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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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26  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 06:08:07 pm
Beet
Rasmussen nailed the party iD in 2004+2006+2008 and 2010 and he nailed since 2004 the national results. His state b state polls are terrible sometimes but on the national level Party ID and presidential race he`s the best!!!
27  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40 on: August 09, 2012, 06:02:22 pm
Their last poll was D+5(still to high) now they changed to D+9 in 2008 it was D+7 who believe that 2012 will be a better election year as 2008?Huh I DON`T!!!!
28  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 05:55:04 pm
Dr. Scholl my data r the crosstabs of the pollsters and the party ID of Rasmussen which is the bets in the country! i think on election day it will be tied but from today it`s R+1
the same for the states poll of course!
29  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Fox News: Obama 49 Romney 40 on: August 09, 2012, 05:47:34 pm
and another laughable (D+9) poll from FOX: Obama: 49/46 my numbers:44.8/52.7

Obama: 49% Romney 40%
my numbers: Romney/Obama: 49.8/44.5

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/08/09/fox-news-poll-presidential-race/
30  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 05:21:38 pm
Dr. Scholl why not? OK I am the Benny pollster LOL

I dont get paid with that right but I build it!
31  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 05:20:31 pm
yes maybe but not with the correct numbers and in 2004 many pllsters said Kerrry would be the winner 2006%2008 was easy for President but not the Governor and Senate races!

Problem this year is most polsters using the same party ID like it was 2008
won`t happen. In the best case for the Dems it will be D+2! For now its R+1
32  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 05:04:56 pm
No Minnesota mike

I am doing this for a several year now and have a impressive record I nailed the race in 2004 every race in 2006 every race (except MO) in 2008 and every race in 2010 (except WA)

you can follow my weekly electoral map on facebook:
 http://www.facebook.com/groups/185054414852195/

It`s all about Party ID!! and it should be a LV and not a RV!
It`s the only national poll showing Obama winning the Indy vote
but even with that scenario and the right Party ID he would lose!
33  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN/ORC Poll: Obama 52; Romney 45 on: August 09, 2012, 04:35:40 pm
LOL another RV and D oversampled poll and the only poll for a long time where Obama wins the Indy votes LOL again - from CNN this time:

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (CNN/ORC): Obama: 50/47 my numbers: 47.4/52.5
Barack Obama (D-inc) 52%
Mitt Romney (R) 45%
my numbers: Romney/Obama: 51/48.9
34  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / PPP/Kos National poll on: July 31, 2012, 06:27:35 pm
National

2012 President
48% Obama (D), 47% Romney (R)

Obama Job Approval
47% Approve, 49% Disapprove

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 48 / 47
Mitt Romney: 41 / 50

http://dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2012/7/26
35  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Magellan Strategies (R): Obama barely ahead in OH on: July 28, 2012, 08:18:06 pm
PRESIDENT – OHIO (Magellan)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 43%

US SENATE – OHIO (Magellan)
Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 45%
Josh Mandel(R) 38%

http://www.opportunityohio.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/Ohio-General-Election-Survey-Topline-Results-Release-072512.pdf
36  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IL-Ipsos: Obama up 20 in "home state" on: July 26, 2012, 03:09:26 pm
Hi Romney/Ryan :-)
37  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: National Tracking Poll Thread on: July 23, 2012, 01:58:41 pm
American Research Group:

Obama Job Approval Ratings
7/20/12 Approve Disapprove Undecided

Overall 46% 51% 3%
Economy 44% 52% 4%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/
38  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NH: University of New Hampshire: Obama up 4 on: July 17, 2012, 04:21:44 pm
The link doen`t work!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
39  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / PEW: Obama leads Romney on: July 12, 2012, 04:16:44 pm
Obama/Romney: 50/43

http://www.people-press.org/2012/07/12/obama-holds-lead-romney-trails-on-most-issues/
40  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Romney ahead in NC on: July 12, 2012, 04:12:01 pm
North Carolina

2012 President
49% Romney (R), 48% Obama (D)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/PNA_NC_0712b.pdf
41  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Quinn: FL: Obama and Nelson ahead on: June 21, 2012, 09:31:16 am
Romney/Rubio will win FL by 4%-6%!
42  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Quinn: FL: Obama and Nelson ahead on: June 21, 2012, 05:29:18 am
Quinn is usually accurate pollster but sometimes it goes off the reservation.
If we are to believe its polling Obama has gone from 6% down to 4% up with bad economic news.
In Quinn’s poll the swing has occurred for two reasons: (1)A swing in the Part ID by 6 in favor of the Dems and(2) Quinn says that in May ,Indies were in Romney’s camp by +10,but in June they are in Obama’s camp by +10.
If we are to believe this poll,then Romney is more competitive in Wisconsin and Michigan than in FL.
Trash the poll!
43  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Quinn: FL: Obama and Nelson ahead on: June 21, 2012, 05:12:17 am
They moved the party ID from R+3 in May to D+3 in June - LOL

FLORIDA-President: Obama: 47/49
Obama/Romney: 46/42

FLORIDA-SENATE:
Nelson/Mack: 43/39

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1766
44  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: National Tracking Poll Thread on: June 18, 2012, 08:47:28 am
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
45  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: ME- Obama up by 14% on: June 18, 2012, 07:28:29 am
http://www.wbur.org/2012/06/18/wbur-maine-poll
46  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / ME- Obama up by 14% on: June 18, 2012, 07:05:36 am
PRESIDENT – MAINE (WBUR)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Mitt Romney (R) 34%
47  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / PurplePoll: Obama ahead in VA and CO; Romney ahead in OH and FL on: June 07, 2012, 02:17:07 pm
Romney improves across Purple States and
leads in Ohio and Florida; Obama still leads
in Purple America, Virginia and Colorado.

National: Obama:47/49
Obama/Romney: 48/46

CO: Obama: 48/48
Obama/Romney: 48/46

VA: Obama: 45/51
Obama/Romney: 49/46

OH: Obama: 43/52
Obama/Romney: 45/48

FL: Obama: 45/50
Obama/Romney: 45/49

http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/6.2012-Purple-Poll.pdf
48  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MO-PPP: Obama+1 on: May 30, 2012, 04:52:10 pm
LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL

Even RV polls shows Romney picking up NE-2, IN, NC, & FL – and yes holding on to MO. But according to PPP we have a landslide for Obama!
PLEASE GIVE ME A BREAK!!

Obama won`t win a state he lost in 2008!!! Not without a big game changer!!!
49  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Romney up in IN on: May 25, 2012, 05:10:44 pm
Indiana: Romney 48%, Obama 42%

Mitt Romney holds a six-point lead over President Obama in a head-to-head matchup in Indiana. A new Rasmussen Reports online survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Romney earning 48% of the vote to Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) prefers some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/indiana/election_2012_indiana_president
50  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Washington Times: Romney slightly over Obama on: May 16, 2012, 05:53:35 pm
US-2012 President: 44% Romney (R), 43% Obama (D)
(Washington Times/JZ Analytics 5/11-12)

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/may/13/obamas-chief-edge-is-enthusiasm-factor/?page=2
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