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May 28, 2015, 09:27:43 pm
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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Reaganfan Theatre of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts V on: May 27, 2015, 06:20:25 pm
Unborn babies apparently still subject to DP. what the Nebraska unicameral did today should get them primaried out.

Physically sickening betrayal of the electorate
2  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Public Office of the Bore/Nix Administration (On President Hollande) on: May 27, 2015, 02:16:24 pm
Since you are by far the best candidate for and on the job as President, can we go ahead and cancel the June Presidential election in order to save the Atlasian taxpayers money?

This isn't f**king Singapore Tongue
3  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Northeast Voting Booth: Reintroducing the Cabinet Reform Amendment on: May 27, 2015, 02:13:29 pm
NAY
4  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: NAY on: May 27, 2015, 02:12:07 pm
Such an amendment would destroy the independence (or maybe very existence) of the GM office.
5  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Michael Foot Executive Building: Department of Game Moderator (Statement) on: May 27, 2015, 02:00:53 pm
I'm bored, but I also have no new ideas. So screw you all for time being Smiley
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Kalwejt's Polish electoral maps thread on: May 27, 2015, 12:25:40 pm
Senate elections, 2011

OK, this took me a while, as since 2011 we've got 100 constituencies.

Orange is PO, Blue is PiS, independens are grey, PSL green and that yellow one is Dutkiewicz's committee.

(I f**king hate JOW-s)

7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 27, 2015, 12:23:08 pm
Junior coalition Polish Peasants Party and Democratic Left Alliance wouldn't get into parliament

Personally I'm convinced PSL is going to cross 5%, even if barely. They've been trailing in the polls numerous times but their iron electorate is sufficient.

SLD should just die.

You know, in the February Komorowski had 60% in polls.

That's what I've always saying: campaigns are unpredictable.

Funny thing: PO is already making noises, like "look, Komorowski wasn't our candidate", which is hilarious.

Beside the fact he was nominated and supported by PO, even though nominally independent since taking office, his staff was made up from PO and financed by the party.

While Komorowski certainly did make mistakes, such as a lackluster campaigning before the first round, the main reason he slipped from 60% in February to losing was the backlash against the government. PO is so delightfully out of touch with reality. I cannot wait on who will they try to shift the blame after losing in October.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: have you ever seen a tornado? on: May 26, 2015, 03:04:10 pm
Just one whirlwind.
9  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Has this forum already created couples? on: May 26, 2015, 01:07:23 pm
When I was between husbands I was trying to get with a certain long time poster, but he either didn't get the message or he wasn't interested. tru story bro.

Women seems to assume men will get the message, but we're not that smart.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather attend Eurovision or Dude Fest? on: May 26, 2015, 08:12:56 am
I'm not a masochist, so neither.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your 5 favorite counties in your state on: May 26, 2015, 04:48:43 am
Since we have counties too.

Warsaw (obviously)
Ostrów Mazowiecka (spent some time there)
Płock
Piaseczno
Węgrów
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 26, 2015, 04:36:36 am
Seems like the PO lost this election more than PiS won it.

That's one of the most frequently heard phrases since the election: "they worked really hard to lose this". The backlash against the government turned out to be massive. Many of people I know ended up voting for Duda not because of ideological reasons (actually, far from it), but because they wanted to send the government the message/protest the economic conditions etc.

Although we shouldn't underestimate an excellent campaign PiS had run. They went from trailing 40% behind an uber-popular President to winning this thing. While undoubtedly helped by Komorowski lackluster campaign before first round, it's still an accomplishment. I mean, months ago few, beside political junkies, even knew who Duda is.
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: So is bore going to run unopposed? on: May 25, 2015, 04:23:11 pm
Seriously though, somebody should give it a go. Losing campaigns are worthwhile sometimes too.

Ideally someone from an opposite ideological side, so we can at least have some diversity.

14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: So is bore going to run unopposed? on: May 25, 2015, 04:09:24 pm
If there's no opponent, I might just declare. I'll probably do no campaigning, but there would be at least two names on the ballot Tongue
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favorite State from the former Confedrecy on: May 25, 2015, 04:06:38 pm
Alabama
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Windjammer/Franzl for Mideast Governor/Mideast Lieutenant Governor (Thank you) on: May 25, 2015, 01:45:42 pm
I will never recognize this election.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 25, 2015, 11:17:34 am
So, the exit poll was very accurate about turnout, but gave much bigger margin of victory (although, with such margin, we knew the outcome instantly).
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 25, 2015, 09:24:46 am
What is the nature of the relationship between Kaczyński and Duda?  Will there now be tensions over who will become the leader of PiS, especially during this period where Duda is President and the October 2015 elections are not here yet.

I'd rather expect Duda to play nice until October, so he won't hurt PiS chances.


Duda has no balls and simply no support inside party to overthrown Kaczyński. Maybe after lost parliamentary elections by PiS there will be some "Palace faction" but now it's too early to say Smiley

"Jaroslaw Kaczynski will be our candidate for PM and then PM this autumn," PiS deputy leader Beata Szydlo said Monday.  Szydlo, campaign chief for victorious PiS presidential candidate Andrzej Szydlo, quickly handed full credit to Kaczynski for the victory. "It's the political genius of Jaroslaw Kaczynski that has resulted in Duda being President today," Szydlo said.

It seems the Kaczynski camp is already putting out the word to make sure they put Duda in his place.
 

PiS is very hungry for a parliamentary win after eight years in opposition, so if they were able to pull "let's play nice and hide our most divisive figures for a time being" for this presidential campaign, they can do it again.

The problem for Kaczyński is that Duda, when selected, was never supposed to win, just to have a decent result. Otherwise, they wouldn't pull a relatively unknown guy from third row. Yet Duda was always a loyalist, without his own base within the party, so I can't see him even trying to be his own man (though it would he very funny to see such a conflict).
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 25, 2015, 09:18:48 am
Official results from 46 out of 51 electoral districts:

Duda: 52.46%
Komorowski: 47.54%

Some major cities are still to be counted, but Duda's margin is safe.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 24, 2015, 09:10:52 pm
What is the nature of the relationship between Kaczyński and Duda?  Will there now be tensions over who will become the leader of PiS, especially during this period where Duda is President and the October 2015 elections are not here yet.

I'd rather expect Duda to play nice until October, so he won't hurt PiS chances.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 24, 2015, 03:54:52 pm
The whole conventional wisdom saying that "PiS can't win with big turnout" just collapsed. I guess the blacklash against PO was seriously underestimated.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 24, 2015, 03:52:34 pm
Final prediction:

Duda 52.8 %
Komorowski 47.2%

turnout: 51%

Duda's not winning with this turnout.

Lol. Watch and learn kid, watch and learn Smiley Hope that this 53,0% turns into 52,8% Duda in the final results to complete my next perfect election prediction.

Since this obviously mean so much to you, I can admit I was wrong.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Kalwejt's Polish electoral maps thread on: May 24, 2015, 02:30:57 pm
PSL in 2005



Easily the most regionally- and class-based party.



LPR in 2005



Cannon into 20%
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 24, 2015, 02:26:20 pm
THEY ARE STEALIN' TEH ELECTION!

Sad Sad Sad
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: May 24, 2015, 02:05:23 pm
Electoral silence extended to 10.30 pm.

Wow, the turnout must be really unexpected.

You mean, no exit polls at 9?



We have to wait, lol.
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