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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2010 State Elections in Germany
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on: May 12, 2010, 03:29:49 pm
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Isn't the Lippe and Herford a Protestant industrial area?
Yep. Lippe, Herford (and Minden) are the most Protestant areas of NRW, Catholic population is only around 10%. In Herford there are mainly Lutherans, while Lippe is traditionally Reformed Church ("Reformierte"). In this respect Lippe is comparable to Northern Hesse, with a strong SPD vote even in the most rural parts. Industry is predominantly small and medium-sized enterprises, labour union influence still quite strong. Hence, former SPD strongholds going back to their "normal" voting behaviour. |
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Election Results Thread
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on: October 10, 2009, 02:18:40 pm
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I had a look over changes in registered voters numbers... pretty fascinating.
Federally +0.4
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Bavaria +1.5
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Declines in Hof, Weiden, Bayreuth, Kulmbach, Bad Kissingen (but not Coburg) with Hof at -3.1% and the others below -2%.
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I tried to find an explanation for the odd Coburg numbers (turnout below 70%, number of registered voters growing while population is declining). The answer is very simple: Compared to the preliminary result the number of registered voters went down by 4,815 in the final result (No idea, how they made up the preliminary numbers). Hence we have Coburg at -1.0% with turnout about 71%. |
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Election Results Thread
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on: September 27, 2009, 03:31:01 pm
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Unless a miracle happens in Ansbach or Munich West. Or a once-in-the-lifetime-of-the-universe magnitude miracle happens in Rosenheim.  Worth pointing out that Munich North vote splitting continues, btw, it just wasn't enough: CSU 57.196 36,5 -4,4 48.621 31,0 -5,2 SPD 55.645 35,5 -8,2 31.063 19,8 -10,1 FDP 15.757 10,1 5,2 28.193 18,0 5,9 GRÜNE 15.292 9,8 4,2 27.402 17,5 2,6 DIE LINKE 7.784 5,0 2,3 10.707 6,8 2,8 Left is direct, right is list. Well, Munich West and Rosenheim are not happening... The CSU is losing statewide though (first and second votes), except for direct votes in Kulmbach (+8% to 68%). Guess who's the local candidate  . |
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2009 State and Federal elections in Germany
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on: September 26, 2009, 02:27:53 pm
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Hello neighbor  I'm from the district HOF. The constituency Coburg-Kronach isn't so conservative you think. I don't think that the SPD have in this year a chance, but this is not CSU-land The candidate of the left Uwe Hiksch isn't a bad man. He is a man with ideals. I like him. Hello Yea, I know. On the local level it's a very different picture. But I don't think the SPD will regain their former rural Protestant strongholds in Franconia in state/federal elections. Concerning Hiksch: the local conservative newspaper calls him a "Marxist"... |
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2009 State and Federal elections in Germany
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on: September 26, 2009, 01:54:41 pm
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I'll cast my first vote for the CSU (District 238 Coburg-Kronach, CSU+19 in 2005) Same candidates = similar results this time, I guess. Last time the SPD won this district was back in 1998. The victorious SPD candidate is running again this year, but now for the Left Party . Second vote: Likely FDP (Tactical voting, I'm no big fan of the FDP) My former district 134 Herford-Minden-Lübbecke II should be much more interesting. SPD+6.5 in 2005, but the long-time SPD incumbent is not seeking reelection. With the long-time CDU MP (list) resigning in 2007 we get fresh candidates for both major parties and I expect a close race this time. |
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Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Midwest Voting Booth: Governors, Amendments, and Propositions, oh my!
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on: December 16, 2006, 12:31:35 pm
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Governor/Lt. Governor
1. ihateverin/ilikeverin
2. ilikeverin/CheeseWhiz
3. ilikeverin/OWL
4. ilikeverin/Lewis Trondheim
Proposition 01: Ilikeverin Governor for Life Proposition
Yes
Proposition 02: Midwest Pacific Irridentialist Proposition
Yes (New Mexico!)
Proposition 03: Midwest Mideast Irridentialist Proposition
No (Missouri!)
Proposition 04: Midwest Southeast Irridentialist Proposition
No
Proposition 05: Midwest Aggressive Expansion Proposition, Pacific Edition
No
Proposition 06: Midwest Aggressive Expansion Proposition, Mideast Edition
No
Proposition 07: Midwest Renaming Amendment
No
Proposition 08: Governor Renaming Proposition
No
Proposition 09: Repeal of the Midwest Abolishment of the Child Protective Services Proposition
Yes
Proposition 10: Midwest Regional Animal Change
No
Proposition 11: New Constitutional Convention Proposition
Abstain
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2006 Dutch election
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on: November 22, 2006, 05:05:07 pm
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prognosis after 11% counted (NOS):
CDA 41
PvdA 33
VVD 22
SP 25
Fortuyn 0
GL 7
D66 3
CU 7
SGP 2
PvdD 2
PVV 8
If this holds, even CDA +PvdA have no majority. So which coalitions are possible? CDA+PvdA+VVD or CDA+PvdA+CU or CDA+VVD+small (center-right) parties or a minority government? Any realistic chances to build a majority without the CDA (I hope not!)? |
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