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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Boston Mayor: Tom Menino Retiring
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on: March 29, 2013, 01:32:55 pm
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1983 was a bit more polarized  citywide: Flynn 29, King 29, Finnegan 25, DiCara 10, Kearney 7 - http://www.archive.org/stream/annualreportofbo1983bost#page/28/mode/2upFlynn wards: Ward 2: Flynn 43, Finnegan 23, DiCara 23, King 5 Ward 6: Flynn 70, Finnegan 21 Ward 7: Flynn 69, Finnegan 19 Ward 13: Flynn 35, King 29, Finnegan 25, DiCara 5 Ward 18: Flynn 31, Finnegan 29, King 24, DiCara 10 Ward 19: Flynn 31, Finnegan 28, King 24, DiCara 11 King wards: Ward 4: King 55, Flynn 14, DiCara 14, Finnegan 13 Ward 5: King 33, DiCara 25, Finnegan 22, Flynn 15 Ward 8: King 75, Finnegan 12, Flynn 8 Ward 9: King 86, Finnegan 7 Ward 10: King 49, Finnegan 20, Flynn 20, DiCara 6, Kearney 5 Ward 11: King 59, Finnegan 16, Flynn 16 Ward 12: King 95 Ward 14: King 95 Ward 15: King 37, Finnegan 26, King 25, DiCara 5 Ward 17: King 47, Flynn 20, Finnegan 19, DiCara 10 Ward 21: King 35, Flynn 26, Finnegan 23, DiCara 10 Finnegan wards: Ward 3: Finnegan 25, DiCara 21, Flynn 21, King 18, Langone 8, Kearney 6 Ward 16: Finnegan 43, Flynn 38, DiCara 9 Ward 20: Finnegan 43, Flynn 34, DiCara 11, Kearney 6 Ward 22: Finnegan 31, Flynn 31, King 18, DiCara 10, Kearney 9 Kearney ward: Ward 1: Kearney 33, Finnegan 25, Flynn 21, DiCara 10, Langone 5, King 5 and the runoff!  Citywide: Flynn 65, King 35 - http://www.archive.org/stream/annualreportofbo1983bost#page/82/mode/2upWard 1: Flynn 90/10 Ward 2: Flynn 89/11 (5709-693) Ward 3: Flynn 70/30 Ward 4: King 68/32 Ward 5: King 52/48 Ward 6: Flynn 97/3 (7752-221) Ward 7: Flynn 95/5 (9539-451) Ward 8: King 82/18 (2244-503) Ward 9: King 91/9 (4279-403) Ward 10: King 56/44 Ward 11: King 64/36 Ward 12: King 97/3 (5978-198) Ward 13: Flynn 67/33 Ward 14: King 98/2 (7918-195) Ward 15: Flynn 57/43 Ward 16: Flynn 92/8 (10941-902) Ward 17: King 52/48 Ward 18: Flynn 73/27 Ward 19: Flynn 69/31 Ward 20: Flynn 92/8 Ward 21: Flynn 54/46 Ward 22: Flynn 75/25
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Boston Mayor: Tom Menino Retiring
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on: March 29, 2013, 01:07:23 am
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Kinda random, but some of these trends might some up if the right field emerges. And some of this stuff changed in the last 20yrs a Ward map for the 1993 primary (Boston Wards are more historical than anything and I don't think the boundaries have changed in decades):  Menino Ward 1: Menino 40, Rufo 25, Salerno 15, Brett 13 Ward 2: Menino 26, Brett 24, Rufo 24, Salerno 16 Ward 3: Menino 29, Salerno 27, Rufo 25, Brett 10 Ward 18: Menino 53, Brett 14, Rufo 13, Salerno 9, Bolling 7 Ward 20: Menino 35, Brett 23, Rufo 22, Salerno 11 Brett Ward 6: Brett 40, Menino 25, Rufo 17, Roache 8, Salerno 6 Ward 7: Brett 45, Menino 21, Rufo 18, Roache 6, Salerno 6 Ward 13: Brett 57, Salerno 12, Menino 12, Rufo 10 Ward 15: Brett 39, Menino 16, Salerno 16, Rufo 12, Bolling 11 Ward 16: Brett 58, Menino 15, Rufo 11, Salerno 8 Ward 17: Brett 30, Salerno 18, Menino 16, Rufo 15 Rufo Ward 21: Rufo 35, Salerno 30, Menino 16, Brett 8 Ward 22: Rufo 57, Salerno 15, Menino 12, Brett 11 Salerno Ward 4: Salerno 46, Rufo 19, Menino 12, Bolling 9, Brett 7 Ward 5: Salerno 38, Rufo 25, Menino 16, Lydon 9, Brett 7 Ward 9: Salerno 29, Bolling 23, Menino 19, Rufo 14, Brett 10 Ward 10: Salerno 28, Menino 21, Rufo 21, Brett 13, Bolling 9 Ward 11: Salerno 32, Menino 22, Bolling 16, Rufo 13, Brett 14 Ward 19: Salerno 35, Menino 29, Brett 14, Rufo 13 Bolling: Ward 8: Bolling 24, Menino 22, Salerno 20, Brett 14, Rufo 12 Ward 12: Bolling 46, Menino 19, Salerno 13, Rufo 9, Brett 9 Ward 14: Bolling 42, Menino 21, Salerno 13, Rufo 11, Brett 9 Source: http://archive.org/stream/annualreportofbo1993bost#page/30/mode/2up
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General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Southeastern Utah
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on: January 07, 2013, 02:46:50 am
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Grand County, 2012: Soren Simonsen 49%, Obama 44%
San Juan County, 2012: Simonsen 40.5%, Obama 40.3%
So a SLC city councilman who lost UT3 by 55% did run ahead of Obama in some random locales.
considering the Chaffetz result in Utah County (86%!), they screwed up when they put too much of Salt Lake in UT4. If they put more of Utah County in UT4, then Mia Love is in Congress now
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Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Meanwhile in Southern West Virginia
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on: January 07, 2013, 02:37:20 am
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Comparing the Rahall and Tomblin maps, it seems Rahall did worse in the heart of Southern West Virginia but better along the districts northeastern and northwestern edges?
Well, Snuffer was from Raliegh County, so I guess it made sense that he overperformed in the core area while Rahall had 3 decades plus of name rec to fall back on in the peripheral counties. Rahall percentages, Raleigh county/districtwide (county home of opponent) 2012: 41% / 54% (Raleigh) 2010: 48% / 56% (Mingo) 2008: 60% / 67% (Mercer) 2006: 66% / 69% (Cabell) 2004: 49% / 65% (Raleigh) 2002: 58% / 70% (Logan) 1998/2000: Rahall only opposed by a Libertarian 1996: Rahall unopposed 1994: 60% / 64% (Monroe) 1992: 62% / 66% (Monroe) 1990: 48% / 52% (Mercer) 1988: 52% / 61% (Mercer) 1986: 69% / 71% (Raleigh) 1984: 63% / 67% (Raleigh) 1982: 85% / 81% (Cabell) So it takes going back to 1982 to find a time that Rahall did better in Raleigh v. a Republican than he fared in the district.
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General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Ancestry and political attitudes
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on: January 01, 2013, 09:34:15 pm
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I've wondered about this for a long time as well. The area in which I live in Southeast Missouri is predominantly of German American heritage. In my county alone, there is a tiny community of Dutch-German Catholics and this is one of the most staunchly Republican precincts in the county. The "town's" baseball field is littered in pro-life banners.
Osage County, Missouri is also strongly Republican and heavily of German American lineage; in fact, I think they even have some of their street signs in Germanic names. This is a part of the state that is included in the Missouri Rhineland.
Osage County wasn't swept by Republicans this year, they voted for Koster for AG. And Osage County was one of the few non-confederate counties to vote for Kennedy and Goldwater, also mainly due to German Catholics. So your area would be Perry County, or somewhere in the vicinity?
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kiryas Joel swings D because Romney is too pro-Israel
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on: December 26, 2012, 06:30:10 pm
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The Satmar Rebbe, Reb Aaron Teitelbaum also referred to the outcome of the 2012 U.S. election saying: "There were elections held now in the United States. For the first time in history, 'This Brat' - Israeli Prime Minister committed an undiplomatic and dangerous move when he supported the candidate running against the President (Mitt Romney). Imagine what would happen to us if, God forbid, he [Obama] would have lost the election. There's a well known phrase 'Esau hates Jacob' [Genesis 27:41], in that event supporters of the president would of expressed [poured] their anger over the Jews in the United States. "
"How dare he [Netanyahu] take upon himself the consequences and the the bloodshed that would of come out of it," the Rebbe asked, "to place at risk the lives of thousands of Jews."
"Thank G-d," the Rebbe continued, "The President remained in power, and Jewish blood was not spilled by that 'low life' (ליידיג גייער in Yiddish) - that thinks Jews are not worth anything," the Rebbe concluded his indictment of the Prime Minister. http://bibireport.blogspot.com/2012/12/satmar-rabb-calls-netanyahui-brat-for.html
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kiryas Joel swings D because Romney is too pro-Israel
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on: December 26, 2012, 06:12:50 pm
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Kiryas Joel has factionalism. And just as last time, the eternal minority faction voted for Obama. If their result was marginally stronger than last time, I would wager a guess the reasons have to do with KJ politics and nothing whatsoever with national politics or views on Israel.
The 2008 results from KJ were 2757-199 for McCain. So marginal increase. (the precincts tabulated: 9, 10, 14, 15, 16, 17, 20, 22, 27, 28, 29, 31) McCain won 1460 votes on the Independence line and 1141 on the Republican line. 712 blank votes were cast.
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Kiryas Joel swings D because Romney is too pro-Israel
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on: December 25, 2012, 09:31:02 pm
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Orange County, NY cast 2871 blank ballots for President, 1943 in Monroe township. 11 precincts in Monroe cast more than 100 blank ballots. Those precincts: 9, 10, 15, 16, 17, 20, 22, 27, 28, 29, and 31. The results from those precincts Romney 1872 (56%), Obama 1406 (42%), Goode 51, Stein 7, Johnson 5, Lindsay 2. Blank 1868 The only KJ precinct not listed, Precinct 14, where Romney won 40-31 with 26 blanks Gillibrand 4770 (96%), Long 149 (4%), Clark 3, Edes 3, Mangelli 2. Blank 269 And told to the NY Post: Mitt Romney’s support for Israel — compared to President Obama’s perceived weaker pledge of allegiance — spurred an Orthodox Jewish but anti-Israel enclave upstate to vote for the incumbent, sources said.
“We were unofficially told to vote for Obama because Romney is pro-Israel,” a resident told The Post.
The counterintuitive voting pattern in the village of Kiryas Joel is a result of beliefs held by the some in the Satmar sect that Jews are supposed to remain in exile until the arrival of the messiah. So, that's a unique motivator.
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Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Did I do something wrong or is the fill-in broken?
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on: December 20, 2012, 10:56:35 pm
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MO Lt. Gov: http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&fips=29&elect=0&off=6&year=2012MO Sos: http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&fips=29&elect=0&off=7&year=2012Both with totals but the county maps are blank The lines I get when I try to 'update' the totals by adding the file replace into DataC values (201200729000, 2012, 0, 7, 29, "Missouri", 2, 0, 2655483, 1,2,0,3,4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0, 39085, 1298022,1258937,0,70814,27710,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,201200729)County data over-written State data over-written Old Map Data Deleted Contribution date and time updated Election Status updated: Official select count(*) as wins from DataC where id > 201200729000 and id < 201200730000 and rank1=1Map data entered replace into DataC values (201200629000, 2012, 0, 6, 29, "Missouri", 2, 0, 2678313, 2,1,0,3,4,0,0,0,0,5,0,0,0,0,0, 100290, 1219457,1319747,0,75169,63594,0,0,0,0,346,0,0,0,0,0,201200629)County data over-written State data over-written Old Map Data Deleted Contribution date and time updated Election Status updated: Official select count(*) as wins from DataC where id > 201200629000 and id < 201200630000 and rank1=1Map data entered
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Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Alaska Results Map by House District
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on: December 04, 2012, 09:04:50 pm
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Places listed in Aleutians East
Akutan: Obama 52, Romney 22 (24% White, 16% Native) Cold Bay: Romney 30, Obama 1 (72% White, 17% Native) King Cove: Romney 67, Obama 56 (47% Native, 15% White) Sand Point: Romney 95, Obama 71 (42% Native, 28% White)
I believe he covered the Asian aspect of the Aleutians too
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