Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 23, 2014, 12:35:07 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 313
76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who among last night's losers will run again? on: November 03, 2010, 07:43:38 pm
Ryan Frazier will be back.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Things we've learnt from these elections on: November 03, 2010, 07:43:07 pm
11. Some Democrats can be just as sore of losers as Republicans. Grin
78  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Did you like the outcome of yesterday's elections? on: November 03, 2010, 07:33:45 pm
I think this is probably the best result that could have happened. Democrats get a loud and clear message. Republicans have a resurgence, but they don't control the Senate and thus will have no choice but to compromise for both political and practical reasons.

Reid winning was very interesting. I really wasn't too disappointed by that, though I thought I would. I'm disappointed that Boxer won and that Frazier lost.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2012 a bloodbath for Democrats in the senate? on: November 03, 2010, 07:29:27 pm
You're making precisely the same mistake Democrats made in 2008.

Psst, the Republicans don't control the White House or the Senate.

Still doesn't make it any less stupid to be making these assumptions at this point.

Obviously, but it would take a lot for Democrats to have net gains in 2012.
80  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: So yeah, the Tea Party hilariously screwed the GOP last night. on: November 03, 2010, 07:11:03 pm
Apparently the Republican establishment disagrees with all those extolling the virtues of the Tea Party and its favorite candidates.


http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44676.html


Again, before the Tea Party, the Democrats were competitive in NH, KY, OH, and FL. WA and WI were considered out of reach. The Tea Party didn't directly cause that, but the enthusiasm, turnout, and narrative it created did.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2012 a bloodbath for Democrats in the senate? on: November 03, 2010, 07:08:04 pm
You're making precisely the same mistake Democrats made in 2008.

Psst, the Republicans don't control the White House or the Senate.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 07:07:09 pm
The Denver Post has called the race for Michael Bennet.
Colorado now has a Dem Governor and 2 Dem Senators. Smiley And 2 were elected in one of the worst cycles for Dems ever.

We're becoming a landlocked Washington state! Tongue

Although, the Republicans do have 4 of the 7 House seats, and they won back the state House (though narrowly). They have also held the AG, are on track to win the SoS race, and are neck and neck in the Treasurer's race.

How did Perlmutter managed to survive so comfortably?
CO-7 is supposed to be the epitome of the swing district.

It was when it was drawn, but things have changed.
83  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Dear tea partiers on: November 03, 2010, 07:02:52 pm
I'd actually argue that yes, FL and KY would have gone Republican without the tea party, and Reid would have been defeated had anyone but Angle been nominated. We all know Castle would have beaten Coons, regardless of what Sarah Palin claims.

Without the turnout and narrative that the Tea Party delivered, Pubs might not have even won the House.
84  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Comedy Goldmine: The Gold Knight on: November 03, 2010, 06:59:05 pm
The thread title is the funny part, the posts in it are just pathetic: Right-wing "centrists" preparing to seize control of the Democratic Party[/quote]
85  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Michael Bennet on: November 03, 2010, 06:57:31 pm
HP. He votes like a leftist, but talks like a moderate hero. He basically says a version of this all the time, "Look at how moderate and reasonable I am!"
86  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: So yeah, the Tea Party hilariously screwed the GOP last night. on: November 03, 2010, 06:49:13 pm
Yes, the Dems were slaughtered last night, but at least we did a bit better than expected in the Senate races, primarily due to the tea party. In fact, but for the teabaggers the GOP would likely control both houses now.

Uh, no. Without the Tea Party defining the narrative and getting GOP enthusiasm up, the Republicans would have been lucky to win the House.
87  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: So yeah, the Tea Party hilariously screwed the GOP last night. on: November 03, 2010, 06:46:18 pm
Delaware was the only state that the GOP would have won if it were not for the tea party. And Mike Castle would have made an awful, awful senator.

 
That's still not a majority in the Senate.  While the Tea Party did hurt the GOP, they didn't cost us the Senate.

And I wouldn't exactly blame Ken Buck... he wasn't your stereotypical Tea Party candidate (I don't know if I'd even call him a Tea Partier).

Ken Buck openly attacked the tea party as "dumbasses". I haven't forgotten that, and I have little sympathy for him upon his impending defeat, despite being quite distraught over Nevada and Alaska. I'm sure there were plenty of people in Colorado who shared this sentiment at being called a "dumbass". With Buck trailing by a margin smaller than the Libertarian Party's percentage, Buck might have brought upon his own demise.

He called BIRTHERS dumbasses.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NATIONAL GOVERNOR/OTHER RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 06:43:49 pm
I'd go so far as to advocate for a Constitutional amendment to do reapportioning in every state with an impartial computer model with an algorithm that ignores the partisanship of voters and maximizes the number of competitive districts while still satisfying VRA and other requirements.  I don't care so much about compactness.  If making the districts funny shapes actually makes them more competitive on average, then I'm all for it.

That defeats the purpose of representation.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Post interesting results (biggest victories, milestones, etc) on: November 03, 2010, 01:24:22 pm
Interesting fact: While not winning a single seat in Massachusetts, the Republicans kept the Democrats under 60% in six of the ten districts.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: RIP Southern Democrats on: November 03, 2010, 01:19:00 pm
About southern Blue Dogs, good riddance. The next democratic winning coalition will be a truly liberal one.

It will be much harder to win the House without them...
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 01:14:29 pm
The Denver Post has called the race for Michael Bennet.
Colorado now has a Dem Governor and 2 Dem Senators. Smiley And 2 were elected in one of the worst cycles for Dems ever.

We're becoming a landlocked Washington state! Tongue

Although, the Republicans do have 4 of the 7 House seats, and they won back the state House (though narrowly). They have also held the AG, are on track to win the SoS race, and are neck and neck in the Treasurer's race.
92  Election Archive / 2010 Elections / Re: How stupid is the American electorate? on: November 03, 2010, 01:06:28 pm
In  Democratic-speak, stupid = doesn't agree with me Tongue
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: What would have been the problem if Maes was under 10% in CO gov race ? on: November 03, 2010, 01:05:17 pm
Well, he is over 10%, so this is hypothetical.

The big issue I know of: the major parties go on the top slots on the ballot, followed by the other candidates in a random order. Had he fell below 10%, causing the Colorado Republicans to become (legally) a minor party, the Republican candidate could be anywhere on the list for the next four years, not in the top two as usual.

I think it would've been more symbolic than anything, though there probably are other legal effects I don't know of.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Republicans are screwed on: November 03, 2010, 10:52:38 am
You're much more optimistic that I am. Last night was just the beginning.

I am optimistic, and I will be until I see polls coming out in mid-2011 showing Claire McCaskill and Mark Warner in the low 40s in reelection matches. I can't overlook the fact that what people clearly wanted was to stop Obama and the Dems from making more laws--they've certainly won that--but also that the Republicans are even less popular than the Dems, that Obama has political skills, and the electorate can't help but be more favorable next time. If this was 1994, I'm looking forward to 1996.

Indeed, this was no endorsement of Republicans.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 10:40:49 am
Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming.

It sort of fits in with the general results. Powerful chairman in the House representing relatively rural districts getting knocked out.
96  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Survivor of the Night on: November 03, 2010, 10:38:37 am
*Puppies and kittens all around Illinois breath a sigh of relief*
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: So yeah, the Tea Party hilariously screwed the GOP last night. on: November 03, 2010, 10:37:30 am
Let's see, Republicans gained as many seats as Democrats did in 2006, and gained more seats in one cycle than Democrats did in two very good cycles.

Sure, relative to predictions, they fell short in the Senate, but keep this in perspective. It was a huge wave.

And, as I have said over and over, this year would have likely been an average midterm without the Tea Party.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Republicans are screwed on: November 03, 2010, 10:34:44 am
Well, King, that is one scenario. The other, which I see as equally likely (and more preferable) is this: the Tea Party candidates come in with their own ideas of how things should go in Congress. However, as they learn about the country's situation, and realize that nothing will get done without Democratic support, they moderate in voting if not in rhetoric. Paul votes to raise the debt ceiling for practical purposes, Bachmann ensures that Tea Party House members don't mess with Speaker Boehner so that the party won't get screwed in 2010. It is in both party's interests to compromise at this point. It will make Boehner look good, Obama look good, and Reid look good. These Tea Party candidates recognize this, they're not stupid people (well, the ones that one at any rate).
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 01:50:44 am
I would not say that things look peachy for the GOP in 2012, or for the Democrats really. It's the perfect time for a third party to come into play or for a movement to completely take over one of the parties.

How we need a viable third party...
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 03, 2010, 01:33:09 am
Looks like the west has saved the Democrats from a truly horrible year.

Yeah. From Pennsylvania to Iowa, Democrats did terribly in statewide races.
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 ... 313


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines