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1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Paris: French soldier neutralizes Muslim terrorist @ the Louvre on: February 05, 2017, 08:13:10 am
He didn't kill him fortunately. Please leave your bloodthirst for the browns out of the headlines.
What's fortunate about him not being killed? Now he'll get to stay in prison on government expense and he'll have plenty of opportunity to convert others to radical Islam while there.

...some people think human life is inherently valuable. Shocking, I know.
I agree with you completely. This is why it's bad that this terrorist can continue to endanger human lives.
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley Blames Russia For New Ukraine Violence on: February 04, 2017, 05:43:32 am
And here I was thinking that Trump was actually serious about improving relations with Russia...
3  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Paris: French soldier kills Muslim terrorist @ the Louvre on: February 04, 2017, 05:38:56 am
He didn't kill him fortunately. Please leave your bloodthirst for the browns out of the headlines.
What's fortunate about him not being killed? Now he'll get to stay in prison on government expense and he'll have plenty of opportunity to convert others to radical Islam while there.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How do you think trump did with voters of eastern european ancestry? on: January 28, 2017, 08:49:58 am
Russians probably voted for Trump. Other Slavic groups and Eastern-Europeans...not so much.
Not all Eastern Europeans have the same attitudes as Poles (or western Ukrainians). For example, I'm willing to bet that Trump won Bulgarian Americans handily.
5  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Palestinian unity government announced on: January 22, 2017, 03:17:20 am
Again, the conventional wisdom is to carve up the only plural democracy with respect for fundamental human rights and give the Palestinians a self-governing state. Recipe for terror, war, and even more regional instability. Maybe Islamic Jihad will be pacified by giving up the settlements!
So since you're opposed to Israel and the Palestinian territories being divided (though Israel itself has never actually agreed to them being unified) and consider fundamental human rights to be so important, I assume that you strongly support the incorporation of the Western Bank and Gaza strip into Israel and the granting of citizenship of all the inhabitants of these territories?
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Europeans see Trump very negatively on: January 22, 2017, 02:58:25 am
True. Though, as far as the distance and failure to observably interfere is concerned, that is changing rapidly.
Correct. Ukraine is now utterly outside the Russian sphere of influence and Belarus is rapidly going in the same direction.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Top Dem and Rep results, by state on: January 22, 2017, 02:17:45 am
I'm going to try Michigan since 1960.  Most D county is in red, most R county is in blue, and the election year is colored for the statewide winner:

1960: Wayne (66.0%) Missaukee (79.8%)
1964: Wayne (76.0%) Missaukee (58.1%)
1968: Wayne (63.2%) Missaukee (67.7%)
1972: Sanilac (72.9%) Wayne (53.3%)
1976: Ottawa (74.1%) Gogebic (61.0%)
1980: Ottawa (67.9%) Wayne (51.2%)
1984: Ottawa (79.7%) Gogebic (58.0%)
1988: Ottawa (76.2%) Wayne (60.2%)
1992: Wayne (60.4%) Ottawa (59.1%)
1996: Wayne (69.0%) Ottawa (64.4%)
2000: Wayne (69.0%) Ottawa (71.2%)
2004: Wayne (69.4%) Ottawa (71.6%)
2008: Wayne (74.0%) Ottawa (61.0%)
2012: Wayne (72.8%) Ottawa (66.4%)
2016: Missaukee (73.6%) Washtenaw (67.6%)
Extending this series back as far as this source has information:

1956: Sanilac (78.9%) Wayne (57.9%)
1952: Sanilac (82.5%) Wayne (57.4%)
1948: Sanilac (77.7%) Wayne (57.9%)
1944: Wayne (63.4%) Sanilac (82.1%)
1940: Sanilac (82.1%) Alger (63.8%)
1936: Genesee (67.5%) Sanilac (63.2%)
1932: Macomb (63.7%) Keweenaw (72.5%)
1928: Missaukee (87.2%) Delta (49.6%)
1924: Keweenaw (91.2%) Monroe (32.4%)
1920: Keweenaw (90.2%) Manistee (47.8%)
1916: Keweenaw (76.6%) Kent (53.7%)
1912: Iron (45.2%) Mackinac (41.3%)
1864: Grand Traverse (81.9%) Mackinac (86.1%)
1860: Midland (78.5%) Emmet (84.9%)
1856: Midland (78.5%) Sanilac (79.9%)

Roosevelt's best county in 1912 was Muskegon (52.3%). LaFollette's best county was Delta (44%).
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Top Dem and Rep results, by state on: January 22, 2017, 01:26:13 am
An update after the 2016 election. Most Democratic county is on the left and most Republican on the right. * marks change from 2012.
...

Some notable most Democratic/Republican county streaks: Madison county, most Republican in Idaho since 1976 (though it did became McMullin's best county this time around), Lake county - most Democratic in Indiana since 1984, Ottawa - most Republican in Michigan since 1976 (it has now fallen to 31st place), Wayne - most Democratic in Michigan all but two times (1976 and 1984) since 1960, Sioux - most Republican in Iowa since at least 1956 and Wyandotte - most Democratic in Kansas since 1968.

Sioux/Lyon, IA is a case of the former having higher conservative third-party vote. If add McMullin to Trump, Madison, ID is beaten out by Franklin.
For the sake of consistency, I'm following the criteria used by Lewis: highest percentage, not margin.

9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Most impressive state wins since 1992 on: January 14, 2017, 03:32:20 pm
There is Clinton winning California by nearly 30%, the best Democratic result in 80 years.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: In which states did Lyndon Johnson win the white vote? Goldwater? on: January 10, 2017, 05:33:06 am
Based on the demographics at the time Johnson almost certainly won the white vote in all states outside the South (except Arizona of course), with the very unlikely exception of Idaho. In the south he certainly won the white vote in Kentucky, West Virginia, Maryland and Delaware. He probably won the white vote in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee and North Carolina, but probably lost it in Florida.
11  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: International demographic/voting trends on: January 08, 2017, 09:50:20 am
I seem to remember seeing that in Italy, PD actually does best among the oldest age groups, which is pretty unique for left-wing parties.
This is very common in Eastern Europe. In my country there's even a saying "red Granny".
12  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: US House Redistricting: General on: January 08, 2017, 09:26:50 am
Appointed commissions and courts controlled the drawing of 219 out of 435 US House districts in the last redistricting cycle. Elected Republican officials controlled less than one third with Democrat elected officials the rest. The fact that these appointed officials and courts generally favored Democrats in this cycle was the main reason for the eight seat gain Democrats had in 2012.
Where exactly did you get these figures? In reality, the redistricting of 218 districts was held by the Republicans, 46 by the Democrats and the other 164 by independent commissions and courts. And the actual reason the Democrats gained eight seats was because they did much better in the 2012 election, actually winning the popular vote instead of losing by 7% as in 2010. In fact, Republican Gerrymandering cost the Democrats at least six seats.

13  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: The United States, in population units of Canada (interesting map) on: January 05, 2017, 11:25:31 am
Eyeballing it is tricky.

Safe Clinton:

Red Canada in CA.
Red Canada in the NE.
Blue Canada in the NE.

Probably Clinton, but I can't tell for sure:

Yellow Canada in Midwest: Chicago probably outweighs everything else.
Yellow Canada in West: I think that the West Coast + Colorado means that that's a Clinton state.

Probably Trump:

Red Canada in Midwest.

Definitely Trump:

White Canada in Southwest.
Blue Canada in Southeast.
Red Canada in Southeast (South Carolina pushes it over, though it's a closer state than one might imagine).
How about the White Canada in the East? I would say it's definitely Trump.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: U.N Security Council passes resolution Israeli settlements; the U.S doesn't veto on: January 04, 2017, 01:38:29 am
Obama really disappointed me with this decision. It sounds like nothing more than spite and a nod to the Democratic Party's increasing anti-Israel posture.

I'll say it: Israel has an unabridged right to its territories, including Jerusalem, the West Bank, and the entirety of Israel. It is further in the interests of the United States to favor one of the few allies in the region that favors our success in the War on Radical Islam and has a population that supports our victory unconditionally.

There is absolutely no reason to cede any of these territories to the Palestinians, a group of people that could be homed by any of the Gulf State peoples or any of the Arabic nations around Israel. I am not for a two state solution; I am for a one state solution, named Israel. 
If nothing else, one has to admire this post for honestly stating what many Israeli nationalists and their supporters want but are (for now) don't dare to state openly: complete annexation of the West Bank and full ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians.

Like I said, the ongoing attempts by leftists to fictionalize a coming Israeli-perpetrated genocide that never actually seems to happen, because "this clearly means something has to be DONE!!!" is genuinely disturbing and very reminiscent of the way throughout history the Jews are supposedly always thisclose to our secret, evil nefarious plot and thus must be dealt with.
No one is talking about genocide here. Just the deportation of the Palestinians from the West Bank. And while this scenario is for now indeed mostly discussed on the Internet, there are in fact high ranking Israelis who have already openly stated support for such plans. And if Israel's current policy continues, this plan will only become more popular.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: U.N Security Council passes resolution Israeli settlements; the U.S doesn't veto on: January 03, 2017, 05:23:10 pm
Obama really disappointed me with this decision. It sounds like nothing more than spite and a nod to the Democratic Party's increasing anti-Israel posture.

I'll say it: Israel has an unabridged right to its territories, including Jerusalem, the West Bank, and the entirety of Israel. It is further in the interests of the United States to favor one of the few allies in the region that favors our success in the War on Radical Islam and has a population that supports our victory unconditionally.

There is absolutely no reason to cede any of these territories to the Palestinians, a group of people that could be homed by any of the Gulf State peoples or any of the Arabic nations around Israel. I am not for a two state solution; I am for a one state solution, named Israel. 
If nothing else, one has to admire this post for honestly stating what many Israeli nationalists and their supporters want but are (for now) don't dare to state openly: complete annexation of the West Bank and full ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Politico: Putin's Long Game on: January 03, 2017, 04:35:34 pm
Preposterous hysteria. It seems every nonsense written about Russia - wild conspiracy theories, absurd dreams about invasion, ridiculous accusations (Russia's responsible for the migrant crisis?!) - since the beginning of 2014 has been crammed into just one article. Not surprising when the author was the advisor of Saakashvilli.

It only said they were inflaming the situation, as it is destabilizing the old world order in Europe.
By this logic, you could also levy the same charges against the United States who were directly or indirectly supporting the Syrian opposition before Russia sent forces to help Assad.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Politico: Putin's Long Game on: January 03, 2017, 10:09:18 am
Preposterous hysteria. It seems every nonsense written about Russia - wild conspiracy theories, absurd dreams about invasion, ridiculous accusations (Russia's responsible for the migrant crisis?!) - since the beginning of 2014 has been crammed into just one article. Not surprising when the author was the advisor of Saakashvilli.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: how many counties did trump win that were last one by nixon for the GOP? on: January 02, 2017, 07:31:47 am
Here is a list of all counties that flipped and the length of the streak of voting for the same party which was broken now. The answer is nineteen.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: CA: 2016 Referendum General Election Result on: December 31, 2016, 03:24:26 pm
I'd like to see the condom initiative map.


Looking at the map, I have a feeling that a lot of conservative Californians saw the words "Adult film" and voted No without bothering to read any further.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: December 31, 2016, 03:30:41 am
Interesting how there are far fewer Dem streaks than Rep streaks as the latter has many rural counties outside the South. Here are the longest Dem streaks:

Brooks, TX (Since 1908, i.e. every time since the county was founded in 1911)

Northampton, NC (Never R in Atlas history which dates to 1924)

Costilla, CO; Suffolk, MA; Ramsey, MN; St. Louis City, MO; Deer Lodge, MT; Bronx, NY; Kings, NY; New York, NY (since 1924)

Duval, TX, Jim Hogg, TX, Maverick, TX, Starr, TX, Webb, TX, Zapata, TX (never R in consecutive Atlas history which dates to 1940, though Webb and Zapata voted R in 1912)

All are Northern urban or majority-minority except for Deer Lodge, MT.
Starr started its streak in 1896 (currently the longest Democratic streak), Northampton in 1900, Duval in 1904, Webb and Jim Hogg in 1916 (the latter was only founded in 1913) and Zapata in 1924. Here is the full list and you can also check the maps for each year.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: December 30, 2016, 04:23:59 pm
Thank you for this!


Illinois

D: Cook, St. Clair (since 1972)
R: Edwards, Lee, Ogle (I in 1912, never D in the history of the Atlas which goes back to 1892)

Interesting, Edwards County last voted D in 1832, Lee County in 1852.  Ogle County has never once voted for a Democrat for President.  geoelections.free.fr/USA/elec_comtes/1852.htm

All 3 counties voted for Teddy Roosevelt in 1912 like you mentioned, but otherwise have all voted Republican since 1856.  Even though they are 300 miles apart!


What's interesting about Edwards county is that it's in southern Illinois, for a long time a Democratic stronghold, so it is starkly contrasted with the Democratic counties surrounding it on many election maps.

I really don't know much about this, but I remember reading that - while Democrats certainly held most of the power in Southern Illinois - it depended on the geography.  Contrary to popular belief, the southern third of Illinois is pretty different from Northern and Central Illinois, and it isn't just a bunch of cornfields.  There were coal mines there, several areas of swampland and the Shawnee National Forest; it's actually quite beautiful.  Anyway, I remember reading one time that the areas with good farming tended to be more Republican in the traditionally conservative Midwestern mold and the areas with less corn tended to be more Southernized and Democratic ... not sure how I could back that up, though, too lazy to look at the maps. Tongue
Well, if we're discussing maps, I was thinking of this map (or any map up to and including 1892 for that matter) where Edwards county is entirely surrounded by Democratic counties. It seems that while there were always Republican areas in southern Illinois, the southeast was particularly strongly democratic, except for Edwards.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: December 30, 2016, 04:19:36 am
Thank you for this!


Illinois

D: Cook, St. Clair (since 1972)
R: Edwards, Lee, Ogle (I in 1912, never D in the history of the Atlas which goes back to 1892)

Interesting, Edwards County last voted D in 1832, Lee County in 1852.  Ogle County has never once voted for a Democrat for President.  geoelections.free.fr/USA/elec_comtes/1852.htm

All 3 counties voted for Teddy Roosevelt in 1912 like you mentioned, but otherwise have all voted Republican since 1856.  Even though they are 300 miles apart!


What's interesting about Edwards county is that it's in southern Illinois, for a long time a Democratic stronghold, so it is starkly contrasted with the Democratic counties surrounding it on many election maps.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / WI: 2012 Gubernatorial Democratic Primary Election Result on: December 29, 2016, 04:29:00 am
New Election: 2012 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary Election Results
    
    

These are the results of the Democratic primary for the 2012 recall election.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Humphrey '68 - Bush '92 - Gore '00 counties on: December 28, 2016, 06:22:40 am
I can not give a 100% guarantee, but I'm fairly certain that Macomb was the only one such county.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: December 28, 2016, 06:20:50 am
Based on this list and this series of maps, some additions to Nym's list (not including those counties already mentioned by other users):

Kentucky

R: Clay, Owsley (Since 1860, though both of these counties were substantially bigger at the time

Texas

D: Brooks (Since 1908, ie every time since the county was founded in 1911)

West Virginia:

R: Morgan (Since 1860)
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