Marine Le Pen?

Right: Christie or Portman
Left: Bernie Sanders? Rocky Anderson?

I'm surprised Czech Republic and Slovenia are dark blue. I know they're more tolerant than the rest of Eastern Europe and blah blah blah. But dark blue is too much tolerance.

Alfred Jones

It was great, but I think you should have mentioned that Maduro thought he'd win by 10-20 points and he just barely won.

I saw this yesterday on your blog. Glad to see Sanse is "less blue" than Alcobendas, Colmenar, Tres Cantos and other towns in the region.

Urgent Arkansas poll!

McCain 43% (-1)
Dean 29% (-4)
Bloomberg 18% (+6)
Nader 4% (=)
Undecided 6% (-1%)

[National]

September 16th - September 22nd starts now.

Dean closing the gap, takes the lead in Wisconsin!

McCain campaign... too boring?

Fmr. Congresswoman Susan Molinari (R-NY), Congressmen Dan Boren (D-OK) and Chris Shays (R-CT) endorse Michael Bloomberg.

"Right now, I'm undecided between Bloomberg and Nader. I'll endorse one of them after watching the first debate" - Jesse Ventura.

"Dennis Kucinich is a great pick. Congratulations, Nader. Here you have a new supporter" - actor Sean Penn.
_________________________________________________________________

National:
John McCain 35%
Howard Dean/Patty Murray 33%
Michael Bloomberg/Evan Bayh 24%
Ralph Nader 4%
Undecided 4%

Hawaii
Dean 43%
Bloomberg 26%
McCain 18%
Nader 7%
Undecided 6%

Oregon
Dean 38%
McCain 28%
Bloomberg 24%
Nader 4%
Undecided 6%

Alaska
McCain 38%
Bloomberg 26%
Dean 18%
Nader 12%
Undecided 6%

Connecticut
Dean 38%
Bloomberg 30%
McCain 20%
Nader 6%
Undecided 6%

New Jersey
Dean 34%
Bloomberg 33%
McCain 26%
Nader 2%
Undecided 5%

Florida
McCain 35%
Dean 31%
Bloomberg 26%
Nader 3%
Undecided 5%

Texas
McCain 44%
Dean 29%
Bloomberg 21%
Nader 2%
Undecided 4%

California
Dean 38%
Bloomberg 28%
McCain 26%
Nader 4%
Undecided 4%

Wisconsin
Dean 35%
McCain 34%
Bloomberg 23%
Nader 5%
Undecided 3%
_________________________________________________________________

*If you want to complete your schedule (Bayh EDIT:and Nader) you can, it won't be useless but it won't have the same effects as if you had done it at time. If you had told me that you wouldn't be able to update this early I'd have had my update tomorrow, but you haven't...

What about having a debate next week? It'll change things if there's a clear winner, so you decide (1 vote for each candidate, you decide: I suppose at least 3 of you will vote 'yes' on the debate).

**McCain, Dean, you can use republican and democrat senators, governors or representatives as long as they haven't supported Bloomberg or Nader. I have some other democrats and/or republicans who may support Bloomberg or Nader, but I'm almost sure you won't use them in your campaigns. If you want a member of the opposite party endorsing you, PM me: if it's realistic enough, you'll have his/her endorsement.

***There won't be polls next week if you decide to have a debate. If it's the case (and I'm sure you want to debate) the next poll will be after the debate.

I'll give some more time so Nader can post his schedule.

"Some more time" means 2-3 hours

Ah, the consequences of far-left economic policies....why do socialist idiotscontinue to support these incredibly stupid economic positions?  It's insane.

Because, before them, all the money was going to the wealthy and the poors anyways had no money to buy toilet paper?

Maybe some of them had to eat toilet paper because food was too expensive, that's why I don't like Maduro but still think he's better than any of those before Chávez.

Going straight to Hell.

To visit Margaret Thatcher.

You know he's a great Governor when not even 1 republican comes here to say he's not.

If Biden runs, he gets the nomination if things don't change.

If he doesn't, Obama, Bill and Hillary could always endorse the same candidate and thus give him the nomination (barring an inspiring candidate).

Update later today.

Venezuela 2013, please. Maduro vs. Capriles and Chávez appearing in front of Maduro as a bird, like the Holy Spirit.

That.

And then UK 2010!

McAuliffe leads among registered voters 43-41. I think it's more realistic to poll registered than likely voters before summer.

Other polls from Marist and WaPo also had Mr. Cuccinelli in the lead.

I don't know why but I knew you would open this topic... BTW, Marist has McAuliffe leading among RV.

Oh, so that's why. When I was a Senator (LAB), he tried to convince me to switch to the Liberal Party. I told him that I'd think about it after I was replaced. That's what I call the Spanish culture of not-switching-parties-no-matter-what.

Senor Sanchez, I believe.

Also, words spelled without the tilde - even worse than French word spelled without accents...

To be fair, he may not be able to do the tile on his computer - I know I can't.

I'm sure 90% of Spaniards don't know it's Sánchez instead of Sanchez.

Keep in mind that posting early gives you some extra points.

Hahaha, hilarious. Italy 2013 now!

On a small note,

Marina Silva defended and gave an eulogy to the polemic deputy Pr. Marco Feliciano, a fundamentalist who managed to be chosen president of the congress' Human Rights comission. LGBT's, blacks and feminists are in a giant hiss, since then (together with everyone who is not a fascist pig).

Every friend of mine who voted for her 'xingou muito no twitter' (stupid meme), i.e., put in every virtual community that they wouldn't vote for her anymore. It seems that she is exchanging young bobos (her main urban vote in 2010) for fundamentalist christians.

Bad move, IMO.

If she continues that way, my family may vote for her.

If I remember well what you tell about your family, they seem a perfect target for Dudu Beleza. Marina will probably take the poorer conservatives, if she maintain this course.

I was joking, they'll vote for Neves, even if they don't like him, for sure (one of my aunts may vote for Silva: she voted for her in the 1st round in 2010, then switched to Serra).

My advice would be to stay where he is, Hickenlooper's unbeatable. Wait for an open seat.

I actually agree with this.  Let Hickenlooper get re-elected in 2014 run CO into the ground another 4 years and make himself look more of an idiot than he is now.  2018 will be a better year for fresh faces.

There'll be more Californians in Colorado in 2018. No way republicans win. Colorado will be more democrat than D.C.

[Abraham Lincoln / Mitt Romney (Republican) - 531 EV / 96% PVBarack Obama / Joe Biden (Democrat) - 7 EV / 4% PV]

Here's what I would say:



Abraham Lincoln / Mitt Romney (Republican) - 531 EV / 96% PV
Barack Obama / Joe Biden (Democrat) - 7 EV / 4% PV

I think the South would vote for Obama.

[RNC results]

September 8th - September 15th starts now.

RNC results:
John McCain 1772 (81.17%)
Chuck Hagel 159 (7.28%)
Ron Paul 107 (4.9%)
Michael Bloomberg 106 (4.86%)
Newt Gingrich 39 (1.79%)

After Conventions, undecideds start deciding!!

Ralph Nader reaches 4%. Musician Eddie Vedder and actor Viggo Mortensen endorse him.

An internal from the democratic party has Bloomberg leading in Indiana, Dean leading in Iowa and Colorado tied!

Dean appeals to the progressive base while McCain finally stops bleeding after VP pick. Is that because he got all the press this week or will he keep his lead?.

_________________________________________________________________

National:
John McCain 36%
Howard Dean/Patty Murray 31% 181
Michael Bloomberg/Evan Bayh 24.5%
Ralph Nader 4%
Undecided 4.5% 91 EVs

(PM for state polls)
(Believe me when I say I've worked a lot with this TL today, I have "internals" for every state, I've made a list with every state and how many times each of you have visited it ... That'll be very important on Election Night...)


(Oh, and use your VPs!)






(And finally, I suppose we'll have debates soon. NHI will moderate at least one of them, but does anyone else want to moderate? Thanks!)