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May 24, 2015, 04:35:32 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IL-House 2016: Mega-Thread on: May 23, 2015, 08:20:36 am
^ Plus I don't think the district had moved any further to the left since 2012.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: May 23, 2015, 08:10:34 am
This was completely by chance. I was getting to the airport this morning and ran into this lady:

3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Kirk ranked 6th most bipartisan senator on: May 22, 2015, 04:07:27 pm
National Journal ranked Landrieu the 6th most bipastisan Senator for 2013, yet the OP seemed to have "doubts" about her. In fact, I think the guy he endorsed over her was in the top 50 most conservative House members.

Very interesting standards.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: KY: 2015 Statewide Primary Results on: May 22, 2015, 04:01:39 pm
In some of the eastern counties, Grimes did better in the 2011 general than she did in this primary. 'Looks like some damage from the Senate race.
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Same % of Americans identify as socially liberal, conservative, for first time on: May 22, 2015, 03:58:37 pm
they need to stop grouping social issues in to one because there are many young Republicans that are pro-lifers and anti-trad'l marriage. Social issues are not  mutually exclusive anymore

And even some younger Democrats Wink
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: May 21, 2015, 11:55:17 pm
^ At our College Democrats national conference a few years ago, we had quite a few members address us. Kaine was the only one who stuck around after his speech to talk with us personally.

Seemingly little things like that make a difference, IMO.
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Real Life Picture Thread (PAPOY Creepfest 2015) on: May 21, 2015, 11:49:31 pm
^ Thanks!

I like meeting pols from both parties, but Manchin and Tim Kaine are the most personable/likeable ones that I've met.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which of the Seven Deadly Sins would you consider the above poster? on: May 21, 2015, 08:29:09 pm
Greed.
9  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Cities and Towns Estimates To Be Relased By The Census on Thursday on: May 21, 2015, 05:49:03 pm
^ And the NC Dems. Charlotte, Cary and Durham have all grown by >10% since 2010.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Murphy In on: May 21, 2015, 09:27:18 am
Dan Bongino, yeah the guy who almost won MD-06 last year, is considering running for FL-18.

Between the carpetbagging and being pretty far-right ideologically, I'd guess he'd be the Republican most likely to lose the general.
11  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Cities and Towns Estimates To Be Relased By The Census on Thursday on: May 21, 2015, 07:59:09 am
Here are the numbers.

The first link should give you a table with the top 300 cities.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Was Calvin Coolidge a good President? on: May 21, 2015, 12:00:01 am
^ Interestingly, Reagan always said his favorite President was Coolidge.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Rhode Island on: May 20, 2015, 11:58:22 pm
5.

The only Catholic-majority state and, as such, as lots of pro-life Democrats.
14  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite University Series: Wisconsin/Minnesota edition on: May 20, 2015, 11:14:27 pm
UW-Madison Badgers.
15  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Was Ronald Reagan a good President? on: May 20, 2015, 11:08:49 pm
No (D)
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Senators of the Past 50 Years: Arizona on: May 20, 2015, 10:42:22 pm
Hayden
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Was Calvin Coolidge a good President? on: May 20, 2015, 10:24:45 pm
No (D).
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Jacksonville Mayor Thread on: May 20, 2015, 01:47:28 pm
As usual, Matthew Isbell, one of my favorite FL gurus, has great analysis (with maps!).
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-Sen: California Quake on: May 20, 2015, 01:44:57 pm
I don't think this poll deserves its own thread (58% are undecided), but the Field Poll has Harris and Sanchez making a runoff. Harris leads by a whopping 19-8 margin.
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Death penalty repeal passes Nebraska legislature on: May 20, 2015, 01:33:24 pm
Article.

Ricketts said he'll veto it, but votes to override it should be there (it passed 32/15).

Great news!
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / LA: MarblePort/Hayride (R): Vitter maintaining lead on: May 20, 2015, 12:11:38 pm
Article.

Vitter- 38%
Edwards- 27%
Dardenne- 15%
Angelle- 6%

If Russell Honore enters, nothing really changes, but he would be ahead of Angelle.

Vitter- 34%
Edwards- 26%
Dardenne- 15%
Honore- 7%
Angelle- 6%

As this almost exactly confirms the SMOR poll, I think we have a pretty good idea of where things stand.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls / WA-PPP: Inslee leading by double-digits, except against McKenna on: May 20, 2015, 10:52:23 am
Article.

Inslee- 43%
McKenna- 38%

Inslee- 45%
Reichert- 34%

Inslee- 46%
Bryant- 34%

Inslee- 45%
Hill- 31%

His approval is 41/42 while McKenna has 36/30 favorables.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / WA-PPP: Murray holding early leads on: May 20, 2015, 10:49:12 am
Article.

Murray- 46%
McKenna- 41%

Murray- 47%
Herrera-Beutler- 37%

Murray- 48%
Reichert- 37%

Murray- 48%
McMorris-Rodgers- 35%


Her approval is 47/39.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jindal going ahead with new 'religious freedom' bill on: May 20, 2015, 10:31:31 am
^ If only he had that same determination when it came to properly funding higher education, his approval rating might not be 27%.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Kentucky Primaries Predictions and Results Thread on: May 19, 2015, 09:00:59 pm
Quote
Scott Jennings ‏@ScottJenningsKY 
BREAKING - COMER CAMP SOURCE NOW SAYS THEY ARE GOING TO ASK FOR RECANVASS, ACKNOWLEDGE THEY ARE DOWN #kygov
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