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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 23, 2016, 04:08:48 am
Here's a national county map:



Gave Johnson Carbon county, UT due to vote splitting and protest vote, and Fairbanks borough, AK.

Under really good circumstances, I could see Gary Johnson coming close in some of the really low-population boroughs in Alaska.  He'd have to get Perot 1992-esque margins to actually win any of them, so I really doubt he'll carry one of it's few population centers.  Also, you have a couple of the coastal ones going Republican, both of which have large Native American populations and voted for Obama twice.  The same is true for Blaine County, Idaho.  You also have Milwaukee and Sacramento going for Trump, and I think you colored in the wrong counties for metro Atlanta.  

Other than a couple other details I admit this map is plausible if Trump were to outperform his current polling numbers (although I'm skeptical that he will, only time will tell ).  Just out of curiosity, how do you upload your maps to the Gallery?  The image doesn't seem quite as crisp.  I usually save my maps and upload them as .png, if that helps.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 21, 2016, 10:30:11 pm
Here's a national map I threw together assuming Clinton keeps her 6%-8% point national lead on election day.  No margins, sorry.  Tongue



I never realized it till I saw your map, but I think this is the year that Elliott KY finally flips.

Yep, that was a tough call.  I hope I didn't misstep by putting Marion County in the Clinton column, but it didn't swing insanely Republican last time and was pretty marginal in the past few elections.  
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 21, 2016, 10:24:13 pm
Here's a national map I threw together assuming Clinton keeps her 6%-8% point national lead on election day.  No margins, sorry.  Tongue



I have a lot of quarrels with this map, but nonetheless it's your prediction. How did you make this exactly?

I just used the Atlas archives+general knowledge of political geography and demographics (which I learned from Atlas to begin with)+recent state and national polls.   That's about it.  
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UPDATED: County maps w/ Margins on: August 21, 2016, 10:02:06 pm
Here's a national map I threw together assuming Clinton keeps her 6%-8% point national lead on election day.  No margins, sorry.  Tongue

5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Arizona on: August 21, 2016, 04:19:02 am
Lean R

Trump 50
Clinton 46
6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: August 2016 House of Representative Elections on: August 20, 2016, 02:07:03 pm
[ 1 ] 1184AZ of Washington
Labor Party
[ 2 ] Clyde1998 of Massachusetts
Labor Party
[ 5 ] evergreen of Illinois
Labor Party
[ 3 ] Peebs of North Carolina
Labor Party
[ 4 ] NeverAgain of Virginia
Labor Party
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Which candidate will sell the most Halloween masks? on: August 19, 2016, 12:53:37 am
Or "Which candidate will win the election?"  Discuss. 
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '15: The Calm Before the Drizzle on: August 11, 2016, 06:52:27 pm
The difference between Bellingham and Lynden is huge. I wonder if the 42nd is one of the most polarized districts in the state?

Without a doubt.  Tongue  lol  I just wish it included more of Bellingham.  Obama got a plurality of it's votes last time around, but all of it's legislators are Republicans.  Redistricting after the 2010 wave certainly helped them.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '15: The Calm Before the Drizzle on: August 11, 2016, 06:34:13 pm
Precinct map for the 42nd LD's first house position.  The Incumbent Republican won 52%-40%.

10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CBS News/YouGov: Close races in AZ & NV, Hillary way ahead in VA on: August 07, 2016, 04:46:21 pm
How many people in Nevada have switched out of landlines in the past 4 years? 
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who wins NE-2? on: July 29, 2016, 06:54:46 pm
Did Obama spend any money in Omaha during 2012?  I know Hillary is pouring resources into it this year, so I don't think a Democratic victory is completely out of the question. 
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic National Convention days 3 and 4 **live commentary thread** on: July 28, 2016, 09:27:53 pm
When is Hillary's speech?
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PA-Suffolk: Clinton +9 on: July 28, 2016, 08:36:44 pm
OH THANK GOD
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: July 2016 Fremont Elections VOTING BOOTH on: July 17, 2016, 03:32:11 pm
Fremont Governor
[  2 ] tedbessell
[  1 ] Write-in: 1184AZ

Fremont Council:
[  1 ] 1184AZ
[  6 ] GAWorth
[  5 ] Heisenberg
[  2 ] Pikachu
[  4 ] RFayette
[  3 ] TN volunteer

Constitutional Amendment:
[ X] AYE
[   ] NAY
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-23: Anzalone-Liszt (D): Rep. Hurd (R) losing rematch on: July 12, 2016, 01:09:16 am
No surprise whatsoever, for both races.   
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Salt Lake City? on: July 11, 2016, 01:36:05 am
Obama actually won Salt Lake City twice (the first time 70%-30%, the next time probably about 60%-40%), it's just the county as a whole which voted for Romney.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Shots fired at BLM protest in downtown Dallas, TX on: July 09, 2016, 06:54:39 pm
Dallas Police Headquarters is under some sort of lockdown, and SWAT teams have surrounded a parking garage while press are being evacuated.

Link please? 
It was on Fox.

Here's a link from CBS:

http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2016/07/09/threat-made-on-dallas-police-headquarters-swat-on-scene/
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Shots fired at BLM protest in downtown Dallas, TX on: July 09, 2016, 05:57:30 pm
Dallas Police Headquarters is under some sort of lockdown, and SWAT teams have surrounded a parking garage while press are being evacuated.

Link please? 
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: July 09, 2016, 05:09:42 pm

Great, thank you! 
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: July 09, 2016, 04:55:45 pm
Final map:

21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: TX-University of Texas/Texas Politics Project: Trump +8 on: July 01, 2016, 09:13:44 pm
Back in 2012 there were at least a couple polls showing Romney only beating Obama by about eight points in March, only for Romney to win the state by 16% points in November.  I'm not holding my breath. 
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: June 2016 Federal Election on: June 27, 2016, 12:02:59 am

PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT OF ATLASIA


[ 2 ] Leinad/Lumine
Federalist Party/Civic Renewal



[ 1 ] Harry Truman/Kalwejt
Labor Party



[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________



[  ] None of the above
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: June 19, 2016, 07:00:22 pm
Fuzzy, PA is different in your black-background map and your blue/beige (my) background map. One of the districts flipped and another went from >40% Clinton to >50% Clinton.

Hmm, the source I used said Bernie only won PA-5.

http://bl.ocks.org/alecrajeev/raw/d493b7c79456c3987d73/d6314a005f253155d5b47af9e0b7f79f6e2f5a02/
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: June 18, 2016, 12:58:38 pm
I've made all the available updates to our 2016 Democratic map.  Bernie Sanders was actually able to flip three more congressional districts (CA-13, CA-20, and CA-46).  There are a handful more where he's only down a couple points, and with 1.2 million ballots still out he'll probably flip a couple more (CA-34 would be his best bet).  Still no accurate data for New Jersey.

25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How Did Ronald Reagan do so well with young Voters on: June 16, 2016, 02:00:04 am
cocaine 
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