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October 22, 2014, 05:25:38 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Predict Georgia on: Today at 04:55:36 pm
Y'all are all going to be disappointed when Deal and Perdue when their runoffs.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Biggest Hacks on Atlas? on: Today at 04:39:08 pm
Poundingtherock (I think that was their name) took pro-Palin hackishness to the nth level.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will the 2016 GOP primary feature Flavor of the Month action? on: October 20, 2014, 10:12:20 pm
For 2012, eleven people led in multiple nationwide GOP primary polls:

Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Rudy Giuliani, Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Rick Perry, Michelle Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Santorum

So far in 2016 polling, we've already had nine different people do this (including four of the same people from last time) and we're still over a year away from the Iowa Caucus!

Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Ted Cruz

If anything, this Republican Primary will be even more exciting and turbulent than the last one. Also my money is on Bobby Jindal to be the Huckabee/Santorum of this cycle, where he's stuck in the single digits but ends up surging into the spotlight thanks to an excellent ground game in Iowa

Are there already indications Jindal is building a strong ground game in Iowa, or is that a gut feeling?
4  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Is the previous poster to the left/right of you? on: October 20, 2014, 10:09:26 am
Very right.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Could anyone more irrelevant than George Pataki run for president? on: October 20, 2014, 09:57:58 am
Context....

Pataki is on a three day visit to NH:

http://www.wmur.com/political-scoop/pataki-is-coming-to-nh-and-he-exploring-a-run-for-president-again/29006268

Quote
Ahead of the 2012 presidential primary he visited the state six times before sitting that contest out. But a source close to Pataki says this time he is more serious than ever. After making some money in the private sector and looking at a wide-open Republican nomination, he and wife are open to "going all in" in 2016.


Excluding actual joke candidates....?
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Did you like going through a car wash as a kid? on: October 19, 2014, 01:22:21 am
We only ever washed the car with the hose. I only went through the car wash once, as an adult.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which of these potential Democratic insurgent candidates will actually run? on: October 18, 2014, 07:59:58 pm
Sanders is in, we're building the infrastructure behind the scenes. No idea about the others.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: favorite dumb posts from other forums on: October 18, 2014, 12:27:08 am
Just about everything posted on revleft would qualify for this thread. Oh, and /r/metanarchism.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone III - Lowborn Egoism Herrings on: October 17, 2014, 07:42:59 pm
I've never been somewhere where they just hand out pocket knives to everyone

Haha, what? Where were you?
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Will the 2016 GOP primary feature Flavor of the Month action? on: October 17, 2014, 07:39:53 pm
Remember last cycle, back when Romney was The Frontrunner and every month there'd be some Great Conservative Hope who rose in the polls only to crash and burn (often more than once)? Will 2016 have that same dynamic? If not, why not? Will the GOP lack a front runner through out? Will there be 2+ "strong" candidates (in relation to other primary candidates)? Perhaps some sillier sort of silly season?
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: October 16, 2014, 01:31:28 pm
It's an obvious campaign manifesto-type book.  It comes out on Jan. 13, and he can spend ~6 weeks or so promoting it, giving him something to do before announcing his candidacy in late February or early March or thereabouts.


I thought he would run if Bush did.

No, I don't think he'll run if Bush does.  But Bush hasn't announced anything yet.


Whoops, meant to say would not. It just sounds like Bush is likely in, but I guess it makes sense for Rubio to lay the groundwork anyway.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: October 15, 2014, 11:57:44 pm
It's an obvious campaign manifesto-type book.  It comes out on Jan. 13, and he can spend ~6 weeks or so promoting it, giving him something to do before announcing his candidacy in late February or early March or thereabouts.


I thought he would *not* run if Bush did.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: October 15, 2014, 11:23:13 pm
Can't really get a more cliche "I'm running for President" book title than:
"American Dreams: Restoring Economic Opportunity for Everyone "

Sounds like socialism.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeb Bush versus Mitt Romney on: October 14, 2014, 06:29:40 pm
They would never both run, but I honestly think that Romney has a better chance of becoming the GOP nominee than Bush. As others on this board have pointed out, Romney is just a flip-flopping opportunist, whereas Bush continues to hold and defend positions despised by the GOP base.

Basically this. There's no way they both run, the establishment wouldn't allow it. According to the rumor mill, Romney would only consider jumping in if Jeb didn't run.
Those two men and their supporters make up a significant portion of "the establishment." I agree in spirit though, I highly doubt Mitt would decide to run again if he thought Jeb was going to run; my reading of the situation is that a third Romney campaign is the "break glass in case of emergency" last option for "the establishment" (e.g. the Romney's, Bushes, and their donors) rather than something Mittens really wants to do.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 14, 2014, 04:17:36 pm
I'm guessing y'all know about this already, but I'll post it anyway.

Quote
Sarah Wheaton reported late Friday:
Quote
A coalition of civil rights organizations on Friday sued the Georgia secretary of state’s office and five counties over an alleged backlog of 40,000 voter registration forms. […]
 
Filed in Fulton County Superior Court, the suit asks a judge to order the counties and Secretary of State Brian Kemp to immediately process the remaining forms.

oter-suppression efforts have been a scourge in recent years for much of the country, but it’s proving to be especially problematic in Georgia. Secretary of State Brian Kemp (R), Georgia’s top elections official, was recorded over the summer expressing concern, for example, about Democrats “registering all these minority voters that are out there.” Kemp also subpoenaed the New Georgia Project, which happens to be the driving force behind the state’s largest voter-registration campaign, for reasons that appear quite dubious.
 
But it’s the voter-registration materials that may ultimately matter most. According to the New Georgia Project, the group has submitted “more than 80,000 new voter applications to county election boards.” But as Election Day nears, the New Georgia Project says roughly half of these new voters, some of whom registered months ago, are not yet on the voter rolls.
 
And if these Georgians aren’t on the voter rolls, they may not be able to cast a ballot that counts. With early voting beginning statewide today, it’s a problem in need of an immediate resolution.
 
In a statement, state Rep. Stacey Abrams (D), founder of the New Georgia Project’s parent group, said, “We hoped litigation would not be necessary, but with early voting beginning next week, eligible Georgians are dangerously close to not being allowed to vote in this election. All eligible registrants should be processed immediately; provisional voting is not an acceptable option.”

Conveniently, Kemp lives in Athens. We're planning a candlelight vigil (a vigil for the suppressed voters) outside Brian Kemp's house for one of the next few days. If any of our Georgians are interested, I can get you more details.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 14, 2014, 11:44:36 am

Maybe I've been too negative on Nunn. But I still find this difficult to believe. Can we really turn out enough people to make that happen?
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: October 13, 2014, 11:31:01 pm
For the fun of it, here's the potential Weed '16 map, assuming all the currently planned ballot iniatives pass.



90% Fully legalized
70% Medical + Decrim
50% Medical
30% Decrim

You forgot DC!
Good catch, fixed!
18  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 13, 2014, 10:21:46 pm
Italy squeak by Malta. Malta played most of the match down a man but Bonucci had to be a dumbass and yank down a Malta player because he didn't feel like running. He was the last man and prevented a goal scoring opportunity so he was sent off late in the match. Croatia romped to victory so they're technically top of the group on goal difference. We play them in our next qualifier and, quite frankly, we should be worried. It was always going to be a massive match especially since they are always tough for us (I think we've only beaten them once). Now our backs are really against the wall.

In other news, the Dutch lost and are six (!) points out of the top two.
It would be classic Italy for y'all to squeak into the Euros through the third place playoff and then win the tournament.
19  General Politics / Economics / Re: When the Fed hikes interest rates, how high will it go? on: October 13, 2014, 08:48:17 pm
is there any reason to raise it at all?
Bubbles, Tweed, bubbles!
20  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Should the office responsible for administering elections be partisan? on: October 13, 2014, 08:46:06 pm
Even if it were supposedly de jure nonpartisan, I fail to see how it could be guaranteed to be that way de facto.  So I have no particular impulse for or against the idea.  More generally tho, should any election in a FPTP system be explicitly partisan?  Why do we need parties as gatekeepers?

The tribal nature of party affiliation allows people who are unable/unwilling to research individual candidates to participate in politics with a modicum of intelligence. Otherwise a lot more voting would come down to "I've seen her name a lot/she sounds like a filthy Polack/etc."
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your own "New Deal" on: October 13, 2014, 08:41:11 pm
1. 28th Amendment: Jubilee
The day of the ratification of this amendment shall be called Jubilee. All debts of every kind (personal, corporate, state, etc) shall be cancelled. Every fifty years shall be a new Jubilee, in accordance with what G-d commanded the Hebrew, as recorded in the Book of Leviticus.

2. 29th Amendment: Copyright
Copyright protections shall last no longer than the Founding Fathers intended. As the Copyright Act of 1790 states, the authors, musicians, film makers, and other creators shall have sole right to their works for a period of fourteen years, with the option to renew their copyright for another fifteen years. After a period of fourteen or twenty-nine years, the intellectual property in question will enter the public domain. Copyright may not be extended by an legislature or court. Copyright may not be transferred from the author, excepting in the case of death, where it may be transferred to his executor to be disbursed as willed, until the expiration of the existing copyright. Also, no living thing may be copyrighted. These provisions are retroactive, going to effect as soon as this amendment is ratified.

3. 30th Amendment: Excessive Punishment
It shall be unconstitutional to create a law which criminalizes an action or behavior in which a victim cannot be identified. For example, the production, distribution, or consumption of any substance can not be criminalized. It shall be unconstitutional to punish as felons individuals who have not done grievous harm to another. Felons may not be deprived of their voting rights. This amendment shall be applied retroactively.

4. 31st Amendment: Money and Politics
Elections shall be publicly funded. No candidate for any office may accept more than $100 from any individual or entity.

5. 32nd Amendment: Congressional Districts
Congressional districts, as well as other electoral districts and state and local levels, shall be drawn by an unbiased committee in order to ensure communities of common interests are grouped together, underprivileged groups are protected, and our democracy is strengthened. Conspiring to gerrymander shall be a felony. One representative to the US house shall represent no more than 500,000 people, and the number of representatives shall increase according.

6. 33rd Amendment: Voting
All federal elections shall use Instant Runoff Voting. State and local elections may decide their own method of elections, provided the method can determine who a majority of voters support.

7. Legislation encouraging the creation of workers' cooperative through tax breaks, favorable loans, and an education campaign.

8. Legislation strengthening environmental protections, instituting a carbon tax, banning fracking, and investing heavily in renewable energy.

9. Legislation implementing universal healthcare.

10. Legislation replacing all welfare spending (excluding Social Security) with a Basic Income.

11. Legislation implementing a 100% estate tax on wealth over a certain threshold.

12. Legislation drastically raising the income tax on wealthier brackets and creating new brackets to tax the super-wealthy at higher rates.

13. Legislation raising the US minimum wage to $15/hour.

14. Drastically cut military spending.

15. Lift the embargo on Cuba.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: And now...Alaska on: October 13, 2014, 07:47:22 pm
Considering the lay of the land, same sex marriage is likely to be legal in every state before Obama leaves office. He's had very little to do with that, yet I suspect future historians will the legalization of same sex marriage one of his major achievements.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: There's only one candidate that can save the Republican Party... on: October 13, 2014, 07:34:18 pm
Odds that this is just an aide?
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: October 13, 2014, 07:29:10 pm
For the fun of it, here's the potential Weed '16 map, assuming all the currently planned ballot iniatives pass.



90% Fully legalized
70% Medical + Decrim
50% Medical
30% Decrim
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 13, 2014, 03:50:43 pm
Wales is top of the table! Is it possible? We could qualify without having to go through the playoffs.
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