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September 24, 2016, 03:58:09 pm
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: "Never wrong pundit" Allan Lichtman predicts Clinton win. on: September 23, 2016, 10:48:22 am
Wow, I never realized this guy was such a show boater.  His criteria is so vague you can put yourself on either side of it an most of his "keys".  He just wants to hedge his bets and make his sterling record, which was broken in 2000 look somewhat clean.

The model may have problems but 2000 was not one of them. When he developed the model in the 1980's he clearly said this was only to predict the popular vote winner since 1860. He used 1876 and 1888 as examples where his model would have called the popular vote winner, not the EC winner.
There is of course the fact that in both of these elections there was massive voter suppression of Blacks in the South, so dubious whether the Democrats would have won the popular vote under fair conditions in either one, especially in 1888.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AR-Hendrix College: Arkansas pulls a Benedict Arnold on Clinton on: September 23, 2016, 10:15:37 am
Remember in 2008 when Arkansas was gonna be competitive if Hillary were the nominee?
It likely would have been. But they are not going to forger or forgive eight years of Obama and Clinton's participation in his administration has certainly contributed to this feeling.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NE: 1934 Amendment General Election Result on: September 18, 2016, 05:47:39 am
Horrible vote. Bicameralism for the win!
Bicameralism makes no sense for a non-federal entity, like all fifty US states. Especially after the Supreme Court ruled districts with unequal population (in many states each county had one State Senator) unconstitutional.

Bicameralism is meh, but a modern legislature probably should have political parties.
Nebraska's legislature does have parties, but they're unofficial.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: NE: 1934 Amendment General Election Result on: September 16, 2016, 11:05:05 am
Somewhat of an east-west divide but not very strong considering the amendment passed in the west as well, with very strong results in some counties. The highest percentage for "Yes" was in from Red Willow - 74.42%, while the lowest was in Keya Paha - 43.98%.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / NE: 1934 Amendment General Election Result on: September 16, 2016, 10:57:56 am
New Election: 1934 Nebraska Amendment General Election Results
    
    

This is the results of the 1934 referendum which made Nebraska the only US state with a nonpartisan unicameral legislature.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Moldovan presidential election, 30th October on: September 13, 2016, 02:04:50 am
The last time I checked, Romania was part of NATO.
Even if they intervene to help Moldova's invasion of Transnistria (which they didn't during the last times), this hardly meets the criteria for an attack of a NATO country.

They will not have to intervene voluntarily. They will be attacked.
Why the hell would Russia attack Romania? To sell them gas at gunpoint?
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / PA: 1946 Senatorial General Election Result on: September 12, 2016, 03:08:42 pm
New Election: 1946 Pennsylvania Senatorial General Election Results



Sixty years before Santorum, Joseph Guffey seems to have been his very similar Democratic counterpart: narrowly defeated an incumbent Senator in a wave year for his party, got re-elected and then lost by an enormous margin in a wave year for the opposition party.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jill Stein: "I wouldn't have 'assassinated' Osama Bin Laden on: September 12, 2016, 02:44:55 am
At the end of World War II, the Allies desisted of summarily executing the Nazi war criminals, compared to which bin Laden was a rank amateur. Why this outrage over doing the same with bin Laden?
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Moldovan presidential election, 30th October on: September 12, 2016, 02:34:22 am
The last time I checked, Romania was part of NATO.
Even if they intervene to help Moldova's invasion of Transnistria (which they didn't during the last times), this hardly meets the criteria for an attack of a NATO country.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA: 2016 Senatorial Open Primary Election Result on: September 11, 2016, 02:38:20 pm
Imperial County once again goes for the candidate with a Hispanic name.

I expect that the general will be Likely Harris.
This is a strange statement, considering that Harris has led consistently by double digits, with over 20% in some polls. Sanches's only hope is that Republicans will break heavily for her but turnout among them is likely to be low, so she\ll need to capture an extraordinary large amount of their votes, perhaps over 80%.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / CA: 2016 Senatorial Open Primary Election Result on: September 11, 2016, 08:50:08 am
New Election: 2016 California Senatorial Open Primary Election Results
   
   

With 37 candidates and only 15 slots, 23 candidates had to be grouped into "Others", which ended up third!
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Moldovan presidential election, 30th October on: September 11, 2016, 05:29:56 am
This is important, because this could be one place WWIII could start. Transnistria is making fresh noises about joining Russia: look at the map, and guess how Ukraine will react. Moldovan government will have an important role to play here.
I doubt that Russia is going to accept. South Ossetia has been requesting to join Russia for years without success and they're right on the border.
But even if Transnistria joined Russia and war broke out with Ukraine in result, why would that lead to WWIII?
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV: 2016 Secretary of State Democratic Primary Election Result on: September 11, 2016, 01:41:12 am
No one cares as Tennant is going to lose in November.
This doesn't seem to apply to actual West Virginians considering that turnout was about 50% higher in this primary compared to the Republican primary.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IN: 1898 Secretary of State General Election Result on: September 10, 2016, 06:01:39 pm
There really is just no ryme or reason to this. Strange. Anybody know what caused the voting patterns here?
It should be noted that results of Presidential elections showed a similar pattern.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / WV: 2016 Secretary of State Democratic Primary Election Result on: September 10, 2016, 05:29:19 pm
New Election: 2016 West Virginia Secretary of State Democratic Primary Election Results
    
    

Patsy Trecost is indeed from Harrison county and his district also includes a small part of Taylor county.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / WV: 2016 Secretary of State Republican Primary Election Result on: September 10, 2016, 05:14:14 pm
New Election: 2016 West Virginia Secretary of State Republican Primary Election Results
   
   

17  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Probably, the New York Times and the Economist will endorse Hillary Clinton on: September 10, 2016, 04:08:50 pm
Hillary Clinton winning all fifty states (including the 3rd district of Nebraska) is considerably more likely than the New York Times endorsing Trump.
As for the Economist endorsing Trump, this is slightly more likely - as in about as likely as Clinton winning 45 states.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian legislative election, 18 September 2016 on: September 10, 2016, 03:57:42 pm

2. Yabloko and People's Freedom are pretty much the only ones who have some prominent members who are publicly on record as being opposed to what has been done in Ukraine. In fact some People's Freedom candidates demonstratively asked Ukrainian embassy for a permission to campaign in Crimea (it was denied).
It seems these parties (Yabloko stated that they would exchange Crimea for an iPhone) are not especially concerned about losing even more of the little support they have. A good idea would have been to propose a new referendum in the Crimea which would at least get some attention and could highlight the illegality of the 2014 referendum. But it would be rather unpopular outside Russia, which I guess is more important for these parties.
19  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: For the first time since 2013, ISIS has no border with NATO on: September 10, 2016, 03:21:22 pm
So ISIS will have to sell their oil now through the territory of the Syrian opposition, instead of directly through Turkey (presuming of course the Turkish resolve to seriously fight ISIS continues for long).
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Are you worried about Hillary's health? on: September 10, 2016, 03:11:29 pm
Write-in: "Not worried, but still suspicious that she's no as healthy as she claims".
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump goes on Russia-state-owned RT to slam the US media on: September 10, 2016, 03:10:00 pm

BTW, my gradfather is from Chilie,

Yeah, and he learned Russian at Lumumba.

I guess, comrade junior lieutenant, you have blown your cover again. Be more careful next time.
What an convenient world view: anyone who speaks Russian and doesn't agree with your views is actually a paid Russian troll.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump goes on Russia-state-owned RT to slam the US media on: September 10, 2016, 03:05:35 pm
This, probably, describes you better than them (yes, I know, they ran a provocative poll on the issue, but at no point they implied that they themselves think that). Unlike you, they have no sympathy to Nazi-type regimes.
I would be offended by this personal insult, but then I realized that you probably have a definition of Nazi that is unique to you, like your definition of fascism.
As for whether they don't have sympathy for "Nazi-type" regimes (in the common meaning of this word), I wouldn't be so sure. Quite a few Russian liberals have made statements showing at least ambiguous feelings on this subject. This historian, for example, outright stated that it would've been better if Hitler had won the war.


"Propaganda" means, merely, "advertising" in Spanish Smiley

Anyway, having some whippersnappers teach me about VoA is quite funny Smiley
I'm well acquainted with the kind of material the likes of BBC, for example, produced for their Bulgarian edition during Communist rule. Now, it's possible that they were more objective and concerned with factual accuracy in the Russian edition, but I doubt it.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jill Stein's Disgusting Tweet about Hillary's health on: September 10, 2016, 02:28:42 am
While there is probably nothing wrong with Hillary's health, all this media outrage at anyone who dares suggest otherwise is starting to look suspicious. It should be remembered that the health situation of Presidents and Presidential candidates has been concealed before.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump goes on Russia-state-owned RT to slam the US media on: September 10, 2016, 02:10:35 am
Okay...

RT was set up mainly as an international mouthpiece for Russia. It is no different from Voice of America for our country.

Alas, I have to stop reading here.
Because of course the US never lies in its propaganda arm. Are you really that naive or are you simply pretending?

Unlike you, I grew up listening to VoA, Radio Liberty, BBC Russian Service, Deutsche Welle, etc., etc.  I mean, my old Spidola short-wave radio must be still somewhere, unless I got rid of it when moving down to Mexico from the US (yes, I continued using it in the US).

This is exactly why I stopped reading where I stopped.
Yes, I know it's difficult to admit that you've been influenced by propaganda.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump goes on Russia-state-owned RT to slam the US media on: September 10, 2016, 02:04:33 am

The main reason I am speaking in this particular thread is because the Russophobia American liberals have embraced bothers me: that somehow it is illegitimate act to appear as a guest on Russia Today.  That stinks of a desire to control information.

Again, this is not "Russophobia". This is not about talking on a Russian channel.  It is which Russian channel he chose. Had he come on, say,

https://tvrain.ru/

I would have had no objections Smiley
TV Rain is also, propaganda, but propaganda made by the Russian pseudo-liberals (I can not honestly call people who think that Germany winning WWII would be better liberals).
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