Heh.

Bump.  Some of the predictions I made here are freaky good.  I've made my share of dumb predictions in my life, but you gotta give me this one.

Is this the same girl from "Sex and the City"?  Or is this a different Kristen Davis?

Lol, are you seriously asking that question?

Hint, Elliot Spitzer and banging.

No, it was not meant to be a serious question.  I was not under the impression that the girl who played Charlotte had become a pivotal figure in New York politics.

Is this the same girl from "Sex and the City"?  Or is this a different Kristen Davis?

I assume we are only going with somewhat realistic seats?  I can't pick, say, Pete Stark to lose?

Adam Smith
Alan Grayson
Loretta Sanchez
Phil Hare
Heath Shuler

It's over.  I'm amazed people thought she would win.

Portman is my favorite candidate this cycle, even more than Rubio, Toomey, and Ayotte.

Portman isn't a bad candidate, but if I was a Republican I would probably have a huge man crush on Rubio. He's going to be either President/Vice President one day, I'd bet money on it.

It's Portman's time as Trade Rep that makes me like him so much.

Portman is my favorite candidate this cycle, even more than Rubio, Toomey, and Ayotte.

to the contrary, the amount of anti-establishment anger shown tonight probably means the GOP is underpoling by 5-10 percent in CA/WA/WI/NV.

So we've entered the "just make things up" part of the thread?

when only 30 thousand voters were expected, and 60 thousand show up, it's a sign the electorate is being seriously underestimated.

The polls were basiucally correct, though.  They predicted O'Donnell was ahead and she was gaining support.  They pegged the outcome pretty spot on.  So the fact that turnout was high says nothing about the accuracy of the polls and certainly doesn't support the claim that the polls of off by 10%.  They weren't off by 10% in the Massachusetts Senate race, the NY-23 Special, the HI-1 Special, or the Governor's races in New Jersey and Virginia.  The good polls were accurate and the badd polls were not, just like every other election since I've been alive.

dude, you can't see the forest for the trees.  this anti establishment movement now sets its sights on the Dems.

IT'S DELAWARE!  There's  no way Christine O'Donnell wins in November.

but it probably means the GOP is leading in CA, WA, WI, NV

Nice non-sequitur.

to the contrary, the amount of anti-establishment anger shown tonight probably means the GOP is underpoling by 5-10 percent in CA/WA/WI/NV.
[/quote

So we've entered the "just make things up" part of the thread?

No sex outside marriage.  No masturbation.  Christine O'Donnell is 41 and unmarried.  This explains a lot, actually.

This poll is very silly.  And because, as Lunar pointed out, the oppo dump has not begun the poll is also pretty irrelevant even if an accurate snapshot in time.

Why did the NV GOP just have to nominate Sharron "Second Amendment" Angle?

Wait, you think the problem with Sharron Angle, who favors scientology massages and abolishing social security, is that she supports gun rights in Nevada?

This isn't safe by any means, but I think Boxer will pull it off.

Yeah, it's kind of scary that she is even that close. Both of them seem like such mega-bitches on a personal level but Fiorina seems like one of the few people who is actually even more grating to listen to than Boxer is.

It's nice to see you've found your rationalization for supporting an indefensible incumbent.

Yeah, I find it offensive that a liberal Democrat is having to settle for supporting the liberal Democrat in this race.

My point is that people often claim to dislike certain members of their own party in order to seem fair and independent when in fact they will always revert back to supporting their party's nominees for any office.

This isn't safe by any means, but I think Boxer will pull it off.

Yeah, it's kind of scary that she is even that close. Both of them seem like such mega-bitches on a personal level but Fiorina seems like one of the few people who is actually even more grating to listen to than Boxer is.

It's nice to see you've found your rationalization for supporting an indefensible incumbent.

The way you know the reason wasn't oil is that we nationalized the oil and gave it all to the Iraqi government.  If we were trying to steal the oil, we'd have just given it to Texaco.

Israel had very mixed feelings about invading Iraq.  See this: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/2736283.stm

LOL at imperialism.

With a name like "Pajamas," you just have to take it seriously!

It's a real outlet, as much as HotAir or any of such things.

Fiorina has aired, what, $20m worth of ads, many attacking Boxer?  I mean, that's like in the realm of what Cuomo and Schumer are going to spend for the general election here in New York with their huge warchests, that's a crapton of money.  

Has Boxer aired one ad yet?

Patience.

I don't think its anywhere near that much. She hasn't raise that much.

Wait.... you are aware that Carlyfornia doesn't need to raise money to spend money, right?

Yes, I was counting her donations to herself as money "raised".  In any case, Carly is not Whitman and cannot spend without limit.

With a name like "Pajamas," you just have to take it seriously!

It's a real outlet, as much as HotAir or any of such things.

Fiorina has aired, what, $20m worth of ads, many attacking Boxer?  I mean, that's like in the realm of what Cuomo and Schumer are going to spend for the general election here in New York with their huge warchests, that's a crapton of money.  

Has Boxer aired one ad yet?

Patience.

I don't think its anywhere near that much. She hasn't raise that much.

I just wanted to say that I think it's funny that Fiorina criticized Boxer's hair when she sports that dyke haircut that is so unattractive.

Umm...she had cancer.

Awwkwaaard.

Yeah, I don't see how Poizner and Campbell can be faulted for being abandoned by their party and forced to try to outspend billionaires.

And I don't see how anybody could epic fail more than Vic Rawl in South Carolina.

Hey, now.  Vic Rawls was up against the Greene Machine.  60% is not luck, or so I'm told.

I think people are drastically overstating the effect of this prop.

Specter.  Halter.  Lowden.

And of course, Andre Bauer.

[Total Awesomeness]

These "nutters" will have a New-Deal style permanent majority once the European economy collapses and takes the US/Obama down with it. It is another, but major, step towards the eventual actualization of the US as a Fascist State Total Awesomeness.

Fixed.

You can thank your asshole NRSC too for rallying behind an unelectable clown.

The NRSC doesn't think anyone can win the seat but because California has a magical appeal to Republicans, they have to pretend to contest the seat.  If Fiorina is the nominee, she can finance the race and the NRSC gets to pretend they are contesting when really they aren't.  With Campbell, they'd have to spend money in California that they'd rather spend on Indiana and Arkansas.

Their short-sightedness has been on display over and over again in this cycle (See: Crist, Charlie).