Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 22, 2015, 06:32:32 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 349
1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gallup poll: Record percentage support SSM on: May 21, 2015, 11:50:34 am
Didn't it take until the 1990s for interracial marriage support to break 50%?
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 21, 2015, 11:45:42 am
A Comservative victory of one kind or another next time does seem likely right now. But when predicting far-into-the-future elections it is worth remembering Harold Wilson's most famous saying (which I also posted yesterday, incidentally).

After 2005 it was expected that Gordon Brown would steamroller David Davis (yes, him) in 2009 after a smooth transition between him and Blair occurred. But then the Tories elected Cameron, infighting broke out in Labour, Brown bottled an early election, the economy imploded and MPs expenses were exposed.

After 2001 many thought that the following Parliament would be dominated by a referendum on us joining the Euro (lol), public service reform and a battle between two modernisers - Blair and Portillo. But then the Tories decided to elect IDS, a major disaster occurred in Manhattan and Iraq was invaded.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) on: May 21, 2015, 09:21:50 am
The SNP possibly does have a long-term problem. Look at the following modern examples of successful/dominant political duos:

Hawke-Keating
Blair-Brown
Howard-Costello
Chretien-Martin

Once of all those figures left the stage (though only Howard and Costello bowed out at the same time as each other) no one who was even half as impressive (in terms of political skill) emerged to replace them. The SNP's successful/dominant duo is of course Salmond-Sturgeon and beyond those two there doesn't appear to be any obvious successors who would be anywhere near as good.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the 2016 Presidential Election Board on: May 20, 2015, 04:05:32 pm
As Harold Wilson said, "A week is a long time in politics." There are something like 70-80 weeks until the election so at this point there is a very fine line between the 2016 board and the Election What-Ifs board. People probably shouldn't expect any better of it at this stage.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 20, 2015, 06:10:25 am
Hunt is not running and is supporting Kendall.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Say something nice about the 2016 Presidential Election board on: May 19, 2015, 05:36:09 am
A great place for finding out Jim Gilmore's announcement date.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: President Obama proves he is a Man of the People on: May 18, 2015, 01:03:35 pm
He's following 65, including Bush Sr. and Bill Clinton......but not Hillary Clinton.
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Was Lyndon Johnson a good President? on: May 18, 2015, 10:21:45 am
He was a great President if 'great' is used in the sense that it is usually not.
9  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which of these kinds of Republican do you prefer? on: May 18, 2015, 10:20:07 am
Black Republicans are generally much more interesting and likeable, regardless of whether they are the Keyes/Cain/Carson type or a Edward Brooke/Colin Powell type.

Putting aside the usefulness of evaluating or judging party adherents based on their race or sexual preference, what causes you to think that gay Pubs are less interesting and likable than black ones? Or, not that it matters much, if that comment is based just on gay and black Pub politicians (since you refer to black politicians when characterizing a "type"), just which gay Pub politicians do you have in mind? How many gay Pubs (politicians or not) do you actually know, and have interacted with?

Really, this thread was mostly intended as a (poor) satire of many other threads on this particular board. Though I must say that I am not a great fan of GOProud (is that what it is called?) as their sexual preferences + their party affiliation seem to be used as something of a shield against criticism (hey, don't criticise us, we are a minority within a minority!) from their political opponents, not to mention that they have the backing of the likes of Ann Coulter. Black Republicans don't seem to have groups such as those to my knowledge, or if they do then they are much lower in profile.

Lock by all means etc.
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which of these kinds of Republican do you prefer? on: May 18, 2015, 09:23:27 am
someone piss you off?

Is the Pope Catholic?
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Graham's "very important update" on 2016: this morning at 8am on: May 18, 2015, 09:21:16 am
There have been many announcements of announcements in this cycle. Maybe in 2020 we will see announcements of announcements of announcements.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Graham's "very important update" on 2016: this morning at 8am on: May 18, 2015, 06:23:48 am
He's running as an independent with John McCain as his running mate.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 18, 2015, 06:10:04 am
When was the last time that a left-wing candidate didn't appear on the ballot in a contested leadership election?

2010 - Abbott and Ed Miliband
1994 - Prescott and possibly Beckett too
1992 - Was Gould a leftie then? I think I heard that he was a moderniser in the 80s but then became something of a Bennite.
1988 - Benn (Kinnock being the right-winger by default)
1983 - Kinnock and Heffer...Shore was also a soft left type was he not?
1980 - Foot, Shore (?), don't know much about Silkin
1976 - Foot and Benn
1963 - Wilson
1961 - Greenwood
1960 - Wilson
1955 - Bevan
1935 - Attlee was on the soft left, right? And Greenwood was leftier?
1922 - MacDonald was a leftie then (lol)

So possibly this will be the first time ever, then.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread (Part 2) on: May 18, 2015, 05:55:43 am
Didn't Kasich run in 2000 as a very-much-not-a-moderate-hero candidate?
15  General Politics / Individual Politics / Which of these kinds of Republican do you prefer? on: May 18, 2015, 05:53:33 am
Black Republicans are generally much more interesting and likeable, regardless of whether they are the Keyes/Cain/Carson type or a Edward Brooke/Colin Powell type.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 17, 2015, 08:25:18 am
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32771863

Also, he seems to be toning down his Northern accent...
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Post-Election Analysis on: May 17, 2015, 07:37:48 am
I wonder what the election result would have been if Ed Miliband had had the physical appearance of, say, Leonardo DiCaprio. Same policies, same style of leadership, same personality and even the same voice, but just happened to be the most telegenic party leader ever.

Labour victory of some kind, probably.
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: The creepiest looking Senators: Your top five on: May 17, 2015, 05:01:01 am
That was that one creepy photo of Mark Warner.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 17, 2015, 04:19:19 am
If Labour is really that stupid to choose someone who voted for the Iraq War as leader, they deserve to be haunted by it till the end of their days.

Why? Around half the country also backed the War at the time.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Labour leadership election. on: May 16, 2015, 04:56:01 pm
Jack McConnell isn't too old...
21  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion: Cameron 2.0 on: May 16, 2015, 12:17:19 pm
I was surprised to see that the people on the anti-EU blog "Eureferendum" (run and dominated by people solidly to the right, for those who haven't heard of it) regard Farage as a total embarrasment and bufoon. Apparently, he's seen as a massive liability for their cause, and they fear that his presence will destroy their chances in the referendum.

Have their been any rumours on a specific date for the EU referendum, btw?

Support for remaining in the EU has increased since UKIP's star began to rise, so yeah.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 16, 2015, 07:33:26 am
It seems to be an unwritten rule nowadays that you have to be under 50 to be considered a serious contender for a party's leadership, which may end up counting against May and Boris in a few years' time.

Maybe someone should point out that Churchill was 65 when he first became Prime Minister.
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Bradford West General Election, 2015 on: May 16, 2015, 03:57:46 am
The defeated Lib Dem (David Ward) in Bradford East is arguably even more despicable than Galloway. But of course no one cares about him as he doesn't appear on reality TV shows and at U.S. Senate hearings and the like.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump donated more than $100,000 to Clinton Foundation on: May 15, 2015, 03:21:08 pm
He's also donated to campaigns of Ted Kennedy and Nancy Pelosi.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Labour Party leadership election 2015 on: May 15, 2015, 05:09:45 am
In reality it is probably due to lacking sufficient support.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 349


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines