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April 18, 2015, 08:10:26 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Daylight Savings on: March 08, 2015, 12:57:45 am
Yes, but do it year-round. Changing the times twice a year is awful.
77  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Maroon 5 on: March 06, 2015, 10:04:58 pm
SAJ is one of my favorite albums of the 00s. The rest is extremely meh.
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obamacare faces challenge at the US Supreme Court (oral arguments today) on: March 06, 2015, 08:25:59 am
Ideally the Court would use the Chevron precedent to declare that the law is vague on whether Federal Exchange states can have subsidies are not, and it is up to the executive branch to decide.

That way, the subsidies stay under Obama and it becomes a huge issue in 2016. Clearly the Republican base will demand that the 2016 nominee promise to take away the subsidies (ironic, I know, as they would be cutting away a huge benefit for their states but keeping it for the liberal states), while swing voters, and most voters in general, would be demanding that the subsidies remain.

If the GOP nominee caves to the base and this becomes one of the 2 or 3 biggest issues of the campaign, Hillary landslides with huge coattails.
79  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AL Supreme Court orders probate judges not to license same sex marriages on: March 06, 2015, 08:19:41 am
Which state mandates segregated bathrooms? That's up to each individual establishment, and many of them have unisex bathrooms. In addition, it's not at all uncommon at places like gas stations for people to go into the "wrong" bathroom if there's a long line for one and none for the other. Or if you just sneak into the women's restroom, you'll probably get away with it, or at worst, just get told off by a cashier or something.

There's no parallel to gay marriage here -- if a gay couple somehow tricked a county into marrying them, they wouldn't just get a lecture, their marriage would be dissolved and they would be in trouble. The counties where it's illegal can't make an exception and just allow a gay marriage in a pinch (like businesses can with the restrooms), nor allow them all the time (a parallel to the very common unisex bathrooms).
80  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AL Supreme Court orders probate judges not to license same sex marriages on: March 05, 2015, 07:34:53 pm
There are plenty of unisex bathrooms out there if you want to use one. It's not like the Constitution mandates separate bathrooms for men and women.

It's a pretty poor parallel to gay marriage.
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: favorite obscure fictional characters on: March 01, 2015, 11:07:11 pm
Damar!
82  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: A question about the opponents of gay marriage on: March 01, 2015, 07:10:03 pm
Wulfric, the Bible is against divorced people remarrying. Why don't you feel equally strongly that remarriage should be illegal? Do you see an inconsistency here?
83  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What exemptions should exist for school vaccination requirements? on: March 01, 2015, 07:06:36 pm
Wait, WV and Mississippi are the only 2 states who are correct on an issue? Has hell frozen over?

This is a crunchy granola problem for the most part.

Not really. The reason Mississippi doesn't have a law allowing exceptions is because all the anti-vaxxers send their kids to segregationist private schools, or else homeschool. They were just debating this a few weeks ago, but there's not enough demand for it to pass.
84  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Sarah Palin comes up with genius solution for ISIS on: March 01, 2015, 02:47:44 pm
This is the woman who didn't know who we fought in World War II 7 years ago.

Seriously.

She probably honestly doesn't know that there are still Nazi sympathizers today.

we fought in world war ii seven years ago?

No, 7 years ago (2008) she didn't know who America's opponents were in World War II. McCain's team had to give her a crash history lesson, starting with the very basic facts like who we fought.
85  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: A question about the opponents of gay marriage on: March 01, 2015, 02:41:55 pm
A better question is why aren't the opponents of gay marriage also campaigning to prevent divorced people from marrying again?

There's a pretty strong overlap between denominations that restrict marriage to opposite-sex couples and those that make it difficult for people to have a second marriage. Yet you never, ever hear about businesses demanding the "right" to discriminate against remarried people or judges refusing to marry them or people forcing their views on remarriage onto people who don't share those views.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - March 2015 on: March 01, 2015, 02:26:20 pm
Christie. The fact that Walker is the flavor of the month 20 months before the election means nothing.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Christie Run? on: March 01, 2015, 02:25:03 pm
He will run and be the nominee. He's not nearly as far into the wilderness as McCain was, and Republicans spent a whole year looking for Romney alternatives before finally settling on him.

Republicans eventually pick the electable moderate-ish (not really, but perceived that way) candidate whose "turn" it is. For 2016, that's Christie.
88  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Sarah Palin comes up with genius solution for ISIS on: March 01, 2015, 01:56:58 am
This is the woman who didn't know who we fought in World War II 7 years ago.

Seriously.

She probably honestly doesn't know that there are still Nazi sympathizers today.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: When will Arkansas vote Democratic in a presidential election? on: February 28, 2015, 06:48:24 pm
2020 in Hillary's Reaganesque reelection landslide
90  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 02:50:08 pm
Yeah, it's obviously not black. I understand that the white/blue thing might be debatable, but no amount of lighting can turn a real black into that brownish gold.

It could (and apparently it did) if it were some weird, extremely reflective fabric that was lit in an unusual way, but I certainly wouldn't default to that assumption over the much simpler "the stripes appear to be gold/brown and thus are probably gold/brown."

But I know almost nothing about dresses and dress materials, so that's probably where the misunderstanding lies.
91  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 10:41:08 am
I saw it as black and blue before I even knew what it was supposed to be. That's because my eyes and brain can perceive colors correctly. It's ok that you can't; many disabled people have gone on to do great things.

So ... you do see the square I posted as black?

Oh, are we posting random shapes and colors that have nothing to do with the dress? Let me try. Do you see this trapezoid as lavender?

...

This is directly taken from a pixel of the top stripe. And I tried to go for one of the middle, not just the most obvious bright one.



The fact that you're dodging the question strongly implies that you agree this color of the square isn't black.

This leads to a second question -- how did you know on sight that the material was something that is THAT reflective? Most black fabrics wouldn't reflect that much light as to appear shiny gold. In fact, until this meme came out I probably didn't realize there were any.

Maybe there's a correlation between people who are good at recognizing fancy fabrics on sight and what color you perceive? I'm sure if I saw the photo and saw like "hmmm, that looks like XYZ fabric that looks shiny under light" I might have guessed the stripes are actually black. Unfortunately, I know virtually nothing about fabric types.

92  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 10:35:04 am
Like I said before, look at the background.  Look at it in the three pictures above, in fact.  Sure, the one on the left now appears so washed out that the dress is now gold and pale blue.  But can you make out anything at all in the background now?  No, because the whole photo is totally bleached out.  Meaning that this could not possibly be the dress's colors.  And you still can't see any source of this 'blue light'.  But now look at the photo on the right.  You can actually start to make out some details in the background - arguably even somebody's hair - because the photo has been adjusted to its subjects' correct colors.  Our brains could instantly tell, using the background as a cue, that the photo was too bright, and therefore our brains should increase the contrast and darken that brown into black.

Sorry, I think the most natural assumption is that there is very bright light in the background, implying that what we're seeing is in shadow, because the lit-up background implies that all the light is behind the dress.

Other than just being directly told, I see no context clues to assume there's an additional (and also unusually-colored) light source behind the photographer.

Does that explain why so many people are assuming the dress is lighter?
93  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 01:17:55 am
I saw it as black and blue before I even knew what it was supposed to be. That's because my eyes and brain can perceive colors correctly. It's ok that you can't; many disabled people have gone on to do great things.

So ... you do see the square I posted as black?
94  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 01:07:02 am
I've raised this point several times in this thread and no one on the blue/black squad has offered an explanation on how the gold/brown (not even a dark shade of it!) look black...

It looks black because it's black. Next question.

As you are aware, this has never been about what the dress actually is in real life. I want to know how you look at a golden-brown color like that, not even a dark one, and think it's black. Do you honestly see it as black, or do you have some kind of internal thought process of "hmmm, those stripes look gold because that's a really reflective material that would be black if I saw it in person under normal lighting conditions" ?

I guess what I'm saying is, do you actually see this as black, or do you agree that this color is gold-brown-ish and just translate that as the stripe is probably black?
95  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 28, 2015, 12:17:06 am
You seriously see that shiny gold as black? That's the most baffling thing here.

The white/blue thing is easily explained as a difference of whether it's in shadow or in light, but I just don't see how anyone can say the stripes are black. I've raised this point several times in this thread and no one on the blue/black squad has offered an explanation on how the gold/brown (not even a dark shade of it!) look black...
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carson's appeal to black voters on: February 28, 2015, 12:13:00 am
I love how Republicans think so lowly of brown people that they believe they'll just vote for someone cause they look kind of like them.
Because Democrats didn't do that with Obama...

Blacks voted overwhelmingly for Obama because he is a Democrat, not because he is black.
97  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What Justifies the State Taking Children Away From Their Parents? on: February 28, 2015, 12:11:45 am
I don't thinks kids should automatically be taken away from their parents just for vaccine refusal. Instead, a judge should order the children vaccinated, preferably just doing it right there in the courthouse before the parents can barricade their kids up or something, and then Social Services should make a few follow up visits over next couple years to make sure the parents are treating the kids OK. I'm sure that in most cases the kids will be fine.
98  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Anti-ACA former sheriff now begging for money to pay for medical bills on: February 28, 2015, 12:06:48 am
Don't act like ACA is some magic pill that solves every problem with no downside.  It has good and it has bad. I know some people who got health insurance on the exchange and would still be begging for money for medical bills given the high deductibles they would have to pay before anything kicks in.

If they make less than 250% of the poverty line, the government also pays a portion (on a sliding scale) of their copays and deductibles, in addition to their premium subsidies.

If they make more than that, they should be able to afford the deductible.

Obviously you know more about your friends' specific situations that I do, but the fact remains that people under 400% of FPL using the Exchanges generally shouldn't have higher bills, either in premium or cost-sharing, than they can handle. It's the people who make 401% of the poverty line who are screwed.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Mississippi 2015 Megathread on: February 27, 2015, 09:06:45 pm
The filing deadline has passed.

Democratic statewide candidates:
Governor - Vicki Slater
Governor - Robert Gray
Governor - Valerie Adream Smartt Short
Lt. Gov. - Tim Johnson
Lt. Gov. - Jelanie Barr
Attorney General - Jim Hood
Sec. of State - Charles Graham
Auditor - Joce Pritchett
Ag. Comm - Addie Lee Green
Nobody for Treasurer or Insurance Commissioner Roll Eyes


Republican statewide candidates:
Governor - Phil Bryant
Governor - Mitch Young
Lt. Gov. - Tate Reeves
Lt. Gov. - Alison McElhenney
Attorney General - Mike Hurst
Sec. of State - Delbert Hosemann
Auditor - Stacey Pickering
Auditor - Mary Hawkins Butler
Ag. Comm - Cindy Hyde-Smith
Treasurer - Lynn Fitch
Treasurer - David McRae
Insurance Comm. - Mike Chaney
Insurance Comm. - John Mosley


Sticking with my prediction of 8 reelections. Republican auditor primary should be interesting.
100  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What color is this dress? on: February 27, 2015, 07:13:43 pm
Wouldn't it be the most amazing thing ever if Jimmy Kimmel were somehow involved in this, like if he came out Monday with and held up a specially-made white and gold version of the dress and said "See, it really WAS white and gold all along!"
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