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February 05, 2016, 10:03:26 pm
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Overtime Politics thread on: Today at 01:59:52 pm
Black turnout will drop without Obama, but not by 13 points. But in any case:

Exit polls reveal the 2008 primary was 60% female. This sample was 53% female. No cause for the decrease given Hillary's still on the ballot.

JUNK POLL



An Overtime Poll is JUNK!!?!?!?!

Wash your mouth out and get back in your corner.

I'm sorry, but I'm not going to join in on the whole theory that this guy literally sits in his room making up polls and methodology tweaks, blogging, doing a reddit AMA, responding to 100s or 1000s of methodology emails, and reading the death threats some people send to him all just as a big joke to see reactions. No, I get the arguments/sequence of events, but the absolutely pathetic life someone would need to have to stay committed to that sort of joke just makes the idea simply preposterous.

If he releases a poll that is believable, I'm going to use it. I'll disregard outliers like this AL Poll.

Dude have you ever heard of catfishing? People have done far more elaborate hoaxes to just fool ONE person.

Also where is the money to conduct these "polls" coming from? They're just being posted on a blog for free, not sold to a campaign or media outlet.

Either the guy is rich or has a good-paying 'second job'.

Or, or, he's some Bernie Bro from Reddit making up numbers on a blog.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Romney considers endorsing Rubio before NH primary to stop Trump's momentum on: Today at 01:07:44 pm
LOL, Am I supposed to take offense to that?

Sorry I don't speak at levels above most of the population. Most successful people don't. Because they know high level vocabulary words are an atrocious way to effectively communicate, even with the scholarly.

But this is all coming from someone who doesn't know what charisma is, so I'm not terribly surprised.

You need to understand the level of TRUMP derangement around here - people are desperately trying to convince themselves that a deranged fascist like Rubio is a Sensible Moderate as opposed to that mean old bully DJT.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Does TRUMP win every state in the primaries? on: Today at 11:32:12 am
Well, the dirty tricks in Iowa stole it for Cruz but I'm optimistic TRUMP's win in New Hampshire will propel him to victory in South Carolina and on to the nomination.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: MSNBC Durham, NH Democratic debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: February 04, 2016, 11:25:16 pm
Embarrassing to see Democrats cheer for opposing all trade agreements...

Regardless of how one feels about TPA and NAFTA, the opinions of people that oppose such trade agreements have legitimate merit. Also it was very clearly not all trade agreements in general, if you listened to what was said.

"Senator Sanders, you have voted against every trade agreement"

WOOOOOOO
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: MSNBC Durham, NH Democratic debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: February 04, 2016, 11:13:28 pm
Embarrassing to see Democrats cheer for opposing all trade agreements...
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Overtime Politics thread on: February 04, 2016, 07:23:51 pm
Wulfric, has anyone ever sat you down and explained in detail how much of an idiot you are?
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Frothy can't name any of Rubio's Senate accomplishments on: February 04, 2016, 06:57:37 pm
The fat man put it in an ad!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdtNqnJdem8
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ex-NAACP leader Ben Jealous to endorse Sanders on: February 04, 2016, 06:06:41 pm
How many black voters could tell you who Ben Jealous is without googling it? Wake me up when Sanders gets a Beyonce endorsement.

Did you realize many black voters care about actual political issues, and might put more stock in the thoughts of a leader of the NAACP than some pop singer?

I agree, I wish the Sanders campaign had realised this before trotting out a rapper as their spokesman on black issues constantly.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders RUSHES to help man who fainted at his press conference! on: February 04, 2016, 05:10:40 pm
Let's take a moment to pause here and realize that if Clinton had done this, people would have accused her of staging the whole affair to curry favour with New Hampshire primary voters looking for a "caring" candidate.

Mother of God. Please don't tell me you seriously believe that.

We post on a forum with Wulfric, who thinks Obama will suspend the constitution and declare himself President for life.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish general election on: February 04, 2016, 03:21:20 pm
Funnily enough, in actuality I would probably first-preference Ross if I was voting in Dublin Rathdown. They for some reason have recorded his stance as 'equivocal' on every issue.

That is not surprising.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders RUSHES to help man who fainted at his press conference! on: February 04, 2016, 01:09:29 pm

Even if you disagree with his views, you have to admit that he's a good person.

I literally can't tell if you're joking or not at this point.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary: "That's what they offered." on: February 04, 2016, 12:52:04 pm
...?
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders RUSHES to help man who fainted at his press conference! on: February 04, 2016, 12:49:42 pm
In all honesty, Sanders is a FF.

14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders RUSHES to help man who fainted at his press conference! on: February 04, 2016, 11:52:08 am
Wow!
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: PPP Dem Race: Clinton 53 / Sanders 32 on: February 04, 2016, 11:49:58 am
How is it possible that half of the black community has no idea who Sanders is? Has he not made any progress at all? Do people just not care?

All I hear about is he efforts to reach black voters...and yeah, that seems to be failing.

He's made zero effort to reach black voters other than patronisingly trotting out Cornel West and Killer Mike (lol) as his black friends.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When will Rubio emerge as the presumptive nominee? on: February 04, 2016, 11:47:00 am
TRUMP will have this thing wrapped up by the end of the month.

Yes. A huge victory in NH despite the media shilling full-time for Narco will allow TRUMP to move to Stage 2 - the Art of the Comeback.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ex-NAACP leader Ben Jealous to endorse Sanders on: February 04, 2016, 11:25:33 am
Presumably trying to stop the NAACP from being Facebook-bombed by Bernie Bros telling them about Killer Mike.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NH on: February 04, 2016, 11:21:09 am
Rubio will pound the daylights out of TRUMP.

I have no doubt that Rubio would like to pound a man on Monday, Talleyrand, but I fear he'll be disappointed.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Irish general election on: February 04, 2016, 11:14:55 am
FG: 41
Lab: 34
Green: 26
FF: 25
O'Sullivan: 24
Worker's (!) : 23
Soc Dem: 23
Alphabet Soup: 22
Perry: 22
SF: 20
Burke: 17
DDI: 12

Bizarrely, the only candidate I agreed with on rent controls "certainty" was the Postmaster's candidate, who's now dropped out.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who wins South Carolina? on: February 04, 2016, 10:29:56 am
South Carolina is hardly going to vote for someone notorious primarily for being arrested with a gay porn baron in 1990, folks.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TRUMP releases his fourth ad, and he's come up with something really special on: February 03, 2016, 04:52:51 pm
That's brilliant. Really showcases how much broader his support is than the other Republicans, too.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: I have changed my primary vote on: February 03, 2016, 04:14:13 pm
Who cares about the reason? A comrade is a comrade. Welcome to the Bern train!

^ How Bernie supporters think.

I haven't heard you express any qualms about being on the same team as Sarah Palin.

Well I'm supporting a moderate who gets support from lunatics, you're supporting an extremist who gets support from lunatics, so I feel okay about that.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult national poll (Feb 2-3): TRUMP, CLINTON DOMINATE on: February 03, 2016, 04:13:08 pm
Looks like America is standing firm against the media's attempt to buy this election for Rubio and Sanders.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's Iowa #Trumpertantrum continues! on: February 03, 2016, 03:12:19 pm
Mods, please delete this thread. This child is spamming the forum.

Thanks.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How the hell did Rubio beat his polls by so much? on: February 03, 2016, 01:33:22 pm
The fact that Rubio is considered a moderate is a testament to how far right the GOP has moved. There's really nothing moderate about Rubio, and wrapping himself in God during Iowa really turned me off to him.



Yes.

Nix had a great post on AAD about how concerning is that the establishment is throwing their lot in with Rubio because he quite genuinely doesn't seem prepared to be President. It's a scary prospect.

It's like we are back in 2000 when the establishment blindly supported W.

I mean, even then Bush had at least governed a large state for six years and had a compelling personal narrative of finding God and giving up the bottle. Rubio has never had a real job, is obviously intellectually simple and has spent his entire career as part of a do-nothing Senate in the 2010s.
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