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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Why do some conservative groups hate California but support immigration reform on: May 13, 2013, 11:36:54 am
   Some groups like the Cato institute and Americans for Tax Reform are lining up behind the gang of eight immigration reform bill.  This bill, whatever its merits or demerits, will lead to more legal immigration (how much is open to debate of course), plus its amnesty provisions.  It will likely lead to the US looking more like California.  The question is, if California is such a high tax, socialist hell hole, which groups like ATR and the Cato insititute would argue, why would they support a measure which would likely make the US more like California demographically?
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Are IQ tests relevant and or meaningful? on: May 10, 2013, 06:34:53 pm
    In all the uproar about Jason Richwine and his IQ study pointing to different results of different ethnic groups, and immigration, I've been wondering about IQ tests in general.  Has anyone on the board taken one? Was it through school?  What were the questions like?  Are they in fact meaningful tools to measure intelligence?  The funny thing about the controversy with Richwine is that he points to Jews and East Asians performing best on them, so the implication in terms of immigration would actually be that they would be prefered immigrants.  In that respect his work is hardly "pro-white" in that he points out that non-jewish whites in the US are third on the ethnic totem pole IQ performance chart
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: 1936 GOP nomination battle on: April 07, 2013, 12:27:39 am
   I wonder how Borah would have fared against FDR.  I think its safe to assume an FDR victory, but Borah's populist progressive strain of politics might have won him more votes in the west than Landon won.
79  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What % of US immigration is of high skilled people? on: April 06, 2013, 11:28:32 am
   Thanks for posting that chart head beagle.  It looks like the type of immigration which is most helpful to the US in terms of the economy, unemployment etc, the high skilled, and investors, is pretty low, and the family reunification part is really big.  Obviously some of that family reunification would be related to those very same investors and high skilled immigrants, but I'm guessing that lots of it isn't.
80  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should the US go toward more runoff elections? on: April 06, 2013, 11:23:32 am
     Looks like Montana voters will vote on going to a top two system next year.  Democrats not happy about this decision which will meant no Constitution or Libertarian candidates on the ballot in the general elections unless they are in the top two finishers.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Illinois and New York's At large House seats on: April 05, 2013, 12:07:59 pm
Until the mid 1940's Illinois and New York, off and on up till that point, elected one or sometimes two house members at large state wide, like US senators are elected.  I don't know why they did it that way, perhaps to avoid having to do some redistricting, but it does provide an example of state wide House elections in a populous state, which perhaps if the US went to proportional representation we would see more of.
82  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Should the US go toward more runoff elections? on: April 04, 2013, 12:05:46 pm
     Actually getting rid of elections by district wouldn't require an amendment.    Until 1967 states could elect US house members statewide.  I know in the 1940's Illinois and New York each elected two US house members state wide, still in a winner take all format, however, and all it would take would be for the a new law to allow it to happen, and then states could individually decide if they wanted their members elected at large (via a PR system or winner take all) or by district.  And of course states right now could experiment with a PR elected legislature, or runoffs, or whatever.
83  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Should the US go toward more runoff elections? on: April 03, 2013, 04:07:06 pm
   Here in California we now have the so called top two primary law which amounts to both a primary and a first round election. Only the top two, regardless of party, make it to the general election (i.e. the runoff).  Over time, California's third parties, if they are politically coherent (a big if), could start to tailor their political arguments toward this new system.  They could tell voters not to worry about "wasting their vote", as there will be a runoff anyway, and so could see a rise in their support, assuming that there are plenty of closet Greens, Peace and Freedomites, Libertarians and American Independents out there just waiting to get out of their plurality winner straight jackets.
    Runoffs could also consist of a primary, a general election, and then a runoff if noone gets a majority, like Arizona did for its governor in the 1990's.
    Anyway, I wonder how other people on the board feel about this idea.  I hate the idea of plurality winners, the "don't waste your vote" argument etc, and with a runoff those issues are gone.
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / What % of US immigration is of high skilled people? on: April 03, 2013, 11:26:37 am
   All the current discussion of immigration reform has got me thinking about the issue of low skilled vs high skilled immigration into the US.  Has anyone done a study of what  % of current legal immigrants would be considered high skilled? What medium skilled? Low skilled? How about current illegal immigration?  My guess is that legal immigration would have a much higher % of high skilled immigrants than illegal. 
    Also, by and large should US immigration policy be for pretty much only, by and large, high skilled people?
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / 1936 GOP nomination battle on: March 31, 2013, 05:14:44 pm
   I've been looking for some data on the GOP presidential primaries and have found the overall results, but not state by state.  Apparently several states had favorite son candidates, but in several Sen Borah won, and I'm wondering if he was going head to head against Landon.
Also, why didn't Borah's wins translate into any more momentum against Landon?  Anyone know where to find good state by state detailed results?
86  General Discussion / History / Re: What would America look like (demographically and politically) if.... on: March 31, 2013, 12:52:53 am
     I believe that even without the law changes we still would have seen a fair amount of immigration from Mexico and Latin America anyway, but certainly not as much as we have seen.  Wasn't the Western Hemisphere exempt from the 1924 qouta laws anyway?
87  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Environmentalists on US immigration reform on: March 30, 2013, 11:32:42 am
   Does anyone know what leading environmentalists have had to say about the upcoming US immigration reform bill?  The bill will likely lead to even more immigration into the US than we have now, so I'm intrigued how these environmentalists feel about it, as it will mean more and more people coming here, greater use of resources, more building, more consumption, etc etc.
   For that reason one would think they'd be opposed to it, but OTOH, the bill will likely lead to even more future Democratic trending voters, so less future Republican elected officials over time, so for partisan purposes alone one could see how Democrat leaning environmentalists would like this move to further Democratify the electorate.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Weimar Germany's presidential election rules on: March 15, 2013, 05:44:47 pm
   The Weimar Republic had a directly elected President with a runoff provision if no one got a majority of the vote in the first round.  But in the runoff, it seems that everyone could run again, not just the top two candidates as is usually the case in presidential runoffs today.  What was the point in having this runoff if everybody could run again?
89  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: the pope and I, fellow students in Freiburg, 1987 on: March 15, 2013, 11:21:46 am
Darn it, reports of his doctorate from Freiburg are apparently false.  Looks like he only studied in Sankt Georgen, not in Freiburg.  False information on the internet, who would have imagined.
90  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / the pope and I, fellow students in Freiburg, 1987 on: March 14, 2013, 04:42:48 pm
    Just saw that Pope Francis studied in Freiburg in I believe the late 1980's.  What do you know, so did I.  No, I don't remember meeting a fifty something Argentine jesuit getting his doctorate in theology but its possible we were eating in the cafeteria (everybody ate there, unlimited refills and cheap price) at the same time.  Ah, brushes with history.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Los Angeles mayoral election 2013 on: March 05, 2013, 11:15:30 pm
   To those who voted today, what were the lines, if any, like?   Also, why wasn't there a high profile hispanic candidate?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Religion of State Governors on: March 05, 2013, 11:14:36 pm
    Fascinating how the vast majority of elected officials always seem to have some sort of religious ID, when a cross section of America would certainly have a substantial amount of believers, but also a pretty hefty amount of non believers.  This always reminds me of how Northern Ireland is supposed to be two thirds Protestant and one third Catholic when the rest of Europe is supposed to be virtually non religious.  In other words, in the case of politicians in general and regions defined by a religous divide, how often is it the case that people are just taking a religious label as a form of cultural identifier?
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: GOP legislators in MI, PA, & WI are pushing for proportional EC allocation on: March 05, 2013, 11:04:03 pm
     Selective use of new EC vote apportionment systems (only to be used to hurt Democrats that is) reminds me of the electoral system used to elect the legislature in a Canadian province in the 1920s (I think it was Alberta or Manitoba, not sure).  In that case proportional representation was used in urban areas, the district system in rural ones. Imagine going to PR for urban areas in US house elections, but retaining the single member district winner take all for more republican leaning rural and suburban areas.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2013 Early Venezuela Presidential Electionhin on: March 05, 2013, 10:51:41 pm
Also, doesn't the presidential law now only have one round, no runoff?  This would encourage only one Chavez loyalist candidate I would think.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 04, 2013, 01:14:27 pm
I read somewhere that Bersani said if the left won the election the first law to be voted on would be citizenship reform, so that anyone born in Italy, regardless of the citizenship of the parents would become an Italian citizen, known here in the US as birthright citizenship.
   Anyway, has this been discussed at all after the election, as something Bersani is still insisting on, even in a coalition situation?
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 04, 2013, 01:11:32 pm
Intresting that Berlusconis group did so much better in FPTP electoral system. This must be because the left would have a ton of wasted votes in Tuscany, Emilia Romanga area I guess.  Unlikely that a FPTP only system would be approved though.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: March 01, 2013, 12:54:47 pm
Is there any type of consensus emerging as to what a new electoral law would look like?
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 28, 2013, 11:46:37 am
    Anyone find any polling data of the 2nd choice of voters for Grillo and Monti's parties.  I'm wondering who they would have voted for if Italy had some kind of runoff system with districts like France.  (Though of course in many cases the Five Star candidate would have made such a runoff).  Also, I'm wondering what would have happened if Italian voters were presented with a choice of only a Berlusconi bloc and a Bersani bloc, similar to 2006.  I'm guessing a solid victory for the left in that case.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 05:26:23 pm
  
Based on whats left, Berlusconi will get closer to victory, but my guess is just miss out on the win.
   After all is said and done I sure hope Italy gets rid of their awful electoral system. I hate to see 71% of the electorate winning 45% of the seats.  Stuff like that keeps me up at night.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2013 official results thread on: February 25, 2013, 02:00:44 pm
  For the Senate it looks like the city of Turin is almost all in, but not the surronding cities and towns.
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