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76  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Nunn remains slightly ahead on: October 22, 2014, 11:19:26 am
In crosstabs. 10% say they've already voted, and Perdue has a lead there, and Libertarian only gets 1% of the already voted.  Love the 3% of already voted who are undecided.
77  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-Gravis: Tillis (R) up 5. on: October 20, 2014, 01:16:57 pm
I liked the other parts of the poll, like Rand Pauls 16 point lead over Warren, in a hypothetical 2016 Presidential matchup.
78  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Latino Decisions/NCLRAF: Udall wallops Gardner among Latinos on: October 20, 2014, 01:13:53 pm
Clearly Gardners moving to the center on the immigration issue is having a huge impact. 
79  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: I'm surprised nobody started a topic on the Philly Hate Crime on: October 20, 2014, 01:05:36 pm
Do we know the ethnicity of the attackers, and could that perhaps have anything to do with the lack of coverage?
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The "I voted" thread on: October 15, 2014, 04:03:54 pm
AFAIK, in California absentee ballots are counted already, and that used to mean that GOP candidates would take a big lead at first, and then see their lead shrink as the election day votes were counted, but thats changed as a less GOP leaning electorate now votes absentee in Cal.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NE-GOV: LG Heidemann resigns from office, ticket on: October 03, 2014, 07:17:23 pm
My mom just told me that the Dem candidate Chuck Hassebrock is a 3rd cousin of ours, so if he wins we've got an in at the governors mansion in Lincoln. Go Chuck.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) on: September 18, 2014, 04:37:23 pm
Betting now has no around a 13 to one favorite.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum prediction thread on: September 18, 2014, 04:23:13 pm
No, 53-47.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) on: September 18, 2014, 04:22:02 pm
The no side is now even more of a favorite in on-line betting, somewhere around 8 to one. Not sure if this means anything
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum results thread (Sept 18, 2014) on: September 18, 2014, 04:07:20 pm
FWIW, the betting odds are somewhere around No being a five to one favorite.  Betting still going on on the online betting sites.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian landtag elections 1929-1932 on: July 27, 2014, 10:56:20 am
Thanks for your research Tenderbranson and Georgebner.  The 1933 Innsbruck elections are fascinating.  The Austrian Nazis must have been benefiting from the prestige of the new Hitler regime in Germany and probably new funding from it.  Had a national election taken place that spring it seems logical to assume that the Austrian Nazis would have won a plurality perhaps, but no majority in the National parliament.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Mississippi 2014 discussion thread on: June 26, 2014, 10:38:44 am
    What I'd like to see are some precinct level data, such as what was the primary vote in some all black precincts, and then what was the runoff vote there.  Any ideas about where to find this?
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Mississippi 2014 discussion thread on: June 24, 2014, 12:03:29 pm
    Does anyone have any bellweather counties which would indicate that Cochran's plans to expand the electorate to Democrats is working?
89  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Brian Schweitzer: southerners like Eric Cantor set off my gaydar on: June 20, 2014, 11:51:03 am
Wonder how he feels about Lindsey Graham, who even had an opponent, Dave Feliciano, who said that Graham was "ambigously gay".
90  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Rupert Murdoch doing the unthinkable: Promoting the Democratic Agenda on: June 20, 2014, 11:49:42 am
    I'm shocked, just shocked, that a wealthy multi-billionaire like Murdock is in favor of the immigration surge called for in the current Immigration reform.  All kidding aside, is there one high profile billionaire who is in favor of less immigration?  I read somewhere that even the Koch brothers are for more immigration, which makes sense due to their libertarian leanings.
    Concerning taxation, one issue is that right now illegals pay much of the taxes that they would anyway because on average they are poor, and like legal poor people much of the taxes they pay are from gas taxes, excise taxes and sales taxes, and higher rent prices due to property taxes. With so many being poor, legalization would entitle them to the Earned income tax credit and other goodies.  Of course legalization will help many rise in the economy, but a valid concern is that the majority won't rise, and that legalization will merely enable them to come out of the shadows and expand the size of the poor who are eligible for more government benefits.
91  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: When did Mexican Americans stop being a Republican voting block? on: June 19, 2014, 06:04:56 pm
Before Nixon the numbers of voters must have been pretty small outside of New Mexico and parts of California and Texas.
92  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Steve Scalise elected GOP Majority Whip on: June 19, 2014, 06:03:49 pm
   If Boehner does step down anytime soon, I wonder if Mccarthy becomes Speaker and then Scalise new majority leader.  Such a team would be a fairly balanced one.  Would love to know the vote breakdown on this whip election, and who voted for Scalise for whip and Mcarthy for majority leader.  Many of those members would be possible swing voters if there ever was a showdown between Mccarthy and a conservative heavyweight like Henserling or Jordan.
93  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Heavily hispanic areas with relatively low amounts of immigrants on: June 19, 2014, 01:11:19 am
    I'd love to see a breakdown of  hispanic dominated areas showing percentage foreign born.  It would be intresting to see a political difference between low immigration areas compared to high ones.  I'm guessing New Mexico and South Texas would be the leaders in the low immigration category.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (June 10: AR, ME, NV, ND, SC, VA) on: June 14, 2014, 03:18:46 pm
It was no surprise that Lindsey Graham won in South Carolina, but his 57% victory leaves me wondering what would have happened had he faced a bigger name opponent, one who had funding somewhere in the same neighborhood as him.  As it was, a runoff between Graham and Bright would have also been intriguing, just because there would have been alot of momentum going to Bright assuming he picked up the endorsements of the also rans.
   
95  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Question for Europeans on this board on: May 30, 2014, 09:43:23 am
   I'm thinking about retiring in a few years.  A key part of this plan would be to sell our house, which would probably net 350k, and then rent places to live.  I like the idea of spending some summers in Europe, maybe even four or five months of the year there, and then the rest of the time in California where I have family and where my kids will probably be living.  I'm intrigued with the idea of renting a decent one bedroom apartment for a month or two at a time in a certain place, maybe Munich in April/May, then a month on the Worthersee in Austria for June, then July in Croatia on the coast, etc etc.  The rents for furnished apartments that I've seen on the internet so far look really affordable, around 600 to 800 Euros a month, and I'm wondering if thats realistic for a decent area in a big city like Vienna or Munich.  I realize alot of time they will want renters for more than one month, but I've seen some ads that have said one month is ok.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: May 26, 2014, 01:18:36 pm
    I realize its not likely, but if there was a UKIP-Tory electoral pact for the General Election, what would it look like? 
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 26, 2014, 10:53:31 am
So whats the story of the Austrian People's Party doing so well in the middle of Vienna? 
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 06:17:05 pm
Also of interest is that An Independence from Europe, the English Democrats, the BNP, and a few other such splinter parties who might have potential pro-UKIP voters, are getting over 3% of the vote.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 05:04:02 pm
   According to the BBC site vote count nothing has come from London yet. I wonder what kind of a massive win Labour will get out of London to overtake UKIP's lead.
100  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Jaruzelski dead at 90 on: May 25, 2014, 04:16:51 pm
   I distinctly remember hearing that in early January, 1989, Jaruzelski threatened to resign if the Polish Communist Party didn't agree to the round table talks with Solidarity.  I don't think he realized how far the reforms would go, but to his credit he did get them started in early 1989. they in turn, along with the parallel Hungarian developments got reform off and running in Eastern Europe.
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