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October 21, 2014, 02:52:20 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: September 25, 2014, 06:18:28 pm
Bushie, whatever you do, DO NOT make an assumption and just impulsively quit the job.
77  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have your interest in US politics increased or declined after joining Atlas? on: September 25, 2014, 06:17:11 pm
Declined, but backlash against the outrageous childish treatment of Obama by Republicans has kept it above water for now.
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your current ignore list? on: September 25, 2014, 06:15:43 pm
No one. I've tried ignoring a few people in the past, but I would always just click "show post" anyway.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FiveThirtyEight releases pollster ratings on: September 25, 2014, 05:16:00 pm
I wonder how you can get an A+ when you have a 1.1% R bias. Tongue That's at least as strong and probably an even stronger bias than the average pollster. It's only slightly less of a bias than Gravis even.

I assume if the pollster is consistently, always dead-on 1.1 R-biased, then you can get a very accurate reading from the poll by making the adjustment.

That's a lot more reliable than one that averages out to 0, but has a high standard deviation.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which states do the GOP pickup (updated)? on: September 25, 2014, 12:13:01 pm
Not that I would have picked it, but no NOTA option? That's at least a plausible outcome...
81  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AG Eric Holder to Step Down on: September 25, 2014, 10:44:34 am
I'm assuming this is part of an Obama/Democratic ploy to get Republicans to act like asses over the replacement nominee?
82  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: September 25, 2014, 07:24:00 am
Let's all remember that this company saw his resume for the first time, called him, brought him in for an interview, and hired him all in the span of a couple hours. Clearly they don't do things the "normal" way there, so no reason to read too much into them giving him extra days for grief if he needed them.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Pat Roberts: Our country is headed for national socialism on: September 24, 2014, 11:04:59 am
Let's all take a moment to consider the Fox News reaction if a Democratic senator publicly called the republicans Nazis...
84  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What Made You Change Politically? on: September 23, 2014, 07:24:21 pm
Until 2009 or so, I tried to give Republicans the benefit of the doubt. But thanks to the unbelievably, outrageously childish way the entire party has acted since then, I just can't anymore.

I don't want to be a Democratic hack -- there's just no other way to be in the current environment.
85  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: All US/Canadian big 4 pro teams ranked on: September 23, 2014, 06:07:56 pm
Except that most college football players are paid under the table in the major conferences. There's a reason they call us the $EC. (Or, as I prefer, $)
86  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Is arming the non-Kurdish Syrian rebels idiotic? on: September 23, 2014, 05:35:13 pm
Well this poll has one of the largest gaps between Atlas and America that I've ever seen...
87  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football Pick'em- 2014 style on: September 23, 2014, 05:33:35 pm
Oklahoma State
Arizona State
Middle Tennessee (?)
Iowa
Kansas State
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Georgia
Boston College
Indiana
Minnesota
Florida State
Louisville
Texas A&M (this is actually a neutral site game, if that influences anyone's pick)
Auburn
Stanford
Ohio State
South Carolina
Boise State
LSU
Miami (FL)
Ole Miss
Notre Dame
Baylor (the opponent is actually Iowa State, if that influences anyone's pick)
Nebraska
USC
88  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gun control loons getting loonier on: September 23, 2014, 05:30:03 pm
I heard that Obama paid Putin to invade Ukraine to that he'd have an excuse to BAN GUNS! IT'S A CONSPIRACY!
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Rasmussen: Perdue+5 on: September 23, 2014, 05:19:00 pm
She's within 5 now? #Comeback
90  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football Pick'em- 2014 style on: September 23, 2014, 01:35:02 pm
The real leader is whoever has gotten the most SEC games right. The others are essentially exhibition games.
91  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Japanese corporation plans to build a space elevator by 2050 on: September 22, 2014, 08:45:11 pm
Awesome. Hope they do it.
92  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Margaret Sanger on: September 21, 2014, 11:43:45 pm
HP with a modern lens for her racism, but still lots of FF qualities.

Put in the proper historical context, overall FF.
93  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: How Would Your State Vote on Secession? on: September 21, 2014, 11:40:15 pm
The independence referendum in Scotland got me thinking:  How would different U.S. states vote on the issue of independence from the United States?

Here's how I would imagine things would shake-down in Mississippi.


No - 66,1%
Yes - 33,9%

No's Best County - Oktibbeha, 88,7% for No
Yes's Best County - Tishomingo, 53,7% for Yes



It would be especially interesting to see votes in Texas, Hawaii, Alaska, and a couple of other states Wink

I'm just curious Del Tachi, what would the white vs. black vote look like? Since MS is the most racially polarized state in the US.

I think the map speaks pretty clearly for itself.  The Delta is the most No-voting region in the state, and I imagine that the statewide Black vote would favor "No" by close to 80%.  Whites would probably support No by over 60%, which, now if I think about it, extrapolating those figures seems to suggest that giving "Yes" 33% statewide support is extremely generous.   

Are you basing your "Yes" counties off anything in particular? The 2000 Flag Vote?

I find it hard to believe that Yes could win a single county, especially ones in the Northeast where white people still vote Democrat (gasp!) from time to time. And I can't imagine 20% or even 2% of blacks backing it.

Ironically, Jones County might be a Yes vote if anyone is.
94  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Buffalo Wild Wings on: September 21, 2014, 04:44:08 pm
They opened up one in Starkville a few months after I left. Too bad, because I would've been there once or twice a week for sure.
95  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of the song "Viva la Vida" by Coldplay on: September 21, 2014, 01:22:12 pm
Great. Coldplay is one of the greatest bands of this century. (Normal).
96  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football Pick'em- 2014 style on: September 20, 2014, 10:46:17 pm
YES! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
97  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: September 20, 2014, 04:52:27 pm
I agree that two spaces after a period is preferable to just one.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nate Silver explains FiveThirtyEight's Senate forecasting model on: September 20, 2014, 04:06:16 pm
Also, even though I'm a Silver fan, I find it really weird how he spent all day picking a fight with that Wang guy.

He didn't. He put up 5 lines.

He's Tweeted about it repeatedly over the last few days. He needs to move on.

Huh

He made three tweets a couple of days ago, nothing since. Seems like he's "moved on", and in any case, it was never excessive to begin with. You've probably made more posts criticising Nate Silver than Silver has posted/tweeted criticising Wang.

This one post in this one thread is the only time I've ever criticized Nate Silver in my entire life, so unless Silver has never made a criticism of Wang and I've just gone completely insane, you're way off.

Weren't you one of the guys who kept going "but but Nate Silver got a couple of Senate races wrong! Fundamentals are BS, Dems gunna win!" If not, sorry, I've mistaken you for someone else.

God no. I must've posted 30 times that it is impossible for Silver to ever be "wrong" (or "right" for that matter).
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nate Silver explains FiveThirtyEight's Senate forecasting model on: September 20, 2014, 03:46:11 pm
Silver had 6 Tweets about Wang in a 48-hour period, all saying essentially the same thing: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538

That's too many -- it was annoying to see them keep popping up on my Twitter feed.

I imagine he's kinda scared that if Wang ends up with more "right" than him (even though both Wang and Silver give probabilities, not predictions, and neither of them are ever "right" or "wrong"), the masses are going to declare Silver a permanent failure, regardless of whose model is actually better.
100  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: September 20, 2014, 03:17:28 pm
Bushie, will you watch Mississippi State forever change its football fortune by defeating LSU tonight?

It might cheer you up...
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