Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 07, 2016, 11:32:25 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 506
76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 31, 2016, 11:20:32 pm
So NC went R in 2012 and the AA vote is down right now by 18% yet you all are saying NC looks great for HRC right now? Obama lost in 2012 by 1-2% and the AA vote was 18% higher at this time last year no matter the reason for the lower turnout, yet NC again looks so good for her? Please explain.

College-educated white voters swinging wildly to Dems.

How could you possibly know the above to be true?
The polls, all of them.

Ohhh the "polls" are, you mean the polls for example showing CLinton a week ago up 15% in a 4 way national race which is basically mathematically impossible? Or do you mean ALL of the polls showing Clinton up 20-35% in the Michigan Primary all the way up until the night before the primary, when she lost by 1-2 % to Sanders in the State. OVER a 20% swing of "all of the polls were showing". Those polls are what you guys are going off of, okay than.

Thought we had actual data showing who voted for who with all of the celebrating, lol. Was wondering if they were giving that info out on a daily basis, i didn't think they were but wasn't sure.

If you are going to place your hopes on all the polls having been off for the MI Democratic primary over 6 months ago, but ignore that Trump lost hard among late deciding voters in damn near every state outside NH and IN (maybe NV?), you are going to have a tough night next Tuesday.
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 31, 2016, 11:17:59 pm
Yes, Hispanics will turn out in DROVES to vote for Hillary CLinton because they see her as so much more favorable that President Obama.

For the argument "well they will because they hate Trump and all the things he said". During a 2012 debate Mitt Romney said he was going to deporte hispanics and make things to the point where they want to self-deporte. He got what, 27% of the Hispanic vote? Yes, them and AA are much more enthusiastic to vote for Hillary than Obama. Really? Okay we will see soon enough..

Can we clear up that almost no one here is saying Clinton will win Texas. 90+% of the most diehard red avatars are simply excited it'll actually be close this year, and maybe this'll be the start of TX being competitive in another 4-6 years (which fwiw I personally doubt, believing TX will revert largely to the norm without Trump and demographics will need over a decade to give Democrats a shot).

The point is your posts are currently far more annoying than illuminating. Perhaps you ought to at least forgo attacking strawmen?
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Was this the dumbest prediction of 2016? on: October 31, 2016, 01:38:02 am
Is there one saying why Trump might do well among Latinos? Grin
79  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas forum leaderboard on: October 31, 2016, 01:37:08 am
Yesterday was the most active day since July 25th, almost surpassing July 19th to be the second most active day since the end of the primary season.

Posts update (because why not):

1) BRTD 77,976  (+163)
2) Al 60,606 (+50)
3) Lewis 58,620 (0)
4) Phil 52,849 (-2)
5) opebo 47,130 (0)
6) Kal 44,072 (+317)
7) Eraserhead 41,957 (+62)
8 ) Antonio 41,230 (+660)
9) Tender 40,512 (+125)
10) Lief 40,144 (+143)

Antonio has made 660 posts in 18 days, a rate of almost 37 a day. He should pass Eraserhead by November 1st, and will pass Kal (!) in 5 months, by which point he'd be 2 days away from passing opebo.

Lief should pass Tender in exactly 1 year.

How the frick did Phil lose 2 posts? Huh
80  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in West Virginia or Oklahoma? on: October 31, 2016, 01:34:51 am
Probably WV if only to remain close-ish with family in Pittsburgh and friends in Ohio. That said, as a pure happiness decision, I'd prefer OKC by far, then Tulsa, to any place in WV, including the eastern panhandle. Sure it's 90 minutes from DC, but that's pretty far when you want to do anything on a regular basis. In the meantime Harper's Ferry area is awfully small town.
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who will win the white male vote in your precinct? on: October 31, 2016, 01:26:00 am
Trump.  And by a lot.

This. Also surely the white female vote, though obviously not by as much.
82  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: California man sentenced to 1503 years in prison on: October 31, 2016, 01:25:10 am
Call it life and be done with it, and no one would blink twice.
83  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Cleveland on: October 31, 2016, 01:17:25 am
The Lake Erie Monsters also won their minor league championship for hockey.  They're an affiliate of the Columbus Blue Jackets.

I forgot about that. Cheesy
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 2016 voter fraud arrests megathread on: October 31, 2016, 01:16:45 am
In fairness, this thread won't go anywhere. Few will be prosecuted until charges are handed down after months of post-election investigations.

Just sayin'....
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Bundy Gang is Found Not Guilty on: October 31, 2016, 01:14:16 am
What in the world is the legal reasoning behind this??

The majority of the occupiers seem to have been confidential government informants who may have been responsible for supplying the firearms, and the prosecution refused to have these people identified and take the stand. Thus there were due process and entrapment concerns plus technical issues with the definitions of the crimes they were charged with.

I can see this from what I'm reading. Still, a craptastic decision.
86  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Somebody dumped a pile of manure in front a Warren County,OH Democratic office on: October 31, 2016, 01:08:52 am
This apparently happened in 2012 as well.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bannon pushing Trump + campaign into Wisconsin, Michigan and New Mexico on: October 31, 2016, 12:59:11 am
Understandable. NC, FL and NV look to be firmly in Trump's camp now, so it makes sense to push into bluer states.

Joking or stupid?

No, seriously. I'm genuinely not sure.

These are people who thought Trump would only JUST lose when Clinton was up near double-digits. So... either performance art or a cretin. Remember this is Atlas, people would rather be the first to predict something, regardless. 

<sigh> True dat.

My God the hand wringing in other threads....
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bannon pushing Trump + campaign into Wisconsin, Michigan and New Mexico on: October 31, 2016, 12:55:03 am
Understandable. NC, FL and NV look to be firmly in Trump's camp now, so it makes sense to push into bluer states.

Joking or stupid?

No, seriously. I'm genuinely not sure.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump: Clinton will let 650M immigrants into U.S. on: October 31, 2016, 12:50:28 am
She's going to triple the population of America in eight years?  BAHAHAHAHA what a LOSER!!

No, in just one week according to the Orange One.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rapist Trump's trial date for committing rape is finally set on: October 31, 2016, 12:49:51 am
The fact that this case is finally getting justice makes me hope we can one day lock up Glenn Beck for raping and murdering a girl in 1990.

Wut? Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump Supporter chants Jew-S-A at the press pen on: October 30, 2016, 01:28:50 pm
The underlined sentence explains a lot.

Get a job.

This is a stretch, even for you.

1) This

2) FB, are dead wrong about Jackson "never apologizing" about his anti-Semitic slurs. I remember personally. He did so within days at a NY synagogue, abjectly and wholeheartedly. And was recieved warmly. Google or Youtube it. That said, his statements are enough I would've had serious reservations about ever voting for him even when I was a Democrat. It's quite ......"amusing " is the kindest word I can find...that you have to rely on such slurs by a decided also-ran from over 30 years ago to justify your willingness to accept the overt slurs and anti-semitism over a mjor presidential nominee and their campaign.

3) The Trump supporters "you know" in your church, etc. do indeed hold some rather deplorable views on other religious groups, immigrants, gays, etc., at least based on your own prior posts on the same subjects, which I have little doubt are reflected even worse in your own social circle considering you are in fact on of the nicer and less crazy Trump supporters on the Forum (though admittedly that's damming with faint praise Tongue). Your undeserved "get a job" lashing out at Nova is all too exemplar, I'm afraid. Just because you don't recognize or acknowledge such widespread sentiments doesn't mean they aren't there in full force.

4) Although unquestionably a double-dealing politico skilled at pay to play, someone has to deliberately play ostrich at the blatant lying, supporting his business with campaign funds, using his "charitable" foundation to pay personal legal bills, all occurring just during the campaign, let alone his 30+ year career of overt double-dealing and fraud to convince oneself Trump hasn't theroughly surpassed even Hillary by any measure of sleaze .

5) another question I previously posed which you never answered and bares repeating: whose pussy would Jesus grab, FB?
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 30, 2016, 10:12:00 am
https://twitter.com/electionsmith/status/792733751063121921

"Yesterday was a lackluster day of early voting for Dems in Florida...only 3.5k more Ds than Rs voted EIP. In '12, Ds>Rs on 1st Sat by 40k"

Coupled with new polls from Florida today, no bueno.

Now those are some not so great numbers. It's offset a little bit, as he notes after this, that unaffiliated voters in FL this cycle look to be and should be breaking hard to HRC, but that's still not a great number.

wait a minute y'all. as a commentator in Smith's feed said, and Smith acknowledged, 1st Saturday in 12 was also the first dat of EIV. True?
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AK-Craciun Research: Clinton +4 on: October 30, 2016, 10:00:09 am
Polling out of Alaska is notoriously bad ...

So Hillary might be up even higher?!? Shocked
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in CO, PA, NC; Trump leads in AZ on: October 30, 2016, 09:44:24 am
PA will likely be narrower in the end.

CO is too low for Clinton (probably up 5-6).

AZ looks about right (Hillary won't win there, it's a dream).

NC should be quite close in the end, like I said in another thread.

And are you basing that off of anything besides your gut? You can't just say something will be close by pointing to another post saying that your gut says so as evidence.

Don't wrestle with a pig on this one.

Yeah. Tender is the biggest fail poster of this cycle.
95  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 29, 2016, 05:44:35 pm
Badger drops in and absolutely lays it down. Nice.

I've always wondered where Trump supporters would put their money if they had to bet their life savings on it.

My guess is that they would also probably bet Hillary like the rational people. But since talk is cheap, they are being intellectually dishonest with themselves.

exactly. i will win either poll states' money, silence, or honor. anyway it's a victory.
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 29, 2016, 05:17:58 pm

Based on recent ealry voting

FL+NC+OH in TRUMP's pocket.

so TRUMP just needs 10 EV more.

WI or NV+NH or MI or PA

#Trump2016



alright you twerp. it seems we're going to need a rehash.

$500 Trump loses and I'm giving you 2-1 . I'll further give you 3-2 odds he loses FL.

Put your money where your mouth is here and now, or S.T.F.U.

If you continue to post your unmeritorious crap without taking my challenge, you are officially an honorless poltroon--i.e. my bitch.

Ball's in your court, chump. Put up or shut up.
97  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: October 2016 Presidential Runoff on: October 28, 2016, 08:16:21 pm
Blair
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL - Dixie Strategies - DJT +3 on: October 27, 2016, 09:36:50 pm
This is not a poll, this is a piece of propaganda from a fake news site run by right-wingers.

Mods, do the right thing and purge this trash from Atlas.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MO- Missouri Times: Trump +11 on: October 27, 2016, 09:27:14 pm
Safe R. Its days of being a swing state are long gone (except in primaries of course).

I'm still having a hard time wrapping my head around how a state that went for Mccain by like a tenth of a percent is solidly Trump.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AZ-Monmouth: Trump +1 on: October 27, 2016, 01:48:04 am
Just heard on CNN that Obamacare premiums are increasing 110% (!!!) next year in AZ.

If this is true, it's game over for Hillary in AZ ...

(Btw, why not cap Obamacare premium increases at the rate of annual inflation over the past year ?. It's pretty silly from a European perspective that there are such huge increases in premiums over a year.)

It's a matter of whether or not Trump is able to use that to any real effect - and he won't be.

And you are so sure of that why exactly ?

This could bring significantly more voters into his column in the next few weeks IMO, who wavered in their support before ...

Because almost everything out of your creepy mouth has been wrong this election cycle. Now go away and accost some lost hikers.
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 506


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines