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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1701  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Barack Obama on: August 04, 2013, 07:18:04 pm
I don't like him, but he's not as bad as the Tea Party thinks he is.

This. Voted HP out of disapproval for his policies, but he himself seems OK.
1702  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who do you think will be the next Speaker of the House? on: August 02, 2013, 03:13:43 pm
Either Eric Cantor or Paul Ryan.
1703  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Melissa Harris-Perry: Life Begins When the Parents Think it Does on: August 02, 2013, 03:08:28 pm
First off, I'm very much pro-choice and have to say that MHP is basically correct that a collection of cells that cannot think or breathe certainly cannot claim to be called a human life. That said, it is certainly not a question of 'how the parents feel' that determines when such life can reasonably be said to begin; it is a question of both biology, which determines when certain crucial functions begin, and of morality, which defines what 'human life' is.

Another thing:

We know conservatives think women should go back to being treated as the baby-making property of their husbands. We know they're hiding this in arguments about the well-being of babies or whatever, even though conservatives repeatedly vote to cut funding to actually give these babies food and healthcare once they're born.

This post demonstrates a lot of what is wrong with political discourse in the US, both on the left and the right. Lief knows that people who disagree with him are sexist! How? Clearly because he is telepathic. Or maybe he says so because he knows it's easier to build up strawmen rather than to debate an issue on its own terms.

If a pregnant women thinks that giving birth to the child will be an incovience to her, that is just as a valid excuse to have an abortion as rape, incense and her health. I applaud the great Melissa Harris-Perry on this segment , she is always brilliant and thought provoking.

That's ridiculous and selfish.

It is not. It's ridiculous to think that public policy once forced women who did not have the experience, resources, or desire to have children give birth to a child. That such women should not have children, and if they do certainly shouldn't be tasked with raising them, seems to me pretty common-sense.
1704  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Alaska (PPP): Rand Paul ahead on: August 02, 2013, 02:39:12 pm
Zimmermann's a registered Democrat Tongue

He was also born in 1983, so he won't be eligible to run for the Presidency until 2020. He will get his first shot at a Senate seat if he wants to run against Rubio/for the open seat (presumably as a Democrat) in 2016. If he wants to run for the House, he can do that next cycle, though it's unclear which district he's in -- whether he can be a sacrificial lamb against John Mica or hopelessly challenge Corrine Brown in the primary. (Though Zimmermann's been eligible to run for the House starting in 2008.)

And, yeah, seriously speaking Paul is a pretty good fit for Alaska Republican types.
1705  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senators from the opposite party that you are willing to vote for on: August 02, 2013, 01:38:36 pm
Depends on the circumstances:

Begich -- Might vote for him against Miller depending on national circumstances. Against Treadwell, no way.

Durbin -- Again, depends on Republican opponent, but he's a very good legislator and could have my support.

Donnelly -- Like Begich; he's right-wing enough that, depending on national/local circumstances, he could have my vote.

Levin -- See Durbin. Doesn't really matter since he's retiring.

Franken -- Probably would vote against him in a truly competitive election, or even if he was winning, but I might give him a "pity vote" if he were on track to lose in a landslide; he deserves a close, excruciating defeat.

Tester -- See Donnelly, Begich.

Schumer -- Pretty much guaranteed my vote.

Heitkamp -- Like the other Western Democrats on the list.

Wyden -- Pretty much guaranteed my vote.

Reed -- See Durbin or Levin.

That's pretty much it, but most of those are rather doubtful, too; I listed everyone who has at least a chance.
1706  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: KY Senate Race 2014: Getting lucky in Kentucky on: August 02, 2013, 01:32:12 pm
Wow! Cruz, Johnson and Lee declined to endorse McConnell.

Doesn't that say more about them than about McConnell, though?
1707  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz keeps mural of himself in office on: August 02, 2013, 07:20:39 am
And he looks creepy.



I'm not a particular fan of Cruz, but that's a rather pleasant smile
1708  General Politics / Economics / Re: Opinion of Linking University Tuition to Future Salaries on: August 01, 2013, 11:15:28 pm
n00bz don't get opebo...hahaha but we love u bro
1709  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: JP Morgan to the Eurozone periphery: your constitutions are too anti-fascist on: August 01, 2013, 10:25:50 pm
It's pretty obvious if you read the bolded statement that this line

put in place in the aftermath of the fall of fascism

is calling the constitutions outdated, as opposed to insufficiently fascistic.

Well, going by that standard the United States constitution is the most outdated of them all, and most in need of a serious rehaul.

You forgot San Marino Tongue
1710  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What currently serving member of Congress is most likely to become POTUS? on: August 01, 2013, 09:57:30 pm
John Boehner, being third in line for the office and whatnot. Off of this list, Marco Rubio.
1711  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: What makes Ohio so [damn] stable (inelastic) in its voting patterns? on: August 01, 2013, 09:47:53 pm
It's hard for me to figure what state has Romney as a Favorite Son.               

Romney was registered to vote in and held office in Massachusetts. It's very simple. He's not exactly Sam Houston.
1712  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What Should the Driving Age Be? on: July 31, 2013, 05:59:24 pm
This:

12 or 13

But,

Eh, in a few years we'll have driverless cars and driving will become a niche hobby like horseback riding.

although

My hope is that within half a century years we'll look back at an age in which virtually ever adult was not only permitted to drive, but expected to do so as a matter of daily routine, with a mix of horror and bewilderment.

this hope will probably be disappointed if he lives that long.
1713  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: People are forgetting what doomed the GOP in 2012 on: July 30, 2013, 09:57:32 pm
Democrats in 1992 are a good comparison; if the person who comes out of the primaries is talented enough and the year is good, it won't matter.
1714  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Reasons for Russia's anti gay shift on: July 30, 2013, 09:44:15 pm
Have any of you actually met Russians?  They're all over the place in the beach resorts here, and a more unpleasant group of people would be difficult to imagine. 

Russia is our holy fortress, Russia is our favorite country. Powerful will and great glory are things you have earned for all time.
1715  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Florida sheriff's deputies shoot unarmed black man in his own driveway on: July 30, 2013, 09:37:29 pm
I can see the argument that the neighbor was racist or had malicious intent, but surely the police were just doing their jobs?
1716  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NYC'13: lol.... on: July 30, 2013, 09:10:59 pm
Looks like Weiner's campaign is melting down. A female intern quit and wrote a tell-all for the NYDN. When asked for comment, Weiner's female spox unleashed a torrent of vile misogyny on the ex-intern.

That is magnificent.

I was looking forward so much to Quinn-Weiner and now it won't happen...
1717  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bradley Manning found guilty of espionage, not guilty of aiding the enemy. on: July 30, 2013, 08:47:38 pm
Manning is not Snowden; the information he leaked posed real, tangible threats to security forces on the ground. It's a bit tragic, and I don't think it sets a very good precedent, but ultimately it was the correct decision.
1718  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Betty Crocker a Fag Hag on: July 30, 2013, 08:45:31 pm
I like to hope they gain more than they lose in sales from this, though unfortunately that's probably not the case. Good for them though.
1719  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-PPP: Begich +4 on Treadwell on: July 30, 2013, 08:27:24 pm
Let's be honest with ourselves. Palin's out. Sullivan doesn't seem to have made any tangible moves towards a candidacy beyond just 'considering it'. Miller's in last place however you poll; so on the whole it's difficult to see Treadwell not winning the nomination.

And his path to victory over Begich is pretty clear. His name recognition is significantly lower than Begich's (64% recognize Treadwell; 83% recognize Begich), while Begich's own approval ratings are pretty anemic (+1 in such a red state isn't a good place to be). Add that to the fact that Alaska Democrats are always overstated in polling (in 2004 Knowles was supposed to beat Murkowski; in 2006 Knowles was barely behind Palin in polling, he lost by 9%; in 2008 Berkowitz was supposed to beat Young; in 2008 Begich was supposed to beat Stevens by double-digits, he won by just 1%; in 2010 McAdams was actually pretty reasonably judged by most polling companies, but PPP had him doing way better than he did (their final October 31 poll had him at 30%, he got 23%)). The one exception I can find is that local company Dittman Research seems to go the opposite direction and always overestimates Republicans. But the point is, considering that most of the undecideds probably tilt Republican and that pollsters always overestimate Alaska Democrats. I'm feeling pretty good about Treadwell's chances.

I'd be curious if this is a result of the Democratic candidate or the non-incumbent candidate overpolling.

2006 suggests the former (Palin v. Knowles, open-seat, Knowles was overestimated), but 2010 is unclear (you had a 'Democrat', McAdams, and a 'non-incumbent', Miller, and they were both overestimated). I think it's a mixture of both...

Begich smells like a Pelosi. The people won't be fooled.

krazen whatever anyone else may say I almost always love your posts
1720  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-PPP: Begich +4 on Treadwell on: July 30, 2013, 03:02:10 pm
Let's be honest with ourselves. Palin's out. Sullivan doesn't seem to have made any tangible moves towards a candidacy beyond just 'considering it'. Miller's in last place however you poll; so on the whole it's difficult to see Treadwell not winning the nomination.

And his path to victory over Begich is pretty clear. His name recognition is significantly lower than Begich's (64% recognize Treadwell; 83% recognize Begich), while Begich's own approval ratings are pretty anemic (+1 in such a red state isn't a good place to be). Add that to the fact that Alaska Democrats are always overstated in polling (in 2004 Knowles was supposed to beat Murkowski; in 2006 Knowles was barely behind Palin in polling, he lost by 9%; in 2008 Berkowitz was supposed to beat Young; in 2008 Begich was supposed to beat Stevens by double-digits, he won by just 1%; in 2010 McAdams was actually pretty reasonably judged by most polling companies, but PPP had him doing way better than he did (their final October 31 poll had him at 30%, he got 23%)). The one exception I can find is that local company Dittman Research seems to go the opposite direction and always overestimates Republicans. But the point is, considering that most of the undecideds probably tilt Republican and that pollsters always overestimate Alaska Democrats. I'm feeling pretty good about Treadwell's chances.
1721  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: JP Morgan to the Eurozone periphery: your constitutions are too anti-fascist on: July 30, 2013, 12:33:58 pm
Supporting centralization and FPP is not the worst part of that set of "recommendations", though it is still pretty disgusting.

Haven't we both agreed that trying to limit the public's right to protest is far and away the worst part of that?

It's really hilarious to hear you lecturing me about the notion of public service now. Grin

Grin

Anyhow, obviously you can't always strike in a public utility like you do on a private business. The right to strike, as every other right, is not absolute, as I'm pretty sure that for example, even on strike, hospitals won't leave their patients to die and will keep ERs going.

I would hope so to, but if you read Article 23, it certainly seems to me to protect hospital workers' right to strike (among others).

Basic services are always being provided.

Article 23 seems to provide for occasional gaps in the providing of such.

As for the shortage of other services, sure that's annoying, but society can afford a short and rare interruption of minor public services if this helps protecting the rights of the workers who provide them.

It sure can, but short and rare are operative words there. Strikes are not necessarily short and rare.

Excellent sob story about poor businesses being forced to bow down to the strikers. Business (especially big ones) can more easily afford to suspend their production than workers can afford living without their wages, you know.

But if they have an absolute constitutionally protected 'right to strike', the businesses would presumably still have to pay them while they are on strike. Businesses can more easily suspend their production than workers can afford to live without their wages, but in this case (if the Article is interpreted literally) the workers aren't actually having to give anything up to go on strike, while the businesses do. And businesses can't afford to suspend their production absolutely indefinitely, so in the end they would basically have to give in to all the strikers' demands.
1722  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Which Of These Four Fictional Countries Would You Rather Live In? on: July 30, 2013, 12:08:24 pm
Clearly Reichsland.
1723  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: JP Morgan to the Eurozone periphery: your constitutions are too anti-fascist on: July 30, 2013, 11:56:28 am
Centralization is not undemocratic, it just makes absolutely sense since most European countries (contrary to the US) don't have excessively powerful local entities, but often quite the opposite.

I don't know very much about how much power European administrative divisions have as compared to US states, it just seems a bit of a stretch to call this 'fascist' like some of the posters above seem to be doing.

I don't really care about interpreting what JP Morgan's "advice" to European democracies, but the idea that under PR all elected parliamentarians are party hacks while under FPP they are elected on their own merits is definitely worth laughing at.

The thread title is an interpretation of JP Morgan's advice and it is devoted to such interpretations. I don't agree that PR inherently results in the election of hackish faceless politicians, but that does seem to be what JP Morgan is suggesting.

And yeah, like it or not, even public employees have a right to strike and unionize. Sure, it's annoying to have a few trains delayed/canceled from time to time, but I don't think this trumps basic principles of workplace democracy.

And here is where I disagree; an elected government is there to represent all the people and by giving people who work for it the right to strike and thereby influence appropriations and policy you're breaking a fundamental 'one-man-one-vote' principle. As an employee of the government, you are also there to help all the people as opposed to just yourself. As an employee of a private company, obviously you're there to help yourself and you obviously have a right to unionize/strike to do so -- but even there, including an explicit 'right to strike' in the constitution seems as if it would have odd implications in the negotiations, since if companies can't fire strikers, they essentially can't really do anything except agree to strikers' demands, whatever they may be.

Of course there are necessary exceptions for cops, servicemen etc, as the article you cited mentions.

It doesn't unless, say, nurses are somehow included in either 'judicial functionaries' or 'security corps'. Admittedly, I'm going off of an English translation (an official one, on the Hellenic Parliament's website) as opposed to the original Greek text, which would presumably be clearer, but still.

Why do you care so much about public employees anyway?

Their competence is a pretty integral part of a high standard of living?

Don't you guys want to privatize everything?

I'm one person, Antonio. There's no 'you guys'.
1724  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What are the ideological inconsistencies within the Republican Party? on: July 30, 2013, 11:36:20 am
Obviously both parties are very ideologically inconsistent (you have, say, me and Pat Robertson in the same party, obviously it's quite diverse), being consistent isn't the point. What's concerning is when individual people hold mutually exclusive positions, which is quite a common problem essentially worldwide, but is even more concerning when such are held by politicians.
1725  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gay Marriage 52-43 support, so sayeth Gallup on: July 30, 2013, 11:33:51 am
For all that's said about whites, men are horrible people as well.

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