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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / The most deplorable state and US house district in the US on: October 14, 2016, 05:20:20 pm
   I'm wondering what state would qualify as the most deplorable, to use our likely next President's phrase, in terms of most immigration restrictionist, most American firstish, most xenophobic etc. and also on the house level. 
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Hillary working with a House of Reps elected with help of deplorables on: October 14, 2016, 05:10:10 pm
  Assuming the GOP holds its house majority, it will be interesting to see how she gets along with a body that will have countless members whose base will have a huge chunk of deplorables within it.
I would think many members will over time start playing up her comments that about half the GOP electorate being composed of deplorables, as part of the reason they can't work with her.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Hillary's stongest showing in GOP held seat on: October 14, 2016, 04:45:43 pm
   Wondering where Hillary will do best in a seat that will be won by a Republican.  Somewhere in the Philly suburbs or New Jersey?
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What time will the winner be declared? on: October 14, 2016, 04:41:53 pm
  One nice thing about Indiana early poll closing is that you can start getting results soon after their 6:30 EST closing.  I remember in 2006 looking at how badly the incumbent GOP congressman was doing in Vigo county and thinking here comes Speaker Pelosi. In 2012 when Romney was winning some rural Indiana counties by decent margins, but not Bush 2004 I figured right then and there it was going to be an Obama win. This year of course Pence is on the ticket so the Indiana early pre-view sample will have to be looked at more cautiously.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin) on: October 14, 2016, 10:15:21 am
 If I was a Clinton supporter in Utah, I'd be thinking of hopping aboard the Mcmullin train.  There must be plenty of them thinking this.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italian Elections and Politics, 2016 ed. on: October 13, 2016, 04:31:57 pm
  So, whats the likely political fallout if the "no" side prevails?
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll Thread 10/12 - Trump + 2 on: October 13, 2016, 10:59:11 am
  Question is, when they had a Clinton lead of 7 was their polling flawed then, or did they magically decide to make it flawed in the last two days to show Trump leading again?  Or is it just that Clinton's true lead was maybe 10 points or so a few days ago, and now back to the mid single digits now.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: One round presidential elections sucks on: October 12, 2016, 10:15:23 pm
  Alessandri would have needed just a little over half of the voters of Tomic, the Christian Democratic candidate.  Not saying this would have happened for sure, but I've always thought Alessandri would have had a good chance doing so, especially if the electorate was focused on just him vs Allende.
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump calling polls "Crooked." He is in "Poll Denial-ism." on: October 12, 2016, 04:34:20 pm
  Not that I'm expecting this, but Trump could have some fun with British polling failures, like whatever happened to Prime Minister Neil Kinnock, and how are things going with Prime Minister Milliband and his Labor/SNP working majority government.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win #BattlegroundUtah? on: October 12, 2016, 03:34:08 pm
   If Clinton somehow won the state and it put her over the top for a victory, it would be hilarious to see the emergence of #I regret I voted for Hilary  once she gets that fifth liberal justice on the court
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: One round presidential elections sucks on: October 12, 2016, 03:30:53 pm
   I think the Chile example is the most dramatic.  If it had gone to a runoff, a pretty good chance of an Alessandri victory, and no coup three years later.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: October 12, 2016, 11:38:58 am
   Tender, what are the latest developments with Austria reaching its quota of migrants for the year? I thought it was going to hit the limit around last month.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why was it predicted that Nixon would win Hawaii in 1960 on: October 12, 2016, 10:42:50 am
   I remember reading somewhere that it was assumed in fact that Alaska would be a new Dem leaning state, and Hawaii GOP.  Some of it might have been an assumption that Hawaii's Japanese American population would vote similar to those on the West Coast.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump does worse than McCain, Romney and Jeb with unionized workers on: October 12, 2016, 10:35:13 am
  It will be interesting to see what the final vote of many union, especially private sector union members turns out to be, regardless of endorsements by leadership.  I believe the Austrian Labor Federation endorsed Alexander Van Der Bellen in the May Austrian presidential election, and his opponent Norbert Hofer won 93% of blue collar workers (of course many in Austria are white collar workers, but still that shows a disconnect between endorsement and actual votes).
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Clinton support changes to Columbus Day? on: October 10, 2016, 10:40:43 am
   Has President to be Clinton, or Trump for that matter, been asked whether as President they would support efforts to change the meaning of Columbus day like in Vermont, where it is now a day in honor of indigenous people?  Since its Columbus day today, its a topic worthy of discussion.
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will Clinton now campaign on an "American Union" platform? on: October 08, 2016, 01:15:01 pm
   According to the latest WikiLeaks, Clinton said she supports  open trade and open borders in this Hemisphere, which sounds to me like support for an American Union, similar to the European Union. I think it would be good for voters to know if that is in fact  what she supports, and would she try to achieve this by executive order as President (or parts of it at any rate), assuming congress wouldn't go along.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Donald Trump still wins the election, what does it say about America? on: October 07, 2016, 05:28:01 pm
  People voted for him based on issues, not personality.
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton transcripts for everyone (#Wikileaks) on: October 07, 2016, 05:26:17 pm
   I know that we desperately need open borders.  This is a sure-fire vote winner, huge amounts of the American electorate will respond to this.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Hungary EU quota referendum, Oct.2, 2016 on: October 03, 2016, 05:30:40 pm
  Yeah, I'd like to see what the true results of the vote would have been without the quorum rule.  Obviously many of the those who stayed at home would have voted "yes", but others would have voted "no" also, and still others still wouldn't have voted.
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How will Democrats react if Trump actually wins? on: October 03, 2016, 10:57:56 am
  I'd remind Democrats to sit back and hold tight, millions of future left of center leaning voters are on their way through the immigration process (talking about them and their children), and just think about all the overreactions about when Reagan, Clinton, and Obama took over, black helicopters, the amero, the imminent collapse of the economy under Reagan (also nuclear war), etc.etc.
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Trump really want to win? on: October 03, 2016, 10:53:46 am
  I've been wondering about this since the very beginning. Was his initial campaign an idea to have some fun, get some exposure, build brand awareness, and then things took on a live of their own.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Hungary EU quota referendum, Oct.2, 2016 on: October 01, 2016, 06:57:35 pm
   Looks like tomorrow we have the Hungarian referendum in which the people are asked whether Hungary should accept migrants as part of an-EU wide quota without the approval of the national legislature.  The main opposition is calling for a boycott, Fidesz and other right of center parties for a no vote.  Big question is turnout.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox - National: Clinton +3 on: September 30, 2016, 06:06:01 pm
  Do we have the non-white educated vs non-educated vote breakdown.  Guessing that Hillary is doing very, very well with the non-white non-educated.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How can anyone say that Trump can still win? on: September 30, 2016, 12:11:18 pm
  Didn't we just have some threads about "how can this be happening (that the US is about to elect Trump possibly and in addition to it being the end of the world, how did it happen)"?
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / If Pennsylvania had passed the Maine/Nebraska plan on: September 26, 2016, 12:12:52 pm
  Several years ago PA GOP governor Corbett was talking about PA adopting the Maine/Nebraska electoral college vote by congressional district idea, which would have guaranteed several PA electoral college votes to the GOP even if they lost the state. Imagine if that had gone through and its impact on 2016.  Ironically, there would be less campaigning in the state probably, but discussion about those divided PA electoral college votes would be a big part of the overall road to 270 discussion.
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