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November 26, 2014, 04:36:15 pm
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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: Today at 05:31:32 am
I approve of all three items, btw. 
2  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 25, 2014, 03:46:50 am
Fuzzy approves.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Bill Cosby on: November 23, 2014, 10:03:15 am
And the love for opedo?  Doesn't he still have a positive FF rating, despite all the things that he did?

No.  Not even close:

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=185475.0


That's still a disturbing number of FF votes.  Tongue
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Bill Cosby on: November 23, 2014, 12:19:44 am
This is why banning people doesn't make sense.  If you're tired of a bunch of a bunch of posters being HPs (which at this point, is a respectable position), you might as well just leave instead.  

Nearly all the FF votes came out before the rape allegations were big news.

And the love for opedo?  Doesn't he still have a positive FF rating, despite all the things that he did?
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Bill Cosby on: November 22, 2014, 10:34:43 pm
This is why banning people doesn't make sense.  If you're tired of a bunch of a bunch of posters being HPs (which at this point, is a respectable position), you might as well just leave instead.  
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Bill Cosby on: November 22, 2014, 10:30:58 am
Time to leave the forum.  See ya, creeps! 
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NBC Poll: '2016 Field Is Crowded -- and Mostly Unpopular' on: November 22, 2014, 12:54:15 am
What we should be looking at two years from the election is not the polls but positives/negatives of candidates. Hillary has 40% negatives with 100% name recognition. Negatives stay. People who form a negative opinion about somebody will keep that negative opinion.

That's true.  That's why public figures with high name recognition never see their popularity change much over time.  E.g.:




Why were her approvals so low in 2000?  Do we blame wives for he sex scandals of their husbands now? 

The Lewinsky scandal made her extremely popular (see the peak in 1999), but then that quickly faded, and her 2000 Senate race brought her back down to Earth.

Also, *favorability*, not approval.


Yes, favorability, as in I still have a favorable opinion of President Obama, but I disapprove of him.


Aren't first ladies always supposed to have high favorability ratings, though?  Why would a senate run specifically change that? 
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NBC Poll: '2016 Field Is Crowded -- and Mostly Unpopular' on: November 21, 2014, 01:55:19 pm
What we should be looking at two years from the election is not the polls but positives/negatives of candidates. Hillary has 40% negatives with 100% name recognition. Negatives stay. People who form a negative opinion about somebody will keep that negative opinion.

That's true.  That's why public figures with high name recognition never see their popularity change much over time.  E.g.:




Why were her approvals so low in 2000?  Do we blame wives for he sex scandals of their husbands now? 
9  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 21, 2014, 01:40:59 am
Sorry to spam the thread, but I'd like to request that you guys add Washington State to your lists.  It's map is atrocious; it basically strings (gerrymanders) all the towns North of Seattle to make the second district safe for Democrats, and combines the Seattle suburbs with heavily Republican counties in the East (which is bad taste in the first place) to make it non-competitive:




Terrible, terrible map.  
10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 21, 2014, 01:27:06 am
Approve: Indiana, Virginia, Wisconsin, Washington
11  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 21, 2014, 01:04:34 am
So we can submit any states we want to change?
12  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Adding Congressional Maps to the Results Page on: November 20, 2014, 11:06:04 pm
Dave, can we get any input from you please? 
13  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Israeli politics general thread on: November 20, 2014, 06:44:47 am
You guys see this?

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/20/world/middleeast/israel-demolishes-family-home-of-palestinian-driver-who-killed-2-pedestrians.html?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur&bicmp=AD&bicmlukp=WT.mc_id&bicmst=1409232722000&bicmet=1419773522000&_r=1

Quote
JERUSALEM — As Israelis and Palestinians grappled on Wednesday with the new-old reality of spiraling violence, Israeli security forces revived a controversial antiterrorism policy, demolishing the East Jerusalem home of a Palestinian man who plowed his car into pedestrians last month, killing a baby and a young woman.

....

Mr. Shaloudy’s mother, Inas, said that border police officers arrived “in large numbers” at 1 a.m. and evacuated about 50 people from her five-story building and nearby structures. Huddled with the group in a protest tent, she said she heard an explosion at 4 a.m. and returned an hour later to find her apartment filled with broken glass, its inner walls destroyed, and those of her neighbors cracked.

....

Human rights groups have long condemned such demolitions as collective punishment banned by international law; the Geneva Conventions say an occupying power can destroy property only when it “is rendered absolutely necessary by military operations.”


Civilians are being punished for crimes committed by people who are already dead.  Disgusting.   

14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obamacare Silver Plans prices falling, on average, 0.2% in 48 cities on: November 20, 2014, 04:57:14 am
There is a hell of a lot of variation here, even within states. 

NYT has a map.
Quote
In about a fifth of the counties in states using the federal insurance exchange, premiums for the lowest-priced silver plans will increase by 10 percent or more. But rates for the same plans will decrease in all of Maine, Montana and New Hampshire, and most parts of Mississippi and South Dakota.

^^^Does anyone have some insight? 
15  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Adding Congressional Maps to the Results Page on: November 20, 2014, 03:32:54 am
Assuming you mean just the congressional results themselves (and not showing results for President, Governor, Senate, etc by congressional district), it'd be pretty simple stuff to replicate, depending on how this is programmed (Java, JSON, etc). If you're talking about showing various election results by congressional district, then that's going to be time-consuming to manually splice the data in counties (or precincts, for that matter) with multiple congressional districts.

I was thinking about just congressional races for starters, then maybe we could move on to other stuff if we had the time and resources.  Like you would be able to move your mouse over certain CDs and election data would pop up, kind of like how you can do that with counties on the presidential maps, yeah.  
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday, Jerry! on: November 20, 2014, 03:08:11 am
Happy birthday! 
17  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Adding Congressional Maps to the Results Page on: November 20, 2014, 02:31:49 am
That would be really cool. There's not really a source where you can find that information easily on the internet, especially not in map form. It would also allow us to have congressional predictions (and endorsements I guess).

I totally forgot about that.  That would be great, too! 
18  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Adding Congressional Maps to the Results Page on: November 20, 2014, 12:57:28 am
Is there any possible way we could do it, or would it be too time consuming and too difficult to program?  Because that would be great if we could go here to get specifics on how different districts voted. 
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 11:55:18 pm
You guys can all view the roll call here:

http://www.newspressnow.com/news/politics/ap/article_b0fa29f8-1ca4-523b-8733-680064e35d62.html

20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 11:27:42 pm
Didn't the Southern black CDs vote 'no' on Keystone?

Nah, a lot of them voted yes.  I was kind of surprised too!  Some it is kind of explainable though; Houston and New Orleans are oil cities.  The rest I don't know. 
21  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Forum Redistricting Commission on: November 19, 2014, 03:07:10 pm
me too let me in let me in nao 
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 02:58:44 pm
It looks like I'm loosing my edge, guys.  I hope you guys got me a retirement fund, because I'm just not the young, dashing stallion I used to be!   
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 02:20:26 pm
^ Shouldn't the color coding for the ACA vote be reversed?

Yes it should.  -_-  (sorry, I haven't slept in 22 hours)
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 01:19:10 pm
Questions, comments? 
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: November 19, 2014, 12:27:30 pm
House vote on the Affordable Care Act in 2010:

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