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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: March 18, 2014, 10:23:45 am
Quote
Florida Dems say Scott campaign broke fundraising law...if confirmed, it could result in a fine of as much as $82 million.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/gubernatorial/florida-dems-say-scott-campaign-broke-fundraising-law/2170660

2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 13, 2014, 07:01:23 pm
Just got a robocall from the DCCC(I'm a FL13 voter) that asked what my main issues were when deciding my vote. I wonder if they're trying to form a platform for November based on FL13? They also asked my fav/unfav for each candidate.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:11:49 pm
28 of 225 Precincts Reporting
        Percent   Votes
David W. Jolly (REP)      46.36%   63,054
Alex Sink (DEM)      48.38%   65,797
Lucas Overby (LPF)      5.07%   6,892
WRITE-IN      0.20%   270
             Total 136,013
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:07:52 pm

Absentee Votes:

David W. Jolly (REP)   59,950      
Alex Sink (DEM)   62,978      
Lucas Overby (LPF)   6,629      
WRITE-IN    262   
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 03:55:57 pm
The turnout numbers seem so far seem to fit the Jolly "win" model (about 170K total votes cast), with about 140K so far, rather than the 200K number that favors Sink, so ...

What numbers are you using? At 4:30 the SOE announced 8.8% ED turnout with 27.5% EV/AB turnout for a total of 36.3%. There are 460,600 FL13 voters eligible, so approx. 167k have cast ballots so far.

I think it'll be close.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: February 12, 2014, 11:50:24 pm
Tampa Bay Times poll:

Sink 42%
Jolly 35%
Overby 4%


Among Independents:
Sink 33%
Jolly 27%
Overby 9%

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/poll-slight-lead-for-sink-over-jolly-in-pinellas-congressional-race/2165327

7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: FL-GOV: Crist backs end to Cuba embargo on: February 12, 2014, 03:42:34 pm
This is really a nonissue but it separates him from Gov Scott which is what he needs.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / FL-UFlorida: Crist +7 on: February 05, 2014, 01:16:19 pm
Quote
GAINESVILLE, Fla. — A poll of registered voters in Florida by the Bob Graham Center for Public Service at the University of Florida in collaboration with UF’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research revealed high interest in Florida’s governor’s race, with 95 percent of likely voters reporting either “a great deal of interest” (66 percent) or “a fair amount of interest” (29 percent).

“For months now, political analysts have been describing Florida’s 2014 governor’s race as the top race in the nation. The only question has been whether Floridians are as interested in the race as national election forecasters are,” Susan MacManus, political science professor at the University of South Florida, said. “Now we know they are, and it’s only February.”

The poll also found that 47 percent of likely voters would vote for Democratic candidate Charlie Crist if the election were held today, while 40 percent would vote for Republican incumbent Rick Scott. In a matchup with U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, 46 percent would vote for Nelson, a Democrat, and 42 percent would vote for Scott.

In a race against former state Sen. Nan Rich, 41 percent would vote for Scott and 36 percent would vote for Rich, a Democrat.

Sixty-three percent of respondents approved of Crist’s tenure as governor, and 27 percent expressed disapproval. When asked about Scott’s performance, 45 percent expressed approval, and 46 percent expressed disapproval.                                                                                                                                        

The poll also asked respondents about their opinions on the candidates’ qualifications. Notable results include:

55 percent believe Crist is honest and ethical; 51 percent believe the same for Scott.
53 percent believe Crist understands the problems of people like them; 39 percent believe that Scott does.
53 percent believe Crist knows how to improve Florida’s economy; 52 percent believe Scott does.

Survey results are based on data collected from 1,006 telephone surveys of registered voters conducted between Jan. 27 and Feb. 1, with a 3 percent margin of error.

The center is tracking public opinion on the current field of gubernatorial candidates and issues that will be considered by the Florida Legislature during its 2014 session.

Polling results on legislative issues to be released in late February will include:

allowing Las Vegas-style casinos for gambling;
expanding Medicaid;
implementing a state sales tax for Internet retail;
allowing undocumented students to receive in-state tuition at Florida’s public colleges and universities.
Results also will include approval numbers for the Florida Legislature and public opinion on the Affordable Care Act.

“We are closely following the horse race for governor and the critical issues to be debated in Tallahassee,” said Emma Humphries, assistant in citizenship at the Bob Graham Center. “We believe it’s important to get a pulse on Floridians, and the center is well positioned to do so.”

The Bob Graham Center for Public Service is a community of students, scholars and politically engaged citizens, devoted to enhanced citizenship; the training of current and future public and civic leaders who can identify problems and spearhead change; and the development of policy on issues of importance to Florida, the United States and the global community. This survey was developed and analyzed by the center under the advice and consultation of Geoff Garin of Hart Research Associates and Kristen Soltis Anderson of The Winston Group.

http://news.ufl.edu/2014/02/05/election-survey/
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Gravis: Crist +3 on: February 05, 2014, 01:14:23 pm

The medical marijuana amendment is way up- 57/31.

It must hit 60% to pass.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Trey Radel (R-FL-19) charged with cocaine possession on: November 19, 2013, 05:09:41 pm
Is that what he meant when he said:
Quote
“Immediately, hip-hop artists did what artists have been doing for centuries – they opened my eyes up to a whole new world.”

http://www.buzzfeed.com/treyradel/trey-radel-hip-hop-conservative-ah8y
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: November 01, 2013, 04:20:41 pm
Charlie is in!

From Twitter:
Quote
@SaintPetersblog 8m
Charlie Crist has officially filed to run for Governor of Florida, according to the Florida Department of State
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Bill Young(FL-13) has NOT passed away. on: October 29, 2013, 11:18:54 pm
Good news for Democrats, Alex Sink is in.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politics/national/alex-sink-announcement/2149702
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Bill Young(FL-13) has NOT passed away. on: October 17, 2013, 01:15:20 pm
From twitter: "@learyreports: "Rep. C. W. Bill Young's condition turned for the worse over night and he is gravely ill," a spokesman says. Prognosis is "guarded.""
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Bill Young(FL-13) has passed away. on: October 17, 2013, 01:09:57 pm
So it's a twitter hoax?

He is in the hospital.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Bill Young(FL-13) has passed away. on: October 17, 2013, 01:05:35 pm
Apparently there's no confirmation. The link is now broken, but some family members do believe he has passed.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Congressman Bill Young(FL-13) has NOT passed away. on: October 17, 2013, 12:59:30 pm
http://www.saintpetersblog.com/?p=120622
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws on: August 23, 2013, 04:53:47 pm
This is nice to see. I support same sex marriage, but think the states should decide.

Do you also think states should be able to ban interracial marriage?
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: August 12, 2013, 04:16:16 pm
That's a terrible ad...
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Public Policy Polling: Udall ahead of all Republicans on: August 06, 2013, 07:54:13 pm
Dominating.
20  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Big Ten Political Spectrum on: August 03, 2013, 09:34:45 am
Please do one for the SEC!
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Big Marijuana fights legalization efforts on: July 27, 2013, 04:59:30 pm
I hope Florida gets a medical marijuana initiative on the ballot in 2014.

http://www.unitedforcare.org
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-PPP: Braley (D) ahead on: July 10, 2013, 11:25:53 pm
Where's Krazen?
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MI-01: Dems recruiting former Major General Jerry Cannon on: July 02, 2013, 05:53:49 pm
Benishek was probably the single least likely Republican survivor of the 2012 general election. Considering that Snyder's right-to-work probably won't be well received in this sort of white-working-class, traditionally Democratic area, I can see this seat swinging towards the Democrats in 2014 even if it is a lean R year and Snyder survives. That said, McDonnell, who represented large parts of this district in the state House and was active in politics earlier, has more experience and might be a stronger candidate than Cannon. But this'll certainly be a top Democratic target next year almost no matter what.

Benishek is a yooper. This fellow is not. Advantage, Benishek.

Most of the population in this district doesn't live in the Upper Peninsula.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY-Sen: Alison Lundergan Grimes to announce today on: July 02, 2013, 05:37:46 pm

Agreed, but it should be put out by a campaign...
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Allen West Threatens To Challenge Marco Rubio In 2016 Primary on: June 27, 2013, 09:30:02 am
Yes please.
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