Wow, the momentum continues!

FORWARD.

It should be said that in the local GOP primaries this pollster was accurate in the larger races, but it was really inaccurate at down ballot races. Take that as you will.

[What they're looking like: 2008]

9/7/12:

We'll release the Ohio and maybe North Carolina poll Sunday night- those will be our first post-DNC surveys out

9/8/12:

We started 5 state polls- some public, some private- and a national poll last night. What they're looking like: 2008

9/9/12:

Plan is to have Ohio results between 9 and 10 tonight- looks like Obama leads there by more than 2008 margin of victory

Wow. Well, it looks like it's about time to start searching for employment outside of the United States.

Romney has connections in the Caymans, search there.

She obviously didn't get to that point on her own. Her parents must be proud.

[Obama spent his]

Do these people realize that ground work is more important at this stage then ads?

Both are important.  Romney has the money for both. Obama spent his.

No, he hasn't.

And Obama is kicking his ass in terms of ground work.

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/09/obamas-ground-game-advantage.html

There is an unbiased source.  And if you think Obama will be able to keep up with Mitt and company when he was getting outspent over 2:1 BEFORE he had his general election funds, you are kidding yourself.

Ads at this point aren't going to change anything. People seeing Mitt's face on their TV's every day isn't going to make a dramatic difference.

We are entering the late stages of the campaign and that is where organization comes into play and Obama is very much ahead of Romney in that regard.

I agree, in Florida alone I believe the Obama campaign has 76+ field offices directly for his campaign. Romney only has about 25+ and a lot of those are joint offices with the county Republican Party.

I read that the Obama campaign has made 44 million calls and knocked on 3.5 million doors along with registering over 1 million voters.

FL-18 will be big (Allen West); I'll throw in FL-22 for Sanchez as well. FL-16 is currently occupied by mega-HP Vern Buchanan, though polling for Keith Fitzgerald has been awful recently, but I could see it getting better. David Riviera in FL-26 has been scandal-ridden and the Democrats could unseat him. FL-02 could be a sleeper race, since it now includes all of Tallahassee, and the Democrats have a decent candidate there. Val Demings might be able to knock out 'Taliban Dan'. I'm not sure whether or not John Mica is vulnerable, so keep that in the back of your mind as well. Grayson would normally have the advantage in FL-09, but he's facing a Hispanic Republican; that could be interesting. It'd be interesting to see Yoho's performance in FL-03. There's also an actual challenger (who's qualified for Emily's List funding and such) against Bill Young, so that could be interesting as well. That's basically all of Florida's races.

I'm not sure who "Sanchez" is, but FL-22 is Lois Frankel against Adam Hasner.
Also, In FL-09 Grayson isn't facing a hispanic republican, the hispanic republican lost the primary to a tea party person named Todd Long.

Joe Garcia: 49%
David Rivera: 40%

http://saintpetersblog.com/2012/08/more-bad-news-for-david-rivera-internal-polling-shows-dem-challenger-joe-garcia-up-by-nine/

I could see it: Chris Christie has an affair with a woman larger than him,

this killed me haha

Mittens for now

Who else would you consider?

Interesting to Romney winning whites 56-38% in Florida, though still losing by 4% overall. In 2008, when the Republican ticket lost in Florida by 3 points, McCain won the white vote 56-42%.

Old Cubans, the GOP's nonwhite base in Florida, are literally dying out. Young Cubans lean Democratic.

This is correct.

Obama in 2012. Crist in 2014.

Let's be honest, anyone who has a twitter knows fake people follow you all the time.

I did not know that.  I keep a low profile.  I don't follow many people and virtually no one follows me.  If I picked up a tail I would be very suspicious.  Thanks for the heads up.  At least if this ever happens to me I will know it's not some plot specifically against me.

What purpose do unrequested fake followers have?  They seem like a lot of man power.

Typically they follow you and in their "profile/about me" area there is some sort of link they want you to click on. Just don't click the links. They also tweet spam links.

Let's be honest, anyone who has a twitter knows fake people follow you all the time. I probably have about 20-30 fake followers out of my total of about 160 followers. I don't know how they find me, but typically they follow you and then get deleted. It happens on twitter.

Yeah, but you can't just generalize and say, oh all foreigners hate America!

Certainly foreign business leaders generally have to do a lot of business with America, us being the largest economy in the world and all.

Yes, and most of the savvy foreign business leaders who do direct business with America are in favor of Romney, as is the case domestically.

Do you have any non-anecdotal means of citing this?

Common sense dictates that a savvy business leader, assuming he does not benefit from government intervention/cronyism, is going to support a president who has business experience and adherence to free market ideology over a president who is a lawyer with policies that have contributed to the current dismal economy.

AKA he has no source

The fact that Dems underpoll in Nevada should cancel out the fact that it's a partisan Dem poll, IMO.

Just wondering, why do dems tend to under poll?

McKayla Maroney would not be the least bit impressed.

Meh, people don't pay attention too much in the summer.

President Kerry agrees with you.

lol

Strange things are about to happen in the polls -- and few to the benefit of the GOP Presidential ticket.

lol what?

Does he or does he not?

the trolls are sleeping

Oh cool, thanks for Florida's electoral votes Mitt.

Do you really think Ryan as VP will push Florida towards Obama?

Did anyone see this?

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/313677/boston-janesville-robert-costa

I don't know if it's true or not, but still worth a look..

Party id:

CO: R+5
VA: D +7
WI: D +7

In other words, massive Quinnipiac fail.

What should they be?

Well it looks like North Carolina is still a tossup, which is surprising. I expected it to be at least Romney +5.

Shhh... don't you know Romney is going to win in a landslide?  That's what most blue avatars here will tell you...

Really?
Other than WhyteRain (who is banned) and Winfield (who is... something else), I haven't seen anyone say this.

WhyteRain got banned? LOL For what?
(sorry for being off topic)