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August 17, 2017, 04:57:29 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 on: April 20, 2017, 10:38:08 am
   As a professional pizza (among other food) delivery driver I was intrigued to see the Chancellor in action.  I'd like to have seen more details on the video.  Were most of the orders in that one apartment complex?  Looks like he helped make the pizzas as well.  Also, he mentions that he did well with tips, wonder how big they were.  Also, looks like the restaurant didn't cut the pizzas, but rather leaves that up to the customer.  We cut ours, 6 slices for a small, 8 for a medium, 10 for a large, 12 for an extra large.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What if Democrats win House popular vote in a landslide but GOP keeps majority? on: April 19, 2017, 03:52:38 pm
  One reason unfair results like this might not have as much resonance as they should have is that on election night the media organizations don't total up percentage of vote and compare with percentage of seats like they do in Canada or the UK.  So any unfair discrepancies due to gerrymandering and amassing huge results in urban areas is lost in the overall political chatter.
   Suggestion for Dems.  Get behind proportional representation both in states where you might not benefit from it (California) and in states where you would (Michigan and Ohio).  Even if you couldn't get it passed for congressional seats, having PR in place for state legislature seats in places like Michigan and Ohio and Pennsylvania would guarantee that Dems would have a fighting chance for a seat at the table come redistricting time for congressional seats.
   
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 19, 2017, 03:44:27 pm
   Did Ossoff have an active role during the presidential primary campaign for Clinton?
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 on: April 19, 2017, 03:33:06 pm
    Tender, interesting to see that on the issue of more refugees/migrants the SPO and FPO voters were the most against, with OVP voters a little bit closer to the Greens than the SPO. I'd love to see a further breakdown among SPO and OVP voters by social class, education level etc and their stance on the issue.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: UT-3: Chaffetz retiring on: April 19, 2017, 11:24:06 am
   This is clearly a case of the deep state forcing Chaffetz out to pave the way for the Mcmuffin to run, and to reward him for his attempt to deny Trump Utah's electoral votes last November.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 19, 2017, 11:21:32 am
  Surprisingly enough Handel is the predictit favorite at about 60-40 so far.  I think this number is going to change toward Ossoff in the coming days.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 19, 2017, 01:02:03 am
   If this had been an open seat in last years general election I wonder how it would have gone. Guessing GOP win in the 55-45 range.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 18, 2017, 05:13:30 pm
  Oh, that's interesting, in that it might drive up turnout in those areas, but not areas without local races.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 18, 2017, 05:11:21 pm
   I find it amazing that long lines could develop in that the congressional election is the only thing on the ballot, correct?  If that's right it shouldn't take long for people to get in and vote and be done, not like those California style ballot marathons that we enjoy so much.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 18, 2017, 10:47:41 am
   I bet a few dollars that no one gets 50%.  Odds were 82% favorite that no one gets 50%.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 18, 2017, 10:40:10 am
  What about the Bourbon pretender to the throne? Would he be more likely to endorse Le Pen or NDA?
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: April 18, 2017, 10:38:00 am
    Aren't we missing the main problem with this election?  For us Atlas junkies we already have a full electoral plate this year with the French and German elections, and maybe Austrian as well.  Next year would have been more convenient. Now we are going to have to split our political excitement and energy between both France and UK at the same time.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 17, 2017, 11:04:47 am
  Well, I set up an account at predictit.  Bought some "no"  shares on Le Pen winning at 72. (so I'm basically saying I don't think she has a 28% chance of winning, not sure how much her true chance is, but its not 28% in my view).
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 16, 2017, 10:55:49 am
  How on earth are the Le Pen odds to win the presidency so high?
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (4/18: GA-6) on: April 14, 2017, 10:19:34 pm
  I would have guessed the Libertarian candidate would have gotten more support in the Kansas vote. Say you are a right of center voter and want to protest the various Trump failures or Gov Brownback, but can't bring yourself to vote for a Democrat, you'd think voting Libertarian would have been a nice option, but apparently wasn't for many people.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 14, 2017, 10:13:14 pm
   Could the high score of Portugese and Italian immigrant descendants (assuming the poll has some validity) for Le Pen be related to the working class status of many of them?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 14, 2017, 12:39:13 am
  GOP groups should be aiding Slotin and the other non-Ossoff Dems to help get the non-Ossoff Democrat vote as high as possible.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 13, 2017, 06:23:38 pm
  If France had the Irish transferable vote method for the Presidential election I think it would make things a lot smoother and less random, in terms of who makes the runoff.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: April 13, 2017, 06:21:07 pm
  Anything causing the Schultztrain derailment, or just the honeymoon period wearing off?
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (4/11: KS-4) on: April 10, 2017, 03:53:01 pm
  Looking at Estes's website you would think Obama was still president, no mention of Trump that I could find, either for or against. Any sense of whether he would be fairly Trump friendly or not as much?
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DCCC moving senior staff to Orange County, CA on: April 10, 2017, 03:22:31 pm
  California for the GOP might gradually be turning into what Scotland is for the Tories, a political death zone in terms of congressional/parliamentary seats.
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AP: Trump scraps tax reform plan and is going back to drawing board. on: April 10, 2017, 03:18:20 pm
  So what would the Bannon factions tax reform look like and what about the Kushner "West Wing Democrats" version look like?
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 10, 2017, 11:02:05 am
  It would be funny if the the other three Democrat candidates who obviously aren't going to get many votes, somehow deny him the 50% margin, maybe if Ossoff is around 48 or 49%.
99  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Fascinating picture from last night on: April 10, 2017, 10:56:50 am
  Two facebook style quotes  suggest themselves.

1) "That awkward feeling when you realize you are on the same side, at least at this magical moment, of ISIS."
2) "That awkward moment when you realize that you have just made a big 180 on what was one of the main themes of your campaign" (America first and staying away from foreign conflicts).
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Finnish local elections, 9th April 2017 on: April 09, 2017, 04:45:06 pm
  Helsinkian, why did the Finns Party do so poorly.  Is it something to do with their role in the national government?
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