty well during this parliament and they'll still win the vast bulk of Scottish seats at the next general election (probably over 40 of their current MP's being returned).

Once the Conservatives are returned for a third straight term at Westminster in 2020 though the desire to get the Tories out re-establishes itself and Labour make a strong comeback north of the border in time for the 2025 general election.

That presumes that they're isn't another independence referendum in the meantime and the Scots remain within the union.

Labour will win again once voters in England don't think they'll need to get in on the back of the SNP.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: England local elections, May 2015 on: May 20, 2015, 12:57:40 pm
Doing the Wirral part of the map reminded me that the inclusion of Upton in Wirral West is basically electoral trolling.

Labour hadn't won WW on its current boundaries since 2001 right? Surely that's the only seat of its kind.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: England local elections, May 2015 on: May 20, 2015, 12:25:23 pm


And the Merseyside soviets.

So beautiful.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 360


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines