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1701  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Conventional Wisdom on House Elections on: February 13, 2013, 09:17:59 pm
Tierney?

Cook has him at Leans D, Sabato at Likely D. As detailed in the initial post, I round towards more competitive, and those are so far the only predictions in the average.

If someone could agree to make maps for these predictions, this would be muchly appreciated Smiley

Hope I didn't mess anything up

Thank you so much! Seems perfect on first glance.
1702  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Horse meat - I want to eat it. on: February 13, 2013, 09:10:34 pm
Meat is gross :s

Oh good lord!  Are you a vegetarian?  That practice disgusts me.

^^ like
1703  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How do you think the 2014 elections will go? on: February 13, 2013, 07:49:24 pm
Obama's 1986. Small Republican gains in the House -- large Republican gains in the Senate, perhaps Republicans even take the majority -- but a reasonably. successful cycle for the Democrats in terms of governorships and state legislatures.

Slight losses in both houses. A good surprise is always possible, but let's be prudent so early before the election.

So is a bad surprise Wink...
1704  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would the preceding poster be a good pope? on: February 13, 2013, 12:32:06 am
Nathan: Sure, why not.
1705  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Darwin or Lincoln? on: February 13, 2013, 12:20:31 am
In the long run, Darwin's ideas are more important than Lincoln's actions, but someone else would've come up with Darwin's ideas if he hadn't, whereas the Union's maintenance was by no means guaranteed.

Ask a more specific question, Oldies.
1706  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which issues could cause the most disagreement in the 2016 Republican primarie on: February 13, 2013, 12:16:15 am
Whoever the opponents of [insert your personal favorite candidate here] happen to be, they are all scum. This will cause the most disagreement.
1707  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio & Paul SotU response speeches on: February 13, 2013, 12:12:24 am
I didn't watch any of them, but considering the commentary in this thread Rubio seems to have done well.
1708  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Horse meat - I want to eat it. on: February 13, 2013, 12:08:30 am
Yes, of course. It's perfectly edible, and I see no reason businesses shouldn't be able to sell it if there isn't a market.

I wouldn't be averse to trying horse meat (of course, considering I regularly eat the stuff that comes out of our school cafeteria, perhaps I already have). However, you should all be averse to trying kumiss. I had some in NY once; it's hard to think of any other food which screams 'acquired taste' more.
1709  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: One year ago... on: February 12, 2013, 09:55:42 pm
I have never been baptized, nor do I intend to be.
1710  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Hypocritical Ron Paul betrays the Paultards, embraces the U.N. on: February 11, 2013, 11:14:02 pm
Gotta agree with Lief on this one. While this is an unfortunate circumstance, ultimately if you pay for something it's your stuff. These guys paid for those domain names and so now they own them. Fair game.
1711  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you feel sorry for this guy? on: February 10, 2013, 05:47:40 pm
Yes, but ultimately management has a right to do this sort of thing.
1712  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Pick the best running-mate for the preceding poster on: February 09, 2013, 10:56:25 pm
Raul Labrador
1713  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Conventional Wisdom on House Elections on: February 09, 2013, 10:45:53 pm
I averaged out CookPo and Sabato's House ratings (ie, if one says Tossup and the other Likely R, then it's marked Leans R); I favored more competitiveness (ie, if one says Leans R and the other Likely R, then it's marked Leans R); except with Tossups, where I introduced Tilts (ie, if one says Tossup and the other Leans R, then it's Tossup/Tilt R). Here're the results (and over time I'll keep updating this thread, probably adding other outfits to the average as they release predictions over time).

5 seats -- 4 held by Democrats, 1 held by a Republican -- are marked 'Pure Tossup'. Nothing is favored by the other party. In seats where the incumbent is retiring (3 so far, of which 2 are competitive), the incumbent's name is in italics. In the future, when seats are predicted to be pickups, they will be underlined.

Without further ado:

Likely Democratic (16)
California 3 (Garamendi)
California 9 (McNerney)
California 16 (Costa)
California 24 (Capps)
California 26 (Brownley)
California 41 (Takano)
Connecticut 5 (Esty)
Florida 22 (Frankel)
Illinois 17 (Bustos)
Iowa 1 (Braley)
Minnesota 7 (Peterson)
Minnesota 8 (Nolan)
Nevada 4 (Horsford)
New York 24 (Maffei)
Rhode Island 1 (Cicilline)
Washington 1 (delBene)

Leans Democratic (15)
Arizona 9 (Sinema)
California 7 (Bera)
California 52 (Peters)
Georgia 12 (Barrow)
Illinois 10 (Schneider)
Illinois 12 (Enyart)
Massachusetts 6 (Tierney)
New Hampshire 2 (Kuster)
New York 1 (Bishop)
New York 18 (Maloney)
New York 21 (Owens)
North Carolina 7 (McIntyre)
Texas 23 (Gallego)
Utah 4 (Matheson)
West Virginia 3 (Rahall)

Tossup/Tilts Democratic (2)
California 36 (Ruiz)
Florida 26 (Garcia)

Pure Tossup (5; 4D, 1R)
Arizona 1 (Kirkpatrick)
Arizona 2 (Barber)
California 31 (Miller)
Florida 18 (Murphy)
New Hampshire 1 (Shea-Porter)

Tossup/Tilts Republican (1)
Colorado 6 (Coffman)

Leans Republican (15)
California 10 (Denham)
California 21 (Valadao)
Illinois 13 (Davis)
Indiana 2 (Walorski)
Michigan 1 (Benishek)
Michigan 11 (Bentivolio)
Minnesota 6 (Bachmann)
Nebraska 2 (Terry)
Nevada 3 (Heck)
New York 11 (Grimm)
New York 19 (Gibson)
New York 23 (Reed)
Ohio 14 (Joyce)
Pennsylvania 8 (Fitzpatrick)
West Virginia 2 (Moore Capito)

Likely Republican (22)
California 25 (McKeon)
Florida 2 (Southerland)
Florida 10 (Webster)
Florida 13 (Young)
Florida 16 (Buchanan)
Iowa 3 (Latham)
Iowa 4 (King)
Kentucky 6 (Barr)
Michigan 3 (Amash)
Michigan 7 (Walberg)
Minnesota 2 (Kline)
New Jersey 2 (loBiondo)
New Jersey 3 (Runyan)
New Jersey 5 (Garrett)
Ohio 6 (Johnson)
Ohio 7 (Gibbs)
Ohio 16 (Renacci)
Pennsylvania 7 (Meehan)
Pennsylvania 12 (Rothfus)
Tennessee 4 (desJarlais)
Virginia 2 (Rigell)
Wisconsin 7 (Duffy)

If someone could agree to make maps for these predictions, this would be muchly appreciated Smiley
1714  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary Clinton win the General Election if she runs? on: February 09, 2013, 10:17:02 pm
Since she leads all the top Republican possibilities, the correct answer is 'more likely than not'. Didn't vote.
1715  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Political Quiz List. Are you a Quiz Whiz? on: February 09, 2013, 09:37:54 pm
  The Quiz

The following are your scores. They are based on a gradual range of 0 to 12. For instance, a Conservative/Progressive score of 3 and 0 will both yield a result of social conservative, yet 0 would be an extreme conservative and 3 a moderate conservative


Conservative/Progressive score: 8
You are a social moderate. You think the progressive movement is overall well meaning, but sometimes it goes too far. On issues like abortion and affirmative action, you see the negatives of both extremes on the issue. You probably value religion, but at the same time you think it should still stay separate from the government


Capitalist Purist/Social Capitalist score: 4
You are a Moderate Capitalist. You support an economy that is by and large a free market, but has public programs to help people who can't help themselves or need a little help. Pretty much you believe in the American economy how it currently is.


Libertarian/Authoritarian score: 2
You are libertarian. You think that the government is making way too many unnecessary laws that are taking away our innate rights. You believe that the government's job is primarily to protect people from harming other people, but after that they should mind their own business, and if we give the government too much power in controlling our lives, it can lead to fascism.


Pacifist/Militarist score: 10
You're a Militarist. You believe that since the United States has so much power in the world, it has a responsibility to keep the world safe. You think that if the US does not exert its power in the world, it may eventually lose its power, and that we can not look weak in the face of terrorists, and must take them out where they live.

Overall, you would most likely fit into the category of Libertarian
1716  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you openly and aggressively support gay marriage? on: February 09, 2013, 09:18:22 pm
Openly? Yes.

Aggressively? No. In the long run I support marriage privatization, after all.
1717  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Germany Employment Maps on: February 09, 2013, 09:04:11 pm
Auferstanden aus Ruinen
und der Zukunft zugewandt,
laßt uns Dir zum Guten dienen,
Deutschland, einig Vaterland.
1718  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Make a map of the above four posters as separate candidates on: February 09, 2013, 08:51:49 pm


Antonio V (Democratic Party) 305 EV
Jerryarkansas (American Independent Party) 204 EV
Matt from VT (Republican Party) 25 EV
Spenstar 3D (Green Party) 4 EV

(PS, Jerryarkansas: I find your map where my -5.04 social PM score self wins large portions of the south and Utah...intriguing.)
1719  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Does your username contain your real name? on: February 09, 2013, 08:02:56 pm
My username is an adjective...

It contain your age.

It contain my birthday (August 8 ).
1720  General Discussion / Religion & Philosophy / Re: Darwin's iPhone (on Libertarianism, Education and Evolutionary Psychology) on: February 09, 2013, 07:49:11 pm
I'd be interested in splitting those Asians up into 'immigrants' and 'native-born'; I wonder (*am actually pretty confident that) if the latter would be even higher than 'white'.
1721  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Post a map of the previous poster against Romney or Obama on: February 09, 2013, 06:23:26 pm
Against Obama, the same map as Romney. Against Romney, he would win the South, but he'd lose most of the West (anything north or west of Kansas would go Romney) and I think IN and NC would vote Romney as well.

Ignoring how little sense it makes for me to run against Romney, why do I do better in the socially conservative South and worse in the libertarian-leaning West?

*SKIP*

It doesn't. Jerryarkansas posted a map about you and then deleted it for some reason. *SKIP*
1722  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Post a map of the previous poster against Romney or Obama on: February 09, 2013, 04:09:43 pm
Against Obama, the same map as Romney. Against Romney, he would win the South, but he'd lose most of the West (anything north or west of Kansas would go Romney) and I think IN and NC would vote Romney as well.
1723  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Does your username contain your real name? on: February 09, 2013, 04:08:00 pm
My username is an adjective...
1724  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: SC-6: Speculation over Clyburn on: February 08, 2013, 04:00:51 pm
Isn't he a DLCer?

We need PROGRESSIVES, not more DLCers.

The DLC went the way of the Occupiers before Occupy even existed.
1725  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obama-supporting woman from OH says she voted twice and it's OK to do so on: February 08, 2013, 03:43:11 pm

The US badly needs a Central Residence Registry (CRR), that tracks every move of a person in and out of a city or those persons pay a hefty fine if they don't

What?
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