Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 21, 2014, 11:14:45 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 268
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka dies at 70 on: December 14, 2014, 07:18:59 pm
She lost a winnable race to Rod Blagojevich, which she shouldn't have.  She wasn't that well regarded in the mold of lets say Madigan due to rewarding campaign contributors in state contracts.

RIP Topinka, controller was the only office she was was able to hold. While the G O P held Quinn responsible, Dems still dominate Illinois politics.

The ad by Rod Blagojech which showed Topinka alongside George Ryan highlighted that exact point with campaign contributors with state contracts.

In 2006 there was a draining 4-way primary, and a Dem wave in the fall. There was an active Green candidate who could successfully pick up some of the anti-Blago votes, so they couldn't go to Judy either. I don't see how it was winnable given those external factors she couldn't control.
And yet people still insist that Nader cost Gore the election in 2000.  He positioned himself as the default "None of the Above" candidate, and although he probably took more support from Gore, it's not as disproportionate as people think.

If he took more support from Gore, he cost him the election.
Uh, not necessarily.  It depends on how the Nader vote would have split in each state.  I imagine that he probably cost Bush more in the Republican-leaning states/regions.

FTR, one of his campaign slogans was, "Bush and Gore make me want to Ralph."


I don't think he cost Bush more votes in FL. TBH, I think only republican hacks believe that.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL Comptroller Judy Baar Topinka dies at 70 on: December 14, 2014, 02:17:21 pm
She lost a winnable race to Rod Blagojevich, which she shouldn't have.  She wasn't that well regarded in the mold of lets say Madigan due to rewarding campaign contributors in state contracts.

RIP Topinka, controller was the only office she was was able to hold. While the G O P held Quinn responsible, Dems still dominate Illinois politics.

The ad by Rod Blagojech which showed Topinka alongside George Ryan highlighted that exact point with campaign contributors with state contracts.

In 2006 there was a draining 4-way primary, and a Dem wave in the fall. There was an active Green candidate who could successfully pick up some of the anti-Blago votes, so they couldn't go to Judy either. I don't see how it was winnable given those external factors she couldn't control.
And yet people still insist that Nader cost Gore the election in 2000.  He positioned himself as the default "None of the Above" candidate, and although he probably took more support from Gore, it's not as disproportionate as people think.

If he took more support from Gore, he cost him the election.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-Gov: Fitzgerald in on: December 13, 2014, 11:26:46 am
This shouldn't be a race about a power-lock, but about a race of rallying behind one candidate (David Pepper) who our party has faith in.

Yeah, maybe it works as well as rallying behind FitzGerald. Portune, hilariously, would've been a much better candidate.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: KCDem is a confirmed sock. on: December 08, 2014, 06:57:11 pm
Owned!

Congratulations, Phil! (and I'm being serious this time).
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever been near a riot? on: November 26, 2014, 07:19:27 pm
Yes, twice.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Andrew Cuomo vs Donald Trump on: November 25, 2014, 08:23:32 pm
I almost voted Cuomo this time.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Alaska go Libertarian in 2016? on: November 23, 2014, 02:54:04 pm
The Governor-elect of Alaska is Bill Walker. He's the opposite of what libertarianism is.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever participated in a protest? on: November 22, 2014, 07:43:52 am
I have organized and participated in a protest.

Same here.

And here.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: President Obama approval poll on: November 22, 2014, 07:40:52 am
Somewhat Approve for the first time in a while.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Romania 2014 - 2/16 November 2014 on: November 20, 2014, 06:20:18 pm
Wonderful news! The Germans are back in town.

??

You do not get the reference to Klaus Werner Iohannis?

Of course I do... I was wondering if he was happy because Germans were back in power, after this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nazi_rule_over_the_Danube_River
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV-Sen: Ralston rates Reid foes on: November 20, 2014, 06:14:32 pm

Quote
He wrote that African-Americans are insufficiently grateful for being given their freedom: “The lack of gratitude and the deliberate ignoring of white history in relation to eliminating slavery is a disgrace that Negro leaders should own up to.”
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Romania 2014 - 2/16 November 2014 on: November 17, 2014, 07:16:59 pm
Wonderful news! The Germans are back in town.

??
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Keystone Phil on: November 16, 2014, 01:57:48 pm
IIRC, the Atlas Forum has a number of Italian and Italian-American posters, and we clearly have a lot of gays, but is Phil our only gay poster of Italian descent?
No. See, that would be me, thank you.

Phil is gay?! Didn't know that. I don't think so.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Keystone Phil on: November 15, 2014, 09:48:28 pm
FF. One of my favourite posters here, even if he thinks I hate him.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: For European posters on: November 03, 2014, 07:01:15 pm
How many Euro posters are planning on all-nighters tomorrow? Be honest! :p

I won't go to bed tomorrow night.
16  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: November 02, 2014, 06:49:52 pm
I'm not upset by Phil calling me "dense". He was right. He was dense too when he predicted Dilma would lose or that Sarko would be reelected, and I enjoy mocking him for that, so no resentment.

KEN BUCK!
17  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow on: November 02, 2014, 06:46:24 pm
McConnell Roberts can't be comfortably ahead because I said Dilma would lose. This is too confusing!

18  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: October 30, 2014, 06:38:49 pm
I miss a republican saying "BUT... KEN BUCK! KEN BUCK!! BUCK? KEN" here.

...you do realize it's said to mock the Dems, right? Because that's all they could talk about for weeks when this race was tightening.

"But Ken Buck was ahead in 2010 and Ken Buck didn't win! See!"

We only started frequently using him as an excuse of a bad candidate after he Forum Dems held him up as the quintessential CO Republican from 2010 until forever.

Of course I know that its initial purpose was to mock the dems, but it's pretty obvious it's become a way of ridiculing yourselves now. We got the point and people stopped saying "But Ken Buck" a long time ago, but some republicans (not all... thank god!) keep saying "B... KEN BUCK" when the people actually have a point, and that's that if Gardner is leading by 1-3 points, he might lose, just as it happened in 2010 (and there are many republicans who agree with that, BTW).
19  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: TIED RACE on: October 30, 2014, 06:32:12 pm
I think Udall wins by a 2010-ish margin or slightly less. I'm happy to be proven wrong, but that's my final prediction.
It looks like Udall will win this race relatively comfortably.

If a poll shows a tie in Colorado, the Democratic Party candidate is probably leading by 2-3 percentage points. It looks like Cory Gardner is the new Ken Buck.

This poll ruined my day.

Republicans predicting an Udall win... BUT KEN BUCK!
20  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-SUSA: Gardner +2 on: October 30, 2014, 03:15:51 pm
I miss a republican saying "BUT... KEN BUCK! KEN BUCK!! BUCK? KEN" here.
21  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC; PPP: Hagan only up one on: October 30, 2014, 03:14:51 pm

Exactly that.
22  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Strategies 360 (D): Udall +1 on: October 29, 2014, 08:01:19 pm
LoL. KEN BUCK is now a republican talking point.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Connecticut county map on: October 29, 2014, 07:39:49 pm
I'm leaning towards predicting a narrow Foley win here, which means the town map will probably be a little bit different, but the county map should remain the same.

Going by your signature, I'd have never guessed!

His signature is just too large, BTW.
24  Election Archive / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-SUSA: Davis +3 on: October 29, 2014, 04:25:06 am
Kansas GOP will deliver a smashing victory for The Heartland's Favorite Governor.

I hope your Kansas prediction is as accurate as your Brazil one about Dilma not being reelected Smiley

Ok, I addressed your obsessive remarks in another thread today. So get over it.


It's not my problem if you keep making bad predictions and pretending we're "Demhacks" because we don't agree with them.
25  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-Ivan Moore Research: Begich +6 on: October 28, 2014, 06:28:17 pm
Oh. Decimals + LOL POLLS IN ALASKA = Sullivan win.

And Dilma Rousseff won't be reelected.

Much love to my many, many haters.

It's just too easy to mock you, even if we love you...

The moment I read your post ("Dilma won't be reelected) I knew this would happen.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 268


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines