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August 19, 2017, 12:35:42 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rate It: IL-10 in 2018 on: August 05, 2017, 03:41:29 pm
Safe D.  It's a Trump midterm in a district Clinton won by almost 30% points.  The only way a Republican wins is if Alexi Giannoulias is the Democratic nominee. 
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: August 01, 2017, 09:52:45 pm
U.S. House Elections, 12/22/1788-3/5/1789:



North Carolina Results N/A.  At large seats are colored >20%.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: August 01, 2017, 01:53:01 pm
Thanks Shua, I'll have it up today.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Wyoming on: July 30, 2017, 02:32:01 am
Just out of curiosity, how many people here have visited Wyoming?
5  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : July 2017 special election on: July 07, 2017, 07:37:44 pm
Senate

1.) Alpha
2.) 1184AZ


Ballot measure: Yes
6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: June 2017 Federal Election on: June 25, 2017, 07:29:38 pm
PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT OF ATLASIA
1. Clyde/Siren
2. dfw/Goldwater

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - NINE SEATS
1. Poirot
2. Dr Novella
3. Peebs
4. OneJ
5. Alpha
6. cxs018
7. Leinad
8. fhtagn
9. Pessimistic Antineutrino
7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth : June 2017 elections on: June 25, 2017, 07:28:46 pm
COMMONWEALTH OF FREMONT
JUNE 2017 ELECTION
OFFICIAL BALLOT


FOR SENATE (CLASS I)

[1] Roy Barnes 2010 of Washington
Democratic Alliance - Labor Party

[   ] Wulfric of Arizona
Independent

[2] Write-in E.G. Whitlam AC QC


FOR PRIME MINISTER

[1] Harry S Truman of North Dakota
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[2] Write-in Pitt the Younger


FOR HOUSE OF COMMONS

[2] anty1691 of California
Independent - Labor Party

[1] HenryWallaceVP of Iowa
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[3] RFayette of Iowa
Independent - Atlas Conservative Party
BALLOT MEASURE 1
Text: [The proposed Grammatical Accuracy Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia may be read here.]
Question: Shall the proposed Grammatical Accuracy Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia be ratified?

[X] YES

[   ] NO

[   ] ABSTAIN


BALLOT MEASURE 2
Text: [The proposed Voting Rights Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia may be read here.]
Question: Shall the proposed Voting Rights Amendment to the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia be ratified?

[X] YES

[   ] NO

[   ] ABSTAIN

8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Georgia went R on: June 22, 2017, 11:03:56 am
Dems ran the pre 2016 campaign strategy....to no one's surprise it failed epically.

This is all that needs to be said.  This "suburban strategy" will crash and burn, and the GOP will become more invincible to it as the party evolves over the next 30 years.  Sorry, but that's just the truth.

GA-06 election results
Romney +23

Handel +3

Clearly the Democrats aren't making any inroads.

I love how you skipped the "Trump +1" part. I agree that this area is trending Democratic and that GA should be a blue state by 2024 or 2028, though.

To be fair, Rubio probably would've won this district by 6-10%.  Tongue
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Georgia went R on: June 21, 2017, 12:25:45 am
Because it's the dna of the place
Attack ads in the later stages of the race, along with the fact that it's a traditionally Republican district.

Yes.  Trump was literally the worst Republican fit for this district (other than Ted Cruz), and even he won it.  It's really not a surprise that a Republican with less baggage would end up doing better.  Remember, this district was 60%+ Romney in 2012; it's still impressive that Ossoff only lost it by 4%, even with his numerous "advantages."
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: June 05, 2017, 07:31:57 pm
Does anyone have data for the results of the 2000 election using the district lines that were in effect then? All I can find were the results by the district lines in 2006.

This was actually posted in the archieves on the previous page:
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could Dave Reichert finally be defeated in 2018? on: June 04, 2017, 06:49:44 pm
"Likely Republican"

-Me
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:41:26 pm
Did Quist do something to piss off the people of Big Horn County?  
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25 on: May 25, 2017, 10:23:58 pm
So I guess the only chance for Quist to win is to close the gap in Billings+get remaining Missoula precincts+Silver Bow+favorable election day vote overall.  
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Generic Congressional Ballot Megathread on: May 15, 2017, 07:57:00 pm
Politico Pro is reporting that House Majority PAC released internals on 3 Trump GOP reps who are all losing to "unnamed democrats" take it with a grain of salt obviously but:

IA-01: Blum trails 32-47

MI-06: Upton behind 37-41

ME-02: Poliquin down 43-44

(all against unnamed Democrat)

From @AliLapp on twitter
I was watching a video of protesting in Fred Upton's district. Obama won the district in 2012, so I wouldn't doubt it given a favorable national mood.

He won it in 2008.  Romney won the 6th 50%-49%. 
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / New York 2004-2016 Comparison on: May 04, 2017, 12:56:03 am
Despite the fact that Hillary Clinton won New York by 22% points, she still won less counties than John Kerry, who did four points worse.

2004


Kerry +18.28%



2016

Clinton +22.49%




Look at that red disappear up North.  And Long Island?  Clinton was able to beat Kerry's margins by doing 10-15% points better in Manhattan, The Bronx, Brooklyn, and Westchester County.  Pretty weird.  Thoughts? 
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth: April 2017 Elections on: April 22, 2017, 03:55:07 pm
COMMONWEALTH OF FREMONT
APRIL 2017 REGIONAL ELECTION
OFFICIAL BALLOT




FOR SENATE (CLASS II)
ONE (1) to be elected.

[1] LongLiveRock of Colorado
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[2] TedBessell of California
Free Soil Party - Federalist Party

[   ] Write-in:


FOR HOUSE OF COMMONS
FIVE (5) to be elected.

[5] Anthony1691 of California
Unaffiliated - Labor Party

[3] Dr_Novella of California
Ecosocialist Party - Labor Party

[4] evergreen of Washington
Ecosocialist Party - Uncultured Marxist Party of Atlasia

[6] RFayette of California
Unaffiliated - Atlas Conservative Party

[1] Roy Barnes 2010 of Washington
Democratic Alliance - Labor Party

[2] Tirnam of California
Liberal Democracy Party - Labor Party

[   ] Write-in:

17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: April 2017 House Election on: April 22, 2017, 03:53:46 pm
REPUBLIC OF ATLASIA - In Dave We Trust
Official Ballot



HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES - NINE SEATS



[1] Clyde1998 of Massachusetts
Labor Party



[8] Dereich of Colorado
Independent



[5] drewmike87 of Wisconsin
Labor Party



[6] Leinad of Georgia
Federalist Party



[7] North Carolina Yankee of North Carolina
Federalist Party



[4] OneJ_ of Mississippi
Labor Party



[3] Peebs of North Carolina
Labor Party



[9] Pessimistic Antineutrino of New Jersey
Federalist Party



[10] Santander of Alabama
Atlas Conservative Party



[2] simossad of Minnesota
Labor Party



[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________



[  ] None of the above
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 18, 2017, 08:55:07 pm
Precincts reporting, according to SoS (Green: fully reported; Yellow: partially reported)



Is DeKalb done?  
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: April 18, 2017, 06:04:07 pm


Doubt anyone has it, or access to it, but just in case: does anyone have 1789 by congressional district? I know the law with those was messed up, but if anyone had them, that'd be great.

Ok, took some doing and converting of the GIS to KML but made a screen grab of it for you. Atlas couldn't take the clearer PNG due to file size but made a JPG of it.




Thank you, could you provide a blank map I could fill out on Paint?!  I have access to house election results for the entire county, dating back to 1789.  If you guys can get me map canvases, I can do them all.  I'll try using your website myself, but no promises. 
20  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Alabama county sherrifs on: April 14, 2017, 05:08:10 pm
So the color scheme...
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gabbard refuses to pin chemical weapons attack on Assad on: April 09, 2017, 05:47:21 pm
Jesus all the outrage over this?!? The evidence hasn't even come out yet that the Syrian government did the recent chemical attack but being cautious and waiting for the evidence to come out is reason for her to be kicked out of office?! This is goddamn insane!! It's obvious they are using this as an excuse to kick her out of Congress over her criticism over the DNC.

See:  

Casting doubt on the "maybe they bombed chemical plants, and it was released accidentally" theory:

http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-explanation-for-syria-chemical-weapons-attack-2017-4

Quote
Colonel Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, a chemical weapons expert, told the BBC on Wednesday that Russia's claim is "fanciful" and that it would be "unsustainable" for a nerve agent like Sarin gas to spread as far as it did as the result of a bombing.
.
.
.
Additionally, [Kazeta] said, the sheer volume of materials, many of them "exotic," necessary to produce sarin makes it extremely unlikely that the rebels could have stockpiled it in a large enough quantity to kill dozens of people.

"Having a quantity of any of the nerve agents relies on a sophisticated supply chain of exotic precursors and an industrial base," Kazeta wrote. "Are we to seriously believe that one of the rebel factions has expended the vast sums of money and developed this industrial base, somehow not noticed to date and not molested by attack?"

22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: March 26, 2017, 05:36:00 pm
Doubt anyone has it, or access to it, but just in case: does anyone have 1789 by congressional district? I know the law with those was messed up, but if anyone had them, that'd be great.

Nope, not me.  Sad 
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Robeson County, NC, where minorities( seem to) love Trump on: March 25, 2017, 09:28:07 pm
It looks like the whites escaped their FEMA plantations again.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did JFK do so well in Nevada in 1960? on: March 18, 2017, 02:44:50 am
Part of it was due to southern transplants, which is why Stevenson won Clarke County in 1956.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: March 12, 2017, 09:56:46 pm
A project I want to do.  Others help if you have time. 2016 under the congressional lines that were used in 2006 to 2010.



What I came up with so far.  That Redraw the states website is really coming in handy for the district that I have already.

Sorry, I should've responded sooner.  I guessed some of the other states too, if you're interested. 
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