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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Describe a McGovern 1972/Cruz 2016 voter on: April 28, 2016, 04:23:18 pm
A yellow dog Democrat from Cottle County, Texas. 
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Primary winners in the biggest cities on: April 27, 2016, 12:30:32 am
You forgot Minneapolis!
3  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Whatcom County, WA Redistricting and Political Geography on: April 26, 2016, 10:10:16 pm
Btw that's actually the wrong map.  The Eastern district doesn't include Sumas or Everson or Nooksack, thankfully.

Do you have a link to the correct map?  Someone posted it on my Facebook feed the other day but I couldn't find it.

Here, this should work:

http://nwcitizen.com/entry?category=20
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) on: April 26, 2016, 08:16:46 pm
Cruz is winning Baltimore by 9 votes lol.
5  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Whatcom County, WA Redistricting and Political Geography on: April 26, 2016, 12:20:17 am
Btw that's actually the wrong map.  The Eastern district doesn't include Sumas or Everson or Nooksack, thankfully.
6  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Whatcom County, WA Redistricting and Political Geography on: April 25, 2016, 02:36:29 pm
So it looks like imgur ate all of my images while I was away.  Sad.

Well here is the official district map that was approved a few days ago:

https://wa-whatcomcounty.civicplus.com/DocumentCenter/View/17269

Should be 4-1 Democrats most of the time, but the coastal and mountain districts have been drawn to include enough GOP farmland area that they might be competitive in a good GOP year.

I don't really like the fact that the farmland district goes all the way to the city.  Pretty sure my old apartment is in it too, though the map isn't detailed enough for me to tell for sure.  

Overall they did a decent job.

Myself and others made a point to complain about Cortata being placed into the Lynden districts at the public hearing, albeit to no avail.  Although Bellingham is a little to big to fit into exactly 2 whole districts, I would have likely sacrificed the Silver Beach area of Bellingham to the Mountain district instead, as to make it slightly less Republican.  This is because under the new plan, Republican endorsed county council candidate Kathy Kershner lost her countywide election by 800 votes last year, but carried 3 out of Whatcom County's 5 districts (winning the Mountian district by 8%, the coastal by about 10%, and the Lynden district by at least 40%).  So despite the fact that Republicans are complaining, the redistricting actually turned out to give them an unfair advantage due to the way Bellingham's Northern district was drawn.

Hey, good to hear from someone following this on the ground.  And yeah, the Republicans could definitely win a majority with this map under the right circumstances.  Including Cordata in the Lynden district was pretty nonsensical imo.  The images aren't showing up here anymore (at least for me) but I demonstrated that it's very easy to draw a more Democratic-friendly map that does a better job of preserving natural communities.  That said it's also easier to draw a worse map for the Democrats.  Overall I can totally understand why you're unsatisfied with the outcome.

Luckily we still elect 2 members to our council via at-large elections, so the conservatives would have to sweep all three non-Bellingham districts and win one at-large to get a majority.  Personally I think that's a bit unlikely, since our county leans solidly Democratic.  But as you said, under the right circumstances....
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: April 24, 2016, 07:27:54 pm
Btw if you're reading this Yankee, I finally got around to fixing a whole lot of the 1980's congressional maps on wikipedia.  Wink Cheesy
8  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Whatcom County, WA Redistricting and Political Geography on: April 24, 2016, 06:03:13 pm
So it looks like imgur ate all of my images while I was away.  Sad.

Well here is the official district map that was approved a few days ago:

https://wa-whatcomcounty.civicplus.com/DocumentCenter/View/17269

Should be 4-1 Democrats most of the time, but the coastal and mountain districts have been drawn to include enough GOP farmland area that they might be competitive in a good GOP year.

I don't really like the fact that the farmland district goes all the way to the city.  Pretty sure my old apartment is in it too, though the map isn't detailed enough for me to tell for sure.  

Overall they did a decent job.

Myself and others made a point to complain about Cortata being placed into the Lynden districts at the public hearing, albeit to no avail.  Although Bellingham is a little to big to fit into exactly 2 whole districts, I would have likely sacrificed the Silver Beach area of Bellingham to the Mountain district instead, as to make it slightly less Republican.  This is because under the new plan, Republican endorsed county council candidate Kathy Kershner lost her countywide election by 800 votes last year, but carried 3 out of Whatcom County's 5 districts (winning the Mountian district by 8%, the coastal by about 10%, and the Lynden district by at least 40%).  So despite the fact that Republicans are complaining, the redistricting actually turned out to give them an unfair advantage due to the way Bellingham's Northern district was drawn.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Massacre in Ohio leaves 8 dead on: April 23, 2016, 10:37:25 pm
Don't we have a megathread for mass shootings someplace?  I don't remember where it went.  
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Massacre in Ohio leaves 8 dead on: April 23, 2016, 10:36:35 pm
From yesterday:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ohio-multiple-dead_us_571a4e74e4b0d0042da90734

Quote
At least eight Ohio relatives, including a teenager, were shot to death Friday in killings that authorities said specifically targeted the family.

The killer or killers were on the loose, but Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine said there didn’t appear to be a threat to the community.

“Each one of the victims appears to have been executed,” DeWine said. “Each one of the victims appeared to be shot in the head.”

Other relatives “should be very careful and take particular caution,” he added. Law enforcement was trying to contact other family members who live in the area to alert them to potential dangers.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: County Map Guesses for April 26th Elections on: April 23, 2016, 03:48:56 pm
Is the Pennsylvania primary going to be closed?  I have the feeling that if it is, the results will parallel those in Ohio, with Bernie Sanders winning a small handful of counties with small populations while being destroyed virtually everywhere else.  
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: April 23, 2016, 03:44:29 pm
You should use the Atlas color scheme, you traitor. Angry

Mwahahahaha! 
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 4/26 Clinton Sweep--implications? on: April 22, 2016, 04:29:29 pm
Obama won't endorse before DC votes.

Or until Hillary reaches a full majority of pledged/super delegates.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Election Results by Congressional Districts, OFFICIAL THREAD on: April 20, 2016, 05:23:52 pm
With virtually all of the precincts reporting in New York, this is what the results are by CD for both Democrats and Republicans:



Sorry about the lack of consistency when it comes to the color scheme.  You'll see that the one I use for the Democrats parallels the one used by the New York Times.  Tongue
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Primary/Caucus Results by CD on: April 20, 2016, 05:20:22 pm
With virtually all of the precincts reporting in New York, this is what the results are by CD for both Democrats and Republicans:



Sorry about the lack of consistency when it comes to the color scheme.  You'll see that the one I use for the Democrats parallels the one used by the New York Times.  Tongue
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Hillary passed the 270 threshold on: April 20, 2016, 03:26:33 am
It's official, if the Democrats used the electoral college to nominate their candidate, it would officially be over.



Hillary: 271


Bernie: 106
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would Hillary attack Kasich in the GE? on: April 19, 2016, 07:23:51 pm
"Told girls not to go to parties with alcohol if they don't want to get raped."
"Half of Ohio's women's health clinics have closed under Kasich."
"Disenfranchised hundreds of thousands with undemocratic voter ID laws."
"Still doesn't support marriage equality."

"Moderate Republican? I don't think so."


Say what you will about each of these points, but I think they'd be pretty effective at creating an overall narrative.


He's not that difficult to run against.

/thread Tongue
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kalwejt's 2016 comparative maps on: April 19, 2016, 07:15:55 pm
Why do you have Al Gore flipping Louisville and Columbus?  Clinton won them both in 1996.
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday, Flo! on: April 19, 2016, 04:34:12 am

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jeff Merkley for VP? on: April 14, 2016, 09:55:52 pm
What's the most likely ulterior motive for merkley endorsing sanders?

Once Sanders looses, Hillary will rally the Bernie folks behind her by picking the only senator who endorsed her opponent?
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Nebraska to eliminate Electoral Vote by CD? on: April 07, 2016, 10:06:44 pm
Does anyone know if Obama would have won NE-2 in 2012 under the 2008 district map? Rig baby Rig.

Nope.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NY-Quinnipiac: Schumer leads Long by 39 on: April 02, 2016, 10:46:17 pm
He might get 77% of the vote if Trump is the nominee.  Tongue
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders says he will win New York on: April 02, 2016, 03:45:41 am
Obama hit 40% back in 2008, is it really that impossible that Bernie might do better considering he was actually born here?
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: National Presidential Primary County and State Maps (1912-2016) on: March 31, 2016, 01:21:18 am
Looks like County data is now available on the Dem. side in Hawaii:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/hawaii


Nobody voted in that county with 91 people?

"Because of the small population, Kalawao County does not have the functions of other Hawaii counties. It is a judicial district of Maui County, which includes the rest of the island of Molokaʻi. The county has no elected government. Developed and used from 1866 to 1969 for settlements for treatment of quarantined persons with leprosy, it is administered by the Hawaii Department of Health. The only county statutes that apply to Kalawao County directly are those on matters of health"

So you're saying that people in Kalawao can vote, they just cast their ballots under Maui?
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Freak States Holy Saturday results thread (1st caucuses begin @1pmET) on: March 28, 2016, 01:00:50 pm
County results for Hawaii?
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