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February 07, 2016, 04:59:34 pm
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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess post-debate polling numbers. on: January 15, 2016, 07:15:37 pm
Trump up, Cruz down, everyone else stagnant, except for maybe Christie.
52  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the main Fox Business Debate? on: January 15, 2016, 01:12:32 am
Fox Luntz focus group says Cruz
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vvc9oYmLsiY

Christie and Rubio also got high marks
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeJ44Svruis

Didn't Huckabee win the Luntz focus group for the first debate? lol
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox Business Network SC kiddie table debate @6pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 14, 2016, 06:27:31 pm
This was painful to watch - I've already changed the channel to be completely honest.
54  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538's 2016 Primary Forecasts on: January 12, 2016, 03:50:59 pm
"polls-plus"

No need to argue in the polls forum, guys, I see Nate Silver has decided to unskew the polls for us!  Tongue
55  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2018 Tennessee Gubernatorial Election on: January 07, 2016, 09:59:55 pm
Would a Harold Ford, Jr./Mary Mancini ticket be remotely strong? Or is Jim Cooper the only Democrat who could win statewide?

lol
56  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the GOP Nominee on: January 06, 2016, 11:38:43 am
Kind of astonished that people are now actually gravitating to Cruz being the GOP nominee. Especially hilarious is the idea that Cruz, a guy who is now apparently running to the right of Trump on immigration (lol), is going to win over establishment Republicans by merely not being Trump. If it comes down to a close race between Trump and Cruz, the establishment will just give up and take it to the convention.

Ultimately, that won't happen, though. Most of Cruz's support comes from people who would probably be at least content with a Trump nomination, anyway. It's gonna be the guy who has had massive amounts of support since he entered and is maintaining almost continuous media coverage of his campaign.
57  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Obama's gun speech today on: January 06, 2016, 11:29:27 am
The gun nuts are fucking sickos, as they prove in this very thread. Their masculinity is so damn fragile, they'd rather have children slaughtered in mass shootings than have to find a new, less dangerous phallic symbol to empower themselves with. Sickos.

I don't think these common sense reforms will have any effect whatsoever on the safety of innocents, but I suppose it is worth a try.

As long as I can keep the one gun we have in case of home invasion, I don't care what you call me.  In that rare event, I WILL be able to protect my family.  If you somehow come to the conclusion I'm only trumpeting my fragile manhood, wow; but whatever.

Pretty sure Leif, even in TRUMP mode, isn't referring to normal people who buy a gun to protect themselves from burglars or other intruders. More like people who think that owning 3 assault rifles is normal and think that having to go through any kind of background check or safety training is GUBMIT TYRANNY.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump: I will expand the map, I will win New York and Pennsylvania! on: January 06, 2016, 11:02:57 am
If Trump is the nominee, New York might vote to the right of New Hampshire. Smiley 

DAVE, please censor "New Hampshire" and "NH" for TN Volunteer's account only. Thanks.
59  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump loses Iowa, does he win or lose New Hampshire? on: January 03, 2016, 05:38:25 am
I think the only way he really has a chance to lose in New Hampshire because of a loss in Iowa is if Christie does much better than expected in the Iowa caucus. Cruz is going nowhere in NH and any post-IA momentum for him is only really going to affect the SC primary.

I doubt he loses it. It depends what happens in the next month but Iowa is really useless on the Republican side. It hasn't picked a nominee correctly since 2000.

Well, that just means it only failed two times in 2008 and 2012 (barely). Two in a row does not a pattern make.

It voted for Bush in 1980, and Dole in 1988. The only times Iowa has really picked the winner is in non-competitive primaries like 1992, and 2000. Dole also won it in 1996, but I'm not sure if you'd call 1996 a competitive primary year.
60  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rank GOP Candidates by Electability on: December 31, 2015, 11:19:52 pm
(actually could win over independents and some democrats - white ones, mind you)

1. Trump
2. Christie

(hoping that the demographics and turnout levels go back to 2004 or earlier levels)

3. Cruz

(hoping that being the son of a Cuban immigrant or being married to a hispanic immigrant will win over hispanic voters)

4. Rubio
5. Bush

(hoping that people have an "oops" moment in the voting booth)

6. Carson
61  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Ted Cruz have all the power? on: December 30, 2015, 03:57:11 pm
If Cruz loses Iowa or loses overall, he has another 4 years to run again. He's young enough.
He will be primaried in 2018

By who? An establishment challenge would be a disaster in Texas and there is no room to Cruz's right.

lol. 2018 might be a little early, yeah, but give it four-six years and Cruz will be a "moderate" in the party.
62  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Latest from Bernie: the data breach was AN INSIDE JOB!!11! on: December 25, 2015, 11:14:34 pm
Very sad.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of the Candidates on: December 25, 2015, 06:55:12 pm
They're all HPs but a few of them deserve special categories for being much worse than the others.
64  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win the Tennessee Republican Primary? on: December 22, 2015, 04:08:49 pm
Trump, of course.
65  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Quinnipiac nat. poll: D: Clinton 61% Sanders 30%; R: Trump 28% Cruz 24% Rubio 12% on: December 22, 2015, 02:58:15 pm
I see Cruz is now the Anti-Trump flavor of the month. I wonder if he will generate as much hype as Walker, Bush, Carson, and Rubio before him? More importantly, how long do you guys wager it'll be before the media and the GOP establishment decides to hype up someone else? I hear Christie is on the rise. Tongue
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio path to victory in the General Election on: December 20, 2015, 05:35:19 pm
All of the Romney States + FL, OH, VA. He must then win one of IA or NH. Pretty much the same as any other GOP candidate. I'd also suggest CO and NV, but I think these are stretch goals for any GOP candidate after Trump's "Build the Wall" rhetoric.
67  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC Manchester, NH Democratic debate @8pm ET **live commentary thread** on: December 19, 2015, 10:50:16 pm
"Thank you, goodnight, and May the Force Be With You" - Hillary Rodham Clinton
68  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the debate? on: December 19, 2015, 10:46:59 pm
Honestly, I thought O'Malley was the most interesting, which is either a testament to my crippled sanity or how weak the Democratic bench is. Probably both.

Not like the winner of this debate will matter, anyway.
69  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC Manchester, NH Democratic debate @8pm ET **live commentary thread** on: December 19, 2015, 10:38:25 pm
Actually a very satisfying answer from O'Malley from such a softball question.
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC Manchester, NH Democratic debate @8pm ET **live commentary thread** on: December 19, 2015, 10:04:36 pm
"No middle class tax raises."

what a great strategy!!
71  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC software breach gave Sanders campaign confidential Clinton Data on: December 19, 2015, 06:00:32 pm
Interesting moment today.

A relative of mine who leans way to the right and is an avid Fox News/DrudgeReport fan went on a tangent this morning against the DNC and Clinton and said "Sanders is being robbed outright". So, maybe the public is siding with Bernie on this one?



Hillary Derangement Syndrome.

Yes, the 60% of Americans who say that Hillary isn't honest or trustworthy all suffer from Hillary Derangement Syndrome.

lol
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC software breach gave Sanders campaign confidential Clinton Data on: December 19, 2015, 05:38:27 pm
Interesting moment today.

A relative of mine who leans way to the right and is an avid Fox News/DrudgeReport fan went on a tangent this morning against the DNC and Clinton and said "Sanders is being robbed outright". So, maybe the public is siding with Bernie on this one?



Hillary Derangement Syndrome.
73  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Rubio a real-life Frank Underwood? on: December 19, 2015, 03:16:36 am
Only candidate who even comes close is Ted Cruz, imo.
74  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC Manchester, NH Democratic debate @8pm ET **live commentary thread** on: December 19, 2015, 03:02:06 am
Who's the guy in the background?

Bernie Sanders.
75  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC software breach gave Sanders campaign confidential Clinton Data on: December 18, 2015, 06:18:00 pm
BREAKING: WASHINGTON (AP) Hillary Clinton campaign manager says its data was 'stolen' by Sanders campaign.

This is literally true, so?

Berniebots can't fathom that their progressive messiah might not be as beautiful, precious, and pure as they think he is.
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