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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Ukraine 2014 on: March 30, 2014, 09:34:03 pm
Fun election between Darth Vader, princess Leia (Tymoshenko) and Willy Wonka (Poroshenko).
27  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 2013-14 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: March 28, 2014, 07:23:42 pm
I'll go to Metalist vs. Shakthar game on sunday.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 on: March 28, 2014, 06:25:30 pm
Good that they don't have that damned Habsburg jaw. Remember Emperors Maximilian and Charles V and Charles II (best show of inbreeding).
29  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Egypt gives 529 death sentance on: March 26, 2014, 04:21:22 pm
This is to give a platform to show al-Sisi as pious guy who pardoned hundreds of fundamentalists. I hope that Sabbahi makes a pact with Muslim Brotherhood to win presidential election. Egypt needs to pull a Costa Rica.
30  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ukraine Crisis on: March 25, 2014, 10:53:38 am
Government is purging Right Sector earlier than expected. May be they fear that their actions are counterproductive. Another reason are elections. They fear Yarosh and because many say that.Poroshenko sponsor it, Baktvischina, Svoboda and.UDAR want to get rid of a enemy.
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French Municipal Elections 2014: Hashemite's Guide and Official Thread on: March 24, 2014, 11:29:06 am
Scanning through the results is a pretty depressing experience.
Not surprising though. The European elections will be fun to watch.

There is room for a new party in France like the M5S in Italy or To Potami in Greece, I wonder if someone will give it a try before 2017...
France have room to a populist non-faruright party. Now we need to know who will lead. Centristes can comeback too.
32  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ukraine Crisis on: March 22, 2014, 02:46:53 pm
I'm at Ukraine now in a hotel ery close to Maidan. Barricades remain and lot of men in camouflaged uniform. Many people selling souvenir and lot of comparisons of Putin and Russians with nazis.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Country Breaks Up on: March 02, 2014, 04:46:59 pm
Mormon vote brings Reid ahead.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: McCain VP Pick on: February 28, 2014, 05:05:12 pm
I still think that McCain had to choose a woman as his running mate, who could have picked up all those votes of the bitterly disappointed Clinton supporters, preferably a minority candidate.
With that said, his best choices would have been Condoleezza Rice or, even better, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen from the most important swing state.

I'm not sure about Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, if only because she had never won a statewide election, and I just personally would hesitate with picking Congressmen.

I actually heard that Kay Bailey Hutchison was someone they considered. I think she would have held her own as a pick, but I'm not sure how the base would have liked her and how her ties towards the oil industry in Texas would have played in a national election (remember how they went on and on and on about how Palin "stood up to big oil").

I think they considered Jindal, Pawlenty, Thune, Crist (FL), and Tom Ridge.
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is born in Cuba...
And Palin would be useful in fight to a Democratic filibuster proof, as she would bring more votes to Stevens (who failed). Pawlenty could be useful in same way, helping Coleman. Another interesting name could be Mary Fallin, as solid conservative with three terms as Lieutenant Governor and Representative.
35  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Would eastern and western Ukraine be better off going their separate ways? on: February 27, 2014, 03:00:26 pm
In a Crimean Civil War, if Russia opts for a non-belligerant support to separatists (only weapons and logistical), would they be strong enough to keep Ukrainian army from Perekop?
36  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: February 24, 2014, 08:10:55 pm
Round 3 to be better... Euro 2012 and FIFA Confederations Cup.
37  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: February 24, 2014, 07:04:39 pm
I got tickets to 4 of Salvador games:
France vs. Switzerland
Bosnia vs. Iran
Winner of H vs. Runner-up G (likely Belgium vs. Portugal, Russia vs. Portugal, Belgium vs. USA or USA vs. Russia)
Winner 51 vs. Winner 52 (Spain vs. Italy Round 2)
38  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Pro-EU demonstrations in Ukraine on: February 22, 2014, 03:09:45 pm
Ahkmetov stressed the need for a "strong, independent and united Ukraine." So if Yanukovych is planning some sort of secessionist gambit, his top oligarchic ally won't support it.
Oligarchs fear international isolation if they support separatism. Akhmetov's Shakthar can be expelled of European competitions and his money can be freezed. And oligarchs know that they'll be kingmakers in Presidential election between Klitschko and Tymoshenko.
39  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Pro-EU demonstrations in Ukraine on: February 22, 2014, 09:55:43 am
Things are going to become Civil War. Party of Regions Rada members are going to resign not only on fear, but because amnesty promises and that EU people need them to get majority. Yanukovich went to his power base (east) than get massacrated in Kiev. Power balance is in Armed Forces and Putin hands. If Putin promises support and Army loyal forces keep around, Yanukovich can build a government in Kharkiv or Donetsk to wage a war against East Ukraine.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NJ-12: Rush Holt retiring on: February 18, 2014, 03:19:07 pm
Holt is a good fit to get governorship in 2017 or replace Menendez in 2018. He can do well as Secretary of Education or Energy.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: If Mondale hadn't run in 1984 on: February 16, 2014, 06:31:59 am
Mondale runs in 1982 election to Governor of Minnesota and is kept on spotlight. Then he goes to run in 1988 as the most experient candidate. He puts Tim Wirth as Vice Presidential nominee.
42  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italy 2014: Waiting for the Election... on: February 14, 2014, 07:36:40 pm
To go into that maneuver, I think that Renzi got PD grassroots to go in a way more legitimate and that he would have strength to impose things to NCD. Government isn't a great coalition since Berlusconi left it and NCD needs to remain to not be politically crushed in early elections. Letta was a guarantor of a great coalition and man who enabled government to survive Berlusconi threats. Now, he's more a liability than an asset. A failure in EP elections is in question too, because a defeat with Letta as PM would be bad to Renzi too. He wants to do something in "honeymoon" to go in a strong position to prevent a FI or M5S victory.
43  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: EP elections 2014 on: February 08, 2014, 08:39:30 pm
Thats true. But if M5S and UPyD can not align, i do not think an alternative left group can be formed.

Grillo could try to attract EFA away of Greens. If Greens refuse to accept Bildu, Spanish separatists (ERC) would made a great partner. Another potential European Partners for M5S could be Palikot, Tomio Okamura, Diaconescu, Independent Greeks and 50 Plus.
44  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Pro-EU demonstrations in Ukraine on: February 04, 2014, 10:14:03 pm
In presidential election, opposition would go with a candidate with legal issues, Timoshenko (in prison), Klitschko (for living abroad) or go with a most safe option, like Yatseniuk? Can Tyahnybok upset going into run-off and cause a Yanukovich victory in a reverse 1998.
45  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Germany Considering a More Muscular Foreign Policy on: February 04, 2014, 07:20:07 pm
All of question is Russian gas. Germany and EU couldn't piss off Putin because he holds the tap.
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Mabus wins reelection as Mississippi Governor in 1991 on: February 01, 2014, 05:51:12 pm
May Mabus goes to a cabinet position in Clinton 2 (Attorney General or Secretary of Defense), then he waits in 2000 and runs for Presidency in 2004, although he fails to get steam, as he fails to win in Iowa. In 2006, national climate leads Mabus to run against Lott in a hot contest that he wins by a small margin.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: South Africa 2014 on: January 31, 2014, 06:12:33 pm
Agang leader Mamphela Ramphele will be the DA's presidential candidate and the party will be merging into the DA

http://mg.co.za/article/2014-01-28-agang-sa-da-merge-with-ramphele-as-presidential-candidate

Are the Agang voters (who I understand are a very small number of middle-class blacks, maybe 1-3% of the vote) likely to follow Ramphele into the DA? Or will they vote for someone else, or scatter?
Most important question is if Whites will support her or go to another alternative. Freedom Front can be weakened, as they accepted to support ANC.
And what if ANC loses majority, could South Africa see a repeat of Ireland 1948, with another parties, DA, COPE and even Malema's party joining to government?
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Reid to vulnerable Dems: Run with Obama on: January 29, 2014, 05:36:14 pm
Black turnout, stupid. If Landrieu, Pryor, Hagan, Peters and Nunn throw Obama under bus, black will status at home in election day.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1988 gore/clinton vs. bush/quayle on: January 22, 2014, 05:10:36 am
1988 Gore could do a bigger damage than shown. He was seen as Southern Kennedy and he could fight even for Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, Texas and Oklahoma. He'd be a nice candidate for the Plains too due to Farming crisis.
50  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: France General Discussion II: Living under Marxism on: January 12, 2014, 06:12:09 pm
This have smell of suicide attempt by Mme. Flanby.
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