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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 06:45:19 pm
Hopefully the message of Rubio's loss is learned by future politicians.  Don't campaign one way on a signature issue (immigration) and than go in a totally opposite direction once in office.
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 06:35:51 pm
  Bet Trump wins the Hispanic vote in Florida outside of Dade county.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 06:34:24 pm
    Florida has a lot early voting by mail and in person.  I seem to recall big early vote dumps in the past, since 2004 in fact.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Brown: If Trump wins, we might build a wall in California on: March 15, 2016, 05:32:34 pm
  How about the part of Texas that Mexico wanted from the new Republic of Texas in the 1830's goes back to Mexico.  That was the river nueces boundary, as opposed to the Rio Grande.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Powerful anti-trump ad shows women reading trump comments on: March 15, 2016, 04:56:36 pm
    Show the Donald to be anything but your "family values" Republican.  A man who says these things is probably not beholden to the religious right.  Should play well with suburban women voters.
81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Brown: If Trump wins, we might build a wall in California on: March 15, 2016, 04:51:27 pm
    As California becomes more and more Democratic, a secession of California from the US would help keep the GOP in charge of the US House. This idea might be worth looking into for both Dems and GOP.
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) on: March 15, 2016, 11:24:34 am
   I forget how Florida reporting happens.  Will there be a big vote dump right after poll closings when each county announces its early vote totals?
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Regional strengths in GOP in Ohio and Florida on: March 14, 2016, 03:36:34 pm
   Wondering what people think will be candidate strong point areas.  I'm guessing Trump strong in north Florida, somewhat strong in central, weakest in South Florida. Rubio opposite. In Ohio Kasich strongest in suburbs, Columbus area?  Trump and Cruz strong in rural areas?
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: FL - Opinion Savvy: Trump in a landslide on: March 14, 2016, 03:33:37 pm
   Their amount of already voted is stated as 14%. That seems pretty low to me.  Arg has a 20 point Trump lead of early voters, but somehow I believe this polls margin more, but not the total amount of them.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: ARG: Trump and Clinton swamp opponent(s) in FL; Kasich, Clinton lead in OH on: March 14, 2016, 03:30:23 pm
   Fwiw, ARG has the Donald with a big lead among the huge amount of early voters.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 14, 2016, 01:08:54 am
   Do we have a breakdown of support by social classes in these elections?  Wonder if the AFD support is coming from working class groups, especially in SA?
87  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Lack of diversity among airline pilots on: March 14, 2016, 12:54:24 am
    I bring this up because I'm wondering why the pro-affirmative action people are so silent on this issue, unlike things like pop culture or police and fire department racial unrepresentativeness.
88  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Does the GOP establishment care about the working class base? on: March 13, 2016, 11:41:15 pm
  I think not.  Better to replace them, or dilute their numbers  on the way to Brazification  of the US.
89  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Lack of diversity among airline pilots on: March 13, 2016, 11:39:20 pm
    It seems that every time I go to an airport the only pilots I see are white males.  Is there a movement to diversify the pilots of the US?  Why isn't this on the political agenda, or ever brought up by candidates?
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When was the main moment Rubio's campaign began to collapse? on: March 13, 2016, 11:27:02 pm
   I'm thinking when he signed onto the gang of 8 immigration surge bill instead of leading the fight against it. By supporting it he kind of started off the campaign with a giant negative to many GOP voters.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 06:45:28 pm
   Why did the Greens collapse so bad in RP?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 04:01:23 pm
    Also, the fate of the Greens is intriguing.  1st place in BW, barely passing the 5% threshold in RP and SA.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 03:23:45 pm
   I wonder if the extent of the AFD victories and CDU losses will impact Merkel.  Its not as if these losses were unexpected, though the size is a bit bigger than expected.  
   Concerning what I term ethnic de-Germanization, I'm referring to the situation where in many German cities, the % of schoolchildren whose parents or grandparents are from what is termed a "migration background" is quite high and growing higher.  
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 02:49:13 pm
  I would argue that on the existential issues of immigration  and the  ethinic de-Germanization of Germany the forces in favor of that , which I would argue are on the left, are doing quite well, if one looks at the long term trend.  Today certainly amounts to a reset of sorts, but its not as if the AFD and its allies has some new majority.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 02:32:57 pm
    SA is even more interesting with all the other wasted votes going to the NPD.  The final combined votes going for parties to the right of the CDU is going to be very high.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 13, 2016, 02:20:05 pm
    Some  new developments in German political history today.  First time since the war that a party to the right of the CDU wins seats in three landtags at the same time.  First time since the war that a party to the right of the CDU is the second biggest in a German landtag.  Huge victory for political diversity today.  
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Thomas Dimassimo, Bernie supporter who rushed Trump -- should Bernie disavow? on: March 12, 2016, 07:54:06 pm
    The more the perception is that the strongest anti-Trump forces are made up of BLM and people like this privileged creepy guy (his mom has a nice position in Atlanta city government apparently), the more that helps the Donald, I would think.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / If Trump would be more like PM Cameron on: March 12, 2016, 10:35:29 am
   British Prime Minister David Cameron has campaigned on a similar low immigration platform like Trump. In both the 2010 and 2015 campaigns he called for having non-EU immigration to Britain being reduced from the hundreds of thousands to the tens of thousands.  This represents a very significant policy change potentially.  In real life of course its unclear just how much has been done to achieve this, but the point is Cameron got away with campaigning on this issue in both elections without a lot of drama or controversy or mobilizing a huge counter movement against the Tories because of it.
    I would argue Cameron was able to do this because to my knowledge he refrained from divisive or demagogic rhetoric, and just focused on what was right for Britain without trying to demonize any ethnicity or people.  Trump could have tried this approach by bringing up the serious concerns Americans have to both illegal immigration and the large numbers of legal immigrants coming to the US in this time of high structural unemployment and underemployment, and leaving all gratuitous rhetoric about Mexican rapists aside. 
   A good example of the success of this Cameron style approach is the fact that Cruz at times is trying to run to the right of Trump on immigration, but without the unnecessary and gratuitous insults, and he's not running into the same kind of opposition.
   Perhaps Trump supporters might argue that then Trump wouldn't be Trump and so would just start sounding like any other politician, but I think there's plenty of political space out there for a more thoughtful, less emotional appeal to the huge section of Americans to whom the lower immigration ideas appeal to.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Utter chaos occuring at cancelled Trump rally in Chicago right now on: March 12, 2016, 10:17:42 am
   Don't know if its been mentioned on the thread, but I'm guessing that the visual of the Mexican flag being waived among the protestors was not helpful to their cause.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Big CONGRATULATIONS to Marco Rubio! on: March 09, 2016, 11:20:36 am
   As someone who considers Rubio one of my least favorite Republicans I admit that it would be kind of cool to have a first lady who was once an NFL cheerleader.
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