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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Election 2017 on: June 18, 2017, 01:23:33 pm
How many of the various LR/PS/autres candidates elected are "presidential majority" types? Paris-18, for example, was a race between an LR macronista and a PS macronista. I would ask about Manuel Valls, but on these numbers he's almost certainly lost his seat anyway, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Liberal Democrats leadership election, 2017 on: June 18, 2017, 01:10:33 pm
Lamb vs. Davey, then? With Lamb as the favorite?
53  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate announces new bipartisan sanctions against Russia on: June 14, 2017, 10:27:33 pm
Suggesting that Russia is inherently evil and oppressive is a little whoa, but it has to be made clear that there are consequences both for violating the international order as they have and (in an ideal world) for actual fascism, so I would get behind these. Certainly sanctions are an imperfect method but there's not much you can do against a nation with 5000 nuclear weapons.
54  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: May vs. Macron vs. Merkel on: June 14, 2017, 10:21:05 pm
Macron. I do generally like Merkel, but she seems to always do whatever the public wants at any given moment (see anti-nuclear flip-flop in 2011, accepting refugees in 2014-15 even though it was fairly obvious the public would turn against them as soon as they got there), which isn't a useful trait in a leader. May is useless, buffoonish, and authoritarian. So Macron.
55  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Ireland or Iceland? on: June 14, 2017, 10:03:10 pm
Both seem very nice. Assuming language-knowledge is handwaved, Iceland, but otherwise since I don't speak Icelandic and it seems like a deeply difficult language to learn due to a general lack of Latin or Greek roots, probably Ireland. Voted Iceland, though; climate and general culture seem preferable.
56  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Gerhard Schröder on: June 14, 2017, 09:40:43 pm
A horrible individual who happened to introduce some fairly useful reforms when he was in power. HP, but not particularly strongly so.
57  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Vote for Jeremy Corbyn or Donald Trump on: June 14, 2017, 09:39:14 pm
Donald Trump (R). Selling out to overseas tyrants is bad, but at least Trump will make a profit out of it in the end. Corbyn likes repression just on principle.
58  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Post-WWII President on: June 14, 2017, 09:37:04 pm
Truman's foreign policy, when viewed decades later, pretty much literally ended up saving the world, so it's hard not to give him the crown even if he was a Labour Party type in his domestic policy. Reagan and LBJ (in that order) were also definitely pretty good Presidents, if not actually "great" like Truman was. The rest are mostly various mediocrities, though Nixon/Carter/Trump were all different shades of awful, and Eisenhower/Bush Jr./Obama all had fairly poor foreign policy and left the world a much more dangerous place than they found it, even if other portions of their legacy makes it hard to renounce them entirely.

Voted Truman.

*realized that I went specific enough that my "the rest" is just JFK, Ford, and Clinton. My point still stands -- all three were basically just mediocre.
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Liberal Democrats leadership election, 2017 on: June 14, 2017, 05:20:18 pm
The folks on AH.com chat seem to think Swinson is very likely to be the next leader, with Lamb likely to stand against her to provide the party membership a choice and a possible next leader if Swinson really screws up. Cable seems to be too old and unlikely to stand after turning down possibilities in 2005 and 2007.

The LibDems have one safe seat: Orkney & Shetland. Everywhere else is a constant negotiation with the electorate...

Has the situation ever been so bad for the Lib Dems? Even looking at the 50s and 60s (when they held 6 seats and got 2% of the vote) they still had large majorities (10%+, ie larger than anything they have now) in several of the few seats they held.

Well, yeah. Right now they have 12 seats and 7% of the vote, along with a fair number of plausible targets and prominent politicians. Back in the day they had 6 seats, 2% of the vote, and far fewer targets or politicians.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Election 2017 on: June 12, 2017, 06:15:23 pm
Not voting is obviously profoundly dumb (and I would say that casting a blank vote instead of voting for whoever the marginally lesser evil does not strike me as a very useful way to make your voice heard, but I guess I can respect this), but the entire point of Ned Stark's character is to demonstrate that you can't really have the attitude he does and expect to accomplish a whole lot.
61  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which of the following are you? on: June 12, 2017, 06:10:37 pm
Fiscally Conservative Socially Liberal is the only one that really works. The guy in Undergrad looks a bit like a lighter-skinned me (and I am a literal Underground White, I suppose), but I also think that class consciousness is typically deleterious and should be discouraged, and I'm not particularly a fan of Sanders (even if he is much better than his trendy-foreign equivalents like Corbyn or Melenchon). So it's pretty logical.
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Legislative Election 2017 on: June 12, 2017, 12:23:08 am
Nord circonscription 16, which borders 20, is also Front national vs. Parti communiste.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: CO-Gov: Polis In on: June 11, 2017, 01:11:46 pm
Huh. I thought Polis was gonna be a cinch for the Democratic nomination against Gardner. Interesting that he's decided to go for this instead.
64  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Nick Clegg on: June 09, 2017, 05:40:32 pm
Massive Freedom Fighter who did his country a great service in full awareness of the consequences.
65  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Theresa May vs. Hillary Clinton: Who's better? on: June 09, 2017, 05:39:30 pm
Hillary, I think, though the Tories are a far superior organization to the Democratic Party.
66  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Donald Trump vs Jermey Corbyn on: June 09, 2017, 05:38:46 pm
I mean, clearly Corbyn is worse by far.
67  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Millennial bashing? on: June 06, 2017, 02:58:52 pm
I just saw an Instagram post that uses "Boomerang". Burn everything.

How had you managed not to see one before? I've always thought this was very common.
68  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What Democrat will run in Arizona in 2018? on: June 06, 2017, 02:54:35 pm
The correct answer here is "unless the environment abruptly worsens for Democrats, Kyrsten Sinema". She has made it clear many times that she has statewide (specifically Senatorial) ambitions, but she's also somewhat cautious (although who knows; she was considering a run against McCain in 2016 before Kirkpatrick announced early, embarrassing her, though probably helping her in the long run).
69  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-34 prediction thread on: June 06, 2017, 02:54:05 pm
Just as a note, more early votes have been cast by people with Korean last names than people with Latino last names. (<3% of Latinos have turned out so far, along with 30% of Koreans). I don't think this one is quite as safe as you guys seem to think; single digits for Ahn seems quite reasonable to me.
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could Dave Reichert finally be defeated in 2018? on: June 03, 2017, 03:22:12 pm
An open seat might be Tossup (or even Leans D), but Reichert survived 2006 and 2008 in a more Democratic version of this seat. Unless he's caught napping, he should be fine.
71  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Favourite ALP PM of Australia? on: June 03, 2017, 12:37:49 pm
Curtin is basically the correct answer, as I understand it...
72  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Mitch McConnell on: June 03, 2017, 12:37:22 pm
Strongly favorable, the model of an effective and competent Senator who works on behalf of the people.
73  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: French legislative election, 2017: Hypothetical IRV vote on: June 03, 2017, 12:36:49 pm
1. LREM/MoDem
2. LR/UDR
3. EELV
4. PS/PRG
5. PCF
6. FN
7. FI
74  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Was Hillary vs. Trump a choice between the "lesser of two evils"? on: June 03, 2017, 12:35:13 pm
Yes, and to some extent I chickened out of supporting the lesser evil by voting third-party.
75  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Trump, a Presbyterian, just discovered that Presbyterians are Christians on: June 03, 2017, 12:34:16 pm
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