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May 03, 2016, 03:13:45 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 08:24:46 pm
   Rubio will get closer, but some of NOVA is in already, Loudon already 90% in and Arlington city 28%, but not much in Fairfax.
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 08:09:07 pm
   Kasich ahead of Cruz in Fairfax county VA.  The Beltway doesn't like Donald or Cruz.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 07:23:14 pm
    Trump even narrowly ahead of Rubio in suburban Fauquier country.  Can't be a good sign for Rubio.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 07:19:43 pm
   If there is a southern state where it should be ok for Cruz to finish third I would think Virginia would be it, anywhere else not so good.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 07:18:34 pm
   If Trump narrowly beats Kasich in Vermont it would be hilarious if Trump people come up with some narrative that Kasich was robbed in Vermont, to give Kasich bragging rights for one primary win.
81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 07:11:34 pm
   As long as Rubio doesn't win in Virginia I'd think that the media love fest would lose some resonance.  But if he does, its time for a nation-wide foam party.
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 05:34:54 pm
   Whats the profile of a satisfied Trump voter?
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 05:33:01 pm
   One more thing about Texas is if the early voting went strongly for Cruz I wonder if that vote total is released right away, so his margin will start strong but go down after.
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 05:26:00 pm
  Wonder if Virginia will lead the way in people who are enthusiastic about the federal government.  Makes sense as it and Maryland are the epicenter of well paid federal employees.
85  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Europe-Middle East-Africa Refugee Crisis General Thread on: March 01, 2016, 12:51:00 pm
    Just read another story about migrants returning to the middle east from Germany.  The migrants usually mention how they were told by the human smugglers that life in Germany would be paradise, with big houses, good jobs available, and then they find that that's not the case.  I wonder how many migrants would have come had they known the truth from the beginning.  I don't like reading about migrants who are trying to get home who have to scrape up the money to do so.
  The European governments need to do a better job of making sure that anyone who wants to go home should be given free tickets home, plus, ideally a repatriation bonus.  A repatriation culture should be developing.  Hopefully over time this will emerge with positive results for everyone involved.  A win win situation.
 
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 12:30:43 pm
   I'm taking the dinner shift off from work. I usually only do that on general election nights, but due to the intriguing race I couldn't resist.  Will work extra on Thursday night, though, to partially make up the lost shift.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 12:09:35 pm
   Totally joking on the idea of voters switching based on the photos.  But, all kidding aside people look pretty nonchalant.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / John Kasich nativist in the 1990's on: March 01, 2016, 12:06:54 pm
    Kasich today is running as the GOP moderate in the race, but its interesting to note that while in congress in  1995, he voted , as did about 2/3s of the GOP house caucus, for the GOP legal immigration reduction proposal, which would have reduced legal immigration about one third.
I don't know if he's mentioned it now, but my guess is that today he'd say he wouldn't vote for such a bill, but its interesting that of all the candidates running on the GOP side he's the only one left who was in federal office then.
    Btw, we'll never know how the Senate would have voted for the measure, as it was defeated in the House, but Pres Clinton had indicated that he supported the findings of his immigration commission under Barbara Jordan, and the measure in question incorporated the legal immigration reduction called for by that commission.  Had he signed such a measure, it would have cemented Clinton's legacy as the ultimate centrist President.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 11:56:03 am
  One can clearly tell from the photos of voters that there are many people pondering their choices and contemplating switching candidates.  Clear evidence of a surge for Kasich and Carson.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When will Carson drop out? on: March 01, 2016, 11:49:45 am
   There's the theory that Trump wants him to stay in as the second choice of many Carson voters might be Cruz.  OTOH, I'd think many Carson supporters might have Trump, Duke endorsement notwithstanding, as their second choice. 
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Louis Farrakhan praises TRUMP on: March 01, 2016, 11:45:59 am
   So, does Trump get in trouble for  being anti-Moslem and being supported by Farrakhan and not being pro-Israel enough for suggesting he'd be neutral in negotiations?  Sort of like a triple double negative, or not eating your cake, nor having it.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why hasn't The Pope's criticism of Trump hurt him amongst Catholics? on: March 01, 2016, 01:36:21 am
   Also there is the intriguing factor that greater immigration is leading to a more secular America, a more left leaning American electorate, an electorate more likely to elect a president like Obama who would nominate justices like Kagan and Sotomayor.  Pope Francis is implicitly endorsing this secularization and expansion of the left leaning electoral majority.
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is Trump's best historic/current parallel? on: February 29, 2016, 01:37:33 am
    I like the Berlusconi comparison.  They both had sports teams also.  Berlusconi had a broad center to the right electoral alliance, and Trump seems to be trying to assemble this as well.  Who else is there who could claim to be the most pro-Israel candidate running in a national debate and then a few days later only half-heartedly reject David Duke?
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hispanic Romney Voters and 2016 on: February 28, 2016, 07:18:45 pm
   Potus, I would disagree with you on the assessment of Romney as the toughest nominee on immigration since the progressive era.  I would argue that all those Presidents who served in the era of low legal immigration, from 1922 or thereabouts to 1965 presided over a far, far more restrictive US immigration law atmosphere, in which legal immigration was only a few hundred thousand a year, and mostly restricted to Europe.  To my knowledge, only Kennedy campaigned against these laws, and his proposed changes where much closer the existing laws than they are to what we have now.
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The CNN hate campaign on: February 28, 2016, 07:10:11 pm
     One thing media personalities must be wondering about is just how much fun, for media types anyway, a Trump presidency would bring. Not just great ratings, but all kinds of whacky interviews, live footage from the wall construction sites, rants by corrupt Mexican politicians against President Trump, and great visual shots from Trump/Putin summit meetings.  And of course Presidential press conferences, they're going to be great.
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump tweets fascist dictator Mussolini's quote on: February 28, 2016, 07:05:47 pm
   Clearly this is a form of anti-Italian race baiting on the part of CNN.  Good for Trump to dismiss this racism and not fall into the trap.
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Drudge: Jeff Sessions to endorse Donald Trump on: February 28, 2016, 05:52:39 pm
    First Christie, now Sessions.  The Donald is creating his own party unifier narrative momentum, the candidate who says he loves Israel, yet gets support from Duke and others, he is trying to be all things to all voters, and so far doing well at it.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to Christie: "get on the plane and go home" on: February 28, 2016, 01:58:55 am
  Clearly Trump is the wise commanding general who is looking out for his loyal Rubio slaying protégé and just making sure he gets some rest before the next adventure on the way to making American great again. 
99  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why are African American voters relatively monolithic on: February 27, 2016, 08:15:58 pm
   One theory is that for the black community politics isn't some hobby or sport, its really really important for them in delivering the goods, in terms of government spending in their communities as well as public sector jobs.  These two factors are more important for their communities than most non-black communities.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win the white vote in South Carolina today? on: February 27, 2016, 03:46:04 pm
    Wait a minute, I thought white voters were supposed to vote last Saturday, and black voters today.
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