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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 06:40:32 pm
What would have been a good Clakmannshire result for the remain side?
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 05:29:36 pm
UKIP remain voters might figure the following:  Well, the powers that be will always insist on more immigration, so we might as well have more Poles, Rumainians and Slovaks, instead of more Ghanians, Somalis and Sri Lankans.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 04:38:43 pm
  What was yougovs election day result in the GE last year?
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 04:37:08 pm
   One thing is certain. The British electorate is far more in favor of Brexit in percentage terms than parliament.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 04:23:16 pm
   The daily telegraph has a live feed of Sunderland vote counting. Exciting viewing.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 20, 2016, 04:31:59 pm
    Do we have any idea of the postal vote returns by region?  Not the results of course, but how many ballots have been returned.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 17, 2016, 11:51:07 am
  Chris, hopefully your prediction is correct.  I wonder about the London figures. The leave number is pretty strong, but maybe that's a function of overall Leave momentum. Btw, are the East Midlands generally considered the strongest Leave area?
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 15, 2016, 01:02:48 pm
  Switzerland is also part of Schengen, not part of EU. 
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 15, 2016, 11:18:28 am
   That politico article was pretty interesting.  I wonder if Saddiq Khan's election as London mayor brought home to people the fact that, for better or for worse, there are vast ethnic transformations under way in many parts of Britain, and some people actually don't want Britain to undergo this transformation, even though much of this is from non-EU immigration and Britain can already control this whether its in or out of the EU.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: June 13, 2016, 12:22:08 am
   In the US we have judges who are on occasion overthrow the decisions of the electorate, and its almost expected and predictable who those judges are (usually liberal ones who find that conservative electoral outcomes in referenda are in violation of some newly discovered or interpreted constitutional right).
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: June 12, 2016, 06:23:34 pm
   I have a compromise suggestion.  VDB is sworn in, FPO drops its challenges, but VDB says he will swear in a FPO chancellor if FPO achieves a working NR majority after the next election.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 12, 2016, 06:19:43 pm
   How has the leave side addressed the issue of British citizens losing EU rights to retire in southern Europe without having to get a special non-EU citizen residence permit? I would think this would be an appealing argument for the remain side to appeal to older-middle aged voters.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida... on: June 12, 2016, 03:28:46 pm
   On the immigration front, while the shooter was born in the US, his parents weren't and had the immigration policies supported by many of low immigration advocates like Sessions and Buchanan, people who like Trump, been in place in the 1980's probably not likely that his parents would have ever been allowed to immigrate here in the first place.  In that respect the Trump side, and the overall "lets have less immigrants come here in general" side might find some political justification from this.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida... on: June 12, 2016, 11:03:11 am
  By focusing attention on the perceived (rightly or wrongly) dangers of immigration, or the children of immigrants, from non-western countries, I can't see how it doesn't play into the Trump narrative.  This tragedy reminds me of an article I read recently about how some in  the gay community in Paris looks to the National Front as its protector against the further Islamification of France.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 10, 2016, 11:01:00 am
   Chris, keep working on your sister, I hope you turn her around.  Has the leave side mentioned the positive precedent of Switzerland, a non-EU state that is doing just fine without membership?
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ron Unz for US Senate in California on: June 09, 2016, 10:01:58 am
  Hey, don't blame me, I got three Unz votes out of our household, me, my wife and my newly enfranchised daughter.  I like his statement that he's pro-immigrant, but not pro-mass immigration.  An original thinker compared to most politicians.  I remember when he ran against Wilson in 94 in the primary and got about 30% of the vote out of nowhere.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 07, 2016, 10:08:49 pm
  Exciting that Walter Jones won so easily. Hopefully this will discourage future challengers.  Though Trump endorsed Ellmers, her defeat means one less likely GOP vote for any immigration surge/gang of 8 type legislation.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 07, 2016, 05:51:36 pm
  Have the postal ballots been sent out yet?  And what % of the electorate would be expected to vote by mail?
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio and Lindsey Graham recant support for Trump, call other GOP to do the same on: June 07, 2016, 05:47:17 pm
  Trump seems to me to be the anti-Graham in many respects.  I'd love to see what a Graham endorsement would have looked like if it ever had a chance to happen.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: June 07, 2016, 05:44:33 pm
   The Ellmers endorsement by Trump is really interesting as she was almost defeated in the 2014 primary by an underfunded candidate (La Roche I think is his name) who specifically ran against her due to her potential support for some type of Gang of eight immigration reform.  Now the supposedly right-wing on immigration Trump backs her.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24 & May 22) on: June 07, 2016, 05:39:25 pm
  So, is Tender and the FPO in the same boat here, both rooting for early elections?
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 05, 2016, 10:10:39 am
   Well, California in a way has many attributes of the US as a whole, with people from all over the US having settled there, plus people from around the world.  Our initiative system works ok, but best I think when there aren't that many on the ballot and they are clear in their meanings and implications.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: June 01, 2016, 10:57:08 am
Yeah, Antififa activists are against the fascist international football association, with its eurocentrism, its support of giant public works (huge stadiums) and other assorted fascist transgressions.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: May 29, 2016, 10:16:18 am
  Which side would benefit most from a lower turnout?  My guess would be Leave as it might have the most committed supporters who are going to vote no matter what.  Also, does London normally have lower turnout than the rest of the UK? As its a Remain stronghold that might have implications in a close vote.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: PPIC: Harris, Sanchez going to runoff on: May 28, 2016, 10:55:45 am
  One reason California has never had an Hispanic senator is because until the last few decades they were a small percentage of the electorate, and an even smaller share of influential people who would be the types to become senators.  Add in the fact that we have the Feinstein/Boxer monopoly for 25 years and it totally makes sense, as they have held the seats during the emergence of the Hispanic plurality in California.
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