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June 25, 2016, 08:09:45 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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76  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Labour anti-semitism megathread. on: April 29, 2016, 10:47:18 am
    Concerning Hitler and the Zionists there is a very intriguing book on the subject, Zionism in the age of the Dictators which goes into the various ties and negotiations between the Zionists and the Nazi regime. Also Francis Nicosia's Zionism and anti-Semitism in Nazi Germany is very enlightening. Through the 1930's the Hitler regime was hoping to expel the German Jews, and British run Palestine was one option.  The Nazis did fear that once the Jewish population there was strong enough to have its own state and a League of Nations membership it would be a pain in the neck, and that a Jewish run state would be a source of untold mischief.  However, in spite of those concerns, the Hitler regime cooperated with Zionists agencies to the extent that about 40,000 German and Austrian Jews did reach Palestine.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: April 29, 2016, 12:47:18 am
   Hofer is saying he wants to introduce Swiss style direct democracy into Austria.  I would think this would be a positive campaign message to hammer away at VDB with, not that the President could actually implement such a reform of course.  When the US electorate has voted on whether to introduce the right to initiative and referendum into their state constitutions the people have usually voted in favor.
78  General Discussion / History / Re: Opinion of William Jennings Bryan on: April 28, 2016, 04:26:00 pm
  My fantasy is that he stays on as Secretary of State for Wilson and he, combined with Wilsons second wife Edith Galt, keeps Wilson on the neutral side in WW1, and with no US involvement a compromise peace out of WW1 emerges, with a boat load of intriguing butterflies coming from this.
79  General Discussion / History / Re: Could Yugoslavia have been saved? on: April 28, 2016, 04:21:44 pm
  How about no coup in 1941 and Yugoslavia stays more or less neutral throughout all or most of the war, so even if it gets drawn into the war toward the end maybe, its far less brutal with much less historical grievances being built up.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: April 28, 2016, 04:19:01 pm
   Tender, great maps.  A couple questions.  What accounts for Voralberg and the FPO weakness there?  Also, did the new asylum law passed on Tuesday go a long way toward what the FPO wants?  I saw that they voted against, but am wondering how much of that was for political reasons.  I wonder if the SPO dissidents will be tempted to move to the Greens because of this.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: April 27, 2016, 09:58:52 am
   Well, it looks like the other parties are not endorsing. Chancellor Faymann is personally voting for VDB, but no SPO endorsement, and nothing from the OVP.  Also, interesting that the Trade Union Federation won't be endorsing a candidate.  Not sure if they ever do in elections but all this shows that so far there doesn't seem to be a massive anti-Hofer Popular Front type movement developing.  The blue collar elements of the Trade Unions are probably pro-Hofer (members anyway, likely not leadership I'd guess).
   This will be a fascinating socio-economic breakdown in terms of voting, in which the blue collar workforce supports a perceived right-wing candidate, and the higher classes a perceived left-wing, or center left-wing anyway candidate. 
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: April 26, 2016, 11:53:16 am
   Tender, has Hofer stated his exact policy ideas for how Austria should be dealing with the migrant crisis?  Does he think some should be allowed to stay, or is he fully in the Orban camp of a zero migrant target?
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 26, 2016, 11:02:56 am
   I wonder if the reason Hofer did so well among young men is the fact that such a huge percentage of the migrants are young men as well.  Austrian younger men could view them as a double threat, first off in the job market, second off in the marriage/relationship market, as potential rivals for both jobs and women.  If the majority of migrants coming to Austria were young attractive Ukrainian women fleeing conflict there, or Thai cocktail hostesses fleeing Moslem extremists, or Brazilian supermodels fleeing the Zika virus, perhaps we wouldn't have such a support spike for Hofer among this electorate.
   While Hofer won over 50%, I bet among working class young men he did even better.  Perhaps a campaign slogan for him in the runoff could be "Young Austrian men, with Hofer you stand a better chance of getting paid and getting laid".
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 25, 2016, 11:52:21 am
  I found one small village where the SPO received no votes, Untertilliach in Lienz district of Tyrol, with a voter turnout of 99 people.  I wonder if there are some zero vote OVP places, but maybe not as likely as they are stronger in rural areas.
  Also, do we have the socio-economic class breakdown of the vote in the exit polls?
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 03:26:42 pm
    Will the defeated candidates endorse either one of the finalists?  Khol and Lugner for Hofer, Griss and Hundstorfer for VDB?
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 02:49:33 pm
  One cool thing about the Hapsburgs is that instead of conquering territory they won it through dynastic marriages instead. I believe the phrase was that the empire grew through the bedroom not the battlefield.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 02:28:50 pm
   Did Khol try to take credit for the OVP's role in putting in the migrant/refugee quota which might have had a ripple effect in slowing down, for now any way, the wave of migrants coming through the Balkans?  One would think that would have been a positive campaign message toward a lot of the electorate.  If VDB still ends up winning (remember what happened in France last year), I wonder if it would be the biggest comeback margin in a European Presidential election ever.
   Seems a lot of the electorate is basically saying that they want the cultural, demographic, ethnic, religious makeup of Austria's future to be similar to what it is today and for it not to be changed significantly.  
88  General Politics / Economics / Re: The economic cost of not being a white male on: April 01, 2016, 12:49:27 am
   Adam, yeah just having fun with terminology and labels.  We actually know the man who was Steve Nash's soccer coach from when Nash was high school age.
89  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: CA: Deal Reached to Raise Minimum Wage to $15/hour on: March 31, 2016, 10:04:37 am
    Assuming this passes, and our restaurant is not exempt from it, it will be interesting to see what happens.  The extra wages would put us into the red profit wise, so the two main counter-measures to this would be labor cut-backs and price increases.  There is some margin for labor cutbacks at our restaurant, though this leads to weaker customer service, but the main countermeasure will of course be price increases and I'm sure they will be coming, as they have in the past as minimum wage has gone up over the last years.   
90  General Politics / Economics / Re: The economic cost of not being a white male on: March 31, 2016, 09:51:43 am
    Steve Nash was mentioned as an example of a non-black player in the NBA who has done well in the league, but I would mention that well he is a non-black person, he most definitely is an African-American, being born in South Africa, but raised in North America (Canada).
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Tom Perez being considered for Veep on: March 19, 2016, 11:09:06 am
    If Clinton picks an Hispanic VP I thing if they don't speak Spanish that might actually be a plus, as an indicator that they were picked based on their qualification, not some identity politics check list.  Also, such a person might resonate with the ever growing percentage of Hispanic voters who either don't speak Spanish at all, or not fluently.  With every passing year I bet this percentage grows a little bit.  Plus, non Hispanic swing voters might find that fact appealing as well.  Just my dos centavos.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Reaction to a Trump nomination from the governments of USís Western allies on: March 19, 2016, 10:48:59 am
    Cameron has twice run successful national campaigns calling for legal immigration
reduction from non-EU people, plus he too is adept at the art of the deal, with his coalition agreement in 2010, so there are some points of similarity with him and the Donald (and yes I realize and have posted earlier that Cameron's approach to campaigning on immigration, not the Donalds, is more appropriate and effective.
93  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Personal relationship questions on: March 18, 2016, 12:49:35 am
   Seems a lot of posters have a suspiciously high amount of free time to do all sorts of pretty cool political analysis, nice maps, somewhat insightful commentaries etc.  But all this takes time, sometimes a lot of time. Begs the question, do people here on this site have vibrant romantic relationships?
   My excuse is that my wife is tolerant of this, I don't watch TV much, and we have invested a lot so we don't need to work too many hours a week as our passive income provides for a fair amount of our budget
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jewish leaders plan boycott of trump at AIPAC for his Hatred on: March 18, 2016, 12:40:22 am
   So Trump is scoring a double loss.  Gets controversy and negative mileage out of his Islam comments, and still has AIPAC mad at him.  Sort of a reverse win-win deal.
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: David Duke: Trump's campaign rehabilitating Hitler! on: March 18, 2016, 12:36:18 am
    Hitler was also attached to the Winter Games.  They were held in Garmisch Partentkirchen in 1936, so Germany had a double Olympics that year. BTW, I believe they were awarded to Germany before Hitler took over.
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Case for Kasich as POTUS on: March 17, 2016, 04:02:43 pm
   Is this perhaps an indicator of how young so many Atlas people are, but I find it interesting that so few on this board focus on Kasich as budget committee chair in the mid-90's.  To me that was his finest hour, and I remember watching CNN after various showdown meetings with President Clinton during the govt shutdown of late 1995 and Kasich coming out and talking about how he was getting Clinton's agreement to move federal spending to the glide path to surplus.
   I'm guessing that for many on this board the mid-90's must seem like a long time ago.
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Case for Kasich as POTUS on: March 17, 2016, 11:06:15 am
   Kasich brings some interesting "identity politics" attributes to the table.  Slavic on both sides of his parentage, I also read that all of his grandparents were immigrants. Raised Catholic as well, but now goes to an Anglican church. And of course, his father was a mailman.
   Depending on how the economy and stock market are doing as the year goes on, his performance as Budget Committee chair in the 90's is something he may be able to stress, and the late 90's awesome budget surpluses is something that thrifty savers like myself would find appealing. 
And of course his father was a mailman.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Has Hillary Clinton Become a Better Candidate Because of Bernie Sanders? on: March 16, 2016, 08:11:05 pm
  I think the Sanders campaign is perfect for Hillary.  She gets some campaign practice in without Bernie really hitting her too hard.  Sort of like a sparring partner in boxing.  Best of both worlds. GOP race OTOH is landing some juicy body blows to all candidates.
99  General Politics / Economics / getting to higher wages at walmart on: March 16, 2016, 08:05:45 pm
  Last night the Bern mentioned Walmart and their low wage structure.  I'm wondering what some approaches are to change this.  The earnings per share of Walmart isn't that great so its not like there is tonnes of profit out there going to shareholders in the form of dividends.  I'm thinking less employees per store, slightly higher prices, maybe a membership requirement, and because of all this some higher salaries that in turn  leads to less turnover that leads to less HR costs that can also go to higher wages. I don't go there very often, but it does seem like they have a fair amount of employees working, so less employees might be a key option. Customers probably wouldnt' mind too much as long as prices are about as low as they are, it would be worth the loss in customer service quality for many customers as long as they can still get great deal.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Hillary finished? on: March 16, 2016, 07:08:40 pm
  I think we've been waiting for decades for a Clinton scandal to derail this unusual political duo.  No reason I think why it should happen now.
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