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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Liz Warren shocks everyone who doesn't know her foreign policy. on: August 31, 2014, 07:07:18 pm
Then again, the Liz Warren crowd probably has a combined IQ which barely reaches the double digits.

Just like most people from Alabama.
There aren't too many Warren supporters in Alabama.

You didn't understand what KCDem said. Maybe it's because you are from Alabama.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Liz Warren shocks everyone who doesn't know her foreign policy. on: August 31, 2014, 01:52:41 pm
Then again, the Liz Warren crowd probably has a combined IQ which barely reaches the double digits.

Just like most people from Alabama.

[/thread]
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-SUSA: McConnell +4 on: August 31, 2014, 12:15:34 am
That solves that.

2nd tier battleground, Hagen as well as Begich has sucked all oxygen out room with the Senate 50 seat maj.

I'll tel you a secret. The real surname of the NC Senator is Hagan, not Hagen Wink
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: SD: PPP: Rounds lead at six in poll for Weiland on: August 30, 2014, 10:51:45 am
Rounds will win for sure, but getting less than 40% would be pathetic, considering he's running in a GOP state, is a former Governor running against a some dude and the President is an unpopular democrat.

He's also running against a popular former Senator. So that dips him down. Plus that Howie guy.

Yes, but the former Senator supported Obama twice and isn't that popular, IIRC. I don't get how he's stealing votes from a popular GOP Governor in South Dakota of all places.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How can anyone say the GOP isn't favored to win the Senate? on: August 30, 2014, 10:50:04 am
With Kansas, South Dakota, Kentucky and Georgia all potentially going independent or Democratic, that would leave the GOP with 10 seats to make up, not just 6. Tongue Clearly Republicans would need a landslide, not just favorable winds, to make such a thing happen. Expect at least one of those four to not rally behind the Republican candidate in the end.

Hahaha, no.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: SD: PPP: Rounds lead at six in poll for Weiland on: August 30, 2014, 10:46:54 am
Rounds will win for sure, but getting less than 40% would be pathetic, considering he's running in a GOP state, is a former Governor running against a some dude and the President is an unpopular democrat.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2008 Presidential Election: Signup Thread on: August 30, 2014, 10:40:59 am
I'll be playing as a Mark Sanford (Senator Spiral) surrogate Smiley
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2014 Brazil Election on: August 29, 2014, 10:22:11 am
Why are Brazilians apparently so keen on naming people by their first name only ? Lack of variety in family names ? But surely Rousseff is remarkable enough to stand out ? Is it Iceland in disguise ?

And since Silva's candidacy following Campos' death, several of you have predicted the end of her fad : are you sure it will end, and when would you estimate it will ?


I don't think it will... Aecio is a very weak candidate and, IMHO, she's not as weak as people are predicting here. She had a good debate performance and the "attacks" on her are a bit ridiculous so far... The media keeps talking about the plane that killed Campos.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The most close race will be in... on: August 29, 2014, 10:10:16 am
NC. LA if there's a runoff and democrats have kept the Senate.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AR-Rasmussen: Pryor+1 on: August 29, 2014, 10:05:57 am

Rass. Don't care.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Baker pulls ahead in Massachusetts on: August 29, 2014, 10:02:33 am
Why would Massachusetts Democrats nominate a centrist proven loser?

Why did Democrats decide to go with a proven loser?

Why would Massachusetts Republicans nominate a centrist proven loser?

Why did Republicans decide to go with a proven loser?
Baker lost to a popular incumbent governor. Coakley lost to a little-known state senator. Huge difference.

Patrick wasn't popular back then, IIRC.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What would the Senate map look like if no incumbents were retiring this year? on: August 28, 2014, 12:16:56 pm
NE - Safe R
MT - Toss-Up/Tilt D
SD - Toss-Up/Tilt R
WV - Lean D
MI - Solid D
IA - Solid D
GA - Lean R

Switch MT and SD and that's what I think.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Kansas: Survey USA: Davis + 8 on: August 26, 2014, 11:14:59 pm
Damn. Brownback is going to lose the Labor Day election. As for the one in November, he'll still win, of course.

Quoted for posterity.

That's why you will be mocked if Davis somehow wins.

Oh, you're not familiar with how it works around here, pal. Trust me when I say you didn't have to bother quoting it.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carson vs. Democrat on: August 26, 2014, 11:11:51 pm
I wonder how Carson would appeal to African Americans and to withe racists.
If he runs against a Southern Democrat (say Clinton), he might even lose Mississippi, which has been trending (media) blue for a long time.
The election map would look odd ...

When in the holy hell has MS been trending media blue?Huh? Oh, and way to race bait

LoL.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-Gov: Fitzgerald in on: August 26, 2014, 01:07:27 pm
Where's Adam?
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 25, 2014, 10:39:48 pm
Ok, so I'm parodied when I'm wrong...but not when they're just incorrect predictions? Yeah...got it...

(I've made several other incorrect predictions without the "arrogance" of my Sarkozy prediction and they've been mocked. And you might think they're justifiably mocked but spare me the "You aren't mocked for making bad predictions" nonsense.)

I only see your predictions about Sarko and Santorum mocked, and everyone here would mock a democrat saying that Blanche Lincoln was closing the gap in 2010, so the Santorum one is not because we have anything against you, it's just because it was hilarious, the same way the PA State House special election was, but you don't have to take it too seriously (I also thought my party would win in my town in 2011 and we got 19% of the vote -and I don't get angry when people make me remind my absurd prediction back then, but I understand it can get annoying sometimes-). The Sarko one was definitely because you looked a bit arrogant, yes.



Talking about this poll, was it taken before or after Zell Miller endorsed Nunn? Not that I think that'd change the votes of so many people that suddenly the seat leans dem. now, but maybe it shifted the momentum towards the Nunn campaign again...
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: DKE: Democratic net gain of Gov seats unlikely on: August 25, 2014, 09:55:35 am
LoL at HI and ME (among others).
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Does anyone still believe the Iraq War made the Middle East a safer place? on: August 25, 2014, 07:24:28 am
I voted Yes by mistake. But obviously no.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2014 Brazil Election on: August 25, 2014, 07:18:22 am
BTW, October 5th I'll be voting those:

President: Acio Neves (PSDB-MG)/Aloysio Nunes (PSDB-SP)
Governor: Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB-SP)/Marcio Frana (PSB-SP)
Senator: Jos Serra (PSDB-SP)
Representative: Carlos Sampaio (PSDB-SP)
State Rep.: Fernando Capez (PSDB-SP)

A full house of toucans Tongue

I like this. And Serra is running for Senate? Will that man just retire?

He may even win this time!! He's running against Suplicy and the last poll indicattes he's 3 points ahead...
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who is most likely to pass on while in office? on: August 24, 2014, 07:20:40 pm
Pat Roberts.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 24, 2014, 07:10:15 pm
An example: saying "Sarkozy will win reelection" and "I think/hope Sarkozy will win this" is not the same thing, and neither is "Bronwback may/is very likely to win" and "No way Brownback loses" Wink.

Oh, really? Thanks for the English lesson!

Quote
I'm sorry for talking about your Sarkozy winning prediction... It was just way too easy.

Well, I love my haters. They need the love. But I must say that the mocking over that prediction (which really wasn't far off especially when you consider how badly Sarkozy was down early on) is just silly.

You said he'd win, and he lost. I'll give you another English lesson: if you had said "I think Sarkozy can win" or "the race will be close, so don't write Sarko off" nobody would be mocking your prediction now.

And thinking I hate you is just silly.

Oh wow! I said someone would win and they lost? Oh no. Bet that has never happened to anyone else here!

The point is that we don't make fun of people for getting predictions wrong because literally every person here makes several wrong predictions each year. You make fun of really bad predictions and given how close that race turned out, it makes no sense to mock my Sarkozy victory prediction.

By the way, saying "I think Sarkozy will win" isn't a prediction. "Don't write him off" isn't a prediction. 

You aren't mocked for making bad predictions. You're mocked because the way you say it, it looks arrogant. When you talked about Sarkozy winning it was like reading "I am right and you are not only wrong, but dumb". That's why when you were wrong and the rest of the people were right, they mocked you, Phil.

But I don't reaally have a problem with that. I'm not the humblest person here, to be fair. And I like the way you write, being so self-assured is not very common here and I appreciate it. But it has it's consequences, and you have to realize that: when you're wrong, you're parodied :p.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2014 Midterm elections: Republicans win in a landslide on: August 24, 2014, 06:58:00 pm
Weren't you "gone"??
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who would you rather be President? on: August 24, 2014, 06:39:19 am
Rand Paul (normal).
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: if Hillary doesn't run, and Republicans take back the White House on: August 24, 2014, 06:38:05 am
Wishful thinking and prayers.

Kind of like how Democrats think Hillary will win 47 states and her coattails will let them win every senate elections etc...

Which Democrat here seriously said that? Or are you just hrowing around baseless accusations that make you look ridiculous?

Don't get me started

Links please.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Alternate US States on: August 24, 2014, 06:18:45 am
Are people still following this? Just checking. Wink
Yes! Great work! Smiley

Of coursse we are.
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