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November 24, 2014, 01:59:00 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 23, 2014, 08:48:16 pm
Virginia
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Paul Davis should run for Senate against Jerry Moran on: November 23, 2014, 01:47:43 am
^ It mostly just linked to an op-ed that he did yesterday.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Ohio (Potential) 2016 Senate Race on: November 23, 2014, 01:14:56 am
Not sure. I like Portman, but if its for Senate control...
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who are the ten best Senators in America? on: November 23, 2014, 01:07:01 am
Landrieu
Hagan
Franken
Collins
Warren
Hoeven
Manchin
Brown
Rockefeller
Murray
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who are the five best Governors in America? on: November 23, 2014, 01:00:21 am
Maggie Hassan
Mark Dayton
Jerry Brown
Mike Beebe
Steve Beshear

The People's Pat is an honorable mention.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 Senate results by CD on: November 23, 2014, 12:44:45 am
NC has got to be the worst gerrymander in the entire country. I mean, the D's should get at least 4 districts.
Have you seen the OH map?

3/13 = 23%
4/16 = 25%

Wink
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races on: November 23, 2014, 12:37:01 am
One of the consolation prizes for Democrats in NC, IMO, was that they won (or appear to have won) all three state Supreme Court races they contested.

Judges are nominally nonpartisan in NC, but the parties still usually endorse and support candidates. While it might not be as obvious with the Senate race, I think the Bannock Street Project helped with these races. I'm no authority on NC judicial politics, and didn't follow these race that closely, but thats my guess.

Sam Ervin IV, grandson of the former NC Senator, ran for a seat in 2012 but lost. This year, he ran against Robert Hunter, who was appointed in September by McCrory.

Robin Hudson was elected in 2006 and went for her second term this year.

Cheri Beasley was the first black woman elected statewide, to the (lower) NC Appeals Court. During the last month of her term, Bev Perdue appointed Beasley to the Supreme Court. As of now, the result is going to a recount, but there were closer races in 2012 that weren't overturned, so I think Beasley has won this seat in her own right.

8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: VA: Puckett's Senate exit undid T-Mac's plan for Medexpansion on: November 22, 2014, 11:16:17 pm
Old news, but Sawx put it best:

Quote
As I said before, I hope Phillip Puckett drops the soap in prison.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: poll with potential 2016 US Senate candidates in California on: November 22, 2014, 09:43:56 pm
Boxer, assuming she runs, Harris otherwise.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 Senate results by CD on: November 22, 2014, 07:41:24 pm
The old NC districts:

11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: LA-06: JMC: Graves, Cassidy lead runoffs on: November 22, 2014, 07:05:02 pm
^ Yeah, I thought that was a given Tongue
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Paul Davis should run for Senate against Jerry Moran on: November 22, 2014, 06:10:19 pm
FWIW, I got an email in my inbox from Greg Orman discussing Obama/immigration.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 Senate results by CD on: November 22, 2014, 11:45:24 am
^ What makes it really effective is that, even when Hagan won by almost 9%, she still didn't win any of the Republican districts. She lost most of them 45/50, instead of 40/55-ish this year.
14  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Maximizing geography of losing candidates on: November 22, 2014, 03:20:57 am
Good idea!



Tillis- 1,399,913 (48.13%)
Hagan- 1,399,822 (48.12%)
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 Senate results by CD on: November 22, 2014, 01:37:02 am
NC:




My only disclaimer: There are still some counties that have yet to tabulate all of their early vote by precinct. As usual, I used that same method that DRA does in estimating precinct-level results to account for those instances. Usually, the election site allocates all the county-level early votes by precinct, it just takes longer. I'll be checking for updates.

I also want to break the results down by the old lines; mostly to see how much more fair that map was compared to the current version.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Does Bushie remind you of Scumbag Steve? on: November 21, 2014, 04:32:35 pm
Well, as I pointed out about a year ago, Krazen is more like Scumbag Steve Wink
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / LA: JMC: Cassidy +15 on: November 21, 2014, 01:45:52 pm
Report.

Cassidy (R)- 55%
Landrieu (D)- 40%
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / LA-06: JMC: Graves, Cassidy lead runoffs on: November 21, 2014, 01:41:36 pm
Report.

Graves (R)- 61%
Edwards (D)- 35%

Cassidy (R)- 62%
Landrieu (D)- 33%
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many parishes will Landrieu win in the runoff? on: November 20, 2014, 01:37:14 pm
Landreiu will get low black turnout, but some may turn out for her. We'll see. I see here winning 20 parishes.

Based on...
20  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: New York vs. New Orleans vs. San Francisco on: November 20, 2014, 12:43:55 pm
New Orleans!
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you consider it inappropriate to wear an Isis band shirt? on: November 19, 2014, 11:51:03 pm
No, but its just unfortunate timing.

One of the Mardi Gras krewes was named after the Egyptian god ISIS (most krewes are named after ancient deities); the members had to change the name because they were being harassed when they wore their t-shirts.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are Miles and IceSpear getting favors from Mary Landrieu and Hillary Clinton? on: November 19, 2014, 11:38:49 pm
Haha, interestingly with me its kinda the opposite: I applied to intern with her several times but wasn't accepted (because I didn't have connections to her family). I went on to, er, better things anyway, but that was always kinda the one thing I didn't like about Landrieu. From what I hear, type of favoritism is pretty common on the Hill, though. I'm sure I'll have a long rant after the election where I'll talk a bit more about it.

But no. I just think Landrieu is the best Senator and its a shame to see her being punished like this.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many oil pipelines would need to built to save Mary Landrieu? on: November 19, 2014, 11:15:16 pm
No. I have roughly equal opinions of Landrieu and Cassidy, so I endorsed the fresh (senate) face.

Ah, I see.



Yep, "fresh" is absolutely the first word that comes to my mind.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many oil pipelines would need to built to save Mary Landrieu? on: November 19, 2014, 10:51:52 pm
>9,000

Miles, Landrieu's had 3 terms in the senate. As much as I like Landrieu, It's time for someone else to have the seat, and Cassidy's no Cruz.

I'm curious: Did you just recently adopt this 3-term cutoff for your endorsements? I didn't see you calling for Susan Collins or Jack Reed to go home after three terms.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many oil pipelines would need to built to save Mary Landrieu? on: November 19, 2014, 08:01:55 pm
Okay, we get it. Landrieu is in a tough spot. Idk how many of these redundant "Landrieu is toast" threads we have to make Tongue
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