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February 10, 2016, 03:07:18 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IL-Sen. 2016 Thread: SEIU endorses Duckworth on: February 09, 2016, 01:08:14 pm
In 2015, Dcukworth outraised Kirk $5.7M to $4.5M, though they have similar amounts of CoH.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IN-Sen: Coats retiring on: February 09, 2016, 10:47:29 am
^ Yeah, thats what its looks like.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 09:20:13 am
We're on the ground here with the Decision Desk working on our exit survey, which we'll have out later, and we'll have the first calls as usual.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IN-Sen: Coats retiring on: February 08, 2016, 01:03:26 pm
Holcomb dropping out. Looks like he was badly outraised by the others.
5  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: US House Redistricting: North Carolina on: February 08, 2016, 11:18:47 am
My attempt at a Republican-drawn map with Charlotte/Fayettville and Greensboro/Raleigh districts, like we mentioned upthread:



O/M
CD1: 69.0/30.4, 46.0% BVAP 43.3% WVAP
CD2: 44.2/54.9
CD3: 43.4/55.9
CD4: 71.5/27.6
CD5: 44.0/54.9
CD6: 44.0/55.1
CD7: 43.7/55.3
CD8: 44.3/54.8
CD9: 45.5/53.7
CD10: 42.7/56.3
CD11: 42.0/56.6
CD12: 69.8/29.6, 42.0% BVAP 37.3% WVAP
CD13: 43.3/55.7
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Politicians and famous people that share your birth date on: February 08, 2016, 01:18:53 am
JFK, which I've always known, but more recently I found out its also Patrick Henry's birthday.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Illinois Budget Impasse on: February 06, 2016, 05:37:18 pm
^ Edgar said that the state government under Rauner is the worst he's ever seen it.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread on: February 06, 2016, 04:21:36 pm
Cooper outraised McCrory, again, last quarter:

Quote
As reported last week, Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper ($2.9 million) outraised Republican Gov. Pat McCrory ($2.6 million) during the second half of 2015, marking the second reporting period in which Cooper bested the incumbent. Cooper also had $800,000 more in cash on hand with the new year.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY-Sen: Jim Gray running on: February 06, 2016, 03:59:36 pm
^ Of course. It's gonna be a Randslide!
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: West Virginia About to Become 'Right to Work' State on: February 06, 2016, 03:13:47 pm
This is why the simple-majority veto override is such an abomination.
11  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Your Favorite/Least Favorite NFL QBs? on: February 06, 2016, 02:21:09 pm
Drew Brees; as the OP alludes to, PPP said that he was the most popular person they've ever polled.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Huey Long Lives!: Gov. JBE discussion thread on: February 06, 2016, 02:08:10 pm
^ Well, perhaps you need to do a better job of explaining all these abstract points you bring up out of nowhere. But yeah, again, I'm with you, buddy. I hope Reynolds is wrong, too. I don't see why you need to keep spinning your wheels.

 At this point, we can just hope that the people's enemies on the Appropriations committee use their agency to go back on their campaign promises. Its not like the state can afford any more budget cuts, so even in doing nothing, those legislators would still be precipitating more cuts and thus subverting the interests of the state, and really their constituents.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: February 06, 2016, 11:32:57 am
Gerrymandering (which is partially natural due to Democrats packing into cities) helps the people, as it allows most people to be represented by people who share their values.
This is actually a pretty good point.

Really? Under that great gerrymandered map, my family and I were/are represented by Bob Pittenger, who doesn't really "share our values."

As Republicans hold 77% of the House seats there, its a real wonder that NC is such a swingy state overall! You'd think that 77% of people would vote for the Republican candidate who shares their values! Last election, I think he only got 50.4%...
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Huey Long Lives!: Gov. JBE discussion thread on: February 06, 2016, 11:27:40 am
^ Yeah, I see where you're going with that.

Its hard not to blame Barras for this mess. He stacked the committee with legislators that he knew would either have to do the people's work and support JBE or go back on their campaign promises. Its a really unfortunate and unfair situation to them, but I guess that what happens when you have hacks like Barras and Henry calling the shots. They should have respected JBE's agency more.

Its seems that our best hope, given that everything, is that the partisan Republicans on the committee end up being insincere when it comes to their Norquistian campaign promises.

Oh, its "Leger," by the way, not "Legier."
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Huey Long Lives!: Gov. JBE discussion thread on: February 06, 2016, 12:49:57 am
I have to take strong exception to Rep Gene Reynolds claim that, "anything coming out of the Appropriations Committee will be no more than a rubber stamp of GOP talking points."

You sound a bit more optimistic than I'd be, but I really hope you're right. Despite the committee being woefully stacked in favor of the people's enemies, hopefully they'll put their talking points and partisanship aside.

Great observation!
16  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: US House Redistricting: North Carolina on: February 05, 2016, 08:17:09 pm
^ Not sure how the rest of the map would work out, but you could get a fairly clean Charlotte/Fayetteville/SC border seat thats 72% Obama, 43% BVAP:

17  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: US House Redistricting: North Carolina on: February 05, 2016, 08:02:39 pm
^ The first draft of the map in 2011 had NC-01 without Durham, so it gives you some idea of how the eastern part of the state would look.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: February 05, 2016, 07:32:47 pm
^ Wow, yeah, February. Idk how I missed that.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: February 05, 2016, 07:03:24 pm
NC-01/12: Well, this is quite something. CD's 1 and 12 have been struck down as racial gerrymanders by a three-judge USDC. The districts must be redrawn by November 19th.
20  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / NC: CDs 1 & 12 struck down on: February 05, 2016, 06:52:33 pm
Here's the ruling. The three-judge Middle NC USDC struck down CD1 and CD12 as racial gerrymanders.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: February 04, 2016, 11:51:13 pm
LA-Sen: Fayard is launching her campaign.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary/Caucus Results by CD on: February 04, 2016, 09:19:27 pm
^ Of course!
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races on: February 04, 2016, 05:56:53 pm
LA-04: Shreveport cardiologist Dr. Trey Baucum (R) is running. This is his first race but doctors have a pretty good track record in LA: Boustany, Cassidy and Fleming were all physicians as well.

A few other candidate mentions in the article:

Quote
State Rep. Mike Johnson, R-Bossier City, told Gannett Louisiana he will announce next week. Other Republicans who have expressed interest include state Rep. Jim Morris, R-Oil City, Shreveport attorney Rick John, "Rocky" Rockett, president of the Greater Bossier Economic Development Foundation, and Shreveport Councilman Oliver Jenkins.

Rep. Patrick Jefferson of Arcadia has been the lone Democrat who said he is evaluating the race.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Jeb! Bush? on: February 04, 2016, 05:48:40 pm
Low energy loser.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016) on: February 04, 2016, 05:43:43 pm
Awesome!  Have you calculated the results by congressional district yet?

Over here.
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