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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: Today at 05:12:52 am
Why did the Tories do so well?  Presumably Ruth Davidson is personally popular, but is there more to it than that?

Because the political cleavage in Scotland is now secessionist vs. unionist rather the left vs. right; the Conservatives are the most effective unionist party.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: May 05, 2016, 06:56:38 pm
SNP gain Rutherglen, 4,000 odd majority.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of That Boring Bloke with the Glasses on: May 05, 2016, 03:58:20 pm
Boring, nondescript guys with glasses are fantastic. They're always trustworthy, hardworking, and never have any secrets to hide. I'm sure Prime Minister Major was the same way.

Maybe we should ask Edwina Currie.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion: Corbyn vs the Pigdiddler on: May 05, 2016, 02:10:19 pm
Believe he's said that he'd said down.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: May 05, 2016, 02:05:49 pm
I'm going to predict the SNP will lose their majority, but will form minority government.

(I'm an SNP member, btw)

Bear in mind, if the SNP win 65 of the 73 constituencies they have a majority without the list votes even being counted.

And then there's the Greenies too.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: May 05, 2016, 08:02:49 am
I assume BBC is covering this live at 5pm.  Will they come out with exit polls at 5pm for  Scottish Parliament (and I assume Welsh Parliament and London Mayor)?

It starts at 6:45PM Eastern time. No, there won't be any exit polls as such; they are only done for general elections nowadays. Sad as back in the day they were even done for by-elections.

Thanks.  Also when will results start tricking in ? I assume around 11pm?

Not sure what time, but I recall Rutherglen (which Labour won) being the first in 2011.

Worth noting that the results in the UK as a whole will trickle in over the next three days due to the sheer number of different elections; the PCC elections will probably come in last.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: May 05, 2016, 07:46:07 am
I assume BBC is covering this live at 5pm.  Will they come out with exit polls at 5pm for  Scottish Parliament (and I assume Welsh Parliament and London Mayor)?

It starts at 6:45PM Eastern time. No, there won't be any exit polls as such; they are only done for general elections nowadays. Sad as back in the day they were even done for by-elections.
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Changing Political Affiliation on: May 04, 2016, 11:36:37 pm
You know if TRUMP ditched the whole xenophobic immigration attitude then he'd be far more of a real Republican than almost anyone in Congress right now.
9  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you have voted in the 1984 presidential election? on: May 04, 2016, 11:33:01 pm
Wow. This forum doesn't skew as leftward as it used to if Reagan is leading.

Yeah it's interesting how the forum was more left-wing in 2012 and 2008 when the Republicans seemingly had a more 'credible' nominee than they do now.

Anyway, Mondale.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush's say they will never endorse Trump on: May 04, 2016, 11:29:51 pm
Obviously they don't believe that TRUMP would kill enough Muslims.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Republican National Convention news thread on: May 04, 2016, 02:34:29 pm
Seems like a good time. Any idea when will we get the schedule, list of speakers etc?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is this the end of the GOP? on: May 04, 2016, 02:25:36 pm
It's the end of it in its current incarnation. TRUMP is perhaps the most secular Republican nominee of all-time and is the first one since the Nixon/Ford era to win the nomination without uttering the word 'God' every three seconds.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: They actually did it, the absolute madmen. on: May 03, 2016, 08:17:44 pm
Fact: The term 'Mad Men' was coined by the Mad Men themselves.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / The direction of the Republican Party if TRUMP loses on: May 03, 2016, 08:00:14 pm
Seems like a good time for this traditional thread.

There would undoubtably be many who would, as in 2008 and 2012, blame it on not being sufficiently right-wing.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) on: May 03, 2016, 07:27:44 pm

Yeah, Carly's tone right now is suggsting that.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: May 03, 2016, 02:37:53 pm
For anyone on here that refuses to believe a federal European superstate is just around the corner here is a quote from pages 4 and 5 from the Five President's Report written by Jean-Claude Juncker published last June:[...]
However this paper is about the European economic and monetary union (=eurozone), so it does not affect the UK.

Not at the present time, no.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WV-PPP: D: Sanders 45% Clinton 37%, R: Trump 61%, Cruz 22% Kasich 14% on: May 03, 2016, 02:14:22 pm
Quote
Among the undecideds Sanders has a 15/77 favorability rating and Clinton's even worse off at 12/84 so there may end up being a decent mass of voters who just don't vote for either of the candidates.

Woof!

I'm guessing that such voters are Old School type Democrats who proudly voted for Robert Byrd at every opportunity.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016 on: May 03, 2016, 06:08:48 am
Also worth noting that 78% in that poll say they are 10/10 certain to vote....which suggests that turnout could be over 60%, by far a record for the Scottish Parliament.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IN - Gravis: Trump +17 on: May 02, 2016, 10:58:15 am
Conducted today? Many people in IN are probably cooking their breakfast as we speak.
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Has jfern raised your opinion of Hillary Clinton? on: May 02, 2016, 10:51:47 am
It's generally a terrible idea to base your opinion of someone or something on someone's else opinion.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Rassy - National: Trump +2 on: May 02, 2016, 09:56:18 am
The general does seem to be getting tighter (see also the most recent Ohio poll). I suspect that it's mostly based upon a 'rally around the (likely) nominee' effect on the GOP side.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: May 02, 2016, 06:53:42 am

Rubio himself implied as much in his drop out speech.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Which Clinton is more known on: May 01, 2016, 12:14:18 pm
Hillary is more in the public eye ATM.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Zac Goldsmith. on: May 01, 2016, 11:46:03 am
Conservative candidate for Mayor of London.

HP for running a dogwhistle islamophobic campaign.

The Tories and the Lib Dems seem to get away with bigotry more than Labour and UKIP do; more Tory MPs voted against gay marriage than for it, yet random UKIP council candidates have received more attention than them for posting anti-gay marriage drunken comments online at 4 in the morning. The Lib Dems had no issue with re-selecting an openly anti-Semitic MP last year yet there was no media narrative about an anti-Semitic problem in the Lib Dems.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IN-NBC/WSJ-Marist: All Republicans ahead of Clinton on: May 01, 2016, 08:52:45 am
Cruz doesn't seem to be doing any better vs. Hillary than TRUMP anymore.
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