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March 30, 2015, 03:06:47 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 29, 2015, 07:03:52 am
And here's a historical performance of candidates of all four major parliamentary parties:


PO:

2005:
Donald Tusk: 5,429,666    (36.3%) - first round, 1st place; 7,022,319 (45.96%) - defeated

2010:
Bronisław Komorowski: 6,981,319 (41.54%) - first round, 1st place; 8,933,887 (53.01%) - elected


PiS:   

2005:
Lech Kaczyński: 4,947,927 (33.1%) - first round, 2nd place; 8,257,468   (54.04%) - elected

2010:
Jarosław Kaczyński: 6,128,255 (36.46%) - first round, 2nd place; 7,919,134 (46.99%) - defeated


SLD:

1990:
Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz: 1,514,025 (9.2%) - first round, 4th place

1995:
Aleksander Kwaśniewski: 6,275,670 (35.1%) - first round, 1st place; 9,704,439 (51.7%) - elected

2000:
Aleksander Kwaśniewski: 9,485,224 (53.9%) - elected without a runoff

2005:
Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz dropped out before the election, leaving SLD without their own candidate. Some supported Marek Borowski of SdPl, who got 1,544,642 (10.3%) in the first round and 4th place

2010:
Grzegorz Napieralski: 2,299,870 (13.68%) - first round, 3rd place


PSL:

1990: Roman Bartoszcze: 1,176,175 (7.2%) - first round, 5th place

1995: Waldemar Pawlak: 770,419   (4.3%) - first round, 5th place

2000: Jarosław Kalinowski: 1,047,949 (5.95%) - 4th place

2005: Jarosław Kalinowski: 269,316 (1.8%) - first round, 5th place

2010: Waldemar Pawlak: 294,273   (1.75%) - first round, 5th place

As you can see, PSL is never doing "well" in the presidential election. In fact the only time their considered result as "success" was 2000, when Kalinowski surpassed 5%, which is a parliamentary threshold. In 2010 there were jokes when Pawlak came after Korwin.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 29, 2015, 06:46:01 am
Just to illustrate how unreliable 100,000 registration requirement as indicator of "support" can be:

1990

No candidate got less than 100,000 votes

1995

Professor Tadeusz Koźluk: 27,259    (0.2%)
Businessman Kazimierz Piotrowicz: 12,591 (0.1%)
Former MP Leszek Bubel: 6,825 (0.0%)

2000

MP Jan Łopuszański: 89,002 (0.51%)
Dariusz Grabowski: 38,672 (0.22%)
Ret. General Tadeusz Wilecki (0.16%)
Bogdan Pawłowski: 17,164 (0.10%)

2005

Attorney Liwiusz Ilasz: 31,691 (0.2%)
Stanisław Tymiński: 23,545 (0.2%)
Former MP Leszek Bubel: 18,828 (0.1%)
Jan Pyszko: 10,371 (0.1%)
Former MP Adam Słomka: 8,895 (0.1%)

2010:

Bogusław Ziętek: 29,548 (0.18%)
Kornel Morawiecki: 21,596 (0.13%)
28  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Are Arabs White? on: March 29, 2015, 06:10:37 am
Arabs and Jews are considered white in my corner of the world.
29  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: March 29, 2015, 06:08:15 am

Taken after I got back from my first shift this morning.

What the hell happened to your beard, man?
30  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: March 29, 2015, 06:07:36 am


Bought some new school gear just the other day!

Edit: Just noticed a big lighting problem with the other selfie


AWWW YOU SO CUTE HERE'S MY PHONE NUMBER CALL ME ASAP YOU HANDSOME STUD

Not really
Oh bah humbug...you know all we'd have to do is affix some blonde pigtails on and some red lipstick and he'd be Fitzina, the apple of kalwejts eye.

I'm not sure whether I should laugh or be terrified by Snowguy's post.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Worst-run presidential campaign on: March 29, 2015, 06:06:06 am
Impossible to beat Dewey in 1948, who ran almost no campaign, as everybody thought he'll win and he ended up beaten.

In modern times, from winnable races, Dukakis, who led by double-digits until Summer just to end up losing by a high single digit.
32  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Interests other than politics on: March 29, 2015, 06:02:53 am
Stamps, reading (not necessarily political books), pets, swimming, biking, Oriental culture, history and languages.

Oh yes, and paranormal stuff when I need to shut off my brain.
33  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Saudi Arabia and GCC allies bombing Yemen on: March 29, 2015, 05:55:52 am
Probably because Oman isn't Sunni. They're their own weird branch of Islam called Ibadi. They aren't Shiites but they probably sympathize with the Yemeni Shiites who are particularly heterodox.

Ibadis are neither Sunni nor Shia, actually predating the split. They have evolved from the Khawarij movement, though they came a long way from their fanaticism.

They're a dominant school of Islam in Oman and Zanzibar and also have some limited presence in severeal of North African countries.
34  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Saudi Arabia and GCC allies bombing Yemen on: March 29, 2015, 05:53:04 am
Egypt and SA planning a ground intervention. It seems Sisi is trying to pull Nasser with his new Saudi sugar daddies funding

Sisi is such a tool.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: bob ehrlich on: March 28, 2015, 07:24:12 pm
Stop being dumb, Walter.
36  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Kalwejt Presidential Library on: March 28, 2015, 05:40:42 pm
placeholder
37  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Kalwejt Presidential Library on: March 28, 2015, 05:40:04 pm
Presidential Actions:


Bills Signed Into Law:

* Wiki Article of the Month Act
* Freedom to Enjoy Oneself in Public Act

Cabinet Appointments:

* Franzl for Secretary of Federal Elections
* AndrewCT for Secretary of Internal Affairs

Cabinet Dismissals:

* Dr. Cynic as SoIA

Other Appointments:

* BelgianSocialists as Member of the Wiki Commission
38  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Kalwejt Presidential Library on: March 28, 2015, 05:39:23 pm
Positions Held

* Northeast Representative (September 27, 2009 - October 30, 2009)
* Northeast Representative (December 31, 2009 - April 1, 2010)
* Midwest Lieutenant Governor (April 29, 2010 - May 2, 2010)
* Midwest Lieutenant Governor (May 16, 2010 - September 1, 2010)
* Attorney General (September 1, 2010 - November 4, 2010)
* Vice President ot the Republic (November 5, 2010 - March 4, 2011)
* Acting President of the Republic (February 4, 2011 - February 7, 2011)
* Midwest Senator (March 4, 2011 - June 27, 2011)
* Member of the Wiki Commission (March 9, 2011 - June 24, 2011)
* Attorney General (July 7, 2011 - August 5, 2011)
* Imperial Legislator (August 7, 2011 - October 3, 2011)
* At-large Senator, Seat 3 (October 5, 2011 - December 30, 2011)
* Vice President of the Republic (July 2012 - August 2012)
* Secretary of External Affairs (July 12, 2012 - August 27, 2012)
* At-large Senator, Seat 5 (May 3, 2013 - July 2013)
* Midwest Regional Commissar (don't remember when it was)
* Northeast Representative (don't remember when it was)
* Game Moderator (February 17, 2015 - present)
39  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Kalwejt Presidential Library on: March 28, 2015, 05:38:34 pm
After all, I too used to be Acting President ot the Republic of Atlasia. So I deserve my own library.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 28, 2015, 04:54:01 pm
The 100,000 signatures requirement is an interesting thing. It was supposed to ensure registration of serious candidates with "real support", but if we look at some results. For example, Adam Słomka in 2005 (yep, the same who now failed to qualify) got miserable 8,895 votes (0.1% and last place) despite having gathered 100,000 signatures before. Second lowest popular vote number for any registered Polish presidential candidate since Leszek Bubel, a far-right anti-semite, in 1995, who got 6,825 votes.

On the other hand, you can see some surprised. Stan Tymiński, who advanced into a runoff with Wałęsa in 1990 over Mazowiecki (which was a big shock), failed to register five years later, despite being expected to accomplish it.

Naturally, having a large part machine behind you means you don't have to worry about qualifying. It's just impossible for a PO, PiS, SLD or PSL candidate to fail to qualify, though only PSL had more than 100,000 registered members.
41  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 28, 2015, 04:39:15 pm
Poor Grodzka Sad

I'll still write her on my ballot in the first round (what happen in second, I can't know yet). While write-ins are now allowed and I"d invalidate it, who the hell am I suppoused to support?
42  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Why was this post deleted? on: March 28, 2015, 02:56:57 pm
     Yeah, I really don't see anything inappropriate there. This is an odd development.

Indeed.
43  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: What Happened to Phil? on: March 28, 2015, 02:50:09 pm
He got life. Something we all ought to get.

Posting on a forum hardly means somebody doesn't have a life.

Kalwejt has nearly 40,000 posts. If he had instead chosen to interact with one new woman for every one of those posts, with 2% odds that it lead to a sexual encounter eventually, he would have had sex with 800 different women

I don't think time spent on a single post could possibly be enough to secure the score (well, at least in most of the cases), but I'm still overwhelmed with these hard numbers.

I'm just glad I don't have BRTD's post count.
44  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: March 28, 2015, 02:43:31 pm


Bought some new school gear just the other day!

Edit: Just noticed a big lighting problem with the other selfie


AWWW YOU SO CUTE HERE'S MY PHONE NUMBER CALL ME ASAP YOU HANDSOME STUD

Not really
45  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would the Previous Poster be a better Executive, Legislator, or Justice? on: March 28, 2015, 02:39:59 pm
Judiciary
46  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What Issues Is The Forum Most/Least Knowledgeable About? on: March 28, 2015, 02:39:15 pm
Best: Random voting patterns

Worst: Sex
47  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is the previous poster's password? on: March 28, 2015, 02:38:31 pm
opeboIsASexyStud12345
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 28, 2015, 01:14:18 pm
Not to say that Poland is really republican-democratic based country and we have no chances for monarchy.

Well. we are a republican-democratic based country somewhat by default, since monarchy happened a long, long time ago and no one seems to have clue "how to" restore it (that assuming it would actually become a popular idea).

Speaking of ideology, it's a tricky matter. I remember some studies in mid-2000s stating that roughly 20% of the electorate is firmly right-wing, 15% firmly left-wing with the rest going back and forth.

I haven't seen any new data, but I wouldn't suspect much change. On one hand we've seen new political sentiments arising (briefly capitalized by Palikot, before he f**ked everything up), which were hardly heard of in mainstream 10 years ago. Yet it's hard to deny right has ability to organize while the left hasn't.

Quote
On the other hand we have no socialist candidate in next presidential elections (Tongue)

But Manuel Valls said Ogórek is a "fellow socialist" (lol).
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish presidential election, 2015 on: March 28, 2015, 01:03:35 pm
OT a little bit, but:
There is no continuity between modern Polish statehood and Commonwealth but as Polish national-historic identity is bizarre mix of peasantry-based roots with nobility historical identity some of characteristics from the past prevailed. Maybe due to fact that mainly nobility was modern-Nation making social group and until late XIX century peasants were not that nation-conscious (not even mentioning historical knowledge). All historical references like golden liberty, no strong central power, fact that Commonwealth had legally approved form of uprising against king or great popularity of that king among the nobility: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augustus_III_of_Poland (during reign of next king he was some kind of dead rockstar with cult) somehow "woke up" and even strengthen after 1989 in form of characteristics like for example lack of respect for state administration workers, strong cult of "enterprising spirit" (especially in mainstream media) and need to own things (popularity of gated block of flats etc.) especially among generation which was young in 80/90s. So all that things from past, transformed but still, are somehow present in the Polish society, even if not consciously for most of the population - and it doesn't have any connection with Need for King™.

Well, the lack of historical continuity between 1795 and 1918 and then frequent system changes (Very Unstable Democracy-Sanacja-Occupation-Communism-Democracy) certainly does not help in emergence of a mature and stable state. Though I will still argue things aren't as chaotic now as it was back in the 90s, when the transformation shook everything.

As of gated blocks, I hate this. I'm from Warsaw Powiśle and they just gated everything. Even what was pretty much an internal route, not quite a "yard".

I remember when I was a kid back in Natolic in the 90s and there was just one gated block in the area and everybody were like "what a weird thing".

Quote
Sorry for chaotic post, I have problems with writing something understandable, sensibly in English.

Don't worry. You're more inteligible than I was when I joined years ago.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 on: March 28, 2015, 09:37:41 am
Was the omission of the liberals intentional, Al? Cheesy

LOL

I'd say liberals are quite good in omitting themselves.
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