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August 22, 2014, 10:43:52 am
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51  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the Black Panther Party on: August 11, 2014, 10:31:27 pm
Pretty unapologetically horrible.
52  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: RISK Domination XI: Round 5 (HagridOfTheDeep) on: August 11, 2014, 09:57:59 pm
Unless Hagrid makes a tactical move or uses it to attack somewhere -- or gets lucky in the east -- it looks like North Dakota will be the most heavily defended state on the board Tongue
53  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The best post in forum history? on: August 11, 2014, 09:51:00 pm
Does a full, original account of the "De-mod Gustaf" thread ( http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=114348.25 ) still exist somewhere? It would have to be something from that. Or Vander Blubb's timeline about Obama eating Joe Lieberman.

EDIT: I miss Vander Blubb. http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=105572.0
54  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Night 2014 Timeline on: August 11, 2014, 07:42:55 pm
That's 102 senators

He neglected to mention that Puerto Rico will be admitted to the Union before Election Day.
55  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Pierre Elliot Trudeau vs. Stephen Harper on: August 10, 2014, 01:40:34 pm
56  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: DEMOCRATS ONLY: 1980 Primary on: August 10, 2014, 01:38:46 pm
Ah, I'd forgotten that two of the worst serious presidential contenders of the late 20th century had actually ran against each other. No vote. Or Jerry Brown/Cliff Finch/whatever third option there might be.
57  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Have you ever ridden an elephant? on: August 10, 2014, 01:18:30 pm
No. Camels, horses, a donkey, yes. But never an elephant.
58  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 10, 2014, 12:45:44 pm
I'm watching Djou on KITV... he seems so fake to me. Can't wait to see him lose in the General.

Hawaii Republicans seem to keep going with him since he once won some stupid retarded first past the post election with him and 2 Democrats.

I guess he's better than some random perennial dude like Kawika Crowley. But it's time to let go.

Something tells me Charles Djou is going to be the Campbell Cavasso of Congressional District 1. He'll keep losing, and he'll keep getting re-nominated.

Djou lost to Hanabusa 54-44 in 2012, while Obama beat Romney in the district 70-29. So he ran 15 points ahead of Romney. The only two candidates I can think of that ran further ahead of their presidential nominee in 2012 were Jim Matheson, Nick Rahall, and literally no one else. Say what you will about Djou, but he gave Hanabusa a serious run for her money in 2012 when Obama was winning here with 70% of the vote.
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 10, 2014, 01:18:28 am
Hawaii News Now: Abercrombie would need 60% of the non-first-printout vote to pull off an amazing comeback.

Oh, he's finished. The question is, if he's expected to improve in later counts, whether Schatz will be dragged across the finish line.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 10, 2014, 12:37:22 am
You know, Hanabusa is probably ideologically closer to me, and I would've voted for her after Inouye's endorsement, but I'm kind of torn on her leading. Schatz seems like a much more competent figure.
61  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday Vosem! on: August 09, 2014, 11:05:11 am
You don't have to make your own birthday thread this year. Wink

I neglected that tradition this year, didn't I Tongue

Thank you, TDAS04, for making this thread, and also a hearty 'thank you' to all my well-wishers in this thread!
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 08, 2014, 02:02:56 pm
Both the SoS and AP have DesJarlais up 35 votes.

It reverted. This article reported the 2-vote Tracy lead before it was updated ( http://atr.rollcall.com/scott-desjarlais-chuck-fleischmann-tennessee-primary/?dcz= ) as well. Tracy briefly led again today at midday.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 08, 2014, 10:47:07 am
The AP updated this morning at 11: Jim Tracy now leads Scott DesJarlais, 34,653-34,651.

Not even sure what to say.
64  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: August 08, 2014, 08:53:35 am
No sow needs the FDP? As in female pig? I don't get it.
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 7: TN, August 9: HI) on: August 07, 2014, 11:32:23 pm
JOE CARR FOR TN-4 US REPRESENTATIVE 2016
66  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win these House races? on: August 06, 2014, 01:08:27 pm
McSally, DeMaio, and Stefanik seem to definitely be at least mildly favored; the other two are less clear. Split the difference ultimately; voted for Appel, but otherwise all Republicans.
67  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: CNN: The news channel for people who have never looked at a map on: August 06, 2014, 12:46:12 pm
They could be forgiven. What would a person from Niger be called?

Nigerien is the usual term, with an 'e' to distinguish them from the Nigerians. I believe it's pronounced the same way, however.
68  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 5: KS, MI, MO, WA) on: August 06, 2014, 01:40:37 am
I still want to know why the Kansas Senate Democratic primary was so close. I didn't even know there was a second candidate, let alone that he was viable.
Probably a problem of name recognition for Taylor led some voters to go with Wiesner. Outside of Topeka, Taylor I would imagine isn't well-known. I've gotta feel bad for Taylor, though. Like Childers, he only jumped in because he saw an opening to win the seat if Wolf won the GOP nomination.

The Tea Party may have narrowly been able to primary Roberts if it wasn't for those 2 perennial candidates. Wolf had too low of name rec. to get all of the anti-Roberts votes and if those 2 others dropped out, Wolf could have realistically beat Roberts 52-48.

Todd Tiahrt really picked the wrong race. He ran to Moran's right in 2010 and only lost 50-45; he's much better known than Wolf, doesn't have any of Wolf's flaws, and could've easily consolidated TP, and some amount of establishment support to knock off Roberts. Instead he ran against Pompeo, got crushed, and probably finished his political career. He could be headed to the Senate right now.
69  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: How do you do on this USPS employment test? on: August 06, 2014, 01:36:22 am
92%. 3 off on the memory, otherwise perfect.
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 5: KS, MI, MO, WA) on: August 06, 2014, 01:21:19 am
And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.

Not quite sure what's going on, but the vote totals have now changed to Lawrence 35.7%; Hobbs 32.4%...guess we'll just have to wait and see to know what the correct total is.



Two and a half thousand (2493 to be precise) votes and no precincts out should be enough for a checkmark by Lawrence's name, but none seems to be forthcoming...very odd. I guess Lawrence has won in that case (?).
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-Wenzel Strategies (R): McConnell+4 on: August 06, 2014, 12:20:17 am
Wenzel is terrible, we know, but this is right in line with the polling consensus -- over the past month, SurveyUSA had McConnell+2 and CBS/YouGov showed McConnell+4. Maybe McConnell leads by a tad less, but it's pretty clear he has a lead in the low single digits right now.
72  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WV: Tennant doesn't support "most" of Obama's policies on: August 06, 2014, 12:18:09 am
She could be setting herself up for pulling an Evan Jenkins and running as a Republican for something down the road; this is a state which is moving extremely rapidly to the Republicans and where their bench is absolutely terrible (note that they nominated, for two congressional seats that Romney won overwhelmingly, the former chairman of the Maryland GOP and a Democratic state Senator). Tennant could switch parties and run for Governor or the other Senate seat later this decade.
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How large will Kasich's victory be? on: August 06, 2014, 12:14:20 am
Low double digits. Kasich got pretty lucky in his opponent.
74  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: AZ Gov: Christine Jones (R) guns for GOP nod on: August 06, 2014, 12:13:29 am
This sort of confusion is what happens when you have a primary with six viable candidates, four consistently in the double-digits.
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (August 5: KS, MI, MO, WA) on: August 05, 2014, 11:50:33 pm
And the Michigan 14th District goes for Hobbs, who finishes at 36.1%! Lawrence at 35.7%.



With counting done, a margin of 240 votes by Hobbs over Lawrence, no checkmark and no concession. This one'll certainly go to a recount -- it's close enough that the margin could conceivably be made up, and the seat is safe enough that the extra time spent without knowing who the nominee is makes no difference.
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