Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 01, 2014, 05:23:24 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 542
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / IL: Battleground Polling: Tie on: Today at 04:21:14 pm
Article.

Quinn (D)- 43%
Rauner (R)- 43%
Grimm (L)- 6%
Not sure- 8%


The sample size is small, at only 408. Almost too small for a statewide poll, IMO.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IL-Communication Express: Rauner +6 on: Today at 04:19:19 pm
They say they're Republican-sponsored though.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: Marquette: Walker +5 with LVs on: Today at 02:40:27 pm
Also I don't know who in Madison is mooching. It is a very prosperous, well-educated, and wealthy city.

Basically, to him, most any Democratic consitituency is to be labeled "freeloaders" or "moochers." 'Very trite, really. Krazen reminds me a lot of David Duke in this regard.

People would take him much more seriously if he did without the unnecesarry and hateful epithets.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: Today at 02:31:48 pm

Hmm? Scott Walker won election before he signed the voter ID law. Then he won re-election.

He is a great champion of the people but certainly not a fortune teller. There is no way that the great Scott Walker could have known back in May 2011 when he signed the voter ID law the losers and fleabaggers that he thrashed would squeal about voter ID through September 2014.

The Madison moochers had 3.5 years to get an ID.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KS-Sen: Taylor drops out on: Today at 01:40:12 pm
Democrats don't need put a replacement candidate on the ballot.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-SUSA: Orman +5 on: Today at 01:24:58 pm
It's already tightening

Everyone else in the past few weeks has shown moderate Orman leads.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / KS: Suffolk: Davis leading on: Today at 01:19:30 pm
Report.

Davis (D)- 46%
Brownback (R)- 42%
Umbehr (L)- 6%

SOS
Kobach (R)- 45%
Schodorf (D)

AG
Schmidt (R)- 45%
Kotich (D)- 25%
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Florida 2014 Congressional Races on: Today at 12:58:01 pm
Roll Call report on CD2.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: Marquette: Walker +5 with LVs on: Today at 12:35:27 pm
Both have their parties locked up, but Walker is winning Indies 53/40.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / WI: Marquette: Walker +5 with LVs on: Today at 12:24:34 pm
Link.

LVs
Walker (R)- 50%
Burke (D)- 45%

RVs
Walker- 46%
Burke - 45%
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: Today at 12:12:40 pm
WTF. This is one of the strangest ads this cycle.

Quote
The College Republican National Committee on Wednesday launched a digital ad campaign across 16 states in an attempt to be "culturally relevant," according to the Wall Street Journal.

The first ad in a nearly $1 million campaign, "Say Yes To The Candidate," is based on TLC's "Say Yes To The Dress" and compares the Florida gubernatorial candidates to wedding dresses.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Favorite President that lived to be 90+ on: Today at 12:08:55 pm
Carter.

With Ford 2nd.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Rasmussen: Gardner +1 on: Today at 12:01:07 pm
Best news for Democrats is this shows that the Quinnipiac poll (Gardner +8) was an obvious outlier. Everyone else has narrow Gardner leads.

Also, without leaners, this poll shows a 45/45 tie.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / CO: Rasmussen: Gardner +1 on: Today at 11:04:52 am
Link coming.

Gardner (R)- 48%
Udall (D)- 47%
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Official Arkansas 2014 Gubernatorial Thread on: Today at 09:41:31 am
This NYT piece on AR is probably one of the best race profiles I've seen this cycle.

The articles has interactive maps, which it cites the Atlas for. Smiley
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What political party is the previous poster's PM score closest to? on: September 30, 2014, 11:13:55 pm
Libertarian.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who is more likely to win re-election? on: September 30, 2014, 11:10:14 pm
Kay!
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: NC-02: SUSA: Ellmers up 8 on: September 30, 2014, 09:53:41 pm

The Senate number is interesting considering Hagan won statewide in 2008 by a fairly lofty margin. Is this an area she's expected to do disproportionately better in than 6 years ago, or do you think it's just an outlier? It's not like anyone is showing Hagan up double digits, especially not SurveyUSA which actually gives her the smallest lead of all (only 1 point).

Well, the sample size is small (400), which tends to increase the MoE.

I'm not reading that much into it, but it confirms my hunch that Hagan will run ahead of the Democratic baseline in the Raleigh metro area; most of the district is in that media market.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Daily Kos: The 50 closest House races in 2012/seats that could swing in 2014 on: September 30, 2014, 04:17:20 pm
22. NY-23: Tom Reed (R) 3.8% Safe R, unopposed

You're thinking of NY-22. Reed is still favored, though.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Daily Kos: The 50 closest House races in 2012/seats that could swing in 2014 on: September 30, 2014, 03:47:10 pm
Murphy isn't very vulnerable. FL-18 was arguably the NRCC's biggest recruitment failure this cycle. The other 4 closest seats of 2012 are clearly Republican favored this time.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / NC-02: SUSA: Ellmers up 8 on: September 30, 2014, 03:35:30 pm
Report.

Ellmers (R)- 47%
Aiken (D)- 39%

The Senate candidates are tied at 44% in the district, which would be good for Hagan if true (she lost it 50/47 in 2008).
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races on: September 30, 2014, 03:31:19 pm
LA-Sen: Opprotunist State Senator Elbert Guillory (R->D->R) is again trying to worm his way back into the limelight. Despite her vast support from them over the years, Guillory has a web video hanging all the problems of the LA black community since 1996 around Landrieu's neck. If she's been doing such a poor job since then, I wonder why he wasn't sounding the alarm in 2002 or 2008.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / IA-04: DFM: King +3 on: September 30, 2014, 02:14:40 pm
Report.

King (R)- 46%
Mowrer (D)- 43%

Ernst leads 48/38 in the district.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / IL: Rasmussen: Quinn leading on: September 30, 2014, 12:31:41 pm
Better link coming.

Quinn (D)- 44%
Raunder (R)- 42%


The People's Pat continues on his way to reelection!
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA-PPP: Cassidy (R) up 3. on: September 30, 2014, 12:13:47 pm
Very disappointing; I was expecting the keg stand to be more popular. They must have oversampled people from the north.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 542


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines