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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: July 06, 2014, 04:46:59 am
What do you think? Is this a possible scenario?

No. They might go back to some of their more traditional stances on defense and taxes, but besides that I have a hard time seeing the Conservative faction of the party take it more right. I mean, why would they even consider adopting the social policies of a party that in your scenario doesn't even break 4%? As for edging closer to SD on immigration, if that ever happens it'll more likely be a situation like the one in Denmark were almost all the parties make that transition.

As Tayya says, there really isn't anyone from the Conservative-wing who can take the leadership rains. Their most prominent, realistic shot would probably be Christofer Fjellner, and he's just Conservative on economics.   
77  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Opinion of Jury Nullification on: July 05, 2014, 10:03:25 am
Well the courts' job is to follow the law, obviously, but with that being said you can't really change it with-out undermining the jury system altogether. If higher-up authorities can tell the jury how they're allowed to vote, and/or punish them if they vote incorrectly that would defeat the whole purpose. In that case you might as well give all the power to the judge.

It's really something that's been done to do both good as well as bad so it's really hard to say.   
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: July 05, 2014, 09:12:40 am
Maybe it's time we just transition the Atlas to a gay dating site. Tongue

I see nothing wrong with this.  If I ever get around to organizing a meetup (in August maybe?), I'm definitely expecting at least one gay makeout sesh outside a Metro station.

Adam and Retromike seem like prime contenders. ^^
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: July 05, 2014, 01:24:35 am
And it's of course the most strategically sound choice. Incumbents generally tend to lose at least 2-3% each election (2010 being the exception) and a Left Party out of government, able to oppose the government from the left making gains in 2018 could be Löfven's best chance of staying in Rosenbad for more than 4 years.

Yes, Schyman's result in '98 was the reason Persson survived that election, so I completely agree that it would be better for both S and V. But the question is if V sees it that way.

Just being a support party is always strategically better, as it gives you most of the power, but with little of the responsibility and the freedom to to vote against unpopular decisions. Still for some reason smaller parties still way too often demand to be included. Considering the V outrage in '10 and '06 when S+MP with-out V was discussed it's likely we'll see the same this time, even though they shouldn't want ministerial portfolios.

When MP enters government it will also be interesting to just how much of their support is soft and how many are voting for them because they look like the cool and modern opposition alternative. FP under a Birgitta Ohlsson leadership could also have a chance at taking centrist-leaning MP voters.

I'd imagine that their support is actually incredibly soft, and much of it might start to melt away as soon as they pass an unpopular policy in government and they all of sudden can't be a party that everyone can project their dream policies onto, and the media cushioning they've had for the last 12 years stops. They're in a dangerous position as they can bleed heavily to both the right and left. 
 
*We need snazzier names for government alternatives.

S+V+MP= (S)(v)a(mp)= Mushroom coalition


A S+M coalition should just be known as The League of Doom.



 



 
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: July 04, 2014, 01:11:16 am
So after reading the following article I think it is safe to say that there is no chance of the Left Party being part of the next government:

THIS ARTICLE CONTAINS SWEDISH: READER DISCRETION IS ADVISED.

To sum it up. The Greens and Social Democrats are holding "secret" negotiations on how to format government policy in a future left-wing government after the election. The Left has not been allowed to participate. This in combination with a few very frank quotes from people in key positions including:

Quote from: Per Bolund, Green Spokesperson for Economy
There are more areas of conflict between us and the Left Party than there are between us and the Social Democrats. For example, we have an entierly different view on the need for low income taxes.

Quote from: Anonymous Big Shot Social Democrat
Too be honest I don't think Jonas Sjöstedt wants to take responsibility in a government.

Quote from: Anonymous Big Shot Green
A complete ban [on profits in welfare sector] will never happen. Demanding that is just an excuse to not be included.


This was already the most common theory of course, but know it seems confirmed beyond doubt. The left will fume. But it's not like they'd be able to not support a centre-left government.

So I can sleep tighter knowing that when the doom arrive on September 14 I won't have to suffer the ex-commies in the cabinet. Smiley
81  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why is the rural Midwest "easier" to live in than the rural/suburban South? on: July 03, 2014, 07:03:15 am
Conventional wisdom would suggest

I'm sorry, but what conventional wisdom? Urban and suburban convictions of their own surpreme splendidness?

A lot of rural places have a surplus of jobs compared to their population due to natural resources. Housing and living costs are a lot cheaper so you get a lot further on a smaller income than you would in a big city. A family in the rural Midwest can live a comfortable middle-class life style on the same income that would leave a family in New York barely scrapping by. 

As to why Southern/Appalachian rural areas are horribly off compared to the Midwest, there are a lot of historic, demographic, and political reasons for that.   
82  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: District 14 Michigan House of Representatives election, 2014 on: July 02, 2014, 04:44:25 pm
I'd vote for Inks, because it would be so cool to have an Atlas poster who is an actual politician.
We once had a statesman named DW Perry...I say "we" reluctantly because he left before my time or shortly after I joined.

We do now as well. Muon is a State Representative in the Illinois legislature. 
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election 2015 on: July 02, 2014, 04:30:17 pm
But I cannot imagine, that in duells with the Tories Progressives won't vote tactically.

Presumibly because Labour supporters (and other progressives) doesn't view the LibDems as the least of two evils any longer, but equally bad as the Tories. 
84  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Scandinavia and the World on: July 02, 2014, 04:07:34 pm
No comment? Anyone who knew it? Anyway, here are some of my favorites.

I'm a long-time fan. Humon does some intresting comics. Actually a bit surprised you haven't found it before now.

Denmark is by far my favourite character. More beer to the people.

85  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: July 02, 2014, 03:41:25 pm
Well since this thread is back on full creep mode, one might as well.



Hi, don't I recognise you from somewhere. Do you hang out in the Swedish General Election thread a lot, because if you don't you really should. Wink

Ahahaha, very smooth there. Tongue

I'm a master of subtle flirting. Tongue
86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: is this Hifly post a freedom post? on: July 02, 2014, 03:15:13 pm
It just shows us what we already know, that Hifly is a major tosser. I don't mean this as a personal insult, because I think we should help tossers become better people. 
87  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Who will win the 2014 FIFA World Cup? on: July 02, 2014, 05:15:20 am
Either Colombia or Germany
88  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: July 01, 2014, 05:14:49 pm
Well since this thread is back on full creep mode, one might as well.



Hi, don't I recognise you from somewhere. Do you hang out in the Swedish General Election thread a lot, because if you don't you really should. Wink
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: July 01, 2014, 04:49:47 pm
Yes, I'm just bitter at not being there.

Maybe next summer we should arrange a Swedish Atlas meet-up during Almedalen. Wink
90  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Which of these monarchies will still exist in 2050? on: June 30, 2014, 11:16:30 am
where Sweden have strong anti-monarchism media, while in Denmark it doesn't fill anything in the general debate.

Wait... what?

This is news to me. Our media in general loves to suck up to the royal family, and I say that as a staunch royalist.   
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: A further tiny announcement on: June 30, 2014, 11:04:34 am
I tip my hat, oh great one. I think almost all posters who frequent this board would agree that you  have been the best mod on Atlas Forum. Though Hash is doing a damn fine job filling your shoes, and I think both you and we can all feel secure in you handing over full responsibility to him, and you deserve a peacful retierment. After all the most important thing is to have you around to make witty, insightful and informative posts.

 

 
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - VOTER COMPASS on: June 28, 2014, 08:37:29 am
The questions in English:

Ideology
1. It is important that Sweden only has a small income gap.
2. It is important that Sweden has more private enterprise and market economy.
3. It is important that more power is reassigned from men to women in Sweden.
4. It is important that criminals get harder punishments that they do in Sweden today.
5. It is important that Sweden is a multicultural nation.
6. It is important that Christian values play a greater part in politics in Sweden.
7. It is important that higher education should give a better salary in Sweden compared to today.
8. It is important that LGBT-rights are increased in society.
9. Fighting Climate change should be the number one priority of politics.

Jobs and employment
1. There should be compulsory affirmative action to get more women in business boards.
2. The retirement age should be raised.
3. The number of work hours per week should be decreased.
4. Companies should get a greater say in which personnel they let off due to staff surplus.  
5. The level on payments from unemployment insurance should be increased.
6. Youth should get a lower salary at their first job than the standard salary.  

Education
1. Students should get their first report card in 4th grade.
2. The national government should take over the main responsibility for schools from local government.
3. All secondary education should qualify you for University studies.
4. The number of private schools should be limited.
5. There should be a grade on the report cards for good behaviour.

Healthcare
1. The national government should take over the main responsibility for healthcare from regional government.
2. The care-taker subsidy for parents of young children should be eliminated.
3.  Municipal home assistance should cost the same no matter where you live.
4. Capital gains from profits in the tax-financed health sector should not be allowed.
5. Undocumented immigrants should have a right to free treatment.

Economy and Taxes
1. The wealth tax should be re-established.    
2. Tax-deductions for home services should continue to be allowed.
3. No more state owned business should be privatised.
4. Parental leave should be mandatorily split equally between the parents.
5. Economic support to rural areas should be increased.

Environment    
1. The current nuclear reactors should be allowed to be replaced with newer ones.
2. Taxes on gasoline should be increased.
3. Subsidies for wind power should be eliminated.
4. More wolf hunting should be allowed in Sweden.

Immigration and Integration
1. You should be able to seek asylum in Sweden from Swedish embassies.
2. Less people should be allowed to immigrate to Sweden.
3. All municipalities should have an obligation to take in and care for asylum seekers.
4. The police should actively seek up and deport illegal immigrants.

Other Issues
1. Sweden should leave the European Union.
2. Sweden should increase its Defence budget.  
3. Sweden should join NATO.
4. Entrance to state owned museums should be free.
5. It should be legal to download copy-righted material for personal use.
6. The police should be able to access private citizens’ web and phone history.
7. Wine farmers should be allowed to sell their wine on their farms.  
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - VOTER COMPASS on: June 28, 2014, 08:34:55 am
SVT has recently published their Voter Affiliation Compass, which in my personal oppinion tends to be the best compass for Swedish electins. (Though I liked the 2010 version better than this one)

It can be found here!

For those who unconveniently don't speak Swedish I will post an English translation of all the questions in the next post.

Options are:

Very good proposal (Dark green)
Mostly good proposal (Light green)
Mostly bad proposal (Orange)
Very bad proposal (Red)
No oppinion

You can also tick a little box above the options if an issue is especially important to you.

Have fun.
94  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Cats or dogs? on: June 28, 2014, 06:58:37 am
I grew up on a Kennel. Take a guess. Wink

95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: June 28, 2014, 06:51:18 am
Vitter's getting old

Yeah, I hear he's already in granny diapers.
96  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Only rich folks go to Congress on: June 28, 2014, 06:46:54 am
Cant a craftsman, union leader, nurse, farmer, social worker or public administrator be accomplished and intelligent? Some of you seem to equal intelligence to financial success.

Hear, hear!

Anyway I think one of the reasons for this problem has to do with the party structure and culture in the US comapred to most other Western countries. 

If you run for parliament in Sweden or Denmark, you run for your party and your campaign is financed by your party. You don't really put in any money yourself in your campaign.

In the US, sure you run for your party in a way, but mostly you run as an individual candidate. You can get some party funding for your campaign in the main election, but mostly it's your own responsibility to raise the money, and in primaries you don't get any party funds. Raising money is obviously more easy in case you are well off or know lots of people that are.   

So to change this you propably need to change the entire political culture of the US, which would be quite the challange. Getting superpacks and unlimited money spending on campaigns out of the way would obviously be a start though.

Interstlingly enough, propbably as a result of this, there seems to be no other place in any democracy were politicians are so obsessed with trying to appear as regular Joes and just one of the guys.   
97  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Guys on: June 28, 2014, 06:29:03 am
I will always love you too.

Uww, you love another man! Gay!
This will not help you when you try to get elected as a Democrat in Kentucky.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: SWEDEN - September 14, 2014 - GUIDE and THREAD on: June 28, 2014, 05:58:18 am
New polls! Novus and Ipsos this time:

Novus:

S: 32,1% (-0,3%)
V: 6,7% (-1,6%)
MP: 11,3% (+1,2)

M: 21,2% (-3,1%)
C: 5,6% (+1,7%)
FP: 6,8% (+0,8%)
KD: 4,4% (+0,2%)

SD: 8,3 (+0,6%)
FI: 2,9% (+0,8%)

Ipsos:

S: 31,1% (-0,2%)
V: 7,4% (-1,3%)
MP: 11,3% (+1,1)

M: 20,5% (-2,1%)
C: 5,6% (+1,3%)
FP: 6,3% (+0,5%)
KD: 3,3% (-1,2%)

SD: 9,6 (+1,8%)
FI: 3,7% (-0,2%)


Trends from the last polls holding true in this one as well. V is clearly feeling FI's succes the hardest. (Unsurprisingly)
99  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of The Mikado on: June 27, 2014, 02:53:00 am
My favourite Gilbert and Sullivan opera!
100  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What 2014 elections are you emotionally investing yourself in? on: June 26, 2014, 04:46:26 pm
Swedish General Election and Lund City Council election. 
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