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August 31, 2016, 10:42:19 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Bloomberg had run, what states could he have won? on: August 29, 2016, 01:20:14 am
None, but he would split the Democratic vote enough for Hillary to lose.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Coulter: If Clinton wins, illegal immigrant amnesty means permanent D majority on: August 23, 2016, 11:07:55 am
"If Clinton wins, brown people I don't like will be able to vote (and probably won't vote how I want them to)."
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dim Tim Kaine help in Virginia? on: August 23, 2016, 10:16:57 am
No, it was mostly Trump freaking out suburban whites with his racist rhetoric and unhinged remarks, particularly his feud with the Khan family.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: John Oliver makes the Trump bit to end all Trump bits. on: August 22, 2016, 11:38:26 pm
And this idea that Trump's campaign will have turned out to be a joke the whole time is the height of liberal fantasy.  They can't accept that people actually agree with Trump or like him.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 12-year old running Trump campaign in Denver suburb county on: August 22, 2016, 03:36:49 pm
He's probably more competent than Trump, Lewandowski, and Manafort. lol

This kid is going places, he'll probably be Trump's next campaign manager.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If you had to guess, what will Trump primarily be remembered as in 30 years? on: August 15, 2016, 12:38:57 am
A sign of things to come, at least as far as candidate personality, campaign style, and populist rhetoric.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mike Pence Declines to Endorse McCain or Ayotte on: August 04, 2016, 04:58:46 pm
Quote
Pence also said that he sees "eye to eye" with Donald Trump on their views of the Khan family, the current iteration of the Muslim ban and Russia's alleged role in the hacking of DNC emails.

o_O

Pence has been brought to heel.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why did Scott Walker do so poorly in the primaries? on: August 03, 2016, 09:15:32 pm
Good candidate on paper. =/= Good candidate.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Predict The 2020 GOP Primary Results With These Conditions on: August 03, 2016, 07:09:27 am
Who knows?

That said, probably someone who isn't Ted Cruz, but is able to court the evangelicals while taking up Trump's mantle as the far-right populist candidate.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump cancels the RNC's planned Hispanic Engagement Tour on: July 29, 2016, 10:41:30 pm
Campaigning in Mississippi!? Is he doing that bad there?

Gif

It's not outrageous to believe. The demographics could swing MS in the future, and Trump is no Generic R.

I've come to believe analyzing Trump's campaign movements in the way one would analyze a normal campaign's strategy is a fool's errand. Trump does things on a whim. He could be leading by +50 in Mississippi and he'd still send his son there for the hell of it, and then brag on Twitter when the rally had lower-than-expected turnout.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: pre-Democratic convention discussion LATEST: DWS won't speak due to email fallout on: July 24, 2016, 04:16:03 pm
Sarah McBride of the Human Rights Campaign will be the first transgender speaker at a major party convention.

http://www.hrc.org/blog/hrcs-sarah-mcbride-to-become-first-openly-transgender-person-to-speak-at-a/


Great news!


12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Donald Trump's convention speech? on: July 21, 2016, 10:41:03 pm
I expect "HS" to dominate this poll, but considering what expectations were, Trump did very well tonight. He exceeded expectations and was able to end a rough week on a high note.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Ted Cruz's convention speech on: July 20, 2016, 09:34:20 pm
Egoism.  If he's so principled, he should have skipped like Rubio, Paul, Haley, Kasich, etc. did.


this

I liked when he was booed off the stage.

also this
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How well will donald trump do with trans* people? on: July 19, 2016, 08:19:01 pm
Very poorly, though I guess there will still be some holdouts among us that'll vote R. I mean Trump'll do much better than Cruz would have but that's not saying much.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would have been the worst VP pick Trump could have made? on: July 18, 2016, 10:07:04 pm
Michael Flynn 100%
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 18, 2016, 03:25:38 pm
Where are you guys watching this?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izmlveQPUe4
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the approval rating of Clinton or Trump if elected in December 2017 on: July 15, 2016, 01:59:51 pm
Trump's approval would probably be inflated compared to the numbers in this thread, considering he'd spend his first year or so fighting with Congress and calling Paul Ryan a loser on TV every day. Independents will love that.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: A year ago today, did you expect the GOP nominee to be Trump? on: July 15, 2016, 08:09:03 am
No, I foolishly thought Jeb! until after the First Debate, I think. After that I had no idea. It didn't really set in for me that Donald would be the nominee until sometime in December.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How stoked are you for the "Night of Benghazi" at the GOP convention? on: July 14, 2016, 06:09:36 am
Very stoked (for the hilarity)
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Blue Firewall state will Trump do best in? on: July 13, 2016, 07:42:04 am
New Hampshire(sane, not TNVolunteer)

This, followed very closely by PA.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In the event of an electoral college tie, who does the House vote for? on: July 10, 2016, 01:49:01 pm
Neither. The vote is abandoned, and Ryan sworn in on inauguration day.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would Donald Trump or Lyin' Ted do better against Hillary? on: July 10, 2016, 05:50:34 am
I can imagine there are many Obama-Trump voters out there, especially in the Rust Belt. Aside from a few oddballs like Santander, I can't imagine there are many Obama-Cruz voters.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Shots fired at BLM protest in downtown Dallas, TX on: July 07, 2016, 11:42:35 pm
Congratulations BLM, today you officially crossed the line and became associated with terrorism.

Ugh, here we go, I was hoping we could at least wait until the bodies are cold until people start pointing fingers.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How will Trump do in the first debate? on: July 05, 2016, 10:47:00 pm
Trump will almost certainly outperform expectations. Pretty much every presidential or vice presidential debate is either forgotten instantly or is remembered entirely for a few tremendous zingers that the "winning candidate" delivered. If there's anything I can say about Trump, it's that he's good at zingers, and good at making at ass out of himself for publicity.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Describe, in one word, your reaction if you wake up to this map on Nov 9th on: July 04, 2016, 09:23:04 pm
help!
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