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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Welp, this explains iowa and Ohio and Nevada. on: September 26, 2016, 12:03:05 pm
  In terms of white women, marital status is huge.  Married women are so much more likely to vote GOP, in this election and in elections past.
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How big of a disaster will a Donald Trump presidency be? on: September 26, 2016, 11:46:05 am
   . If you look at the various people surrounding him and who would likely have a role in his administration, such as Guiliani, Sessions, Christie, Pence, Bolton, Gingrich etc, I do wonder just how different his administration would be compared to any other GOP one.
   Would be interesting to go back to the fall of 1980 and see what people were saying about the imminent end of the world with Reagan about to take over and blow up the Russians.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can someone in the US tell me what the hell is going on? on: September 26, 2016, 11:37:44 am
  Trump's America first themes are probably winning him support, especially among lower income white voters. His stance for less immigration, and less low skilled immigration especially has likely touched a cord with these voters as well.  I know this may sound quaint and old fashioned, but I'm sure much of his predominately white electorate is looking at the demographic future of the US and is less than thrilled.  They want to go back to April 1965 demographically, and Trump is saying we'll at least slow down future ethnic change to the US.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Utah - Salt Lake City Tribune/Hinkley/Dan Jones: Trump +9 on: September 26, 2016, 11:18:14 am
  Still think it would be hilarious if somehow the vote for deep state Mcmullin surges and Hillary thereby wins the state, but still loses the election.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Welp, this explains iowa and Ohio and Nevada. on: September 26, 2016, 11:14:43 am
   C'mon Trump you can do better than this.  Norbert Hofer in Austria, running with some similar themes, got 93% of the blue collar vote in Austria's first presidential runoff this spring, and Clinton will likely get in the 90's with the black vote.  Would love to see the electoral map with Trump getting in the 90's with NCWM.
81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PA-Morning Call: Clinton +3 on: September 25, 2016, 12:39:18 am
    Would love to see some regional breakdowns for these PA polls.  Where is Trump making gains?
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Breitbart/Gravis National: Clinton +4 on: September 24, 2016, 12:36:02 am
  Junk poll, probably put out there for purposes of psy-ops by Trump to help lull Clintonistas into false sense of security.
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Should Trump champion direct democracy? on: September 24, 2016, 12:34:23 am
   I could see Trump supporting the idea of direct democracy, by which I mean supporting the institution of a national initiative and referendum process, if he had some knowledge of it (not sure about that).  The idea of going over the head of the elites through a national referendum process could be just something he could get behind to rattle his opponents.  He'd also be channeling his inner-Hofer, who has campaigned in Austria for such measures.
   Of course opponents could point to him trying to institute some kind of plebiscitary dictatorship, and we all know just how fascist Switzerland is.   Anyway, if any recent national candidate was likely to support such an idea Trump would seem to fit the bill, and supporting it would force Clinton to either back it as well, or come out against the idea.
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Palo Alto, CA on: September 23, 2016, 10:13:00 pm
   Palo Alto is a nice city, as are the other peninsula cities.  But the high cost of housing there is almost a joke. We know many people who have left the area to move inland primarily because of housing costs. 
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If George W. Bush travelled back in time, to where he was January 2001... on: September 23, 2016, 10:09:59 pm
  Perhaps he would say who needs all this aggravation, life is too short, I'm resigning, no, fleeing DC.
86  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Largest white Catholic ancestry group by state on: September 23, 2016, 10:05:18 pm
   Wonder if PA would be pretty close among Germans and Irish.
87  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: A white privilege tax: an idea whose time has come? on: September 23, 2016, 10:03:23 pm
  Oh, I would certainly oppose it, but would be intrigued about how it would play out among the left, with some perhaps arguing that it would represent a more muscular, fiscally inclusive form of affirmative action.
88  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / A white privilege tax: an idea whose time has come? on: September 23, 2016, 09:47:13 pm
   With all the talk about white privilege, institutional racism etc etc, I'm wondering about how liberals on this board feel about instituting a white privilege tax (I'm assuming no conservative would support it).  Such a tax could be a modest addition to one's income tax liability. For instance if someone owed 2,500 dollars in federal income tax, a white tax payer could pay an extra 5 or 10% of that figure.  If a white tax payer was so privileged that they didn't owe any federal income tax, then perhaps they could have a 5 or 10% reduction in whatever refund/credit that they would have otherwise received.
   Some other avenues might be a reduction in food stamp benefits if they went to a white household, or perhaps an extra property tax assessment on white homeowners.  Anyway, it would be intriguing and full of political drama to see attempts to get such measures passed in liberal enclaves. Perhaps a place full of white left-of center voters like Boulder, Madison or Portland Oregon might be a nice place to try and get such an idea rolling on the municipal level.
   Of course there would be many whites who would try to get exemptions. Jews might try to opt out, saying only WASP's should be so treated, but that of course would open up the whole white Catholic and white Eastern European can of worms, with people trotting out their personal impoverished ancestors tales, perhaps a pogrom escape story, maybe some discussion of fleeing servitude in Russia or Austria-Hungary, fleeing the draft in Prussia (my family's case), or various other attempts to cast a more nuanced look at the whole white privilege issue.  
   Personally though, I think its a discussion worth having, and it would give people a chance to really put their money where there mouth is.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: No Fortune 100 CEOs Back Republican Donald Trump on: September 23, 2016, 09:08:03 pm
   Don't think too many CEO's like the idea of restricting immigration, or even the talk thereof.  All aboard the Brazilification train.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 22, 2016, 10:36:41 am
  I don't feel like going through each precinct level result, but I'm wondering what precinct is going to have the highest combined vote for left of center parties.  Looks like many precincts in Kreutzberg 1 saw SPD,Green,Linke votes alone hitting the low 80%, not counting votes for any other small left parties.
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Maine - Maine People's Resource Center 9/15-9/17: Hillary + 0.3 (4-way) on: September 20, 2016, 10:09:19 am
  If in fact Trump is going to do much better in some parts of the country than recent GOP candidates and worse in other parts, we should start seeing these kind of developments.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative election, 18 September 2016 on: September 19, 2016, 11:46:20 am
   Isn't there a term called "false aerodromes (or airfields)" in which the Kremlin sets up fake parties to siphon off votes from real opposition parties? This could be the case with the Communist Party of Russia.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: September 19, 2016, 11:43:25 am
  Tender, in that case, maybe the delay will benefit Hofer, in that some new political development will take place to change the electoral dynamic.
94  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Minnesota stabbing attack on: September 18, 2016, 06:35:13 pm
   Star Tribune reporting that stabber was Somali immigrant who came here as a child. Not a big surprise as Minnesota+Isis inspired attack would likely equal such a scenario.
95  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Minnesota stabbing attack on: September 18, 2016, 10:26:59 am
  Yes, like the axe wielding Afghan asylum seeker-terrorist in Germany who wounded several, but was killed.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 18, 2016, 10:24:29 am
   Would be amazing if CDU finishes 5th in the Berlin vote. Not likely, but possibly in some districts?
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Minnesota stabbing attack on: September 18, 2016, 10:20:00 am
   Looks like possibly an ISIS inspired stabbing attack in St Cloud Minnesota, stabber killed, 8 injured. It will be intriguing to find out details of the stabber.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 17, 2016, 10:07:37 am
  Tender, do you have a link to the new immigration numbers?  I'd be interested in seeing where the bulk of non-asylum seekers are coming from, and whether that's also influencing the political debate.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 16, 2016, 09:48:46 am
  David, I think its a case of the Overton window effect.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Germany's last multi-party election in 1933 on: September 10, 2016, 05:30:58 pm
    I had always thought that the Reichstag election of March 5, 1933 held a month and a week after Hitler had been appointed chancellor were the last multi-party elections held in Germany until after the war, and of course they were held in less than democratic conditions, with many leftists under arrest or fearing arrest, newspapers being banned etc.
   However, according to a biography of Goebbels that I'm reading, there were local elections held throughout Prussia on March 12, 1933. According to this, the NSDAP won 38% of the Berlin vote, an improvement from the 34.6% the party won the week before.   
   Does anyone have any information about this.  Haven't found anything on the internet, and the source in the biography was the Berlin statistische Jahrbuch 1933.
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