Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 12, 2016, 01:14:14 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 445
1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Flint or Bloomfield Hills, MI? on: Today at 01:02:27 pm
No "scene" is worth living in "detroit jr." (w/ worse water)
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Post something blatantly untrue about the preceding poster on: Today at 07:53:50 am
and here i thought i was the only one.... Tongue.    /jk

holy necro thread Batman! almost 6 years. that's gotta be pushing the record.
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the Atlas Forum community as a whole? on: Today at 07:21:05 am
A definite Freedom Forum in all its neckbeard, Paul tarde, obnoxious, sausage fest, bubble world glory.

And let's not get jealous about aad. There are good posters over there, but it's a hole that forum sucks. It's gotten worse since its foundation. Even the posters who left have to a sad degree gotten noticeably worse over there. Le check it out now a days when there's literally everything of interest exhausted here on classic forum, because surfing the friends over there can be occasionally and lightning, but it's mostly just painful.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A Hypothetical Election Where the Previous Poster Would be a Swing Voter on: February 11, 2016, 06:57:40 pm
Trump vs. Ted Nugent
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A Hypothetical Election Where the Previous Poster Would be a Swing Voter on: February 11, 2016, 05:58:02 pm
Rand Paul vs Bernie Sanders?
Seems like he'd be a pretty clear Paul voter in that situation.

As for you, maybe Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump?

Mussolini vs. Petain. Decisions, decisions....
I...don't think that's quite the same kind of election the OP meant.


SKIP

To be clear, I wasn't implying this would be a choice of lesser evils for you.

Well, okay, you're not fat right wing. I guess I'm just in a bit of a mood. Smiley
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: A Hypothetical Election Where the Previous Poster Would be a Swing Voter on: February 11, 2016, 05:49:53 pm
Rand Paul vs Bernie Sanders?
Seems like he'd be a pretty clear Paul voter in that situation.

As for you, maybe Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump?

Mussolini vs. Petain. Decisions, decisions....
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Lief Reservoir of Simple Truths and Smart One-Liners on: February 11, 2016, 05:46:29 pm
lol. If you really think a simple, lazy zinger like that means neckbeard, then quite a lot of things will mean neckbeard to you. Go outside and get some perspective.

Well, in fairness that self-described lazy zinger sounds exactly like something posted by the neckbeard archtype NYM described in his second paragraph, so.....
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What religion were you RAISED with? on: February 11, 2016, 05:11:10 pm
My mother was a devout Catholic who taught CCD, though she hasn't been very church going the last decade or so. I knew my father was baptised Methodist and skipped church outside Christmas and Easter, but only discovered when i was in college that he was agnostic/atheist. My wife was also raised Catholic in a very traditional rural household.

We're both UCC now, raising or sons there, and I was sworn in last month as Consistory President.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why have Dems been able to win US Senate Elections in Montana and North Dakota? on: February 11, 2016, 08:58:12 am
The ND GOP running a lousy candidate against Heitkamp didn't help.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Bedford, NH on: February 11, 2016, 08:55:46 am
I'm not able to have cause with less than fanatical devotion.

We know, and it's quite annoying. Now knock it off.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: February 10, drop out poll, who is next? on: February 10, 2016, 06:03:09 pm
considering in NH Gilmore finished behind several candidates who'd already dropped out or are genuine fringe, i think we can stop including himb on the list of candidates.

with that in mind, Carson, PROBABLY right after SC, with an outside chance he folds even before then (depending on cash)
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Christie out on: February 10, 2016, 05:57:46 pm
now it's a deathwatch for Carson, though he's making noise about continuing on through SC somehow.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 10:06:11 pm
Freedom Speech.

are you high?
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 09:26:42 pm
Clinton is coming off as very demagogic in her concession speech tonight.

i'm also a Kasich supporter, but think you watched a different speech than you.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 05:50:17 pm
And what's this about polls closing at 7 and 8? Huh

New Hampshire cities have the option to close their polls at 8 instead of 7, according to The Green Papers.

Thanks! Smiley
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 05:33:54 pm
Per CNN: 2/3rd of late deciders said debate impacted their vote greatly



Wow. That is horrendous news for Rubio.

You'd naturally think so but after getting my fingers burned in Iowa by assuming that the early entrance poll data indicating a high turnout of first time caucus goers guaranteed a comprehensive TRUMP victory, I'm going to wait to see how this plays out.

Word! Wink

And what's this about polls closing at 7 and 8? Huh
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NH voter pushes Rubio on gay marriage, second asks if Lindsey Graham is gay on: February 09, 2016, 04:49:14 pm
In my opinion that 1st guy should have been told, "What are you complaining about?  You should be thankful that you are not placed under arrest for being homosexual in public.  And yet you still complain like it is not enough that society has bent over backwards to accommodate your alternate lifestyle.  As recently as 2003 your lifestyle was illegal in many states.  Shut up and mind your business."

Agree. I think this way all the time. I hear people say "Muslims under attack in America!" and I'm thinking to myself...during WWII Japanese Americans got interred in a camp by a liberal President. That was only 70 years ago, not even a grain of sand in the hourglass of history.


But that was bad. It was bad that we interned Japanese Americans.

Correct. So wouldn't treating them right be the good thing to do?

My point is that the argument that an atrocity like that somehow excuses every less-extreme policy is absurd. Is the new golden standard for civil rights in America now "as long as we don't treat you as bad as the Japanese you should shut your mouth?" Should Japanese Americans have stopped complaining during WWII since, after all, at least we weren't giving them smallpox blankets?

Maybe. After all, the Germans and Russians were exterminating, raping and murdering them. I'm not justifying Roosevelt's decision, but it was not apples or oranges.

Look, I don't know about you...but I come from the generation who had parents born in the 50s and grandparents who grew up during the depression and WWII. So yes, I heard "Some kids don't get any presents, so be grateful..." type of stuff all the time growing up as a kid. What was one my grandmother used to tell me...something about the man with one leg who met the man with one hand or something. I don't remember. But the point is that it's true that 60 years ago we were bombing civilians by the tens and tens of thousands. We would lose thousands of drafted soldiers per day. Now we fight wars entirely different but the liberal cause is always the same. You won't take a side. This is why active military personnel prefer the man who sent them to war over the man who wants to bring them home.

I grew up in the 90s in a world where whether you were Democrat or Republican, you wanted to keep banning illegal drugs. That's no longer the case. I grew up in a world where both sides thought gay marriage was laughable. That's no longer the case. It's not my view that's radical, it's the left.

this is "wtf?" even by Naso standards
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 04:26:03 pm
Ground reports suggest a Record turnout. Confirmed by the Dem & GOP & every possible source.

Apparently in some counties independents have gone so much to Dems that they are running out of ballot - Looks good for Sanders so far!!!!

Link? (I believe you, but I want to see where this is coming from)

Believe me, Hillary's big buttcheeks are gonna be a deep, socialist red after tonight's whuppin'

stay classy HD
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: How did Ronald Reagan do well in the west compared to south in 1984? on: February 09, 2016, 07:28:09 am
How did Ronald Reagan do well in the west compared to south in 1984?  Could another GOP presidential candidate do the same thing in future elections like 2020 or 2024?

Ronald Reagan highest % of voters:

Utah 74.50%
Idaho 72.36%
Nebraska 70.55%
Wyoming 70.51%
New Hampshire 68.66%
Oklahoma 68.61%
Alaska 66.65%
Arizona 66.42%
Kansas 66.25%
Nevada 65.85%



most of these states were among Obama's worst states as well, with the obvious exception s of NH and NV, only the latter being a western state (the answer being Latino registration).
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which of the "battlers for 2nd place" will end up with the fewest NH votes? on: February 09, 2016, 07:12:25 am
I'll say Christie will get 5th place, barely edging Bush!, but Christie is more likely to drop out.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: FINALE: Who's gone after tomorrow? on: February 09, 2016, 07:11:14 am
Fiorina. 

Gilmore, unless he turns full Stassen.

Christie, if he places 4th or worse.

Kasich, if he places 4th or worse.

Bush has the money to wait this out for a Rubio implosion; barring a catastrophic 6th place finish with <8%, in which case he might drop out anyway (though not tomorrow night).

Carson isn't going anywhere until after SC.

Even if Rubio comes in 6th, I don't see him dropping out.

Trump and Cruz (and Hillary and Sanders) are in this for the long haul.

This, though Carson could (and should) drop if he finishes near the bottom as expected.

Christie probably won't make the cut.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NH Strange Rules - If Bernie gets less than 57% Votes, equal delegates split on: February 09, 2016, 06:58:36 am
The math is actually pretty simple. In each district there is a whole number of delegates awarded to each candidate. The vote share is rounded to the nearest number of whole delegates. With 8 delegates the midpoint between 4/8 and 5/8 delegates is 9/16. That translates to 56.25% in a two person race, so any amount above that rounds up to 5/8. The 2008 Obama campaign was masterful in targeting CDs around the country where they were close to the point where one rounds up instead of down and consistently picked up extra delegates in districts.

However, in a big state, there's no way of telling whether an extra vote might make the difference with the statewide delegates. California has a whopping 158 statewide.

True, it's harder to move percentages in a large state. That's why Obama's team polled districts and targeted resources at delegates awarded by CD.

See PA for an excellant example of this.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC Feb 6 GOP Debate Criteria - UPDATE: Lineup announced on: February 05, 2016, 08:14:35 am
i could see putting strong limits and undercard debates when the number of candiidates was is the teens, and Gilmore's inability to make the ballot in many states removes him from serious contention, but there's little reason not to expand the debate from 7 to 8 candidates to include Fiorina who's at least previously shown signs of life.

Not that it'll stop her from finishing at or near last this Tuesday and dropping out soon afterwards, but still...
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Sanders triple Trump in NH? on: February 04, 2016, 10:30:45 pm
of course not. don't be silly.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio PAC puts up ad slamming Jeb on: February 04, 2016, 05:31:08 pm
It's OK, but not great. I am not sure it is worth anyone's time slamming Jeb. Folks know him too well, and have seen his negative PAC ads, and all the rest.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRyh5Z5MOow&feature=youtu.be

It's worth Rubio's time attacking Bush in New Hampshire.  He needs to pull votes from Bush, Kasich and Christie to have a chance of winning or coming in a close second.

Yep. Every two points that comes off of Bush's total on primary day ads probably at least a point or more to Rubios total.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 445


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines