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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News 1st tier GOP candidate debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: August 06, 2015, 08:52:33 pm
Rand is doing horrible.

Rand has seemed almost sophomoric tonight - trying to start arguments with everyone, and making an ass out of himself in the process. "You're having a hard time tonight" might be the most accurate thing Donald Trump has said during this debate.
27  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Cuckservatives on: July 30, 2015, 11:05:01 pm
no
28  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Can one be an atheist and believe in an afterlife? on: July 20, 2015, 07:53:55 am
Can one believe in an afterlife without believing in a deity? Yes.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: HuffPo stops covering Trump as politician on: July 19, 2015, 12:53:47 pm
He is running for President. He may be sillier, but this is silly attention-seeking click-bait.

No, Donald Trump is silly, attention-seeking click-bait.

I really don't understand any backlash to this decision. I think it's fairly obvious that Trump is a cynical opportunist who is courting the ultra-conservatives in the party by telling them what they want to hear. Why should HuffPo NOT put Trump's racially charged, insincere far-right rhetoric in the entertainment section?
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Party like its 2004 - Santorum wants constitutional amm. to ban ALL SSM on: July 15, 2015, 01:45:06 am
I think it's getting pretty likely that Santorum will drop out before Iowa, maybe even before the pre-Iowa debates finish up.
31  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Are You in Favor of Polygamous Marriage? on: July 10, 2015, 07:04:32 pm
Like others in this thread, I see nothing morally wrong with polyamorous relationships. However the idealism of legalizing polygamous marriages in an inherently patriarchal system is dubious at best. As others have pointed out, legalizing polygamous marriages will lead to polgyny in almost every circumstance.

Until such a point at which gender roles have been thoroughly dismantled in our society, I'm opposed.
32  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Will Obama have to call in the National Guard to enforce the gay marriage ruling? on: July 09, 2015, 05:50:15 pm
I think it'll just be Alabama where you have some trouble, but it shouldn't last for very long.

The guard in those states will stand with their state and resist. Indiana will join in too.

It would be quite absurd if a second civil war started because a bunch of homophobes couldn't bear the thought of marriage equality and social acceptance for LGBT+ individuals.
33  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Bronies on: July 05, 2015, 12:42:20 pm
Maybe the whole idea that we can make vast judgments about people's character based on what they watch is dumb or something.

Also the idea that only little girls can watch My Little Pony is sexist, and the idea that adults can't watch and enjoy kids cartoons is the reason most children's television sucks.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll - July 2015 on: July 03, 2015, 02:43:25 pm
Jeb Bush wins narrowly over Rand Paul.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Iowa Republican Caucuses Poll - July 2015 on: July 03, 2015, 02:39:07 pm
Walker will implode before he gets to Iowa, and the Huckster will probably drop out and endorse Cruz or some similarly conservative candidate. I'll say Rubio wins narrowly with Paul and Cruz in a statistical tie for second, and Bush in a distant fourth.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Wil Carly Fiorina win a state? on: July 03, 2015, 11:36:46 am
The best case scenario for Carly Fiorina is Jon Huntsman's 2012 result: 3rd place in New Hampshire behind a Paul as an establishment Republican easily cruises to victory.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - July 2015 on: July 01, 2015, 09:37:19 am
Walker has continually proven by now that he's not ready for prime time, and Christie, Jindal, Pataki, and Perry are all way past their prime. Carson and Fiorina are novelty candidates. Kasich and Graham only appeal to diminishing segments of the Republican Party primary electorate, and both of their preferred demographics (rust belt moderates, hawkish conservatives) could easily be won by an establishment candidate.

That leaves us with Bush, Cruz, Huckabee, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, and Trump. Out of that field, we have two establishment candidates (Bush, Rubio), four conservative candidates (Cruz, Huckabee, Santorum, Trump), and one libertarian (Paul).

Bush is still my best guess.
38  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Petition for an active ModAdmin on: June 30, 2015, 08:15:52 am
x Ody
39  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Petition to ban CountryClassSF on: June 29, 2015, 05:28:14 pm
Seriously we re-banned Libertas for "responding too much" and "defending himself" and he actually contributed by having amazing mapmaking skills (even if he makes bad arguments and his lifestyle is a bit out there), yet this troll actively instigates on multiple threads and contributes absolutely nothing whatsoever other than constantly posting how much he hates himself and other gays, how gay people merely existing is "shoving it in everyone's face", and we're still tolerating this crap?

Yeah. I mostly just lurk these days but nearly every thread I read has been at some point derailed by CountryClassSF. After hearing afletich is taking a break partly because of this inane behavior I really don't see why this guy shouldn't be banned.

x Ody
40  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will Obama be remembered in the top 10 of Presidents? on: June 28, 2015, 05:22:58 pm
No, his accomplishments are far too partisan and he didn't guide America through a crisis like the absolute top tier. In addition, almost all of his accomplishments are heavily dependent on how they look in 10-20 years, and he still stands the chance of being a bottom ten President is he ramrods through a deal with Iran that amounts to complete surrender.
Because the Great Recession never happened

The vast majority of Americans weren't personally affected by the great recession.

LOL
41  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Nate Silver on: June 27, 2015, 07:37:47 am
538 has suffered a definite dive in quality since leaving the NYT for ESPN.

Yeah. Nate Silver seems pretty intelligent and his analyses are usually pretty good, but the majority of FiveThirtyEight's content has become clickbait-with-numbers.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Supreme Court Issues Ruling On Same Sex Marriage Legalizing Marriage Nat. on: June 27, 2015, 07:20:03 am
This issue is not settled. 4-3 Traditional marriage wins because the advocates of marriage supremacy (gay marriage) have no honor in recusing over conflict of interest.

Incorrect.

Absolutely correct.

 
This issue is not settled. 4-3 Traditional marriage wins because the advocates of marriage supremacy (gay marriage) have no honor in recusing over conflict of interest.

In that case the vote is 1-0 in favor of marriage equality as everyone besides Kagan has had a heterosexual marriage, creating a conflict of interest.


Nope. It's 4-3 Kagan and Ginsberg performed gay weddings. Marriage equality is one man one woman. You and the pro-SSM crowd advocate the destruction of religious liberty which must be preserved.

I don't care what you think.

We won, you lost. That's all that matters to me. Go cry about it.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CNN: NH: Hillary and Sanders in a tight race on: June 26, 2015, 11:13:05 am
Clinton seems to be on track for a Al Gore '00 performance in the Democratic primaries.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Supreme Court Issues Ruling On Same Sex Marriage Legalizing Marriage Nat. on: June 26, 2015, 09:26:11 am
A lot of Republicans look really foolish, but still get way more votes than they ought to.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bernie Sanders vs Jeb Bush (and other GOP candidates) on: June 20, 2015, 10:19:12 pm
Something like this..



Bush - 342
Sanders - 196

I'm not going to bother making a PV estimation, but it would probably be at least a 10 pt. margin in favor of Bush. States that Obama won by 10-20 pts. would be within 2-5 pts. for Sanders, due to more centrist Democrats reluctantly voting for Bush. Sanders' (relatively) far left policy positions would also allow Bush to run up the score in conservative strongholds like the Mountain West and the South.

Note: this is assuming a relatively normal campaign. Bush would probably have plenty of opportunities to paint Sanders as a far left loon, and if he capitalized on these opportunities, it could turn into a 1972-esque rout. 
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carson:Let's talk less about anti-gay bigotry, more about anti-Christian bigotry on: June 14, 2015, 10:38:50 am
The belief that somehow American Christians are outnumbered, under siege, and fighting for their freedom to practice their religion is extremely insulting to Christians elsewhere in the world who are actually being persecuted.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election Predictions / Re: 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions on: June 11, 2015, 06:37:49 pm
The 'prediction graphs' for the 2016 gubernatorial predictions appear to be broken.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is New Hampshire fool's gold for Republicans? on: June 07, 2015, 10:08:37 am
If the national popular vote polling is looking more like 2000 or 2004 this time next year, then the GOP would have pretty fair chances in the state.

However, if the election looks more like 2008 (a 7-8 pt. victory for the Democratic candidate) or 2012 (a 3-4 pt. victory for the Democratic candidate), then forget about it. Another thing to keep in mind: NH has been about on par with Pennsylvania, the other 'fool's gold' Republican option, since 2004. If Republicans are winning NH they might just win Pennsylvania, too.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Republican candidate has the best chance against Clinton and why? on: June 06, 2015, 09:35:40 am
John Kasich, Jeb Bush, and Marco Rubio, in that order.

Rand Paul has a history of really bizarre statements and generally out-of-mainstream views that forces him to clarify his positions and play damage control a lot. For example, when he questioned the constitutionality of Title II of the Civil Rights Act during his Senate campaign, or more recently when he made some wacky comments about vaccination.

He has has the potential to play well against Hillary, but he also has the potential to be the next Barry Goldwater, by saying something wacky at the wrong time and allowing Hillary define him as a loon.
50  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your number on the Kinsey Scale? on: April 21, 2015, 04:34:03 pm
3!
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