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November 24, 2014, 04:38:46 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-Final NEC Poll: Brown +1 on: November 03, 2014, 10:17:55 am
For over a month now every poll out of 20 (other than last week's tie from ARRRGHH) has shown Shaheen ahead. The exception: 4 polls all from NEC. The previous 3 showing the exact same 48/47 split. It'll be close of course, but I'm not buying a Brown upset here.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Final poll has Perdue+3 on: November 03, 2014, 10:06:18 am
What's the news? This race has been all but certain to go to runoff for weeks now, and Perdue's chances in the runoff are very good (and almost a given if Senate control comes down to LA and GA).
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of KCDem on: November 02, 2014, 09:08:38 pm
Gone from not opposing (though not necessarily advocating) he be banned during mod cave discussions, to appreciating his parody of Krazen. He's going to need a new act after the election though, and I don't see his sophomore album reaching the necessary maturity.
79  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Kansas City or San Francisco? on: November 02, 2014, 09:04:27 pm
KC, not even close. 

I would have to basically be completely silent about my religious/social views if I lived in San Francisco.

Or God forbid, actually question them?
80  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of FreedomHawk on: November 02, 2014, 09:01:14 pm
FreedomHawk is a fitting username because he has the cognitive capabilities of a bird.

And is a straight A student that has already earned the respect of his state representative and senator and was the highest GPA in his grade for two years now...
Get back to us when you're dating a cheerleader.

I actually am. Different school. Actually a good person

Let me guess.She's from Toronto?
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of FreedomHawk on: November 02, 2014, 08:59:11 pm
FreedomHawk is a fitting username because he has the cognitive capabilities of a bird.

And is a straight A student that has already earned the respect of his state representative and senator and was the highest GPA in his grade for two years now...

But are you studying at Oxford?

Dammit, you beat me to it! Wink
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff on: November 02, 2014, 08:52:42 pm
Besides, he's a Pennsylvania Republican. Roll Eyes

Anyhoo, Landrieu has proven she knows how to win runoffs, so being a point down is hope. Runoff election dynamics are not the same in LA as in GA.

That said, there's a serious chance depending on the outcomes in CO, IA, AK, and KS that her (and Nunn's) runoff's could decide control of the Senate. In which case she goes from a fighting chance to probably screwed.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-Gov: Fitzgerald in on: November 02, 2014, 08:38:46 pm
You folks think Democrats still have a chance of knocking off that pimply faced nerd Josh Mandel?

Thankfully Mandel will almost certainly still be around for another four years. I'm hopeful looking forward to a more successful Senate campaign in 2018.

I'm hopeful he runs again too, considering he's currently underperforming Kasich by at least 22 points.

@ Lief: Either the Big D's poll is correct and Kasich is going to decimate Fitzgerald even worse than expected (read that again to yourself to grasp the full impact); OR it's overstating Kasich's strength and if Fitzgerald breaks 40% Mandel could be in trouble.

@ Vosem: See Icespear's comment. At best Mandel will win a close race in a really strong GOP year. The Ohio Republican bench is uber-deep. We don't need damaged goods like Mandel to screw up another race.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: CT: Visconti Drops Out on: November 02, 2014, 08:27:01 pm
It doesn't matter. Malloy will win.

I feel a lot better knowing you're a parody account

And the rest of us feel worse knowing you're serious.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-Gov, Columbus Dispatch: Kasich in the lead on: November 02, 2014, 07:55:09 pm
This is another of the Dispatch's stupid mail polls.

True, but Kasich could easily win by the margin this poll shows.

Edit: S[inks]! Angry  French is the worst (aside from Mandel, o/c) Sad

Respectfully disagree re: French, as does the State Bar (though admittedly her opponent is also "highly recommended" like her).

That said, doesn't the Dispatch poll have some historical accuracy issues? Not Vox Populi or We Are America levels, but IIRC it's not that close either.

Yeah, they conduct their polls by mail.

Well, yeah, that's not reassuring, but more importantly their numbers are usually among the furthest off of statewide polls (I think, and am too lazy to google).

EDIT: They were apparently right on the money with Obama-Romney, though.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-Gov, Columbus Dispatch: Kasich in the lead on: November 02, 2014, 07:50:39 pm
This is another of the Dispatch's stupid mail polls.

True, but Kasich could easily win by the margin this poll shows.

Edit: S[inks]! Angry  French is the worst (aside from Mandel, o/c) Sad

Respectfully disagree re: French, as does the State Bar (though admittedly her opponent is also "highly recommended" like her).

That said, doesn't the Dispatch poll have some historical accuracy issues? Not Vox Populi or We Are America levels, but IIRC it's not that close either.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MI PPP: Snyder leads by 1 (46-45). on: November 02, 2014, 07:46:25 pm
And this one's not an internal like WI. I'm beginning to think Snyder seriously could blow this.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 100 years of Amendment XVII on: November 01, 2014, 06:23:03 pm
I don't think you thought this through.

Max, meet Freedomhawk.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GOP strategist in Alaska says race will come down to a few thousand votes on: November 01, 2014, 06:16:28 pm
With Kentucky, South Dakota, Arkansas essentially gone, Colorado probably gone, and Louisiana and Georgia seemingly destined for runoffs, it would seem the Democrats' only real chance at holding the Senate at this point is through Iowa, Alaska, and Kansas.

You forgot Montana. Wink

But yeah, this is essentially it. The Democrats need to sweep all three races to keep the Senate. If they take only 2 of 3, well, Landreiu and (especially) Nunn will have a tough row to hoe in a runoff in the first place, but if it's an even more nationalized race where those races determine control of the Senate, fuhgetaboutit. And all that assumes Orman will formally throw his lot in with the Democrats before the runoff.

Actually, the Dems winning all three races Tuesday would help their runoff odds in LA considerably. Though Perdue is probably safe regardless.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Landrieu: Obama and I struggling because South is racist/sexist on: November 01, 2014, 05:14:04 pm
Maybe that's true for about 1-2% of the population, but she's acting like a white liberal Democrat in the Oval Office would be popular in the South because he's white, and it has nothing to do with the region's political ideology.





As someone pointed out elsewhere, John Kerry did 10% points better in Louisiana among whites than Obama, even while Obama was romping to a win nationally and Kerry lost. That's an actual data point for your proposition.



Race had nothing to do with it !

John Kerry spoke french and had an appeal to the Acadians.

And Obama, similar to  in W. VA, was perceived even more strongly than Kerry as anti-fossil fuels.
91  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What would be the scandal that ends the above poster's political career? on: November 01, 2014, 01:11:09 am
Illumnati connections proven. The Bavarian branch and UFOs split over blaming the revelation on the other, creating a power vacuum which takes down the government from behind the scenes.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 100 years of Amendment XVII on: November 01, 2014, 01:06:06 am
And the most depressing thing? It's actually a fashionable thing in some non-extremist conservative circles to lionize repealing the 17th Amendment.
93  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Mideast Voting Booth: GM Independence Amendment on: November 01, 2014, 12:57:27 am
Aye.
94  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is KCDem an election troll? on: November 01, 2014, 12:56:33 am
I'm torn. It wouldn't surprise me if he left, but he might stay.

I originally was leaning towards those who said dump him. But he's now taken on a court jester/village idiot role. He's kind of the liberal version of Krazen's occassionally amusing election hackery, but with 90% less meanspiritedness.
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What would be the scandal that ends the above poster's political career? on: November 01, 2014, 12:51:57 am
Takes Cathcon as running mate. Frat "Brother bonding" ritual photos are revealed. Ensuing scandal takes down the entire ticket.
96  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The New Irony Ore Mine on: November 01, 2014, 12:43:19 am
Good one.
97  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: November 01, 2014, 12:39:35 am
It is now the party of Jefferson Davis, Rush Limbaugh, Louie Gohmert and Ted Cruz.

Well, take a favorability poll today for Jeff Davis and correlate it to party ID........

With a statement like that, I have to wonder why you'd be a Republican if you think so negatively of your own party...

NORTHERN Republican, sir. Grin That allows me to acknowledge neo-Confederates are a pack of asshats. As are tools like Louis Gohmert.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: November 01, 2014, 12:32:34 am
I can't believe you typed that first paragraph. "I'm allowed to call another poster dense cause, well, they are. But how DARE anyone say that to me!! I'M KEYSTONE PHIL!!!" I get it now. You call someone dense, it's merely "standing up for yourself" in a sea of dem hackishness" or some $hit. Someone else uses your own insults against you and it's "Moderators!!! He's OBSESSIVELY TROLLING meeeeee!!!!

No one on the forum has a greater penchant for being persistently nasty and personal in their posts, but without an ounce of self-awareness you cry to the mods like a little girl with a skinned knee the instant anyone calls you on it. And here's a reality check: I'm FAR from the only one who does.

You're like a basketball player who throws elbows with abandon under the rim, but screams at the ref to call a foul anytime someone even brushes his jersey. Like a schoolyard bully who cries to the teacher whenever someone hits him back. You are, in a nutshell, the epitome of someone who can dish it out, but not take it.

But whatever. This is all in one ear and out the other because, as another poster recently pointed out, you wear your blind obstinacy like a badge of pride. 

I'm not shy about calling out fools and jerks (including occasionally myself), so undoubtedly we'll have this conversation again soon. At which point you'll inevitably scream about "obsession" and "trolling", and the Forum Circle of Life spins again......


G'night everyone! If you liked tonight's show, make sure to tune in for the Election Day fireworks extravaganza!! Cheesy
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: October 31, 2014, 11:06:53 pm
Excellent job ducking my questions. Did your snarky swip at julio say anything about the poll or race; no you just took a swipe at him for being dense. Now why didn't you report your own post for being so objectionable?

Simple: you readily are insulting and invective against other posters, but just as readily complain to the mods the second anyone merely zings you. Try just once to not defend the double standard you use for your posts and everyone else's, instead of crying 'obsession' constantly.

In short, quit whining Phil.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: October 31, 2014, 10:26:47 pm
You mean people play stupid memes to death around here? Shocked

I've noticed a peculiar level of density from you over the past week.

I'll give Phil this; his density levels are consistent.

You're definitely not obsessive, Badger!

LOL! I was going to ignore this,  then I saw 'someone' actually reported my post. I wonder who? Roll Eyes

So you're saying that calling another poster dense is wrong and something you aren't willing to accept. Something only a low down ill-mannered poltroon would do? How many infraction points should something like that get?

You are one of th e most self-unaware posters on the Forum, and the blatently most hypocritical one bar none.
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