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September 18, 2014, 02:44:11 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 8 (Matt from VT) on: August 27, 2014, 09:53:08 pm
RIP Hagrid. You played excellently throughout the game Cheesy

Funny how last time it was North versus South, now it's East versus West Tongue

Considering how overwhelming East's advantage in cards is over the West at the outset (while South's advantage over North was initially quite small; 1-2 extra reinforcements every round; Hagrid just used them smartly so I was just unable to ever overcome it), I don't think West will be able to resist as long or as effectively as North did Tongue
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Kansas? on: August 27, 2014, 06:18:54 am
All polls to date have shown Roberts ahead in the three-way matchup, and the state's political history strongly favors him. It's not a sure thing, but at this point I'd have to say Roberts.
53  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is this post racially insensitive? on: August 27, 2014, 06:12:27 am
I don't think Naso is being intentionally racist here, but the post is definitely a questionable one. Voted Yes (R).
54  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Forum racists on: August 27, 2014, 06:08:22 am
In light of their comments just within this thread, TNF and Snowstalker seem like obvious candidates, though Snow obviously is just trolling.
55  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Teddy Kennedy, 5 years gone on: August 26, 2014, 08:11:06 pm
Buh-bye, Teddy. We're not missing you.
56  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DKE: Democrats have 47% chance of holding the Senate on: August 25, 2014, 02:58:33 pm
It will be interesting to see how many Republican poster disappear from around the boards when their predictions turn out to be horribly wrong. It happened in 2012, where a few very repetitive posters claimed polls were being faked and that Romney had a huge lead, but after the election, they didn't post anymore. It was so hilarious.

I will now accept my accolades?
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Brown surge? on: August 25, 2014, 02:57:40 pm
To be fair, one-off polls that get a lot of attention can and do influence campaigns: this is how Brown's surge in MA in 2010, and Santorum's surge in the IA primary in 2012 first began. That said, it's hard for me to see how Brown isn't losing in the mid- or high-single digits right now.
58  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: DKE: Democratic net gain of Gov seats unlikely on: August 25, 2014, 02:55:28 pm
wtf hawaii
59  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Do teachers these days still use overhead projectors? on: August 25, 2014, 02:12:58 am
As an actual high schooler, most don't, but there are still a minority -- maybe 1/4 to a 1/3 of teachers -- who have been teaching for some time or are old-fashioned who continue to do so. 5-6 years ago (when I was in middle school), they were pretty ubiquitous. I think there'll come a point soon when the school will stop buying replacements when the current ones break (actually, it might already've been reached) and then they'll slowly stop being used.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Republican and Democratic US Senate Streaks on: August 24, 2014, 07:27:10 pm
Brady of New Jersey, like Chiesa, was also an appointed Senator. The last Republican elected to the Senate from New Jersey was Clifford Case, who was primaried out in 1978 for being too left-wing and, at 74, too old.
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who is most likely to pass on while in office? on: August 24, 2014, 07:25:30 pm
No Senators have been so ill recently that they bear taking a hard look at (as was the case with recent deaths in office -- Kennedy, Byrd, Inouye, Lautenberg). Feinstein, Grassley, Hatch, Shelby, and Levin are all over 80. The next name, at 79, is also worth mentioning: Inhofe. I don't think there's much risk for anyone (except perhaps Coburn, but he's stepping down) below that. As an aside, I realized just how old the Senate is looking at that list: 25 Senators are over 70; by an odd coincidence, exactly 60 are over 60. It's a good deal older than America at large, or even a usual American workplace, though the staffers probably tend to be younger.
62  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in London or Stockholm? on: August 24, 2014, 07:11:51 pm
Stockholm seems like it would be nicer, but unfortunately I don't speak Swedish and do speak English. So London on balance Sad
63  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Present Israel-Palestine Conflict Thread on: August 24, 2014, 06:50:13 pm
Do you know how many more Gazans would be alive if Hamas had not broken the first ceasefire?

I don't think you understand how a war of national liberation works.

I don't think you do, either. Guerillas, by definition, don't govern cities. States do that.

Should the Americans, Irish, Vietnamese, Angolans, Algerians, and Mozambicans have just given up?

I could reply to these individually, but it wouldn't do any good, so I'll just briefly mention how it's fantastic that Jonas Savimbi never gave up.
64  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Does anyone still believe the Iraq War made the Middle East a safer place? on: August 24, 2014, 03:50:25 pm
I'm inclined to say 'no', but really none of us knows what the result of Saddam being left in power would've been. Didn't vote.
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who wins control? on: August 24, 2014, 02:51:50 pm
The Democratic party easily retains control.

Seriously, what the hell have you been smoking these past few months. Even if the Democratic party retains control, it won't be "easily".

I mistook your signature for KCDem's reply: "What the hell have you been smoking?" "Common sense." Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Anyway, in answer to the thread's question, probably Republicans, but quite narrowly and they could well lose it again in 2016.
66  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Areas in a Palestinian state on: August 23, 2014, 06:07:24 pm
I didn't vote, since I think these options are rather simplistic.

I think that's unavoidable in such polls.

Thanks for giving a serious and elaborate answer. I mostly agree with you, but I tend to think a Palestinian incorporation of (most of) Jordan is unavoidable in the long run, which would be fair given population distribution.

Do you have the map of the Annapolis plan?

That's it. I would remove a 'tail' from Mezodot Yehuda to Hebron; in the north, Ariel and the area to its north would become an Israeli exclave; and, lastly, I might add bits of the Green Triangle.

West Bank + Gaza

I have indicated my preference in the past for the entire city of Jerusalem to be an independent city under UN protection.

Israeli Arabs who wish to remain in Israel will be provided alternative housing and recompense by the Israeli government.

Any plan that presumes to treat Israeli Arabs differently from Israeli Jews when it comes to the possibility of trading areas with Israeli residents for areas with Palestinians should be a non-starter. It's a fundamentally racist premise to start with to assume that Israeli Arabs should automatically be "okay" with living in a Palestinian state.

...which is why in my own post I noted that Israeli citizens -- Jewish or Arab -- should not be compelled to live in the future Palestinian state if they do not wish it.

Where land tradeoffs happen and you end up with Israelis in Palestine or Palestinians in Israel, there ought to be a hard and fast rule that neither government has the right to force or encourage non-native residents to relocate to the other country.

Sure, but there ought to be mechanisms in place to allow Israelis stuck in Palestine or Palestinians stuck in Israel to do so if they wish. Hopefully an evacuation of settlers beforehand will keep these issues to a minimum within the West Bank itself, but if parts of pre-1967 Israel become a part of the future Palestine (which is frequently a part of these plans) these sorts of issues will arise.
67  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of water on: August 23, 2014, 05:58:26 pm
Freedom drink (normal)
68  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: August 2014 Federal Election - At-Large Senate on: August 23, 2014, 05:51:36 pm


[ 9 ] Alfred F. Jones of Rhode Island
Labor Party

[ 8 ] Bacon King of Oceania
National Front to Restore Democracy

[ 1 ] Clarence of Florida
Federalist Party

[ 2 ] Deus naturae of New York
Democratic-Republican Party

[ 10 ] Dr Cynic of Pennsylvania
Labor Party

[ 11 ] GAworth of South Dakota
P.E.A.C.E. Party

[ 7 ] JohanusCalvinusLibertas (JCL) of Indiana
Federalist Party

[ 3 ] LuminevonReuental of Utah
Federalist Party

[ 4 ] Mechaman of Indiana
Bad Party

[ 6 ] Poirot of New York

[ 5 ] Polnut of Massachusetts
The People's Party

[  ] Write-in:______________________________

[  ] None of the above
69  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Present Israel-Palestine Conflict Thread on: August 23, 2014, 05:45:57 pm

I don't recall you being particularly hot and bothered when UN schools were getting shelled. I think your problem is that you are more upset by a Palestinian rocket that kills zero Israeli civilians than you are by Israeli artillery that kills multiple Palestinian civilians because on some possibly subconscious level you view Israeli lives as being inherently more valuable.

Or perhaps because one is a flat-out attempt to kill civilians, while the other is a belated response aimed at reducing enemy military capabilities.

You are literally posting from a website run by the Iranian government with support from Neo-Nazi website Veterans Today, that has in the past claimed that Israel and American Jews were behind 9/11.

Reactionaries like you are a greater danger to society than Press TV, trust me.

Dude, you defend Nazi war criminals.

Which court found him guilty of war crimes? I think you need your meds checked.
You defend much worse.

Roll Eyes
70  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: August 23, 2014, 02:05:58 am
I don't recognize the last guy, but Mugabe is looking to bring back the Hitler 'stache? He already has enough image problems as it is.

Didier Ratsiraka governed Madagascar, first as Chairman of the Supreme Revolutionary Council, then as President, from 1975 to 1993, as part of a far-leftist regime (though ideologically it mellowed with time) which was known, among other things, for attacking protesters with grenades. As part of the general Fall of Communism, Madagascar became a multi-party democracy in the 1990s (unfortunately, no longer) and he left office in 1993. He returned as a democratically elected leftist leader from 1997-2002; he was defeated for reelection in 2001, but disputed the results and essentially began a very brief civil war by blockading the capital and continuing to try to President from his east coast base; he (Ratsiraka) was forced to flee to France, where he lived until the modern Malagasy dictatorship invited him to return to the country in 2011.

As an aside, I wonder why Snowstalker isn't a fan of Andry Rajoelina Huh
71  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oxford School of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts IV on: August 22, 2014, 07:16:52 pm
White people explaining black people is a time-honored forum tradition.

And you bitching about it is another.

I'm sorry, how should I react to whitesplaining?

Thank you for posting directly into the Deluge. Though I came here to post this gem of a Dr. Scholl response:

10% Braley lead, because PPP is a democrat party hack firm.

Didn't 2012 teach anything about this logic?
72  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mitt Romney does the Ice Bucket Challenge on: August 22, 2014, 02:24:08 pm
This is fantastic Cheesy
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: WMUR/Granite State Poll: Brown closing in? on: August 22, 2014, 11:39:38 am
I feel like polling has gotten better for Brown and Havenstein recently, but Shaheen and Hassan are both definitely still up at least mid-single-digits.
74  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: McConnell describes the horror that will ensue if the GOP takes the Senate on: August 22, 2014, 02:17:41 am
Looking forward to it.

Only a blooming idiot would relish a shutdown, regardless of ideology.

The chances of a second shutdown are vanishingly slim.

And yet you'd not only risk it, but look forward to it.

Only a blooming idiot....

The 'looking forward to it' was an expression of looking forward to a Republican Senate majority and the tactics McConnell describes, not to Joe's speculation of what the results of those tactics might be -- a shutdown. I doubt Boehner and McConnell will push it that far, especially with the memory of the results of the 2013 one still fresh.
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Margin (%) for GA-Senate on: August 22, 2014, 02:15:46 am
Perdue 52-45, no runoff.
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