Brazilian right will vote for who can beat Dilma. There are rumors that Serra will change to PPS (former commies turned right-wing) and support Campos' presidential bid.

Venezuela doesn't have run-off too.

It's bad that Paraguay hasn't a run-off system. I think that they're only South American country without that in their political system.

Civil rights are approved during a Republican administration. Democrats keep more Social Conservative and Populist positions.

Eurozone leaders (France and Germany) will want one leader from them to be next leader of European Union to not show weakness. That takes Reinfeldt out equation.

Berlusconi can bring PDL to ECR only to deprive EPP of a plurality (corrected).

Dario Fo for President... with PD and M5S support!

Who's Meloni? The last trial heat had Renzi boosting PD to a 7-point lead over M5S with PDL in third.

Giorgia Meloni, one of FdI leaders. She wouldn't have Berlusconi's rejection and could bring some populist voters.

How would be an election with Renzi, Grillo and Meloni as standard bearers of their coalitions?

Pope Francis had Cardinal Hummes and Cardinal Sandri at his side. A message?

I'm watching Globo News now. There's a program with Camarotti and Ariel Palacios, a correspondent in Buenos Aires.

Francis name isn't only because Saint Francis of Assisi, but also due to Saint Francis Xavier, one of founders of Jesuit order and a missionary to Eastern Asia. Bergoglio should put emphasis into going to other side of the world.
He went to that Conclave with many voters from 2005 and he repeated his performance at General Congregations. He's a good fit with Church needs now. A good manager without being a Curialist and a person who can get people's support with social focus. The only no is that he's somewhat older and he's linked to Communione and Liberazione. Scola people accepted him and Sandri brought Curia votes. Maybe Sandri will be new Secretary of State, although I'd like a reformer like Schönborn or O'Malley.

Although I'm Brazilian, I'm against Scherer because a Brazilian pope can strengthen Catholic Church in Brazilian politics. If I were voting, I'd go for Schönborn or Erdo. O'Malley would be a good choice too.

Maduro nominated Arreaza (Chavez son-in-law) for Vice President. Maybe he's planning to be a single-term president.

Jerry Brown would be an interesting VP choice.

If SPÖ/Greens fails to have majority outright, my dream coalition would be SPÖ/Greens/Stronach.

Thanks!

Carinthia
SPÖ: 34%
FPÖ/FPK: 26%
Team Stronach: 14%
ÖVP: 12%
Die Grünen: 8%
BZÖ: 5%
Others: 1%
Lower Austria
ÖVP: 46%
SPÖ: 23%
Stronach: 12%
Die Grünen: 10%
FPO: 7%
Others: 2%

I put Stronach as Grillo than Berlusconi, because he's new thing, without Berlusconi scandals.

FPÖ - Berlusconi
SPÖ - Bersani
ÖVP - Monti
Grünen - Vendola
BZÖ - Fini
Stronach - Beppe Grillo

4 years in politics are eternity. CDU/CSU can find a good heir for Merkel, Greens can get stronger, FDP make a comeback. Maybe Steinbrück is to get a 2nd place and a CDU/CSU-FDP again.

If I were SPD directionship, I'd try to depose Steinbrück immediately. Draft Steinmeier or Gabriel to do a damage control or Kraft to try to win.

Renata Bueno was councilwoman in Curitiba (Paraná), but she lost. Her father is PPS leader in Chamber of Deputies Rubens Bueno who ran 2 times for Paraná's governorship. She was very absent in Curitiba's Town Council. Brazilian PPS is the former Brazilian Communist Party turned into a right-wing hack, like NPSI.

A ticket Powell-Lieberman would be interesting, campaigning on better war management, although I think that it would be strong only in Plains, Rocky Mountains and New England+Middle Atlantic.

A strong candidate in next conclaves will be Husar's sucessor, Sviatoslav Shevchuk. He's only 42 and he'll get a large experience by next Conclave if next Pope serves 20 years.