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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / First!!! on: November 08, 2016, 02:29:43 pm
Rubio will beat Clinton
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - RESULTS on: November 07, 2016, 10:38:08 pm
Thanks for all the work you put into this. Smiley
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton supporters, what state are you most worried about? on: November 07, 2016, 11:13:40 am
North Carolina.  It was the last state I colored in on my map.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: BREAKING: After review of e-mails FBI doesn't change decision on Hillary on: November 06, 2016, 03:49:57 pm
NBC went to a special report.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What TV station will you be watching for E-Night Results? on: November 06, 2016, 09:13:05 am
A lot of flipping around.  Mostly CNN & MSNBC.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538 Model Megathread on: November 05, 2016, 06:23:59 pm
Nate is under a lot of pressure.  He went 51 for 51 four years ago, and now his model is giving him numbers he know don't add up, and he's handcuffed.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538 Model Megathread on: November 04, 2016, 04:58:44 pm
Nate is getting salty.

---------------------------------------------------------------------
Matthew Dowd @matthewjdowd
How do sketchy states polls have more impact on "data" odds sites (like 538) in this election than actual early vote results?  Bizarre.


Nate Silver @NateSilver538
32s
Next time we'll try the tried-and-true method of making sh**t up as we go along.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-W&M/TargetSmart: Clinton +8 on: November 01, 2016, 09:09:39 pm
While it would be awesome if true, gonna need some more info to back this up.

Agreed.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: AK-Craciun Research: Clinton +4 on: October 29, 2016, 09:14:22 pm
I'd love this, But I think it's too good to be true.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 29, 2016, 10:06:19 am
yeah.....it is.

which brings me to the question.....does that mean you americans are able to vote right now but not between next friday and tuesday?

Yes. Smiley
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 27, 2016, 08:21:24 pm
WBAL Baltimore News
@wbaltv11
Final update per MD State Board of Elections: 125,914 voters checked-in day one of early voting. Entire early voting period in 2012: 107,385
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The absentee/early vote thread on: October 26, 2016, 09:24:25 pm
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn:

Clinton has an even larger 66 to 28 percent lead among those early voters (n=47) who did not vote in the 2012 election.

Re:North Carolina
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of this 538 Snake on: October 25, 2016, 06:13:54 pm
I like it.  The order of states notwithstanding, it's an easy way to see the tipping point state.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Any chance Hillary breaks 400 EV's? on: October 25, 2016, 05:31:41 pm
I only have her at 340.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Election night TV choice on: October 22, 2016, 09:21:56 am
I'm wondering if its a good idea to go to a bar and watch election results like I'm there watching a football game?

Sounds like Trouble.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Counties to watch in the 7-7:30 PM states on: October 22, 2016, 08:05:08 am
Bumped because we're 17 days out.  Smiley
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Election night TV choice on: October 22, 2016, 07:03:14 am
MSNBC.  Brian Williams and Rachel Maddow are the Spencer Tracy and Katharine Hepburn of our times.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Evan McMullin does win Utah... on: October 19, 2016, 06:22:42 am
Green
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rigging it for Hillary (literally): It starts in Indiana (!) on: October 18, 2016, 09:34:03 pm
It should start in Indiana. The polls close there first.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump calls for congressional term limits on: October 18, 2016, 05:18:03 pm
I'm sure congressional Republicans will LOVE being asked about this. 
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What will be Bill Clinton's role as First Gentleman be? on: October 16, 2016, 12:00:43 pm
Campaigning hard for the Democrats in the 2022 Midterms after it's revealed that President Clinton had an affair with a 20 year old (Male) Intern.

Which, by the way, would be awesome. Smiley
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Utah on: October 15, 2016, 10:28:37 am
Toss up

McMullin  34
Trump     30
Clinton    28
Johnson   7
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will the Clintons be sad when Hillary loses Arkansas? on: October 15, 2016, 10:19:44 am
Yes, But Florida will cheer them up.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Donald Trump get below 42% of the vote? on: October 15, 2016, 08:30:42 am
I think he'll get to 41%
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Survey USA: Texas - Trump +4 on: October 13, 2016, 10:10:25 pm
Toss-up Texas.   Smiley
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