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October 24, 2014, 02:10:00 am
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76  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Traitor Snowden enjoying the high life in Putin's Russia on: October 16, 2014, 02:56:03 pm
Good for him.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 02:41:05 pm
If voters are stupid enough to actually elect Gardner, that's not Udall's fault. Sometimes, voters are determined to elect the worst possible candidates to office.

No. Dem incumbents with a good record in a lean-D State in a neutral year don't normally lose reelection. Udall screwed up, there's no other way to put it.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 07:53:22 am
79  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should the next person who posts the "Regression toward the mean'' wiki link... on: October 16, 2014, 06:57:09 am
Yeah, some statistical literacy is badly needed in the poll threads...
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 16, 2014, 06:54:43 am
I tend to forget that Bovespa is actually a financial indicator with ties to Dow Jones, Nasdaq and the likes, and not an RCP average of some sort...

^^ Yeah, it's downright creepy that the Brazilian stock market is gets so much importance and attention in an electoral campaign.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk/USA Today: Ernst+4 on: October 16, 2014, 06:52:01 am
Junk poll!

Please shut up.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 16, 2014, 06:42:58 am
No.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: As of right now (10/15) on FiveThirtyEight.... on: October 16, 2014, 06:04:25 am
That makes sense based on polling. Despite the corrections that it attempts to make, Silver's model can't be much better than the polls it's based on.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 09:28:27 am

Not as much as Colorado though.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS: Collins leads by 43 on: October 14, 2014, 03:08:40 pm
Uh, well, I guess...

#collinsunder70
86  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your own "New Deal" on: October 14, 2014, 03:07:05 pm
Seeing as these are "first hundred days" measures and that the economic crisis is the main emergency, I'll limit myself to economic measures.

1. Establish a universal minimum income of $1000 per adult per month (everyone making less than that will be provided with the resources to reach that level).
2. Take the first steps towards establishing a public (and free) health service inspired on the British system, to be fully operational within the end of my term.
3. Create public work programs to modernize infrastructures.
4. Subsidize private companies that make investments, while penalizing those who distribute dividends.
5. Create tight regulations for the financial system, including a return to Glass-Steagall.
6. Raise the minimum wage to $10 immediately, and gradually to $15 by the end of my term - then index it to inflation.
7. Establish a minimum monthly salary of $1,500.
8. Raise the income tax to a 75% top marginal rate, and eliminate loopholes.
9. Create an inheritance tax with a top marginal rate of 100%.
10. Depending on the deficit's levels, consider cuts to corporate and sales taxes.
11. Repeal Taft-Hartley, make it possible for any employee anywhere to form unions.
12. Mandate the presence of labor representatives in the administrative board of any business with over 50 employees.
13. Establish 25 days per year of paid leave for all employees - the cost will initially be taken up by the federal government, but will gradually be shifted to businesses.
14. Raise the wages of most public employees, especially teachers.
15. Start negotiations with other developed nations in order to form an economic union, with converging tax, welfare and budgetary policies.
87  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: The worst President, of these three? on: October 14, 2014, 02:07:23 pm
Carter, considering that the other two are among the best Presidents in history.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Gravis: Grimes with the momentum! on: October 14, 2014, 12:57:46 pm
Fortuna is playing with us : she takes things from us (AK, KS, IA), just to throw other things in our general direction, just a tad too far for us to actually reach (SD, KY, GA). It's the torment of Tantalus.

Yeah, I have the exact same feelings. Several likely-R races have moved to lean-R just when several tilt-D races were moving to tilt-R... So, the Democrat's dream scenario gets dreamier while their realistic prospect get increasingly dire. Sad
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Ipsos/Bangor Daily News: Collins up by a lot on: October 14, 2014, 10:55:07 am
Only 56% for Collins? That's the lowest I've seen to date I think. Yet her margin is larger than in the last Maine poll (where she was 22% ahead). I think most of the undecided are Democratic-leaning though, anything else would be a shock.

#collinsunder60
#bellowsmentum
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Democrats that vote in presidential years but don't in mid-terms. Who are they? on: October 14, 2014, 03:48:08 am
Minorities and youngs.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Democrats - are you panicking right now? on: October 13, 2014, 01:18:16 pm
Time to panic now? 3 weeks to go, and Begich, Braley and Udall are all trailing.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 13, 2014, 12:23:58 pm
Udall isn't "reasonably popular", he's at 39/52 approval.

Wow really? Is it just Obama-induced backlash against the (D) brand or something about him specifically?
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 13, 2014, 12:19:45 pm
I really have a hard time seeing Udall losing this. It just doesn't square up with anything that we've seen from Colorado over the past decade. If an appointed incumbent who barely survived a primary challenge could squeak out a win in friggin' 2010, why in the world is a reasonably popular 6-year incumbent struggling so much? Is Gardner some kind of political star? Or does Udall's campaign really suck?
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: SD-Harper: Rounds +4 over Weiland, Weiland +10 over Pressler on: October 13, 2014, 11:37:42 am
Go Weiland! Smiley
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Sen, Rasmussen: Ernst in the lead on: October 13, 2014, 09:12:00 am
Well, the Republican is leading in this one, so they probably won't take it back like they did with the KS poll. Roll Eyes
96  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The New Irony Ore Mine on: October 13, 2014, 09:08:02 am
Do neither of you know what "ultra-leftism" means? It doesn't just mean "very left-wing".

Does it have something to do with dialectical materialism?

Kill yourself.

My my, someone's in a mood tonight...

Haha, looks like he deleted the post.

A shining example of self-restraint/personal responsibility.
Or a Moderator deleted it

Don't let the facts get in the way of a good joke. Tongue
97  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The "This is funny now that we know what happened" Time Machine on: October 13, 2014, 09:06:20 am
So that's why Inks gets so worked up about anti-pro-heterosexual rhetoric...
98  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The New Irony Ore Mine on: October 13, 2014, 08:58:23 am
Do neither of you know what "ultra-leftism" means? It doesn't just mean "very left-wing".

Does it have something to do with dialectical materialism?

Kill yourself.

My my, someone's in a mood tonight...

Haha, looks like he deleted the post.

A shining example of self-restraint/personal responsibility.
99  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: October 13, 2014, 08:52:06 am
The glorious right-wing economy minister wants to gut unemployment insurance (this is the same rich moron who said that workers in some plant were 'illiterates'): http://www.lemonde.fr/politique/article/2014/10/12/macron-relance-le-debat-de-la-reforme-de-l-assurance-chomage_4504807_823448.html

Can this government be any more of a joke?

A shame the "frondeurs" just abstained Sad

Well, if they had voted against and the clown show had lost, then we would be having snap elections which would inevitably result in a cohabitation with the other clown show, the UMP.

That could actually be better in some ways.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: A Question for Everyone Here. on: October 13, 2014, 08:48:25 am
What a dumb question. If Mitch McConnell had a D next to his name, he would have been a crucial ally to Obama, rather than the evil mastermind that managed to stall most of his agenda. So obviously there would be no problem at all.
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