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601  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Walker joins Trump, calls for ending birthright citizenship on: August 17, 2015, 02:50:04 pm
This is insane. What the hell is happening?
602  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Make a Prediction: Hillary vs Bernie in every state on: August 15, 2015, 05:31:32 pm
Bernie wins NH in a close race, but loses NV and SC by wide margins. He picks up his home state of VT, along with CO and MN on Super Tuesday but loses everywhere else. Biden drops out. Bernie continues his campaign mostly for ideological reasons and to maintain awareness about issues he feels are important. He wins the occasional caucus, but finally suspends his campaign in early April and endorses Hillary.

603  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Black Lives Matter on: August 13, 2015, 08:08:40 am
Very positive.

Negative, First of all it should be All Lives Matter or Stop Police Brutality as police brutality affects everyone, and 2nd and most importantly its been turned into an attack everyone but Hillary group

First of all, blacks are disproportionate victims of police brutality in this nation. Suggesting that movements to stop police brutality should just ignore the racial aspect of the issue is suggesting that they ignore half of the issue itself. It downplays the importance of the racial disparity in police brutality cases. It also downplays black victims themselves by implying that blacks face a relatively equal burden as whites (or any other race) as victims of police abuse of power.

Second of all, as others have already pointed out, BLM has protested at Hillary events as well. This movement is not about the Democratic primary, believe it or not, but about one of the biggest civil rights issues of our time. The idea that the 'most important' factor in your opinion of BLM is the fact that Bernie Sanders allowed 2 people who identified with the movement to speak out at his event is really laughable considering what this movement is actually about.
604  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rejoice Clinton Hacks! on: August 12, 2015, 05:48:37 am
You all had to know that as soon as loser Nate Silver put this out that Sanders would take the lead in New Hampshire.

Yeah, these days I think predicting the opposite of what FiveThirtyEight says is sometimes the safer bet. For a statistics-driven sports and politics analysis website, the amount of sports and politics predictions that they've gotten hilariously, flat-out wrong is astonishing.
605  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Paul: Trump's kids never worked at Pizza Hut on: August 11, 2015, 03:33:38 pm
What an idiot.

A very concise summary of the Rand Paul campaign.
606  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Republican Nomination Poll - August 2015 (Post-debate) on: August 11, 2015, 06:40:42 am
I'm still voting Bush in these polls, but I just don't know what to think anymore. This party has finally gone off the deep end. After looking at those post-debate polls, it might be Trump or Carson for all we know.
607  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this image from Tumblr on: August 10, 2015, 07:22:50 am
Horrible, horrible image.

Horrible Image. It makes me even more critical of internet actvists.

The idea that this image is even remotely characteristic of 'internet activism' as a whole is pretty laughable.
608  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Have "race relations" gotten worse, or more publicized, since Obama? on: August 09, 2015, 05:17:41 pm
Race relations have gotten worse since Obama, but Obama himself has little to do with it. It is mostly a result of the heightened exposure of racist police abuses, which is itself largely due to a combination of mainstream social media and the 24-hour news cycle.
609  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which candidates will drop out before the Iowa Caucuses? on: August 09, 2015, 12:41:42 pm
O'Malley, Trump, Huckabee, Santorum, Gilmore, Everson.

Trump is going to implode between now and February, and Santorum will likely drop unless he somehow gets invited to a prime-time debate. I get the feeling the Huckabee campaign is just going to kind of stagnate once conservatives start flocking to fresher faces like Carson, Cruz, Rubio, and Walker. He'll probably drop out early to make room for the eventual conservative opposition to Bush.

I can see the logic behind people like Pataki, Chafee, Graham, or Perry, but those candidates can all delude themselves into thinking they can win NH or SC to gain momentum. Also, I suspect Graham will at least stay in until SC. After seeing him tie every answer back to foreign policy in the last debate, it's clear that he's mostly running an ideological campaign.
610  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why does Black Lives Matter go after lefty Democrats? on: August 09, 2015, 05:29:44 am
I think Pyrofox's post in the (admittedly low-quality) thread about this in the 2016 forum is pretty spot on.

Condemning incidences of police brutality (which Sanders has done, and has a better record than most candidates on) does not make a concrete policy proposal to solve the issue, nor does talking about past support for civil rights.  

I think this is the most important issue here and is the key to understanding why this portion of BLM chose to take the stage. It's not because he's white and they're against white people, it's because Sanders is likely the only candidate who would be willing to listen and put together a real plan to address the issues which made BLM happen. He needs to take this seriously and treat it the same as he has economic issues.

However, looking at the broader picture, is interrupting a rally the best way to make the candidates talk about the issues pertaining to black lives, or is it deterring people away? If this type of action does lead to real change and prompts Sanders to push social issues more in his campaign, then I'm all for it, but the consensus seems to be that it's hindering them more then helping.

Bolded for emphasis. BLM protesters are likely to show up at events of candidates who might not only be sympathetic to their cause, but willing to raise issues important to them during the Democratic primary.. It would be more foolish to attempt protests at the events of Republican candidates. The conservative supporters in the crowd would only be pushed further to the right. Furthermore, any GOP candidate would instantly gain a mudslinging opportunity and plenty of attention should any confrontation go viral.

Sanders is one of the few candidates, even in the Democratic primary, who might be able to raise some of the BLM issues into the political conversation. But as mentioned in this quoted post, the tactic may just turn off many otherwise progressive supporters of Sanders, etc to their cause.
611  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's play a game. Who do you believe will be the last 4-5 standing candidates? on: August 09, 2015, 03:27:45 am
Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Scott Walker.

Trump, Huckabee, and Santorum all drop out before Iowa. Everyone other than the five candidates listed above, give or take Marco Rubio, drop out before Super Tuesday.
612  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rank the candidates from most likely to least likely to defeat Clinton on: August 06, 2015, 11:55:35 pm
1. Kasich
2. Bush
3. Rubio
4. Christie
5. Walker
6. Trump? His appeal to American disillusionment makes him a bit of a wildcard.
Everyone Else
613  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Fox completely ignoring John Kasich on: August 06, 2015, 11:01:13 pm
Thoughts? I don't think Fox has mentioned Kasich's name a single time after the debate ended.

John Kasich performed very well, looked the most presidential out of anyone in the debate, and was definitely the most electable candidate on the stage. Fox News probably is less interested in who actually performed well at the debate - they're more concerned with who was the 'most conservative' or most inflammatory or bizarre. Hence you get Carson and Huckabee.

I imagine you'll see a lot of praise for Kasich, Rubio, and maybe even Christie, Walker, and Bush on CNN and MSNBC.
614  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News 1st tier GOP candidate debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: August 06, 2015, 09:02:32 pm
Ben Carson discussing what he would do if he wanted to destroy America.
615  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News 1st tier GOP candidate debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: August 06, 2015, 08:52:33 pm
Rand is doing horrible.

Rand has seemed almost sophomoric tonight - trying to start arguments with everyone, and making an ass out of himself in the process. "You're having a hard time tonight" might be the most accurate thing Donald Trump has said during this debate.
616  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Cuckservatives on: July 30, 2015, 11:05:01 pm
617  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Can one be an atheist and believe in an afterlife? on: July 20, 2015, 07:53:55 am
Can one believe in an afterlife without believing in a deity? Yes.
618  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: HuffPo stops covering Trump as politician on: July 19, 2015, 12:53:47 pm
He is running for President. He may be sillier, but this is silly attention-seeking click-bait.

No, Donald Trump is silly, attention-seeking click-bait.

I really don't understand any backlash to this decision. I think it's fairly obvious that Trump is a cynical opportunist who is courting the ultra-conservatives in the party by telling them what they want to hear. Why should HuffPo NOT put Trump's racially charged, insincere far-right rhetoric in the entertainment section?
619  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Party like its 2004 - Santorum wants constitutional amm. to ban ALL SSM on: July 15, 2015, 01:45:06 am
I think it's getting pretty likely that Santorum will drop out before Iowa, maybe even before the pre-Iowa debates finish up.
620  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Are You in Favor of Polygamous Marriage? on: July 10, 2015, 07:04:32 pm
Like others in this thread, I see nothing morally wrong with polyamorous relationships. However the idealism of legalizing polygamous marriages in an inherently patriarchal system is dubious at best. As others have pointed out, legalizing polygamous marriages will lead to polgyny in almost every circumstance.

Until such a point at which gender roles have been thoroughly dismantled in our society, I'm opposed.
621  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Will Obama have to call in the National Guard to enforce the gay marriage ruling? on: July 09, 2015, 05:50:15 pm
I think it'll just be Alabama where you have some trouble, but it shouldn't last for very long.

The guard in those states will stand with their state and resist. Indiana will join in too.

It would be quite absurd if a second civil war started because a bunch of homophobes couldn't bear the thought of marriage equality and social acceptance for LGBT+ individuals.
622  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Bronies on: July 05, 2015, 12:42:20 pm
Maybe the whole idea that we can make vast judgments about people's character based on what they watch is dumb or something.

Also the idea that only little girls can watch My Little Pony is sexist, and the idea that adults can't watch and enjoy kids cartoons is the reason most children's television sucks.
623  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll - July 2015 on: July 03, 2015, 02:43:25 pm
Jeb Bush wins narrowly over Rand Paul.
624  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Iowa Republican Caucuses Poll - July 2015 on: July 03, 2015, 02:39:07 pm
Walker will implode before he gets to Iowa, and the Huckster will probably drop out and endorse Cruz or some similarly conservative candidate. I'll say Rubio wins narrowly with Paul and Cruz in a statistical tie for second, and Bush in a distant fourth.
625  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Wil Carly Fiorina win a state? on: July 03, 2015, 11:36:46 am
The best case scenario for Carly Fiorina is Jon Huntsman's 2012 result: 3rd place in New Hampshire behind a Paul as an establishment Republican easily cruises to victory.
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