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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What will the first debate be like? on: September 18, 2016, 07:25:55 pm
A living nightmare.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict RCP avg margin by first Debate on: September 18, 2016, 06:37:37 pm
Clinton +2. She'll get a negligible bump from being back on the trail.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Minnesota and Iowa on: September 16, 2016, 02:48:31 pm
Both states have voted closely together for the last few elections, so why shouldn't they this year?

Uh.. sure, the last 2.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Iowa? on: September 16, 2016, 02:47:58 pm
Trump.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Defectors to Have a Place in Hillary Clinton's Administration on: September 14, 2016, 12:49:04 pm
At this rate she should just run as a Republican.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How many SC justices will the next president appoint? on: September 13, 2016, 01:16:47 pm
I think Trump will only get Scalia's seat. Clinton might get another pick before 2020, if one of the liberal judges decides to step down.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Twitter went down for several months... on: September 13, 2016, 12:27:12 am
it wouldnt
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would polls be the same if Obama were succeeding Clinton today? on: September 12, 2016, 02:41:11 pm
Obama would be ahead by at least 10 points RCP right now over the clown.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Trump win Colorado? on: September 10, 2016, 11:00:55 am
Why is this thread necessary? Your last thread was this exact thread, except with more #analysis.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is this good analysis? on: September 10, 2016, 10:12:56 am
nonsense analysis
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Jill Stein far left that she's right on some issues? on: September 10, 2016, 09:58:03 am
No, I reject horseshoe theory (normal)
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Donald Trump flip Minnesota red? on: September 06, 2016, 09:41:05 am
I mean.. I can think up a scenario where he can, but I can think up a scenario where Hillary wins Kansas.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Vigo county, indiana on: September 02, 2016, 09:57:04 pm
Trump.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Bloomberg had run, what states could he have won? on: August 29, 2016, 01:20:14 am
None, but he would split the Democratic vote enough for Hillary to lose.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Coulter: If Clinton wins, illegal immigrant amnesty means permanent D majority on: August 23, 2016, 11:07:55 am
"If Clinton wins, brown people I don't like will be able to vote (and probably won't vote how I want them to)."
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Dim Tim Kaine help in Virginia? on: August 23, 2016, 10:16:57 am
No, it was mostly Trump freaking out suburban whites with his racist rhetoric and unhinged remarks, particularly his feud with the Khan family.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: John Oliver makes the Trump bit to end all Trump bits. on: August 22, 2016, 11:38:26 pm
And this idea that Trump's campaign will have turned out to be a joke the whole time is the height of liberal fantasy.  They can't accept that people actually agree with Trump or like him.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 12-year old running Trump campaign in Denver suburb county on: August 22, 2016, 03:36:49 pm
He's probably more competent than Trump, Lewandowski, and Manafort. lol

This kid is going places, he'll probably be Trump's next campaign manager.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If you had to guess, what will Trump primarily be remembered as in 30 years? on: August 15, 2016, 12:38:57 am
A sign of things to come, at least as far as candidate personality, campaign style, and populist rhetoric.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mike Pence Declines to Endorse McCain or Ayotte on: August 04, 2016, 04:58:46 pm
Quote
Pence also said that he sees "eye to eye" with Donald Trump on their views of the Khan family, the current iteration of the Muslim ban and Russia's alleged role in the hacking of DNC emails.

o_O

Pence has been brought to heel.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why did Scott Walker do so poorly in the primaries? on: August 03, 2016, 09:15:32 pm
Good candidate on paper. =/= Good candidate.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Predict The 2020 GOP Primary Results With These Conditions on: August 03, 2016, 07:09:27 am
Who knows?

That said, probably someone who isn't Ted Cruz, but is able to court the evangelicals while taking up Trump's mantle as the far-right populist candidate.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump cancels the RNC's planned Hispanic Engagement Tour on: July 29, 2016, 10:41:30 pm
Campaigning in Mississippi!? Is he doing that bad there?

Gif

It's not outrageous to believe. The demographics could swing MS in the future, and Trump is no Generic R.

I've come to believe analyzing Trump's campaign movements in the way one would analyze a normal campaign's strategy is a fool's errand. Trump does things on a whim. He could be leading by +50 in Mississippi and he'd still send his son there for the hell of it, and then brag on Twitter when the rally had lower-than-expected turnout.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: pre-Democratic convention discussion LATEST: DWS won't speak due to email fallout on: July 24, 2016, 04:16:03 pm
Sarah McBride of the Human Rights Campaign will be the first transgender speaker at a major party convention.

http://www.hrc.org/blog/hrcs-sarah-mcbride-to-become-first-openly-transgender-person-to-speak-at-a/


Great news!


25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Donald Trump's convention speech? on: July 21, 2016, 10:41:03 pm
I expect "HS" to dominate this poll, but considering what expectations were, Trump did very well tonight. He exceeded expectations and was able to end a rough week on a high note.
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