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1  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Saying Hi. on: January 31, 2015, 03:04:55 pm
If you were to win election as Senator, you would likely be Constitutionally prohibited from taking office.

Quote
2. No Person shall be a Senator who has not attained 200 or more posts, whose account is not at least 60 days old, and is not a registered voter in the Region that they represent.

What ? I did not read this. I apologize. Where can I read this ? Stupid me.

It's in the Atlasian Constitution. You can find it in the "wiki" tab at the top of the Atlas page heading.
2  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Saying Hi. on: January 31, 2015, 03:02:31 pm
If you were to win election as Senator, you would likely be Constitutionally prohibited from taking office.

Quote
2. No Person shall be a Senator who has not attained 200 or more posts, whose account is not at least 60 days old, and is not a registered voter in the Region that they represent.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: South African Election Maps and Stats on: January 30, 2015, 03:11:29 pm
I don't believe that I've posted this on the forum yet. Xahar has a signed, full-size poster of this map - it was created per his request about six months ago.

4  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 27, 2015, 08:42:11 am
A terrific idea well executed. It's such a shame that this sort of information is so difficult and expensive to acquire. Short of a well-financed Herculean effort, it will take an effort on the part of many more states to make their election data accessible before a future election is similarly map-able. cinyc, Adam, congratulations and well done.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2012) on: January 21, 2015, 07:53:48 am
Yeah, that wasn't right at all. It's actually pretty astonishing how small of a role religion played in this primary.
6  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 21, 2015, 07:44:30 am
I think the density of voting district boundaries in the Central Valley is giving the false impression at that zoom level that it's very dark blue.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2012) on: January 20, 2015, 11:56:29 am
When looking at these primary maps, its almost as if Obama/Clinton and Romney/Santorum look like the same urban/rural split.

It's not so much an urban/rural cleavage in the Republican primary so much as it is a suburban/rural divide. Santorum polled quite well in the big cities - he won Dayton and Toledo and came very close to beating Romney in Columbus. Income and religion are, I think, the two most relevant cleavages to explaining the divide.

really cool.  I wonder if Ward and Trimble townships are especially libertarian.  What's up with the one Gingrich precinct?

I think that's just an anomalous result in a part of the state in which Gingrich's achieved his best results - in the rural vicinity of Dayton. There's nothing particularly unusual about Perry Township (52 votes for Gingrich, 44 Santorum, 43 Romney, 13 Paul).
8  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 19, 2015, 12:05:34 pm
Philadelphia, Chicago, Northern New Jersey, South Florida and San Francisco come to mind.
9  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 19, 2015, 11:32:47 am
My approach to dealing with this problem is usually to zoom way out, so that working with the whole image is feasible. Then you zoom in for insets, lots of 'em. My thinking is generally that seeing a population center in detail is more important than seeing it directly within the context of the surrounding geography.

The other option is to keep a city like New York at the same scale as the rest of the state. You'll still be able to broadly see that the city is heavily Democratic, but picking out an individual precinct or neighborhood would be impossible.

Here's an extreme example of the insets approach:



Many of those towns would simply appear black (from the precinct boundaries) if there were no insets - the shades of blue wouldn't even be visible. Even at this zoom level, I still had to break Alberta into three parts in order to be at all able to work with the images!
10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 19, 2015, 11:24:12 am
New York City at zoom level 10:

11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2012) on: January 19, 2015, 09:06:58 am


Romney won the city of Columbus by less than ten votes.
12  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Nationwide precinct map project? on: January 18, 2015, 03:05:39 pm
I think this is a fantastic idea, but I see a few potential problems with this:

1. The finished image is likely to be so large as to be incompatible with most devices. Granted, I work on a PC made in 2007 and am not aware of the performance of newer machines with respect to huge images, but I can't imagine that it would be possible to work with an image in MS Paint much larger than 10,000 pixels². It would be impossible for me even to create a basemap at this zoom level of Texas or California.

2. Even with the zoom level selected, precincts in the major cities will be almost indistinguishable from one another and impossible to color. I think it might be a good idea to use insets.

3. A minor consideration: Within the state of Maryland, some precinct boundaries show detail of the coastline (Worcester) and some don't (Anne Arundel). I hate that. When I made my 2012 precinct map of Maryland, I drew in the coastline by hand where necessary, but it added hours of boring work to the project.
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Considering leaving the forum (attention whoring) on: January 16, 2015, 08:07:39 pm
If you don't argue for your own beliefs, however ineffectively, who will?
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Homely's new maps thread on: January 13, 2015, 10:09:25 pm
From each individual county. There's sixty-two of them in New York, and many of them make you pay to have photocopies made of their canvass books.
Do any of them have it available online?

Many do, yes.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Homely's new maps thread on: January 13, 2015, 07:47:33 pm
From each individual county. There's sixty-two of them in New York, and many of them make you pay to have photocopies made of their canvass books.
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Department of Federal Elections: Homelycooking, SoFE on: January 08, 2015, 10:50:44 pm
I'm now the longest-serving Cabinet member in Atlasian history - this is my 1,059th day in office as SoFE. I've been responsible for the administration of every federal election since December 2011.

It's a bit arrogant of me to be pointing this out when I've made so many mistakes and errors of judgment and have been in something of a stubborn, prickly mood of late, but I did want to thank all of you for the confidence you have shown in me and my office. I have often disappointed and on one or two occasions probably deserved to be dismissed, but I hope that my failures have demonstrated a tendency to be lazy and careless rather than venal and vindictive. I enjoy the job, and while I certainly can't imagine that I'll make it to 2,000 days as SoFE, I appreciate the opportunity to have served for so long. So, cheers and best wishes for the new year to all.

hc
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Miles on: January 04, 2015, 12:14:51 pm
I was actually more curious to find out who you think is the other member of the "top three".
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Miles on: January 04, 2015, 11:20:01 am
A first rate poster, top three as cartographer and a genuinely nice guy with a fine sense of humor. So huge FF.

You have a ranking of Atlas cartographers? Is there a top 10? top 25? Tongue

As for the topic in question,

I admire (rather than "like a lot") the work of the three people who I think are at the forum's cutting edge of psephology and cartography-based elections analysis: Miles, Adam Griffin and Hashemite.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Candidate Declaration Thread on: January 02, 2015, 11:02:26 pm
I'd like to remind everyone that every candidate must declare in this thread that they are running for whichever office they seek. This includes vice presidential candidates; it is not enough for your running mate to declare for you. You must declare your own intentions.
20  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Department of Federal Elections: Homelycooking, SoFE on: January 02, 2015, 10:05:19 pm


Updated through last month's election.
21  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Which electoral maps are the most aesthetically pleasing to your eye? on: January 01, 2015, 08:26:16 pm
Well, if we're going to talk about those 100-way Pennsylvania primaries, allow me to submit these for your consideration:

A new take on a classic - the 2010 Lt. Gubernatorial primary mapped by municipality and State House district. The district map does a nice job of clearing up some of the statistical noise and showing the broadest patterns - as well as some very interesting detail in Philadelphia.




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Almost as good as the 2010 Republican one. 8/9 candidates carried at least one county.

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=42&year=2010&f=0&off=6&elect=2

Not true! Look closer. Every candidate won at least their home county - even Diamond and Kennedy.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Homely's new maps thread on: December 31, 2014, 08:36:54 pm
No problem. Thought I'd throw in a little bonus map and make it a gif.



23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Homely's new maps thread on: December 28, 2014, 09:44:56 pm
Since when is Ohio a Northeastern state?

Would you care to suggest a different title for those ten states?

Where do you get some of these municipal maps from?

I wish it was as simple a matter as "getting" the municipal maps from a premade source. While I do use Dave's Redistricting App for the basic state outlines, it takes many hours of meticulous editing to produce the usable basemap from which I colored the 2012 Northeast municipal - or whatever you want to call it - map.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Homely's new maps thread on: December 26, 2014, 08:42:56 am
This one has exactly the same color scale as the map of CT two posts above.

25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 US Congressional Election Results on: December 23, 2014, 10:52:47 pm
Jeff Bell won Brigantine and Mountainside, Booker won Woodcliff Lake...
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