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December 04, 2016, 01:13:26 am
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Puerto Rico Primary results thread (polls close @2pm ET?) on: March 06, 2016, 01:39:33 pm
Rubio must win. If Rubio can't win here, he should obviously drop out, go home, and move back in with mommy because there'd literally be a zero chance of a political future for him. Tongue
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mexico will under no circumstances pay for Trump's wall on: March 04, 2016, 06:15:49 am
If TRUMP is elected president, I would imagine Mexico would be more than happy to pay for a wall to protect themselves from the North American crazies. Wink
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanderistas pissed at Warren for not endorsing. on: March 04, 2016, 06:01:23 am
I've been a supporter of Sanders since long before his presidential run. It's kind of sad how he's developed a following from such annoying, unpleasant people.

Indeed, a good man like Sanders doesn't deserve the vicious cult that a large part of his followers contain.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Emperor(Trump) strikes back. on: March 03, 2016, 03:50:37 pm
I'm tired of Trump winning already.
Aren't we all.

No one is probably more tired of it than the Republican establishment though. Wink
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I still support Sanders. on: March 03, 2016, 03:21:07 am
Either Cenk is a lot dumber than I thought, or he's being deliberately obtuse for the sake of ratings. 

I've stopped listening to TYT when it comes to the Democratic primary. They're all so deep into their hackery for Sanders that they've surrendered all sense of objectivity and actual analys of the race in favour of blatant propaganda for their candidate.

They're still excellent when it comes to Republican race where I feel that Cenk was one of few pundits who really understands what is going on.

81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: LA: Magellan Strategies - Trump-41 Cruz-21, Clinton-61 Sanders-14 on: March 03, 2016, 02:42:15 am
"Progressive" Canadian is one step from accusing "those damn niggas" for stealing the nomination from Sanders.

It's not racist if those black people don't know their own good while Progressive Canadian obviously does know that Sanders would be best for them.
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) on: March 01, 2016, 08:49:58 pm
MSNBC has called Virginia too.
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win on Super Tuesday? (R) on: February 24, 2016, 07:53:39 pm
Rubio will win by coming in either second or third in every state and thus continue on his inevitable path to be the one who finally beats Trump by never actually beating Trump.
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trumps VP? on: February 24, 2016, 10:18:00 am
I think the shrewdest choice he could make would be to pick Megyn Kelly. Now I know that sounds crazy, but think about it... He could spin it as picking one of few people who's not been afraid to stand up to him, that he is a person who wants people who dare to disagree with him (his supporters would eat that up) while at the same time getting a young conservative woman who, in difference to the former female GOP nominee, is agreed to be very intelligent. She could then act as a shield against the inevitable sexism charges that Hillary would throw against him during the campaign. And the pick would be such a surprise the media wouldn't stop talking about it for an entire week, which even by TRUMP standards would be impressive.

I*m afraid it's too brilliant to actually happen though. (And Kelly probably wouldn't give up her job just for a small chance to be VP)
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump is elected President, will he take action against Mormons? on: February 24, 2016, 09:28:32 am
TRUMP has a great relationship with the mormons. They love him. The problem is that their leaders are to smart while we have stupid leaders.
86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The CrabCake Bureau of Funny Post Archival on: February 22, 2016, 04:30:19 pm
1 in 5 Nevadans born in California is amazing.

Californians have colonized the entire West for the past couple decades, and the trend is only beginning to slow as their economy improves.  Some of my best friends in high school were Californian economic refugees.

14% of Oregon residents were born in California.
8% of Washington residents were born in California.
9% of Arizona residents were born in California.
6% of Colorado residents were born in California
8% of Utah residents were born in California
12% of Idaho residents were born in California
7% of Alaska residents were born in California

That's 64% of California born living in other Western States. That's a huge number.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio SuperPac Compares him to Harry Potter on: February 22, 2016, 05:02:31 am
And who are Ron and Hermione?

Jeb! was obviously Ron. Neville

I'd say Megyn Kelly as the smart woman who won't back down to patriarchy Lord Voldemort is Hermione
 
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is SC a must-win for Cruz? on: February 12, 2016, 05:43:18 pm
It's not must win in the sense he'll drop out if he loses. But if he can't win SC then it's hard to see how we wins the nomination. TRUMP is really the only candidate that can afford to lose here, IMO, and still have a realistic chance at the nomination.

So the race will be essentially over after the SC votes are counted, so says Lief. Whatever.

Yes, if we look at historic GOP races, the candidate that first won their second state always won the nomination and 2012 and 1976 were the only primaries where the winner in SC wasn't the eventual nominee. SC is the bellwether of the Republican presidential primaries.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump will 'probably sue' Iowa over caucus results on: February 03, 2016, 07:09:29 pm
It is all perfectly logical if the objective is to hurt the Republican Party and have Hillary Clinton elected president.

That has been my wild conspiracy theory throughout, that Trumps candidacy is all a ploy to help his old buddies the Clintons.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will any of the following drop out BEFORE New Hampshire? on: February 03, 2016, 04:05:04 am
Why hasn't Santorum already dropped out? His only chance was to make a repeat of 2012 and pull an upset in Iowa, but he barely got more than half the votes Huckabee mustered. Heck he was beaten by Kasich, who didn't even compete in Iowa. Dude needs to go.
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Donald Trump finished? on: February 02, 2016, 10:27:45 am
It all depends on NH. After Rubio's result yesterday I could see him shoring up the establishment vote and surging  to a victory there. In that case, Trump should be done. If the Donald wins though he'll probably take SC as well and then he'll be one of three strong candidates going into Super Tuesday.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the Iowa Caucus Results on: February 01, 2016, 07:14:33 am
REPUBLICANS

Trump     30%
Cruz     21%
Rubio     17%
Carson     10%
Paul     7%
Huckabee     3%
Bush     3%
Christie     3%
Santorum     2%
Fiorina     2%
Kasich     > 1%
Gilmore     > 1%

DEMOCRATS

Clinton     51%
Sanders     48%
O'Malley     1% 
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your Iowa GOP Predictions. on: January 30, 2016, 10:09:07 pm
Top 5 (the rest are unimportant)

Trump - 30,2%
Cruz - 21,6%
Rubio - 16,8%
Carson - 10,4%
Paul - 7,0%
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your Iowa GOP Predictions. on: January 29, 2016, 07:54:18 pm
I said Clinton 47-45 and sticking to that.

I'm absolutely 100% sure that Clinton will not win the GOP caucus.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: January 29, 2016, 09:47:04 am
So let's say Van Der Bellen becomes president and FP then becomes the largest party in the next general election and VP agrees to enter into a coalition with them. How would that whole situation be handled, if VdB stands firm on his promise to not to swear in Strache as chancellor, how that crisis be handled? Is there a way for parliament to force the president to accept the majority's chancellor candidate, or would it cause new elections, or would the whole thing just end in a stalemate where it isn't possible to namne a new government?
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the main Fox debate? on: January 29, 2016, 07:55:56 am
According to Vox, Trump won for not showing up.

Quote
By picking a well-timed fight with Fox News and Megyn Kelly, Trump dominated days of debate coverage without even participating, then stood aside and laughed hosting his own rival televised event while on the main stage his GOP rivals spent hours squabbling with each other and turning in poor man's versions of Trump-style demagoguery.
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How much will TRUMP underperform his poll numbers? on: January 28, 2016, 04:19:58 pm
What's wrong with that? It's a better assessment than "dah hur Trump is gonna underperform because I don't like him dah hur".

But don't you know there are thousands of thousands of people just telling pollster they'll vote Trump, not to mention the people who actually support Trump are all lazy people who will never bother to actually go out and vote for him. Tongue


In all seriousness though, it is impossible to know who turns out and vote what way until the day actauuly comes. But I really see Trump as the American equivalent to far-right populist parties in Europe like FP and the Sweden Democrats, and they have a tendency to underpoll (although people also like to pretend their voters won't turn out beacsue they're lazy and so on) so if anything I think THE DONALDS support might be higher then polls are showing. 
98  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Great Nordic Thread on: January 28, 2016, 09:04:42 am
Shouldn't be that surprising. During the 2015 general election, their campaign posters featured slogans like "Stramme asylregler og flere krav til indvandrere". (Strict rules for asylum and more demands for immigrants, too translate it a bit awkwardly.)
I know, I followed that campaign Smiley I just didn't think they would ever double down on that "promise", especially since I thought people that are more "soft" on immigration had gained power within the party after HTS's defeat.

That might very well be so, but "soft on immigration" politicians in Europe has generally had an awful time outside and with-in their parties after the refugee crisis culminated, so it's natural that such politicians would either have to adopt a new position, or risk falling out of favour. (i.e. see the Swedish government for referens how quickly left-wing pro-immigration positions can falter in times like these.)
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: January 25, 2016, 04:37:02 am
How is it possible for the AfD to have such low support among women while having such high support among men? That's very unusual.

Not really. Compare for example with Sweden Democrats in Sweden. The last poll that made a break-down by gender showed a 15% gap in support for the party.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: confirmed. Palin endorses Trump on: January 20, 2016, 07:20:27 am
This must be driving the GOP establishment crazy seeing their party taken over by the nuts.

They have only themselves to blame for feeding the haters over the last 40 years for electoral gain.
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