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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Realistic Trump ceiling & Clinton floor on: March 29, 2016, 02:07:02 pm
There's zero chance Trump would win PA and MI.

I will save this quote for reference when Trump wins both in November.

Haha, deal.

I suppose he'll also win WI, MN, ME, NJ, NY......?

Certainly not.

If he wins MI and PA, I don't see how he'll fail to win WI and MN, at the least....Hillary has a better chance at winning Utah than Trump does at winning either MI or PA.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Realistic Trump ceiling & Clinton floor on: March 29, 2016, 02:02:10 pm
There's zero chance Trump would win PA and MI.

I will save this quote for reference when Trump wins both in November.

Haha, deal.

I suppose he'll also win WI, MN, ME, NJ, NY......?
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Realistic Trump ceiling & Clinton floor on: March 29, 2016, 01:55:22 pm
There's zero chance Trump would win PA and MI.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Realistic Trump ceiling & Clinton floor on: March 29, 2016, 01:43:45 pm


Clinton - 402
Trump - 136

I think this is the absolute best Clinton could do.

As for how well Trump could do?



Clinton - 273
Trump - 265
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump calls into Wisconsin radio show, doesn't know that host is #NeverTrump on: March 29, 2016, 01:29:47 pm
That radio host destroyed Trump, and Trump wasn't at all prepared. This shows that Trump literally cannot defend himself or his record (or lack thereof).

This is as hard hitting as his competitors should've been.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Female Voters Turning Against Trump on: March 26, 2016, 02:45:40 pm
Ann Coulter (a Trump supporter) said women shouldn't be allowed to vote.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump independent run on: March 24, 2016, 02:05:05 pm
I don't think he'd be very competitive as a Republican, so I can't really say he'd do well as an independent.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How well would a Trump / Carson ticket do? on: March 24, 2016, 02:02:01 pm
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Hillary Clinton win Utah in the general election? on: March 22, 2016, 08:09:16 pm
Trump won't win Utah.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republicans for Clinton (Democrats for Nixon 1972 Style) on: March 22, 2016, 08:03:35 pm
I know several Republicans who'll be voting for Clinton if Trump is the nominee.

As for me, I'm a Republican leaning independent, and I will vote Clinton over Trump also.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to skip FOX News debate on: March 16, 2016, 09:16:29 am
I understand why he is doing it (he has nothing substantial to say and with Rubio gone, so are his options for creating Reality TV) but, just like in Iowa, this will ultimately backfire on him.  People do listen to debates and without Trump, they will hear Kasich and Cruz lay out detailed plans and invariably compare them to Trump's lack of any.

So good move on Trump, since he has nothing to gain from debates (until he stops being lazy and starts studying the issues), but a loss for him overall nonetheless!

Absolutely.

How many debates have they done, and the American people are still so ignorant about him and are unable see that he never lays out any detailed plans, just broad statement designed to become a soundbite?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to skip FOX News debate on: March 16, 2016, 09:13:58 am
Good decision. The last few debates have added precisely nothing to the race.

Because Trump doesn't allow anyone else to speak (instead just interrupting every candidate all the time); and he turns the whole thing into a barrage of insults and BIG statements with zero substance behind them, never once offering any kind of actual plan as to how he would get anything done.

On the contrary, the non-TRUMP candidates have probably spoken more in the last few debates. Or at least have made more memorable lines.

No way. Have you watched any of the debates? Trump literally does not allow other candidates to fully speak before he butts in with little "oh please's" or degrading someone with insulting nicknames.

When he isn't bragging about the size of his penis anyway.

How presidential.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to skip FOX News debate on: March 16, 2016, 09:11:27 am
So what Trump's saying is that not only is he an ignorant, arrogant, egotistical, lying, bigoted, fascist wanna-be, but that he also can't learn from experience.

But he's gonna force another nation pay for our wall, so who cares about all that?

We will be winning all the time pretty soon; we're going to get bored with all the winning we do.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to skip FOX News debate on: March 16, 2016, 08:57:23 am
Good decision. The last few debates have added precisely nothing to the race.

Because Trump doesn't allow anyone else to speak (instead just interrupting every candidate all the time); and he turns the whole thing into a barrage of insults and BIG statements with zero substance behind them, never once offering any kind of actual plan as to how he would get anything done.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of this #NeverTrump strategy on: March 15, 2016, 06:01:32 pm
Trump has led to the death of the Republican Party. The GOP will never be the same after this election.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your reaction if *THIS* is the election result. on: March 12, 2016, 08:11:32 am
Relieved that Hitler didn't win.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who holds the blame for the events in Chicago? on: March 12, 2016, 08:09:51 am
Trump literally tells his supporters to roughen up detractors.

He insults opponents at every turn. He degrades other races. He incites hatred toward an entire religion.

The violence in Chicago is wrong, no matter which side.

But Trump and his supporters started this, and even encourage violence like this to happen. I think they're just surprised the violence was directed at them this time.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Virgin Islands Caucus results thread (11am-5pm ET) on: March 11, 2016, 09:38:06 am
Perhaps the Virgin Islands should be uncommitted to the United States.

Yeah honestly, this is pretty pathetic. Are the VI people jus completely ignorant of the political process or are they trying to make a mockery of it?

To be fair, Donald Trump has already made a mockery of American politics.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How exactly can Trump win Pennsylvania against Hillary? on: March 10, 2016, 03:44:04 pm
He does have a chance with OH and FL...

I just can't see how that is possible if Hispanic turnout sees a pretty heavy bump, which looks like that might be the case. The FL Hispanic electorate is growing very fast and has been moving heavily towards Democrats in recent years - If Romney couldn't win it in 2012, it's just hard to see Trump winning it now in a better economy with likely record non-white turnout / Democratic support.

Yea, you're probably right.

I was trying to giving Trump the best chances he'd have, and I think he *could* win FL, but the chances are probably really low. Just not as low as PA.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How exactly can Trump win Pennsylvania against Hillary? on: March 10, 2016, 03:38:58 pm
He won't win PA.

He does have a chance with OH and FL...he could take both. But even then, he wouldn't win. He'd need to win some combination of VA, IA, CO, NC, WI, MN, and NV in order to get to 270--in addition to OH and FL.

PA won't happen for him. OH and FL might go to him.

But VA, IA, WI, MN, and NV are all likely Hillary states at this point, with CO also being a good possibility for her. Trump could take NC, but I really doubt his chances in the other states I mentioned.

The absolute most optimistic electoral scenario for Trump would see him winning 262 electoral votes. That's even with him taking OH and FL.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Donald Trump's goal to destroy the Republican party? on: March 06, 2016, 12:10:24 pm
The GOP has been destroyed for me, at least. I've never voted Democrat, but this will be my first time. This election has opened my eyes at how badly racism and fascism is running rampant in their ranks, made apparent thanks to Trump.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Clinton Prefer to Face Trump or Cruz? on: March 06, 2016, 10:24:30 am
Trump really has no way to win the general. The electoral map already favors a Democrat by default. And with Trump's racist and fascist rhetoric, he won't win in places he'll need to in order to win the election--most swing states will swing away from that kind of candidate, when given the option of a non-authoritarian candidate.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump asks FL supporters to swear to vote for him.... on: March 05, 2016, 08:40:40 pm
Absolutely disgraceful.

I can't wait to see how his delusional supporters spin this.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: After Trump loses, how will he go back to a normal life? on: March 05, 2016, 07:10:29 am
Whether he wins or loses, I'm done with the Republican Party. They've proven this election season that they're the party of hate and white supremacy. It's all thanks to Trump.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump reverses position on torture, killing terrorists' families on: March 04, 2016, 06:16:07 pm
I wonder how his crazy supporters will react to his changing position.

I personally know of a Trump groupie who thinks doing more than water boarding is long overdue--that killing families of terrorists is a good thing.

I wonder how those dumb supporters will just gloss over his changing views.
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