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August 28, 2016, 01:54:58 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Is the GOP party breaking apart? on: Today at 01:15:28 am
With Trump being the GOP nominee, does anybody think the Republican party is breaking apart into factions? Right now, Trump is running a nationalist, alt-right, populist platform. With that, the fiscal conservative/capitalistic voters end up voting for Gary Johnson. The social conservatives either stay home or vote for the Constitution party candidate Darryll Castle or the American party. Does this enable a 3rd or 4th party to form?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Which states can the GOP flip back in 2020? on: August 12, 2016, 02:01:29 pm
Hillary won with a landslide in 2016 against Trump.  Which states can the GOP flip back or gain in the 2020 election from Hillary?

Hillary - 387
Trump - 151
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538: What a Clinton landslide would look like on: August 12, 2016, 01:55:25 pm
If Hillary wins in a landslide in 2016, how many states can the GOP flip back in 2020 or 2024 with a successful election?
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Why does Trump want to sabotage the GOP party? on: August 12, 2016, 01:34:20 pm
Why does Trump want to sabotage the GOP party? Does he know his friend Hillary Clinton is a crook?
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state is more likely to flip, Arizona or Georgia? on: August 12, 2016, 01:16:07 pm
Georgia
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton leading in CO (+14/+12), FL (+5), NC (+9), VA (+13/+12) on: August 12, 2016, 01:15:39 pm
With Johnson up 15% in Colorado, he will have to be accepted into the debates.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If the LP doesn't do well in 2016, won't it make 3rd parties hopeless? on: August 12, 2016, 01:32:22 am
Disagree. We may move toward a third party system in the future
Doubt it. Third parties are hopeless. I'm not exactly the biggest fan of the two party system, but I don't think anything's better.
Sure, the Democratic party is a joke and the Republicans are dying off like the Whigs. How do you think 3rd parties become the 2nd or major party in the US? Remember when the GOP was a new party from the beginning?
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is the U.S. ready for the first woman president? on: August 11, 2016, 12:02:47 pm
The US is ready for a woman president that's not Hillary Clinton. Condi Rice would make a better option.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should 3rd amendment people do something about Clinton? on: August 11, 2016, 12:27:48 am
We can quarter only female soldiers in a person's home of choice.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / What will make the Pacific Northwest trend GOP? on: August 11, 2016, 12:16:01 am
What kind of policies should the GOP do for the pacific northwest to trend GOP? As of right now, current trends don't last a lifetime and I'm sure if the GOP wants to survive as a party, they will have to adapt and make an effort to get their votes.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should Trump drop out of the GOP race? on: August 08, 2016, 01:39:40 pm
They had 3 chances in 2008, 2012 and 2016. If they cannot win the election in 2020, they're officially the new Whig party if not already.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Should Trump drop out of the GOP race? on: August 08, 2016, 01:35:55 pm
Should Trump drop out of the race for running as president for the GOP? He's toxic to the party and ruining it. I believe he's a plant to sabotage the party so Hillary can get elected.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sabato Crystal Ball Megathread: Latest NH to Likely D on: August 07, 2016, 04:00:52 pm
East California, enough said.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states will change most dramatically between now and 2030-2040? on: August 06, 2016, 10:02:13 pm
Why does everyone have Washington trending Republican? Washington is trending Democratic. Is everyone expecting the GOP to move to the left of the Democrats on social issues?

Because current trends don't last forever.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If this Happens in 2016 on: August 06, 2016, 10:01:22 pm
Somewhere between the 1st and 2nd scenario will happen. I don't see Hillary running more than 1 term unless she somehow turns around the country.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states will change most dramatically between now and 2030-2040? on: August 06, 2016, 09:18:07 pm
The most competitive areas will be the northeast and southeast. It will be a north/south divide.

17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump: "Could be necessary" to Break U.S.-Japan Defense Treaty on: August 06, 2016, 02:03:15 pm
I don't understand why this should be controversial. Japan is not the Japan of 1945. The fact that we have to defend them and not let them defend themselves is very costly.

Renegotiating for either a better payment to cover our costs or allowing Japan to defend themselves will help reduce the deficit.

The world has changed a lot since 1945. Our thinking should change along with it.

Trump is not wrong here. Those of you on the left that cry for a smaller military budget should be applauding this, quite frankly.


Nothing the Republicans do make the Democrats happy, they're always pissed at the opposition because they want to dominate everything. It's that simple.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillarybot Admits to "Short Circuiting" on E-mails During Rare Press Conference on: August 06, 2016, 12:29:47 am
Shut up. Nobody cares about your paranoid threads.
I see, trying to silence the opposition. Fool
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your reaction if this is the map on election night.. on: August 06, 2016, 12:22:29 am
Shocked and yet not surprised. Imagine how the map will look in 2024 once Hillary is out of office. Some of the states will swing hard right after 16 years of D control of the White House.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If Trump gets crushed, what's next for the GOP? on: August 05, 2016, 09:03:15 pm
Obviously no one really knows, but I have my predictions.

I feel like the GOP would change after a landslide loss to Hillary, but not necessarily for the better.  The Cruz wing of the party would win the nomination, though perhaps not Cruz himself, on the ridiculous argument that Trump lost because he was "not a real conservative".  Hillary will win reelection against the essentially unelectable Cruz/Cotton/etc., and the GOP will be left scratching their heads wondering how they lost, just like in 2012.

I think that four consecutive nationwide losses might be enough for the GOP to finally take the 2012 autopsy seriously.  If they do moderate their policies, and reform their message, then they could be in a good position to win in 2024.  If they refuse to change though, I have no idea what could possibly happen.  Whatever it is, it wouldn't be good for the GOP.

After 4 straight election losses for the GOP, Democratic fatigue starts to settle in more.

If Hillary or whoever the Democratic president is in 2020 - 2024 has high approval ratings (or something like Obama's right now), then it won't matter. There is no "rule" of politics limiting parties to a certain number of terms in the White House. If people are happy with the incumbent's party and Democrats continue to expand or even just maintain their electoral college advantage, then they can win again and again.

Further, if Republicans continue to perform terribly with younger voters and fail to make more significant inroads in any older demographics, then they will find themselves running too low on support. Their base is aging and dying off by the day. If they can't pick up new voters, then it is really irrelevant how long a Democrat has been in the White House. If Democrats and independents are satisfied, then Republicans can whine and cry all they want, but it won't change the fact that they won't have the support to vote in one of their own.
How is having ONE party dominance in the white house healthy for the country?
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: But honestly, what states will Clinton /actually/ win? on: August 05, 2016, 11:45:05 am
2012 redux, shes not winning more than that. The other states are just hyped by the Clinton fans.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What happens to the US after 16 years of Democratic presidency? on: August 04, 2016, 11:15:31 pm
I'd like to see the country swing to the right, I'm growing tired of SJWs and all the non-sense of this decade already.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / What happens to the US after 16 years of Democratic presidency? on: August 04, 2016, 10:45:41 pm
Since Hillary will most likely win the election in 2016 and maybe 2020, what happens to the US after 16 years of Democratic presidency?  Will the country be radically different, worse off?
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What county would need to be removed to flip a state to the other presidential on: August 04, 2016, 02:47:46 pm
Maricopa county in AZ is more GOP than the state as a whole. If you remove that, AZ becomes lean R to swing state.

Remove Denver county, Adams, Jefferson, Arapahoe and Broomfield, CO becomes a lean R state.

Remove Cook county from Illinois, it becomes a moderate R state.

Remove Clark county from Nevada, it becomes a moderate R state.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If Trump gets crushed, what's next for the GOP? on: August 04, 2016, 02:43:38 pm
Obviously no one really knows, but I have my predictions.

I feel like the GOP would change after a landslide loss to Hillary, but not necessarily for the better.  The Cruz wing of the party would win the nomination, though perhaps not Cruz himself, on the ridiculous argument that Trump lost because he was "not a real conservative".  Hillary will win reelection against the essentially unelectable Cruz/Cotton/etc., and the GOP will be left scratching their heads wondering how they lost, just like in 2012.

I think that four consecutive nationwide losses might be enough for the GOP to finally take the 2012 autopsy seriously.  If they do moderate their policies, and reform their message, then they could be in a good position to win in 2024.  If they refuse to change though, I have no idea what could possibly happen.  Whatever it is, it wouldn't be good for the GOP.

After 4 straight election losses for the GOP, Democratic fatigue starts to settle in more.
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