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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT - 2013/17 comparison - Bernie, Paul, Amash hold same stance, others flipped on: April 08, 2017, 07:55:47 pm
  I'm going to bet the house that Tulsi Gabbard is holding the same stance.
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: speaking from a military background, I am stunned at the overreaction to this on: April 08, 2017, 07:52:23 pm
  I think for non-interventionist purists on the right  any move against Assad represented an escalation and Trumps immediate transformation into Jeb! or W, or Mccain.  Its almost as if he simultaneously repudiated Brexit, called for passage of the Gang of 8 bill, and reappointed Garland to SCOTUS based on the reaction of some out there.
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: White House mulling replacements for Reince Priebus and Steve Bannon on: April 08, 2017, 07:45:49 pm
  As of now allegedly all is well, or back on track until the next dust up.
79  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 50+ Cruise Missiles just launched and hit Syria on: April 07, 2017, 12:02:08 pm
   Not too surprising that Graham is front and center in the Syria intervention camp.
80  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: White House mulling replacements for Reince Priebus and Steve Bannon on: April 07, 2017, 12:00:42 pm
   If Bannon goes how does that impact Trump's foreign policy agenda? I'm thinking it makes it more likely that Trump would be more interventionist, less "America First".  So on that issue should anti-interventionists be rooting for Bannon to hang on?
81  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Would a "President Hillary Clinton" ordered the strikes on Syria? on: April 07, 2017, 11:57:35 am
   Possibly, but perhaps waiting for more action in the UN, or in congress.
82  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 50+ Cruise Missiles just launched and hit Syria on: April 07, 2017, 11:50:32 am
   Would love to see an ISIS statement praising Trump for this.  Maybe announcing that their forces stand in readiness to help the US overthrow the infidel Alawite Christian loving Baathist Assad dictator.
83  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 50+ Cruise Missiles just launched and hit Syria on: April 07, 2017, 10:10:20 am
  So, do we have a consensus on why Assad would want to use Chem weapons? Why not carry on with conventional weapons with Russian help which over the last few years has led to a turning of the tide.  Why upset the applecart when you've got a good thing going?
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Trump bomb Assad? on: April 06, 2017, 03:47:13 pm
   Maybe those of us who don't want US intervention could  subtly remind the Trumpster that most of his GOP opponents, the Bush's, McCain and Graham and Bill Kristol and others all want him to intervene.  Get him to think that intervention would be a sign of a small hands, low energy wimpy thing to do.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 03, 2017, 06:30:46 pm
  A Melenchon vs Macron runoff might be interesting. 
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6? Can Democrat Jon Ossoff win in the special election? on: March 30, 2017, 03:59:41 pm
   I love the talk about how too many GOP candidates will spread the field too thinly and enable Ossoff to get over 50% in the 1st round  How does this happen, you'd think it would work the other way?  Lots of candidates, lots of campaigning, lots of volunteers knocking on doors etc. should in theory raise overall turnout, thus lowering Ossoffs chance to hit 50, not raise it.
87  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Further analysis of the single white female vote on: March 30, 2017, 03:50:57 pm
   Right now the voting patterns of single white females are much more pro-Democrat than white males, married or not, or married white females. Something like a 65% vs low 40's% difference.  It would be interesting to break down this phenomena.  For instance, what about formerly married single white females, soon to be married females, females who'd like to get married but haven't found the right guy etc etc. ? My guess is that they'd fall into the less Democratic group, and women who just aren't into the marriage thing would lean even more pro-Democrat than the 65% overall number.
   Also, a breakdown of single white females with minor age children living with them and those without might be interesting. Anyone know of any  in depth studies on this?
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 26, 2017, 01:53:36 pm
  Probably a lot of potential FDP voters went with CDU, and also somewhat among Green voters going to Linke and SPD
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: March 25, 2017, 10:59:46 am
   A Rothschild banker backed by leftists either now or in the 2nd round, should provide lots of fodder for conspiracy theorists.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 24, 2017, 11:00:36 am
    If the ZDF numbers are accurate, if you were a CDU supporter who would like to see the Grosser Coalition back in office, it might make sense to vote FDP to ensure they pass the 5% threshold, which would make a SPD-Linke majority a bit less likely.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: March 23, 2017, 12:16:27 pm
   How likely is it that the Green vote will go down below 4% as Green voters fear just missing the 5% threshold and go en masse to SPD and Die Linke?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: March 18, 2017, 06:28:51 pm
  Well, obviously the culprit is Russian hacking.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: GE March 15, 2017 on: March 18, 2017, 10:18:51 am
    What city or town has the biggest non-white voting percentage?  Also, any idea of the overall direction of the Dutch non-white electorate voting breakdown?  I'm guessing Denk did best among moslems, and GL among non-moslems?
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2017 Los Angeles Elections (Today) on: March 16, 2017, 05:25:42 pm
  Another reason for the lack of coverage and possibly enthusiasm is that California municipal elections are officially non-partisan, so you don't get as much party drama that you do in New York City for instance.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: GE March 15, 2017 on: March 16, 2017, 05:03:30 pm
   So, what parties outside of the Fvd, attempted to coopt the PVV nationalist message, if any?  And which were the most against? (I'm guessing Denk of course, and GL?).
96  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Health insurance for the asset rich? on: March 16, 2017, 04:59:09 pm
    First off, for definition clarity I'm counting someone a millionaire if their family assets including equity in their primary residence is equal to one million dollars or more.  One of the quirks of Obamacare was that to qualify for subsidized insurance, income, but not assets, were the criteria, unlike I believe, programs such as food stamps, college aid, etc.
In looking at Mr money mustache for instance, (a site for thrifty, young retirees who live off their accumulated investment capital and thus have fairly low annual income but lots of assets) there were countless cases of people with a million dollars or more in total assets but had low enough annual income to qualify for subsidized coverage.
     In my personal case while we aren't millionaries yet, its been a nice experience to have a big subsidy in spite of our fairly sizable personal assets.  We are rewarded for homeownership, in that the 375k in equity that we have in our paid off house doesn't count as income, even though because of it we don't have to make extra money to pay rent.  Also, having unrealized capital gains is another big chunk of our true income, and yet that grows and grows most years, without any impact on our subsidy. (until we sell some stocks and realize some capital gains).  
    So personally I can't say I'm against the idea of asset millionaires getting subsidized insurance, but I wouldn't think it bad if future reforms took at least some consideration of a households overall financial situation instead of just annual income in determining subsidy eligibility.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: GE March 15, 2017 on: March 15, 2017, 04:14:48 pm
   I just read about the Fvd.  Did they attract some former PVV voters? Also, would they be considered viable coalition partners if they had won more seats?  I like how national direct democracy is a key plank of theirs, though I believe D66 is for that too and it doesn't seem as if they've achieved much in spite of being in government over the years.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 on: March 14, 2017, 03:59:24 pm
  Tender, do we have a breakdown of the citizenship of the non-Austrian parents?  Also, interesting to see the illegitimacy birth % by region, with Carinthia on the high side, and Vienna on the low side.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Politics and Elections in the Netherlands: GE March 15, 2017 on: March 13, 2017, 04:26:24 pm
  Wonder if Erdogan is hoping for the PVV to surge at the end and do well, as this would fit his narrative of the Dutch, German and Austrian axis of fascism.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italian Elections and Politics 2017: #Renxit and Beyond on: March 13, 2017, 03:54:23 pm
  Are there indications that the working class demographics are starting to shift away from left wing parties, similar to what we see in other countries like Austria?
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