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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: Suffolk: Brown +1 on: October 22, 2014, 05:59:34 pm
Edit: This poll is actually from New England College. I got the toplines from Politics1, which listed the wrong source.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / NH: New England College: Brown +1 on: October 22, 2014, 05:51:40 pm
Press release.

Brown- 48%
Shaheen- 47%
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall on: October 22, 2014, 05:09:48 pm
Looks like only one Mark will be re-elected this year.

Which one? Udall, Pryor, and Begich are all in dire positions.

Warner....
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Georgia on: October 22, 2014, 04:07:00 pm
I think it will be something crazy close, like 50.01% Nunn in the first round. And if she falls short, those 50,000 missing voter registrations become an über scandal, and potentially be enraging enough to drive Nunn to victory in the runoff.

There wouldn't be a runoff she gets 50.01%.

I see your point though.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Biggest Hacks on Atlas? on: October 22, 2014, 02:50:08 pm
"Invisible Obama" or whatever, windjammer, various trolls.

windjammer?
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-PPP: Shaheen still ahead on: October 22, 2014, 02:25:09 pm
It would be one thing if she was up by the same margin but leading 45/41. She's usually near 50%, which is why I think she holds on.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / IL: WAA: Ds holding CD11/17, Rs lead in 10/12/13 on: October 22, 2014, 02:09:58 pm
Article.

CD10
Dold (R)- 47%
Schneider (D)- 45%

CD11
Foster (D)- 52%
Senger (R)- 40%

CD12
Bost (R)- 43.5%
Enyart (D)- 42%
Bradshaw (G)- 6%

CD13
Davis (R)- 53%
Callis (D)- 36%

CD17
Bustos (D)- 55%
Schilling (R)- 39%
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Louisiana on: October 22, 2014, 11:36:21 am
When will the runoff take place btw?

December 6th.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / WI: Rasmussen: Burke +1 on: October 22, 2014, 11:30:44 am
New Poll: Wisconsin Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-10-21

Summary: D: 49%, R: 48%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / WI: Rasmussen: Burke +1 on: October 22, 2014, 11:26:57 am
Article.

Burke (D)- 49%
Walker (R)- 48%
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races on: October 22, 2014, 11:04:14 am
NC-Sen: In a boost for Hagan, the LCV is spending $4.2M in NC, split between two ads and GOTV efforts.

The ads discuss the coal ash spill, which I honestly thought would be a bigger issue in this campaign; I don't think it was even brought up in any of the debates.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 22, 2014, 09:04:22 am
Here's the report for the first day of LA early voting. I know its super early, but, blacks were at 31% of the ballots cast, which would be good for Landrieu if it holds.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / NM: ABQ Journal/BWD: Gov. Martinez up almost 20 on: October 22, 2014, 08:53:33 am
Article.

Martinez (R)- 54%
King (D)- 36%

SOS
Duran (R)- 48%
Oliver (D)- 45%

Auditor
Keller (D)- 51%
Aragon (R)- 42%
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Nunn remains slightly ahead on: October 22, 2014, 08:41:53 am
...and GA is now pink on the polls map!
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What will the results in Kansas be? on: October 21, 2014, 11:25:44 pm
I'm inclined to say Davis/Roberts, but I still think any combination is realistically possible.

I'm deferring to tmth.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: AZ: Rasmussen: Ducey +5 on: October 21, 2014, 11:20:37 pm
This reminds me of the Senate race in 2012: competitive but underpolled, usually with high undecideds. Also as with the Senate race, I'm expecting it to be close, but ya gotta give the edge to Republicans.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 21, 2014, 11:15:34 pm
Good write-up from Catanese on the both campaigns' field efforts.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Georgia on: October 21, 2014, 11:01:33 pm
Going out on a limb and saying Nunn wins outright.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Louisiana on: October 21, 2014, 10:57:21 pm
Mary will win both.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points on: October 21, 2014, 09:13:59 pm
Cassidy also tried to get as few debates as possible. We know that he's a poor speaker, but still.

I do wonder what the Hagan campaign's justification for slipping this was, though. I don't think it's a big deal, I just wonder what the reasoning was behind this calculation. She did pretty well at the other three debates...
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points on: October 21, 2014, 08:55:54 pm
^ Meh, even when he wasn't the clear frontrunner, serial debate dodging during the primary didn't keep Tillis from eventually winning.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If Republicans take the Senate next month, how long will they control Congress? on: October 21, 2014, 08:25:23 pm
Two years, but Democrats would be in a similarly dicey scenario going into 2018.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: CA-52: SUSA: DeMaio +1 on: October 21, 2014, 07:44:04 pm
Last poll was Peters +1, but I think he holds on.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / AZ: Rasmussen: Ducey +5 on: October 21, 2014, 12:07:35 pm
Link coming.

Ducey (R)- 47%
DuVal (D)- 42%
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sen. Angus King considering switching parties after midterms? on: October 21, 2014, 11:54:17 am
No. This is like the third time this cycle this rumor has been revived.

They'd be better off trying to switch Manchin.
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