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126  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: FiveThirtyEight launches full blown 2016 election forecast on: June 29, 2016, 04:58:37 pm
Map showing likelihood of wins for Clinton and Trump, Johnson considered



chance of
win          sat

99%+       9
95-98.9    8
90-94.9    7
80-89.9    6
70-79.9    5
60-69.9    4
55-59.9    3
52-54.9    2
127  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TRUMP surrogate: Voting for Hillary should be a federal crime on: June 29, 2016, 03:11:55 pm
Great baseball player -- but a horrible person. Went bankrupt in a business and flushed a bunch of state subsidies down the toilet.

He should have done something more modest after his MLB career was over, like being a pitching coach for a college team.

Let's see -- failed business venture... sounds familiar, doesn't it? 
128  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: FiveThirtyEight launches full blown 2016 election forecast on: June 29, 2016, 03:08:34 pm
Other than AZ, it looks ok ...

I'd give AZ to Trump in a close race, because the state's laws that will block Latinos from voting.

Not with the Obama Administration doing everything possible to protect the voting rights of blacks, Latinos, and First Peoples in Arizona. Nobody is going to get a chance to do anything squirrely with the vote in Arizona.

More troubling to Donald Trump could be that many white Anglo Arizonans have a Mexican-American in the family... and there could be many non-Latinos deciding that Trump's ugly statements about Mexican-Americans badly fit the reality of an in-law, co-worker, etc.    
129  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The electoral vote maps today in 2008 and 2012 on: June 29, 2016, 02:44:24 pm
The maps were largely accurate if you remove the shading. 08's map missed Nevada (which swung heavily toward the Democrats after the financial crisis) and North Carolina (which was decided by 14,000 votes), and Florida's tie swinging to Obama. 2012 was even better at this point, only missing Iowa (whose polling remained close until Election Day). Perhaps these early polls are worth more than the experts give them credit for.

Early polls can show trends that people from outside the state might not know. In 2008 Obama was often ahead in Indiana, a state which just doesn't ever go for a Democratic nominee for President. But I live near the Indiana line, and I then got some Indiana television... and I got the impression that Republicans were running scared. Virginia? We all knew that Virginia was solidly Republican. If it was the only former Confederate state that Jimmy Carter could not win and if Bill Clinton never won it despite seeming to be an unusually-good fit as a Democratic nominee for the state, then it was never going to go Democratic.

Polls tell us something -- like where some politicians have vulnerabilities. The common wisdom is not enough. Politicians can make more appearances in places that they think might be good for some visits. So if Indiana is within 2% of flipping Democratic, then maybe Hillary Clinton might stop by Indianapolis on the way from Albuquerque to Pittsburgh. Parties can spend resources against vulnerable opponents on the other side or shore up their own in trouble. They can also tell a politician "You're not winning there, so forget it". 

Polls can tell us if campaign pitches work.
130  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Nevada continues to drift away from Republicans on: June 29, 2016, 12:40:50 pm
There have been no recent Nevada polls. Indeed the last poll I have of the Presidential race  (from last year) has Trump winning Nevada. But this makes sense.

In any event, many of the casino workers and people in related businesses (like restaurants and hotels) are Hispanic. This may hurt Donald Trump badly.

Nevada was more conservative when ranching interests dominated. That is over. Outside of Clark (Las Vegas), Washoe (Reno), and Carson City, Nevada is about as Republican as Idaho. Of course the population is heavily in Reno-Sparks, Carson City, and Greater Las Vegas. Few states have so much of their populated concentrated in so little of the state as does Nevada. Alaska, maybe. Even Utah has its population spread out along the I-15 corridor. Nevada has no highly-populated corridor.

Ranch areas of Nevada are still very conservative. They no longer dominate statewide politics.
131  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NH-ARG Clinton +5 on: June 29, 2016, 12:02:41 pm
Congrats Trump.

For facing the prospect of getting less than 45% of the raw vote in New Hampshire? That happens rarely for a Republican nominee in a binary election.
132  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ballotpedia: Clinton way ahead in battlegrounds (FL, IA, MI, NC, OH, PA, VA) on: June 29, 2016, 12:00:43 pm
With these levels of Democratic support for these states, I can imagine Georgia and Indiana going for Clinton. Maybe South Carolina.

The level of support for Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson is high enough to allow a genuine three-way Presidential race. Hillary Clinton loses a little to Johnson, but far from as much as Donald Trump. This may be even more important to deciding what states Hillary Clinton can win.

Even if one discounts some of the anomalous results, one must recognize that the threshold for a Clinton win become a plurality in a three-way race. Maps forthcoming. 
133  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Clinton-Trump-Johnson on: June 29, 2016, 10:56:52 am

[/quote]

Johnson support:

16%+: 80
13-15: 70
10-12: 60
7-9: 50
4-6: 40
2-3: 30
0-1: 20
Poll w/ no Libertarian number: clear








Three-way race:





White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner. I am averaging for North Carolina. I do not accept the St. Leo University poll that shows Hillary Clinton up 15 on Donald Trump in Florida.  

Small states and districts in area: CT: D5,6;4 ME: D7,??;4  ME-01 (est) D14,??;6 ME-02 R2,??;4
NJ D9,12;4

Clinton (D)
Trump (R)
Johnson (L)


Pennsylvania 246
New Hampshire 250
Iowa 256
Nevada 262
Colorado 271
ME-02  272
Virginia 285
Ohio 313
Florida 332
North Carolina 347
Arizona 359
NE-02 360
Missouri 370
Indiana 381
Georgia 396
Kansas 402
NE-01 403
South Carolina 412
Texas 450

[/quote]
134  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 29, 2016, 10:38:40 am
New Hampshire:

ARG
New Hampshire
Clinton 47%
Trump 42%
Other 4%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/nh16-1.html

New Jersey -- Not likely to cause controversy.

http://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2016/06/poll-clinton-has-huge-lead-over-trump-in-nj-103338
http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind/2016/160629/

Clinton 52
Trump 31

Clinton 44
Trump 32
Johnson 9


Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump






30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.

...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.





135  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 29, 2016, 09:33:43 am
AZ : http://aufc.3cdn.net/7df2e97a499c038248_9qm6bxwgr.pdf
Trump - 44 Clinton - 40

IA: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/IowaResults616.pdf
Clinton - 41 Trump - 39

NH: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/NHResults616.pdf
Clinton - 43 Trump - 39

OH: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/OhioResults616.pdf
Clinton - 44 Trump - 40

PA: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/PennsylvaniaResults616.pdf
Clinton - 46 Trump - 42

WI: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/WisconsinResults616.pdf
Clinton - 47 Trump - 38

According to CNN:

51% to 37% in Florida
45% to 41% in Iowa
50% to 33% in Michigan
48% to 38% in North Carolina
46% to 37% in Ohio
49% to 35% in Pennsylvania
45% to 38% in Virginia

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/politics/battleground-polls-donald-trump-hillary-clinton/index.html   

This doesn't seem believable, way too friendly to Clinton.  Also, North Carolina is more democratic than Virginia, which doesn't seem realistic.

Michigan: D+17
Florida: D+14
Pennsylvania: D+14
North Carolina: D+10
Ohio: D+9
Virginia: D+7
Iowa: D+4


It is all consistent with an R collapse in the Presidential race. Shifting the margins between Iowa and North Carolina would make some sense.

It is also consistent with CNN hiring a pollster that doesn't have an idea of what it is doing.

Michigan at D+17, Pennsylvania at D+14, and Virginia at D+7 are not far out of range of the 2008 election. I've seen some horrible polls for Trump in Florida; in a wave election what looks like an outlier could be a reality.

But even significant cutbacks of some of these results (let us say Florida to D+4, North Carolina to D+2, and Ohio to D+3 suggest one thing: Donald Trump is not going to be President of the United States. Michigan at D+17 indicates about a 55-45 margin for Hillary Clinton in a nationwide race.  

I'm dropping an obsolete poll in Missouri.

Averaging will take place.


Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump



Averaging in Ohio and Arizona.


30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.

...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.




136  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/Ballotpedia: Clinton way ahead in battlegrounds (FL, IA, MI, NC, OH, PA, VA) on: June 29, 2016, 09:31:09 am
This doesn't seem believable, way too friendly to Clinton.  Also, North Carolina is more democratic than Virginia, which doesn't seem realistic.

Michigan: D+17
Florida: D+14
Pennsylvania: D+14
North Carolina: D+10
Ohio: D+9
Virginia: D+7
Iowa: D+4


It is all consistent with an R collapse in the Presidential race. Shifting the margins between Iowa and North Carolina would make some sense.

It is also consistent with CNN hiring a pollster that doesn't have an idea of what it is doing.

Michigan at D+17, Pennsylvania at D+14, and Virginia at D+7 are not far out of range of the 2008 election. I've seen some horrible polls for Trump in Florida; in a wave election what looks like an outlier could be a reality.

But even significant cutbacks of some of these results (let us say Florida to D+4, North Carolina to D+2, and Ohio to D+3 suggest one thing: Donald Trump is not going to be President of the United States. Michigan at D+17 indicates about a 55-45 margin for Hillary Clinton in a nationwide race.  
137  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 28, 2016, 06:41:07 pm
pbrower:

Trump is actually ahead in Missouri (from a Remington poll in May).

Private pollster with no record for a special interest. Wait for another.

Quote
And Utah had a Trump+9 poll recently (Dan Jones).

But his lead is with a total under 40%. Even if it is a good poll, the data requires that I show it as a tie. I have seen polls showing Barack Obama up 37-36 in Tennessee, and he didn't get much over 37 in the Presidential election. A lead in a binary race with a total vote of less than 40%? That's inconclusive.   

Quote
Also, Kansas is only because of Zogby (a pollster which should probably be banned from this site, together with ARG).

Wait for another poll. This is the first, and it likely won't be the last.  Zogby is not a partisan poster and it has not been accused of fabricating results. Poor methodology? Maybe.
138  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump has become born-again on: June 28, 2016, 08:37:54 am
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/06/donald_trump_has_become_born_a.html

That was unexpected, but I think this is great news. Hopefully this will lead to him learning a thing or two about Christianity instead of saying borderline offensive things like "drink my little wine and have my little cracker".

He says whatever is useful at the time. So it is with a life-long huckster as Donald Trump is.

Most American Christians are not of the fundamentalist Protestant type, and many have no respect for fundamentalism. Although I have no problem with a sincere expression of devout faith, I question such an expression when it fits some need for display of piety.  

  




139  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP/Americans United for Change: AZ, IA, NH, OH, PA, WI on: June 28, 2016, 04:59:13 am
Some telling points:

1.  McCain (AZ) is washed up.

2. Johnson (WI) was elected in a freakish climate that will not be repeated in 2016. One and out.

3. Ayotte (NH) is running in a very different climate this time, one in which she will lose narrowly.

4. Toomey (PA) has been good at avoiding controversy. Once re-elected he will show  what Club for Growth  really believes -- that no human suffering is in excess so long as it turns, indulges, or enforces a profit. 

5. Portman (OH) will have a very tough fight.

6. Grassley (IA) is vulnerable if the Republicans force America to await a Trump Presidency to nominate another Justice to the Supreme Court for Antonin Scalia.  Otherwise he wins.

140  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8 on: June 28, 2016, 04:28:37 am
Now two polls showing Texas with a high single digit deficit for Clinton. If I were Hillary I'd try to pull off a huge Latino voter registration drive in the state to see if her baseline of 42% or so improves a little bit. Right now it's probably not close enough to start spending TV money there but I'd like to build a nice stealth ground operation to potentially steal it if it gets close

Nah, if this kind of trend holds with Hispanics, she needs to lock up Florida and do a full court press in AZ with her extra funds.  That basically seals the deal even if the map gets really weird further NE.

If she wins Arizona she is also winning Colorado and Nevada.

This is beginning to look like a three-way race (as those go).  I expect Gary Johnson to do at least as well as John Anderson in 1980, if not Ross Perot in the 1990s.
141  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 28, 2016, 04:24:08 am
  


AZ : http://aufc.3cdn.net/7df2e97a499c038248_9qm6bxwgr.pdf
Trump - 44 Clinton - 40

IA: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/IowaResults616.pdf
Clinton - 41 Trump - 39

NH: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/NHResults616.pdf
Clinton - 43 Trump - 39

OH: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/OhioResults616.pdf
Clinton - 44 Trump - 40

PA: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/PennsylvaniaResults616.pdf
Clinton - 46 Trump - 42

WI: http://www.americansunitedforchange.org/page/-/WisconsinResults616.pdf
Clinton - 47 Trump - 38    


Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump



Averaging in Ohio and Arizona.


30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.

...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.




142  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8 on: June 27, 2016, 05:22:21 pm
Here's how I predict states (and three districts) going in the election -- state and the Clinton electoral vote after each win between 226 and 450 electoral votes, Wisconsin to Texas:

Wisconsin 226
Pennsylvania 246
New Hampshire 250
Iowa 256
Nevada 262
Colorado 271
ME-02  272
Virginia 285
Ohio 313
Florida 332
North Carolina 347
Arizona 359
NE-02 360
Missouri 370
Indiana 381
Georgia 396
Kansas 402
NE-01 403
South Carolina 412
Texas 450

...I did not miss New Mexico. It is Safe D.
143  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8 on: June 27, 2016, 03:51:05 pm
Explanation of how Clinton is up 5 points nationally, but the EC is close??

 

The states have been extremely polarized while Barack Obama has been President. He generally wins by big margins or loses by big margins. Not many states can take simple swings from favoring Republicans to going to the Democratic side.

The gains for Hillary Clinton from Obama 2012 so far are from states unlikely to vote for her -- states that went 60-40 for Republicans in 2012.  If she gains 7% in all states that Obama lost, then she picks up North Carolina.
144  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Clinton-Trump-Johnson on: June 27, 2016, 12:57:55 pm
Texas, UT-Austin

Trump 39
Clinton 32
Johnson 7
Other 14
Don't know 8

https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/university-texas-texas-politics-project-poll-shows-trump-leading-clinton-amidst-signs-disunity

Not that I trust any Texas poll due to the built-in difficulties of polling the state. The 8% lead is very weak.  In recent years Texas suburbs have been very strongly Republican. What distinguishes these suburbs from older suburbs of Boston, Philadelphia, New York, Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago, and even San Francisco is that Texas suburbs are newer and have yet to have the great costs of maintenance that one associates with older infrastructure. Demolition of tract houses with their replacement by apartment complexes, a commonplace act with 70-year-old tract houses at their useful lives (those are post-WWII houses associated with returning war veterans, and those houses are now obsolete if not in poor shape) implies needs for the improvement of highways and sewers and expansion of waste-treatment facilities. Texas suburbs do not yet have those problems, so right-wing pols can still flourish there. See also Georgia and Arizona.

 Donald Trump is the worst cultural match for President that the Republicans have offered or will offer Texas since at least Gerald Ford in 1976. Ford lost that year to Jimmy Carter. In the event of a collapse of the Trump campaign that allows Texas to go Democratic, Hillary Clinton will have about 450 electoral votes.

http://www.politico.com/states/new-jersey/story/2016/06/poll-clinton-has-huge-lead-over-trump-in-nj-103338
http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind/2016/160629/

Clinton 52
Trump 31

Clinton 44
Trump 32
Johnson 9

Johnson support:

16%+: 80
13-15: 70
10-12: 60
7-9: 50
4-6: 40
2-3: 30
0-1: 20
Poll w/ no Libertarian number: clear








Three-way race:





White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner. I am averaging for North Carolina. I do not accept the St. Leo University poll that shows Hillary Clinton up 15 on Donald Trump in Florida.  

Small states and districts in area: CT: D5,6;4 ME: D7,??;4  ME-01 (est) D14,??;6 ME-02 R2,??;4
NJ D9,12;4

Clinton (D)
Trump (R)
Johnson (L)


Pennsylvania 246
New Hampshire 250
Iowa 256
Nevada 262
Colorado 271
ME-02  272
Virginia 285
Ohio 313
Florida 332
North Carolina 347
Arizona 359
NE-02 360
Missouri 370
Indiana 381
Georgia 396
Kansas 402
NE-01 403
South Carolina 412
Texas 450
145  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 27, 2016, 12:45:07 pm


Texas, UT-Austin

Trump 41
Clinton 33
Other 19
Don't know 8

Trump 39
Clinton 32
Johnson 7
Other 14
Don't know 8

https://texaspolitics.utexas.edu/blog/university-texas-texas-politics-project-poll-shows-trump-leading-clinton-amidst-signs-disunity

Not that I trust any Texas poll due to the built-in difficulties of polling the state. The 8% lead is very weak.  In recent years Texas suburbs have been very strongly Republican. What distinguishes these suburbs from older suburbs of Boston, Philadelphia, New York, Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago, and even San Francisco is that Texas suburbs are newer and have yet to have the great costs of maintenance that one associates with older infrastructure. Demolition of tract houses with their replacement by apartment complexes, a commonplace act with 70-year-old tract houses at their useful lives (those are post-WWII houses associated with returning war veterans, and those houses are now obsolete if not in poor shape) implies needs for the improvement of highways and sewers and expansion of waste-treatment facilities. Texas suburbs do not yet have those problems, so right-wing pols can still flourish there. See also Georgia and Arizona.

Republicans from Reagan on (Carter was the last Democrat to win Texas as a Democratic nominee -- forty years ago) have well fit Texas. Trump may be pushing the line.       


Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump




30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.

...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.





[/quote]
146  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8 on: June 27, 2016, 12:33:00 pm
Texas has had an anomaly of so many suburban voters going for Republicans. Maybe the suburbs around Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Austin are newer and have infrastructure that doesn't yet have the high costs of maintenance and management that one associates with older suburbs of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Chicago, and St. Louis.   

See also Georgia and Arizona for a similar effect. Orange County in California fits the pattern.
147  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: ABC-Washngton Post: Clinton up by 12 on: June 27, 2016, 06:37:47 am
I do find it interesting how consistently Clinton's lead has been coming from doing better than Obama with white voters, with the Hispanic vote barely budging from 2012.  Trump is consistently at or over 20% with Hispanics, so I think we need to start taking that possibility seriously.
Most national polls don't do a very consistent job of capturing a good picture of how Latino voters will actually break on election day.

Distribution of partisanship within an ethnic group is well established. What is hard to predict at times is voter turnout. So if Democrats are successful in getting Hispanics out to vote in high numbers, then they can get more electoral successes.   But this is not predictable.

...Barack Obama may be one of the slickest politicians ever, but he also got strong negatives from white voters in the Mountain and Deep South. The white vote for Obama was about normal for a Democrat in the northeastern quadrant of the US and the far and Mountain West, but far below average for a Democrat -- almost in McGovern-Mondale territory -- in Mississippi (the definition of the Deep South), West Virginia (the definition of the Mountain South), and Georgia (which straddles both regions). It will take a huge rebound for any Democratic nominee to make states in the Mountain and Deep South competitive again. 

As this election approached I thought that Hillary Clinton would do about as well as Obama did in 2012 in the northeastern quadrant and the West, which is good enough to win. I also expected her to get rebounds to levels of support characteristic of Al Gore in the Mountain and Deep South, which would not be enough to win there. This assumed a reasonably-competent Republican capable of holding the recent GOP coalition together.

Of course we all know how assumptions go. She is doing about as well as Obama in the Northeast and the West.  But Trump is simply awful.     
148  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS News/YouGov: Tight races in CO, FL, NC, WI on: June 26, 2016, 12:45:20 pm
If Democrats get the Hispanic vote out in Colorado and Nevada, they win. Big.
149  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Clinton-Trump-Johnson on: June 26, 2016, 12:40:19 pm

Stein: CT 3, FL 3, NC 2, OH 3, PA 4

Add or replace: CO 1 FL 1 NC 1 WI 2

Stein strength map (why not?)

150  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map. on: June 26, 2016, 12:02:14 pm
Arkansas should be blue on the map, not red.

Correction made promptly. 
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