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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should the US go toward more runoff elections? on: April 04, 2013, 12:05:46 pm
     Actually getting rid of elections by district wouldn't require an amendment.    Until 1967 states could elect US house members statewide.  I know in the 1940's Illinois and New York each elected two US house members state wide, still in a winner take all format, however, and all it would take would be for the a new law to allow it to happen, and then states could individually decide if they wanted their members elected at large (via a PR system or winner take all) or by district.  And of course states right now could experiment with a PR elected legislature, or runoffs, or whatever.
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Should the US go toward more runoff elections? on: April 03, 2013, 04:07:06 pm
   Here in California we now have the so called top two primary law which amounts to both a primary and a first round election. Only the top two, regardless of party, make it to the general election (i.e. the runoff).  Over time, California's third parties, if they are politically coherent (a big if), could start to tailor their political arguments toward this new system.  They could tell voters not to worry about "wasting their vote", as there will be a runoff anyway, and so could see a rise in their support, assuming that there are plenty of closet Greens, Peace and Freedomites, Libertarians and American Independents out there just waiting to get out of their plurality winner straight jackets.
    Runoffs could also consist of a primary, a general election, and then a runoff if noone gets a majority, like Arizona did for its governor in the 1990's.
    Anyway, I wonder how other people on the board feel about this idea.  I hate the idea of plurality winners, the "don't waste your vote" argument etc, and with a runoff those issues are gone.
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / What % of US immigration is of high skilled people? on: April 03, 2013, 11:26:37 am
   All the current discussion of immigration reform has got me thinking about the issue of low skilled vs high skilled immigration into the US.  Has anyone done a study of what  % of current legal immigrants would be considered high skilled? What medium skilled? Low skilled? How about current illegal immigration?  My guess is that legal immigration would have a much higher % of high skilled immigrants than illegal. 
    Also, by and large should US immigration policy be for pretty much only, by and large, high skilled people?
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / 1936 GOP nomination battle on: March 31, 2013, 05:14:44 pm
   I've been looking for some data on the GOP presidential primaries and have found the overall results, but not state by state.  Apparently several states had favorite son candidates, but in several Sen Borah won, and I'm wondering if he was going head to head against Landon.
Also, why didn't Borah's wins translate into any more momentum against Landon?  Anyone know where to find good state by state detailed results?
80  General Discussion / History / Re: What would America look like (demographically and politically) if.... on: March 31, 2013, 12:52:53 am
     I believe that even without the law changes we still would have seen a fair amount of immigration from Mexico and Latin America anyway, but certainly not as much as we have seen.  Wasn't the Western Hemisphere exempt from the 1924 qouta laws anyway?
81  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Environmentalists on US immigration reform on: March 30, 2013, 11:32:42 am
   Does anyone know what leading environmentalists have had to say about the upcoming US immigration reform bill?  The bill will likely lead to even more immigration into the US than we have now, so I'm intrigued how these environmentalists feel about it, as it will mean more and more people coming here, greater use of resources, more building, more consumption, etc etc.
   For that reason one would think they'd be opposed to it, but OTOH, the bill will likely lead to even more future Democratic trending voters, so less future Republican elected officials over time, so for partisan purposes alone one could see how Democrat leaning environmentalists would like this move to further Democratify the electorate.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Weimar Germany's presidential election rules on: March 15, 2013, 05:44:47 pm
   The Weimar Republic had a directly elected President with a runoff provision if no one got a majority of the vote in the first round.  But in the runoff, it seems that everyone could run again, not just the top two candidates as is usually the case in presidential runoffs today.  What was the point in having this runoff if everybody could run again?
83  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: the pope and I, fellow students in Freiburg, 1987 on: March 15, 2013, 11:21:46 am
Darn it, reports of his doctorate from Freiburg are apparently false.  Looks like he only studied in Sankt Georgen, not in Freiburg.  False information on the internet, who would have imagined.
84  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / the pope and I, fellow students in Freiburg, 1987 on: March 14, 2013, 04:42:48 pm
    Just saw that Pope Francis studied in Freiburg in I believe the late 1980's.  What do you know, so did I.  No, I don't remember meeting a fifty something Argentine jesuit getting his doctorate in theology but its possible we were eating in the cafeteria (everybody ate there, unlimited refills and cheap price) at the same time.  Ah, brushes with history.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Los Angeles mayoral election 2013 on: March 05, 2013, 11:15:30 pm
   To those who voted today, what were the lines, if any, like?   Also, why wasn't there a high profile hispanic candidate?
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Religion of State Governors on: March 05, 2013, 11:14:36 pm
    Fascinating how the vast majority of elected officials always seem to have some sort of religious ID, when a cross section of America would certainly have a substantial amount of believers, but also a pretty hefty amount of non believers.  This always reminds me of how Northern Ireland is supposed to be two thirds Protestant and one third Catholic when the rest of Europe is supposed to be virtually non religious.  In other words, in the case of politicians in general and regions defined by a religous divide, how often is it the case that people are just taking a religious label as a form of cultural identifier?
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: GOP legislators in MI, PA, & WI are pushing for proportional EC allocation on: March 05, 2013, 11:04:03 pm
     Selective use of new EC vote apportionment systems (only to be used to hurt Democrats that is) reminds me of the electoral system used to elect the legislature in a Canadian province in the 1920s (I think it was Alberta or Manitoba, not sure).  In that case proportional representation was used in urban areas, the district system in rural ones. Imagine going to PR for urban areas in US house elections, but retaining the single member district winner take all for more republican leaning rural and suburban areas.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2013 Early Venezuela Presidential Electionhin on: March 05, 2013, 10:51:41 pm
Also, doesn't the presidential law now only have one round, no runoff?  This would encourage only one Chavez loyalist candidate I would think.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 04, 2013, 01:14:27 pm
I read somewhere that Bersani said if the left won the election the first law to be voted on would be citizenship reform, so that anyone born in Italy, regardless of the citizenship of the parents would become an Italian citizen, known here in the US as birthright citizenship.
   Anyway, has this been discussed at all after the election, as something Bersani is still insisting on, even in a coalition situation?
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 04, 2013, 01:11:32 pm
Intresting that Berlusconis group did so much better in FPTP electoral system. This must be because the left would have a ton of wasted votes in Tuscany, Emilia Romanga area I guess.  Unlikely that a FPTP only system would be approved though.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 01, 2013, 12:54:47 pm
Is there any type of consensus emerging as to what a new electoral law would look like?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 28, 2013, 11:46:37 am
    Anyone find any polling data of the 2nd choice of voters for Grillo and Monti's parties.  I'm wondering who they would have voted for if Italy had some kind of runoff system with districts like France.  (Though of course in many cases the Five Star candidate would have made such a runoff).  Also, I'm wondering what would have happened if Italian voters were presented with a choice of only a Berlusconi bloc and a Bersani bloc, similar to 2006.  I'm guessing a solid victory for the left in that case.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 05:26:23 pm
Based on whats left, Berlusconi will get closer to victory, but my guess is just miss out on the win.
   After all is said and done I sure hope Italy gets rid of their awful electoral system. I hate to see 71% of the electorate winning 45% of the seats.  Stuff like that keeps me up at night.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 02:00:44 pm
  For the Senate it looks like the city of Turin is almost all in, but not the surronding cities and towns.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 01:58:22 pm
Doesn't the highest placed Camera coalition automatically get at least half the Camera seats? If this is the case, we'd be looking at about 70% of the electorate getting less than half the seats, and a 29-39% electorate getting half the seats. Very reflective of the electorate.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 12:09:19 pm
I'm wondering about the 5 Star electorate.  Who are these people and if 5 star wasn't on the ballot would they lean to the right or left, or neither?
97  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Anyone else suffering from Election Withdrawal Symptome? on: November 10, 2012, 01:15:07 pm
   Yeah, I can't wait to see how Virginia unfolds next year, and also maybe we'll have some special elections up ahead with some congressional mid session retirements or something.
98  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Republican Hack Jon Husted wants to allocate Ohio EV by congressional district on: November 10, 2012, 12:39:17 pm
    I can see the GOP trying to do this throughout the Big 10 states, from Iowa all the way to Pennsylvania.  These are states where they win lots of congressional seats year in year out but usually lose the presidential vote, yet they often elect governors, sometimes win the state legislatures etc, so they sometimes have the power to put it in place, plus the motivation.  If they were smart they'd do it in Indiana also, just to prove its a regional "reform" with "no partisan agenda".  The referendums against it in Michigan and Ohio would be epic battles, drawing in huge amounts of money and speakers from around the country.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2012 ballot measures on: November 10, 2012, 02:33:01 am
Sbane, thanks for the link.  Don't know how accurate that exit poll is, but assuming it is fairly accurate, it offers some really positive news for fiscal conservatives, and yes it does undercut my argument that hispanics are democratic leaning in these matters.  Glad to see that I may be overstating the case.  People of all ethnicities in California who voted for Obama but against Prop 30 would represent just the type of voters who may be reachable for the GOP.
   Personally I was torn by Prop 30, and almost voted for it, but ended up voting against though my wife voted yes, so we were a split.  And yes, I do have two kids in Cal public education.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama can kill the GOP with Amnesty on: November 10, 2012, 02:10:01 am
     Remember everybody, amnesty is just the sexy side show to the overall immigration issue.  With or without amnesty about 1 million legal immigrants who when they or their children become citizens will be likely Democratic leaning voters enter this country every year.  Romney wasn't against this, and seemed to suggest that he wanted even more immigrants than that, as long as it was legal. Amnesty is just the emotional ice on the cake. Democrats, you're winning on this and the GOP is barely even fighting you. 
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