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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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101  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you have voted for the Iraq War? on: April 24, 2015, 04:16:39 pm
Without hindsight, probably not.

With hindsight, maybe.
102  General Politics / Economics / Re: People: Market liberalism's achilles heel? on: April 24, 2015, 09:23:05 am
Foucaulf has already pointed you toward Sunstein and Thaler's "libertarian paternalism." (Don't get thrown off by the silly name.) I agree with his prescription. My introduction to this body of work was Thaler's paper on the Save More Tomorrow plan, which might be of particular interest to you given your concern about pensions.

The distinction that Foucaulf draws between (systemic) cognitive biases and (random) stupidity is another highly relevant point. The former is a much more serious problem for any process that relies on the wisdom of crowds. (For further discussion on this point, I recommend another of Sunstein's books, Infotopia.)
103  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Let's Stop Tricking the Newbies Act (Debating) on: April 24, 2015, 08:46:24 am
How would a lack of "disclosure" be proven?
104  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Brooklyn's population growth question on: April 23, 2015, 08:40:32 pm
The numbers are bizarre because I've made a mistake. You have the correct number.

I had queried the numbers for COUNTY LIKE 'New York' without realizing that the ACS counties table includes states and, bizarrely, lists the name of the state in both the STATE and COUNTY fields. So, uh, watch out for that, I guess.
105  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The Mideast Right to Life Act on: April 23, 2015, 05:20:54 pm
I'm not sure whether Assemblyman Truman's bill would actually achieve what Shua claims it will, but if it does then it has my full and enthusiastic support. No woman should be ever compelled to bear a child.
106  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Municipal Level Maps on: April 23, 2015, 05:11:33 pm
You can download county subdivision shapefiles for all states from the US Census.

Here is the portal for accessing the files. Here is the page for downloading county subdivision shapefiles. They are listed by FIPS code, which you can look up here (e.g. Michigan is listed as tl_2014_26_cousub). If you have municipality-level results, these are probably the geographic units that those results apply to, or at least that's the case in any state that I've considered.

Here is a PNG that I just exported from Michigan's county subdivisions shapefile. Ideally, you'd want to work with a SVG, but this is probably good enough for some purposes:

107  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Vote Aye: Atlasians for Electoral Reform on: April 23, 2015, 04:34:21 pm
108  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Do you support the "Electoral Reform Amendment"? on: April 23, 2015, 04:32:49 pm
I support the amendment.

In our at-large elections, the last two seats are usually settled by arcane preference math, and that lends an advantage to the largest parties who are better positioned to coordinate strategic preference among their preferred candidates. The result is elections that are dull, difficult to follow, and unfair.

If you look at the Senate's history, there's no clear pattern where independent or minor parties are more likely to win at-large seats.

Over the past year-and-a-half, only four parties have won at-large seats (Labor, Federalists, TPP, and Democratic Republicans), and the only elected independent won the regional seat in the IDS. You have to go back to the first couple of elections after dissolution - an unusual moment in the game's history - to find independent or minor party candidates winning at-large Senate seats. (The only real exception that I'm aware of since then is Xahar.)
109  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Cranberry, Pacific Regional Senator - STATEMENT ON JUNE on: April 23, 2015, 04:19:10 pm
I can only reiterate what Simfan has already said. You've been one of Atlasia's best Senators for the duration of your tenure.
110  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Brooklyn's population growth question on: April 23, 2015, 04:12:34 pm
Here are the annual domestic migration estimates for New York County:

2010:   -24674
2011:   -84179
2012:   -116346
2013:   -107730
2014:   -153921

For comparison, here are international migration and natural increase estimates:

2010:   +24130
2011:   +113261
2012:   +110105
2013:   +118929
2014:   +118799

2010:   +24510
2011:   +93359
2012:   +93032
2013:   +88431
2014:   +86353

Note that the 2010 numbers only cover three months (4/1/2010 - 6/30/2010).
111  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Congratulations to gay and lesbian members.... on: April 22, 2015, 09:49:51 pm
How far we've come in so short a time...

112  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Yale estimates concern for climate change by county on: April 22, 2015, 08:09:25 pm

"Earth has shifted"-Inuit elders issue warning to NASA and the world

The Inuits [...] are warning NASA and the world that global warming isn't the cause of what we are seeing with extreme weather, earthquakes and other events. The earth has shifted, tilted or as they put it, "wobbled" to the north and they all agree "Their sky has changed!"

The elders maintain the Sun doesn't rise where it used to, they have longer daylight to hunt and the Sun is higher than it used to be and warms up quicker than before. The elders who were interviewed across the north all said the same thing, their sky has changed.

113  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Banzilla #2 - The Ban Boy Returns - Petition to ban Solarstorm on: April 21, 2015, 10:37:41 pm
Is it even possible to ban someone who's posting from a hell dimension?
114  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Brooklyn's population growth question on: April 21, 2015, 06:06:37 pm
Following up on LVP's point, no borough has gained population from domestic migration over the past five years. By the same measure, the Census estimate for Brooklyn (-92k) only lags behind Manhattan (-487k).
115  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: World Religion Map by National Subdivision on: April 21, 2015, 02:29:52 pm
Very nice work.

It's interesting how distinct each of the Baltic states are, with Lithuania recorded as heavily Catholic, Latvia as more diverse but predominantly Lutheran, and Estonia as mostly non-religious. I'd never realized that there was so much heterogeneity between the religious geographies of those countries before.
116  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Look for the Union Laben Act of 2015 on: April 21, 2015, 12:06:33 pm
Have unions done anything to encourage their employers to label their products as union-made? If so, have they been successful? Why does union labeling require federal sanction?
117  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Policing the Police Act of 2014 (Voting on amendment) on: April 21, 2015, 12:01:45 pm
I share the President's concerns about the Blair amendment's constitutionality.

Moreover, I'm wary of passing a bill that will likely function largely as a source of free money for law enforcement agencies with good grant-writers.

I also object to the sections on Independent Police Review Boards and the Police Officers Code of Conduct, both of which strike me as well-intentioned but overly bureaucratic attempts to improve relations between law enforcement officers and the communities whom they serve. They are likely to give federal officials more leverage over regional agencies, but they are not likely to achieve much more than that, unless you count hiring more administrators and project managers to oversee compliance as an accomplishment. (Regional and local agencies will, no doubt, meet the letter of the law in most cases, but rarely effect any substantive changes.)

118  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Deal Reached on Fast-Track Authority for TPP on: April 21, 2015, 07:53:38 am
From what I've seen, a lot of the objections to TPP read like they are from the mid-20th century (e.g. paranoid fears about the United Nations or economic globalization). Kinda hard for me to take those seriously in 2015.

Jeffrey Sachs, Jared Bernstein, and Paul Krugman have all made critical but non-hysterical comments on the subject. If you believe that skepticism toward the TPP is some kind of fringe-left position held only by leftist-nativist economic illiterates, you're not paying attention.
119  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Assuming we have the death penalty, which execution method do you prefer? on: April 20, 2015, 08:12:16 pm
Whatever is most reliable, painless for the condemned, and visibly brutal. Probably the guillotine.
120  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Are you an anthropocentric fundamentalist? on: April 20, 2015, 08:08:01 pm
No, not unequivocally.
121  General Politics / Economics / Re: Fellow Libertarians, why do Democrats and Liberals Hate the Gold Standard? on: April 19, 2015, 10:39:56 am
That's the conventional answer, sure, but it's really just pushing the most challenging question back a step from "Why does this piece of paper have value?" to "Why does this piece of shiny metal have value?"
122  General Politics / Economics / Re: Fellow Libertarians, why do Democrats and Liberals Hate the Gold Standard? on: April 19, 2015, 07:29:06 am
We had one for YEARS. Why is it suddenly this great Satan, when it seems to make more sense than a Fed that prints money from nothing?

In what sense does the gold standard "seem to make more sense" than fiat money?
123  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the estate tax on: April 18, 2015, 11:49:15 pm
It's not especially effective at generating revenue or limiting inter-generational transfers of wealth, but the politics of the estate tax are so favorable that there's no reason not to push it anyway, as a complement to other progressive tax policies.
124  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on the TPP? on: April 18, 2015, 11:26:40 pm
I don't know. There hasn't been a lot of decent reporting on what the agreement is likely to include, but what I've read about the negotiations is not encouraging. The most concerning problem isn't secrecy; it's that certain interest groups are well-represented while others with just as large a stake in the outcome are not.
125  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Where Do You Rank on the Male Social Hierarchy? on: April 18, 2015, 09:39:05 am
Fiscally gamma, socially lambda (normal Atlas INTJ).

I don't believe that anyone takes this typology seriously.
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