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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 26, 2014, 10:53:31 am
So whats the story of the Austrian People's Party doing so well in the middle of Vienna? 
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 06:17:05 pm
Also of interest is that An Independence from Europe, the English Democrats, the BNP, and a few other such splinter parties who might have potential pro-UKIP voters, are getting over 3% of the vote.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 05:04:02 pm
   According to the BBC site vote count nothing has come from London yet. I wonder what kind of a massive win Labour will get out of London to overtake UKIP's lead.
79  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Jaruzelski dead at 90 on: May 25, 2014, 04:16:51 pm
   I distinctly remember hearing that in early January, 1989, Jaruzelski threatened to resign if the Polish Communist Party didn't agree to the round table talks with Solidarity.  I don't think he realized how far the reforms would go, but to his credit he did get them started in early 1989. they in turn, along with the parallel Hungarian developments got reform off and running in Eastern Europe.
80  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Does a low immigration stance make a party/politician inherently rightwing on: May 25, 2014, 04:11:48 pm
Politicus,
Very interesting about Common Direction. I hadn't heard of it before, and Hansen must have been a real character.  Personally, I like true independent minded political figures and it looks like Hansen was one of them.  I like how in his later years he was into cooking and wrote a cook book.
81  General Politics / International General Discussion / Does a low immigration stance make a party/politician inherently rightwing on: May 25, 2014, 03:10:23 pm
    In so much of the discussion about parties such as UKIP, the FN in France, and other such parties, the implication is that supporting low or no immigration to a country makes a party right-wing, unrelated to any other policy stance.  My question is, if a party was on what is usually considered the "left" regarding most or all other issues, but was for a low or no new immigration policy, would that party still be left-wing?  Put another way, in Ralph Nader's 2000 presidential campaign, he called for ending the brain drain of talented immigrants coming to the US, and thus implied support for lower immigration into the US.  Was Ralph Nader thereby a right-wing candidate?   
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 03:02:15 pm
Hey, I'm American, though I have spent time in Europe.  Btw, I love seeing the distribution of seats for the German delegation without the 5% threshold that applies for the Bundestag elections.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 - Results Thread on: May 25, 2014, 02:38:30 pm
The differences between the national parliaments and the European Parliament delegations of France and the UK is a great argument for how Proportional Representation leads to vastly different seat outcomes with the same electorate compared to single member districts.  In France the largest party in the European election has practically no seats in the national parliament.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts ! (Today: NE & WV) on: May 13, 2014, 08:50:17 pm
Is a Sasse victory in Nebraska a victory for Gang of Eight style immigration reform?  He didn't sign the FAIR pledge which called for no form of amnesty and no increase in legal immigration, and Osborn did, but has he in fact said he would be in favor of a Schumer Graham Durbin Mccain type immigration reform?
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts ! (Today: NC, OH, IN) on: May 07, 2014, 10:45:09 am
If North Carolina had a 50% runoff rule, how would a Tillis vs Brannon contest had played out. I'm guessing Tillis would still win, but I wonder by how much.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts ! (Today: NC, OH, IN) on: May 06, 2014, 07:52:22 pm
I think Roche, Ellmer's opponent, raised about 2% of the money she did.  If he had decent funding it would have been a close race I think.  Hopefully Walter Jones hangs in there.  I like the idea of a conservative somewhat anti-war candidate getting renominated in the South over well funded, Palin endorsed opposition.
87  General Politics / Economics / Moving in and out of the 1% on: May 03, 2014, 11:53:02 am
    In the book Chasing the Dream, the writers, who are academics, mention the fact that about 12% of all US households will at one time or another be part of the 1% income wise, and that about 20% will at one time or another be part of the top 2% income wise.  So, alot of people spend a year or two at that lofty height, perhaps never to get there again.  Has anyone here had that kind of income for just a little while?
   I can think of my parents who had several real strong years in the art business in the late 80's and into the 90's. Probably for three or four years they might have been in the top 2% or so, maybe their best year they were in the 1%, but over their working lifetime were on average nowhere near that level.  Similarly my father in law probably was hitting the top 5% in income for a few years before he retired, though again for much of his career he wasn't anywhere near that.
88  General Politics / International General Discussion / How have Finland and Japan suffered/benefitted from lack of immigration? on: April 25, 2014, 10:49:49 pm
I believe Finland (until recently  anyway) and Japan are two examples of modern industrial societies with low rates of immigration.  It would be interesting to see if anyone has used them as case studies of the positive and negatives of immigration, in terms of the economy, impact on local working classes, society in general etc.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: South Carolina 2014 Congressional Races on: April 25, 2014, 10:45:31 pm
Glad to see Graham agree to the debate.  Read one article about two anti-Graham supporters who were worried about who to support out of concern that Graham would win out due to a split opposition.  Remember people that is the whole point of having a whole swarm of opponents, to get enough votes to deny Graham a first round majority.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Austria parliament election districts of 1911 on: April 21, 2014, 06:23:11 pm
    I'm reading The Sleepwalkers about the origins of World War One, and am becoming fascinated with the Austro-Hungarian Empire.  Has anyone found any link to maps of the Cisleithian (the area ruled by Vienna at the time) election districts used in the 1911 elections.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 2014 on: April 20, 2014, 03:03:40 pm
   Sorry if this has been brought up before, but has there been much discussion about what Scottish independence would mean for the Labor Party in Westminster, if they lost a huge base of support and seats due to losing Scotland?
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: South Carolina 2014 Congressional Races on: April 16, 2014, 11:54:40 am
The 1st quarter fundraising totals are out and Graham's challengers raised about 1.3 million but that includes 300k in personal loans taken out by Cash and Conner. Graham raised only about 900 k in the quarter but he has about 7 million in cash ready to go and his opponents only about a million. Still, interesting that combined his no-name opposition did manage to outraise him for a quarter, but maybe Graham wasn't really trying, since he already has so much more than they do in the bank.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Can anyone see Trey Gowdy (R-SC) as House speaker? on: April 10, 2014, 03:41:37 pm
  In such a scenario could we perhaps see something I've always been intrigued by, a bi-partisan Speaker vote, in which Dems vote as a block with the moderates of the GOP to elect a more moderate GOP member as speaker?  This is the same coalition which has passed the debt ceiling increase, and would pass the Immigration increase/amnesty proposal if it could get to a vote in the house.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Do amount of facebook "likes" signify anything in a congressional/senate primary on: April 10, 2014, 11:52:59 am
      Has anyone done a recent study of the significance or lack thereof of the total amount of likes a candidates facebook page gets? I'm wondering if it could be an early warning sign of a campaign about to take off, or a failure to do so.  I'm especially thinking about primaries, where the candidates may be similar on the issues, but the intensity of their supporters is very important, so a "like" might be an indication of such support.
95  General Politics / Economics / Re: US budget deficit down more than 31% in first 6 months of FY2014 on: April 09, 2014, 05:33:27 pm
I feel like its 1996 all over again, when ballooning deficits started plunging.  Funny how a GOP congress (of course in the 90's we had a GOP house and senate) combined with a Dem president leads to positive deficit outcomes.
96  General Politics / Economics / If women are being underpaid, are men being overpayed? on: April 09, 2014, 05:30:09 pm
    In all the discussions about pay equity and women being underpaid, I'd like to know more about the mechanics of adjusting such inequity.  If women are being underpaid compared to men at a rate of say, 10%, what has happened to that money?  The implication, it seems to me is that men are being overpayed, and discussions about comparable worth should bring this up.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: South Carolina 2014 Congressional Races on: April 09, 2014, 05:21:55 pm
Lee Bright, the State Senator running against Graham announced the endorsement of Kentucky congressman Thomas Massie today.  Not sure how meaningful that really is, but would think it would help establish Bright's credibility a little.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: South Carolina 2014 Congressional Races on: April 08, 2014, 03:08:41 pm
The Det Bowers campaign announced fundraising of 417k in the last quarter, which is actually pretty impressive in comparison with his poll standings and overall visibility I would think.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Hungary Parliamentary Election - April 6, 2014 on: April 07, 2014, 11:46:45 am
In terms of the gerrymander issue of the district seats it doesn't look too horrible.  If Fidesz was really trying hard, couldnt they have done a better job of cramming the left wing vote into a few less Budapest districts? As it was Unity won several seats by narrow margins in Budapest, instead of winning a few less by huge margins.  Outside of Budapest it doesn't look like they came very close to winning many more districts, so I'm wondering if they lost that many more to gerrymandering or just because thats usually what happens to a party that is trailing by about 20 points nationwide to the winner.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Looking for total amount of gay marriages by state on: March 01, 2014, 01:15:18 pm
    In all the discussion of gay marriage I haven't found any real numbers showing just how many such marriages are taking place in those states where its legal.  Is there a site that monitors the numbers?  It would be interesting to see if its more common in states like New York where it was enacted via traditional means (by the legislature) than in states where its legal via a court decision and still has a more shaky existence.   Also would like to see if there has been an initial burst of marriages due to pent up demand, and then a big decrease due to lack of demand from a relatively small demographic.
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