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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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101  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Trump going too far in attacking Cruz? on: January 17, 2016, 10:57:41 am
I don't think so. Consider, for instance, that two weeks ago even most of us didn't know that Cruz's wife works for Goldman-Sachs.

For a brief period, Cruz was looking like someone who could become a true coalition candidate, bringing together the religious right, severe conservatives, and mainstream conservatives desperate to support anyone who could stop Trump. Now, Cruz is (again) looking more like a strong factional candidate, the kind of person who might win with a third of the vote in Iowa, but who probably cannot bring a majority of the party together behind him, even against Trump.

Also, the undeclared loans that have come to light are potentially a bigger deal than any of Trump's attacks. (Although it should be acknowledged that, in large part thanks to Trump, every time we hear Ted Cruz talk about "New York values," we are reminded of Cruz's loans, his fund-raising in NYC, and his wife's odious employer.)
102  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BUSTED: emails proves Carly Fiorina illegally coordinating with her SuperPAC on: January 16, 2016, 09:53:40 pm
That's Silicon Valley values for you.
103  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess who'll get the DMR's endorsements. on: January 16, 2016, 09:48:05 pm
It's worth nothing that the DMR endorsed Bradley in 2000. But I will be surprised if they don't pick Clinton this year.

Also, I doubt that they'll announce tomorrow. They're still posting videos of their interviews with the candidates - the Christie one went up this morning.
104  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton surrogate to demand Sanders release medical records on: January 16, 2016, 05:34:59 pm
Haha, they are freaking out. Good stuff

As tempting as it is to say so, not really. I'm starting to seriously doubt whether this is a campaign capable of winning a general election.

Would that be Clinton or Sanders' campaign?

Clinton, whose odds of losing the nomination will remain marginal even if Sanders wins the first two states.
105  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton surrogate to demand Sanders release medical records on: January 16, 2016, 05:25:52 pm
Haha, they are freaking out. Good stuff

As tempting as it is to say so, not really. I'm starting to seriously doubt whether this is a campaign capable of winning a general election.
106  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: John Kasich Declares New Hampshire his Last Stand on: January 16, 2016, 08:41:24 am
It's unfortunate that groan-worthy mixed metaphors aren't adequate grounds for an FEC complaint.
107  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Inevitable question (again): running mate for TRUMP? on: January 15, 2016, 09:50:00 pm
Mike Huckabee doesn't look like a man who will be alive in four years.
108  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess post-debate polling numbers. on: January 15, 2016, 09:46:34 pm
Trump and Cruz steady, Christie and Bush up slightly, Rubio down.

e: I don't think the debate will have much to do with it, but a Cruz meltdown is now looking most likely. No idea who benefits, if anyone, other than Trump.
109  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary Endorsements megathread. on: January 15, 2016, 09:33:11 pm
If nothing else, Graham's straightforward rebuke of Rubio is another piece of evidence in favor of the idea that most mainstream conservatives don't believe that their faction's leading candidate is ready to be president.
110  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: UT-Utah Policy Poll: Trump leads Clinton 33-28, 33 "other". Trails other GOP on: January 14, 2016, 08:44:13 pm
I know a few Seventh Day Adventists and they all act something like the stereotypical Mormon. I have no familiarity with the theological details but it's not much of a stretch to think that members of two American religious sects that A) have their roots in the Second Great Awakening and B) are generally seen as a bit strange by outsiders would have a lot of things in common.
111  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary Clinton's attacks help her? on: January 13, 2016, 11:17:43 pm
At this point, a lot of people just erupt in outrage whenever Clinton has the nerve to say her ideas are better than Saint Bernie's.

...peace be upon him!
112  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Bobloblaw Theatre of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts V on: January 13, 2016, 11:12:31 pm
Right, those kulaks aren't about to liquidate themselves.
113  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Establishment Republicans will be in double digits in Iowa? on: January 13, 2016, 10:47:19 pm
Huckabee wasn't even a mainstream conservative in 2008 (which I assume is what is meant here by "establishment"). And that was as a fairly popular and well-respected ex-governor. Now he's just another crank with a radio show running a vanity campaign. I mean, my God, his campaign manager is daughter.

Rubio is obviously looking well-positioned for a strong third-place finish, but I wouldn't count on it. What's more difficult to foresee is who could surge at the last moment; the odds of it happening to any given candidate aren't high, but the odds of it happening to someone, meaning anyone, are much more substantial. I'm guessing that it won't be Kasich.
114  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chelsea Clinton: Sanders wants to dismantle Obamacare on: January 13, 2016, 10:36:52 pm
How many Democratic seat losses in 2010 are left unexplained once you account for the slow recovery, backlash against the stimulus and bank bailouts, abandonment of the 50 state strategy, the ongoing realignment in the South, racist and xenophobic sentiment toward Obama, and retirements and poor recruitment among Democratic candidates (owing largely to the aforementioned factors)?

I agree with some of Griffin's policy-based critique of the ACA, although calling it a "failure" is extremely overblown given the effect on insurance rates and cost growth, which are definitely worth something. (For one, I'd have been uninsured during grad school if not for the law - and just about everyone I know in their early twenties would have gone uninsured at some point, even if only for a few months.) But the supposed political cost of the bill, I've never been able to see. I just wish that the Obama administration had been as ambitious about pushing a larger stimulus.
115  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democrats: Will you support your primary opponent in the general election? on: January 13, 2016, 10:21:00 pm
Obviously, yes. Of course, virtually all of us will get over our hang-ups when the time comes, when our only choice is between the Democratic nominee and a living nightmare.
116  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz Broke the Law on: January 13, 2016, 10:08:51 pm
Even if this isn't significant, Cruz now has to cope with a headline that includes his name and GOLDMAN SACHS running just a couple of weeks before the caucuses. Not good, particularly for a candidate who has seen more than his share of negative stories over the past two weeks.
117  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chelsea Clinton: Sanders wants to dismantle Obamacare on: January 13, 2016, 12:12:12 pm
The New Republic is a trash magazine gliding on prestige it no longer deserves. Hughes has turned it into a massive dumpster fire and is walking away with his millions, uncaring about the institution he destroyed.

Can't disagree with you there, but the piece raises an interesting point. Many of us were expecting that this would be a highly salient issue for Democrats in 2016, yet no candidate is talking about it. It certainly seems like it would be a great tack for Clinton (and one that I'd take some comfort in) unless she's too concerned about how private insurers would react.
118  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chelsea Clinton: Sanders wants to dismantle Obamacare on: January 13, 2016, 11:27:24 am
Even the liberal New Republic is asking why Clinton and Sanders aren't campaigning on a public option.
119  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Chelsea Clinton: Sanders wants to dismantle Obamacare on: January 13, 2016, 06:53:37 am
Access to insurance, whether public or private, is not access to healthcare. Neither candidate has a plan with a meaningful guarantee of care for all.  That would be a better line of attack than whatever this is supposed to be.
120  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The CrabCake Bureau of Funny Post Archival on: January 11, 2016, 10:34:11 pm
...
121  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Obama's gun speech today on: January 11, 2016, 06:21:24 pm
No one ever asks Gun Control Advocates the tough questions.  If you don't think I have a right to a firearm, do I have a right to self defense?  And if I don't have the right to either does the government have the right to use force to disarm me? 

Of course it does.

So you are not only advocating trampling on gun rights, but property rights, and due process as well? 

Huh
122  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Obama's gun speech today on: January 11, 2016, 12:42:15 pm
No one ever asks Gun Control Advocates the tough questions.  If you don't think I have a right to a firearm, do I have a right to self defense?  And if I don't have the right to either does the government have the right to use force to disarm me? 

Of course it does.
123  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you feel "the system" is working more or less as it should? on: January 10, 2016, 04:15:38 pm
I mean, here you guys are sitting around discussing whether the life as a young healthy person destined (at least on average) to join the highest income levels in one of the richest countries the world has ever seen is not really as good as you'd like.

If even a fraction of what forumites claim about their mental health is true, this is very much not a body of healthy young people. I'm not being glib about this. These are health issues and they have a serious effect on quality of life for many posters.

Also, very few of the complaints here have anything to do with "average" income levels. I see a mix of concerns about income distribution, job and income security, social and political disaffection and exclusion, dysfunction within the education system (esp. cost growth problems and the transition from education to full-time work), and a range of other issues. No one is really claiming that an average income of ~$50,000 in household income per year isn't sufficient for most people to live satisfying lives.

Moreover, even those who are fortunate enough to have secure careers or wealth in the family to fall back on will have to live with whatever social problems emerge from all of this.
124  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Obama's gun speech today on: January 10, 2016, 03:54:30 pm
The speech was more than we've come to expect from politicians in this country, but far short of what is needed.

It may not be politically correct to say this, but there is no such thing as "responsible gun ownership." Gun ownership is inherently irresponsible, and you cannot understand the gun problem in this country while ignoring this fact. Neither gun safety technology nor "common sense" gun regulations will make much of a difference as long as tens of millions of firearms are in private hands.

Unfortunately, I expect that it will be a very long time before any US politician openly admits how absurd it is to believe that individual "right to bear arms" is so precious that we must be prepared to tolerate some level of carnage for the sake of the supposedly sacrosanct Second Amendment.

Seriously? So my guns are going to climb out of the gun safe, load themselves, and start murdering people?

That scenario is a bit paranoid even by the standards of "personal protection" types.
125  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Obama's gun speech today on: January 10, 2016, 11:02:14 am
The speech was more than we've come to expect from politicians in this country, but far short of what is needed.

It may not be politically correct to say this, but there is no such thing as "responsible gun ownership." Gun ownership is inherently irresponsible, and you cannot understand the gun problem in this country while ignoring this fact. Neither gun safety technology nor "common sense" gun regulations will make much of a difference as long as tens of millions of firearms are in private hands.

Unfortunately, I expect that it will be a very long time before any US politician openly admits how absurd it is to believe that individual "right to bear arms" is so precious that we must be prepared to tolerate some level of carnage for the sake of the supposedly sacrosanct Second Amendment.
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