Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 01, 2015, 06:45:31 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 269
1  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition for Atlas forum sex change for Nathan on: January 29, 2015, 07:06:24 pm
x JulioMadrid
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Do you support Grexit? on: January 27, 2015, 06:20:04 pm
No, I support making the Euro a real common currency rather than the monstrosity we have now.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 25, 2015, 08:34:22 pm
Hey, maybe SYRIZA steals their 150th vote from PASOK and not from To Potami after all.
Do you mean in Parliament or right now in the counting ? Because right now the highest mean allocation of the last seat is between Potami and Syriza, excluding the other parties.

Right now in the counting. PASOK is decreasing with the last reports, while Potami seems steady.

EDIT: But I think that's a very unlikely scenario.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 25, 2015, 08:29:12 pm
Hey, maybe SYRIZA steals their 150th vote from PASOK and not from To Potami after all.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 25, 2015, 08:25:36 pm
Athens and Thessaloniki are only the real places where there are significant votes outstanding.  SRYIZA is running around 37% in Athens and 34% in Thessaloniki.  If so I suspect SRYIZA's vote share will hold steady from here and end up around 36.36%

And Irakleiou.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 25, 2015, 07:20:06 pm
It will now be 149 or 150 seats. From my projections, 151 seems too far-fetched now. With 90% of ballots in, the gap between Syriza and ND is now back to tightening a little bit. If it widens just by 0,1 point, it will get to 150 seats.

SYRIZA has 149.41 seats right now (rounded down to 149) and To Potami 16.49 (rounded up to 17). I'm almost sure SYRIZA will get 1 seat from To Potami.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 24, 2015, 03:15:24 pm
Samaras will be re-elected.

Phil, I seriously doubt that.

The chances right now that SYRIZA wins in a landslide (8%+ or 10%+) tomorrow are higher than ND winning.

But... Just 3 days ago you predicted a ND win!
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election - January 25th 2015 on: January 24, 2015, 08:26:12 am
Samaras will be re-elected.

Thanks for the ammunition.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek parliamentary election predictions thread on: January 23, 2015, 09:23:28 am
36.8% SYRIZA
30.1% ND
6.6% Potami
6.4% XA
4.5% PASOK
4,2% KKE
3.2% ANEL
2.8% Kinima
1.6% LAOS
1% DIMAR
2.8% Others
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Semi-Hiatus on: January 15, 2015, 06:21:25 pm
Don't feel obligated to come back.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish general election, 2015 on: January 12, 2015, 01:04:23 pm
Eldiario.es may look like closer to Podemos, but I've been told that the PSOE finances it... Not to say that Celeste-Tel's director is the wife of NC-Report's director... So, if any, they have a pro-bipartidism bias.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hypothetical New York governor election, 2010 on: January 09, 2015, 04:21:56 pm
Hawkins, but Weld is he's tied with Cuomo in the polls.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Important announcement: Please read on: January 05, 2015, 05:05:49 pm
Usted es muy afortunado, Colombia es un país maravilloso... En qué ciudad vas a vivir?

Buen viaje!!
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Greek election 2015 on: December 29, 2014, 07:45:59 am
I support Syriza (sane)
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka dies at 70 on: December 14, 2014, 07:18:59 pm
She lost a winnable race to Rod Blagojevich, which she shouldn't have.  She wasn't that well regarded in the mold of lets say Madigan due to rewarding campaign contributors in state contracts.

RIP Topinka, controller was the only office she was was able to hold. While the G O P held Quinn responsible, Dems still dominate Illinois politics.

The ad by Rod Blagojech which showed Topinka alongside George Ryan highlighted that exact point with campaign contributors with state contracts.

In 2006 there was a draining 4-way primary, and a Dem wave in the fall. There was an active Green candidate who could successfully pick up some of the anti-Blago votes, so they couldn't go to Judy either. I don't see how it was winnable given those external factors she couldn't control.
And yet people still insist that Nader cost Gore the election in 2000.  He positioned himself as the default "None of the Above" candidate, and although he probably took more support from Gore, it's not as disproportionate as people think.

If he took more support from Gore, he cost him the election.
Uh, not necessarily.  It depends on how the Nader vote would have split in each state.  I imagine that he probably cost Bush more in the Republican-leaning states/regions.

FTR, one of his campaign slogans was, "Bush and Gore make me want to Ralph."


I don't think he cost Bush more votes in FL. TBH, I think only republican hacks believe that.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka dies at 70 on: December 14, 2014, 02:17:21 pm
She lost a winnable race to Rod Blagojevich, which she shouldn't have.  She wasn't that well regarded in the mold of lets say Madigan due to rewarding campaign contributors in state contracts.

RIP Topinka, controller was the only office she was was able to hold. While the G O P held Quinn responsible, Dems still dominate Illinois politics.

The ad by Rod Blagojech which showed Topinka alongside George Ryan highlighted that exact point with campaign contributors with state contracts.

In 2006 there was a draining 4-way primary, and a Dem wave in the fall. There was an active Green candidate who could successfully pick up some of the anti-Blago votes, so they couldn't go to Judy either. I don't see how it was winnable given those external factors she couldn't control.
And yet people still insist that Nader cost Gore the election in 2000.  He positioned himself as the default "None of the Above" candidate, and although he probably took more support from Gore, it's not as disproportionate as people think.

If he took more support from Gore, he cost him the election.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-Gov: Fitzgerald in on: December 13, 2014, 11:26:46 am
This shouldn't be a race about a power-lock, but about a race of rallying behind one candidate (David Pepper) who our party has faith in.

Yeah, maybe it works as well as rallying behind FitzGerald. Portune, hilariously, would've been a much better candidate.
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: KCDem is a confirmed sock. on: December 08, 2014, 06:57:11 pm
Owned!

Congratulations, Phil! (and I'm being serious this time).
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever been near a riot? on: November 26, 2014, 07:19:27 pm
Yes, twice.
20  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Andrew Cuomo vs Donald Trump on: November 25, 2014, 08:23:32 pm
I almost voted Cuomo this time.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Alaska go Libertarian in 2016? on: November 23, 2014, 02:54:04 pm
The Governor-elect of Alaska is Bill Walker. He's the opposite of what libertarianism is.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever participated in a protest? on: November 22, 2014, 07:43:52 am
I have organized and participated in a protest.

Same here.

And here.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: President Obama approval poll on: November 22, 2014, 07:40:52 am
Somewhat Approve for the first time in a while.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Romania 2014 - 2/16 November 2014 on: November 20, 2014, 06:20:18 pm
Wonderful news! The Germans are back in town.

??

You do not get the reference to Klaus Werner Iohannis?

Of course I do... I was wondering if he was happy because Germans were back in power, after this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazi_rule_over_the_Danube_River
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV-Sen: Ralston rates Reid foes on: November 20, 2014, 06:14:32 pm

Quote
He wrote that African-Americans are insufficiently grateful for being given their freedom: “The lack of gratitude and the deliberate ignoring of white history in relation to eliminating slavery is a disgrace that Negro leaders should own up to.”
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 269


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines