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April 16, 2014, 10:58:34 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary is "thinking about it" on: April 10, 2014, 04:36:05 pm
She has been shown to crush many Republican candidates in 2016, and the 2016 Republican field is crap, though if she doesn't run, then it's wide open.

I've seen the polling, and I don't understand why people love her.  Could you please help me out?
Because a lot of people want a woman President (Me included), and she has managed to avoid any Gaffes that could destroy her reputation, and she's fairly within the mainstream.
Obama was the first African-American president, but how did his 1st term turn out so far?  A first of anything DOESN'T guarantee it will be a success.  If Hillary ends up being the first woman president, we'll see how she turns out.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ann Coulter supports Romney in 2016, calls Perry and Cruz RINOs on: April 09, 2014, 11:37:11 am
If Cruz is a RINO, then Coulter is a troll.  She's only trying to stir up controversy so she can sell more books.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NM-PPP: Hillary with big leads on: April 03, 2014, 05:01:45 pm
Sell NM back to 3rd world Mexico and buy Alberta for replacement.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would any of these black conservatives appeal to black voters if they ran in '16 on: March 21, 2014, 10:29:37 am
To Democrats being black isn't authentic unless you're a liberal. Think about it this way. If Obama was a Republican we'd never hear the end of how he's really only half black which most Democrats on this forum are likely ignorant to.
Yeah it's expected.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Cruz 17% Huckabee 15% Christie 14% Paul 10% Ryan 10% Bush 8% Rubio 8% on: March 21, 2014, 10:28:05 am
I suspected Paul to be a bit higher, especially above Christie.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Jeb is nominated, do you see a conservative third party emerging? on: March 21, 2014, 10:25:44 am
People would stay home if Jeb Bush was nominated, it's going to happen.  You know he's pro Common Core right?

It is to your discredit that I cannot tell if this is a joke.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/03/04/Jeb-Bush-Has-A-Common-Core-Problem
Lol breitbart
Keep laughing...the joke is on you.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Jeb is nominated, do you see a conservative third party emerging? on: March 20, 2014, 10:38:27 pm
No more Bushes, no more Clintons and no more Obamas.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Colorado (PPP): Clinton rebounds, leads all Republicans on: March 19, 2014, 01:34:24 pm
She needs to not run in 2016, getting too old and needs to enjoy life.  Wait, Democrats said the same thing about McCain in 2008.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Jeb is nominated, do you see a conservative third party emerging? on: March 19, 2014, 12:53:51 pm
People would stay home if Jeb Bush was nominated, it's going to happen.  You know he's pro Common Core right?

It is to your discredit that I cannot tell if this is a joke.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/03/04/Jeb-Bush-Has-A-Common-Core-Problem
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Jeb is nominated, do you see a conservative third party emerging? on: March 19, 2014, 09:45:52 am
People would stay home if Jeb Bush was nominated, it's going to happen.  You know he's pro Common Core right?
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why do conservatives hate Hollywood? on: March 18, 2014, 06:49:36 pm
If people stopped going to the movies and supporting them, they would be poor too.  Getting people to boycott isn't the easy part.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would any of these black conservatives appeal to black voters if they ran in '16 on: March 18, 2014, 06:47:09 pm
Democrats are the party of hand outs and freebies, which lead to votes.  It's hard to break that cycle of government dependency and urban welfare.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 06:21:40 pm
Judging by how Hickenlooper is doing so much better than Udall in the same poll, I'm guessing Udall's numbers are lower because A) He's less well known (Therefore he's basically Generic D) and B) Is more tied to the national mood (And Obama).


That said, I'm still not worried. Udall is a perfect fit for Colorado and I'm confident he wins.
You mean a perfect fit for New York or some far left state.
I'm guessing you'd say that about any senator with a D next to their name
So if a GOP candidate ran in California, he would be too far right then? Sure if you want to use that logic.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 03:37:38 pm
The all-mail voting system Colorado is moving to virtually guarantees a Udall win.
Yeah, it's prone to fraud and people voting more than once.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 03:35:43 pm
Judging by how Hickenlooper is doing so much better than Udall in the same poll, I'm guessing Udall's numbers are lower because A) He's less well known (Therefore he's basically Generic D) and B) Is more tied to the national mood (And Obama).


That said, I'm still not worried. Udall is a perfect fit for Colorado and I'm confident he wins.
You mean a perfect fit for New York or some far left state.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 09:51:28 am
I have to say, I'm not really worried about this one.
Being an optimist versus being a realist I see.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 09:48:33 am
Polls will tighten more later this summer.  Owen Hill drops out of race and supports Gardner.

http://gazette.com/owen-hill-ends-u.s.-senate-run-will-back-cory-gardner/article/1516639
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Rasmussen: Hick with more or less comfortable leads on: March 14, 2014, 10:10:10 am
Beauprez wasn't tested?...

I know, right?

Hick is polling in the low to mid 40s as an incumbent in a right-trending state with a rock star Republican at the top of the ticket for Senate and Hick is comfortable? Maybe as comfortable as a PETA activist at your local Outback.

Besides, Beauprez is a slight favorite to win the nomination and he was inexplicably left out of this poll.

I say Hick has whatever advantage incumbency gives you, but it isn't much.
Ok where did you hear this?  I would prefer Gardner over Beauprez, he had a terrible year in 2006, don't forget. Lost by 15 points if IIRC.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen: Udall (D) 42%, Gardner (R) 41% on: March 11, 2014, 05:47:48 pm
Right now it's toss up, if anybody thinks its a safe D has their head in their ass.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen: Udall (D) 42%, Gardner (R) 41% on: March 10, 2014, 02:28:56 pm
If that's the best Rasmussen can do, then Udall has nothing to be concerned about.
he has every decision to worry about his seat, if not then he's out next year.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: March 01, 2014, 02:46:57 pm
Udall is bad for CO, voted 99% of the time with Obama.  His ass needs to go.

He's also anti-NSA and libertarian on several issues. Do you really think Gardner will be better on those issues?
He'll probably be no better, but on fiscal issues he is.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: March 01, 2014, 12:06:46 pm
Udall is bad for CO, voted 99% of the time with Obama.  His ass needs to go.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: 2020 Reapportionment should simplify the GOP path to 270 on: March 01, 2014, 12:03:10 pm
Here's a smart idea for the GOP, try to go after ALL the states and not just 270. They might just get up to 300 electoral votes.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race on: February 26, 2014, 09:53:03 pm
Very impressed -- Gardner could turn out to be an even stronger candidate than Land.

I'd like to see a PPP poll. Udall only led Buck 46/42 in their December poll.

CO's a fairly polarized state, and I can't imagine too many Republican supporters don't like Buck -- it was that Buck motivated Democrats in a way that Gardner wouldn't. I'd think Gardner and Udall are tied in the low 40s.
I'd like to see a PPP poll too, and see how much it exaggerates Udall's numbers.

Yeah it's not like PPP is one of the most accurate pollsters of Colorado or anything.


Ken Buck running for Safe R CO-4.

Gardner now running for Senate against Mark Udall.

Things just got a lot better for the GOP. This is probably another Michigan where republicans could have a good chance of an extra pickup on a really good night. If Udall was only up by 4 against Buck, then he might actually be in some trouble. Lean D for now until I get some more perspective.

Also, Sabato has moved this from Likely D to Lean D.
CO-4 isn't safe R.  Gardner won it by beating Betsey Markey in 2010.

Saying CO-04 isn't Safe R is like saying ID-01 isn't Safe R in an open seat. Like CO-04 and VA-05, Democrats only controlled it in the first place because the R incumbent was a total jackass in 2008, and probably would've lost it even in a neutral year against any halfway-decent R challenger.
If you take a look, CD-4 in 2010 was lean R before the boundaries were changed, it used to have Fort Collins, and Loveland,  now it's safe R.

Pre 2012


Post 2012
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CO-SEN: Gardner entering Senate race on: February 26, 2014, 04:41:30 pm
April: Udall 49% Gardner 39%
And he will still face Ken Buck.

Well, that's Lean D at this time.


LOL nope Smiley
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/colorado-shake-gardner-senate-buck-congress_783459.html

Buck is dropping to Congress, and Stephens is dropping her bid. Looks like they're clearing the field.
Amy Stephans wouldn't have made it through the primaries.
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