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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: St Louis police murder scandal (PLUS: riots, idiotic press conferences, etc.) on: August 26, 2014, 07:43:22 pm
Except all the witnesses say otherwise.

Not true at all. Besides you have to take some account for racial investment.

We all say that everytime you post. Now STFU, Naso.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nobody is noticing but Democrats are absolutely flooring the GOP with SuperPACs on: August 26, 2014, 07:13:22 pm
Did anyone else notice the Democratic ration of negative advertising far outstrips the GOP?
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win these House races (part 2)? on: August 26, 2014, 06:05:43 pm
Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Teachout Piles on Endorsements on: August 26, 2014, 05:58:15 pm
Any realistic chance Teachout could carry a single county (and if so which one)?
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Final 2012 Predictions on: August 26, 2014, 05:52:12 pm
I had Obama 303-235, with my only miss being Florida, which I thought would go for Romney by <1% and instead went Obama by <1%.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in London or Stockholm? on: August 24, 2014, 06:11:39 pm
London of course. Smiley

Shocked

4 realz SWEDISH Cheese? Huh

He's not from Sweden, he's from Scania.

HE.LL YEAH! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy




Anyway, to clarify, I already live in the greatest city in Sweden, so if I were to move it certainly wouldn't be to the backside of the country, but to some new exciting place like London. Smiley

Ah, so you come from families of conquered Danes. Tongue

How from Scania's perspective is Stockholm the "backside of the country"? Again, I don't know Stockholm, but my assumption is it's the NYC of Sweden culturally, artistically, business-wise, etc.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: BREAKING: Zephyr Teachout Endorsed by Massive Labor Group on: August 24, 2014, 05:41:02 pm
Hearing rumblings that NYT may endorse her.

That would be an incredible boost to her campaign, and a shocking one.

Genuine question- when was the last time a newspaper endorsement dramatically changed the course of an election?

Well, not dramatically, but it's possible that the NY Times endorsement made the difference when Ned Lamont primaried Joe Lieberman.

Statewide, you are right, it won't affect the race. But there are certain communities that are known as the NYT Editorial areas, where the NYT nod almost always helps Council candidates etc clinch the nominations. The Upper West Side (especially), Upper East Side, Park Slope, Downtown Brooklyn, etc, have huge turnout #s even in uncompetitive, and the NYT endorsement could earn Teachout thousands of votes in these high turnout communities. You have to keep in mind that though Cuomo has a huge war-chest, his support among prime Democrats is tepid, and many don't even realize there is a primary.

The NYT endorsement could have particular effect in this race, even beyond the normal bump in prestige, name recognition, legitimacy, and aid in recruiting volunteers and donors. A lot of Democrats upset with Cuomo may have some very serious (and frankly legitimate) concerns about casting a protest vote for someone named "Zephyr Rain Teachout", perceiving them to be another "Rent's Too Damn High" kook. The NYT blessing would do much to give her much-needed credibility.
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of water on: August 24, 2014, 11:08:22 am
At least half the liquid I consume is tap water, and I think it should be higher.


...and people that buy water at the store are chumps.

This.

And Snowguy, PLEASE get a Brita or move. Tongue
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Democrats who voted against aca in 2010 but still lost the seat. Why? on: August 24, 2014, 10:42:16 am
Most (swing) voters don't know/care what their congressperson's voting record looks like.  Many of them don't even know their name.  All they know is [Democratic] or [Republican] next to their name on the ballot.

This. Plus add in the fact most anti-ACA Democrats were in competitive or even downright Dem unfriendly districts. So when they hit a wave year like 2010, well......
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The t_host1 Institute of Comedy on: August 24, 2014, 10:33:45 am
Atlas is the only family I have.  Each and every one of you is like an obnoxious drunk uncle to me.
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Atlasia vs. RileyKeaton on: August 24, 2014, 10:25:59 am
My proposed remedy would be a mere formality--TJ could reappoint Cassius and this would all be a bit pointless. Thus, if the injunction has been denied, I am dropping the suit.

GRRRRRR. Having missed this post, I wish, Mr. AG, you would've followed the Court's order to PM notice of pleadings. Instead the Courts been awaiting your response for no reason.  Angry

Motion to dismiss granted.
X Justice Badger
12  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Atlasia vs. RileyKeaton on: August 24, 2014, 10:23:17 am
And the side effect would be to invalidate all of Cassius' votes during that period, yes?

The Court rarely issues speculative rulings, but the answer here is clearly no.
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Atlasia vs. RileyKeaton on: August 24, 2014, 10:19:55 am
Will I be able to post an amicus brief even if I'm not a Mideast citizen Mideast Chief Justice Badger?

I suppose. though Id coordinate with your boss first.

My boss? I'm not VP anymore.

Aren't you now Deputy A-G?
I resigned as well.

Then on what basis could you file an amicus? There doesn't need to be nearly the same nexus with the case or parties as standing (e.g. AG Snowstalker would unquestionably have grounds to file amicus at least). Arguably other senators might. What would your basis be?
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: The surprises of the Gubernatorial elections... on: August 24, 2014, 10:17:23 am
- Scott wins by more than 3
- Foley wins by mid to high single digits
- Corbett barely loses
- Paul Davis wins by double digits.

Those would all indeed be surprises. Foley and Scott being the least unlikely, relatively speaking.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Your overall race ratings for Gubernatorial Races on: August 24, 2014, 10:16:16 am
Safe D

California
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont

Likely D

Hawaii
Massachusetts
Minnesota

Pennsylvania

Lean D

Colorado


Tilt D

Connecticut
Maine

Toss-Up


Florida

Tilt R

Illinois
Kansas

Lean R

Arkansas
Georgia
Michigan
Wisconsin


Likely R


Arizona
Iowa
New Mexico
Ohio
South Carolina


Safe R

Alabama
Alaska
Idaho
Nebraska
Nevada
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Wyoming


Good summary! My biggest disagreement is CT which I'd say polling shows as at least Toss-up if not Tilt R despite the state's blue hue. I'd also nitpick Arkansas to Tilt R, OK to Likely R.

Otherwise I concur.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How large will Kasich's victory be? on: August 24, 2014, 09:23:04 am
Low to mid double digits. Fitzgerald has next to no money for ads to counteract whatever the Democrats throw at him. That said, the state is now too polarized, and Kasich too polarizing a figure, for Fitzgerald to go below the low 40's.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What's the Matter with Kansas? on: August 24, 2014, 09:08:05 am
What kind of independent campaign is Greg Orman running?

Is he trying to be a "Pat Roberts isn't conservative enough" kind of independent, or a Moderate Hero/"Let's stop the polarization and find innovative solutions"/Eliot Cutler/Angus King kind of independent?

Definitely the latter.

This. Plus Hillary's only polling in the high 30s to low 40's. Her ceiling isn't much higher than Obama's in the last two elections.
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: "Death to the Jews"... on: August 24, 2014, 08:53:07 am
In Austria, there are 3 towns (out of 2400) with "Jews" in their name:

* Judenburg ("Jew's Castle")
* Judenau-Baumgarten ("Jew's Floodplain-Tree Garden")
* Judendorf-Straßengel ("Jew's Village-Street Angel")

"Jewish Castle", "Jewish Floodplain", and "Jewish Village" are much more innocuous names than "Death to the Jews", though.

I never want to read a post bashing America again.

...

What's so confusing?

That Sanchez never wants to read another criticism of Murica again because of an amusingly named historical curiosity with a population of what... fifteen people (?) in the middle of nowhere is a typically dense post from the kid.

I think he was referring, rather hyperbolically, to Europeans discussing racism as an exclusively American issue when western European countries have towns with offensive names (and more broadly, European countries' own problems with minorities).

EDIT: Made my own wording clearer.

This. which is why Sanchez (hyperbolically albeit) is correct.

And who, I say WHO, are the 8 people who voted no?!? Shocked Angry  If you weren't trying to be "edgy" or "ironic" (i.e. trolling) and actually believe that, kindly explain.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Atlasia vs. RileyKeaton on: August 24, 2014, 08:46:16 am
Will I be able to post an amicus brief even if I'm not a Mideast citizen Mideast Chief Justice Badger?

I suppose. though Id coordinate with your boss first.

My boss? I'm not VP anymore.

Aren't you now Deputy A-G?
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What do your family and friends think when they see the Atlas Forum? on: August 24, 2014, 08:42:05 am
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The t_host1 Institute of Comedy on: August 24, 2014, 08:38:38 am
A most unexpected contributor to this compendium.

From the "Have you ever asked someone the color of their urine?" thread.

As a pick up line; it didn't work.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in London or Stockholm? on: August 24, 2014, 08:27:22 am
London is glorious,  but I don't know much about Stockholm, so.....

Plus some language barrier.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in London or Stockholm? on: August 24, 2014, 08:21:16 am
London of course. Smiley

Shocked

4 realz SWEDISH Cheese? Huh
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Atlasia vs. RileyKeaton on: August 24, 2014, 08:07:09 am
Will I be able to post an amicus brief even if I'm not a Mideast citizen Mideast Chief Justice Badger?

I suppose. though Id coordinate with your boss first.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which State is "deader" for the Democrats? #1 on: August 23, 2014, 08:41:16 pm
Alabama.  Mormons are unique enough that some idiosyncratic event could cause them to abandon the GOP coalition.  That is much more plausible than a conservative Southern Democrat vs. liberal Northern Republican election ever happening again.  If the GOP nominee had a severe enough anti-Mormon gaffe, I could actually see Utah voting for the Dem.

In an already close race for gov or maybe even Matheson's old district. Otherwise when hell freezes over.
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