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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New Zealand general election, 20th September 2014 on: September 20, 2014, 06:47:00 pm
Good on the ACT for surviving this round! It's always terrible to see a party with such potential having been taken over, for the past many years, by corruptocrats like John Banks, and it seems they're moving past that with fresh leadership. Overall, like Anton, I'm pretty happy with this result.
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PA-2016: Sestak files candidacy for rematch on: September 19, 2014, 04:28:57 pm
It's hard to tell with Republicans and overconfidence. And oh, the name calling is not necessary and has been reported. It's really not necessary to call anyone dumb, it's just rude.

It's so much fun to see Dr. Scholl worried Cheesy

Worried about what? I'm not worried about anything, since my predictions were very good in 2012.

Then, since you are such a good predictor, you know Republicans are soon to take the Senate.
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PA-2016: Sestak files candidacy for rematch on: September 19, 2014, 04:25:04 pm
It's hard to tell with Republicans and overconfidence. And oh, the name calling is not necessary and has been reported. It's really not necessary to call anyone dumb, it's just rude.

It's so much fun to see Dr. Scholl worried Cheesy
54  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who "won" each cycle? on: September 18, 2014, 10:16:59 pm
1980: GOP overwhelmingly
1982: Dem barely
1984: GOP
1986: Dem
1988: GOP
1990: Dem barely
1992: Dem
1994: GOP overwhelmingly
1996: Dem
1998: Dem barely
2000: GOP barely
2002: GOP
2004: GOP
2006: Dem overwhelmingly
2008: Dem overwhelmingly
2010: GOP overwhelmingly
2012: Dem
55  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4 on: September 16, 2014, 10:17:44 pm
KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.

I will certainly be pleasantly surprised when Democrats accomplish a statewide sweep in the Sunflower State.

Considering Republican nominees for Attorney General, Treasurer, and Insurance Commissioner are ahead by double-digits; and for Secretary of State by single-digits (and the nominees for Governor and the U.S. Senate are only trailing by single-digits) and polling indicating Republican candidates have significantly more room to grow?...

I'll be unpleasantly surprised if Democrats manage to pull a race or two off (which I doubt will happen in the end, but it can't be ruled out).
56  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Pat Buchanan (R) on: September 16, 2014, 09:53:30 pm
Hillary enthusiastically, with the enthusiasm coming from the satisfaction of beating that prick.
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-PPP: Davis leads Brownback by 4 on: September 16, 2014, 09:38:09 pm
KCDem's reaction on Election Night might turn out even better than Dr. Scholl's. Stay tuned.
58  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you wish Pat Quinn were your state's governor? on: September 16, 2014, 04:00:16 pm
lol no
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in NY-11? on: September 16, 2014, 03:54:48 pm
This is a swing district and Grimm is under a cloud, so I'd have to bet on Recchia. But, as others have said, the political culture here is much more conducive to Grimm than most places would be. Voted Recchia.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-CNN: Dead heat on: September 15, 2014, 06:22:34 pm
Looking forward to Dr. Scholl's expression on Election Night, and attempts to explain that he had been right all along.

As for this poll, yeah, it seems rather optimistic for Brown, though not out of the question.
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which one(s) of these incumbents will survive? on: September 13, 2014, 09:39:57 pm
Davis and Bustos are definitely favored for reelection. Enyart I'm not sure about, and it looks like Schneider is losing.
62  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 10 (Matt from VT) on: September 13, 2014, 05:08:10 pm
...Ma-att, oh Ma-att...
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MI: Ex-Gov. Bill Milliken (R) backs Peters on: September 12, 2014, 02:40:28 pm
I saw that this morning. Milliken declined to endorse either George W. Bush or John McCain (I can't remember which one).

He endorsed John Kerry in 2004.
64  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ted Cruz finding new ways to win friends and influence people on: September 11, 2014, 11:41:22 pm
He's right about the issue at hand, but he's just doing this in an attempt to get the right people offended and sympathetic.

Has Israel done anything to ease the suffering of Christians being persecuted by ISIS?

No, because Israel isn't in a position to. They can hinder ISIS with airstrikes, but because of their unpopularity that might turn Arab public opinion in ISIS's favor, so they're holding off on doing that unless it becomes absolutely necessary; they can't get land troops there without either being invited by (fat chance) or invading (would just cause more needless suffering) Jordan or Syria. So there isn't anything Israel can do, unfortunately.

Then what is the rationale for Ted Cruz's exhortation for Christian Arabs to stand with Israel when the sum of Israel's involvement with Arab Christians has been invading their countries (Lebanon) or impeding their ability to have a country (Palestinians)? Israeli bullets and bombs don't come equipped with "Kill Muslims Only" chips built into them.

The rationale is the same reason all other people should support Israel -- that it is a free, democratic state that has suffered series of unprovoked attacks, historically by dictatorships, and more recently by terrorist groups, for reasons no greater than bigotry against the populace; and that these groups aspire to become (and have been in the past) existential threats to the Israeli state.
65  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ted Cruz finding new ways to win friends and influence people on: September 11, 2014, 11:33:45 pm
He's right about the issue at hand, but he's just doing this in an attempt to get the right people offended and sympathetic.

Has Israel done anything to ease the suffering of Christians being persecuted by ISIS?

No, because Israel isn't in a position to. They can hinder ISIS with airstrikes, but because of their unpopularity that might turn Arab public opinion in ISIS's favor, so they're holding off on doing that unless it becomes absolutely necessary; they can't get land troops there without either being invited by (fat chance) or invading (would just cause more needless suffering) Jordan or Syria. So there isn't anything Israel can do, unfortunately.
66  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ted Cruz finding new ways to win friends and influence people on: September 11, 2014, 11:12:43 pm
He's right about the issue at hand, but he's just doing this in an attempt to get the right people offended and sympathetic.
67  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you a young rich white liberal? on: September 11, 2014, 06:01:12 pm
Definitely fit young, rich, and the historic sense of liberal. I am white in the sense of being of European descent, but at the same time I am dark enough to easily pass for (or be mistaken for) someone of Arabic, Hispanic, or Indian descent. Didn't vote in the poll, but pretty sure I do fit.
68  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: I communicated with opebo a few weeks back on: September 10, 2014, 08:58:51 pm
Good to see that he's doing well. Hope the mods will perhaps loosen up sometime in the future, but I don't think it would be much like opebo to ever communicate with them and request a sanctioned return.
69  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-PPP for Americans for Tax Fairness: Ernst +2% on: September 10, 2014, 08:29:50 pm
Could not be more of a coin-flip.
70  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would you rather be President? on: September 10, 2014, 06:21:34 pm
I suppose it would have to be Cuomo.
71  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Israel opinion poll thread on: September 09, 2014, 10:56:41 pm
Or she'll just merge with Labor.

She can't do that if she's in the government and Labor's in the opposition...
72  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Uniformed "Sharia Police" patrols German city on: September 09, 2014, 10:27:18 pm
As terrible as the people described in the article are, this post seems to be even worse and quite unremarked upon:

The Muslims in Europe are the guests of the local people, and should learn to behave as such.

Should Europe be searching for a Final Solution, like they did to their earlier guests? Europe does not belong to any religion or ethnicity. The Muslims are not any more or less guests than the Catholic or Protestant Germans.
73  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Israel opinion poll thread on: September 09, 2014, 10:24:14 pm
If Livni wants to be in the next Knesset, she probably has to withdraw from the government prior to the elections, perhaps sometime next year. It worked for Labor, 2011-2013, and in a reverse example, Yisrael Beiteinu 2008-2009.
74  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: State of the Senate on: September 09, 2014, 10:21:47 pm
Republicans are strongly favored to pick up three seats in Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia, and reasonably favored to pick up three more in Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Four races look like pure tossups, Kansas (actually held by the Republicans), Colorado, Iowa, and North Carolina; KS and NC tilt very slightly Republican, while CO and IA are the opposite, though the Democrats have been a running an inept campaign in Iowa; the Republicans have been doing this in Kansas. Beyond that, Democrats are reasonably favored to hold Michigan and New Hampshire, while Republicans are reasonably favored to hold Georgia and Kentucky, with races beyond that largely safe for both parties. The likeliest result right now is R+7 (a Republican majority of 52-48), but anything between R+3 and R+11 is easy to make a realistic map for, and by including 'safe' races where a slight (say, 1%) chance exists for the other party you can get a result anywhere between D+1 and R+15.

Republicans are mildly favored to take the Senate, in other words, largely on the strength of Romney states, but are having trouble expanding into Obama territory and their takeover of the Senate is as yet by no means guaranteed.
75  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senate advances anti-Citizens United amendment on: September 09, 2014, 06:20:34 am
Freedom Fighters.
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