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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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601  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: If we banned CountryClassSF, why is bobloblaw allowed to run free? on: September 03, 2015, 11:59:42 am
i'd second that, especially since he seems to have drifted into white nationalist territory as of late
602  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb Bush pisses off Stephen Colbert on: September 03, 2015, 11:23:34 am
Rolling Stone has a bit of clearer info on this.

Quote from: Rolling Stone
Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush recently sent out an email to supporters trumpeting his visit to the inaugural episode of Late Show With Stephen Colbert and also announcing a contest where, for $3, donors could win a VIP trip to the taping. One problem: No one at Team Jeb! cleared the contest with Stephen Colbert..

So while, yes, politicians always go on late night programs to raise awareness for their campaigns, they generally don't use them to start unauthorized fundraising 'contests' giving out tickets to said late night programs. This may not sound like a big deal, but it put CBS in the awkward position of having to deny that this was a coordinated tie-in. And as the NY Daily News points out:

Quote from: NY Daily News
Tickets to the Colbert show, like those to the Jimmy Fallon show on NBC and the Jimmy Kimmel show on ABC, are free. Attendees request tickets months in advance and they are required to show identification to get in.

They are among the few tickets that almost never make it to the resale market.

Bush’s campaign would be following common practice if it distributed some of its guest tickets to his good friends, who during a presidential campaign would prominently include people who give him money.

The campaign might also say that the raffle gives a much wider range of supporters a chance to attend, since they won’t just be handed to a few select top donors.

But as the article goes on to say - he's not giving some tickets out to close friends who might give him donations, he's transparently asking for donations in exchange for the possibility of getting a ticket to the show.

It's also worth noting that Stephen Colbert is not some empty-suit, and despite his move away from the Colbert Report, remains quite political in comparison with other late night hosts. So it should be no surprise that he is so public about this obvious attempt to turn a late night appearance into a fundraising opportunity. Colbert has already responded with a tongue-in-cheek contest of his own, here.

In conclusion, let's hope that Jeb!'s appearance on the Late Show is as much of a disaster as it promises to be.
603  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Morning Consult national poll: Clinton leads Republicans by 1-11 points on: September 01, 2015, 11:32:10 am
Trump gets 16% of Obama voters. Doesn't seem realistic?

Trump wins the brogressive vote against Hillary Clinton, which shouldn't be that surprising.
604  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush campaign releases devastating web ad against Trump on: September 01, 2015, 11:23:16 am

Wont make a difference. Bush is weak on the border and embraces another culture.

Running Jeb is like running Billy Carter (RIP)

605  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush campaign releases devastating web ad against Trump on: September 01, 2015, 11:19:41 am
Highlights from the comments

'Still don't care, Trump is still better than another Bush''

''Folks tend to change their mind when life experience shows that their original opinion or belief is no longer valid or was possibly wrong to begin with. I have certainly changed my mind as I have learned through time. I have voted for TWO of the Bush family for president. Considering the other candidates at the time it was not a hard choice. It is not a hard choice now. Trump 2016!''

''This video didn't really change my mind, and I think it's a weak attack. Trump was a private citizen most of his life, not a politician, and he seems to have naturally evolved his positions over time.''

''I like him even more after this video. He's a pragmatist and not a partisan. I'm a moderate republican and I think the rich should be paying more in taxes. The middle class is getting absolutely hosed in this country. Trump 2016!''

606  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 GOP White House victory: blessing in disguise for Dems? on: August 30, 2015, 05:48:00 pm
Somehow I don't think the GOP holding the Presidency and large majorities in both houses of congress while also controlling most state legislatures would be a good thing for the Democrats or this nation, no.
607  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump Decision on 3rd Party Coming "Very Soon" on: August 30, 2015, 01:59:20 am
He's going to make the pledge because he has to in order to appear on the primary ballot in some states.

But that doesn't mean he can't change his mind.
608  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you support ending birthright citizenship (US)? on: August 24, 2015, 09:09:03 pm
No (not a racist lunatic with fantasies about ANCHOR BABIES being used to take advantage of our 'generous' (lmao) welfare state)
609  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Perry campaign, low on cash, stops paying SC staff *UPDATE* actually, all staff on: August 24, 2015, 06:18:05 pm
At this rate, I have to wonder if Perry will make it to the CNN debate.
610  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bush clarifies 'anchor babies' wasn't anti-Hispanic slur, it was about Asians on: August 24, 2015, 06:13:33 pm
This is the best election cycle.

I can't wait until the next GOP debate, when candidates get into heated arguments over how to deal with the 'anchor baby threat' that is destroying this nation.
611  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather discuss music with BRTD or discuss sex and gender with Antonio? on: August 24, 2015, 06:11:40 pm
Antonio and this isn't even close.
612  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Crossdressing on: August 24, 2015, 06:10:31 pm
I've crossdressed more than once and to assume that all men who crossdress are doing it for sexual or perverted reasons is kind of insensitive, to be flat honest.
613  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Women in the military: yes or no? on: August 23, 2015, 03:23:30 pm
Might I suggest stop replying to this poster? His MO is to periodically post some extremist thing and then disappear. Never responds in his own posts or others. Classic hit and run tactics. Perhaps stop playing along ? This will be my first and last post to this OP
614  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Walker joins Trump, calls for ending birthright citizenship on: August 17, 2015, 02:50:04 pm
This is insane. What the hell is happening?
615  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Make a Prediction: Hillary vs Bernie in every state on: August 15, 2015, 05:31:32 pm
Bernie wins NH in a close race, but loses NV and SC by wide margins. He picks up his home state of VT, along with CO and MN on Super Tuesday but loses everywhere else. Biden drops out. Bernie continues his campaign mostly for ideological reasons and to maintain awareness about issues he feels are important. He wins the occasional caucus, but finally suspends his campaign in early April and endorses Hillary.

616  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Black Lives Matter on: August 13, 2015, 08:08:40 am
Very positive.

Negative, First of all it should be All Lives Matter or Stop Police Brutality as police brutality affects everyone, and 2nd and most importantly its been turned into an attack everyone but Hillary group

First of all, blacks are disproportionate victims of police brutality in this nation. Suggesting that movements to stop police brutality should just ignore the racial aspect of the issue is suggesting that they ignore half of the issue itself. It downplays the importance of the racial disparity in police brutality cases. It also downplays black victims themselves by implying that blacks face a relatively equal burden as whites (or any other race) as victims of police abuse of power.

Second of all, as others have already pointed out, BLM has protested at Hillary events as well. This movement is not about the Democratic primary, believe it or not, but about one of the biggest civil rights issues of our time. The idea that the 'most important' factor in your opinion of BLM is the fact that Bernie Sanders allowed 2 people who identified with the movement to speak out at his event is really laughable considering what this movement is actually about.
617  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rejoice Clinton Hacks! on: August 12, 2015, 05:48:37 am
You all had to know that as soon as loser Nate Silver put this out that Sanders would take the lead in New Hampshire.

Yeah, these days I think predicting the opposite of what FiveThirtyEight says is sometimes the safer bet. For a statistics-driven sports and politics analysis website, the amount of sports and politics predictions that they've gotten hilariously, flat-out wrong is astonishing.
618  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Paul: Trump's kids never worked at Pizza Hut on: August 11, 2015, 03:33:38 pm
What an idiot.

A very concise summary of the Rand Paul campaign.
619  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - August 2015 (Post-debate) on: August 11, 2015, 06:40:42 am
I'm still voting Bush in these polls, but I just don't know what to think anymore. This party has finally gone off the deep end. After looking at those post-debate polls, it might be Trump or Carson for all we know.
620  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this image from Tumblr on: August 10, 2015, 07:22:50 am
Horrible, horrible image.

Horrible Image. It makes me even more critical of internet actvists.

The idea that this image is even remotely characteristic of 'internet activism' as a whole is pretty laughable.
621  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Have "race relations" gotten worse, or more publicized, since Obama? on: August 09, 2015, 05:17:41 pm
Race relations have gotten worse since Obama, but Obama himself has little to do with it. It is mostly a result of the heightened exposure of racist police abuses, which is itself largely due to a combination of mainstream social media and the 24-hour news cycle.
622  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which candidates will drop out before the Iowa Caucuses? on: August 09, 2015, 12:41:42 pm
O'Malley, Trump, Huckabee, Santorum, Gilmore, Everson.

Trump is going to implode between now and February, and Santorum will likely drop unless he somehow gets invited to a prime-time debate. I get the feeling the Huckabee campaign is just going to kind of stagnate once conservatives start flocking to fresher faces like Carson, Cruz, Rubio, and Walker. He'll probably drop out early to make room for the eventual conservative opposition to Bush.

I can see the logic behind people like Pataki, Chafee, Graham, or Perry, but those candidates can all delude themselves into thinking they can win NH or SC to gain momentum. Also, I suspect Graham will at least stay in until SC. After seeing him tie every answer back to foreign policy in the last debate, it's clear that he's mostly running an ideological campaign.
623  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why does Black Lives Matter go after lefty Democrats? on: August 09, 2015, 05:29:44 am
I think Pyrofox's post in the (admittedly low-quality) thread about this in the 2016 forum is pretty spot on.

Condemning incidences of police brutality (which Sanders has done, and has a better record than most candidates on) does not make a concrete policy proposal to solve the issue, nor does talking about past support for civil rights.  

I think this is the most important issue here and is the key to understanding why this portion of BLM chose to take the stage. It's not because he's white and they're against white people, it's because Sanders is likely the only candidate who would be willing to listen and put together a real plan to address the issues which made BLM happen. He needs to take this seriously and treat it the same as he has economic issues.

However, looking at the broader picture, is interrupting a rally the best way to make the candidates talk about the issues pertaining to black lives, or is it deterring people away? If this type of action does lead to real change and prompts Sanders to push social issues more in his campaign, then I'm all for it, but the consensus seems to be that it's hindering them more then helping.

Bolded for emphasis. BLM protesters are likely to show up at events of candidates who might not only be sympathetic to their cause, but willing to raise issues important to them during the Democratic primary.. It would be more foolish to attempt protests at the events of Republican candidates. The conservative supporters in the crowd would only be pushed further to the right. Furthermore, any GOP candidate would instantly gain a mudslinging opportunity and plenty of attention should any confrontation go viral.

Sanders is one of the few candidates, even in the Democratic primary, who might be able to raise some of the BLM issues into the political conversation. But as mentioned in this quoted post, the tactic may just turn off many otherwise progressive supporters of Sanders, etc to their cause.
624  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's play a game. Who do you believe will be the last 4-5 standing candidates? on: August 09, 2015, 03:27:45 am
Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Scott Walker.

Trump, Huckabee, and Santorum all drop out before Iowa. Everyone other than the five candidates listed above, give or take Marco Rubio, drop out before Super Tuesday.
625  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rank the candidates from most likely to least likely to defeat Clinton on: August 06, 2015, 11:55:35 pm
1. Kasich
2. Bush
3. Rubio
4. Christie
5. Walker
6. Trump? His appeal to American disillusionment makes him a bit of a wildcard.
Everyone Else
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