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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump to Tour US-Mexico Border on: July 23, 2015, 12:35:07 pm
Jan Brewer of "Larry, Terry, and Berry" debate fame? lol.

Jan Brewer is the hugely popular Governor of an important southwestern swing state. Arizona voted for Bill Clinton once, and if the GOP doesn't nominate someone who can appeal to the sorts of voters who support Brewer, Hillary could win it too.

Jan Brewer was elected in a landslide by the god fearing white conservatives in a landslide, or by Obummer's appointment of Janet Napolitano as Secretary of Homeland Security, whichever way you prefer to look at it.

If you don't think that Jan Brewer is a credible source, then you stand in opposition to millions of Americans who know that she is. Which is to say you stand in opposition to the American people, and to the GOP primary electorate.

Can we ban this moron yet?
Don't like the person's opinion, use the ignore button. Banning people for the sake of banning people is lame.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary vs Bush vs Trump on: July 23, 2015, 11:28:36 am
Slightly like 1992

3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What will change from 2012 to 2016 on: July 23, 2015, 09:05:07 am
I hope that doesnt happen. But if Biden were to jump in, he can win without CO and certainly win Va.

Biden is not going to run for president I can guarantee you that.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What will change from 2012 to 2016 on: July 23, 2015, 01:12:23 am
Bennet will get the highest vote percentage than most Dems running. And Hickenlooper won in a GOP wave. Dems are by no means gonna concede Latino enriched CO.
I could see Bennet winning without a fight in the senate race in CO, but the Democrats losing CO in the presidential general election in 2016.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: New Conservative Young Generation? on: July 19, 2015, 11:57:32 am
Well, we do have exit polls from 2014.

Link

18 - 24: 54% Democrat 44% Republican (D+10)
25 - 29: 54% Democrat 43% Republican (D+11)
30 - 39: 51% Democrat 47% Republican (D+4)

So there's basically no difference between the 18 - 24 group (which should at this point, mostly be the Romney voters the OP's article was talking about) and the 25 - 29 group.  Both groups are about 16 to 17 points more Democratic than the country.

If a more conservative new generation is coming up, they were too young to vote in 2014.


If you think about it, 18-24 year olds have no reason to vote Republican. I know a bunch of you are going to say "HUR DUR OBAMA IS BLACK AND THE ECONOMY'S BAD!!!11!" But the narrative that the GOP is peddling doesn't resonate at all with most Americans born after 1970 or so. Younger Millennials are even less religious, less white, and more LGBT-friendly than older Millennials. They haven't grown up knowing prosperity, but the worst of the recession was borne by those who entered the workforce in 2008-2010, who by now are in their mid to late 20s.

On a related note, the Republicans are going to be royally screwed when the Silent Generation starts dying off.
The country is screwed when you have the Democratic party controlling the white house for too long.  How do you like your communism?
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: New Conservative Young Generation? on: July 01, 2015, 11:44:35 am
I think the point of this thread is the prove that not ALL new generations become more Democratic to Socialist over time.  Just like not all states will trend Democratic in 20 years.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would Hillary win Orange County, CA against Marco Rubio? on: June 26, 2015, 10:59:50 am
No
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Future Maps of State Trends on: June 20, 2015, 11:37:03 am
What caused the trends from 2020-2080? The millennial generation is the most liberal out of the all generations, once the millennials die out after 2080-2090, the country takes a hard right trend.


-What caused the realignment between 2080 and 2100, and why do Republicans (for now) have a huge national advantage?
Democratic party had too much control and power of the white house in the last 30-50 years and they became too much like Communists.

How did California and Oregon become safe Republican by 2100?
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Graham: Jenner is welcome in my GOP on: June 08, 2015, 09:41:29 am
Graham is a dirt bag.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes states trend right? on: June 02, 2015, 04:06:35 pm
Dude, Minnesota's suburbs are not trending right.

We have like two GOP members who is in the suburbs. There used to be a lot more.

Twin Cities suburbanites are among the richest and best-educated in the country, you think they are attracted to the knuckle-dragging hillbillies from the south?

The "new" GOP has utterly repulsed Minnesotans.
Who the hell gives a sh**t? That doesn't make them godlike or better than other people.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul is struggling to raise money on: May 29, 2015, 05:56:27 pm
Win BOTH the Powerball and Mega Millions lotto and donate all of it to Rand Paul.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes states trend right? on: May 29, 2015, 05:55:06 pm
How long will this alignment last with democratic 'majorities' 2038? 2044? Im sure fatigue will set in after long stretches of one party control, unless you want the US to resemble a country like China or Vietnam.

The majority of them have lasted approximately nine election cycles.


1800 to 1828: Democratic-Republican (won all 7 of these cycles)

1832 to 1856: Democratic (won 6 of 8 cycles)

1860 to 1892: Republican (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1896 to 1928: Republican (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1932 to 1964: Democratic (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1968 to 2004: Republican (won 7 of 10 cycles)


In each of the past cases, the majority party won elections over the minority party at least with 70 percent of the cycles. Average between the 1800 to 2004: 41 divided by 52 = 78.84 percent. The other guide, looking at realignments that went 7-for-9 for the majority party, accounts for 77.77 percent.
So according to the election cycles, around 2032 or 2036, the solid blue states will start trending right or the south will trend towards the democrats.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How plausible is this map? on: May 29, 2015, 05:27:06 pm
Flip NH and CO, then you have my map.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you describe Rand Paul's ideology? on: May 29, 2015, 05:25:32 pm
Conservative Libertarian or Libertarian Conservative.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes states trend right? on: May 28, 2015, 09:19:47 pm
How long will this alignment last with democratic 'majorities' 2038? 2044? Im sure fatigue will set in after long stretches of one party control, unless you want the US to resemble a country like China or Vietnam.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes states trend right? on: May 28, 2015, 12:17:34 pm
Will the GOP realign back toward their roots during the Eisenhower and Abraham eras in the near future?
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes states trend right? on: May 27, 2015, 09:38:57 am
Currently none while Virginia, Georgia and Arizona trend more toward the Democratic party.
Stay on topic, this is about states that COULD trend right, not left.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ann Kirkpatrick In on: May 27, 2015, 08:42:11 am
RINO McCain
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / What makes states trend right? on: May 27, 2015, 08:39:06 am
Notice how some states (California) trend left and stay like that. What will take a Democratic state trend Republican?
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Predict the year that the GOP wins the White House again on: May 14, 2015, 07:38:50 am
If not 2016, then 2020.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Will the Democrats ever win the military vote? on: May 07, 2015, 09:31:04 am
As a veteran myself, John Kerry is a disgrace to the military.
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of the Pokemon after Mew. on: May 03, 2015, 12:43:01 am
What needs to happen for future Pokemon games are 3 types, such as Ground/Water/Grass or Fighting/Fairy/Bug.  Secondly, what about a Dark/Grass or a Poison/Steel?
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: 2020: Clinton/Castro (D) vs Paul/Snyder (R) on: May 03, 2015, 12:35:50 am


374-164
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Are almost all states just going to eventually vote Democratic at some point? on: April 27, 2015, 04:14:35 pm
One party rule is the goal for the Democrat party, they want to control everybody and tell people how to think in their perfect utopia.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Could you see Texas becoming a D stronghold state before others? on: April 12, 2015, 04:56:27 pm
OP, have you ever been to Texas?
Drove through Dallas and stayed the night at a hotel, that's about it.
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