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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1701  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 14, 2016, 07:21:25 pm
Taylor seems like a Tom Cotton-esque ultra-hawk, from the quick read-up on him I've done. Not a type I'm particularly offended by.

Sanford is among my favorite Congresspeople, but his opponent is not a huge downgrade. She was the State Senator who gave that incredible speech on the Rebel flag, right? If so, I'd be fine with her. She certainly is a better personthan Sanford.

Yeah, this was certainly a high-candidate-quality race.
1702  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Congressional Primaries on: June 14, 2016, 11:16:17 am
Shame that Kevin Cramer doesn't have a primary opponent; I'd be curious to see how well even a total no-name would do. I know I'd probably vote for pretty much anyone against him.
1703  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gary Johnson Comes Out Of The Closet on: June 14, 2016, 12:07:37 am
Takes a lot of courage in this country to come out as sane
1704  Election Archive / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPP: Portman +4 on: June 13, 2016, 04:13:10 pm
As I've been saying many times, Strickland is by no means remembered fondly and Portman's allies are already on air bombarding him. Portman is much safer than he looks, even though he still could lose in a total collapse.
1705  Election Archive / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PA-PPP: Toomey leads McGinty in Democratic poll on: June 13, 2016, 04:10:57 pm
Toomey leading in a released MoveOn internal is very significant and fantastic news.
1706  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which GE election result is most likely? on: June 13, 2016, 04:09:54 pm
2 is the most likely of these. A separate "Mormon" adjuster is really necessary. Utah isn't voting R>60 for Trump.
1707  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump (D) vs Lyin' Ted Cruz (R) on: June 13, 2016, 04:08:26 pm
Cruz is imperfect, but as I've made clear many times in the past, I'm a strong supporter of his when Donald Trump is the opponent.
1708  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australian Federal Election- July 2, 2016 on: June 13, 2016, 09:01:10 am
Pretty terrible interview on ABC Radio National from Adam Bandt condemning Labor for getting a deal with the Libs that they were trying to get. This puts a pretty significant dent in the Green's aspirations for anything beyond retaining Melbourne.



Terrible as in Bandt embarrassed himself, or terrible as in accusatory?
1709  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democrats, would you have voted for a Democrat version of Trump? on: June 12, 2016, 03:59:12 pm
I'm no big fan of Jeb Bush but I would've voted for him easily against a somehow even worse version of Trump.
1710  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: RIP George Voinovich on: June 12, 2016, 10:41:11 am
A great Republican Leader for us in Ohio. RIP, FF.
1711  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: So I went to a Trump rally last night ... on: June 11, 2016, 11:46:02 am
Getting kicked out was the highlight of my Trump-rally experience Tongue
1712  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How much of a fascist are you? on: June 10, 2016, 02:06:32 pm
Quote
You are 20% Fascist, which makes you
Not Fascist.
1713  Election Archive / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: KS- John Zogby Strategies: Clinton +7 on: June 10, 2016, 11:40:01 am
Obama plz drone
1714  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Lyndon Baines Johnson on: June 10, 2016, 11:34:09 am
FF for getting the Civil Rights Act and associated reforms through, and for not giving up on Vietnam. HP for some of his later domestic agenda, and seems like a massive HP on a personal level. Complicated, consequential figure, and I voted "both".
1715  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will any big name Republicans publicly admit to voting for Hillary? on: June 10, 2016, 11:22:52 am
Not until they write their memoirs decades from now.
1716  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: ABC releases electoral map on: June 10, 2016, 10:44:16 am
Colorado not a tossup??

Virginia shouldn't be one either.
1717  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who do you currently plan on voting for in the 2016 General Election? on: June 09, 2016, 11:04:47 pm
The forum has always, unsurprisingly, had more Democrats than Republicans. Two interesting things I've noted this year are:

1. Lots of Clinton support. In 2008, as I recall, support for Obama over Clinton was overwhelming on here. I'd have expected similarly landslide Sanders support given the age range of most posters. But it's seemed to be fairly balanced.

2. The lack of support for Trump within the Atlas Republicans. Most of the Trumpists on here seem to be atypical freaks (no offense). The regular Republicans on here who had a high profile before the primaries got underway a majority seem to be #NeverTrump.

I guess the forum population skews more educated so that could be one reason. I guess people who follow politics more would also be more aware of how awful Trump is while a lot of voters might be a bit more generically supporting the Republican candidate.

I think that the forum population skews young is another good reason why #NeverTrump is so high here. Anecdotally, in real life I don't think I know anybody over 25 who is a Republican who doesn't support Trump, but among those under 25 who identify as Republican only a third or so actually intend to vote for Trump (and I don't personally know anyone under 25 who supported him in the primary, though obviously such people do exist; I've mentioned before that in my precinct dropout Carson had more support than Trump did), with most of the rest either sitting out or protest voting. Age, in my experience, is a very strong predictor of the likelihood of #NeverTrump status (and primary exit polls confirmed that non-Northeastern youth were much more anti-Trump than the elderly).
1718  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Let's Say the RNC DOES Suspend the Convention Rules and Releases Delegates on: June 09, 2016, 10:57:16 pm
...the party is so irretrievably divided right now that I can't envision anyone getting over 50%. Whoever did it would use the power of correct timing after the convention was exhausted and luck. Good luck predicting it.

1719  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would you rather babysit your Mexican son? on: June 09, 2016, 10:55:51 pm
The first two are very successful parents.

While they obviously haven't received anywhere the attention Clinton and Trump's children have, so I can't tell you much about them, Johnson does also have two adult children by his first wife, who were born in 1979 and 1982.
1720  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: June 09, 2016, 10:31:06 pm
I've always thought the reason that right-wing populism is yet to emerge in Spain is simply that the PP is descended from forces that were outright fascist, is further to the right than a typical European right-wing party, and is better positioned to absorb that sort of anger into itself rather than having a separate party take root.
1721  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you feel if this was the map on Election night? on: June 09, 2016, 10:24:41 pm
If Trump won Ohio by 1 vote and I voted for Johnson, I would feel pretty sh**tty.
1722  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who do you currently plan on voting for in the 2016 General Election? on: June 09, 2016, 11:16:25 am
Johnson, but the disproportionality between Atlas and real life has gotten a lot worse this year than it was in previous years, which is really saying something.
1723  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Have superdelegates helped or hurt Hillary Clinton's campaign? on: June 09, 2016, 11:15:19 am
The argument that superdelegates hurt Hillary's campaign is equivalent to the argument that Cruz's victory in Colorado helped Trump. Victories always help you, that's the point of them. You can fight your opponent painting your victories as unfair, but your opponent can't really fight the edge in delegates you gained by your victory.
1724  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who's the biggest #NeverTrump Republican on Atlas? on: June 08, 2016, 10:32:07 pm
Very honored to have been mentioned in this thread
1725  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Will Dudabides vote for Trump in November? on: June 08, 2016, 10:26:02 pm
Hope not. She's (she, right?) always welcome in the Johnson camp.
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