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January 31, 2015, 11:05:49 pm
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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Are any Democratic incumbents in danger of losing primaries? on: January 19, 2015, 12:58:44 am
No. In all of the 2014 cycle only a single Democrat, in the House, lost a primary (John Tierney to Seth Moulton). Brian Schatz was threatened, but that was because he was appointed Senator by a ludicrously unpopular Governor, and he still prevailed. The only possibility I can think of for 2016 is I remember there was a movement in 2013 among the netroots (at Daily Kos, at least) to recruit a primary challenger against Jim Cooper, since he votes far to the right of his Nashville district (probably afraid of it getting split up come 2022...). But other than that I can't think of anything.
52  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition to un-re-ban Libertas on: January 18, 2015, 11:11:33 pm
x Vosem

"There's a conspiracy to ban posters the secret cabal doesn't like!"

Sam Spade exposed it for all to see.
53  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: January 18, 2015, 11:10:36 pm
I have no idea who this Rockingham fellow was but his banning is also reprehensible I'm sure.

A stupid, unfunny troll posing as an stereotypical rigid right winger. His username was "so rightwing I broke the political compas". 

Doesn't sound like anything ban-worthy to me.

He might have been a sock. It was an obvious pure trolling account and they are geneally socks. Besides 100% trolling is generally banworthy.

Naw, there was a very similar account who got banned at AH.com. Rockingham was legit, if unsympathetic.
54  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of ssuperflash on: January 18, 2015, 10:44:13 pm
Vaguely charming.

Well that cuts it... Vosem finds him charming, therefore he must be terrible.

But he does seem very aggressive.

You don't find the accusation that everyone who's ever posted "ayy lmao" is a sockpuppet to be charming/funny? Roll Eyes

To each his own, I guess.

I'm getting a bit tired of attention-seeking and ironic (or more scary not-ironic) fan-stanning of them...

Fair enough. Smiley
55  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of ssuperflash on: January 18, 2015, 10:35:04 pm
Vaguely charming.

Well that cuts it... Vosem finds him charming, therefore he must be terrible.

But he does seem very aggressive.

You don't find the accusation that everyone who's ever posted "ayy lmao" is a sockpuppet to be charming/funny? Roll Eyes

To each his own, I guess.
56  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of ssuperflash on: January 18, 2015, 10:28:25 pm
Vaguely charming.
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Duckworth vs. Kirk on: January 18, 2015, 10:25:11 pm
In a neutral year, Duckworth by low single digits. But she's weaker than the typical Democrat, and I expect someone stronger (like Cheri Bustos) to be the nominee. Either way, though, Kirk needs at least a lean-Republican atmosphere to prevail.
58  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV-Sen: Ralston rates Reid foes on: January 18, 2015, 10:22:53 pm
Which Reid would totally win, based on the coattails.

I'm just not seeing anyone other than Sandoval having much chance.

Coattails of what? Heller won in 2012 even as Obama won up-ticket. Obama is stronger than Hillary in these western states (Colorado is most prominent, but the same effect should apply here), and Nevada voters broadly disapprove of Reid. On paper Reid should lose.

Of course Reid is very good at taking down his opponents, which is why he may still win -- in fact, he may have engineered the indictment of Krolicki back in 2010 to keep him out of the race. Reid definitely fears Krolicki.
59  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Pancho Villa stole my grandpa's grandpa's cow. on: January 18, 2015, 04:42:08 pm
This is post-1950, but since a lot of these stories have to do with encounters with political figures I think this one can work: in the 1970s, when my father was a very small child, my grandfather was in the Soviet military, so he was frequently moved around the country. For about two years (1972-1974), they lived in a small Georgian village where they were neighbors with an older couple whose children had either moved out or were about to; the youngest of them grew up to be multibillionaire and Prime Minister of Georgia, Bidzina Ivanishvili.
60  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Rebecca Lockhart, Speaker of Utah State House, dies at 46. on: January 18, 2015, 04:33:02 pm

Hopefully the death of a prominent person will at least call attention to prion diseases, so that more research takes place and they become better understood. The possibility of diseases being caused by infectious proteins was not known until the 1980s.
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-Sen: California Quake on: January 18, 2015, 04:23:47 pm
A D v. D general election is absolutely possible if there are 3+ serious Republicans running. Especially at this early stage, it is not a possibility that should be discounted at all.
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV-Sen: Ralston rates Reid foes on: January 18, 2015, 04:14:03 pm
Krolicki has a personal grudge against Reid and long-standing senatorial ambitions. If Sandoval and the House GOPers are all out, I would love to see the state GOP unite against Krolicki. Krolicki v. Reid would be a vicious, no-holds-barred race.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Hypothetical 2018 California Senate Democratic Primary on: January 18, 2015, 04:12:31 pm
I think you mean 2016.  Also California has a jungle primary.

Sorry about the first and secondly this poll was aimed at Democrats since no Republican candidates have announced yet. 

I assumed this was about Feinstein possibly retiring, and was wondering why Harris was listed again, since she's the frontrunner in 2016.

2016 was R v. R? Or maybe Chiang or Tauscher or someone not seen as likely to run or as a favorite now ended up winning 2016.
64  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Which Prime Minister changed UK more in your opinion on: January 18, 2015, 01:58:57 pm
Thatcher is the right answer, but to echo what Al said, the Blair government was not unconsequential either.
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which current Senators will be lifers? on: January 17, 2015, 07:00:19 pm
"Lifer" defined as someone who dies in office, dies immediately upon leaving office, or retires at a very old age?

Lifer is someone who intends to die in office. Typically they don't, as they eventually get pushed out during their old age as both the party's identity and the identity of the area they represent start to shift beneath them. Examples of lifers who did hold on their whole lives include Robert Byrd and Dan Inouye. Examples of lifers whose districts shifted away from them might include Nick Rahall and Ike Skelton, elected to heavily Democratic districts that became more Republican as the years turned into decades. Examples of lifers who got scared by possible defeats include Jay Rockefeller and Chris Dodd, who overstayed their welcome. Examples of lifers who got old, rusty, and unable to compete include Alan Mollohan and Ralph Hall, who were defeated by ideologically similar but much younger opponents in primaries.

Note that I put a West Virginian into every category -- historically, the "lifer" attitude has been a big part of the state's political culture, though with the recent shifts we'll have to see if that'll continue to hold true.
66  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday Goldwater! on: January 17, 2015, 05:06:30 pm
Happy birthday Goldy! Hope it's not too cold wherever you're at Smiley
67  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Wish me luck (for probable date with nice girl I met) on: January 17, 2015, 05:01:18 pm
I'd wish you luck, but this subject is clearly inappropriate for the child friendly Atlas Forum. Enjoy your ban.

RIP Tender
68  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 2012: No Sandy on: January 17, 2015, 04:25:22 pm
Romney would've done a bit better, mostly in the Northeast where it wouldn't've helped anyway. He would maybe have carried Florida (that's also a place where competent hurricane response can swing votes), but that would be it. Obama would've still eclipsed 300 EVs.
69  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: January 17, 2015, 12:02:26 am
Not the first time they rebanned someone right after they were reintroduced for no reason at all. Remember Straha?

(bring back jmfcst, Libertas, Straha, opebo, etc.)
70  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition to make Oldiesfreak change his avatar on: January 16, 2015, 08:45:42 pm
Was it being demodded that caused Inks to leave? Cause I only just realized that he hasn't posted since October and am curious, since he never struck me as the type to quit the forum.
71  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Mideast Voting Booth: January 2015 Elections on: January 16, 2015, 08:44:51 pm
Gubernatorial Elections:
[1] Tmthforu94/TDAS04

Assembly Election:
[7] CrabCake
[3] Bmotley
[5] New Canadaland
[6] EarlAW
[2] Spiral
[1] Shua
[4] JohanusCalvinusLibertas

Constitutional Amendment:
[] Aye
  • Nay
[] Abstain
72  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather make $200k doing nothing or take a job that pays $500k on: January 15, 2015, 12:33:52 am
Option 2 (unless it's something I really can't stand), and I can't really relate to people saying Option 1. I get it, but I can't imagine feeling that way myself.
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: When will West Virginia elect a social liberal? on: January 14, 2015, 11:02:14 pm
Shelly Capito is pro-choice, and probably counts as a "relative" social liberal in today's Republican Party.
74  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Was unbanning Libertas the correct decision? on: January 14, 2015, 05:53:59 pm
I don't much like Libertas, but yes. Hopefully more unbannings will follow.
75  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Gallup 65 country poll: "Would you fight for your country in case of war ?" on: January 13, 2015, 06:16:42 pm
This is a dumb question, because you don't really know how you'd react when your courage is tested up until it is. I hope the answer is yes (and I would answer 'yes' to this question), but there's no real way to tell.

Nice to see Israel way ahead of Palestine, though.
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