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7151  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:44:42 pm
Rubio is over 60% in Miami-Dade (with 0.1% in . . .)
7152  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:25:52 pm
Hart County reports from Georgia - massive lead for Isakson.

(Hart is in GA-10, R+15)
7153  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:19:57 pm
There are evidently 2 Bass/Hodes voters.  I guess they liked both their former congressmen.
7154  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:16:45 pm
Speculation is that Florida is the ground zero of GOP wave.
Rubio devastating everybody in Florida. Seriously how was this ever gonna be competitive?

A bit too soon - Nassau is part of FL-04, which is R+17.
7155  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:13:34 pm
Rubio near 70% in first returns from Nassau County.
7156  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 06:06:49 pm
CNN calls VT for Leahy.
7157  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV on: November 02, 2010, 06:03:12 pm
CNN calls IN, KY, and SC for GOP.
7158  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) on: November 02, 2010, 05:30:13 pm
Razor thin margin in KY-06 thus far, though it doesn't mean much for another half hour.

Last poll (10/19) had Chandler (D) up 4, for context.
7159  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If the Dems take a pounding, which it seems they will..... on: November 02, 2010, 05:28:25 pm
4 but 2 anyway.
7160  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: Northeast Assembly Thread on: November 02, 2010, 05:22:51 pm
Has Fezzy even sworn in?
7161  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV on: November 02, 2010, 05:21:07 pm
The Libertarian in Indiana has 5%, if that holds, I will be a happy guy!

Presumably b/c Coats is anti-gun and a crappy candidate.
7162  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: (6:00 PM EDT) SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV on: November 02, 2010, 05:18:27 pm
If thos early results in KY (and the NYT split screen) say anything Conway is doing better than Obama in 08.

That's not a surprise.
7163  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Will all three candidates (FL-SEN) win at least 1 county? on: November 02, 2010, 05:17:52 pm
Will all three candidates (FL-SEN) win at least 1 county?
7164  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Last minute poll: Will Republicans take the Senate? on: November 02, 2010, 04:48:07 pm
But isn't O'Donnell a witch or something?

No, she's you.

This just in - Christine O'Donnell is winning 100% of the vote in Delaware with 52,000 ballots counted . . . O'Donnell said in a press statement that "I'm not a witch, I just voted for myself."
7165  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) on: November 02, 2010, 04:46:30 pm
From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

Quote
I don’t have the exits, but folks I know in the media and political worlds are getting their first glimpses.

Indicator Number One: I am told that one Democratic strategist, helping a television network with Election Night analysis, just declared that the Democrats were experiencing something on par with mass murder. The GOP counterpart looked at the same numbers and concluded the Democrats are, so far, not getting the urban turnout they need; suburban and rural areas are seeing big turnouts.

Indicator Number Two: One Republican who is seeing early indicators in Florida says, “If this holds, we win everything.”


The only thing the Democrats even had a shot at in FL was the governorship anyway... glad I predicted it for Scott. Tongue

Was he saying everything in Florida or everything in the country?
7166  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) on: November 02, 2010, 04:45:55 pm
I've got five reporting methods ready to go for tonight, CNN TV, CNN.com, NY Times, Politico, and my local NBC affiiate (kfor.com) for the Oklahoma results.

What race in Oklahoma could possibly be that interesting?
7167  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) on: November 02, 2010, 04:32:50 pm
According to Republicans, turnout is record high in rural areas and low in urban areas.  According to Democrats, turnout record high in urban areas and low in rural areas.  Just as an FYI.
7168  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES) on: November 02, 2010, 03:28:00 pm
GOP WINS GUAM!!!

And that changes the balance of power by 0.0%.  Wink

Guam's straw poll has predicted every presidential election's result since 1976 (when they went for Ford).  Not sure what their record on congressional elections is, though.
7169  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: SILLY PLEDGES TIME! on: November 02, 2010, 03:25:05 pm
If Jack Conway wins, I will have a D-KY avatar for the remainder of my time on this site.
7170  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Right-wing "centrists" preparing to seize control of the Democratic Party on: November 02, 2010, 01:48:36 pm
I'll believe it when I see it.
7171  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Was it Inevitable? on: November 02, 2010, 11:26:32 am
It's a sign of realignment when a party that is more unpopular than the other party, wins solely due to a vote against incumbency?

How many incumbent Republicans will lose?

Hint: (somewhere between 0 and 2 - and both of those 2 are freshmen elected in flukes)
7172  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Last minute poll: Will Republicans take the Senate? on: November 02, 2010, 10:59:38 am
House Republicans are generally considerably better than Senate Republicans, from a libertarian standpoint (same is actually true of House vs. Senate Democrats), although the GOP senate slate this year is probably the best since at least Harry Truman was president.
7173  Election Archive / 2010 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK: Hays Research/DSCC: Everything's tied in the final poll on: November 02, 2010, 10:57:44 am
Oops, last one was the local IBEW, this one's the DSCC.
7174  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: doesn't it seem strange... on: November 02, 2010, 10:48:03 am
They really aren't.  Their rhetoric is far to the right of their policy.
7175  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Last minute poll: Will Republicans take the Senate? on: November 02, 2010, 10:37:15 am
I'd define "conservative" as "would actually cut spending."  I'm being charitable when I say R+17.
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