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September 02, 2014, 09:13:51 am
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1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: Today at 04:52:44 am
Anyway, tl;dr. For other posters here that might think something happened reading these posts, well nothing happened really. Valls is a POS, Hollande is still a Flanby, the French PS and Left are in a state of deep dereliction, and Valls isn't anyway near as relevant as Blair or Schröder have been in their respective countries, if only for the fact that he is 10 years too late.



Heck, 20 years.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 01, 2014, 06:33:23 pm
Yougov coming into line a bit today. No lead is down to 6% from 22% in July.

EDIT: 53-47

:O

I bet both Cameron and Miliband are pretty nervous right now.

Not really. They're still ahead.
3  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Tusk to be the next President of the European Council on: September 01, 2014, 09:24:34 am
Thorning-Schmidt was probably too "blond" for the job, especially now that it is clear that the EU will need some "toughness" against Russia.

Stay classy.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Tusk to be the next President of the European Council on: August 31, 2014, 06:48:12 pm
Who's replacing him as PM then?
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK parliamentary by-elections 2014 on: August 31, 2014, 10:20:45 am
Survation poll...brace yourselves.

UKIP - 64% (+64)
Tories - 20% (-33)
Labour - 13% (-12)
Lib Dems - 2% (-11)
Others - 1% (-8)

Several records would fall on that.

The Tories were going into this the underdogs anyway and a loss of any kind would be hard to manage for them, especially for the leadership... but a loss of this scale is something much, much worse (and of course, Labour and the LDs won't put in anything much beyond actually standing a candidate, so the story won't be them).

A majority like that for Carswell would be greater than that of any current Tory MP and even for Labour, you have to start looking to Glasgow and Merseyside to find majorities like this poll suggests.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: August 29, 2014, 05:27:22 pm
As predicted, the "Feminist Initiative" is serving as Swedens's answer to Ralph Nader.
 I guess the kind of people who vote for them cares more about whether the parties have "feminist" in their names than about actual policy, so there is probably no point in trying to convince their followers to vote tactically.

Pretentious 20-something hipsters who see elections as a chance at making a statement, and not as actually choosing people to govern us for the next four years. They're a fad, and they'll once more disappear into obscurity once they fail to enter parliament in three weeks.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WH_MBwQhGgA
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Baker pulls ahead in Massachusetts on: August 29, 2014, 01:40:23 pm
Who thought it'd be a good idea to back Coakley again after last time?
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Westminster Parliamentary By-Election : Clacton (date to be announced) on: August 29, 2014, 01:38:00 pm
The latest rumours swirling around Westminster are:

Coalition MP's are being whipped to reject the writ being moved
Chancellor to oppose signing the stewardship document that allows an MP to resign
Writ to be moved so that the by-election happens during the Liberal Democrat conference

http://news.bbc.co.uk/democracylive/hi/historic_moments/newsid_8185000/8185773.stm

Afraid. Frightened. Frit.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: August 29, 2014, 01:33:32 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bDi1OXJn4Vw

I can't believe this. Horrendous to watch.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Westminster Parliamentary By-Election : Clacton (date to be announced) on: August 29, 2014, 06:38:41 am
Wouldn't shock me if they went for the Thursday of Labour conference. It'd nip any Labour bounce in the bud.

Unless Labour gained Clacton that is?

Everyone's pretty sure we can count that out though.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Westminster Parliamentary By-Election : Clacton (date to be announced) on: August 28, 2014, 05:09:04 pm
Wouldn't shock me if they went for the Thursday of Labour conference. It'd nip any Labour bounce in the bud.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK local by-elections 2014 on: August 28, 2014, 05:05:48 pm
Jesmond is Newcastle's student land and the student's aren't back from summer yet and, as such, it was an easy LD hold.
13  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: August 26, 2014, 10:03:38 am
I notice Ségo seems to be uncharacteristically quiet during all this.
14  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion on: August 26, 2014, 07:15:35 am
Is Welsh allowed to be spoken on the floor of the House? Did Lloyd George ever use it?
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: August 26, 2014, 06:08:01 am
Rhondda in 2001 remains the funniest instance to date, I think.

Labour 23,230 votes (68% -7% on 1997)
Plaid Cymru 7,183 votes (21% +8% on 1997)
Conservatives 1,557 votes (5% +1% on 1997)
Liberal Democrats 1,525 votes (4% -2% on 1997)
Independent 507 votes (1%)
Labour HOLD with a majority of 16,047 votes (47%) on a swing of 7% from Lab to Plaid

Am I missing something here, because that doesn't sound funny at all?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhondda_%28Assembly_constituency%29#Elections_in_the_1990s

Also, why did Plaid win Rhondda anyway?
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: August 26, 2014, 06:06:19 am
Guardian/ICM poll on the debate has 71% saying Salmond won, 29% Darling.

Well if shouty Salmond had let anybody get a word in edgeways...

He wasn't particularly shouty in either debate. I'll take the 51-49 to no voting intention with ICM. It's a good start.

From an English non-Tory perspective an awful lot of what Salmond says is more an argument for having a better government in Westminster than for Scottish independence.  So it surprises me that you seem so enthusiastic about his campaign.

From an English Labourite, Salmond's agenda just seems needlessly divisive. As much as Cameron's agenda is divisive, just in a different way.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: August 25, 2014, 07:04:41 pm
Darling was much less calm and collected than in the first debate, from the get-go. He seemed constantly rattled and the audience didn't exactly seem the most balanced lot.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: August 25, 2014, 04:39:52 pm
Guardian/ICM poll on the debate has 71% saying Salmond won, 29% Darling.

Well if shouty Salmond had let anybody get a word in edgeways...
19  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: August 25, 2014, 11:56:07 am
Will anything ever go right for Flanby?

Just seen Montebourg on BBC News. Sounded like he may as well have been announcing his 2017 campaign.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: August 20, 2014, 07:37:52 am
Junk poll in Southampton Itchen, or is something odd going on locally?

Ashcroft suggests it's students being at home.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: August 20, 2014, 05:30:31 am
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: August 19, 2014, 05:01:50 pm
edit by el caudillo: please post in English

#WhyImVotingUKIP
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New Zealand general election, 20th September 2014 on: August 19, 2014, 01:16:20 pm
Quite probably, but a big political scandal has just broken...

I've heard. Not nearly big enough to make Cunliffe Labour electable though, surely.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New Zealand general election, 20th September 2014 on: August 19, 2014, 12:55:26 pm
Writ day tomorrow.

Safe national.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: August 19, 2014, 12:46:11 pm
So seems like the No is headed to a 60/40 win. While I think this would probably be the right choice for Scotland, I must say I'm a bit disappointed, because a secession would have been really fun.

For politicos, yes. For actual British people, no.
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