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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 18, 2016, 03:25:38 pm
Where are you guys watching this?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izmlveQPUe4
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the approval rating of Clinton or Trump if elected in December 2017 on: July 15, 2016, 01:59:51 pm
Trump's approval would probably be inflated compared to the numbers in this thread, considering he'd spend his first year or so fighting with Congress and calling Paul Ryan a loser on TV every day. Independents will love that.
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: A year ago today, did you expect the GOP nominee to be Trump? on: July 15, 2016, 08:09:03 am
No, I foolishly thought Jeb! until after the First Debate, I think. After that I had no idea. It didn't really set in for me that Donald would be the nominee until sometime in December.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How stoked are you for the "Night of Benghazi" at the GOP convention? on: July 14, 2016, 06:09:36 am
Very stoked (for the hilarity)
55  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Blue Firewall state will Trump do best in? on: July 13, 2016, 07:42:04 am
New Hampshire(sane, not TNVolunteer)

This, followed very closely by PA.
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: In the event of an electoral college tie, who does the House vote for? on: July 10, 2016, 01:49:01 pm
Neither. The vote is abandoned, and Ryan sworn in on inauguration day.
57  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Would Donald Trump or Lyin' Ted do better against Hillary? on: July 10, 2016, 05:50:34 am
I can imagine there are many Obama-Trump voters out there, especially in the Rust Belt. Aside from a few oddballs like Santander, I can't imagine there are many Obama-Cruz voters.
58  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Shots fired at BLM protest in downtown Dallas, TX on: July 07, 2016, 11:42:35 pm
Congratulations BLM, today you officially crossed the line and became associated with terrorism.

Ugh, here we go, I was hoping we could at least wait until the bodies are cold until people start pointing fingers.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How will Trump do in the first debate? on: July 05, 2016, 10:47:00 pm
Trump will almost certainly outperform expectations. Pretty much every presidential or vice presidential debate is either forgotten instantly or is remembered entirely for a few tremendous zingers that the "winning candidate" delivered. If there's anything I can say about Trump, it's that he's good at zingers, and good at making at ass out of himself for publicity.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Describe, in one word, your reaction if you wake up to this map on Nov 9th on: July 04, 2016, 09:23:04 pm
help!
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538 Model Megathread on: June 29, 2016, 01:53:10 pm
Why is Gary Johnson getting such large percentages in states where he isn't yet on the ballot, particularly in the now-cast model?
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton's VP Choices (Week 2) on: June 28, 2016, 05:21:47 pm
Kaine probably. ugh.
63  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Corey Lewandowski becoming a CNN commentator? on: June 27, 2016, 09:24:02 am
Hilarious Move
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BERNIE ENDORSEMENT IMMINENT on: June 25, 2016, 08:41:13 pm
Looks like it's time to pack it in folks, Hillary is doomed. Cry
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: Congressman's ad "Make America WHITE Again." Is this racism Trump's fault on: June 24, 2016, 10:32:34 pm
Partially Trump's fault in that he encouraged it. But I think it is becoming clear that racism and nationalism have been festering in the US and indeed many western nations for some time.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TRUMP courting LGBT voters on: June 22, 2016, 10:28:28 am
He has a lot of gay friends. He's probably the least homophobic GOP nominee ever.

lol
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should Republican delegates go nuclear and dump Trump at the convention? on: June 14, 2016, 07:53:46 pm
As a Democrat, I'd love to have super-majorities in the House and Senate, so, yes. It'd be such an awful strategy.

Leaning yes at this point, but only if they could get someone other than Cruz through the convention.  Let's see where things are in early July.  It's far better for them to parachute in Ryan or Romney, lose by 3-5 and hold the house with a tied senate than to lose by 15 with Trump and give Democrats 2009-10 style majorities in congress.  But Trump could easily have this thing back to Clinton +3 by July, so we have to wait and see. 

I can't imagine the congressional races playing out anything other than worse if the GOP goes nuclear on Trump at the convention. At least if he were the nominee, incumbent politicians could disavow him to save face if things continue to go poorly. If Trump is nuked, suddenly every incumbent GOP politician has to decide how to spin "we thought half our voters were simply too stupid and racist to handle the responsibility of picking the nominee this year."
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: June 07, 2016, 07:39:02 pm
CNN: Bernie heading back to Vermont after tonight, then going to DC for a rally and "meetings."
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: June 07, 2016, 07:23:02 pm
Jeffrey Lord on CNN: "Everyone except me and Donald Trump are the real racists™."
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Donald Trump the next Barry Goldwater? on: June 07, 2016, 03:37:30 pm
Ultimately, I suspect this current chaos is too good to be true. Things will probably consolidate over the next few weeks. But the GOP seems determined to lose in a landslide with or without Trump, so who knows?

Of course not. He is the next Ronald Reagan.

lol
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will Bernie blame his losses on tonight? on: June 07, 2016, 03:23:12 pm
He will just give a victory speech despite losing nearly every state. Same tactic we've seen all year from various losers.
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump campaign: Female Judges might not be capable of judging Trump either on: June 07, 2016, 01:45:26 am
Time to nuke him at the convention? Really seems like he's a Democratic plant....

How do you nuke him when he has all the pledged delegates he needs to win?

Unpledge all the delegates.

LOL. Democrats should really shoot for big money if this happens. Maybe we can break 450 EVs and retake the House.
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump straight-out said "I'm racist, deal with it." ... on: June 06, 2016, 06:59:32 pm
I'd be glad he was finally honest about it so Democrats could hammer him with the quote, and somewhat respect that he had the balls to directly admit it.

Have we really set the bar this low?
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Poll: How much more damaged is Trump re Mexican Heritage comments ? on: June 06, 2016, 04:09:53 pm
Slightly, I guess? The sad reality is nobody except us nerds will remember this by the time the conventions are over.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cook Political Map Megathread on: June 06, 2016, 01:55:19 pm
Freedom Map if only for showing NH as toss-up.
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