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October 25, 2014, 05:54:26 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What are/is your favorite 2014 Senate election(s)? on: October 18, 2014, 09:06:17 am
Ask me about it after the elections.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IL-Simon Institute: Durbin up by 10 on: October 18, 2014, 09:04:14 am
#durbinunder50
78  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which comedian would you most like to see as president? on: October 18, 2014, 04:42:12 am
Jon Stewart (normal)
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT-Montana State University Billings: Daines+16 on: October 17, 2014, 12:28:35 pm
#dainesunder50
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AR: Rasmussen: Cotton +3 on: October 17, 2014, 11:26:13 am

Yes, yes, and no and that's all I'll say. Wink

My guess is that it begins with "Keystone" and ends with "Phil". Tongue
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 17, 2014, 11:25:07 am
Waiting for another poll to confirm that, but that's quite relieving.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins Colorado? on: October 17, 2014, 10:59:32 am
Gardner is favored
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Rasmussen: McConnell+8 on: October 17, 2014, 10:58:47 am
Was this done before or after the DSCC pullout?
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Doug Butzier, Libertarian Senate candidate in Iowa, killed in plane crash on: October 17, 2014, 10:46:17 am
RIP
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: David Perdue: "Yeah, I spent most of my career" outsourcing on: October 17, 2014, 07:58:41 am
There really is potential here for Democrats. We only need to put money, energy, and creativity in this campaign.
86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which posters would you most like as a roommate? on: October 17, 2014, 05:55:22 am
None. I like to have my own space.

This.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 16, 2014, 05:12:35 pm
Semi-realistic best case scenario for Democrats:



Dems lose MT and WV as expected; gain KS, GA, MS, and KY. Overall D+2.

Mississippi? Sure... Roll Eyes

It is possible if enough African Americans go back to the Democrats' column and if enough butthurt Tea Partiers stay butthurt and don't vote.

It might in a couple years, but not this November.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 16, 2014, 05:02:23 pm
Semi-realistic best case scenario for Democrats:



Dems lose MT and WV as expected; gain KS, GA, MS, and KY. Overall D+2.

Mississippi? Sure... Roll Eyes
89  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Is It Unfair that Caucasians Are So Diverse? on: October 16, 2014, 04:48:45 pm
W

H

A

T
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 16, 2014, 04:09:04 pm
This thread is going to have every blue avatar bumping it after Election Day. Great work!

Yeah, I'm really starting to feel that this year will be a 2012 with parties reversed. Not a landslide, but still very painful for the losing party because they could have done so much better.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Nunn +1 on: October 16, 2014, 04:06:55 pm
Is it actually happening? Cheesy
92  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Traitor Snowden enjoying the high life in Putin's Russia on: October 16, 2014, 02:56:03 pm
Good for him.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 02:41:05 pm
If voters are stupid enough to actually elect Gardner, that's not Udall's fault. Sometimes, voters are determined to elect the worst possible candidates to office.

No. Dem incumbents with a good record in a lean-D State in a neutral year don't normally lose reelection. Udall screwed up, there's no other way to put it.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 07:53:22 am
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link... on: October 16, 2014, 06:57:09 am
Yeah, some statistical literacy is badly needed in the poll threads...
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 16, 2014, 06:54:43 am
I tend to forget that Bovespa is actually a financial indicator with ties to Dow Jones, Nasdaq and the likes, and not an RCP average of some sort...

^^ Yeah, it's downright creepy that the Brazilian stock market is gets so much importance and attention in an electoral campaign.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk/USA Today: Ernst+4 on: October 16, 2014, 06:52:01 am
Junk poll!

Please shut up.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 16, 2014, 06:42:58 am
No.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: As of right now (10/15) on FiveThirtyEight.... on: October 16, 2014, 06:04:25 am
That makes sense based on polling. Despite the corrections that it attempts to make, Silver's model can't be much better than the polls it's based on.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 09:28:27 am

Not as much as Colorado though.
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