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September 27, 2016, 07:07:47 pm
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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who is the worst Governor? on: Today at 05:39:50 pm
Brownback, and Rauner is also pretty terrible.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Georgia Presidential/Gubernatorial Precinct Map, 2002-2014 (GIF) on: September 26, 2016, 11:42:57 pm
This is beautiful!
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: ME-01/02-UNH: Pingree (D) and Poliquin (R) ahead on: September 25, 2016, 11:54:23 pm
I hope the Democrats can unseat Poliquin before he either gets entrenched or the district becomes too Republican.

Yeah, assuming Cain loses this year, Democrats probably have one more shot at Poliquin before he locks down the district.
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Longest serving senators of all time: Your favorite? on: September 25, 2016, 10:26:20 pm
Easily Byrd, though he was with faults, though he redeemed himself and was a great statesmen for WV.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Looking for volunteers on: September 24, 2016, 11:25:02 pm
Everyone,

Excuse my shameless solicitation, but at Decision Desk HQ, we're ramping up for election day. As ya'll know, we've been covering the primaries, but election night will be big for us - we're aiming to have about 200 volunteers.

If you're interested in helping, and have a few hours to spare on election night, feel free to PM me. Any help would be appreciated!

Thanks!
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Celebrity President: 2020 (Primaries) on: September 24, 2016, 11:21:13 pm
Roseanne.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 24, 2016, 10:00:12 pm
An Attorney General debate from earlier this week.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA - SMOR - Kennedy and Boustany lead jungle, Fayard leads Campbell on: September 22, 2016, 10:46:36 pm
^ Yeah, dunno why I wrote Kennedy instead. Maybe if this were 2004...

Mitch Landrieu lost ground with black voters in 2014. He got about the same share of the vote in 2010 (66% vs 64%). I did the Landrieu vs non-Landrieu vote and did the swing - it breaks down pretty cleanly along racial lines:

9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: September 22, 2016, 10:20:09 pm
^ The Twitter wars between Duke and Maness have actually been pretty hilarious to watch.

Other than Fayard, Maness has probably attacked Duke the most. Many Duke tweeters have been posting unflattering (to say the least) memes of Maness.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: September 22, 2016, 10:12:11 pm
NC-Sen: Republicans worried Burr isn't taking his race seriously.

LA-Sen: Campbell releases his tax returns, Fayard won't.

In one of the stranger photo ops I've seen of this race, Maness seems to be appealing to the alt right at a Milo Yiannopoulos event:




The things you'll do when you're trailing freakin David Duke in the polls...
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA - SMOR - Kennedy and Boustany lead jungle, Fayard leads Campbell on: September 22, 2016, 09:57:39 pm
^ I've heard Campbell performing better with them. Yes, Kennedy has Mayor Landrieu's support, but Landrieu himself almost lost (or maybe actually lost) the black vote in New Orleans the last time he ran.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA - SMOR - Kennedy and Boustany lead jungle, Fayard leads Campbell on: September 22, 2016, 09:52:06 pm
^ Which is another reason he's better than Kennedy, Fleming, or Maness. Its nice that he's shown some independence on foreign policy.

Landry tried to play that card against him in the 2012 runoff, IIRC, but thankfully it didn't work.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Ron Paul vs Rand Paul on: September 22, 2016, 07:19:10 pm
Ron by a lot.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 21, 2016, 05:40:06 pm
^ Stein has massively outraised Newton. As Newton was one of HB2's biggest advocates, Stein has made that an issue. calling it "Buck's Bill."

Stein's narrow 6% primary victory over a some dude was a bit worrying to me, but he's since resigned from the legislature to campaign full time.

I think NC and MS are the only southern states that haven't elected Republican AG's since Reconstruction.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: KY-GOV 2015: Why did Jack Conway lose to Matt Bevin? on: September 20, 2016, 10:42:02 pm
Conway came across as arrogant in the debates, IMO, and awkward in his own ads.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: ND-DFM Research: Trump +11 on: September 20, 2016, 06:17:43 pm
Push your damn undecideds.
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you think Donald Trump has gotten anyone pregnant besides his baby mommas? on: September 18, 2016, 11:28:22 pm
I heard he said on the Howard Stern show that his 'personal Vietnam' was not getting an STD after all the time he spent at the Playboy mansion.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which races are you most nervous about? on: September 17, 2016, 09:12:50 pm
IN because the trend hasn't been good for Bayh, and AZ because I really want Kirkpatrick to win, and I feel its getting less competitive.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama cripples AIPAC on: September 16, 2016, 06:08:53 pm
FF!
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 16, 2016, 06:07:29 pm
McCrory open to repealing HB2, if Charlotte drops its LGBT protection ordinance:

Quote
Gov. Pat McCrory could call lawmakers into session as soon as next week to repeal House Bill 2 – but only if the Charlotte City Council first drops the ordinance that prompted it, his office confirmed Friday.

The North Carolina Restaurant & Lodging Association has been working to broker a compromise to stop the economic damage from HB2, which this week included the loss of major NCAA and Atlantic Coast Conference sporting events.

But repealing the Charlotte ordinance, which broadened LGBT protections before it was nullified by HB2, would meet resistance. One gay rights spokeswoman Friday called the proposed compromise “the same cheap trick” lawmakers have floated before. It’s unclear whether the council would have the votes to repeal its ordinance.

It’s also unclear whether businesses would return to North Carolina if the compromise involved Charlotte giving up legal protections for gay, lesbian and transgender individuals. And a deal might not end the legal challenges.


What a mess.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 16, 2016, 06:02:16 pm
^ For me, whats worse is the overreach - its another example of the R legislature trying to control the D cities.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: September 15, 2016, 09:27:24 pm
LA-Sen: The quality is kinda crappy, but here's a forum with Campbell, Fayard, Boustany and Kennedy (starts around the 43 min mark).
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 15, 2016, 09:17:32 pm
Oh look, McCrory is digging in deeper with his defense of HB2:

Quote
North Carolina and the rest of the nation face a “liberal elite politically correct war” and the furor over House Bill 2 demonstrates the destructive path of the “political left,” Gov. Pat McCrory told a group of local business leaders Thursday afternoon.

McCrory, a Republican who served a record seven terms as Charlotte mayor between 1995 and 2009, plowed through a litany of issues while also acknowledging the matter that packed the room with reporters as well as members of the Hood-Hargett networking group: Moves by the NCAA and Atlantic Coast Conference this week to relocate all neutral site championships in 2016-17 from North Carolina because of HB2.

This is your Eisenhower Republican, folks.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: September 14, 2016, 09:30:19 pm
The ACC is following the NCAA in pulling championship games from NC.

State Sen. Tamara Barringer is the first Republican calling for HB2's repeal. She represents a slightly R-leaning (52% Romney) seat in suburban Wake County, so exactly the type of area where McCrory is set to crater in.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Recent NRSC Iran Deal Ad ran in surprising places on: September 13, 2016, 09:18:13 pm
What a terribly low energy ad.
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