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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: December 04, 2016, 09:05:27 pm
Has anyone done Pennsylvania yet? Because I'm close to 100% sure that Costello is a Clinton Republican.

Mr. Phips has it as 50%-45% Trump.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 30, 2016, 07:33:22 pm
As of 12/2:

3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 30, 2016, 06:10:32 pm
Ohio's 13th district, Tom Ryan's, voted for trump by 6 according to NPR. Someone needs to fix the map and we all need to start taking Atlas calculations with a grain of salt.

We never calculated the results for OH-13, the only reference I know of was from a Daily Kos blog. 
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 30, 2016, 04:56:05 am
WA-6: 49.2% Clinton, 41.2% Trump

I got 52/39 Clinton.

Ahh, I just double checked and their was an error in my excel sheet.  My bad, you're right.   
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 30, 2016, 04:53:56 am
WA-2: 57.5% Clinton, 34.2% Trump
WA-3: 49.9% Trump, 42.5% Clinton
WA-4: 57.9% Trump, 35.1% Clinton
WA-6: 49.2% Clinton, 41.2% Trump
WA-10: 52.8% Clinton,  38.1% Trump
You know if those numbers are going to change any more going forward?

I don't believe so, the SOS says that the counties in all those districts have finalized their tallies. 
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 30, 2016, 12:33:25 am
WA-3: 49.9% Trump, 42.5% Clinton
WA-4: 57.9% Trump, 35.1% Clinton
WA-6: 51.5% Clinton, 39.2% Trump
WA-10: 52.8% Clinton,  38.1% Trump
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Miles' Election Map Thread on: November 29, 2016, 07:14:15 am
FWIW, HRC carried Salt Lake City itself with 66% to Trump's 16% and McMullin's 11%.


I'll have to look for St. Louis shapefiles, but it works I'll post it.
Hey! Do you know what the results of the City were for Romney v. Obama? I'm interested in those.

It was probably 60%-40% Obama, or something close to that.  It was about 68%-29% in 2008.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 29, 2016, 04:42:43 am
IL-03

HRC - 55.9%
Trump - 39.2%

Better than I expected for Hillary.

What are the numbers for IL-6?   Is there a list by state anywhere?
AZ-01: Trump 46.7, Clinton 45.5, Johnson 4.0
AZ-02: Clinton 48.6, Trump 43.8, Johnson 4.0
AZ-03: Clinton 61.6, Trump 32.0, Johnson 3.4
AZ-04: Trump 66.7, Clinton 27.1, Johnson 3.6
AZ-05: Trump 56.1, Clinton 35.5, Johnson 4.6
AZ-06: Trump 51.6, Clinton 41.7, Johnson 4.0
AZ-07: Clinton 70.5, Trump 22.4, Johnson 3.7
AZ-08: Trump 57.2, Clinton 36.3, Johnson 3.8
AZ-09: Clinton 53.4, Trump 37.7, Johnson 5.1

Stein's best CD was AZ-09; Write-ins (vast majority for McMullin) were best in AZ-05.

Awesome, thank you!
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 28, 2016, 06:51:24 pm
IL-03

HRC - 55.9%
Trump - 39.2%

Better than I expected for Hillary.

What are the numbers for IL-6?   Is there a list by state anywhere?

Clinton won Roskam's CD and it wasn't particularly close.  It could be a Dem target going forward.

It was 47.6%-45.1% Clinton.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 25, 2016, 10:54:28 pm
Not sure if these were posted (these are from Orange County's registrar as of Wednesday)

CA-45: Clinton 47.37, Trump 42.78
CA-48: Clinton 45.90, Trump 44.16



Holy crap, did she sweep southern CA (south of Kern County) then?

CA-42 and CA-50 are the only districts in SoCal that Trump carried. CA-8 is another one, but it also stretches out into the desert and to the north, so it has a little less of a SoCal influence. Not a single Trump district touches the coast.

Do you have the numbers for those districts as well?
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 25, 2016, 08:50:14 pm
Whoops, sorry, forgot WA-3.  Is it still under 50% Trump, publicunofficial? 
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 25, 2016, 06:56:05 pm
More districts from Mr. Phips:

MI-09:  50.1%-45.5% Clinton
UT-04:  39.5%-34.4% Trump
IL-13:  50.6%-42.3% Trump
IL-14:  49.4%-43.5% Trump
CA-10:  48.8%-47.5% Clinton
CA-21:  53.9%-39.3% Clinton
CA-25:  50.0%-44.0% Clinton (FLIP)
CA-39:  50.5%-43.8% Clinton (FLIP)
CA-49:  50%-44.1% Clinton (FLIP)
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 25, 2016, 06:52:02 pm
I saw a map that had TX-24 as a Clinton win. Anyone have the numbers there? Or for TX-23?

That map on Wikipedia is pretty inaccurate.  They also had FL-24 as a Trump district, which is a majority black and gave Obama 85% of the vote.  

Edit: And TX-23 was 49.5%-46.2% Clinton.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Dems in Trump CD's; Reps in Clinton CD's on: November 23, 2016, 12:10:29 am
Dave Reichert (R) in WA-8.  Mr. Phips had Hillary up there by 7% just a few days ago, and the most recent county tabulations don't point to any real change.  
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 21, 2016, 02:53:55 am
OR-1: Clinton 55.2%, Trump 33%

I think Trump carried the 5th. Just looking at it I can tell.

Nope. 45%-44% Clinton apparently.

Kinda like IL-17 or OH-13. Tough gerrymander to beat.

Whoops, I got it mixed up with OR-4.  Sorry lol
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Miles' Election Map Thread on: November 21, 2016, 01:36:36 am
^ Yep!

Clinton - 65.9%
Trump - 28.5%
Other - 5.6%

Thanks!  Grin Grin Grin Grin
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 21, 2016, 01:33:37 am
OR-1: Clinton 55.2%, Trump 33%

I think Trump carried the 5th. Just looking at it I can tell.

Certainly looks possible, looking at the county swing map.  I would tabulate the results too, if it wasn't for the fact that a bunch of counties have yet to release any precinct data.  Tongue
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Miles' Election Map Thread on: November 21, 2016, 01:28:46 am
You wouldn't happen to have the results for OH-3, would you?  Wink
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 21, 2016, 12:11:45 am
OR-1: Clinton 55.2%, Trump 33%
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 20, 2016, 11:59:41 pm
FL-13: Clinton 51.7%, Trump 48.3%

Charlie Crist, for all the talk of him being popular in Pinellas, ran 0.2% ahead of Clinton.

Do you have the third party vote?

Not my calculations, got it (again) from Greg Giroux on Twitter.

Ahh, ok. 
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 20, 2016, 11:52:42 pm
FL-13: Clinton 51.7%, Trump 48.3%

Charlie Crist, for all the talk of him being popular in Pinellas, ran 0.2% ahead of Clinton.

Do you have the third party vote?
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 20, 2016, 08:29:28 pm
Btw I did West Virginia:

WV-1: 67.20% Trump, 26.08% Clinton
WV-2: 64.96% Trump, 29.03% Clinton
WV-3: 71.87% Trump, 23.02% Clinton  (!!!!!!)
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 20, 2016, 07:14:40 pm
Also, other seats I'm curious to see the numbers on:

MI-05
SC-01
CT-05
She won the 5th, but it was close.  Just by going by whole counties she had about a 3000 vote lead.  And the most republican parts of Saginaw county are taken out.

Not sure about the others.

Did she cross the 50% threshold with whole counties? 
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 20, 2016, 07:13:57 pm
More numbers from Mr. Phips:

MD-06:  54%-40% Clinton
UT-02:  40%-34% Trump
AL-02:  65%-32% Trump
AL-05:  64%-31% Trump
IL-12:  54%-40% Trump (FLIP)
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: A Congressional District Series: Alabama's 1st on: November 19, 2016, 10:54:43 pm
Demographic Data:

68% White, 28% Black, 1% Hispanic

Median income: $34,739

District Created: 1823


Political Data:

PVI: R+15

Last election won by current opposing party: 1960 (Frank Boykin)

2008: McCain 61, Obama 39
2012: Romney 62, Obama 37
2016: Trump 63, Clinton 34 (worst result by a Democrat since at least 1988)

(If this is helpful I'll try to do it for each of these)

Do you have the results for all the Alabama districts for 2016, LLR?

Sorry about being late - they're on Wikipedia



Demographic Data:

68% White, 28% Black, 1% Hispanic

Median income: $34,739

District Created: 1823


Political Data:

PVI: R+15

Last election won by current opposing party: 1960 (Frank Boykin)

2008: McCain 61, Obama 39
2012: Romney 62, Obama 37
2016: Trump 63, Clinton 34 (worst result by a Democrat since at least 1988)

(If this is helpful I'll try to do it for each of these)

Only problem with this is the district lines have changed, so 1960 might not be te same district it is today.

That only effects one or two of the things here.

I checked out the other districts on Wikipedia, and they all say Trump won 63%-35% each, except for the 7th, which they have at 63%-34% Clinton.  Definitely looks fraudulent.  Tongue
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