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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MO-Monmouth: Koster past 50%, leads by 11 on: August 23, 2016, 06:54:35 pm
Great poll!
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Open letter to the atlas forum on: August 23, 2016, 01:09:40 am
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Ayn Rand on: August 21, 2016, 11:54:00 pm
HP, though I like the interviews she did on the Donahue show from the late 70s that are on Youtube.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Which TX county will be more Democratic? on: August 21, 2016, 11:39:41 pm
I've been wondering this.

Obama was the first Democrat since FDR to win Harris County twice. It voted for him in 2008 by 19K votes and he held it in 2012 by just 971. Before Obama, it was pretty textbook Lean R, for a larger county. If Trump is underperforming with suburban voters, I imagine Hillary improves on Obama there.

Jefferson County (Beaumont/Port Arthur) by contrast has voted Democratic in all but two elections since FDR (1956 and 1972). The margins over recent cycles are getting smaller, though; Gore carried it by 6%, for example, but Obama won it by less than 2% in 2012. It has the largest % black population of any TX county at 34% (vs 22% for Harris) but is more blue collar, given that the oil industry's role in the economy.
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How does one edit US county maps? on: August 21, 2016, 11:14:24 pm
^ Just do that same process w/ the national map.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which Senators do you think will retire in 2018? on: August 21, 2016, 11:11:57 pm
Hatch said in 2012 that he'd retire in 2018, but we'll see if he sticks to it.
7  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How does one edit US county maps? on: August 21, 2016, 11:07:41 pm
Some screenshots from a random blank FL map I had.

1) Hover over and selected the paint bucket icon.



2) Go over to Edit Colors - the Atlas colors aren't gonna be in the standard palette it gives you.



3) Put in the RGB/HSV value that you need when it gives you the custom color palette.



4) Fill in the shape you want.  

8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How does one edit US county maps? on: August 21, 2016, 10:56:03 pm
^ Just copy the map I linked to into MS Paint and fill it in + save it to your My Pictures folder like any other image.
9  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: August 2016 House of Representative Elections on: August 21, 2016, 10:54:16 pm
1) Santander
2) Shua
3) ClarkKent
4) ClassicConservative
5) JCL
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How does one edit US county maps? on: August 21, 2016, 10:33:20 pm
This is the template a lot of people use.

We have a bigger version somewhere, IIRC.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: New Hampshire 1988-1992 on: August 21, 2016, 10:20:03 pm
Thats about the time everyone there started becoming angrier.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 21, 2016, 10:13:20 pm
Here's a national map I threw together assuming Clinton keeps her 6%-8% point national lead on election day.  No margins, sorry.  Tongue



I never realized it till I saw your map, but I think this is the year that Elliott KY finally flips.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who would be the strongest Kentucky Democrat in a statewide election? on: August 21, 2016, 09:58:47 pm
Mongiardo, assuming his base in eastern KY still votes for him.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senate Ratings and Predictions - Kentucky on: August 21, 2016, 09:56:00 pm
Safe Paul, probably by the same 56/44 margin he got in 2010.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / FL-23: Canova only trailing by 10 on: August 21, 2016, 03:42:14 pm
Article.

Quote
Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz has a 10-point lead over challenger Tim Canova, a South Florida Sun Sentinel/Florida Atlantic University poll shows, as the candidates approach the Democratic primary finish line.

The Sun Sentinel/FAU poll found Wasserman Schultz was the choice of 50 percent of likely Democratic voters in the Broward/Miami-Dade County 23rd Congressional District. Canova had 40 percent.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Johnson win any counties? on: August 20, 2016, 11:05:16 pm
^ Loving County is also a good option. Its the least populous county, went for Perot in 1992 and borders New Mexico (which could feasibly boost Johnson there).
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy birthday Kalwejt! on: August 20, 2016, 10:52:20 pm
I'm real late, but happy birthday!
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 20, 2016, 10:44:13 pm
For CO, if Hillary wins the state by 10%, she also pretty comfortably carries Larimer County. I'd flip Otero County to Trump; the AP did a story on how its fertile ground for him.

I'd flip Nash County NC to Hillary. It was one of the few McCain -> Obama counties, largely due to black turnout being up. Given that you have several southeastern VA counties flipping to Hillary, most of which have decent black minorities, this would make sense. I don't believe in reverse coattails, bu Roy Cooper is from Nash County and will be working to turn out votes there.

Along those same lines, Wilson county should also go for Hillary by at least 4-6%, especially if she's winning Lenoir.

I agree with Carbon County in Utah. I've been told that its the most conservaDem county - in the south at least, we've seen conservaDems areas giving Libertarians high a relatively high % of the vote as a protest.

Henry County GA should flip to Hillary. It voted R in past elections, but swung to Obama in 2012 and went for both Carter/Nunn in 2014.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you rather have as president? on: August 20, 2016, 10:33:49 pm
Hillary - being from New Hampshire, Pierce would be too angry.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Pinal, NM - 2004: 65K ballots, 2008: 106K ballots... why and how? on: August 20, 2016, 04:55:08 pm
^ Yeah, it also had the largest increase in AZ from 2000 to 2004 as well: 

21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: August 2016 Southern Senate Voting Booth on: August 20, 2016, 09:20:20 am
1. Tmthforu94
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which state will be more competitive in the future? CO or VA? on: August 19, 2016, 10:57:14 pm
CO, as I see the GOP becoming more Libertarian as more of my generation comes of age, so that should help more in CO.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Missouri 2008 on: August 19, 2016, 06:28:23 pm
^ Yeah most polls before she dropped out showed her winning or running close in them.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senate Ratings and Predictions - Kansas on: August 18, 2016, 10:40:46 pm
Safe R, 62-36 Moran.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Missouri 2008 on: August 18, 2016, 09:58:05 pm
In addition to the above factors, Obama also had a presence in the St. Louis media market since 2004 when he first ran for Senate.
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